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HomeMy WebLinkAboutRESPONSE - RFP - P856MDPOSAL NUMBER $56 North Front Range Transportation and Air Quality Planning Council TECHNICAL SUPPORT August 22, 2002 L S A Model in TransCAD including writing of all GISDK script for model operations and performance reporting. Min Zhou, RE. —Travel Model Specialist Ms. Zhou is a transportation engineer/planner with ten years of experience in transportation planning, modeling and traffic engineering for both public agencies and private consultant companies. Her experiences include travel demand modeling development, GISDK scripting, calibration and validation and applications, traffic operation and simulation, and air quality. Her expertise also includes GIS, database management, and software (e.g. Visual Basic) programming. Ms. Zhou developed travel demand modeling guidelines and conducted TransCAD modeling processes for all 13 planning regions of Massachusetts. This work effort included the development of trip generation cross -classifica- tion procedures, TAZ structures and databases in TransCAD, conversion of the highway network from MassGIS system into TransCAD link geography, the development of external to external trip estimation methodologies, wrote programs in GISDK for performing data manipulation, geographic modification, and customizing editing tools and model calibration and validation. She also introduced CORSIM micro simulation models to the Massport Authority for use in systematized modeling. Ms. Zhou also participated in the Texas Statewide Analysis Models project, which included building the regional traffic analysis zone structure, developing circulation networks in TransCAD for highway, railway, marine, and airport facilities, assembling databases, and con- ducting four -step planning and traffic forecasting. Ms. Zhou participated in the Rhode Island Air Quality Conformity Analysis and the Portland to Brunswick Passenger Rail Environmental Assessment. She conducted regional mesoscale and hot spot microscale air quality analyses for the projects. She wrote tools in Visual Basic program in order to convert Mobile5 output to spreadsheet formats. REFERENCES Fort Collins Mason Street Travel Model Mr. John Daggett Senior Transportation Planning City of Fort Collins 215 North Mason Fort Collins, CO 80524 970-224-6190 Boulder Valley Travel Model Mr. Randall Rutsch Transportation Planner City of Boulder P.O. Box 791 Boulder, CO 80306 303-441-4270 Denver Regional Council of Governments Mr. Eric Sabina Principal Transportation Modeler 2480 W. 261" Avenue, Suite 200B Denver, CO 80211 303-480-6789 Lincoln, Nebraska Regional Travel Model Mr. Kent Morgan Deputy Planning Director City of Lincoln/Lancaster County Planning Department 555 South 10" Street, Suite 213 Lincoln, NE 68508 402-441-8280 Lawrence, Kansas Travel Demand Model Ms. Linda Finger Planning Director Lawrence/Douglas County Metropolitan Planning Office City Hall, 6 East 6°i Street P.O. Box 708 Lawrence, KS 66044-0708 785-832-3154 1-1 SCOPE OF PROPOSAL Project Understanding This effort will involve a number of key issues that will require careful consideration throughout its duration. LSA has the knowledge, experience, and capability to successfully address each of these issues and others that may arise during the project. Key issues are discussed in this section. Project Management and Coordination As desired by the MPO, LSA is a local firm that can be available to meet with the modeling staff on an immediate or very -short term basis. Similar to past efforts, LSA will coordinate modeling issues, tasks, and responsibilities in a proactive, continual manner. Our methodical approach to tasks and our oral and written communication skills will streamline the process so that a well coordinated project is conducted. Sean and Everett will continually maintain written records of tasks, topics, and issues so that the work efforts are clear. At the close of the project, these written records will fold neatly into a final model document with only minor modifications. Regional Household Travel Survey Data The NFR MPO should be proud of the travel behavior data obtained through their recent house- hold travel diary survey. As we did with the 1998 Mobility Report Card data when developing the Mason Street model, LSA will work closely with MPO staff to analyze and prepare the necessary information from the survey. This information is vital to specific applications within the travel modeling stream, including: • trip production and attraction rates for the trip generation module, • allocation models for specific trip purposes, • potential jurisdictional trip generation adjustment factors to refine the model's calibration, • trip length frequency distributions/friction factors by trip type, • geographically -based mode split factors by trip type, • auto -occupancies for vehicle trips by purpose, and • time -of -day directional factors by trip type. Travel behavior data for persons younger than 16 years of age will require careful consideration, since this information was not collected in the household survey. Several sources of information o are available to augment this data, including past Mobility Report Card household surveys, the recent DRCOG Travel Behavior Inventory (TBI), and the 2001 National Household Travel Survey conducted by the federal government. U.S. Census Data Now that much of the U.S. Census 2000 100-percent and sample data products are finally available and the Census Transportation Planning Package (CTPP) is due for release in the coming months, regional planning agencies such as the NFR MPO can begin to "reset the clock" on their travel models. For years, the MPO has been in a situation of updating base year data using information that was several years old. LSA has the skills and tools to guide the MPO on the extraction and preparation of Census data for application in the regional travel model. Accuracy, consistency, and quality control will be key to the effort. Traffic Counts Traffic counts are critical to the model's validation. It is our understanding that a recent set of traffic counts has been obtained from the MPO's member governments to assist with the 2000 Base Year validation. It will be important to review this database early in the project in order to determine important missing locations, conflicting information, and screenline adjustments. In limited cases, additional counts may be desired and can be requested of the local governments, collected in the Fall of 2002, and back -carted to the year 2000. This may be necessary if the MPO desires adjustment to the screenlines in the model. Land Use and Transportation Interaction Land use data is an important part of the transportation modeling process, and changes in land use data can have a significant effect on model results. The ability to easily change, update, and experiment with various land use alternatives is recognized as in important function of the NPR MPO's transportation model. With minimal scripting in GISDK, LSA will incorporate in a user- friendly dialog the ability to read land use data form various sources and apply this data in the TransCAD model. Scripting will be done is such a manner that importing and modeling func- tions can be called as an object in an object -oriented programming environment, or directly from the DOS or Windows operating environment. This will provide the NPR MPO with the option of integrating land use and transportation modeling programs. If the NFR MPO desires, a simple application can be created using an object -oriented program- ming language such as Visual Basic. Such an application would call a program such as Policy Simulator by CommunityViz to generate land use data, and subsequently can TransCAD to run a transportation model using the results from the Land Use model. Such a program would not be required to create an efficient and user-friendly TransCAD model, but would provide a transpar- ent and seamless model that would demonstrate both land use and transportation impacts associated with land use and policy scenarios. Such a program could also provide a simple, straightforward package designed for easy transferability and installation for member govern- ments. System Performance and Applications N A key module in any travel demand model is the Performance Summary, which allows the user o to easily identify the input data and output results in a consistent manner. LSA incorporates this z important function into all of its TransCAD models because of the numerous benefits in both the 3 model development and model application activities. This will be done using GISDK scripting o and will yield a customized, user-friendly application. With this tool, the MPO and member governments will be able to quickly identify the performance impacts of various land use and o roadway alternatives at specified geographic levels. . Several measures will be incorporated, including vehicle miles of travel (VMT), vehicle hours of N o travel (VHT), congestion delay, congested speeds, average trip lengths, trips by time of day, and Z air quality results based on EPA's Mobile Emission Factor model. In addition, the MPO may wish to incorporate special identifiers and attributes on the network and TAZ files so that various planning functions can be integrated. For example, a series of Z - - scoring algorithms can be applied to network links that make up individual projects under n evaluation for the transportation improvement program (TIP), regional transportation plan z (RTP), capital improvement program (CIP), major investment study (MIS), or other function. TransCAD's ability to graphically display project selections and prioritizations in real time are z unsurpassed in this regard. - Model Transferability and Presentation - With our significant investment and experience with the TransCAD platform, LSA has the unique skills and understanding to produce a fully -integrated model that will be easy to transfer • to other users. In this manner, consistency will be maintained with the regional model and additional users will benefit from a user-friendly, comprehensive package that includes advice on setup and training. In addition, LSA speaks your language and therefore has the unique capability to present technical modeling information in a graphical manner that is easily understood by a variety of audiences. Our scope provides for the preparation and delivery of one presentation to the MPO's Technical Advisory Committee. In addition, LSA staff will work with the MPO to provide up to two additional presentations to mutually -agreed upon audiences (e.g., Colorado Model Users Group) at no additional cost to the MPO. TransCAD Scripting and Customization The scripting services performed by LSA will include development of a user-friendly interface including a scenario manager, creation of an automated performance report, and automation of the 4-step model process. The interface will consist of a dialog box created in GISDK or Visual Basic. The dialog box will provide straightforward access to transportation modeling functions and, at the option of the MPO, to land use modeling functions as well. This dialog box will also provide access to a scenario manager, which will allow model input and output files to be defined for a number of model scenarios. A batch capability will also be included. This capabil- ity allows multiple scenarios to be run overnight or over a weekend, and greatly increases the speed and convenience of running and comparing multiple network or land use options. A performance report will be scripted in GISDK or Visual Basic, allowing for easy access to relevant model results and parameters. This report will be run from the same dialog box as the model itself, and can be automatically created after each model run is complete. This perfor- mance report will be formatted to be easily read and understood, and will be aligned to be printed on 8.5 x I I paper. The performance report script will also generate a file that contains selected summary results, and which is formatted for use in a spreadsheet program such as Excel. With this table, results from multiple scenarios can be viewed and graphed side -by -side for easy comparison. All model functions will be automated through the use of the model dialog box and scenario manager. This will allow easy updating of network attributes such as functional type, number of lanes, travel speed, and link capacity, without the need for multiple manual adjustments and formula fills. Additional data, such as trip generation rates, time -of -day factors, and other lookup values will also be incorporated into the model in such a manner that future changes can be made with minimal complication, especially important during model development. The Trip Generation module, which currently runs in an Excel Spreadsheet, will be incorporated into the model dialog box through conversion to GISDK or Visual Basic. In either case, the Trip Genera- tion step, as all model steps, will run seamlessly from the model dialog box, based on standard- ized input tables. Scripting of model macros will be done in such a manner that future updates will require minimal changes. Through the use of loops, global variables, and careful definitions within the script, changes such as the addition of trip types or modification of model methodol- ogy will be straightforward. Description of Tasks, Services, and Deliverables As indicated in the Request for Proposal, the LSA consultants will provide mentoring, project development, training, and TransCAD scripting services. Throughout the project's duration, Everett and Sean will review work effort results with Suzette and Andy and maintain written records of tasks, topics, and issues to effectively manage the project. Actual work will be per- formed by the NFR MPO staff. The following task and service descriptions were prepared with this arrangement in mind. Task 1 - Preparation of the 2000 Base Year Model Through Task 1, the MPO's travel model will be updated, calibrated, and validated to 2000 Base Year conditions. Subtask 1.1 - Project Coordination At the onset of the project, LSA will meet with MPO staff to determine specific work tasks, schedules, products, and responsibilities. Throughout the project, we will be available to meet on a regular basis. Our scope of services assumes that meetings will occur weekly or bi-weekly, but also recognizes that periods of higher or lower intensity will occur. LSA will maintain written records of tasks, topics, and issues for effective project management and documentation purposes. Invoices and progress reports will be prepared as specified by the MPO. Subtask 1.2 — Socioeconomic Input Data The wealth of information available through Census 2000 and the MPO's recent household survey will require careful preparation to ensure quality. LSA will work with MPO staff to guide to extraction of data and information from various sources while maintaining vigilance over the accuracy, consistency, and overall quality of the data. These functions will take advantage of the MPO's process for estimating population, household, and employment growth. Output results and formats from the MPO's land use process (e.g., CommunityViz) will be fully integrated. Subtask 1.3 — Roadway Network Attributes LSA will provide guidance on the speed, capacity, functional classification, area type, and other attributes of the roadway network. Through our scripting services, LSA will provide a custom, automated process for efficiently updating information in the roadway networks. Subtask 1.4 — Calibration of Model Variables and Parameters LSA will work with MPO staff to determine the procedures and quality control checks for estimating travel behavior from various sources, including the MPO's recent household survey and the Census Transportation Planning Package (CTPP). Information used in the model in this regard includes but is not limited to the following: trip generation rates, friction factors, mode split factors, time -of -day factors, and others. These will be determined by trip purpose as applicable and compared to previous local data and similar information from state and national surveys for an added level of quality control. Subtask 1.5 — External Travel When updating the model to the 2000 Base Year, much information will be available regarding travel within the North Front Range. A lesser amount of information is known about travel that leaves, enters, or crosses the region. These external trips are represented as Internal -External (I- E) and External -External (E-E) travel. The household survey and CTPP data will greatly assist with the development of the I-E estimates. E-E trips will be calculated using traffic counts and growth rates at external stations, the I-E trips, and other sources if available. Subtask 1.6 — Validation of the 2000 Base Year Model With recent travel behavior data, new estimates of socioeconomic data, and a refined traffic count database, the model will be ready for a comprehensive validation. The obvious point of Z validation is to verify that the model can reasonably replicate observed conditions. Once done, the model can be used to forecast future conditions given a set of land use and transportation assumptions. Therefore, a thorough validation is a very important task in the model's develop- ment. To this end, LSA will develop validation guidelines that will include statistical compari- sons, performance results, screenline and link comparisons to traffic count data, and information on allowable errors. Subtask 1.7 — Performance Summaries As stated previously, LSA will incorporate standard performance summaries and additional measures at various geographical levels as desired by the MPO. This will programmed in GISDK or Visual Basic and yield a custom, user-friendly interface that will provide comprehensive, consistent results for model development or alternatives analysis. Subtask 1.8 — Documentation As stated previously, LSA will maintain written records of tasks, topics, and issues throughout the duration of the project to maximize project management efficiency and effectiveness. These standardized written records will become the basis for the final model documentation. Task 1 Deliverables: • Updated and calibrated 2000 Base Year model with Performance Module • Written Records of tasks, topics, and issues • Model validation guidelines Task 2 — Land Use and Travel Model Interaction As stated in the Project Understanding section preceeding this Description of Tasks, Services, and Deliverables, LSA will provide consultant and scripting services to integrate the MPO's land use and transportation models. Depending on the need for repeatability, the interface will be programmed in either GISDK or Visual Basic so that output results from CommunityViz or other software can be incorporated directly through a seamless process. Task 2 Deliverables • Seamless and customized interface for the MPO's land use and transportation models. Task 3 — TransCAD Scripting and Customization As stated in the Project Understanding section, LSA will program the MPO's travel model into a custom TransCAD script that utilizes dialog boxes for ease of use and is self-contained for ease of installation. This will rely on the use of existing MPO script to the extent possible. Custom scripts will be incorporated where necessary. TransCAD's GISDK scripting program is the primary mechanism that will be used for automation of the model's processes. However, LSA also can provide custom applications of Visual Basic programming if desired by the MPO to streamline integration of land use models and refine the installation procedures for transfer and installation on member government computers. LSA will provide a written User's Guide to facilitate installation and running of the model. Task 3 Deliverables • North Front Range Regional Travel Model in TransCAD software with custom scripting, n C automated procedures, and a user-friendly interface. z • User's Guide for installing and running the MPO model. COST PROPOSAL AND AVAILABILITY The proposed cost estimate for conducting the work effort is estimated at $30,000.00. This consists of $20,000.00 for meetings, mentoring, training, and project coordination, and $10,000.00 for scripting. This work effort will be invoiced on a time and material, not to exceed basis per the following hourly rates. Ray Moe Managing Principal $155.00 Everett Bacon Senior Manager $120.00 Min Zhou Senior Modeler $110.00 Sean McAtee Transportation Engineer $ 70.00 The meetings, mentoring, training, and project coordination effort is estimated at four hours per week over a twelve month period. It is recognized that there may be periods where weekly efforts are greater than four-hour weeks and other weeks where the effort will be less than four hours per week. The estimate of $10,000 assumes a level of effort that will yield a well scripted, efficient, user-friendly, and customized model through efficiencies developed from our recently completed model prepared for the City of Boulder. Because of the walking distance between offices, there will be no travel costs or billing hours associated with this work effort. LSA is committed to providing the staff and resources necessary to complete this work effort within the proposed budget and schedule. LSA LSA ASSOCIATES, INC. MASON STREET MULTI -MODAL TRAVEL MODEL TransCAD's dialog boxes and other graphical interfaces simplify the travel forecasting process. w.. o a. O Doan O ww New transit algorithyms and other enhancements to the model allow for detailed multi -modal analysis of bus and rail alternatives. Travel Model Development In January 1999, the City of Fort Collins initiated the Mason Street Transportation Corridor study. Extend- ing north and south through the center of the city, it was envisioned to enhance opportunities for pedestri- ans, bicyclists, and transit riders through the provision of multi -modal transportation improvements along its 5-mile length. To support this project, LSA Associates, Inc. (LSA) staff led an effort to enhance the North Front Range Regional Travel Model so that transit alternatives could be simulated and evaluated. The model development component of the Mason project also provided for the conversion of the model to TransCAD. LSA applied the fully -developed TransCAD model as part of the alternatives analysis for the Mason Street project. Results were used to assist in the selection of transportation improvement options in the corridor and to guide the refinement and phasing of the preferred transit alternative. Client: City of Fort Collins Location: Fort Collins, Colorado LSA LSA ASSOCIATES, INC. TRANSCAD MODEL CONVERSION/DEVELOPMENT LSA creates custom dialog boxes like this one for Lake Elsinore for user-friendly model runs. LSA services include converting and developing models in the TransCAD environment. LSA is experienced with model conversion from existing plat- forms (such as MmUTP, Tranplan, EMME/2, TP+, and QRSII) into TransCAD. Among others, LSA has developed a transportation model for the City of Lake Elsinore, California using TransCAD. LSA was responsible for converting and enhancing the Mason Street Transportation Model for the City of Fort Col- lins, Colorado, which became the base for the regional travel demand model used by the MPO. Using GISDK, LSA created the nested logit mode choice model for the Mason Street Transportation Model. LSA has thor- ough knowledge of TransCAD versions 3.x and 4.x. One key to a good transportation model is enabling the user to run the model consistently for all alternatives. LSA creates customized dialog boxes for all models developed. For each model that is created, there is a scenario manager that stores all the file names for each alterna- tive and any necessary parameters. This keeps all the file names organized in an easy to use format. Each model also has a main dialog box from which the model is run from start to finish or intermediate steps. This dialog box is controlled by a GISDK resource file that contains the exact steps, proce- dures, and variables that are used for every model run. This ensures that every model run is completed in the same way, yielding comparable results. LSA August 22, 2002 LEA ASSOCIATES, INC. OTHER OFFICES: IT. RICHMON➢ 132 W. MOUNTAIN AVENUE 970.494-1568 TEL BERKELEY RIVERSIDE FT. COLLINS, COLORADO 80524 970.494.1579 FAX IRVINE ROCKLIN Ms. Suzette Thieman Regional Transportation Planning Manager NFR MPO 235 Mathews Street Fort Collins, CO 80524 RE: NFR MPO Travel Demand Modeling Technical Support (Proposal Number P-856) Dear Ms. Thieman: ' On behalf of LSA Associates, Inc., we are proud to present this proposal to provide the NFR MPO with Travel Demand Modeling Technical Support. When complete, this work effort will result in a model and documentation that will be updated and calibrated to a 2000 base year, incorporate results of the MPO's land use model, and include a customized, user-friendly interface. As you review various proposals submitted for this work effort, may I offer the following unique benefits that LSA provides. 1. Local: We are located within a five-minute walk from the NFR MPO office. This allows us the ability to respond to your requests within a very effective response time. We do not need to set up meetings days in advance to schedule a trip to Fort Collins but can respond in a few minutes, or at the most a few hours. This proximity also permits the entire budget to be used for consulting services with no costs for commuting or mileage expenses. 2. NFR Local Corporate Vested Experience: LSA Associates opened the Fort Collins office in May 2000. The North Front Range is our home. The success of our transportation system is important to us. This local vesting provides us with a strong working knowledge of the regions physical, economic, political, personality and community issues. We understand what it takes to deliver a successful project for the MPO and it's member jurisdictions. 3. NFR MPO Model Vested Experience: LSA recommended converting the NFR MPO Minatp model to TransCAD four years ago and developed the TransCAD model for the Mason Street Transportation Corridor Master Plan. LSA staff conducted numerous meetings with the NFR MPO and we provided detailed issue and resolution support documents that assisted the NFR MPO in your model development. We believe our history for providing meeting structure, agendas and notes, issue identification, and technical information speaks for itself in assuring the MPO of our thoroughness and capabilities. PLANNING I BNVIBO.... SAL BCICNCE9 I ➢88I6N LS • • LEA ASSOCIATES, INC. TRANSCAD TRAINING LSA staff provides training to agencies and MPO's on the "Tips, Trips, and Traps of TransCAD Modeling" This training tool is designed to help communities understand the full concept of performing transporta- tion modeling in TransCAD. The presentation is tai- lored to the specific audience with the combined use of Microsoft PowerPoint and TransCAD. Questions are encouraged during the presentation to more effectively meet the needs of the audience. Shorter presentations (2-3 hours) can be given for a wide range of interest and technical ability that give an overview of the capa- bilities of TransCAD modeling. Longer sessions (1-2 days) can be arranged for a more technical audience, with more detailed specifics of TransCAD modeling. Training is highly recommended after completing a new model in TransCAD to give the client a full intro- duction to using their model. Sessions include tips for converting models into TransCAD, as well as discussions about the process of modeling. Previous presentations have been held in the following com- munities: • Pikes Peak Council of Governments, Colorado • Denver Regional Council of Governments, Colorado • North Front Range Transportation & Air Quality Planning Council, Colorado • Cheyenne Area Transportation Planning Process and WYDOT, Wyoming • City of Kansas City and Mid America Regional Council, Kansas • State of North Carolina • OCTA • Fort Collins, Colorado Tlrave! De and MUDEL1NG WORKSHOP Many significant changes have occurred with respect to travel demand modeling and traffic forecasting. New modeling techniques provide greater detail and accuracy. Modern, Windows -based software is now fully integrated with geographic information systems (GIS) for enhanced data management and graphical capabilities. The complex relationship between land use, transportation, and air quality/environment can now be studied using these new tools and procedures. LSA Associates of Fort Collins, Colorado, will present these topics and others at a Travel Demand Modeling Workshop to be scheduled in the Cheyenne Area in early February. TransCAD, TP+/Viper, and other model software will be demonstrated. LSA recently completed Colorado's first multi -modal travel model using the GIS-based TransCAD software. Their staff is currently developing and applying models in southern California; Lincoln, Nebraska; and Lawrence, Kansas. The workshop will cover: basic modeling procedures, model enhancements such as transit capability, time -of -day processing, feedback, and others, model software, specialized applications for city and county departments, performance reporting for alternatives analysis, and graphical presentation of model results to support the decision -making and public processes. The workshop is designed for planners and engineers in the fields of transportation, land use, and air quality/environment. The information will L S A be useful for city, county, regional, and state governments and agencies. LS • ` LEA ASSOCIATES, INC. CITY OF BOULDER UPDATE TO THE TRANSPORTATION PLAN Transportation Plan Client: LSA Associates, Inc. is currently in the process of City of Boulder updating the City of Boulder's Master Transportation Plan. Part of this effort is preparing a City of Boulder Location: TransCAD subarea model based on the draft DRCOG Boulder, Colorado TransCAD model. This is the first model to be devel- oped through the DRCOG TransCAD work effort and LSA has identified and forwarded to DRCOG refine- ments for inclusion of their updates. The Boulder Model update includes TAZ disagregation, network refinement, and incorporating locally specific trip gen- eration rates. The work effort also includes model consistency findings between the Boulder Model and the DRCOG model. The work effort includes extesnive GISDK scripting of modeling operations and perfor- mance. LSA LSA ASSOCIATES, INC. CITY OF LINCOLN-LANCASTER COUNTY LONG RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN RESULTSIPERFORMMVCE LEVEL OF SEME_ — Q r , '. � I{ 1 1 R � Mp F am x ' LSA recently completed the Lincoln -Lancaster County also included modifications of the TP+ model and integration Long Range Transportation Plan. The work effort was with TransCAD for reporting purposes. based on LSA conducting extensive TP+ modeling for the City and the MPO region in which various land Client: use and transportation plans were assessed. Part of Lincoln —Lancaster County Planning Department this assessment included individual model runs of the various long range improvements in order to assess Location: " cost per hour of delay savings. This modeling effort Lincoln —Lancaster County, Nebraska LSA LSA ASSOCIATES, INC. LOVELAND LAND USE AND TRANSPORTATION PLAN N �0 * law M d a ■■ :Y to 'l i� ■®� A� �0 !t e %u. Future levels of service mapping was used to prioritize funding decisions. Land Use and Transportation Plan Located along the eastern base of the Rocky Moun- tains, the City of Loveland, Colorado, like many other Front Range communities, is a rapidly growing city. In response to this growth, the City of Loveland devel- oped a plan for future land use. LSA was retained to develop a streamlined land use/transportation model for the City. Land use plans are recorded in the GIS program, ArcView. Attached to ArcView are land use generation rates that estimate and project socio-economic inputs by traffic analysis zone, used in the MINUTP traffic model. Subsequent to running the traffic model, the model data output has been linked back into the GIS transportation network for graphic presentation. Typi- cally these presentation techniques include reporting traffic volumes via bandwidths and levels of service by color. The streamlined process provides both a quick and effective way to present similarities and differences between alter- natives. The process can also be used for testing major development proposals. Community support for the reporting techniques has been very favorable. LSA also assisted the City of Loveland in examining the opportunity to convert the exist- ing MINUTP model to TransCAD to further streamline the land use and transportation modeling process of data develop- ment, analysis, and presentation. Client: City of Loveland Location: Loveland, Colorado Cyclist rides on one of Loveland's bike trails. L S A LEA ASSOCIATES, INC. FORT COLLINS/MASON STREET TRANSPORTATION SURVEYS Tranfort bus patrons filled out questionnaires as part of the Mason Street Transit Onboard Survey. Transportation Surveys In January 1999, the City of Fort Collins initiated the Mason Street Transportation Corridor study. To sup- port this project, members of the LSA team developed a series of three transportation surveys in the fall of 1999. The surveys were designed to collect specific travel behavior information for the Mason Street corri- dor so that a multi -modal travel model could be devel- oped for application in the study. The three surveys are described as follows: • A Vehicle Intercept Survey was conducted at 19 sites in and around the Mason Street corridor. Origin - destination trip purpose, and auto occupancy data was collected from motorists by means of a postcard/ mailback method. Of the approximately 60,000 sur- veys that were distributed, over 9,000 complete sur- veys were returned for use in the survey sample set. • Surveyors handed out questionnaires to Transfort bus patrons during the Transit Onboard Survey. Vir- tually every bus trip on all daytime Transfort routes were surveyed in the effort. Results of the survey were used to develop and calibrate a transit modeling capability in the travel model prepared for the Mason Street Study. The CSU Special Generator Study focused on trips made to and from the main and veterinary teaching hospital cam- puses in Fort Collins. Surveyors used a random interview approach to collect sample data. Movements of persons and vehicles were counted on cordon lines surrounding each campus to augment the survey. Advanced techniques for error -checking and data editing were applied to ensure the highest quality results. Address infor- mation was geocoded to latitude -longitude coordinates and assigned to a traffic analysis zone for incorporation of origin - destination information into the model. Client: City of Fort Collins Location: Fort Collins, Colorado LSA LONGMONT COMPREHENSIVE PLAN Comprehensive Plan As part of the preparation of the transportation element of the Longmont Comprehensive Plan, LSA is con- verting the City's MinuTP windowed area model to a DRCOG TransCAD subarea model. For con- sistency between modeling platforms and methodolo- gies, the TransCAD model will replicate the current Longmont MinuTP model and then included in the greater DRCOG TransCAD model. Client: .. City of Longmont Location: Longmont Colorado LSA ASSOCIATES, INC. LSA LSA ASSOCIATES, INC. LAKE ELSINORE TRAFFIC MODEL AND ROAD FEE PROGRAM The road fee program will allow the City to genereate new revenues for road improvments as future development occurs. Traffic Model and Road Fee Program LSA is preparing a traffic model and road fee program for the City of Lake Elsinore, in Riverside County, California. The traffic model is being developed con- sistent with the regional Riverside - San Bernardino Area Comprehensive Transportation Plan Model, but with increased zone and network detail in the City and surrounding area. In addition, the traffic model utilizes land use instead of socioeconomic data as a basis for trip generation. These enhancements allow for the analysis of impacts from the City's General Plan build -out scenario so that road improvement fees can be allocated to future developments. The model is being developed in the TransCAD environment to take advantage of the software's GIS and Windows capabilities. Client: City of Lake Elsinore Location: Lake Elsinore, California City Hall —downtown Lake Elsinore RAY A. MOE MANAGING PRINCIPAL EXPERTISE Regional, Community, and Corridor Transportation Planning Traffic Engineering Alternative Mode Transportation Planning EDUCATION University of Cincinnati, B.S., Community Planning, 1972 PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE Principal, LSA Associates, Inc., Fort Collins, Colorado, 2000-2001 Principal, Balloffet and Associates, Fort Collins, Colorado, 1995-2000 Transportation Manager, Merrick & Company, Fort Collins, Colorado, 1993-1995 Principal, LSA Associates, Inc., Irvine, California, 1983-1993 .. Senior Transportation Planner, The Irvine Company, Irvine, California, 1980-1983 Senior Transportation Planner, JHK and Associates, San Francisco, California, 1972-1980 PROFESSIONAL ASSOCIATIONS Institute of Transportation Engineers Transportation Planning Council City of Fort Collins Transportation Board American Planning Association PRINCIPAL PROFESSIONAL RESPONSIBILITIES Mr. Moe has 30 years of experience in regional, comprehensive and urban transportation planning, downtown circulation and parking studies, land use/transportation site design, comprehensive plans, and corridor studies. He has directed major regional transportation and corridor studies, and regional land usettransportation planning efforts including the Mason Street Transportation Corridor Study, which received both the 2001 "International Best Practices Planning Study Award" by the Institute of Transportation Engineers and the 2001 "Chapter Award for the outstanding planning by the Colorado Chapter of the American Planning Association. Mr. Moe is currently Principal in Charge of the City of Boulder Transportation Master Plan Update. Mr. Moe is also a leader in integration of geographic information systems (GIS) land use databases with transportation gravity models and GIS graphic presentation of model results. He has assisted communities in the development and evaluation of regional transportation plans, alternative transportation plans for comprehensive plans, major investment studies, corridor studies, route location studies, and statewide planning. Mr. Moe has prepared traffic impact analysis guidelines, and provided on call transportation development review for numerous municipalities. He promotes visual presentation techniques, such as GIS and simulation modeling, for presentation of technical results to decision makers. LSA OCIATES, INC. PROJECT EXPERIENCE RAY MOE PACE City of Boulder Transportation Master Plan Update: Mr. Moe is currently Principal In Charge of the City of Boulder's Transportation Master Plan Update. This update is focusing on four critical elements: Multimodal Transportation Corridors, Regional Travel, Travel Demand Management and Funding. The Multimodal Transportation Corridor work effort includes the development of facility, land use and design correlations with actual travel performance in order to assess corridor travel and provide comprehensive recommendations in addition to traditional transportation solutions. As part of this work, a Boulder Subarea Transportation Model is being developed that is consistent with the DRCOG TransCAD Model. City of Longmont Comprehensive Plan: Mr. Moe is Principal in Charge of the Longmont Transportation Element of the City's Comprehensive Plan. This effort includes the conversion of the City's windowed subarea model into a subarea TransCAD model based on the DRCOG TransCAD model. Mason Street Transportation Corridor: Mr. Moe was Project Manager for the five mile multi -modal Mason Street Transportation Corridor located in Fort Collins, Colorado. The study evaluates alternative 2020 transit opportunities, including Bus Rapid Transit and Light Rail along the BNSF Railroad, which parallels Fort Collins' major five mile north -south commercial corridor. This study also analyzes and makes recommendations for the development and improvement plans for a bicycle and pedestrian system spanning the entire corridor length. Key to this work effort is comprehensive origin/destination studies, TransCAD modeling, and an extensive public participation process. The analysis is also examining major urban design and land use implications associated with Transit Impact Zones to test the benefits of various alternatives modes. Chapel Hill, North Carolina, Transportation Plan: Mr. Moe prepared the Chapel Hill Transportation Plan Element as part of the Comprehensive Plan. This plan addresses key goals, objectives, and implementation strategies. Mr. Moe was also retained by the Town of Chapel Hill to conduct an independent assessment of their transportation practices, including evaluation of how they conduct traffic studies, signal system standards, traffic claiming, and intersection control. Lake Elsinore Road Fee Program and TransCAD Model Development: Mr. Moe is the Principal in Charge of the model development for the City of Lake Elsinore road fee program. LSA has been retained by the City to develop the fee program based on a nexus of increased future development traffic and associated impacts with master transportation plan buildout. To this extent, LSA has developed a TransCAD model as a windowed application of the regional Southern California Associated Governments regional model. As part of this effort, LSA has developed a TransCAD add on feature to forecast long range intersection peak hour turn volumes and has provided that for direct output to a Synchro database to test alternatives and provide for recommendations. Kansas City, Missouri, Transportation Plan: Mr. Moe prepared the Transportation Element of the City of Kansas City's Comprehensive Plan. The Citywide Physical Framework Plan addressed new development standards to address multi -modal travel, and developed the concept of centers and interconnecting light rail transit. The plan included a focused transportation plan for the Urban Core, and a concept defined as Transit Impact Zones, which defined transit and pedestrian supporting development tools. This Kansas City Focus Comprehensive Plan received the 1998 APA Plan of the year award. LSA ASSOCIATES, INC. Ms. Suzette Thieman August 22, 2002 Page 2 4. Documentation: One of our main objectives is to train NFR MPO staff to become experts at running the MPO model and perform alternative forecasting, testing of various development scenarios and analyses. This effort in part is contingent on model documentation. Our documentation is unsurpassed, easy to read, understandable, user friendly, and thorough. 5. We Speak Your Language: All too often modelers believe that the model is a thing unto itself. The technical aspects of the model often become the center of attention instead of the model being recognized as just another tool to assist NFR MPO staff and members to make decisions. LSA understands the NFR MPO issues and what a model is, how it should be interpreted, and what applications should be considered to address these MPO issues. 6. Innovation: LSA has and continues to invest in an open architecture that allows for the application of model input and output techniques through integration with other software applications including GIS/ArcView, Synchro, Sim Traffic, VISSIM, Snag -it, and a wide -range of graphic programs. Internally, we have been discussing amongst ourselves opportunities for linking Community Viz assessments to TransCAD via Visual Basic. This would create a powerful interface that would provide MPO staff the ability to test - multiple alternatives consistently and seamless. Local government users would benefit as well from the user-friendly interfaces. 7. Presentations: LSA presentations of technical modeling information are outstanding in their ability to talk in terms various audiences, including the general public, technical staff, and decision -makers, can easily understand. 8. Training and Workshops: LSA provides hands-on training and workshops for beginner, intermediate, and experienced users. As communities such as Greeley and Loveland might desire to use the NFR MPO model for their efforts, we could assist the MPO by providing the training and guidance to install and operate the model and maintain consistency with the parent NFR MPO model. 9. Available: The proposed LSA staff for the project is generally always available to receive your phone calls and quickly get together to discuss issues. If you want to stop by or have us come to your office, we are generally able to meet you if not immediately, • then within an hour or two. 10. We Know TransCAD: From model development to comparison/consistency findings and GISDK scripting, LSA staff provides all of the necessary skills, knowledge, contacts, and qualifications to provide service to the MPO. 11. We Want to Earn Your Business: LSA has a very strong desire for this project. It is exactly what we do best and working with our own MPO is attractive to us. To that end, we would commit the resources and efforts to do a very goodjob that both of us would be proud of. LSA OCIATES, INC. RAY MOE PAGE 3 Lincoln -Lancaster County Long Range Regional Transportation Plan: Mr. Moe is Principal in charge of the Long Range Transportation Plan for the City of Lincoln and Lancaster County. The plan is examining a wide range of land use and Transportation plan improvements including automobile, transit, bicycle and pedestrian mobility. Lawrence -Douglas County Long Range Transportation Plan: As Principal in charge, Mr. Moe is developing the vehicular, transit, bicycle and pedestrian plan for the City of Lawrence and surrounding Douglas County. The plan is examining the affect of various transportation investments in addressing future growth and will develop an overall implementation for the area. Colorado Springs Land Use and Transportation Plan: Mr. Moe was in charge of preparing the Comprehensive Land Use and Transportation Plan for the City of Colorado Springs. The plan objective was to examine a wide range of growth scenarios and assist the City in the selection of a preferred land use/transportation plan. The land use alternatives were developed in Arc/Info and input into the regional TRANPLAN traffic model. The traffic model output assignment was linked to Arc Info GIS mapping. The analysis model has also been used to include post -model processing to adjust model over reporting or under reporting. City of Loveland Transportation Plan: Mr. Moe prepared a streamlined land usettransportation analysis model for the City of Loveland, utilizing Arc/Info GIS land use alternatives with socioeconomic generation rates with the MINUTP traffic model. Subsequent to running the traffic model, the model data output was linked back into the GIS transportation network for graphic presentation of traffic volumes via bandwidths and levels of service by color. The streamlined process provided a quick and effective way to present similarities and differences between alternatives. Oceanside Walkable Communities Plan: Mr. Moe is Principal in charge of the development of a downtown Oceanside Walkable Communities Plan. The plan is intended to connect the Pacific Ocean Beach with the growing downtown area with pedestrian improvements that will enhance the pedestrian character of the downtown area and increase vitality. Kansas City Pedestrian Plan: Mr. Moe is the Principal in charge for the Kansas City Pedestrian Plan. This plan is developing pedestrian impact zones based on trip activities between activity areas and residential location. The plan is also developing pedestrian neighborhood assessment using pedestrian level of service standards developed by LSA. Mulberry/Lemay Modern Roundabout: Mr. Moe was the Project Manager for the investigation and plan development for interim and long-term improvements at the intersection of Lemay and Mulberry in the City of Fort Collins. This roundabout would become the highest volume Modem Roundabout in the world, outside the United Kingdom. Fort Collins Civic Center Downtown Transportation and Parking Plan: Mr. Moe prepared the Fort Collins Civic Center Transportation and Parking Study to accommodate major expansions of the Latimer County and City of Fort Collins government uses with other mixed use expansions proposed immediately west of the City of Fort Collins commercial downtown area. This study examined the maintenance of roadway capacity to accommodate future development while expanding diagonal street parking to reduce the need for additional lot and structure parking. L9A OCIA7E9, INC. RAY MOE PAGE 4 Longmont Downtown Circulation and Parking Plan: Mr. Moe prepared the City of Longmont's Downtown Circulation and Parking Plan, which included the development of pedestrian mid -block crossings and bulb -outs on Main Street (U.S. 287) to slow through traffic and provide improved pedestrian connections. This plan was presented to and approved by the Colorado Department of Transportation. The plan also examined the existing parking and supply, parking trends, and projections for build out parking impacts. A parking model was developed to examine changes in modifying parking pricing strategies, parking permit sales options, expansion of parking supply through diagonal parking and structured parking, and analysis to determine feasibility of shuttle parking. City of Fort Collins Pedestrian Plan: Mr. Moe prepared the City of Fort Collins Pedestrian Plan. Unique to this plan was the development of Pedestrian Levels of Service standards for Directness, Continuity, Street Crossings, Aesthetics and Visual Interest and Security. This Pedestrian Level of Service procedure has been presented to the Institution of Transportation Engineers and has been implemented as standard transportation analysis methodology in a number of communities throughout the United States. Shoal Creek Valley Community Plan: Mr. Moe was Project Manager for the development of the Shoal Creek ` Valley Community Plan Transportation Plan. This major development will generate approximately 142,000 daily trips, and required a responsive transportation circulation planning effort to be responsive to long-term market changes. Concepts developed to address these issues included a subarea traffic model, the development of a Circulation Phasing Task Force, trip budgets, and threshold criteria for warranting new transportation improvements. Kansas City Northland Transportation Plan: Kansas City's Northland is a dynamic area of great size, complexity, and diversity. Whereas the Kansas City Citywide Physical Framework Plan identified guidelines and recommendations for a centers oriented multi -modal development, the Northland Plan refined the Multi -modal Transportation Plan for the Northland. Mr. Moe prepared a plan implementation element for the plan that promoted development within priority development areas and addressed improvement phasing. The plan included the prioritization of over $500 million of transportation improvements. EVERETT L. BACON SENIOR TRANSPORTATION PLANNER EXPERTISE Transportation Planning Travel Demand Modeling Air Quality Planning EDUCATION University of Texas at Arlington, M.E., Civil Engineering, 1993 Texas A&M University, B.S., Civil Engineering, 1989 PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE Senior Transportation Planner, LSA Associates, Inc., Fort Collins, Colorado, 2000-2001 Senior Transportation Planner, Parsons Transportation Group, Inc., Denver, Colorado, 1998-2000 Senior Transportation Plannedlntergovemmental Relations Coordinator, Denver Regional Council of Governments, Denver, Colorado, 1998 Principal Transportation Planner, North Central Texas Council of Governments, Dallas -Fort Worth, Texas, 1990-1997 Transportation Planning Intern, Texas Transportation Institute, College Station, Texas, 1987-1989 PRINCIPAL PROFESSIONAL RESPONSIBILITIES Mr. Bacon is a transportation planner with over twelve years of experience in regional transportation planning, travel demand modeling, and air quality planning. His transportation planning experience includes major investment studies and analysis of roadway and transit alternatives. In addition, he has designed and administered travel behavior surveys to support the development of travel models. He has applied advanced techniques for preparing socioeconomic forecasts using land use and other information. He has gained several years of experience managing regional transportation programs and projects, including transportation plans and improvement programs in large metropolitan areas. Augmenting his transportation planning applications experience, Mr. Bacon has developed several travel demand - models and their components using software such as TransCAD, Minutp, TRANPLAN, and UTPS. This experience includes work in Dallas -Ft. Worth, Denver, Southern California and other areas. In a recent effort, he managed a team to convert and enhance the multi -modal model that will be used as the regional travel model for Colorado's North Front Range. He has developed and implemented speed feedback loops, time -of -day traffic assignments, and performance/air quality reporting modules. Mr. Bacon's air quality planning experience includes air quality program management for a large metropolitan planning organization. Through this effort, he was responsible for the modeling of on -road and off -road mobile source emission inventories; initiation, funding, and implementation of an ozone alert program; and air quality conformity determinations for regional transportation plans and transportation improvement programs. In addition, he was responsible for the selection, programming, and implementation of transportation control measures to meet Air Quality State Implementation Plan requirements. IB SOCIATES. INC. EVEREI'I'BACON PACE PROJECT EXPERIENCE - TRAVEL DEMAND MODELING City of Boulder Transportation Master Plan and Model Development: Mr. Bacon is currently the Project Manager for the Regional Travel Element of the plan including the development of a subarea TransCAD model for the City of Boulder. The TransCAD model is based on the existing City of Boulder Minutp model and the regional TransCAD created for the Denver Regional Council of Governments (DRCOG). Adoption of this model consisted of adding detail to the street network and TAZ layer in the vicinity of Boulder, and implementing updates to the socioeconomic data used in the simulation. A customized mode split algorithm is being developed to account for TDM and transit improvements, and replaced the mode choice process used in the regional model. To ensure consistency between regional and local model results, an automated performance report was created to summarize important input and output data, as well as to compare model results to observed ground counts. This report was developed to summarize both the regional Minutp model and the Boulder TransCAD model. Consistency, ease of use, and economy of scale are all important factors in this work effort. Lake Elsinore Traffic Model and Road Fee Program: LSA prepared a traffic model and road fee program for the City of Lake Elsinore in Riverside County, California. As project manager responsible for model development, Mr. Bacon designed a local, land use -based traffic model for implementation in TransCAD 4.0. The model is consistent with results from the regional model maintained by the Southern California Association of Governments. It provides for the analysis of impacts from the City's General Plan buildout scenario so that road improvement fees can be allocated to future developments. Mason Street Multi -modal Travel Model Development: Mr. Bacon managed a team responsible for the conversion of the regional model from the Minutp to the TransCAD modeling platform and the subsequent development of the Mason Street Multi -modal Travel Demand Model, which included significant model enhancements and calibrations for the testing of transit alternatives in the Mason Street corridor. Time -of -day traffic assignments, speed feedback, mode choice, and implementation of detailed trip purposes were among the enhancements that were incorporated in the model. Denver Regional Transportation District Model Applications Improvement Program: Mr. Bacon developed a non -work high occupancy vehicle (HOV) model and new HOV coding techniques in order to streamline the coding process and enhance model estimation procedures. This work was conducted for the Regional Transportation District (RTD) through their application of the Denver Regional Travel Model. Colorado Springs On -Call Modeling Support: Mr. Bacon provided technical support in the application of the TRANPLAN-based regional travel model for the Pikes Peak Area Council of Governments. Dallas -Fort Worth Regional Travel Model: Through his duties as program manager at NCTCOG, Mr. Bacon was responsible for several areas of development for the regional travel model. For example, he incorporated a speed -feedback loop to ensure consistency of speeds throughout the modeling chain. In addition, he calibrated friction factor curves in the trip distribution model, developed a time -of -day traffic assignment routine, and estimated a module for determining final loaded speeds by time period. He designed enhancements to the performance summary module to include emission estimates by vehicle type and time of day as well. Through his efforts, the capability to analyze transportation control measures, such as reduction of nonrecurring congestion, has been included in the model. LSAASSOCIATES, INC. PROJECT EXPERIENCE -TRANSPORTATION PLANNING EVERE=BACON PAGE 3 City of Lincoln - Lancaster County, Nebraska Long Range Transportation Plan: LSA is currently assisting the Lincoln -Lancaster County Planning Department with the development of the region's Long Range Transportation Plan for this area of approximately 240,000 residents. This effort is being conducted in conjunction with the preparation of the Comprehensive Plan in which the inter -relationship between land use and transportation impacts is considered through an iterative conceptual analysis. As project manager for the transportation plan, Mr. Bacon is responsible for incorporating federal requirements into the planning process, preparing multi -modal analysis of conceptual land use plans and alternative scenarios, and overall development of the Plan document. Key issues in the study include alternative travel modes, neighborhood preservation, smart growth, environmental justice, and mobility for student populations. City of Lawrence - Douglas County, Kansas Long Range Transportation Plan: Mr. Bacon is currently serving as project manager for the development of the transportation plan for this area of about 100,000 residents, which includes large university student populations. His responsibilities include coordination of the public involvement process, multi -modal analysis, preparation of a year 2025 travel model using QRSII software, forecasts of future socioeconomic activity, and development of the overall Plan document. The result of this effort will be a graphics -based, issues -oriented, user-friendly plan document. Access management, corridor preservation, and alternative transportation modes are among the key issues in the project. Fort Collins' Transportation Surveys: As part of the Mason Street Transportation Corridor study, Mr. Bacon designed and implemented three transportation surveys in support of model development efforts. The Mason ' Street/College Avenue Vehicle Intercept Survey, the CSU Special Generator Study, and the TransFort On -Board Transit Survey were conducted in the fall of 1999 to provide detailed travel behavior information to support the study. In addition, he designed and managed a speed survey to augment the model's input data. I-225 Major Investment Study: Mr. Bacon conducted model development efforts and performance evaluations based on the application of the Minutp-based Denver Regional Travel Model for the alternatives analysis component of the I-225 Major Investment Study in Aurora and Denver, Colorado. SH82 Corridor Investment Study: Mr. Bacon developed socioeconomic baseline and forecast scenarios to coincide with the development and application of a travel demand model for the SH82 corridor between Glenwood Springs and Aspen, Colorado. Denver Regional Transportation Improvement Program: While with Denver Regional Council of Governments (DRCOG), Mr. Bacon provided program management and oversight for the 1999-2000 Denver Metropolitan Transportation Improvement Program (TIP). This included the evaluation and programming of projects from local governments, departments of transportation, and transportation authorities through the process set up by the Intermodal Surface Transportation Efficiency Act and the Transportation Equity Act for the 2 1 ' Century. Denver Regional Transportation Plan: Also at DRCOG, Mr. Bacon conducted cost estimate and revenue projection activities associated with the development of the Denver metropolitan area's Year 2020 Regional Transportation Plan. In addition, he evaluated performance criteria associated with project selection for this effort. CSAASSOCIATES.INC. EVERE=BACON PACE Dallas -Fort Worth Metropolitan Area Transportation Improvement Program: Working for the North Central Texas Council of Governments (NCTCOG), Mr. Bacon provided program management and oversight for the Dallas -Fort Worth Metropolitan Area Transportation Improvement Program (TIP). As TIP program manager, he was responsible for the development of project selection criteria, evaluation and programming of submitted projects, financial analysis, public involvement activities, and project monitoring and implementation. Dallas -Fort Worth Regional Transportation Plan: Mr. Bacon conducted model calibration, air quality analysis, and project evaluations for the Dallas -Ft. Worth regional transportation plan, Mobility 2020. Several departmental teams participated in the effort. Mr. Bacon's group focused on the speed feedback refinement process and the calibration of trip distribution model parameters. Trinity Parkway/Santa Fe Bypass MIS: Mr. Bacon was project manager for NCTCOG on this important major investment study near downtown Dallas, Texas. High occupancy vehicle lanes, reversible facilities, and toll roads were among the alternatives studied. Mr. Bacon was responsible for development of daily and peak hour subarea travel models for the major investment study. East/West Connector Feasibility Study: Mr. Bacon led the travel modeling and alternatives analysis efforts for a transportation corridor across the southern end of the Dallas -Ft. Worth International Airport. Several land use development scenarios were tested, including relocation of land -side airport facilities and rental car operations. Freeway and parkway alternatives were examined along with the integration of future rail operations serving the airport. PROJECT EXPERIENCE - AIR QUALITY PLANNING Mason Street New Starts Application: As part of the Mason Street Corridor study, LSA was retained by the City of Fort Collins to prepare an application for federal funding through the Federal Transit Administration's New Starts program. Mr. Bacon led the efforts to quantify mobility, air quality, and energy consumption benefits due to implementation of the five -mile bus rapid transit corridor through the heart of the City. Ozone precursors, greenhouse gases, and other criteria pollutant emissions were estimated for the report. Dallas -Fort Worth Air Quality Conformity Analysis: Mr. Bacon's air quality program management • responsibilities at NCTCOG included the air quality conformity analysis for the Dallas -Fort Worth region's transportation plan and improvement program; coordination and development of transportation control measures to meet State Implementation Plan requirements; development of mobile source emission inventories; the alternative fuels program; and the ozone alert program. He also coordinated efforts with the State air pollution control commission to develop and apply the Urban Airshed Model for regulatory and planning purposes. Much of this work required the application of EPA's Mobile Emission Factor Model. MIN ZHOU, P.E. ASSISTANT PROJECT MANAGER/ TRANSPORTATION ENGINEER EXPERTISE Travel Demand Modeling Traffic Operation and Simulation Transportation Design and Engineering PROFESSIONAL REGISTRATION Professional Engineer, Michigan, 1997 (Registration No. 6201043159) Professional Engineer, Massachusetts, 1998 EDUCATION M.S., Civil Engineering, Michigan State University, 1993. M.S., Urban Design and Planning, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China, 1989. B.S., Urban Design and Planning, Tongji University, Shanghai, China, 1986. PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE Assistant Project Manager/Transportation Engineer, LSA Associates, Inc., 2002 Senior Transportation Engineer, Vanasse Hangen Brustlin, Inc. Watertown, Massachusetts, 2002. Senior Software Engineer, Boston, Massachusetts, 2000 — 2002. Transportation Planner/Engineer, Louis Berger & Associates, Needham, Massachusetts, 1998 — 2000. Transportation Engineer, Vollmer Associates, Boston, Massachusetts, 1997 — 1998. Civil Engineer, Michigan Department of Transportation, Lansing, Michigan, 1993 — 1997. Research Assistant, Civil Engineering Department, E. Lansing, Michigan, 1992 — 1994. Instructor, School of Architecture, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China, 1989 — 1992. PRINCIPAL PROFESSIONAL RESPONSIBILITIES Ms. Zhou is a transportation engineer/planner with ten years of experience in transportation planning and traffic engineering for both public agencies and private consultant companies. Her experiences include travel demand modeling, traffic operation and simulation, highway design and engineering, and air quality services. Her expertise also includes GIS, database management, and software programming. As a technical assistant to MassHighway at Louis Berger & Associates, Ms. Zhou developed travel demand modeling guidelines and conducted TransCAD modeling processes for all 13 planning regions of Massachusetts. The tasks include the following: • Developed methodologies for trip generation by applying NCHRP cross -classification method. - - Built TAZ structures and databases in TransCAD. • Converted highway network from MassGIS system into TransCAD link geography. LSA OCIATE3, INC. MIN ZHOU PAGE 2 • Developed external to external trip estimation methodologies. • Wrote programs in GISDK for performing data manipulation, geographic modification, and customizing editing tools. • Provided guidelines for model calibration and validation procedures. Ms. Zhou was responsible for refining and calibrating regional models for three individual regions of Massachusetts — Cape Cod Commission, Berkshire County, and MVPC — to assist various transportation projects. More specifically, she conducted selected link analysis and evaluated various land -use development scenarios and highway network alternatives that address mobility and transportation needs in the regions. Ms. Zhou participated in the Texas Statewide Analysis Models project, which included building the regional traffic analysis zone structure, developing circulation networks in TransCAD for highway, railway, marine, and airport facilities, assembling databases, and conducting four -step planning and traffic forecasting. While working for Vollmer Associates, Ms. Zhou performed traffic operations studies for Logan Airport construction traffic. Due to the complexities of Logan Airport traffic, Ms. Zhou took an innovative approach: She developed several dynamic computer models using spreadsheet applications to capture future development scenarios and conducted shock wave analyses, weave analyses, and doublettriple curbside parking modeling. She also introduced CORSIM micro simulation models to the Massport Authority for use in systematized modeling. At the Michigan Department of Transportation, Ms. Zhou was responsible for the US-12 Reconstruction Design project in the City of Wayne, Michigan. As the design engineer, she developed and checked road plans in all phases of the design process. She determined the initial geometric layout of horizontal and vertical alignments and developed roadway cross -sections by using Igrds and Microstation. She conducted analysis for drainage and underground utilities using the BAM program for pay item cost calculations, and conducted field reviews and pickup surveys to determine problems and impacts. Ms. Zhou participated in the Rhode Island Air Quality Conformity Analysis and the Portland to Brunswick Passenger Rail Environmental Assessment. She conducted regional mesoscale and hot spot microscale air quality analyses for the projects. She wrote tools in VB program in order to convert Mobiles output to the Excel spreadsheet format. Ms. Zhou participated in several FHWA granted accident research projects as a research assistant in the Department of Civil Engineering, Michigan State University. She performed Michigan statewide traffic accident and statewide driver's license data analyses in SPSS and Mainframe systems. PUBLICATIONS Zhou, Min and Lyles, Richard W. "Some Insight into the Mobility Patterns of The Next Generation of Older People," paper presented at the Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting, Washington, D.C., 1997, and accepted for publication in The Transportation Research Record series. Zhou, Min and Sisiopiku, Virginia. "On the Relationship between Accident Rates and the Volume/Capacity Ratio," paper presented at the Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting, Washington, D.C., 1997, and accepted for publication in The Transportation Research Record series. SEAN P. McATEE TRANSPORTATION PLANNER/ENGINEER EXPERTISE Transportation Planning Transportation Demand Modeling PROFESSIONAL REGISTRATION Engineer in Training (EIT), 2002 EDUCATION Colorado State University, B.S., Civil Engineering, Magna Cum Laude, 2002 PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE Transportation Planner/Engineer, LSA Associates, Inc., Fort Collins, Colorado, 2001—present PROFESSIONAL ASSOCIATIONS American Society of Civil Engineers Chi Epsilon Civil Engineering Honor Society PRINCIPAL PROFESSIONAL RESPONSIBILITIES PROJECT EXPERIENCE Boulder Transportation Master Plan Update: A preliminary TransCAD model, based on a Minutp model, has been created for the Denver Regional Council of Governments (DRCOG) by the TransCAD developer, Caliper Corporation. It covers the entire Denver Metropolitan Area. Mr. McAtee has reviewed and adapted this preliminary model into a working tool for use in the Transportation Master Plan (TMP) Update for the City of Boulder. Adoption of this model consisted of adding detail to the street network and TAZ layer in the vicinity of Boulder, and implementing updates to the socioeconomic data used in the simulation. A customized mode split algorithm was developed to account for TDM and transit improvements, and replaced the mode choice process used in the regional model. Review of the preliminary TransCAD script included the identification and repair of several algorithms and the scripting of additional modules. To ensure consistency between regional and local model results, an automated performance report was created to summarize important input and output data, as well as to compare model results to observed ground counts. This report was developed to summarize both the regional Minutp model and the Boulder TransCAD model. Consistency, ease of use, and economy of scale are all important factors in this work effort. City of Lawrence —Douglas County, Kansas, Long -Range Transportation Plan: LSA has recently assisted the City of Lawrence with the development of the Lawrence/Douglas County 2025 Long -Range Transportation Plan. In order to efficiently analyze and graphically display output from the Lawrence QRSII model maintained by KDOT, Mr. McAfee has developed a post -processing procedure using TransCAD and Microsoft Excel. This procedure consists of developing interfaces using GISDK in TransCAD and Microsoft Visual Basic in Excel. This automated post -processing procedure includes link -specific level -of -service analysis, air quality analysis, and IBAASSOCIATES. INC. SEAM M�TEE PACE system -wide analysis, and is efficient enough to be used to easily evaluate, summarize, and compare multiple model runs demonstrating the effects of various alternative projects. Longmont Area Comprehensive Plan: LSA is working with the city's Minutp model to examine issues and develop the transportation component of Longmont's Comprehensive Plan. Mr. McAtee is developing an algorithm to read in model results, and conversion of the model to TransCAD is being investigated as part of this effort. This work effort will address issues concerning growth outside of the modeled area, intersection level of service, and coordination of results with other local jurisdictions. Mason Street FTA New Start Application: As part of an LSA work effort for the City of Fort Collins, Colorado, Mr. McAtee performed an air quality analysis for the Mason Street Federal Transit Administration New Start Application that evaluated the impacts of various methods of implementation based on TransCAD, MOBILE, and PART model output. In addition, he assisted with the interpretation of model transit ridership and performance results. City of Lincoln —Lancaster County, Nebraska, Long -Range Transportation Plan: LSA has recently assisted the Lincoln —Lancaster County Planning Department with the development of the region's Long -Range Transportation Plan for this area of approximately 240,000 residents. This effort is being conducted in conjunction with the preparation of the Comprehensive Plan in which the inter -relationship between land use and transportation impacts is considered through an iterative conceptual analysis. Mr. McAtee has been responsible for maintaining, running, and post -processing the TP+ traffic model at LSA. This has included modification of current -year networks to create future -year alternative networks, evaluation of model results to determine their validity, air quality analysis, level -of -service analysis and system -wide alternatives analysis. Additionally, Mr. McAtee converted TP+ model output to a format compatible with TransCAD for use at LSA and ArcView GIS for use by the City of Lincoln. Fort Collins Model Improvement Program: Plots of model inputs and results were prepared by Mr. McAtee to aid a City of Fort Collins, Colorado, model review process. Lake Elsinore Road Fee Program: Mr. McAtee has adjusted and reviewed the TransCAD travel demand model that was developed by LSA for the City of Lake Elsinore, California. Mr. McAtee also assisted in the creation of a turn movement module to interface between TransCAD and Synchro using NCHRP 255 procedures. LSA ASSOCIATES. INC. Ms. Suzette Thieman August 22, 2002 ' Page 3 The CD attached to the back cover of this proposal contains some of our prior presentations and highlights our model development, application, and enhancement capabilities, especially within the TransCAD environment. Thank you for the opportunity to present this proposal. We would welcome the opportunity to work with you on this exciting and challenging project. We look forward to discussing our proposal and your requests in detail. If you have any questions, please do not hesitate to contact US. Sincerely, L/rSAAA Associates, Inc. � Ray A. oe ' Principal Everett Senior Manager NOTICE OVERSIZED DOCUMENT DESCRIPTION: CDROM WINNING VENDOR PROPOSAL MATERIALS ARCHIVE LOCATION: P-856 TRAVEL DEMAND MODELING TECHNICAL SUPPORT IDENTIFIED AS: RFP/BID#: P856 FILE NAME: TRAVEL DEMAND MODELING TECHNICAL SUPPORT WHAT: PROPOSAL Materials submitted on CD Rom VENDOR: LSA ASSOCIATES: Winning Vendor No Text Tips, Trips, and Traps of Amy TransCAD Modeling LSA Associates, Inc. September 2001 North Carolina MPO Conference Why Model? , m Why do we model the transportation network? The History of Travel Forecasting 'nla� Aggregate Models 50zs Few zones Major highway planning only Computers available to large agencies 60FS Computer chip technology advances a.0 Federal government sponsorship 70's Travel behavior surveys widespread Basic transit capability 80's Shift to microcomputers More zones 90'S Detailed transit and HOV models Windows - as. 0015 More discggregation and detail GIS-basetl models Microsimulation L S A Ig Agenda . Why Model? • Why Jurisdictions Convert to TransCAD? • The Transportation Model • GIS Developer's Kit • Applications LSA Why Model? . To consider the effects of land use, transportation, and air quality . To determine infrastructure needs, costs, and timing as growth occurs . To analyze land use and transportation alternatives . To provide a consistent platform for travel forecasting . Required by the federal government for metropolitan areas LSA Why Jurisdictions Convert to TransCAD? Why are agencies converting their travel models to TransCAD? Why Convert? e Some widely -used older modeling • Graphics' • Memory • GIS • Network size • Number of TAZs Geographic Information Systems • A GIS-based transportation model • Compatible with other GIS tools • Spatial Analysis ArcView T,.nsCAD Shape Files •.dbd Files LSA LSA o The Transportation Model is What is involved with a travel demand model? Aj Why TransCAD? 7[p1 • A powerful modeling software that can enhance the modeling process • Windows -based menus that are intuitive to manipulate • A GIS software with transportation modeling capabilities • No internal size limitations • Scenario manager for easy file management • Ability to easily analyze intermediate results • Mapping and visualization tools designed for GIs and transportation applications • TIP: Choose a powerful computer! LSA ,i Modeling Process saei..o.nomin TnP Gm.miion Her manYlnpd Dm. R—dmy Tnp Di.Mburun WF.n will mw eei irenail Mad.An.N.i. whal mad.l N.Mah A..i,nm.m AfaiOnm.n1 whet nui.i R..d—, P.rlorm T—H IdmNir m.L V.I— R,p �• Rid.nhip /.Mwenrw an.1,i. LSA Trarl Inputs . Easy to understand file structure . No restrictions on file names, locations, etc. . File names are easy to change in the model structure with the scenario manager, created in GISDK Data and Databases . Geographic data . Network data . Attribute data . TransCAD model data . Socioeconomic data . US Census data . Jurisdictional boundaries . Zip codes . Railroads . Water Features . Tiger Streets Files L S A LSA TransCAD Outputs 1 . Checking intermediate modeling results is easy in TransCAD . Identifying results from an individual project area allows detailed study of the project . Performance module allows consistent reporting of results L S A Networks a.. . Networks are GIS databases . Conflation to GIS distances and shapes . Foundation for traffic counts, performance, transit, and any other data . Multi -year network capability . TIP: Keep raw count data and adjustments in traffic count database 17 LSA Networks aat. sites;i;i Roadway SystmtworksPerformanceTime of Day Volumes 1e — L 5 A Socioeconomic Data ltp�l . Interface with popular GIS platforms . Land use to socioeconomic conversion using TransCAD's GIS tools . Visual representation of land use and socioeconomic data . TAZ coverage provides foundation for area - based data and is easily modified . TIP: Socioeconomic sub -model can use a Fratar process coded in GISDK 22 ---- L 5 A Traffic Analysis Zone Data =mI . Zonal areas used in modeling trips . Ability to incorporate census data . Used for summaries and reports . Used for visually verifying data 21 ---_ L S A Socioeconomic Data and TAZ Structure d Pl 2020 omic Socioeconomic Data zY GIS TAZ K Factors Structure Area based Indexes Terminal Penalties Is L 5 A i. Trip Generation 11 . Incorporate land use data . Detailed trip purposes . Distance -based allocation models . Special generators • Universities . Hospitals . Amusement parks . Event centers . Malls . Government installations 26 LSA I Trip Distribution • TIP: Geocode survey data In house to determine trip lengths • Desire lines between TAZs and districts • TRIP: GISDK standard gravity evaluation procedure does not correctly apply K factors in version 3.6 • Friction factors - calibrated curves versus lookup table LSA JL Trip Generation . Robust cross classification production model . Unlimited trip purposes . Production allocation and attraction allocation models . TIP: Include all modeling steps in TransCAD using GISDK, without compromising model structure. This ensures a full running model from start to finish. AMode Analysis . Customized nested logic and multinomial logic models . TIP: Don't be limited to standard TransCAD procedures, create exactly what you want with GISDK . Distance -based bike and pedestrian equations LSA LSA Nested Logit Structure Now MkIN 30 -m.m--- L SA TransCAD Transit M Capabilities . Walk access vs drive access m Unlimited number of modes . Unlimited number of variables m Stops dependent upon individual routes 32 LSA Validation ��nrm . Screenlines — GIS line layer created quickly . TRIP: One way links confuse the built-in screenline analysis functions n< __._ - L S A Traffic Assignment ,mimes . Time of day . User defined volume -delay equations . Speed post -processing . Speed feedback . AM peak — congested speeds . Off peak — freeflow speeds . All or nothing, capacity constrained assignments with comparison LSA Transit Assignment �'J . Transit boardings by stop, by route, or by mode . Drive or walk access assignment . Transit flows by link . Transit line volumes 33 LSA 36 Model Conversion Process . TRIP: The base converted Mad.l model is not ready to go! • TIP: Develop performance.1 LSA.mion or ! reporting capabilities m early. f flation and ACalilraffil • TRIP: TransCAD uses pliwtion different distances — this may affect model results. €ncam.nh ° • TRIP: Need to adjust for sofiware differences. Validation TransCAD Scripting Its Capability • GISDK is the TransCAD programming language • Allows for complete automation of the modeling process unique to each model • Eliminates user error by programming all steps and variables in a model run • Similar to programming in C++ (with different syntax and commands) • Use the programming editor of your choice to create and edit the GISDK script • TIP: Boxer Software is a good (and inexpensive) programming editor — L S A 39 GIS Developer's Kit The endless possibilities with the TransCAD programming language • The dialog boxes run the whole mot • Reduce errors by eliminating point/click/type commands • GISDK is the key to programming the model LSA GIS Developer's Kit (GISDK) ,fit • Program exactly what want TransCAD to do • Allows for any mathematically sound method or procedure • Not confined to standard TramCAD procedures • Full dialog box customization LSA ,-ie Performance Module LSA Applications t TransCAD applications for the transportation planning and analysis process At Performance Reporting �m The possibilities available for performance reporting Summary Reports ,ica The summaries are customized using GISDK and summarize the model data in many ways, including... • Facility Type and Area Type • Capociy Analysis • Congestion Delay . Air Quality Emissions Results LSA • • Use • • TAZ Overlay Land Use Map "C ills Land '.lsa TAZ Map ■Us. and r, .:,... w .... My�4os- gr dr s g7ST Ta'1 FIRM EXPERIENCE LSA Associates, Inc. LSA Associates, Inc. is a diversified environmental, transpor- tation, and community planning consulting firm. LSA staff offers expertise in transportation planning and modeling, environmental planning and science, community and land use planning, landscape architecture, and GIs. LSA is recognized as an innovator in the fields of comprehensive multimodal transportation planning and corridor planning with emphasis on transportation model development and applications. We have developed a reputation among clients and peers as being thorough, innovative, and objective. Since it's founding in 1975, LSA has grown from a few LSA divisions Include: • Transportation Services • Environmental Analysis • Air Quality and Noise • GIs • Archaeology and Paleontol- ogy • Natural Resources Manage ment • Community Planning • Landscape Architecture specialists to a full -service environmental and planning consulting firm. LSA currently employs more than 250 employees in six offices in Colorado and California. The firm is accustomed to both prime and subconsultant project roles. LSA has successfully managed numerous large comprehensive transportation projects with model development and application tasks as well as focused model development and applications projects. LSA's public sector clients include municipalities, state and federal agencies, and universities. The leadership of LSA is provided by its principals, who maintain significant involvement in all projects that LSA undertakes. This involvement ensures high quality standards, enhances communication between clients and LSA, and provides consistency and coordination between LSA offices. A final measure of LSA's ability to deliver projects will be confirmed by our references. We encourage you to ask our past and present clients about their satisfaction with our work and about LSA's track record for delivering products on time and within budget. Fort Collins, Colorado, Office LSA opened its newest office in Fort Collins, Colorado, in May 2000. Whereas our Fort Collins provides transportation services throughout the United States, our focus has been on the City of Fort Collins, the North Front Range and Colorado. Our expertise includes Transportation Planning, Transporta- tion Model Development and Applications, Multimodal Corridor Planning, Transportation Engineering, Land Use Planning, Air Quality and Noise, and GIs. Transportation Services Mobility is one of the major forces that have structured our present environment and that will shape future directions. Achieving the convenient movement of people is essential for maintain- ing a desirable quality of life and for accommodating future growth. With this goal as a guiding principle, LSA offers comprehensive transportation planning and preliminary engineering services. 0 z b 7 0 1 0 z H Z n i 1-25 Socioeconomic Data Analysis a� Yp 1 �1 1998: 2020 Drool' z, Lund U.. om A 48 _,_. _.�._...._� ... Magi l Asa::, \ Enn,�. LM�N►i ��!aT Rug j ON ■ ■!J ■1 man'.ii� wool.,�i� 1-25 Corridor Analysis �. . x I I Tl as t990D r 4o OO r Luna w. omn. 9 - SSA Colorado Springs Alternatives Analysis rm AL Traffic Impact Analysis �r s. Trip Dinribuion.fw_np oposed development L S n Site Selection / Geocoding M t� r a w�• ;.�d r. 56 LSA GIS-Based Transportation Improvement Programs Travel Sheds / Critical Link Analysis n�lv�xn • Identify users of a specific facility • Analysis for Adequate Community Facilities Ordinances and road fee programs 57 58 -- L 5 A 1 159 Transit Planning and Operations • Strategic transit planning • University transportation planning • Corridor planning • Market identification and productivity • Management and placement of capital assets Land Use / Transportation / I AL Air Quality :4 • Conceptual level analysis of LUTRAQ relationship • Comprehensive plan updates • Triggers — population vs. VMT growth • Air quality and emissions inventory . Stationary and mobile sources • On -road mobile emissions estimation • Mobila5 • Nonattainment area • Energy and fuel consumption L S A GIS-Based Inventories III■ ; ow --•�q r 1 ifip. - 14 Air Quality Analysis Ern . Link -based emissions . Zone -based emissions (i.e. cold starts, evaporate VOCS, etc.) . Air quality conformity determinations • Redesignation and classification issues • Integration with gridded urban airshed modeling • Integration with Mobile5 6� L S A Integrated Air Quality Modeling 63 ^^-------- L S A VISSIM Micro -Simulation LSA VISSIM Micro -Simulation LSA VISSIM Micro -Simulation 71 L S A Construction HorwWoth Rwd will Management be closed nqa at tracks for 4 days Modify signal timing in response to construction closures mom'; u �� ro 77 e L S A r Future TransCAD Applications . Interactive MPO Project Prioritization and Funding Allocations . Traffic Impact Studies: Cumulative improvements and impacts, time of day project distributions . FHWA TDM Model . Mixed Use Activity Center Trip Generation & Distribution . Bicycle Assignments . Transporta}ion Corridors . Pavement Management L 5 A Tips, Trips, and Traps of TransCAD Modeling Presented by LSA Associates, Inc. September 2001 North Carolina MPO Conference Fayetteville, INC AFt LSA Associates, Inc. 132 West Mountain Avenue Fort Collins, CO 80524 970.494.1568 Isa.ftcollins@lsa-ossoc.com Transporiallion Modeling Options for City Depairnents LSAAssociates, Inc. City of Fort Collins January 2001 o •Il• . 1,•10•l 7.. RM CeograPhicdola I�Nlat.rk dda Attribute data TronsCAID modal data S�c dab Zip cod� Rdirocids L S A . IMroduchons and Purpose . Trmsportcdicn Model S11 Model What is inwlvei with a trod demand remodel? Geographic Infonrwlion Systems . A GIS-based transportation model • Compatible with other GIS tools - . Spatial Analysis r.�cao Rles tbd Rks LSA. TransCAD Travel Demand Model Overview . Four -step process . Modal inputs . Modal results . Post processing and analysis LSA Routing and Shortest HD j ed wffl Path Applications � 8 t� a[ b.0 . FooWl gm fir 4 days FUror} s Cash chon cbsues Fleet nnnga*e t (e.9., srcu,Pbm) • •�. • Hamreous viosle • ErrergxLy r0gJ m— e e SSA Site Selection / Geocoding .-s TA M� . Fire shorans • School sites • Pork lcmhans4L'itr?a �hn[gim. Model How con TrcnsCAD hdp YOUR depatrTent? DeMopment Review Adequate Public Fadlitiw Ordinmce Traffic Impad Analysis Dia]vvlSWlhfwePvrr3• \ .'J;rpxtcfa Tana mg'/'� LSA '- Travel Sheds / Critical Link Analysis . Identify users of a specific fccaltty or intersec con ■CIA--ui.�L�:r'■4� `l■71 �t 911 ■ LSA Transit Planning and Operations . CSU Transportation Planning . Transfort Strategic Plan . Mason Street Mosier Pion . Market bantifimtion aril Produc" Pboaren of fCcptat ASSets LSA Land Use Data Conversion _ f¢tursfor coP@ r 32 � mi� Apply fmbrs b x d 5-33 ,y, onkmiand _ regional land u� ipm for emhTAZ 50 . R.. e:finde; . Trm pltallm pm rsRnd� SA Land Use / Transportation / Air Quality . Conce" level analysis of LUTRAQ relationship . City Pam updates . Triggers - population vs. VMT growth . Air quality and emissions inventory . $lad m lionarYonobile sound . on-rOQj mobile emissions estimation Mobiles . Nanotlairnenf area . Energy and fuel consumption LSA Colorado Springs 0 AMematives Analysis SSA Air Quality Analysis . Link-basedemissions . Zone -based emissions (i.e. ood starts, ecporateVOCs, etc.) . Air qualityconformityclatermincrions . Recesignation and classification issues . Integration with gridded urban airshsd mailing . Integration with Mobile5 Addrtionai Applications sia . Ccpltal Improvement Programs . Mosier Street Plan . Bicycle Facilities Planning . Intersection Anoysis and Animation . Pavement Monagernent S,n S p,. LSA has provided transportation services to government agencies and private industry throughout the United States. We have applied our expertise to planning of major regional and interstate highways, projecting future community -wide traffic improvements, and identifying solutions to neighbor- hood traffic impacts. The staff at LSA is committed to finding positive solutions to mobility issues that are sensitive to the community and local environment. LSA applies the proper level of transportation technology to match the needs of the proposed project. We use traffic modeling to forecast future traffic growth or use the latest computerized quantitative applications for transportation planning, design, and preliminary engineering. We use customized applications in cases where standard traffic modeling is not appropriate. • LSA staff pays special attention to the interpretation and presentation of highly technical analyses in a manner that is easily understandable and meaningful for decision makers and the public. We have a reputation for taking the complex and confusing and presenting it without the jargon that often prohibits mutual understanding of the problems and possible solutions. Travel Model Development using TransCAD Services include: • Transportation model development and applica- tions • Transportation corridor' studies • Multimodai transportation studies • Land Use, Transportation and Air Quality (LUTRAQ) Studies • Micro Simulation • Parking supply/demand studies • Traffic impact studies • Regional{wmmunity trans- portation plans • Roadway and intersection design, including modern roundabouts' • Signal timing and progres- sion analysis' • Bicycle and pedestrian plans • Roadway funding and cost` sharing The LSA Fort Collins staff have been developing and updating travel demand models using Caliper's TransCAD software since the doors opened in May 2000. In fact, our experience with TransCAD goes all the way back to its original procurement for use in the state of Colorado, an effort spearheaded by Ray Moe. Recent major projects include: • Mason Street Travel Model — From January to October 2000, Everett Bacon managed the model development and application efforts for the first TransCAD model in the state. This model covered the North Front Range and utilized the NFRT&AQPC's Mobility Report Card household data and information from a variety of other sources. Numerous enhancements were incorporated, including speed feedback, mode choice, cross -classified trip production model, additional trip purposes, and others. It eventually served as the basis for the official regional model. • Lake Elsinore Traffic Model — This land use based traffic model was developed and applied by LSA as part of a Road Fee development program. As a subarea model of the Southern California Association of Governments macro -scale travel model, it required regional consis- tency yet local specificity LSA conducted this TransCAD model development project from August 2000 to August 2001. • Boulder Valley Travel Model — Since January 2002, LSA has been developing and applying a travel demand model for the City of Boulder. This is the first application of the Denver Re- gional Council of Governments (DRCOG) TransCAD model. Sean McAfee of LSA updated the model from 1996 to a 2001 base year and thoroughly tested the model for accuracy and consistency. Boulder -specific socioeconomic data, trip rates, and travel patterns were incorpo- rated. Through this process, we have uncovered several concerns and inconsistencies that have been addressed in a coordinated effort with DRCOG and Boulder. In addition to these recent TransCAD efforts, LSA staff have several years of experience with model development activities in the local area and in nationwide settings. Many of these efforts include collection, processing, and applying travel behavior data through surveys and other means. A sample of these experiences include: U. s %i z a GIS-Based Capital Imixovement Programs VISSIM Animation L S A I S A Bicycle Facilities Planning R s SA LSA Associates, Inc. 132 West Mountain A� Fort Collins, CO 80524 970.494,1568 Iso.f 1col I ins @ I saasscc= Intersection Analysis _SA. Converting the North Front Range Model to TransCAD LSA Associates, Inc. Colorado Modal users Groip Meeting Al{ ist 2001 Model Conversion Process . The converted mods from Caper was not ready to got S . The model from, Calper was a basic x.r..rt �.rwib. f onromork and " starting point. Model Replication . Mi nic the steps and parameters used in the old model . Gives credibility to the TransCAD model and assures everyone of a sound model . Learn where the greatest reed of update/revision is in the medal ESA Agenda .Conversion . User Interfaces . Enhancements . Awbat ons LSA TransCAD Capabilities . Data oat be presented in easy to understand visual presentations . Dda is easy to verify visually . Land use and TAZ data mi be cariined to produce socioecono nic data . Interfox with other city and county functions . Ge000ding data LSA Model User Interface • The diobg boxes that run the whole model • Reduce errors by elimirwling point/dick/lype OUTTTIads • GISDK is the keyto progr irg the model Model Enhancements • Surveys / Dana Collection • Sa Tceoonornic Dda • Networks and Palhbuildirg • Trip Generation • Trip Distribution • Mock Arglysis • Traffic Assignment • Performace Reporting LSA. Model Enhancements • Improve the model to get better results • Change parameters to better utilize technology odvarcmients (iterations, convergerlce, etc.) • Incorporate new theories and procedtres LSA GIS Developer's Kit (GISDK) • Proarmnxxie xdy wtof we warted TronsCADtodo • Allowed for ony melhaiorpracedure thofwos rnlhencsoolly sound • Full cuslommeon of diabg bores • The Mason Street model script contained tained 8.500 lines LSA Survey Data Fi 1999 Vehicle Intercept Survey Postcards Distributed: 61,100 Postcards Returned: 19,600 (32%) Completed Surveys: 9,300 (15%) Data: O/D Patterns, Trip Purposes, Auto Occupancies LSA Survey Data 1999 CSU Special Generator Study Daily person T' to/from Main Campus Bike 11,600 Walk 18,000 Vehicles 55,000 Bus 4,000 Other 1,400 Total 90,000 Data: O/D Patterns, Trip Rat., Time -of -clay Factors, HBUNIV Trip Purpose Specification, Mode Shares LSA Survey Data 1998 Mobility Report Card Household Survey 1,100 Households surveyed 11,000 person Trips NI Mod.: auto, bus, Walk, bike Dam: Trip Rat., T rmof-day Directional Factors, Diurnal Distributions, Trip Purposes LSA. Survey Data �I 1999 CSU Special Generator Study CSU Main Campus Mode of Travel Employee Trips Student/Visitor Trips aw Modeling Process s..a.v VNma WM1m Nl h.r 77 rn A wn. man Y SA SA Survey Data =E 1999 Transfort Onboard Transit Survey Fort Collins Transit Trios a Hom.Work 16% • Home -School 66% • Home -Shop 9% 00 ® Other 14% Data: Mode Choice Modeling LSA 1998 Roadway Network . Conflaton to Actual _ r - Dlstaruces . Local Govemment Review T-I . Peak(Corgestec!)and Off-peak Speeds from - Flooling Car Survey Trip Generation • Productions Crosscossitied by Household Size ad li m • New Trip Purposes: . HBW • HBNW - HBUNIV, HBSHOP, HBOTHER • NHB-WBO.OBO • ProdrefianAllocoficn Models: HBUNIV and WBO Trips • Special Generators:Non-HBUNIV Trips for University locations and WBO Trips LSA Socioeconomic Data and TAZ Structure 34 9W 10Y0 saaa.<.n.ml sadeDot.aml c Dma Dot. Arw Type GIS TAZ Area eased 5fTDctere Ind. Pa nnarw Terminal arrd Air GY.Ilty Penalties -SA University Production Allocation 3 mmn..-na.ed alyarltnm LSA Socioeconomic Data ar T!g T A. TOTAL TOTAL LSA. Trip Distribution . Standard Gravity Model • No K-fwtorsl • Peak ad Off-peak , Spec'Ifoity added • Speed Feedback . AM Peak Period 4 Co Bested Speeds . Off-Pmk --> Free-fkry Speeds • F riction Factors - orJorated curves versus lookuptrble LSA 1998 Transit Route Structure . Bus Stop Detail 1 Bus Speed a function �- of auto speeds — SensMveto bowground nehw —rL Version 3.6: only one stop node per route Ilk mile 4 Circuity LSA * Park and Ride Coding LSA Alternative Modes . Mode Split Mode Choice . Bike onu p9destrion Fort Collins transit trips -clska trips LUsetl ag7&m HBW.HBUNIV- . Non -Fort Collins N.s Loalr� transit trips Cl s-B1r bl LogRrtrxbl LSO Div Ei■ �ii: Ei� f�ii b� 1998 Screenline Results I 11998 Validation Results I I performance Reporting Summary Reports l< the reports are wstomizedusirg GISDK Ord surrrrnrize the model dela in rrmy ways, inducing . . F.My Tyne cw A Tm . C�s oetry arswia Emissims Rewtts LSA SSA iJA Air Quality Analysis . Link -based emissions . Zone47ased emissions (i.e. cold starts, evaporate VOCs, etc.) . Air qualityoonformitydeterminations . Redesignationand classificatbnissues . Integration with gridded urban airshed nndeling . Integration with Mobile5 1Sh Post -Mason Opportunities N Niore efficient programming resulting in shorter mock-1 run times and smaller file sizes N Making the model easier to use N TransCAD 4.0 modeling Intersection / NOItlf55 Frm N.T. M nx 3D a.Y..a. aa.a.. LSA, LSA, Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance Traffic Impact Analysis . ova+va macro, eeeec.,en L5A LSA Associates, Inc. 132 West Mountain Avenue Fort Collins, CO 80524 970.494.1568 Iso.ftcollins@Isaasso .com Routing and Shortest H-vto-m Path Applications �1 Z . Footb�llgmres fw4days PoWes . Cmsrructbn closures . Fleet mUXQ.aertt(e.g.. mo pia s) . Ho rdcus vaste Emergency response LSA End of Friday's presentation LSA POATE rrp!!, innapoNtlon Me[ler Plan • 6:00 - 6:05 Welcome by Brant Liebmann • 6:05 -6:10 Introductory Context by Mayor Will Toor and Tracy Winfree • 6:10 - 6:15 Finish Survey Form • 6:15 - 7:00 PowerPoint Presentation • 7:00 - 7:30 Q&A s »•"rR • What is a model and how is it used in the Transportation Planning process? • Why model? • How does the model work? • How accurate is it? • What can the model really tell us and not tell us? • How does modeling help to address the 1996 Transportation Master Plan (TMP) objectives? ar TMIL ......, +�Inuuux�mt x�xun�mmpdn Objectives From Model? Maintain 1994 Vehicle Miles of Travel (VMT) yes Reduce Boulder residents'Single Occupant Vehicle SOV) Travel to 25% no Less than 20%of roadways congested yes * Improve Air Quality yes »T wwwxa.Maw.w. raa oo , „ 1so.00 S 100W +Tom or CO Daiy f e000 y Z00 e as oo +—Tom ar o PM10 2n Daiy 000 gPe19PO4` 10 e16+p A model is a mathematical representation of real world behavior for testing assumptions of future land use and transportation. NOW MOW • How is the transportation system used? • How does the transportation system work? • How does the transportation system fit in the community? • Safety • Quality of lifeZW „. • Historical Growth/Trend Analysis • Intuitive - Indicator Method • Manual/Spreadsheets - Generate - Distribute -Assign • Four Step Models • data development and calibration efforts associated with the development of the Lawrence, Kansas Travel Demand Model • review and testing of the Lincoln, Nebraska Regional Travel Model • socioeconomic data preparation and validation for the Laramie, Wyoming traffic model • collecting, analyzing, and preparing data through the 1999 travel surveys (e.g., CSU special generator study, Mason/College O-D survey, Transfort On -Board transit survey) in Fort Collins • several development and calibration projects associated with the DRCOG/RTD joint travel model for the Denver region • several years of experience developing, calibrating, and applying the Dallas -Fort Worth Re- gional Travel Model To augment these experiences, LSA has prepared and presented several workshops titles "Tips, Trips, and Traps of TransCAD" for audiences throughout Colorado and in other areas nationally. 0 n 0 z O c n 0 0 z 6 J • Play "What -if...?" • Consistency • Evaluation of multi -modal options • Required for Federal Funding • Land use, transportation, and air quality relationships • Considers all trips to, through, from, and within the Boulder Valley 1'lYlivL. 16I8!181NI1a!t !!I!Hg9#!I!N&p I Hai rteryo o —.................- ........ P~. T. l : y Vd— R1. RNxYp AlMnetivs :...._... .. : mfryyf 'I1VM,L. tAl1NI1i!ii!i!IdiI NNXd A n_ What Is It? Population, Households, & Employment *U.S. Census Where does .State EmploymentrFax Records the data come fromT •Parcel/Zonin /Permit Data g *Future: Jobs/Population Study How is it • aggregated into Traffic Analysis represented Zones (TAZs) with greater detail in In the Boulder ; model? • used to generate travel demand s • Who travels? • Why do they travel? • How much do they travel? • Where do they go? • How do they get there? • When do they travel? • What route do they take? 1G INftYflOiY!!b • Travel survey data • Distance • Roadway Capacity • Travel time/Speed Home •ActivityE Work Other • Household Size and Income 3 What is it? I Roadway and transit networks Where does *Aerial photography the data come *City and regional plans from? .Departmental inventodes/maps How Is it .Links and nodes represented in the model? 'Increased detail in Boulder • Regional - Household Survey (1997) - On -board Transit Survey (1997) - Commercial Vehicle Survey (1998/99) - External Station/Cordon Survey (1998) • Boulder - Travel Diary Study (2000) - Transportation Survey of Residents (1999) A - Employee Use Survey (1999) sNow Is a good time to update the Boulder Modell ae ,I n'0 R@_'tIf Trip Types (PM Peak Period) s.I��vrt, TMP�w �peeL��{;y;�;��:349111IiIUIflflflaatlpn i -41— T-MPa m rm nroaim:elani rie¢ai • Trip -making based on Household and Employment data - Generally, households produce trips - Generally, employment locations attract trips • Boulder Residents: about 6 trips per person per day A 2 ' °� b 1+FC n,,-� t ✓� I II I �I �I UJ�II�IJIIUIU�Illlll�t IM Boulder residents: about 27 miles/day TMPL. .^.19i!!i!itV!IOi MtKKNH!N! • Determines travel routes by minimizing travel time • Statistical analysis that ensures the model replicates current, observed conditions (e.g., traffic counts). • A model must first be validated to current conditions before it can be used to forecast future travel. TMUP.,r 1{t!.t:lel{t{4ii!{iU!h!�Cf!BttYfIPBPPoXR Mode of Travel by Boulder Residents LaryoW 81nBM V.nPccl o..uP.nt sax V.hl.M MM W.Jk au. !'�hEr sax M BlcycN f0% �'Sffi. Saw. mwm mYOYYPMM. ]wl Travel by time -of -day Some communities: • Don't invest in modeling resources and maintenance • Try to answer the wrong questions with a model • Have a "good" model that is not supported with good data • Don't include enough detail in the model • Have modals with unreliable forecasts •Rely too much on the model's numbers 5 • Traffic counts vary 10-20% • Dependent on Socioeconomic Data input • We don't model everything • We don't know what it will really be like In 25 years Conclusion: • Model can estimate general travel characteristics • Model will not answer how much travel will be in front of my house In 25 years sa • Model requires interpretation 11YlPL pnpl ®MUII��. I V49I4itVllCi' tiU9:FY88t58Vd . III({n j A swpN c•{•nd {I:' wnarame balance? Motl•I TrMlc Current Future • Vehicle Miles of Travel (VHT) at Vehicle Hours of Travel (VHT) • Average Travel Speeds • Congestion Delay • Transit Ridership/Mode Split • Transit/Auto Travel Times ro TMP.. .� �t!ixin!3reex:siw m,000,ouu s,000,000 ! 7000,OW spy�p f a,oaaAaa ®E.f 3 5,000,000 00 fa,000,000 3 0,000,000 :,aoo,00u i.aao,000 a^. o aa� _Foci Foci,. so ON a�i ra� aii rah fa� El 0 VA PENN • Modeling • Intersection Turn Movement Foreci • Synchro • Sim Traffic o o ASSIGNED PERSONNEL vm We have assembled a team of talented professionals to work closely with the North Front Range Transportation and Air Quality Planning Council (NFR MPO) staff to update and calibrate the 2000 base year regional travel model. Everett Bacon and Sean McAtee will be the primary LSA staff working closely with the MPO's Planning Manager, Suzette Thieman, and their modeling specialist, Andy Gomez. Assisting on an as -needed basis, Ray Moe will be available for consultation on regional planning and model coordination issues. Min Zhou of LSA's Irvine office can provide specific assistance in regards to interfacing land use and transportation models. Other staff at LSA are available to assist on an as -needed basis for topics including geographical information systems, traffic operations, graphics, and documentation. In addition to our own staff, LSA has identified Steve Mullen of CommunityViz. Mr. Mullen is a recognized expert in developing applications for this innovative land use and policy simulator. While not directly included in the project's scope, his availability for this project provides the NFR MPO with a conduit for utilizing his expertise. LSA proposes a project management team that would meet regularly throughout this process to review ongoing results and to discuss modeling direction and options, task responsibilities, deliverables, and schedules. This team would include Andy Gomez, Suzette Thieman, Sean McAtee, and Everett Bacon. Each of their roles and involvement may fluctuate as the project proceeds. LSA proposes Everett Bacon to serve as Project Manager for the consultant team. He will be responsible for coordinating tasks with Suzette and Andy. More specifically, he will review the existing model algorithms and data availability; suggest direction on model and data develop- ment work efforts; review results and work products; and prepare written technical information for the model's documentation. Sean McAtee will work closely with Everett, Andy, and Suzette to add value to the deliverables and final model software product. He will apply his specific expertise with TransCAD scripting and customization throughout the model's development. In addition, Sean is extremely profi- cient with data preparation and analysis using TransCAD's complex GIS and matrix functions. Min Zhou's expertise with TransCAD's operations and interfacing of land use and travel demand models will be available as well. Organizational Chart Local Governments/ Technical Advisory Committee Ray Moe LSA Managing Principal/ Project Advisor Suzette Thieman Andy Gomez NFRMPO " NFRMPO - Planning Manager Planning Specialist Sean McAfee Transportation Planner/TransCAD Specialist Everett Bacon LSA Project Manager Min Zhou, P.E. Transportation Engineer/Travel Model Specialist Steve Mullen Community VIS 11 Everett Bacon—LSA Project Manager Mr. Bacon is a senior transportation planner with 12 years of experience in transportation model development and applications, regional transportation planning and air quality analysis, including service with the Denver Regional Council of Governments and North Central Texas Council of Governments. Mr. Bacon conducted the initial assessment of the North Front Range Minutp model and was the architect of the current City of Fort Collins Transportation Model. He is currently Project Manager of the Boulder Transportation Model update and the Longmont Model. This Boulder Model will be the first inte- grated TransCAD utilizing the DRCOG TransCAD model. Mr. Bacon has recently managed two major comprehensive plans for the City of Lincoln, Nebraska and Lawrence, Kansas in which extensive modeling was conducted and integrated with TransCAD for evaluation and presentations. Mr. Bacon is uniquely qualified in that he has a strong under- standing of subarea model development and their consistency with regional models, and model applications. He also has LUTRAQ understanding and has integrated transportation modeling with land use allocation models, and modeling of mobile source emissions. Mr. Bacon is also a member of the City of Fort Collins Air Quality Board. Ray Moe —Managing Principal/Project Advisor Mr. Moe has 30 years of professional experience in regional and comprehensive transportation planning, transportation site design, comprehensive plans, and corridor and bypass studies. He has over 27 years of experience in transportation modeling, from FHWA PlanPac, Urban Transportation Planning Software (UTPS), MINUTP, Tranplan, TransCAD, and TP+. He has directed major regional transportation and corridor studies, and regional land use/transpor- tation planning efforts based on transportation models developed for the project or model applications from existing models. Mr. Moe is recognized for innovative applications of transportation modeling and the big picture of how models are to be used and presented to decision makers. Mr. Moe promotes the open architecture of transportation model development and has directed model integration with a wide range of input and output software including the integration with Arc View CIS land use/ socio-economic input models, and Synchro/Sim Traffic output modeling. He has also assisted in the outlining of performance reports and graphic presentation of model output for public presenta- tions. Mr. Moe has been a member of the City of Fort Collins since 1995. Sean R McAtee—Transportation Planner/TransCAD Specialist Mr. McAtee has expertise in transportation planning and computer modeling, including the use of state -of- the -art computer modeling software. Sean is skilled in the operation of TransCAD transportation CIS software and has strong capabilities in using the four -step transportation modeling process. He also has experience with TP+, Minutp and QRSII transportation demand modeling software, as well as MOBILE and PART emissions modeling software. He is an expert in GISDK, the TransCAD programming language, and Microsoft Visual Basic, the programming language used for creation of macros in MS Office applications. Through use of scripting, Mr. McAtee is skilled in developing automated processes that provide the end user with a straightforward interface and reliable results. He is also skilled at summarizing and presenting information for public interpretation, and has experience in converting model output to formats that can be easily read into TransCAD and Arc View GIS for improved quality of presentation. His projects utilize several computer applications whose results were interfaced with TransCAD and Arc View GIS software for exceptional presen- tation capabilities. Mr. McAtee is currently developing the Boulder Model and the Longmont Ll