Loading...
HomeMy WebLinkAboutHARMONY VILLAGE - PRELIMINARY PUD - LDGS - 65-93C - SUBMITTAL DOCUMENTS - ROUND 1 - Traffic Study r r HARMONY VILLAGE TRANSPORTATION IMPACT STUDY PORT COLLINS, COLORADO APRIL 1998 Prepared for: Dial Companies 11506 Nicholas, Suite 200 Omaho, NE 68154 Prepared by: MAT'I'l1f7W J. 1)17I.IC11, P.P.JRI1'I'Il It0I,i.1NS, P.E. 2272 Glcn I lawn Drive Loveland, CO 80538 Phone: 970-669-2061 PAX: 970-669-5034 TABLE OF CONTENTS 23-W 1. Introduction ............................................................................................... 1 II. Existing Conditions.................................................................................... 5 LandUse ................................................................................................... 5 Roads ........................................................................................................ 5 Existing Motor Vehicle Traffic ..................................................................... 6 Existing Motor Vehicle Operation ................................................................ 6 Pedestrian Facilities ................................................................................... 6 BicycleFacilities ......................................................................................... 9 TransitFacilities ......................................................................................... 9 III Future Background Traffic Projections ........................................................ 10 Background Traffic Year 2002 .................................................................... 10 Background Traffic Year 2015 .................................................................... 10 IV. Project Traffic Projections ........................................................................... 13 ProjectDescription ...................................................................................... 13 TripGeneration ........................................................................................... 13 TripDistribution ........................................................................................... 15 TripAssignment .......................................................................................... 15 V. Future Total Traffic Projections ................................................................... 18 Total Traffic Year 2002 ............................................................................... 18 Total Traffic Year 2015 ............................................................................... 18 Vl. Traffic Impact Analysis ................................................................................ 21 Traffic Analysis Year 2002 .......................................................................... 21 Traffic Analysis Year 2015 .......................................................................... 21 Spacing of Harmony/Timberline and Timberline/Main Entrance Intersections 26 Pedestrian Level of Service ......................................................................... 26 Bicycle Level of Service ............................................................................... 26 Transit Level of Service .............................................................................. 27 VI1. Neighborhood Transportation Analysis ......................................................... 28 LocalStreet Capacity ................................................................................... 28 Projected Daily Traffic Volumes ................................................................... 28 Vill. Conclusions ................................................................................................. 30 LIST OF TABLES Iabls~ Pace 1. Current Peak Hour Operation ..................................................................... 8 2. Trip Generation .......................................................................................... 14 3. Year 2002 Peak Hour Background Traffic Operation .................................. 22 4. Year 2002 Peak Hour Total Traffic Operation ............................................. 23 5. Year 2015 Peak Hour Background Traffic Operation .................................. 24 6. Year 2015 Peak Hour Total Traffic Operation ............................................. 25 LIST OF FIGURES Eiavm Rm 1. Site Location ............................................. ................................... 2 2. Site Plan ....................................................................................... 3 3. Recent Peak Hour Traffic ......................................................... ... 7 4, Background Traffic Year 2002 ...................................................... 11 5. Background Traffic Year 2015 ...................................................... 12 6. Trip Distribution ............................................................................ 16 7. Site Generated Peak Hour Traffic ................................................. 17 & Total Traffic Year 2002 ................................................................. 19 9. Total Traffic Year 2015 ................................................................. 20 APPENDIX A Recent Peak Hour Traffic B Current Peak Hour Operation C Description of Level of Service D Year 2002 Background Traffic Analyses E Year 2002 Total Traffic Analyses F Year 2015 Background Traffic Analyses G Year 2015 Total Traffic Analyses H Morning Peak Hour Data I Left-turn Lane Analysis J Pedestrian and Bicycle Level of Service I. INTRODUCTION This transportation impact study addresses the transportation system near the proposed Harmony Village project at the intersection of Harmony Road and Timberline Road in Fort Collins, Colorado. The location of the project site is provided on Figure 1. The proposed Harmony Village is a mixture of the following uses: 14 plex movie theater, retail, restaurants, gas/convenience/car wash, drug store, and assisted living. A site plan of the proposed project is illustrated on Figure 2. The parameters of the transportation study were determined during a scoping meeting with City staff during October, 1997. The transportation analysis will address potential vehicular impacts upon the roadway system, the pedestrian network surrounding the study area, the bicycle system, and the availability of transit facilities. Traffic projections will be prepared for the future Years 2002 and 2015. The following intersections were identified to be included in the transportation study: - Harmony Road and Timberline Road; - Harmony Road and Access Drive A(to existing warehouse directly west of the site); - Timberline Road and the Main Entrance to the project site; - Timberline Road and two additional Access Drives. During the course of the analysis, numerous contacts were made with the project applicant, the planning consultant (VF Ripley Associates, Inc.), and the engineering consultant (JR Engineering). This study generally conforms to the format set forth in the Fort Collins Transportation Impact Study Guidelines. The study involved the following steps: - Collect physical, traffic, and development data; - Perform trip generation, trip distribution, and trip assignment; - Determine peak hour traffic volumes; - Conduct capacity and operational level of service analyses for all pertinent modes of transportation. This report is prepared for the following purposes: - Evaluate the existing transportation conditions; - Estimate the trip generation by the proposed/assumed developments; - Determine the trip distribution of site generated traffic; Evaluate level of service for all modes of transportation; Determine the geometrics at key intersections; Determine the impacts of site generated traffic at key intersections. Information used in this report was obtained from the City of Fort Collins, research sources (ITE, TRB, etc.), and field reconnaissance. The following traffic studies were reviewed and considered in preparing this study: - South Timberline Properties Site Access Study, September 1993; - Harmony School Shops Site Access Study, October 1995; - Willow Springs North, Site Access Study, January 1997; - North Front Range Regional Transportation Plan, October 1994; - Information from the consultants representing Poudre Valley Hospital, who are working on the proposed development directly east of the project site. 1 0 s � N HORSETOOTH ROAD a WARREN LAKE U 4 a HARMONY ROAD Uj Harmony cn Village o a a O a W j Z O U Q: W m M F COUNTY ROAD 36 PORTNER RES 1" = 2000' SITE LOCATION Figure 1 N NO 5CALE HARMONY ROAD , --------------- - I � I I Z I I oflIfIIIV I Mull EST DRUG I I # RETAIL i 01f111H}NIHINI�H�NH#�\ B + RETAIL � D�fHH1�1�+11�1H�1H-I�N11D� �-- I I {' 0+f11111�IfflHl�fl�lf♦Hi+�10 1a00 / RETAIL -------------------------- I -`-- MAIN-ENTRANC b i i � I THEATER L� f � i ; }y� FAST + I I FOOD I ------ �IIIIIII� O+H1f11fH�Hfl1+�11+1110 I v 1 mom of"Hi111NMM1111D I i �- ROCKPORT ASLLJ SIST T z I a w 0 z SITE PLAN Figure 2 A technical memorandum is being prepared for the project to address the access directly to Harmony Road. This memorandum presents an analysis of access options to/from Harmony Road for the proposed Harmony Village Project. The results of this analysis Indicate that a limited movement access would be beneficial to the surrounding roadway system in accommodating traffic to/from the Harmony Village site and the adjoining property directly west of the project site. The following traffic analysis assumes this limited access (a right-tum into and out of the site and a westbound left-turn into the site). 4 II. EXISTING CONDITIONS The location of the proposed Harmony Village is shown on Figures 1 and 2. It is important that a thorough understanding of the existing conditions be presented. Land Use Land uses in the area include residential areas, light industrial, retail, and undeveloped land. Directly to the north of the site is commercial, undeveloped property, and residential uses. East of the site is currently undeveloped; however, it is anticipated that this will be developed as medical offices, hospital, elderly housing, and other facilities related to Poudre Valley Hospital. Residential uses exist to the south of the site and this area is currently being developed with additional residential single family homes. West of the site is a commercial property which is occupied by warehouse and light industrial uses. West of the warehouse development is the Union Pacific Railroad. The topography within and surrounding the site is essentially flat. The center of Fort Collins is located northwest of the site. Roads The primary streets which will serve the proposed project within the study area are: Harmony Road, Timberline Road, Wilmington Drive (future roadway), and Delany Drive. Each of these roadways is described below. Harmony Road is a state highway which serves the southern areas of Fort Collins. This east/west major arterial currently accommodates four travel lanes and a wide grassy median. The speed limit is currently posted at 55 mph to the east of Timberline Road and 50 mph west of Timberline Road. The intersection of Harmony/Timberline is signalized. There is a full access intersection from Harmony Road to the warehouse use (located directly west of the project site). This location provides access to properties on both the north and south side of Harmony Road. It is anticipated that by Year 2015, Harmony Road would be widened to accommodate six travel lanes plus auxiliary lanes. Timberline Road is a north/south arterial street bordering the eastern side of the site. The cross section of Timberline Road varies within the study area: north of Harmony Road near Horsetooth, Timberline is four lanes with a center left-turn lane; Timberline narrows to a three lane facility, two northbound lanes and one southbound lane, with a center left-turn lane south of Lowe Street; directly north of Harmony, Timberline widens back to a four lane facility; south of Harmony, Timberline is a four lane roadway with a center left-turn lane; and it narrows to a two lane facility south of Battlecreek. The speed limit is posted at 40 mph. Wilmington Drive is a future north/south roadway which would connect directly to the southern areas of the project site. Currently, some sections of this roadway are under construction. This roadway is classified as a local street. Wilmington Drive will terminate at Battlecreek, south of the project site. Delany Drive is north/south local street which is proposed to directly connect to the southern area of the project site. This roadway is approximately four blocks in length and terminates at Angelo Drive. 5 Existing Motor Vehicle Traffic Recent peak hour traffic flow at the existing study intersections is shown on Figure 3. This figure depicts the intersections of Harmony/Timberline and Harmony/Access Drive A. Due to the type of land use proposed within the Harmony Village project, it was determined that the traffic analysis should focus on the weekday afternoon and Saturday peak hours. The peak hour counts were obtained in November, 1997. Raw traffic count data is provided in Appendix A. Existing Motor Vehicle Operation The operation at the key intersections during the peak hours is provided in Table 1. Calculation forms are provided in Appendix B. Level of service definitions for signalized and unsignalized intersection from the 1994 Higbwav Qapacity Manual are provided in Appendix C. The City of Fort Collins has established Level of Service D as the minimum acceptable vehicular LOS with the exception of arterial intersections along commercial corridors and intersections within activity centers. The minimum acceptable LOS at arterial intersections within these areas is Level of Service E. As indicated in Table 1, each of the existing study intersections is currently operating at an acceptable level of service during the peak hours. Pedestrian Facilities Currently, there are some pedestrian facilities within the study area. Each of the existing facilities are as follows: - Adjacent to Timberline Road, there are currently pedestrian facilities to the south of Harmony Road, with the exception of a section which has not been built on the west side of Timberline, south of the existing Harmony Crossing residential area to Battlecreek. It is anticipated that this section would be built in conjunction with the Willow Springs North project. - Adjacent to Timberline Road,there are pedestrian facilities to the north of Harmony Road on the east side. On the west side there are pedestrian facilities north of Caribou_ South of this location, there are no sidewalks. Adjacent to Harmony Road and west of Timberline Road, there are currently no pedestrian facilities. Adjacent to Harmony Road and east of Timberline Road, there are no sidewalks on the south. On the north side there are sidewalks present adjacent to the Harmony School Shops project only. Within the residential areas south of the proposed project, there are attached sidewalks adjacent to each of the roadways. 6 4 a N c NO SCALE 0/0 n rn rn L 0 0 -1476/1140 - -1166/1887 } f-6/2 HARMONY ROAD .,-107 33 /0 259/205 1139/1037--� � 801/760 ) f r 6/2--� o o ao 97/75 ZZ - oo� r r IA , Harmony Village , , , , ` f , / o -- - w - _ _ - — Z J w m F- PM/Sat. Noon RECENT PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC Figure 3 Table 1 Current Peak Hour Operation Level of Service Intersection FA -aAI HarmonyTTimberline (signal) C C Harmony/Access Drive A (stop sign) NB UT/R D C SB UT/R D C EB L B B WBL B A Overall A A S Bicycle Facilities There are bicycle lanes on Timberline Road within the study area. However, at the intersection of Harmony Road with Timberline Road, there are no striped bicycle lanes on Timberline. There is a bicycle lane on the north side of Harmony Road, east of Timberline Road. It should be noted that Harmony Road does have a wide paved shoulder suitable for bicycles. Transit Facilities Transfort currently provides limited service to the study area. The Southside Shuttle provides service on Harmony Road. This service is limited to three times during the morning and three times during the evening. There are bus stops on Harmony Road at the southeast and northwest corners with Timberline Road. 9 Ill. FUTURE BACKGROUND TRAFFIC PROJECTIONS In order to properly evaluate the potential impact of the proposed Harmony Village project on the local traffic conditions, future traffic volumes were first estimated for the study area without the project. These future forecasts reflect the growth that is expected from overall development in and around the City of Fort Collins and from proposed projects in the vicinity of the project site. Background Traffic Year 2002 The growth reflected in Year 2002 Background Traffic is based on two factors: area wide growth and development, and traffic generated by specific projects located near the study intersections. Based upon historical traffic growth and information within the North Front Range Regional Transportation Plan, October 1994, it was determined that traffic within the study area has increased by approximately 1.5 to 2 percent per year. The existing peak hour traffic data was factored upward by 8 to 10 percent to reflect the annual growth over a four year time period. Based upon data available from other traffic studies prepared within the study area, the following projects are planned within the short range future: - Build-out of the Harmony School Shops development located at the northeast corner of Harmony/Timberline; - Poudre Valley Hospital site, completion of 110,000 square feet of medical/office and 65,000 square feet of hospital use; - Completion of the residential areas located directly south of the project site. Traffic projections from the traffic impact studies for each of these projects were utilized. For the property directly east of the project site, traffic projections were developed based upon assumed land uses and site layout. The resulting peak hour background traffic for Year 2002 is depicted on Figure 4. As mentioned above,this was developed by factoring existing traffic to account for overall growth within the area and accounting for traffic from other proposed projects near the study area. Background Traffic Year 2015 The long range future traffic projections for Year 2015 were developed by accounting for overall growth in the study area, and full development of each of the proposed development projects near the project site. The existing traffic data was factored by 29 to 40 percent to reflect overall growth in this area of the City. It was assumed that each of the development projects mentioned above would be completed. The Poudre Valley Hospital property directly east of the project site was assumed to be built out with the following uses: 220,000 square feet of medical/office use, 195,000 square feet of hospital, 150,000 square feet of healthy living center (health club/rehabilitation/ classrooms), 270 dwelling units of elderly related housing, and a suites hotel with 75 rooms. The uses for the Poudre Valley Hospital site were assumed to be distributed within the development area. The resulting peak hour background traffic for Year 2015 is presented on Figure 5. 10 N 0 0 9n NO SCALE -Ell N N N — 345—18 0/1350 "�' 3825/5 0 975 �J 25/s HARMONY ROAD /r 14s�0 25 5--� 285/225—/ 1420/126Q 1040/880— Ln 0 25/5--� N 145/165 -Z, N r r IA to to cN r � � �250 145 Future Harmony 35P1/H /U Village o� , r r r � o r ; Q w ww ............. W _ - Z w� f -1 Q W m f- PM/Sat. Noon Rounded to the Nearest 5 Vehicles. BACKGROUND TRAFFIC YEAR 2002 Figure 4 N o,n a NO SCALE C-4\ 25/5 o —600/450 2/05/2035 "' * —1960/1570 �--25/5 HARMONY ROAD 195/150 33/260 2155/1885— Lp\ 1520 1400— to O 25/5 ^N 355/235 � 1 rl r r � A ell o0 r �95/65 o Future / Harmony 95 65 Village f �' IA , r Z _i R W m F- PM/Sat. Noon Rounded to the Nearest 5 Vehicles. BACKGROUND TRAFFIC YEAR 2015 Figure 5 1 � IV. PROJECT TRAFFIC PROJECTIONS Development of traffic projections for the proposed Harmony Village project involved the following steps: estimation of trip generation, development of a trip distribution, and assignment of traffic onto the roadway system. Project Description The proposed Harmony Village project will include the following uses: a 14 plex movie theater, 42,300 square feet of retail, a 13,900 square foot drug store with a drive through window for prescriptions, 10,000 square feet of high-turnover restaurants, a 6,000 square foot drive-through bank, two fast food restaurants with drive through windows totaling approximately 7,000 square feet, a gas/convenience/car wash with 8 vehicle fueling positions, and an assisted living facility with 89 dwelling units. Each of these uses is depicted on Figure 2. Access to the site would be provided at the following locations: - on Harmony Road at the western edge of the project site. This access would be limited to right-turn into and out of the site and a westbound left-turn into the site. This access is designed to work jointly with the adjacent warehouse property to the west of the project site. - a full access to the project site from Timberline Road, referred to as the main entrance. This access would be aligned with a future access to the property directly east of the project site. - a right-turn into the site from Timberline Road, located between Harmony Road and the main entrance. - a full access to the project site from Timberline Road, located south of the main entrance. - two access locations, which would provide connections to the adjacent neighborhood, located directly south of the project site. These connections would be located at Wilmington Drive and Delany Drive. Trip Generation Trip generation is important in considering the impact of a proposed project such as this upon the existing and future street system. Trip generation is an estimate of how may vehicular trips will enter and exit a project on a daily and peak hour basis. Standard traffic generation characteristics compiled by the Institute of Transportation Engineers in their report entitled Trip Generation, 6th edition, 1997, were applied to the proposed land uses in order to estimate the daily, weekday afternoon and Saturday peak hour vehicle trips for the site. Table 2 shows the estimated trip generation of the proposed Harmony Village project. As indicated in the table, the project is estimated to generate approximately: 12,969 average daily trips, 1,719 evening peak hour trips, and 1,924 Saturday peak hour trips. 13 r r Table 2 Trip Generation Daily P.M. Peak Saturday Peak Land Use Trips Trips Trips Trips Trips in out in out Movie Theater w/Matinee 2,147 324 299 365 264 14 Plex Retail -42,300 SF 1,816 76 82 109 101 Restaurant- High Turnover 1,303 65 44 95 55 10,000 SF Bank w/Drive Through 1,591 165 164 129 124 6,000 SF Fast Food w/Drive Through 3,473 122 112 210 202 7,000 SF Gas/Conv/Car Wash 1,223 53 53 53 53 8 VFP (vehicle fueling positions) Drug Store w/Drive Through 1,225 71 74 71 74 13,900 SF Assisted Living - 89 DU's 191 3 2 11 8 TOTAL 12,969 884 835 1,043 881 14 Trip Distribution The directional distribution of the generated trips was determined for the proposed project. The distribution was determined based upon a gravity model process, analysis of the existing traffic patterns in the area, and the type of uses proposed at the site. The general trip distribution utilized for the traffic assignment is depicted on Figure 6. It should be noted that the distribution patterns for the site were developed for both regional uses, such as the movie theater, and other local uses, such as the bank and restaurants. Trip Assignment Trip assignment is how the generated and distributed trips are expected to be loaded on the street system. The assigned trips are the resultant of the trip distribution process. Figure 7 shows the peak hour site generated traffic for the proposed project. 15 s N NO SCALE LO to I Vol to N 5 HARMONY ROAD 10�-15�: _r!77Tii7m-i777Tf Tf� l i All i Harmony Future Village PVH V �' a err/, ti�l� M Z zi 10 o c ° os 0 L0 o'a� o Q z CA t2l TRIP DISTRIBUTION Figure 6 1 f� s s N o NO SCALE tr N —316/328 c" —50/60 �,--50 60 HARMONY ROAD } 50/60 89/106— 53 57 244/288--� 89/06 c1q`* n N M7 M N !O 1 � pN�p QI to ' Main N tI Future Harmony Entrance T —45/50 PVH Village 559/576 } 40 45 rn o I 110 120 O N O � rn N � O I 25/30 / 7/10 N o I o LU Z -- - - J Q W m H PM/Sat. Noon SITE GENERATED PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC Figure 7 V. FUTURE TOTAL TRAFFIC PROJECTIONS The future total traffic projections reflect future traffic conditions with the traffic from the proposed Harmony Village project. The future total traffic projections were developed for Years 2002 and 2015. Total Traffic Year 2002 The total traffic for Year 2002 was developed by adding traffic from the proposed project to the background traffic for Year 2002. The resulting peak hour total traffic projections for Year 2002 are shown on Figure 8. Total Traffic Year 2015 The total traffic projections for Year 2015 were developed by adding traffic from the proposed project to the background traffic projections for Year 2015. The total peak hour traffic projections for Year 2015 are provided on Figure 9. 18 N o a NO SCALE o ` NON 50/10 Lo�rn �-345/190 2205/1590 `"'n ` 2205/1680 HARMONY ROAD ) ` 195/150 1560/1375-+- 245/290 285/225 1095/935— N p L 235/270 Ln ILo Lo u� n r C) 1 A B ,� r r to -I 250/145 ` Main `� °° 45/50 Future Harmony Entrance } /1—35/20 PVH Village 535/575-� � f I I' 40 45-� coo n 110y20--� o o / m —t2 JLo�l Ir C 25/30 5/10 CD r ( 0 / r Q � r Z _r .J ix W m F= PM/Sat. Noon Rounded to the Nearest 5 Vehicles. TOTAL TRAFFIC YEAR 2002 Figure 8 �y s N 50 P 0 NO SCALE � 50/10 0;o CD �—2945/2275 2945/2365 �—50/60 HARMONY ROAD 245 210 2295/2000— 33e2fi0 245/290 I + r ,to 1575 1455 u-i p Ln � 445/340 1 N N N r � p ► B CD CD ► o \—310/190 1 45 50 Future Harmony Entrance /J 1 �95/65 PVH r Village 535/575--/ } 40 45 I 110 5 20� CD / O 4 ' ^ I' 1 / C 25/30 5/10� Np f ' I 0 O Q W r 1 Z J a W m F- PM/Sat. Noon Rounded to the Nearest 5 Vehicles. TOTAL TRAFFIC YEAR 2015 Figure 9 20 o VI. TRAFFIC IMPACT ANALYSIS The previous chapters described the development of future traffic forecasts both with and without the proposed project. Intersection capacity analyses are conducted in this chapter for both scenarios to assess the potential impact of the proposed project-generated traffic on the local street system. The future pedestrian, bicycle, and transit levels of operation are also evaluated. Traffic Analysis-Year 2002 The peak hour background and total traffic volumes for Year 2002, illustrated on Figures 4 and 8, respectively, were analyzed to determine the intersection delay and corresponding level of service. Tables 3 and 4 summarize the results for the respective Year 2002 background and total traffic conditions. The level of service worksheets for Year 2002 background and total traffic conditions are provided in Appendix D and E, respectively. As indicated in Tables 3 and 4, the traffic movements at each of the study intersections are expected to operate at an acceptable level of service under future traffic conditions for Year 2002,with the following exceptions: under background conditions the northbound and southbound traffic movements at the existing access drive to Harmony Road. The long delays at this location are primarily due to the left-turns which are projected to experience long delays to enter Harmony Road. Under total traffic conditions, with the redesign of the access which eliminates the left-turns from the access drive, this intersection is projected to operate acceptably. In order to maintain acceptable levels of service at the intersection of Harmony/Timberline, the geometrics would require improvements to Include dual northbound left-turn lanes. Typically, the City of Fort Collins improves both directions of an intersection with dual left-turn lanes. It is anticipated that southbound dual left-turn lanes will also be required in the long range future. The traffic analysis for Year 2002 was performed with both northbound and southbound dual left-turn lanes. However, at a minimum, only the northbound left-turn lane would be necessary to achieve acceptable levels of service. The traffic projections at the intersection of Timberline Road at the main entrance indicate that signalization would be required under total traffic conditions. Traffic Analysis-Year 2015 The future peak hour traffic projections for Year 2015 were analyzed to determine the intersection operations under both background and total traffic conditions. Under long range future conditions, the following roadway improvements were assumed: Harmony Road would be widened to accommodate six travel lanes, and the intersection of Harmony/Timberline would have dual-left turn lanes on each approach in addition to exclusive right-turn lanes. The results of the level of service analysis are provided in Tables 5 and 6 for background and total Year 2015 conditions, respectively. The level of service worksheets are provided in Appendix F and G for background and total conditions, respectively. Under both background and total traffic conditions, each of the study intersections is projected to operate acceptably with the following exceptions: under the projected background conditions, the northbound and southbound traffic movements at the existing access drive to Harmony Road is projected to experience long delays 21 Table 3 Year 2002 Peak Hour Background Traffic Operation Level of Service Intersection pM SAT Harmony/Timberline (signal) C B Harmony/Access Drive A (stop sign) NB UT/R F D SS Lff/R F D EB L C B WBL B B Overall B A Timberline/Main Entrance (stop sign) WB L C B WB R A A SB L A A Overall A A 22 Table 4 Year 2002 Peak Hour Total Traffic Operation Level of Service Intersection pM SAT Harmony/Timberline (signal) D C Harmony/Access Drive A(stop sign) NB R B A SIB R B A WBL C C Overall A A Timberline/Main Entrance (signal) C C Timberline/Access Drive C (stop sign) EB UR C B NB L A A Overall A A 23 Table 5 Year 2015 Peak Hour Background Traffic Operation Level of Service Intersection pM BAI Harmony/Timberline (signal) C C Harmony/Access Drive A (stop sign) NB L/T/R F D SB LIT/R F D EB L B B WBL B B Overall A A Timberline/Main Entrance (stop sign) WB L E C WB R A A SB L A A Overall A A 24 Table 6 Year 2015 Peak Hour Total Traffic Operation Level of Service Intersection Pam. SAT Harmony/Timberline (signal) D C Harmony/Access Drive A (stop sign) NB R A A SIB R A A WBL C C Overall A A Timberline/Main Entrance (signal) C C Timberline/Access Drive C (stop sign) EB UR C C NB L B A Overall A A 25 during the evening peak hour and, under background conditions, the westbound left turn at Timberline and the PVH Access would experience long delays (with stop-control). With the proposed improvements to the Harmony Road access under total traffic conditions (which would include the elimination of north and southbound left-turns), the access drive is expected to operate acceptably. Signalization of the intersection of Timberline Road and the Main Entrance would result in acceptable operations. Spacing of Harmony/Timberline and Timberline/Main Entrance Intersections The distance between the Harmony/Timbedine intersection and the Main Entrance/Timberline intersection is 600 feet. The potential for"backstacking"of the left turns on Timberline Road was analyzed. Based upon the long range future total traffic projections depicted on Figure 9, it was determined that the 600 foot spacing was adequate with dual-left turn lanes at b_!2h the northbound Timberline/Harmony and southbound Timberline/Main Entrance. This analysis was performed for the morning, afternoon, and Saturday peak hours. The morning peak hour data utilized is provided in Appendix H, and includes full build-out of the Poudre Valley Hospital property east of the project site. The detailed analysis of the left-turn lane requirements is provided in Appendix I. It is recommended that the dual northbound left-tum lanes be 295 feet in length and the dual southbound left-turn lanes be 65 feet. A 240 foot transition would be required between the two directions. The sum of these values, 295 + 65 + 240, equals 600 feet. The right most of the dual left-turn lanes would have an additional 120 feet of length. Pedestrian Level of Service The pedestrian activity associated with the proposed project would be related to (but not limited to)the following: individuals who work at the various uses within the Harmony Village, patrons visiting the project, residents and visitors to the assisted living facility. The Pedestrian LOS Worksheet Is provided in Appendix J. The minimum level of service for "activity center/corridors" is B for all measured categories. As indicated on the pedestrian LOS worksheet, the minimum acceptable level of service will be achieved for nearly all of the categories. The exception is continuity to the adjacent neighborhoods. The sidewalks within the adjacent residential area, south of the site, does not have a landscaped parkway. There are currently no sidewalks on the west side of Timberline Road, north of Harmony Road. There is a very small residential area located directly west of Timberline Road within this area. It is expected that with development of most of the areas surrounding this residential area, this area will also redevelop and would be designed with appropriate pedestrian facilities. The pedestrian levels of service to the future Poudre Valley Hospital property was based upon completion of the sidewalks, built to the current City guidelines and standards. Bicycle Level of Service There are bicycle facilities within the study area. In the future, Harmony Road will have bicycle facilities within the study area. The Bicycle LOS Worksheet is provided in Appendix J. The bicycle level of service to/from the proposed project to adjacent areas is acceptable. 26 Transit level of Service As mentioned earlier, there are limited transit services within the study area. Based upon information presented on the City of Fort Collins 2015 Transit System map, the study area will be serviced by transit routes in the future. The map Indicates an Enhanced Travel Corridor(Transit) along Harmony Road and high frequency transit on Timberline Road, north of Harmony Road. It is anticipated that these transit routes would meet the City's desired level of service in the future. 27 VII. NEIGHBORHOOD TRANSPORTATION ANALYSIS The proposed Harmony Village project was designed with connections to the adjacent residential areas south of the project site. The connectivity between the residential area and Harmony Village would allow for pedestrian, bicycle, and vehicular traffic to access the project without being forced onto the adjacent arterial streets. It is desirable to provide these connections such that local access is easy and direct. However, it is also a goal to ensure that local streets do not carry an excessive amount of traffic. The proposed connections to the Harmony Village project were analyzed to determine the estimated amount of traffic on the connections and evaluate the projected traffic volumes to ensure threshold volumes are not exceeded. Local Street Capacity The City of Fort Collins has established that local roadways should accommodate a daily traffic volume of 1,000 vehicles or less. This threshold value will be utilized to analyze the potential impact of the proposed project on the local street system south of the project site. Projected Daily Traffic Volumes The proposed Harmony Village site plan has allowed for direct connections to Wilmington Drive and Delany Drive. Currently, the residential areas adjacent to these two facilities have not been completed. Wilmington Drive has not been fully constructed between Harmony Village and Battlecreek. Traffic projections were developed for Wilmington Drive and Delany Drive which represent local neighborhood traffic. These projections were based upon the following land use: a total of 225 single family homes south of the project site, 296 apartments and 136 townhomes to be built between Harmony Village, Timberline Road, Battlecreek, and the Union Pacific Railroad; an additional 150 single family homes to be constructed south of Battlecreek and west of Timberline Road. Based upon these land use elements, it was estimated that Wilmington Drive would accommodate 625 daily trips and Delany Drive 100 daily trips. These trips include traffic going to and from the proposed Harmony Village project. These trips would originate from the neighborhoods directly south of the project site. Traffic projections were also estimated for future conditions with the completion of Keenland Drive to the west, across the Union Pacific Railroad tracks. Completion of the collector roadway will allow for traffic south and west of the project site to utilize Keenland Drive and Wilmington Drive to access the site. Wilmington Drive is estimated to accommodate approximately 1,275 vehicles per day . Delany Drive is expected to accommodate approximately 140 vehicles per day. As indicated above, the daily traffic volume projections for both Wilmington and Delany Drives are expected to be within threshold volumes without the future connection of Keenland Drive to the west, across the Union Pacific Railroad tracks. However, with the completion of the Keenland connection, the traffic volumes on Wilmington Drive are anticipated to exceed City of Fort Collins acceptable levels. 28 It is recommended that in an effort to provide convenient services to the adjacent neighborhood, the proposed connections with Wilmington and Delany Drives be made. However, the traffic volumes on both of these streets should be monitored. After the completion of the Keenland Drive connection to the west, if the traffic volumes on Wilmington Drive exceed City standards, the only effective means of ensuring that the threshold volume of 1,000 vehicles per day be met,would be the closure of both Wilmington and Delany Drives to vehicular traffic at Harmony Village. It should be stressed that connections for bicycles and pedestrians be maintained. 29 VIII. CONCLUSIONS This study assessed the potential impacts of the proposed Harmony Village project, a mixed- use commercial project located at the southwest corner of Harmony Road and Timberline Road in Fort Collins, Colorado. As a result of the analysis, the following conclusions were drawn: - The potential impacts of the proposed project were evaluated at the following intersections: Harmony/Timberline, Harmony/Access Drive, Timberline/Main Entrance, and the two additional access drives to Timberline Road. - The traffic impact analyses were performed for existing conditions and future Years 2002 and 2015. Future background traffic conditions without the project and total traffic conditions with completion of the proposed project were evaluated. - Under existing conditions, each of the study intersections are currently operating at an acceptable level of service. - For Year 2002 background and total traffic conditions,the study intersections are projected to operate at acceptable levels of service with the exception of the Harmony Road access drive under background conditions. The proposed access to/from Harmony Road with completion of the Harmony Village project would result in acceptable operations at this location. - For Year 2002 future total traffic conditions, the intersection of Harmony Road and Timberline Road will require dual left-turn lanes in both the northbound and souhbound directions. - Under Year 2015 conditions, it was assumed that the intersection of Harmony Road and Timberline Road would have dual left-turn lanes and exclusive right-turn lanes on each approach. Harmony Road was assumed to be a six-lane facility and Timberline Road a four-lane facility. - Under Year 2015 background and total traffic conditions, the study intersections are projected to operate at acceptable levels with the following exceptions under background conditions: the north/southbound traffic movements at the Harmony Road access, and the westbound left-turns at the Timberline Road and PVH Access intersection under stop-controlled conditions. With the improvements to the Harmony Road access and signalization of Timberline Road and the Main Entrance, each of the study intersections would operate at acceptable levels of service. - Pedestrian access to and from the proposed Harmony Village project would be acceptable with a couple of exceptions to adjacent residential areas. The residential area directly south of the site was designed with attached sidewalks and, therefore, the continuity level of service is C rather than the desired LOS B. Additionally, there is a lack of sidewalks adjacent to the west side of Timberline, north of Harmony Road. This area serves a few residential uses. It was assumed that, with the nearby development, this area would redevelop in the future and meet the City's standards. If this redevelopment does not occur, it would be anticipated that if the pedestrian demand was such that sidewalks were necessary, a capital improvement project would be implemented which would address this need. Bicycle facilities are present within the study area. The project site will be directly connected to these facilities. Currently, transit service to the study area Is provided by the Southside Shuttle, which is operating at unacceptable levels. Based upon the City of Fort Collins 2015 Transit System map, it is anticipated that the transit level of service will be improved to acceptable levels of operation in the future. 30