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HomeMy WebLinkAboutHARMONY MARKET PUD, 12TH FILING - PRELIMINARY & FINAL - 54-87AG - SUBMITTAL DOCUMENTS - ROUND 1 - TRAFFIC STUDY(-�('+-. 5 Z 00 Cl) 0 O 0 10 N O 10 19 v o Cl) Z g W O J W Z W a Z a Z m Cl) Cl) CZ z a w w z CD MEMORANDUM To: Eldon Ward, Cityscape Harmony Market Pad Users Tom. Vosburg, Fort Collins Transportation Division Ted Shepard, Fort Collins Planning Department From: Matt Delich �l/l Date: July 5, 1994 Subject: Traffic study for various pad site users in the Harmony Market (File: 9470MEEM1) This traffic study provides an update to the "Harmony Market Site Access Study," March 1969., and various traffic updates and addenda prepared as individual users. proposed developments over the past few years. An overall Harmony Market site plan. is shown in Figure 1. This traffic study was prepared specifically for the Outback Steakhouse restaurant, the Golden Corral restaurant, the Tingy convenience/gas store, and Lee's Cyclry. Uses that are being proposed but are not yet built are also included in this traffic study. These are the ,Red Robin restaurant and the expansion on the east side of the Steele's Market. Based upon. available site plans, there, are two areas that are still available for development. These are a 32,000+ square foot site west of Steele's Market and a 7,000+ square foot pad site between the Red. Robin and the Outback Steakhouse restaurants. This memorandum addresses staff comments stated in a June 14, 1994 letter, as well as discussions with Tom Vosburg during the week of June 27, 1994. This memorandum addresses the traffic aspects of two peak hours: the afternoon peak hour on a weekday and the noon peak hour on a Saturday. While the weekday morning peak hour was analyzed in.previous traffic studies, it was not addressed in this memorandum. This was agreed to by a.11 parties. Existing Conditions Peak hour traffic data was collected in June 1994 at the primary Harmony Market accesses to Lemay Avenue, Harmony Road, and Boardwalk Drive. Internal site traffic data was also collected at the intersection between the Sam's store and the Red Robin restaurant site. This data is shown in Figure 2. Peak hour data at the Harmony/Lemay and Harmony/Boardwalk intersections was taken from data contained in the "Traffic Impact Analysis for the Red Robin Restaurant," March 1994. This data is also shown in Figure 2. Some through movements on Harmony Road and Lemay Avenue were calculated. Based upon r observation, the traffic using the Lemay Avenue access to Parcel A in Oak Ridge was primarily construction related traffic. There are three other accesses to Harmony Market (2 on Oakridge Drive and one on Boardwalk Drive) which are not heavily used. It is expected that these will continue to be lightly used until significantly more development occurs to the south of Harmony Market and when/if the Lemay/Oakridge intersection is signalized. Table 1 shows the operation at the key intersections. Calculation forms are provided in Appendix A. All intersections operate acceptably. Acceptable operation is defined.as' level of service D or better. During the Saturday noon peak hour, the northbound left -turn movement at the Harmony/Boardwalk intersection operates at level of service F, even though the overall intersection operation is at level of service C. Northbound and southbound traffic moves with a single green phase. The northbound left -turn volume at this time is quite high. Providing a left -turn phase for north/south left turns will eliminate the level of service F operation. Staff requested special consideration. of the internal intersection between Sam's and the proposed Red Robin restaurant. This intersection operates acceptably, primarily in the level of service A category. During the traffic counting, no significant delays or operational problems occurred. at this intersection. This intersection will be discussed further later in this memorandum. Staff requested a count versus trip generation comparison from previous traffic studies for Harmony Market. This comparison could only be done using the afternoon peak hours, since a Saturday noon analysis was not performed in the earlier traffic studies. The afternoon peak hour counted traffic in June 1994 was 607 ingress and 490 egress. These counts are slightly less than the actual counts since there were three accesses that were not counted, but observed to be very light. Based upon the traffic shown in Figure 8 of the original site access study, the forecasted traffic was 8.25 ingress and 815 egress during the afternoon peak.hour. However, the site access study forecast should be reduced by the number of sites that are currently vacant. Applying the trip generation rates used in the site.access study to the vacant sites reduces the ingressing traffic by 250 and the egressing traffic by 250. The resultant traffic for the currently developed portions of Harmony Market is 575 ingressing and 565 egressing. The resultant is that the counted ingressing traffic is 5% higher and the counted egressing traffic is 15% lower than the trip generation estimated traffic. The composite (ingress plus egress) traffic correlates within 4% of each other. Trip distribution has a significant bearing on how various intersections will operate due to the traffic assignment procedure. Since the afternoon peak hour traffic data was collected, it could be analyzed and compared to the trip distribution assumptions in r the site access study. Figure 3 shows the ingressing and egressing trip distribution based upon the observed 1995 afternoon peak hour data. Cursory analysis indicates that 46% ingressing traffic and 48% egressing traffic is to/from the north along Boardwalk and west a.long Harmony. Also, 50% ingressing traffic and 46%.egressing traffic is to/from the no:,rth along Lemay and east along Harmony. The remaining traffic is to/from the south along Lemay and Boardwalk. Figure 4 'shows the short range trip distribution from the site access study. This figure shows that 45% of the traffic will be to/from the north along Boardwalk and west along Harmony, and 45% of the traffic will be to/from the north along Lemay and east along Harmony. This analysis indicates that the actual travel behavior correlates very well with trip distribution assumptions in the original site access study. Proposed Development This update documents the analyses pertaining to the development of four pad sites. Also. included in this study is the forecasted traffic from the proposed Red. -Robin restaurant and the expansion on the east side of the Steele's Market. It was assumed that primary access to Harmony Market would continue at the three accesses discussed and analyzed earlier in this memorandum. Table 2 shows the trip generation for an average weekday, Saturday noon peak hour, and weekday afternoon peak hour. Trip Generation, 5th Edition, ITE was used as a reference to develop Table 2. Review of the trip generation shown in Table 2 indicates that the total trip generation for the afternoon peak hour will be higher than that forecasted in the site access study. As indicated earlier in this memorandum, there are still. two building sites that are available for development. The difference in trip generation is due to the generalized rates used in the site access study and the more specific uses proposed over the years. When full development of Harmony Market occurs, this site would be ideal to obtain both daily and peak hour driveway counts to conduct comparative analyses. The site is situated in such a way that there will be little, if any, cut through traffic. Figure 5 shows the existing plus the site traffic at the key .intersections. The assignment of the site generated traffic used the trip distribution shown in Figure 3. In the assignment process, it was assumed that 10% of the restaurant traffic would. be from."on-site" sources. Table 3 shows the operation of the key intersections using the Figure 5 traffic. calculation forms are provided in Appendix B. The Harmony/Lemay signalized intersection will operate acceptably using a number of cycle lengths. At the Harmony/Boardwalk intersection, unacceptable operation will occur with the current. six phase signal. Provision of north/south left -turn phases will 3 achieve acceptable operation using the existing geometry at this intersection. The traffic study for the Red Robin restaurant recommended dua.l.northbound left -turn lanes at this intersection. There is a "rule of thumb" that states that dual left -turn lanes should be considered if the left -turn volume exceeds 300 per hour. However, since acceptable operation is achieved. with a single left - turn lane and the >300 left -turn volume occurs on weekends, it is recommended that dual left -turn lanes not be implemented at this time. Since the higher left -turn volumes occur on days when the Harmony Road traffic is lower than the weekday peak hour traffic, a more practical solution may be to "steal" some green time from Harmony Road at these times and add it to Boardwalk Drive. As further development occurs in Harmony Market and in the residential areas to the south, traffic. should be monitored to determine if the dual left -turn lanes should be implemented in the future. The other stop sign controlled intersections will operate acceptably. At the internal intersection during the Saturday noon peak hour, the northbound left turns will, operate at level of service D. While termed acceptable, delays will likely increase to the point where some patrons of Sam's and Builder's Square will find utilizing the little used access to Boardwalk, 420 feet south of the primary access, is a good alternative. Since this access currently exists, there is little that needs to be done. The control at the internal access is proper. A long range analysis was not conducted with this development proposal, since the Harmony Market is generally developing as anticipated. The long range analyses that were conducted in the site access study and for the Oak/Cottonwood Farm area adequately address the long range operation. While it is likely that the trip generation for full development of Harmony Market will be higher than originally forecasted; it is not possible to determine how much higher without firm development proposals. Using the generalized shopping center trip rates for the unbuilt sites indicate that the trip generation will be 10-12% higher than that indicated in the original site access study. Conclusions/Recommendations Based upon these analyses, the following conclusions/ recommendations are made: The proposed uses analyzed in this study are in general conformance with the Harmony Market development plan. - With these developments, all key intersections will operate acceptably. North/south left -turn phases should be implemented at the Harmony/Boardwalk intersection. Dual northbound left -turn lanes on Boardwalk, approaching Harmony Road, are not recommended at this time. 4 Traffic should be monitored to determine when the dual left -turn lanes are needed. - The internal intersection- currently operates acceptably. With implementation of the pad sites, the northbound left turns will experience delays (level of service D) on weekends (busy shopping times). These patrons do have a safe, efficient egress alternative to Boardwalk Drive. 5 L M�i jMAWET n n- - I NI lLF i t I' '�� , - ee • � ',EN : _ BUILDER'S SC.71IARS, — L f II i Le 44Z NO SCALE Figure 1 � � N M 217/207 n 941 /703 �-- 39/69 115/71--7 807/685 --F to c-4 134/324 --� L N irJ r�i 237/351 /-- 2r g1� 00 jj� HARMONY ROAD 1 /875] - 0- 91/63 -� rn N HARMONY MARKET e n N U�. c \-11.1/43 —1036/700 r-169/125 113/108 -J ) 4 r 728/654 — N o 'o 90/83 -� N O to CONSTRUCTION ell N TRAFFIC ONLY I� 1 151/143 -� 27/47 -� N N -,'co N u LEGEND WEEKDAY PM / SATURDAY NOON [CALCULATED FROM OTHER COUNTS] Q RECENT PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC COUNTS Figure 2 Table 1 Current Operation Level of Service Intersection Weekday PM Saturday Noon Harmony/Lemay (signal) C = 100 B B C = 120 B B Harmony/Boardwalk (signal) C = 100, 6 phase B. C Lemay/Access (stop sign) EB LT B C EB RT A A .NB LT A A Boardwalk/Access (stop sign) WB LT A C WB RT A A SB.LT A A Internal Intersection (stop sign) NB LT A B NB RT A A WB LT A A Harmony/Right-in/right=out (stop sign) NB RT A A � HARMONY 01 HARMONY o 46% B 487 NO /rJ J �— N@ W J D 31% 67. to INGRESSING TRIP DISTRIBUTION EGRESSING TRIP DISTRIBUTION 1994 OBSERVED TRIP DISTRIBUTION Fissure 3 SHORT RANGE TRIP DISTRIBUTION USED IN SITE ACCESS STUDY Figure 4 Table 2 Trip Generation Saturday Weekday Daily Noon Peak P.M. Peak Land Use Trips Trips Trips Trips Trips in out in out New Harmony Market Development Proposals Tingy C-store/gas 1800 70 70 60 60 Outback Steakhouse 6.1 ksf 920 40 40 43 30 Golden Corral 101.6 ksf 1600 69 69 75 52 Lee's Cyclry 14.0 ksf 570 41 31 39 30 Red Robin 7.3 ksf 1500 56 56 64 55 Steele's Expansion 9.125 ksf 370' 26 20 26 19 O to c 220/210 945/705 i� 40/70 HARMONY ROAD ,n N C3 °O n to j 115/45 �-1040/700 /-210/160 915 880 -� 115/75 -/ + 160/155 155/160 845/705 --� o o Ln 175/350 o Ln 0 755/680 -� 90/85 -� N L o N c o "N� ph �15�0 O N CONSTRUC110N N /-- 0 N ?RAFFl C 5/10 /-5/to -r-\ � � 1 64 1LY Is HARMONY 150/7 � MARKET to �O CV Ix YUj W m O t W J LEGEND: WEEKDAY. PM / SATURDAY NOON ROUNDED TO NEAREST 5 VEHICLES EXISTING PLUS SITE PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC Figure 5 Table 3 Existing Plus Site Traffic Operation Level of Service Intersection Weekday -.PM Saturday Noon ,Harmony/Lemay (signal) C = 100 B C = 120 B Harmony/Boardwalk (signal) C = 100, 6 phase B C = 100, 8 phase B C = 120, 8 phase B Lemay/Access (stop sign) EB LT C EB RT A NB LT A Boardwalk/Access (stop sign) WB LT A WB RT A SB LT A Internal Intersection (stop sign) NB LT A NB RT A WB LT A Harmony/Right-in/right-out (stop sign) NB RT A * Level of service not meaningful when V/C > 1.2 B B * B B C A A D B A D A A W