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HomeMy WebLinkAboutWATERFIELD THIRD FILING - PDP - PDP130037 - REPORTS - TRAFFIC STUDYDELICH Waterfield TIS, December 2013 ASSOCIATES TABLE OF CONTENTS I. INTRODUCTION ........................................................................................................ 1 II. EXISTING CONDITIONS .......................................................................................... 2 Land Use ......................................................................................................................... 2 Streets ............................................................................................................................. 2 Existing Traffic ................................................................................................................. 5 Existing Operation ........................................................................................................... 5 Pederstrian Facilities ....................................................................................................... 9 Bicycle Facilities .............................................................................................................. 9 Transit Facilities .............................................................................................................. 9 III. PROPOSED DEVELOPMENT ............................................................................... 10 Trip Generation ............................................................................................................. 10 Trip Distribution ............................................................................................................. 10 Background Traffic Projections ..................................................................................... 14 Trip Assignment ............................................................................................................ 14 Signal Warrants ............................................................................................................. 14 Operation Analysis ........................................................................................................ 22 Vine/Lemay Adequate Public Facilities ......................................................................... 26 Geometry ...................................................................................................................... 30 Pedestrian Level of Service ........................................................................................... 30 Bicycle Level of Service ................................................................................................ 30 Transit Level of Service ................................................................................................. 33 IV. CONCLUSIONS .................................................................................................... 34 LIST OF TABLES 1. Current Peak Hour Operation .................................................................................... 8 2. Trip Generation ....................................................................................................... 12 3. Short Range (2018) Background Peak Hour Operation .......................................... 23 4. Long Range (2030) Background Peak Hour Operation ........................................... 24 5. Short Range (2018) Total Peak Hour Operation ..................................................... 27 6. Long Range (2030) Total Peak Hour Operation ...................................................... 28 DELICH Waterfield TIS, December 2013 ASSOCIATES LIST OF FIGURES 1. Site Location ............................................................................................................. 3 2. Existing Geometry ..................................................................................................... 4 3. Recent Peak Hour Traffic .......................................................................................... 6 4. Balanced Recent Peak Hour Traffic .......................................................................... 7 5. Site Plan .................................................................................................................. 11 6. Trip Distribution ....................................................................................................... 13 7. Short Range (2018) Background Peak Hour Traffic ................................................ 15 8. Short Range (2018) Background Peak Hour Traffic with New Vine ........................ 16 9. Long Range (2035) Background Peak Hour Traffic ................................................. 17 10. Short Range (2018) Site Generated Peak Hour Traffic ........................................... 18 11. Long Range (2035) Site Generated Peak Hour Traffic ............................................ 19 12. Short Range (2018) Total Peak Hour Traffic ........................................................... 20 13. Long Range (2035) Total Peak Hour Traffic ............................................................ 21 14. Short Range (2018) Geometry ................................................................................ 31 15. Long Range (2035) Geometry ................................................................................. 32 APPENDICES A. Base Assumptions Form B. Peak Hour Traffic Counts C. Current Peak Hour Operation/Level of Service Descriptions/Fort Collins Motor Vehicle LOS Standards (Intersections) D. Signal Warrants E. Short Range (2018) Background Peak Hour Operation F. Long Range (2035) Background Peak Hour Operation G. Short Range (2018) Total Peak Hour Operation H. Long Range (2035) Total Peak Hour Operation I. Pedestrian/Bicycle Level of Service Worksheets DELICH Waterfield TIS, December 2013 ASSOCIATES Page 1 I. INTRODUCTION This transportation impact study (TIS) addresses the capacity, geometric, and control requirements at and near the proposed Waterfield development. The proposed Waterfield site is located north of Vine Drive and east of Timberline Road in Fort Collins, Colorado. Waterfield is a residential development with a neighborhood park, school, and neighbor center. During the course of the analysis, numerous contacts were made with the owner (Parker Land Investors), the project engineer (Northern Engineering), the project planning consultant (Ripley Design), Fort Collins Traffic Engineering, and Fort Collins Transportation Planning. The Transportation Impact Study Base Assumptions form and related documents are provided in Appendix A. This study generally conforms to the format set forth in the Fort Collins TIS Guidelines in the “Larimer County Urban Area Street Standards” (LCUASS). Due to the trip generation, this is a full transportation impact study. The study involved the following steps: - Collect physical, traffic, and development data; - Perform trip generation, trip distribution, and trip assignment; - Determine peak hour traffic volumes; - Conduct capacity and operational level of service analyses on key intersections; - Analyze signal warrants; - Conduct level of service evaluation of pedestrian, bicycle, and transit modes of transportation This TIS is a revision of the “Waterfield Transportation Impact Study” dated November 2013. The revised TIS addresses Fort Collins staff comments. DELICH Waterfield TIS, December 2013 ASSOCIATES Page 2 II. EXISTING CONDITIONS The location of the Waterfield development is shown in Figure 1. It is important that a thorough understanding of the existing conditions be presented. Land Use Land uses in the area are primarily residential, industrial, and agricultural/open. There are residential uses to the south and southeast of the site. There are industrial uses to the south of the site. There are agricultural/open space uses to the west, east, and north of the site. The proposed Waterfield site is currently vacant. The center of Fort Collins lies to the southwest of the proposed Waterfield site. Streets The primary streets near the Waterfield site are Timberline Road, Vine Drive, Lemay Avenue, and Merganser Drive. Figure 2 shows a schematic of the existing geometry at the Timberline/Vine, Vine/Bull Run Access, Vine/Merganser, and Lemay/Vine intersections. Timberline Road is to the east of (adjacent to) the proposed Waterfield site. It is a north-south street classified as a four-lane arterial according to the Fort Collins Master Street Plan. Currently, Timberline Road has a two-lane cross section in this area. At the Timberline/Vine intersection, Timberline Road has all movements combined into a single lane. The Timberline/Vine intersection has all-way stop control. The posted speed limit in this area of Timberline Road is 35 mph, south of Vine Drive, and 45 mph, north of Vine Drive. Vine Drive is to the south of (adjacent to) the proposed Waterfield site. It is an east-west street classified as a two-lane collector according to the Fort Collins Master Street plan. Currently, Vine Drive has a two-lane cross section. At the Timberline/Vine intersection, Vine Drive has all movements combined into a single lane. At the Vine/Bull Run Access intersection, Vine Drive has all movements combined into a single lane. At the Vine/Merganser intersection, Vine Drive has all movements combined into a single lane. At the Lemay/Vine intersection, Vine Drive has an eastbound and a westbound left-turn lane and a through/right-turn lane in each direction. The Vine/Bull Run Access and Vine/Merganser intersections have stop sign control on the Bull Run Access and Merganser Drive, respectively. The Lemay/Vine intersection has signal control. The posted speed limit in this area of Vine Drive is 45 mph, east of Lemay Avenue and 35 mph, approaching the Lemay/Vine intersection. Merganser Drive is to the east of (adjacent to) the proposed Waterfield site. It is a north-south street classified as a local according to the Fort Collins Master Street plan. Merganser Drive only has a north leg at the Vine/Merganser intersection. Currently, Merganser Drive has a two-lane cross section with parking on both sides of BURLINGTON NORTHERN RAILROAD SCALE: 1"=2000' SITE LOCATION Figure 1 DELICH ASSOCIATES Waterfield TIS, December 2013 Page 3 Vine Drive Timberline Road Mountain Vista Mulberry Road Lemay Avenue EXISTING GEOMETRY Figure 2 DELICH ASSOCIATES Waterfield TIS, December 2013 Page 4 AM/PM Lemay Avenue Bull Run Access Timberline Road Vine Drive Merganser Drive DELICH Waterfield TIS, December 2013 ASSOCIATES Page 5 the street. At the Vine/Merganser intersection, Merganser Drive has no striping. However, it was observed to operate as a southbound left-turn lane and southbound right-turn lane. The posted speed limit in this area on Merganser Drive is 25 mph. Lemay Avenue is to the west of the proposed Waterfield site. It is a north-south street classified as a four-lane arterial according to the Fort Collins Master Street plan. Currently, Lemay Avenue has a two-lane cross section. At the Lemay/Vine intersection, Lemay Avenue has all movements combined into a single lane. The posted speed limit in this area of Lemay Avenue is 35 mph, north of Vine Drive and 30 mph, south of Vine Drive. Existing Traffic Recent morning and afternoon peak hour traffic volumes are shown in Figure 3. The traffic counts at the Timberline/Vine, Vine/Bull Run Access, and Vine/Merganser intersections were obtained in May 2013 while school was in session. The traffic counts at the Lemay/Vine intersection were obtained in August 2012 by the City of Fort Collins. Raw traffic count data are provided in Appendix B. Since the counts were done on different days, the counts were adjusted/balanced. The adjusted/balanced recent peak hour traffic is shown in Figure 4. Existing Operation The Timberline/Vine, Vine/Bull Run Access (for information only), Vine/Merganser, and Lemay/Vine intersections were evaluated using techniques provided in the 2010 Highway Capacity Manual and 2000 Highway Capacity Manual. Using the morning and afternoon peak hour traffic shown in Figure 4, the peak hour operation is shown in Table 1. Calculation forms are provided in Appendix C. The key intersections are currently operating acceptably with existing control and geometry in the morning and afternoon peak hours. A description of level of service for signalized and unsignalized intersections from the 2010 Highway Capacity Manual and a table showing the Fort Collins Motor Vehicle LOS Standards (Intersections) are also provided in Appendix C. This site is in an area termed “low density mixed use residential” on the Fort Collins Structure Plan. In areas termed “low density mixed use residential,” acceptable overall operation at signalized intersections during the peak hours is defined as level of service D or better. At signalized intersections, acceptable operation of any leg and any movement is level of service D. At arterial/collector and arterial/local stop sign controlled intersections, acceptable operation is considered to be at level of service F for any approach leg, which is considered to be normal in an urban environment. At collector/local stop sign controlled intersections, acceptable operation is considered to be at level of service C for any approach leg. The Lemay/Vine intersection is in an area termed “commercial corridor” on the Fort Collins Structure Plan. In this area, acceptable operation at signalized intersections during the peak hours is defined as level of service D or better for the overall intersection, and level of service E or better for any leg or movement. RECENT PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC Figure 3 DELICH ASSOCIATES Waterfield TIS, December 2013 Page 6 AM/PM Merganser Drive Bull Run Access Timberline Road Vine Drive 15/16 17/7 13/13 255/277 11/13 181/308 9/7 3/1 7/7 263/286 5/13 189/320 77/122 103/226 37/66 56/44 223/127 6/6 29/48 81/168 83/72 7/4 163/133 111/49 28/67 337/745 17/57 36/27 590/574 42/64 16/43 80/152 47/71 90/142 112/109 49/47 Lemay Avenue ADJUSTED/BALANCED RECENT PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC Figure 4 DELICH ASSOCIATES Waterfield TIS, December 2013 Page 7 AM/PM Merganser Drive Bull Run Access Timberline Road Vine Drive 15/16 17/7 13/13 269/282 11/13 179/295 9/7 3/1 7/7 277/291 5/13 187/307 74/120 103/226 37/66 53/44 223/127 6/6 30/50 82/176 84/76 7/4 155/131 111/49 28/67 337/745 17/57 36/27 590/574 42/64 16/43 80/152 47/71 90/142 112/109 49/47 Lemay Avenue DELICH Waterfield TIS, December 2013 ASSOCIATES Page 8 TABLE 1 Current Peak Hour Operation Intersection Movement Level of Service AM PM Timberline/Vine (stop sign) EB LT/T/RT B C WB LT/T/RT C B NB LT/T/RT B D SB LT/T/RT C B Vine/Bull Run (stop sign)(For information only) EB LT/T A A SB LT/RT B B Vine/Merganser (stop sign) EB LT/T A A SB LT B B SB RT B A SB APPROACH B B Lemay/Vine (signal) EB LT D D EB T/RT D D EB APPROACH D D WB LT D D WB T/RT D D WB APPROACH D D SB LT/T/RT A A NB LT/T/RT A A OVERALL B B DELICH Waterfield TIS, December 2013 ASSOCIATES Page 9 Pedestrian Facilities There are sidewalks along Timberline Road and Vine Drive along the Bull Run development. There are sidewalks along both sides of Merganser Drive. It is expected that as properties in this area are developed or redeveloped, sidewalks will be installed as part of the street/property infrastructure. Bicycle Facilities Bicycle lanes exist along Timberline Road, Vine Drive, and Lemay Avenue within the study area. Transit Facilities Currently, this area of Fort Collins is not served by Transfort. The closest routes are Route 8, at the Lemay/Vine intersection and Route 4, at the Timberline/Donella intersection. DELICH Waterfield TIS, December 2013 ASSOCIATES Page 10 III. PROPOSED DEVELOPMENT The Waterfield is a mixed use development with 191 single family dwelling units, 225 apartments, a school, park, and a neighborhood commercial center. Figure 5 shows a site plan of the Waterfield development. The short range analysis (Year 2018) includes the development of the 191 single family dwelling units (the area outlined in Figure 5) and an appropriate increase in background traffic due to normal growth and other potential developments in the area. This development will build the future realigned Vine Drive from Timberline Road to the west edge of the property. The long range future analysis year is considered to be 2035 and reflects the future realigned Vine Drive from North College Avenue to the existing Vine Drive to the east. The site plan shows that the residential area north of New Vine Drive will have access to New Vine Drive via Merganser Drive and access to Timberline Road. The residential area south of New Vine Drive will have one access to existing Vine Drive, two accesses to existing Merganser Drive, and one access to New Vine Drive. Trip Generation Trip generation is important in considering the impact of a development such as this upon the existing and proposed street system. Trip generation for Single Family Home (Code 210) in Trip Generation, 9th Edition, ITE was used to estimate the trips that would be generated by the proposed Waterfield development in the short range (2018) future. A trip is defined as a one-way vehicle movement from origin to destination. The short range (2018) calculated trip generation is 2010 daily trip ends; 153 morning peak hour trip ends; and 201 afternoon peak hour trip ends. In the long range (2035) trip generation for Elementary School (Code 520), City Park (Code 412), Apartments (Code 220), Day Care (Code 565), and Office (Code 710) in Trip Generation, 9th Edition, ITE was used to estimate the trips that would be generated by the remaining Waterfield development. The long range (2035) calculated trip generation is 4842 daily trip ends; 612 morning peak hour trip ends; and 523 afternoon peak hour trip ends. Table 2 shows the expected trip generation on a daily and peak hour basis. Trip Distribution Trip distribution for the Waterfield was based on existing/future travel patterns, land uses in the area, consideration of trip attractions/productions in the area, and engineering judgment. Figure 6 shows the trip distribution for the short range (2018) and long range (2035) analysis futures. The trip distribution was agreed to by City of Fort Collins staff in the scoping meeting. SITE PLAN Figure 5 DELICH ASSOCIATES Waterfield TIS, December 2013 Page 11 NOT TO SCALE DELICH Waterfield TIS, December 2013 ASSOCIATES Page 12 TABLE 2 Trip Generation Code Use Size AWDTE AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour Rate Trips Rate In Rate Out Rate In Rate Out Short Range (Phase 1) North of New Vine Drive 210 Single Family 116 D.U. Eq. 1204 Eq. 23 Eq. 68 Eq. 76 Eq. 44 South of New Vine Drive 210 Single Family 75 D.U. Eq. 806 Eq. 15 Eq. 47 Eq. 51 Eq. 30 Short Range Total 2010 38 115 127 74 Long Range 520 Elementary School 500 Students 1.29 646 0.25 125 0.20 100 0.07 35 0.08 40 412 City Park 8.1 Acres 2.28 18 0.012 0 0.008 0 0.055 1 0.035 0 220 Parcel B -Apartments 225 D.U. Eq. 1488 Eq. 23 Eq. 91 Eq. 81 Eq. 43 565 Parcel C –Day Care 130 Students 4.38 570 0.42 55 0.38 49 0.38 49 0.43 56 710 Parcel C -Office 10.0 KSF 11.03 110 1.37 14 0.19 2 0.25 3 1.24 12 Long Range Total 2832 217 242 169 151 Total 4842 255 357 296 225 TRIP DISTRIBUTION Figure 6 DELICH ASSOCIATES Waterfield TIS, December 2013 Page 13 Timberline Road Vine Drive 10% 40% 40% 10% DELICH Waterfield TIS, December 2013 ASSOCIATES Page 14 Background Traffic Projections Figure 7 shows the short range (2018) background peak hour traffic projections. These forecasts assume that the current street network exists in this area. Background traffic projections for the short range were obtained by reviewing the North Front Range Regional Transportation Plan, engineering judgment, and various traffic studies prepared for this area of Fort Collins. Based upon these sources, it was determined that the traffic volumes would increase by approximately 1.5 percent per year. The Lemay/Vine intersection was increased by added to traffic from approved projects in the area that have yet to be built or built out. This data was provided us by Fort Collins City staff. Figure 8 shows the short range (2018) background peak hour traffic with the connection of New Vine Drive to the Bull Run Development. This graphic reflects a reassignment of selected movements that would likely use New Vine Drive due to an additional access to Bull Run on the north side of that development. Figure 9 shows the long range (2035) background peak hour traffic projections. This reflects completion of the future Vine Drive, as shown in the Fort Collins Master Street Plan. The Fort Collins Master Street Plan shows Vine Drive as a four-lane arterial street. The traffic forecasts shown in Figure 9 do not indicate the need for a four-lane arterial street by the year 2035. The four-lane arterial street, shown on the Master Street Plan, is due to a potential interchange with I-25 at Vine Drive or other significant development east of I-25. In discussions with various Fort Collins staff, this interchange is not likely to occur by the year 2035, if at all. Significant development, east of I-25, is not likely to occur by 2035. Trip Assignment Trip assignment is how the generated and distributed trips are expected to be loaded on the street system. The assigned trips are the resultant of the trip distribution process. Figures 10 and 11 show the respective short range (2018) and long range (2035) site generated peak hour traffic assignment. Figures 12 and 13 show the respective short range (2018) and long range (2035) total (site plus background) peak hour traffic assignment. Signal Warrants As a matter of policy, traffic signals are not installed at any location unless warrants are met according to the Manual on Uniform Traffic Control Devices. For the roads in the vicinity of the Waterfield development, four hour and/or eight hour signal warrants are applicable. These warrants require much data and are applied when the traffic is actually on the area road system. It is acknowledged that peak hour signal warrants should not be applied, but since the peak hour forecasts are readily available in a traffic impact study, it SHORT RANGE (2018) BACKGROUND PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC Figure 7 DELICH ASSOCIATES Waterfield TIS, December 2013 Page 15 AM/PM Merganser Drive Timberline Road 9/7 3/1 7/7 299/313 5/13 201/331 80/129 111/243 40/71 57/47 240/137 6/6 32/54 88/190 90/82 8/4 167/141 120/53 Lemay Avenue 36/97 360/817 41/131 44/36 651/621 50/90 23/55 111/238 72/90 114/157 187/163 114/93 Vine Drive SHORT RANGE (2018) BACKGROUND PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC WITH NEW VINE Figure 8 DELICH ASSOCIATES Waterfield TIS, December 2013 Page 16 AM/PM Merganser Drive 9/7 2/1 4/4 299/313 5/13 201/331 6/6 148/168 3/3 300/187 3/1 9/5 New Vine Drive 4/2 3/3 Vine Drive 75/124 Timberline Road 116/248 40/71 54/44 247/141 8/7 29/53 86/189 84/78 9/5 166/140 120/53 Lemay Avenue 36/97 360/817 41/131 44/36 651/621 50/90 23/55 111/238 72/90 114/157 187/163 114/93 LONG RANGE (2035) BACKGROUND PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC Figure 9 DELICH ASSOCIATES Waterfield TIS, December 2013 Page 17 Merganser Drive 5/5 0/0 0/0 10/10 5/10 5/10 85/75 200/435 75/140 135/120 430/245 70/105 95/175 85/150 60/110 95/70 115/105 110/90 New Vine Drive Vine Drive Timberline Road 115/90 395/885 15/120 30/15 890/665 20/15 10/30 230/345 50/70 15/20 235/250 120/55 230/430 5/10 320/285 10/10 5/5 5/5 Lemay Avenue AM/PM Rounded to Nearest 5 Vehicles SHORT RANGE (2018) SITE GENERATED PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC Figure 10 DELICH ASSOCIATES Waterfield TIS, December 2013 Page 18 AM/PM Merganser Drive 28/18 19/13 6/21 7/12 10/30 9/11 5/13 8/27 1/7 24/15 5/4 12/8 New Vine Drive Vine Drive 6/23 Timberline Road 9/27 5/4 25/16 6/3 1/6 6/4 21/14 3/7 2/6 Lemay Avenue 7/23 2/8 6/20 7/5 18/12 21/13 Site Access 13/8 8/5 2/8 33/22 4/15 11/36 Site Access 1/3 3/2 Site Access 8/27 5/4 2/6 1/7 6/3 24/15 9/30 3/2 27/18 11/8 LONG RANGE (2035) SITE GENERATED PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC Figure 11 DELICH ASSOCIATES Waterfield TIS, December 2013 Page 19 AM/PM Merganser Drive Site Access 5/3 NOM NOM 1/5 11/6 NOM NOM 5/3 4/11 1/5 51/96 9/14 38/21 7/3 22/14 35/17 70/35 32/31 New Vine Drive 22/14 4/11 4/11 50/27 Vine Drive Site Access Timberline Road 15/33 5/11 13/30 12/7 33/17 38/20 6/3 NOM 32/20 40/24 NOM 55/30 18/64 40/16 2/6 14/44 77/31 11/34 SHORT RANGE (2018) TOTAL PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC Figure 12 DELICH ASSOCIATES Waterfield TIS, December 2013 Page 20 AM/PM Merganser Drive 37/25 21/14 10/25 306/325 15/43 210/342 11/19 156/195 4/10 324/202 8/5 21/13 Vine Drive 81/147 Timberline Road 125/275 40/71 59/48 272/157 14/10 30/59 92/193 105/92 12/12 168/146 120/53 Lemay Avenue 36/97 360/817 48/154 44/36 651/621 52/98 23/55 117/258 72/90 121/162 205/175 135/106 New Vine Drive Site Access 13/8 8/5 2/8 341/342 4/15 217/380 Site Access 1/3 3/2 Site Access 8/27 156/173 LONG RANGE (2035) TOTAL PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC Figure 13 DELICH ASSOCIATES Waterfield TIS, December 2013 Page 21 AM/PM Merganser Drive Site Access 10/10 0/0 0/0 10/10 5/15 5/10 135/170 200/435 75/140 145/135 470/265 75/110 115/190 120/165 130/145 95/70 145/135 110/90 New Vine Drive 410/695 5/10 640/480 50/30 Vine Drive Timberline Road 115/90 395/885 30/150 30/15 890/665 25/25 10/30 245/375 50/70 30/30 270/270 160/75 10/10 5/5 40/25 40/25 5/5 55/30 20/65 270/445 10/15 15/45 395/315 20/45 Site Access 10/5 DELICH Waterfield TIS, December 2013 ASSOCIATES Page 22 is reasonable to use them to get an idea whether other signal warrants may be met. If peak hour signal warrants will not be met at a given intersection, it is reasonable to conclude that it is not likely that other signal warrants would be met. If peak hour signal warrants are met, it merely indicates that further evaluation should occur in the future as the development occurs. However, a judgment can be made that some intersections will likely meet other signal warrants. Using the short range (2018) total peak hour traffic (Figure 12), the peak hour signal warrant will only be met in the afternoon peak hour at the existing Timberline/Vine intersection. However, it is unlikely that other signal warrants will be met in the short range (2018) future. In discussions with City staff, a signal at the existing Timberline/Vine intersection is not desired. Other key unsignalized intersections do not meet signal spacing and will not be signalized. The peak hour signal warrant analyses are provided in Appendix D. Using the long range (2035) total peak hour traffic (Figure 13), the peak hour signal warrant will likely be met in the morning and afternoon peak hours at the Timberline/New Vine intersection. Based on the peak hour signal warrant, it is likely that other volume based signal warrants would be met at the Timberline/New Vine and the Lemay/New Vine intersections. Therefore, the Timberline/New Vine and the Lemay/New Vine intersections were analyzed with signal control in the long range (2035) future. Other key unsignalized intersections do not meet signal spacing and will not be signalized. The peak hour signal warrant analyses are provided in Appendix D. Operation Analysis Capacity analyses were performed at the Timberline/Vine, Vine/Merganser, Vine/Site Access, Timberline/New Vine, Timberline/Site Access, New Vine/Merganser, and New Vine/Site Access intersections. The operations analyses were conducted for the short range and long range futures, reflecting year 2018 and 2035 conditions, respectively. Using the traffic volumes shown in Figure 7, the Timberline/Vine, Vine/Merganser, and Lemay/Vine intersections operate in the short range (2018) background traffic future as indicated in Table 3. Calculation forms for these analyses are provided in Appendix E. The key intersections will operate acceptably with the existing control and geometry, except for one movement at the Lemay/Vine intersection in the afternoon peak hour. At the Lemay/Vine intersection, the calculated delay for the afternoon peak hour westbound left-turn will be commensurate with level of service F. At the Timberline/Vine intersection, the calculated delay for the afternoon peak hour northbound approach was commensurate with level of service E. This is considered to be normal during the peak hours at stop sign controlled intersections along arterial streets. Using the traffic volumes shown in Figure 9, the Timberline/New Vine, New Vine/Merganser, Timberline/New Vine, Lemay/New Vine, and Vine/Merganser intersections operate in the long range (2035) background traffic future as indicated in Table 4. Calculation forms for these analyses are provided in Appendix F. The key intersections will operate acceptably. DELICH Waterfield TIS, December 2013 ASSOCIATES Page 23 TABLE 3 Short Range (2018) Background Peak Hour Operation Intersection Movement Level of Service AM PM Timberline/Vine (stop sign) EB LT/T/RT C C WB LT/T/RT C C NB LT/T/RT C E SB LT/T/RT C C Vine/Merganser (stop sign) EB LT/T A A SB LT B B SB RT B B OVERALL B B Lemay/Vine (signal) EB LT D D EB T/RT D D EB APPROACH D D WB LT D F WB T/RT D D WB APPROACH D E NB LT/T/RT A D SB LT/T/RT B C OVERALL C D DELICH Waterfield TIS, December 2013 ASSOCIATES Page 24 TABLE 4 Long Range (2035) Background Peak Hour Operation Intersection Movement Level of Service AM PM Timberline/New Vine (signal) EB LT C C EB T D C EB RT A A EB APPROACH D C WB LT C C WB T D D WB RT A A WB APPROACH D C NB LT A B NB T A B NB RT A B NB APPROACH A B SB LT A B SB T B B SB RT A B SB APPROACH A B OVERALL B B New Vine/Merganser (stop sign) WB LT A A NB LT/RT B B Continued on next page DELICH Waterfield TIS, December 2013 ASSOCIATES Page 25 Continued from previous page TABLE 4 Long Range (2035) Background Peak Hour Operation Intersection Movement Level of Service AM PM Lemay/New Vine (signal) EB LT D C EB T D D EB RT D C EB APPROACH D D WB LT C C WB T D C WB RT C C WB APPROACH D C NB LT B B NB T B B NB RT B B NB APPROACH B B SB LT B B SB T B B SB RT B B SB APPROACH B B OVERALL C C Vine/Merganser (stop sign) EB LT/T A A SB LT A A SB RT A A SB APPROACH A A DELICH Waterfield TIS, December 2013 ASSOCIATES Page 26 Using the traffic volumes shown in Figure 12, the Timberline/Vine, Vine/Merganser, Vine/Site Access, Lemay/Vine, Timberline/New Vine, New Vine/Merganser, and Timberline/Site Access intersections operate in the short range (2018) total traffic future as indicated in Table 5. Calculation forms for these analyses are provided in Appendix G. The key intersections will operate acceptably with the existing control, except for one movement at the Lemay/Vine intersection in the afternoon peak hour. At the Lemay/Vine intersection, the calculated delay for the afternoon peak hour westbound left-turn will be commensurate with level of service F. A variance request will be submitted with the Waterfield Transportation Impact Study. At the Timberline/Vine intersection, the calculated delay for the afternoon peak hour northbound approach will be commensurate with level of service F. This is considered to be normal during the peak hours at stop sign controlled intersections along arterial streets. Since Future Vine Drive will remove much of the traffic from this intersection, it is recommended that F at the Timberline/Vine intersection be accepted in the short range future. This will be a temporary condition. Using the traffic volumes shown in Figure 13, the Timberline/New Vine, New Vine/Merganser, New Vine/Site Access, Lemay/New Vine, Vine/Merganser, Vine/Site Access, and Timberline/Site Access intersections operate in the long range (2035) total traffic future as indicated in Table 6. Calculation forms for these analyses are provided in Appendix H. The key intersections will operate acceptably. Vine/Lemay Adequate Public Facilities Proposed developments in Northeast Fort Collins are required to address the operation at the Vine/Lemay intersection. This intersection has operational and geometric constraints that may create an adequate public facilities (APF) issue. Succinctly, if this intersection does not meet the overall level of service (LOS) criteria, then a development may add traffic such that the overall intersection delay is not increased by more than 2 percent over the base condition. The intersection falls under the operational criteria of “commercial corridor.” In this area, acceptable operation at signalized intersections during the peak hours is defined as level of service D or better for the overall intersection. City of Fort Collins Traffic Operations staff has developed the base condition. The base condition is described as the current traffic (2012) plus traffic from those development projects that have a commitment at this intersection. Figure 8 shows the base condition peak hour traffic. Table 3 shows the operation at the Vine/Lemay intersection using the base condition traffic and the 2000 Highway Capacity Manual techniques. In the morning and afternoon peak hours, this intersection meets the overall level of service criteria. Therefore, under the base condition, there is not an APF issue at this intersection. Figure 12 shows the base condition plus the site traffic at the Vine/Lemay intersection. Table 5 shows the base condition plus site traffic operation at the Vine/Lemay intersection. In the morning and afternoon peak hours, this intersection continues to meet the overall level of service criteria. Therefore, there is not an APF issue at this intersection. DELICH Waterfield TIS, December 2013 ASSOCIATES Page 27 TABLE 5 Short Range (2018) Total Peak Hour Operation Intersection Movement Level of Service AM PM Timberline/Vine (stop sign) EB LT/T/RT C D WB LT/T/RT D C NB LT/T/RT C F SB LT/T/RT D C Vine/Merganser (stop sign) EB LT/T A A SB LT B C SB RT B B OVERALL B B Vine/Site Access (stop sign) EB LT/T A A SB LT/RT B B Lemay/Vine (signal) EB LT D D EB T/RT D D EB APPROACH D D WB LT D F WB T/RT D D WB APPROACH D E NB LT/T/RT A D SB LT/T/RT B C OVERALL C D Timberline/New Vine (stop sign) EB LT B B EB RT B A EB APPROACH B B NB LT A A New Vine/Merganser (stop sign) EB LT A A WB LT A A NB LT A A NB T/RT A A NB APPROACH A A SB LT A A SB T/RT A A SB APPROACH A A Timberline/Site Access (stop sign) EB LT/RT B B NB LT A A DELICH Waterfield TIS, December 2013 ASSOCIATES Page 28 TABLE 6 Long Range (2035) Total Peak Hour Operation Intersection Movement Level of Service AM PM Timberline/New Vine (signal) EB LT C C EB T D C EB RT A C EB APPROACH D C WB LT C C WB T D D WB RT A A WB APPROACH D D NB LT A B NB T B B NB RT B B NB APPROACH B B SB LT B B SB T B B SB RT B B SB APPROACH B B OVERALL C C New Vine/Merganser (stop sign) EB LT A A WB LT A A NB LT C D NB T/RT B B NB APPROACH B C SB LT C D SB T/RT B C SB APPROACH C C Continued on next page DELICH Waterfield TIS, December 2013 ASSOCIATES Page 29 Continued from previous page TABLE 6 Long Range (2035) Total Peak Hour Operation Intersection Movement Level of Service AM PM Lemay/New Vine (signal) EB LT D C EB T D D EB RT D C EB APPROACH D D WB LT C C WB T D C WB RT C C WB APPROACH D C NB LT B B NB T B C NB RT B B NB APPROACH B C SB LT B B SB T B C SB RT B B SB APPROACH B C OVERALL C C Vine/Merganser (stop sign) EB LT/T A A SB LT A A SB RT A A SB APPROACH A A Vine/Site Access (stop sign) EB LT/T A A SB LT/RT A A Timberline/Site Access (stop sign) EB RT B B DELICH Waterfield TIS, December 2013 ASSOCIATES Page 30 Geometry Figure 14 shows a schematic of the short range (2018) geometry. This is existing geometry at the Timberline/Vine and Vine/Merganser intersections. At the Timberline/New Vine intersection and the Timberline/Site Access intersection, left-turn lanes are required on arterials streets. Figure 18 shows a schematic of the long range (2035) geometry. It was assumed that the future New Vine Drive will have a two-lane cross section with a center turn lane since the volumes do not support a four-lane cross section given the 2035 forecasts in this TIS. It is acknowledged that the Fort Collins Master Street Plan shows future New Vine Drive to be a 4-lane arterial street. Daily traffic forecasts from Fort Collins Transportation Planning indicate a daily volume of 17,000, between North College Avenue and Redwood Street; and a daily volume of 24,000, east of Redwood Street. These forecasts were developed with an interchange at I-25/Vine Drive. As mentioned earlier, this interchange may not be built or it may occur after 2035. It is recommended that the right-of-way for future New Vine Drive be dedicated, however, an interim 2-lane arterial cross section be developed that will accommodate the forecasted traffic plus a 1.3-1.5 times volume contingency. Pedestrian Level of Service Appendix I shows a map of the area that is within 1320 feet of the Waterfield development. There are two pedestrian destinations within 1320 feet of the Waterfield development. These are: 1) the residential area to the southeast (Bull Run) and 2) the residential area to the south of this site. The Waterfield site is located within an area termed as “transit corridor,” which sets the level of service threshold at LOS B for directness and security and LOS C for all other measured categories. Pedestrian level of service is not achieved for pedestrian destination two with regard to continuity. The Pedestrian LOS Worksheet is provided in Appendix I. Timberline Road does not have a sidewalk. The practical limits of pedestrian improvements would be on the Waterfield site itself. Bicycle Level of Service Appendix I shows a map of the area that is within 1320 feet of the Waterfield development. There are no bicycle destinations within 1320 feet of the Waterfield development. The Bicycle LOS Worksheet is provided in Appendix I. The minimum level of service for this site is C. This site is connected to bike lanes on Vine Drive and Timberline Road. Therefore, it is concluded that level of service A can be achieved. SHORT RANGE (2018) GEOMETRY Figure 14 DELICH ASSOCIATES Waterfield TIS, December 2013 Page 31 Merganser Drive Site Access New Vine Drive Vine Drive Site Access Timberline Road Site Access - Denotes Lane LONG RANGE (2035) GEOMETRY Figure 15 DELICH ASSOCIATES Merganser Drive Site Access New Vine Drive Vine Drive Timberline Road Site Access Site Access - Denotes Lane Waterfield TIS, December 2013 Page 32 DELICH Waterfield TIS, December 2013 ASSOCIATES Page 33 Transit Level of Service This area of Fort Collins is served by Transfort Routes 8 and 81. There are bus stops near the Conifer/Blue Spruce, Conifer/Redwood, and Vine/Redwood intersections. There are also bus stops along North College Avenue. DELICH Waterfield TIS, December 2013 ASSOCIATES Page 34 IV. CONCLUSIONS This study assessed the impacts of the Waterfield on the street system in the vicinity of the proposed development in the short range (2018) and long range (2035) futures. As a result of this analysis, the following is concluded: - The development of the Waterfield is feasible from a traffic engineering standpoint. In the short range (2018) future the Waterfield development will generate approximately 2010 daily trips, 153 morning peak hour trip ends, and 201 afternoon peak hour trip ends. At full development, the Waterfield development will generate approximately 4842 daily trip ends, 612 morning peak hour trip ends, and 523 afternoon peak hour trip ends. - Current operation at the Timberline/Vine, Vine/Merganser, and Lemay/Vine intersections is acceptable. - The Timberline/Vine intersection is currently unsignalized. Using the short range (2018) total peak hour traffic forecasts, the peak hour signal warrant will likely be met in the afternoon peak hour at the existing Timberline/Vine intersection. However, it is unlikely that other signal warrants will be met in the short range (2018) future. In discussions with City staff, a signal at the existing Timberline/Vine intersection is not desired. Using the long range (2035) total peak hour traffic forecasts, the peak hour signal warrant will likely be met in the morning and afternoon peak hours at the Timberline/New Vine and the Lemay/New Vine intersections. Based on the peak hour signal warrant, it is likely that other volume based signal warrants would be met at the Timberline/New Vine and the Lemay/New Vine intersections. - In the short range (2018) future, given development of the Waterfield and an increase in background traffic, the Timberline/Vine, Vine/Merganser, Vine/Site Access, Lemay/Vine, Timberline/New Vine, New Vine/Merganser, and Timberline/Site Access intersections will operate acceptably, except for one movement at the Lemay/Vine intersection in the afternoon peak hour. At the Lemay/Vine intersection, the calculated delay for the afternoon peak hour westbound left-turn lane will experience delays that are commensurate with level of service F. A variance request will be submitted with the Waterfield Transportation Impact Study. At the Timberline/Vine intersection, the calculated delay for the afternoon peak hour northbound approach will experience delays that are commensurate with level of service F. This is considered to be normal during the peak hours at stop sign controlled intersections along arterial streets. This will be a temporary condition. - In the long range (2035) future, given development of the Waterfield and an increase in background traffic, the Timberline/New Vine, New Vine/Merganser, New Vine/Site Access, Lemay/New Vine, Vine/Merganser, Vine/Site Access, and Timberline/Site Access intersections will operate acceptably. DELICH Waterfield TIS, December 2013 ASSOCIATES Page 35 - The short range (2018) geometry is shown in Figure 14. The long range (2035) geometry is shown in Figure 15. - Acceptable level of service is achieved for bicycle and transit modes based upon the measures in the multi-modal transportation guidelines and future improvements to the street system in the area. Pedestrian level of service B is not achieved for all pedestrian destinations with regard to continuity. The practical limits of pedestrian improvements would be on the Waterfield site itself. 0/0 0/0 20/20 5/10 10/25 Site Access 440/345 5/5 295/520 5/5 5/5 5/5 2/6 304/197 6/3 24/15 0/0 9/30 7/4 0/0 27/18 11/8 0/0 3/2 0/0 4/13 1/3 4/7 3/2 4/13 1/3 1/4