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HomeMy WebLinkAboutFOSSIL CREEK APARTMENTS (FORMERLY WATERSTONE APARTMENTS) - PDP - PDP170010 - SUBMITTAL DOCUMENTS - ROUND 1 - TRAFFIC STUDY (3)T$- RIB Endineering, ac ..' Transportation Endineerimg Solutions Transportation Impact Study Vineyard-Goldelm Fort Collins, Colorado February 2016 Vineyard-Goldelm Transportation Impact Study Fort Collins, Colorado 22 February 2016 Prepared for: Mr. Hans H. Breuer Executive Pastor Vineyard Church 1201 Riverside Fort Collins, CO 80525 Prepared by: t •_• . • .(b,s • 4:=c•,-,7"•.1.< Eric L. Bracke, P.E., P.T.O.E. 5401 Taylor Lane Fort Collins, CO 80528 Office: 970-988-7551 ELBEngineeringlpbroadband.net This document, together with the concepts and designs presented herein, as an instrument of service, is intended only for the specific purpose and client for which it was prepared. Reuse of and improper reliance on this document without written authorization from ELB Engineering, LLC shall be without liability to ELB Engineering, LLC. TABLE OF CONTENTS Page 1 Introduction 1 2. Agency Discussions 1 3. Existing Conditions 3 4. Project Description 8 5. Traffic Projections/Analysis 12 6. Improvements 23 7. Multimodal Analysis 24 8. Conclusions 26 Table List of Tables Page 1. LOS Definitions 7 2. Existing Operation 7 3. Trip Generation 10 4. 2018 Background Capacity Analysis 15 5. 2020 Background Capacity Analysis 16 6. 2036 Background Capacity Analysis 16 7. Year 2018 Total Traffic Capacity Analysis 21 8. Year 2020 Total Traffic Capacity Analysis 22 9. Year 2036 Total Traffic Capacity Analysis 23 Figures List of Figures Page 1. Vicinity Map 2 2. Existing Peak Hour Traffic 6 3. Site Plan 9 4. Trip Distribution 10 5. Site Distributed Traffic 11 6. Year 2018 Background Traffic 12 7. Year 2020 Background Traffic 13 8. Year 2036 Background Traffic 14 9. Year 2018 Total Traffic 18 10. Year 2020 Total Traffic 19 11. Year 2036 Total Traffic 20 APPENDIX A. Base Assumptions/Scoping Form B. Traffic Counts C. HCM Capacity Analysis — Base Condition D. Signal Warrant Analysis — Existing Year E. Background Years — HCM Analysis F. 2018 Signal Warrant Analysis — Total Traffic G. HCM Capacity Analysis — Total Traffic 1 | P a g e E L B E n g i n e e r i n g , L L C 5 4 0 1 T a y l o r L a n e F o r t C o l l i n s , C O 8 0 5 2 8 V i n e y a r d - G o l d e l m T I S 9 7 0 - 988- 7 5 5 1 bruary, 2016 1.0 Introduction This transportation impact study addresses the Vineyard-Goldelm ODP/PDP located on the west side of College Avenue (US287) between Crestridge Road and Fossil Creek Boulevard in Fort Collins, Colorado. The site has sat vacant for years and numerous proposals have been submitted for this site. The site should be considered an infill development since it is surrounded by older county developments. The project will be constructed in phases and includes 250 apartments (non-student), a 42,000 square foot church, and either 18,000 square feet of car sales or specialty retail. For analysis purposes, the project will be built in three phases. Figure 1 on the following page is a vicinity map displaying the location of the project. 2.0 Agency Discussions Initial discussions with City staff indicated that a Full Transportation Impact Study as described in Chapter 4 of the Larimer County Urban Area Streets Standards (LCUASS) would be appropriate for this particular development. The project is considered infill and redevelopment and there are no recently approved projects in the area that need to be considered in the analysis. College Avenue recently has been repaved with minor improvements to the intersection of Skyway and College. College Avenue is a State Highway (US287) and has an Access Control Plan in place. The study will address the existing condition, a 2-year horizon, a 4-year horizon and a 20-year horizon for planning purposes. Traffic projections for College Avenue are from the Colorado Department of Transportation. Appendix A contains the form (Attachment A), which outlines the agreed to scope of work for the study. 2 | P a g e E L B E n g i n e e r i n g , L L C 5 4 0 1 T a y l o r L a n e F o r t C o l l i n s , C O 8 0 5 2 8 V i n e y a r d - G o l d e l m T I S 9 7 0 - 988- 7 5 5 1 bruary, 2016 Figure 1 - Vicinity Map  North 3 | P a g e E L B E n g i n e e r i n g , L L C 5 4 0 1 T a y l o r L a n e F o r t C o l l i n s , C O 8 0 5 2 8 V i n e y a r d - G o l d e l m T I S 9 7 0 - 988- 7 5 5 1 bruary, 2016 3.0 Existing Conditions 3.1. Current Traffic Peak hour turning movements for the College/Crestridge, College/Smokey, and the College/Skyway were obtained in January 2016. Counts at these three locations were taken in 2-hour blocks of time in 15-minute increments. The counts were taken in the AM between 7:00-9:00 and in the PM between 4:00-6:00. The data was collected in between the snowstorms of January when traffic was fairly normalized. The raw data regarding the turning movements is provided in Appendix B. 3.2 Current Street System The project is located in south Fort Collins on the west side of College Avenue between Crestridge and Fossil Creek Boulevard. The project intends to align Crestridge with Smokey on the east for full movement access with a potential traffic signal. Additional access is proposed on the north end of the project with a limited (RI/RO) movement. The land uses in the area are mixed with commercial and residential. All the developments in the south and to the east of the site were built under older County standards. To the north of the site is the Redtail Grove Natural Area owned by the City of Fort Collins. College Avenue is the main north- south thoroughfare in Fort Collins and is also US 287. The roadway is under the jurisdiction of the Colorado Department of Transportation (CDOT). College   4 | P a g e E L B E n g i n e e r i n g , L L C 5 4 0 1 T a y l o r L a n e F o r t C o l l i n s , C O 8 0 5 2 8 V i n e y a r d - G o l d e l m T I S 9 7 0 - 988- 7 5 5 1 bruary, 2016 Avenue is classified as an NRA Highway and currently has an Access Control Plan (ACP) in place that governs future access. College Avenue is a four-lane highway with a center left turn lane, shoulders and auxiliary lanes at intersections where needed. The speed limit is posted 55 mph and the pavement is in good condition. Crestridge is a collector roadway that will provide full-access to the proposed development. The roadway connects to Venus Street and provides access to the residential area to the south as well as the car dealership. The roadway appears to be used more for parking than access and is in poor condition. Smokey Street is a substandard roadway that provides access to an industrial area to the east of College Avenue. The roadway is in poor condition; no sidewalk, curb or gutter, and in a state of disrepair.    5 | P a g e E L B E n g i n e e r i n g , L L C 5 4 0 1 T a y l o r L a n e F o r t C o l l i n s , C O 8 0 5 2 8 V i n e y a r d - G o l d e l m T I S 9 7 0 - 988- 7 5 5 1 bruary, 2016 The intersection of College Ave and Skyway is controlled under a 6-phase traffic signal. Skyway traffic movements are relatively minor and the roadway provides access to the neighborhoods on both the east and west side of College Avenue. The radii on Skyway are non-existent and traffic operations for the turning movements is hindered by the poor geometry. 3.3 Current Traffic Conditions Capacity analyses were performed at the key intersections to determine if existing deficiencies exist on the roadway network. The analyses followed the procedures of the Highway Capacity Manual 2010. For the intersections of College/Crestridge and College/Smokey, it was observed that most folks making the left turn maneuver from the side street were using the TWLTL as a refuge. The intersections were model/analyzed as a two-stage left turn. Observation at the intersection also revealed that although there are no north or southbound left turn lanes at Crestridge or Smokey, the shoulders act as right turn lanes. Level of Service (LOS) is a qualitative term describing operating conditions and expressed in terms of delay. Table 1 below provides the definitions of LOS for both signalized and unsignalized intersections. Table 2 displays the results of the analyses. All key intersections operate at acceptable levels of service. The worksheets from the analyses can be found in Appendix C.  6 | P a g e E L B E n g i n e e r i n g , L L C 5 4 0 1 T a y l o r L a n e F o r t C o l l i n s , C O 8 0 5 2 8 V i n e y a r d - G o l d e l m T I S 9 7 0 - 988- 7 5 5 1 bruary, 2016 Smokey Figure 2 – Existing Peak Hour Turning Movements (AM/PM) 45/39 7/10 19/12 8/27 1359/1119 26/24 38/38 4/12 27/17 53/38 746/1560 32/37 18/28 6/10 16/73 14/47 1469/1171 36/59 847/1628 27/36 North South College 7/10 1470/1234 32/0 841/1618 Crestridge 7 | P a g e E L B E n g i n e e r i n g , L L C 5 4 0 1 T a y l o r L a n e F o r t C o l l i n s , C O 8 0 5 2 8 V i n e y a r d - G o l d e l m T I S 9 7 0 - 988- 7 5 5 1 bruary, 2016 Level of Service Signalized Intersection Average Total Delay (seconds/vehicle) Unsignalized Intersection Average Total Delay (seconds/vehicle) A < 10 < 10 B >10 and ≤ 20 >10 and ≤ 15 C >20 and ≤ 35 >15 and ≤ 25 D >35 and ≤ 55 >25 and ≤ 35 E >55 and ≤ 80 >35 and ≤ 50 F >80 >50 Table 1 Level of Service Definitions M  PM I M O D(/) O D(/) COLLEGE/SKYWAY EBL/T/R (APPROACH) D 51.8 D 52.2 Signal APPROACH D 51.8 D 52.2 WBL/T D 47.8 D 48.8 WBR D 49.0 D 52.2 WB APPROACH D 48.5 D 49.9 NBL A 3.6 A 5.9 NBT A 7.3 A 6.5 NBR A 3.9 A 4.0 NB APPROACH A 7.2 A 6.4 SBL A 5.2 A 4.9 SBT A 4.5 A 7.5 SBR A 3.4 A 3.5 SB APPROACH A 4.4 A 7.2 OVERALL A 8.8 A 8.7 COLLEGE/SMOKEY WBL/T D 28.7 E 38.4 STOP SIGN SBL A 0.4 B 12.1 OVERALL A 0.5 A 1.7 COLLEGE/CRESTRIDGE EBL/R C 21.3 F 50.3 STOP SIGN NBL A 9.9 C 15.4 OVERALL A 0.2 A 0.7 Table 2: Capacity Analysis - Existing Condition All of the key intersections are currently operating within the city standards from an overall standpoint. The intersections of College/Crestridge and College/Smokey are 8 | P a g e E L B E n g i n e e r i n g , L L C 5 4 0 1 T a y l o r L a n e F o r t C o l l i n s , C O 8 0 5 2 8 V i n e y a r d - G o l d e l m T I S 9 7 0 - 988- 7 5 5 1 bruary, 2016 experiencing delay – primarily the left turns onto College Avenue. This is a normal condition for an urban area. A Traffic Signal Warrant Analysis was conducted for the existing condition to determine if signalization was warranted at this time. The results indicate that the intersection of Crestridge/College/Smokey did not meet signal warrants under today’s trafficand the MUTCD requirements. Only the Peak Hour Warrant (#3) was analyzed. Results of this analysis is found in Appendix D. 4.0 Project Description 4.1 Project The project consists of developing the vacant parcel of land on the west side of College Avenue between Crestridge Road and Fossil Creek Boulevard. The property is situated just south of the Redtail Grove Natural Area. The project proposes to construct the project in three phases:  Phase I – 250 apartments (non-student)  Phase II – 18 thousand square feet of either specialty retail or auto sales  Phase III – 42 thousand square feet for the Vineyard church The project is surrounded by both commercial and residential developments. Access to the site will be from a right-in/right-out access on the north end of the project and on the south, at Crestridge Road. Crestridge Road is anticipated to be signalized in the future and realigned with Smokey Street on the east side of College Avenue. For analysis purposes, it will be assumed that the development will be completed in the following years:  Phase I by 2018  Phase II by 2020  Phase III is undetermined but will be considered in the long term analysis. The preliminary site plan is displayed in Figure 3. 9 | P a g e E L B E n g i n e e r i n g , L L C 5 4 0 1 T a y l o r L a n e F o r t C o l l i n s , C O 8 0 5 2 8 V i n e y a r d - G o l d e l m T I S 9 7 0 - 988- 7 5 5 1 bruary, 2016 Figure 3- Preliminary Site Plan 4.2 Trip Generation Trip generation rates for the proposed project are based on the ITE Trip Generation, 9 th Edition. The manual presents data from numerous trip generation studies for a variety of land uses from across the country. ITE Code 220, Apartments, was used for the residential and ITE Code 826 for the retail portion, and ITE Code 560 for the church use. No trip reductions were assumed as part of the project. Table 3 below summarizes the proposed trip generation for the project. For the entire project, during the morning peak hour, 294 trip ends can be expected and 298 trip ends can be expected from the project during the afternoon peak hours. North 10 | P a g e E L B E n g i n e e r i n g , L L C 5 4 0 1 T a y l o r L a n e F o r t C o l l i n s , C O 8 0 5 2 8 V i n e y a r d - G o l d e l m T I S 9 7 0 - 988- 7 5 5 1 bruary, 2016   / ITE Code Land Use Size AWDTA AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour Rate Trips Rate In Out Rate In Out Phase I 220 Apartments 250 6.65 1663 0.55 37 98 0.67 102 65 Phase II 826 Specialty Retail Center 18 44.32 798 6.84 59 64 5.02 51 40 Phase II 560 Church 42 9.11 383 0.87 20 16 0.94 21 19 Total 2843 116 178 174 124 Table 3 - Trip Generation 4.3 Trip Distribution Trip distribution is the process of determining where the trips are coming to and from the site. Since all trips into the site must come enter the site from College Avenue, the distribution is all north-south movements. The distribution for the project is displayed in Figure 4. Figure 4 – Trip Distribution 35% North South College 65% 11 | P a g e E L B E n g i n e e r i n g , L L C 5 4 0 1 T a y l o r L a n e F o r t C o l l i n s , C O 8 0 5 2 8 V i n e y a r d - G o l d e l m T I S 9 7 0 - 988- 7 5 5 1 bruary, 2016   /   /   / 4.4 Site Distributed Traffic Based on the trip generation, the project trips were then assigned to the surrounding roadway network based on the estimated trip distribution. The numbers have been rounded to the nearest “5”. These estimated project trips will be utilized by adding them to the background traffic then analyzed to estimated roadway impact. Site distributed traffic is shown below in Figure 5.  Figure 5 – Site Distributed Traffic by Phase 20/10 North South College Phase I 65/45 20/10 15/35 15/35 25/20 South College Phase II 105/70 35/20 35/55 30/60 30/20 South College Phase III 115/80 40/25 15/35 35/80 30/35 50/40 12 | P a g e E L B E n g i n e e r i n g , L L C 5 4 0 1 T a y l o r L a n e F o r t C o l l i n s , C O 8 0 5 2 8 V i n e y a r d - G o l d e l m T I S 9 7 0 - 988- 7 5 5 1 bruary, 2016 Smokey Skyway 5.0 Traffic Projections/Background Analysis 5.1 Traffic Projections Background traffic for the horizon years was estimated by assuming that all traffic movements would increase by 1.0% per year, as agreed to in the initial scoping meeting with the Traffic Operations Department. The projections are based on the Colorado Department of Transportation estimates and the OTIS estimation for future traffic projections on the state highway system. Background traffic is displayed in Figure 6, 7 and 8. Figure 6 – Year 2018 Background Peak Hour Turning Movements (AM/PM) 45/40 10/10 20/10 10/30 1385/1140 30/25 40/40 5/15 30/20 55/40 760/1590 35/140 20/30 10/10 20/75 15/50 1500/1110 40/60 880/1695 30/40 North South College 10/10 1520/1195 35/5 860/1615 Crestridge 13 | P a g e E L B E n g i n e e r i n g , L L C 5 4 0 1 T a y l o r L a n e F o r t C o l l i n s , C O 8 0 5 2 8 V i n e y a r d - G o l d e l m T I S 9 7 0 - 988- 7 5 5 1 bruary, 2016 Smokey Skyway Figure 7 – Year 2020 Background Peak Hour Turning Movements (AM/PM) 50/40 10/10 20/10 10/30 1415/1165 30/25 45/40 5/15 30/20 55/40 775/1620 35/140 20/30 10/10 20/75 15/50 1530/1220 40/60 870/1705 30/40 North South College 10/10 1550/1280 35/5 875/1680 Crestridge 14 | P a g e E L B E n g i n e e r i n g , L L C 5 4 0 1 T a y l o r L a n e F o r t C o l l i n s , C O 8 0 5 2 8 V i n e y a r d - G o l d e l m T I S 9 7 0 - 988- 7 5 5 1 bruary, 2016 Smokey Skyway Figure 8 – Year 2036 Background Peak Hour Turning Movements (AM/PM) 55/50 10/15 25/15 45/45 5/15 35/20 10/35 1630/1345 35/30 45/45 5/15 35/20 65/45 895/2000 40//150 25/35 10/15 25/80 20/50 1760/1405 45/70 1015/1955 30/40 North South College 10/15 1765/1480 40/5 1010/1940 Crestridge 15 | P a g e E L B E n g i n e e r i n g , L L C 5 4 0 1 T a y l o r L a n e F o r t C o l l i n s , C O 8 0 5 2 8 V i n e y a r d - G o l d e l m T I S 9 7 0 - 988- 7 5 5 1 bruary, 2016 5.2 Capacity Analysis - Background Capacity analysis was performed for all the key intersections based on the techniques of the 2010 Highway Capacity Manual. The analysis revealed that the intersection get slightly worse in terms of delay as we moved through the horizon years. In particular, the minor street left turns from Crestridge and Smokey experience high levels of delay under stop sign control. The intersection of College/Skyway continues to operate at good levels of service without improvements through the year 2036. Tables 4-6 display the results of the analysis and capacity worksheets can be found in Appendix E. M  PM I M O D(/) O D(/) COLLEGE/SKYWAY EBL/T/R (APPROACH) D 51.7 D 52.1 Signal APPROACH D 51.7 D 52.1 WBL/T D 47.5 D 48.7 WBR D 48.4 D 50.4 WB APPROACH D 48.0 D 49.6 NBL A 3.8 A 6.5 NBT A 7.8 A 6.7 NBR A 4.1 A 4.1 NB APPROACH A 7.7 A 6.7 SBL A 5.7 A 5.3 SBT A 4.8 A 8.0 SBR A 3.6 A 3.7 SB APPROACH A 4.7 A 7.7 OVERALL A 9.2 A 9.2 COLLEGE/SMOKEY WBL/T D 25.2 E 38.1 STOP SIGN SBL A 14.8 B 11.7 OVERALL A 0.5 A 1.7 COLLEGE/CRESTRIDGE EBL/R C 14.9 F 51.5 STOP SIGN NBL A 10.0 C 15.4 OVERALL A 0.2 A 0.8 Table 4 - Year 2018 Background Traffic 16 | P a g e E L B E n g i n e e r i n g , L L C 5 4 0 1 T a y l o r L a n e F o r t C o l l i n s , C O 8 0 5 2 8 V i n e y a r d - G o l d e l m T I S 9 7 0 - 988- 7 5 5 1 bruary, 2016 M  PM I M O D(/) O D(/) COLLEGE/SKYWAY EBL/T/R (APPROACH) D 51.3 D 52.1 Signal APPROACH D 51.3 D 52.1 WBL/T D 46.9 D 848.7 WBR D 47.2 D 50.4 WB APPROACH D 47.0 D 49.6 NBL A 4.1 A 6.7 NBT A 8.4 A 6.8 NBR A 4.4 A 4.1 NB APPROACH A 8.3 A 6.8 SBL A 6.3 A 5.5 SBT A 5.1 A 8.2 SBR A 3.9 A 3.7 SB APPROACH A 5.1 A 7.9 OVERALL A 9.9 A 9.3 COLLEGE/SMOKEY WBL/T D 30.6 E 46.1 STOP SIGN SBL C 15.1 B 12.5 OVERALL A 0.6 A 2.0 COLLEGE/CRESTRIDGE EBL/R C 21.8 F 58.8 STOP SIGN NBL B 10.0 C 16.0 OVERALL A 0.3 A 0.8 Table 5 - Year 2020 Background Traffic M  PM I M O D(/) O D(/) COLLEGE/SKYWAY EBL/T/R (APPROACH) D 51.1 D 51.6 Signal APPROACH D 51.1 D 51.6 WBL/T D 46.1 D 47.1 WBR D 46.6 D 48.6 WB APPROACH D 46.4 D 47.9 NBL A 4.5 B 15.6 NBT B 10.6 A 8.4 NBR A 4.7 A 4.6 NB APPROACH A 10.4 A 8.5 SBL A 9.2 A 8.4 SBT A 5.8 B 13.5 SBR A 4.2 A 4.2 SB APPROACH A 5.8 B 13.0 OVERALL B 11.1 B 12.9 COLLEGE/SMOKEY WBL/T E 46.3 F 50.3 STOP SIGN SBL C 17.9 B 14.1 OVERALL A 0.9 A 2.0 COLLEGE/CRESTRIDGE EBL/R D 27.5 F 76.7 STOP SIGN NBL B 10.7 C 19.6 OVERALL A 0.4 A 1.2 Table 6 - Year 2036 Background Traffic 17 | P a g e E L B E n g i n e e r i n g , L L C 5 4 0 1 T a y l o r L a n e F o r t C o l l i n s , C O 8 0 5 2 8 V i n e y a r d - G o l d e l m T I S 9 7 0 - 988- 7 5 5 1 bruary, 2016 5.2 Total Traffic Projections and Analysis Site generated traffic was then added to the background traffic to derive the total traffic expected on the network for the horizons years. Figures 9-11 display the total traffic that is used in the analysis. While calculating the “Total Traffic Projections”, a Warrant Study was conducted at the intersections of College Ave/Crestridge/Smokey. It was determined that with the first phase of the project completed, the intersection would meet traffic signal warrants under the Manual on Uniform Traffic Control Devices, 2009. For analysis purposes, it was assumed that Crestridge and Smokey would be realigned sometime in between the construction of phase I and phase II. However, this does not prohibit the developer to construct the realignment during the phase I construction (which would be preferred on several levels). The Year 2018 “Total Traffic” diagram as shown in Figure 9 assumed that 65 EB left turn morning peak hour trips and 45 EB left turn morning trips went south through the neighborhood to make the EBLT at Skyway and College. The delays in making this movement at Crestridge would be severe and they would most likely cut through the neighborhood to make the left turn safely. From a daily trip perspective, ELB Engineering, LLC has estimated that the total project would generate over 2800 trips per day. Half of these trips ends are in and the other half are leaving the site. If the assumption is that 65% of these trips are heading north, there will probably be 900 extra trips going through the neighborhood to make the left turn at Skyway. From a traffic engineering perspective, going through the neighborhood is a safe and reasonable maneuver. From a neighborhood perspective, the increase in traffic will be unacceptable. If this project is to be successful, then the developer needs to find a way to reconstruct Crestridge Road and signalize the intersection in the early stages of the project. The Warrant Study can be found in Appendix F and the Capacity Worksheets in Appendix G. 18 | P a g e E L B E n g i n e e r i n g , L L C 5 4 0 1 T a y l o r L a n e F o r t C o l l i n s , C O 8 0 5 2 8 V i n e y a r d - G o l d e l m T I S 9 7 0 - 988- 7 5 5 1 bruary, 2016 Crestridge Smokey Skyway Figure 9 – Year 2018 Total Traffic – Phase I w/o realigned Crestridge 110/185 10/10 20/10 45/45 5/15 35/20 10/30 1400/1175 30/25 40/40 5/15 30/20 55/40 830/1630 35/140 20/30 30/20 20/75 15/50 1620/1190 40/60 860/1595 30/45 North South College 40/45 1600/1220 40/35 860/1615 Venus Rd 25/20 1670/1250 20/35 865/1645 19 | P a g e E L B E n g i n e e r i n g , L L C 5 4 0 1 T a y l o r L a n e F o r t C o l l i n s , C O 8 0 5 2 8 V i n e y a r d - G o l d e l m T I S 9 7 0 - 988- 7 5 5 1 bruary, 2016 Crestridge Smokey Skyway 50/40 10/10 20/10 45/45 5/15 35/20 10/30 1450/1230 30/25 45/40 5/15 30/20 55/40 840/1670 35/140 125/100 Negligible 45/30 20/75 Negligible 15/50 North South College 45/65 1530/1220 40/60 65/40 840/1635 30/40 Venus Rd 25/20 1675/1395 30/60 935/1715 20 | P a g e E L B E n g i n e e r i n g , L L C 5 4 0 1 T a y l o r L a n e F o r t C o l l i n s , C O 8 0 5 2 8 V i n e y a r d - G o l d e l m T I S 9 7 0 - 988- 7 5 5 1 bruary, 2016 Crestridge Smokey Skyway Figure 10 – Year 2020 Total Traffic – Phase II w/ realigned Crestridge Figure 11 – Year 2036 Total Traffic – Phase III 55/50 10/15 25/15 45/45 5/15 35/20 10/35 1645/1380 35/30 45/45 5/15 35/20 65/45 965/2045 40/150 135/110 Negligible 40/35 25/80 Negligible 20/50 North South College 50/85 1760/1405 45/70 85/45 955/1935 30/40 Venus Rd 30/20 1895/1595 35/80 1070/2020 21 | P a g e E L B E n g i n e e r i n g , L L C 5 4 0 1 T a y l o r L a n e F o r t C o l l i n s , C O 8 0 5 2 8 V i n e y a r d - G o l d e l m T I S 9 7 0 - 988- 7 5 5 1 bruary, 2016 Capacity analysis was performed on each of the key intersections for the years 2018, 2020 and for 2036. As stated earlier, it was assumed that in 2018, Crestridge and not yet been realigned. The intersection of College and Skyway functioned well with additional WB left turns added to the intersection. In the years 2020 and 2036, it was assumed that the key intersection had been realigned. For analysis purposes the following geometry was assumed:  The NB and SB approaches all had left turn lanes, two through lanes and an auxiliary right turn lane.  Crestridge approach assumed a left turn lane and a combination thru-right  The Smokey approach assumed the existing geometry with a combination left- thru-right.  The intersection operated under a 6-phase traffic signal with protected/permitted left turn phasing for the north and southbound left turns. The results of the analysis are shown in Tables 7-9 on the following pages. The key intersections operate under acceptable conditions in the short and long range future. M  PM I M O D(/) O D(/) COLLEGE/SKYWAY EBL/T/R (APPROACH) D 50.3 D 50.8 Signal APPROACH D 50.3 D 50.8 WBL/T D 42.6 D 44.3 WBR D 43.1 D 45.0 WB APPROACH D 42.9 D 44.7 NBL A 5.4 A 9.3 NBT B 10.5 A 9.0 NBR A 5.5 A 5.4 NB APPROACH B 10.4 A 8.9 SBL A 8.0 A 7.5 SBT A 6.8 B 11.0 SBR A 5.0 A 4.9 SB APPROACH A 6.7 B 10.6 OVERALL B 11.9 B 12.1 COLLEGE/SMOKEY WBL/T D 29.0 E 41.9 STOP SIGN SBL C 16.1 B 12.3 OVERALL A 0.6 A 1.9 COLLEGE/CRESTRIDGE EBL/R C 19.6 F 52.1 STOP SIGN NBL B 10.2 C 16.6 OVERALL A 0.5 A 1.1 COLLEGE/VENUS (access) EBR B 11.9 C 18.0 Table 7 – Year 2018 Total Traffic Analysis 22 | P a g e E L B E n g i n e e r i n g , L L C 5 4 0 1 T a y l o r L a n e F o r t C o l l i n s , C O 8 0 5 2 8 V i n e y a r d - G o l d e l m T I S 9 7 0 - 988- 7 5 5 1 bruary, 2016 M  PM I M O D(/) O D(/) COLLEGE/SKYWAY EBL/T/R (APPROACH) D 51.5 D 52.1 Signal APPROACH D 51.5 D 52.1 WBL/T D 47.0 D 4.7 WBR D 48.1 D 50.4 WB APPROACH D 47.6 D 49.6 NBL A 4.0 A 7.2 NBT A 8.4 A 7.1 NBR A 4.2 A 4.1 NB APPROACH A 8.3 A 7.0 SBL A 6.4 A 6.0 SBT A 5.2 B 8.5 SBR A 3.8 A 3.7 SB APPROACH A 5.1 A 8.2 OVERALL A 9.7 A 9.5 COLLEGE/CRESTRIDGE/SMOKEY EBL D 39.1 D 43.5 Signal EBT/T D 36.2 D 38.7 EB APPROACH D 38.3 D 42.3 WBL/T/R D 35.4 D 43.2 WB APPROACH D 35.4 D 43.2 NBL A 5.0 B 12.4 NBT A 9.9 A 9.5 NBR A 5.1 A 6.1 NB APPROACH A 9.7 A 9.5 SBL A 8.6 A 8.8 SBT A 7.1 B 1.3 SBR A 5.5 A 5.7 SB APPROACH A 7.0 B 11.9 OVERALL B 11.0 B 13.4 COLLEGE/VENUS (access) EBR B 12.4 C 19.4 Table 8 - Year 2020 Total Traffic Analysis 23 | P a g e E L B E n g i n e e r i n g , L L C 5 4 0 1 T a y l o r L a n e F o r t C o l l i n s , C O 8 0 5 2 8 V i n e y a r d - G o l d e l m T I S 9 7 0 - 988- 7 5 5 1 bruary, 2016 M  PM I M O D(/) O D(/) COLLEGE/SKYWAY EBL/T/R (APPROACH) D 51.2 D 51.6 Signal APPROACH D 51.2 D 51.6 WBL/T D 46.2 D 47.1 WBR D 46.7 D 48.6 WB APPROACH D 46.4 D 47.9 NBL A 4.6 B 17.3 NBT B 10.6 A 8.6 NBR A 4.7 A 4.6 NB APPROACH B 10.5 A 8.7 SBL A 9.4 A 9.0 SBT A 6.0 B 14.3 SBR A 4.2 A 4.2 SB APPROACH A 6.0 A 13.8 OVERALL B 11.1 B 13.4 COLLEGE/CRESTRIDGE/SMOKEY EBL D 43.5 D 44.7 Signal EBT/T D 39.4 D 39.2 EB APPROACH D 42.5 D 43.3 WBL/T/R D 39.3 D 43.5 WB APPROACH D 39.3 D 43.5 NBL A 5.4 C 25.7 NBT B 12.3 B 10.4 NBR A 5.2 A 5.9 NB APPROACH B 12.0 B 11.0 SBL B 12.1 A 8.5 SBT A 7.6 B 19.3 SBR A 5.6 A 6.2 SB APPROACH A 7.5 B 18.8 OVERALL B 12.6 B 17.5 COLLEGE/VENUS (access) EBR B 13.4 C 23.9 Table 9 Year 2036 Total Traffic Analysis 6.0 Improvements 6.1. Auxiliary Lanes: College Avenue is a State Highway under the “NRA” classification category with a speed limit of 55 mph. Based on the State Highway Access Code, the following improvements would be required:  Connection of Venus at College Ave.: o Southbound deceleration lane of 600’. This may be difficult to accomplish with the bridge in place over Fossil Creek o A southbound acceleration lane from Venus at a length of 960’ o Some form of median control to prevent the NB left turn and the and the EB left turn from the intersection 24 | P a g e E L B E n g i n e e r i n g , L L C 5 4 0 1 T a y l o r L a n e F o r t C o l l i n s , C O 8 0 5 2 8 V i n e y a r d - G o l d e l m T I S 9 7 0 - 988- 7 5 5 1 bruary, 2016  College/Smokey/Crestridge Realignment o NB and SB right turn lanes should be provided at the new intersection with at least 600’ of deceleration and 60 ‘ of storage. o NB and SB right turn lanes are already present and should be brought up to the code in terms of deceleration. o NB and SB acceleration lanes would be required at the intersection that would accommodate “free right turns” 7.0. Multi-Modal Evaluation Section 4.5.3 (B) of the Larimer County Urban Area Street Standards requires that projects undergo a level of service analysis for alternative modes of transportation. The modes of transportation that must meet LOS standards are bicycles, and pedestrians. Transit service LOS must also be analyzed at the time of development review. 7.1 Pedestrian Level of Service The project area was evaluated for compliance with the pedestrian level of service standards. The project will construct pedestrian facilities an amenities to ensure that on- site pedestrian is safe and pleasant. Sidewalks, crosswalks, appropriate lighting will all be in place as the project develops. As stated previously, the site is surrounded by older county developments and there are no sidewalks in the immediate vicinity. It is physically impossible to connect to exist to surrounding neighborhoods via pedestrian facilities. There are sidewalks in the Redtail Ponds development to the north of the site but there isn’t an area considered a “pedestrian destination” in the development. On the northeast corner of the site, a pedestrian/trail connection could be made to the Mason Street Trail that would give additional access to other locations. The development will provide all pedestrian facilities and amenities in conformance with the City of Fort Collins standards. 7.2 Bicycles Level of Service The project meets the standard of C for bicycle LOS. This LOS can be achieved if the project makes the connection to the Mason Street Trail to the north of the project. This trail provides access both to the north and to the east of the site. 25 | P a g e E L B E n g i n e e r i n g , L L C 5 4 0 1 T a y l o r L a n e F o r t C o l l i n s , C O 8 0 5 2 8 V i n e y a r d - G o l d e l m T I S 9 7 0 - 988- 7 5 5 1 bruary, 2016 At one time, there were bike lanes on College Avenue from Harmony Road to Carpenter Road. When CDOT repaved College Avenue in 2015, the bike lanes were removed and never replaced. The bike lanes were originally installed as an “experiment” by the City of Fort Collins under the permission of both CDOT and FHWA. The City was under the obligation to study the area and write a report on the results of the experiment. However, it is unknown if that report was ever written or why the bike lanes were removed. If the bike lanes had remained on College Avenue, then the LOS would be elevated to a B. C. Transit Level of Service The project is located to the south of the normal operations of the Transfort Bus Service. However, there are bus stops within walking distance to the north and to the south of the site that will allow people to access the bus system through the Flex routes. If a connection is made to the Mason Trail, then residents, employees, and customers will have full access to the site via transit. The City of Fort Collins South Transit is located north of the site with easy access via the trail. 26 | P a g e E L B E n g i n e e r i n g , L L C 5 4 0 1 T a y l o r L a n e F o r t C o l l i n s , C O 8 0 5 2 8 V i n e y a r d - G o l d e l m T I S 9 7 0 - 988- 7 5 5 1 bruary, 2016 8.0 Conclusion This TIS assessed the impacts associated with the Vineyard-Goldelm ODP/PDP located on the west side of College Avenue in South Fort Collins, CO. The project proposes to construct 250 apartments, 18 thousand square feet of retail/car sales and a 42 thousand square foot church. Based on the analyses, investigations, and findings documented in the various sections of this Transportation Impact Study, the following can be concluded. o Current operation is acceptable at all of the key intersections. Minor street left turns at Crestridge and Smokey are problematic in the peak hours. o Operation at the key intersections will be acceptable under full build-out of the project. o The realignment of Crestridge and Smokey should occur with the first phase of the project when signal warrants are satisfied. o For the entire project, during the morning peak hour, 294 trip ends can be expected and 298 trip ends can be expected from the project during the afternoon peak hours. o A new traffic signal will be warranted at Crestridge/College and is in conformance with the Access Control Plan. o The project will be required to provide auxiliary lanes in conformance with the State Highway Access Code as discussed in the report. o Multi-modal level of service can be satisfied for bikes and transit. LOS for pedestrians cannot be satisfied since there are no sidewalks in the immediate area. The project will construct the sidewalk system in conformance with the City Standards. Statement of Adequacy: The transportation facilities will be adequate and available to serve this development as contained in the Larimer County Urban Area Street Standards. All applicable LOS standards will be met since all transportation facilities are in place or will be in place upon issuance of a certificate of occupancy.