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HomeMy WebLinkAboutLINCOLN EAST CONVENIENCE CENTER PUD (DIAMOND SHAMROCK) - PRELIMINARY - 40-94D - SUBMITTAL DOCUMENTS - ROUND 1 - TRAFFIC STUDYthe introduction of the Phase 1 portion of the Lincoln East PUD, this intersection will continue to operate acceptably with no roadway or intersection improvements required. The site access intersections will also operate acceptably. - By 2000, given development of Phase 1 of the proposed Lincoln East PUD and significant adjacent retail development, the Lincoln/Lemay intersection will continue to operate acceptably with geometric improvements. The additional lanes on Lemay Avenue are primarily due to the increase in background traffic. The site access intersections will operate acceptably with stop sign control. - By 2015, with the projected traffic volumes, the key intersections will operate acceptably, with the mitigating improvements. 11 i i TABLE 5 �. Long Range Peak Hour Intersection Operation i Level of Service Intersection AM PM Lincoln/Lemay (signal) C D Lemay/Access 1 (stop sign) EB LT/T/RT I D D WB LT/T/RT F F NB LT B B } SB LT A B Lincoln/Access 2 (stop sign) SB RT B C ' Lemay/Access 3 (stop sign) WB LT E F WB RT A B SB LT A B Lincoln/Access 4 (stop sign) ' SB LT E F SB RT B D EB LT i B B TABLE 3 Existing Plus Parcels A & B Traffic Peak Hour Intersection Operation Level of Service Intersection AM PM Lincoln/Lemay (signal) B B Lemay/Access 1 (stop sign) EB LT/T/RT C B WB LT/T/RT C C NB LT A A SB LT A B Lincoln/Access 2 (stop sign) SB LT/RT A B EB LT A A TABLE 4 Short Range Peak Hour Intersection Operation Level of Service Intersection AM PM Lincoln/Lemay (signal) C C Lemay/Access 1 (stop sign) EB LT/T/RT C C WB LT/T/RT C D NB LT A A SB LT A B Lincoln/Access 2 (stop sign) SB RT A B Using the traffic volumes shown in Figure 8, the key intersections operate as indicated in Table 3. Calculation forms for these analyses are provided in Appendix D. The Lincoln/Lemay signalized intersection will operate similarly to the current acceptable operation. The site access intersections operate acceptably. Using the short range peak hour traffic volumes shown in Figure 9, the key intersections operate as indicated in Table 4. Calculation forms are provided in Appendix E. The key intersections are expected to operate acceptably. With this level of background traffic, the westbound left turns at the Lincoln/Lemay intersection will preclude full turn access at Access 2. This access will become "covered" a number of times during the peak hours. In order to provide a safer environment,,this access should be changed to right-in/right-out. While this change is shown to occur by the year 2000, it is in actuality a function of traffic volumes. This condition could occur sooner than or later than that year. Traffic should be monitored to determine when this change should be made. In order to achieve acceptable operation, Lemay Avenue should have 2 northbound and 2 southbound through lanes. Geometry and signal phasing schemes are indicated on the calculation forms provided in Appendix E. Using the traffic volumes shown in Figure 10, the Lincoln/ Lemay intersection operates in the long range future as indicated in Table 5. Calculation forms are provided in Appendix F. Acceptable operation is achieved with the warranted geometric, phasing and cycle length changes indicated on the calculation forms. The site access intersections operate acceptably, except for minor street left turns. The delays associated with these left turns are normal at stop sign controlled intersections along arterial streets. V. CONCLUSIONS This study assessed the traffic impacts of the development of the Lincoln East PUD on the existing, short range (1996) and long range (2015) street system in the vicinity of the proposed development. As a result of this analysis, the following is concluded: - The completion of the Lincoln East PUD is feasible from a traffic engineering standpoint. The Lincoln East PUD is expected to generate approximately 1570 trip ends daily in the short range future and 2910 trip ends daily in the long range future. A portion of the Phase l generated traffic will be from passby traffic. - Based upon current traffic volumes and existing geometry/ control, the Lincoln/Lemay intersection operates acceptably. With 5 �10 ^A LO n Ln i -15/20 N - NOM. 35/35 r- 5/5 NOM. - 5/15� � �n Ln2� ^ow am ao O O Lo W c cn �� Iva °'v+ �- 230/450 Ln 1 4-195/470 L r-180/290 35 90 - 290 3 5 -+- 1 845/840 i 105/185 r, u+ o N � � O LONG RANGE (YEAR 2015) PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC H o o !OLN ,,j 6S 9p J� � e ,BO 5 S 10 99 AM / PM Rounded to the Nearest 5 Vehicles. Figure 10 1 r � B I \t2 10/15 KAWUL�� K I I �-NOM. \__/ 30/30 PROJECT PROJEC1 `� � O 5/5 1 r NOM. 5/15 If ^ c � ccA 0 � Iic 1 C) c LO,-165/325 li i ,\n 1 f 140/340 �130/225 f.420/875 115/605 -� 25 65 � y210 220 -�-1 75/135 - pD* o o SHORT RANGE (YEAR 2000) PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC AM / PM Rounded to the Nearest 5 Vehicles. 46, N Figure 9 KAWULOK PROJECT r 1 Lo Lo B I r- ^ �-10/15 - 24/23 O 0/1 NOW 2/13 o c r � M^ A �O t_--/ w �46/170 \� �Lo I " - 92/190 J /-- 27/96 6 ! G-1551/442 21 /47 -1 1 r 20 15 163/86 -+- 1 1a, 346/47 -� 37/39 --,� � 1 � w AM / PM EXISTING PLUS PARCELS A AND. B PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC N Figure 8 V FULL DEVELOPMENT SITE GENERATED TRAFFIC Figure 7 o 0 N PARCELS A AND B SITE GENERATED TRAFFIC Figure 6. Trip Assignment Trip assignment is how the generated and distributed trips are expected to be loaded on the street system. The assigned trips are the resultant of the trip distribution process. Figures 6 and 7 show the assignment of the generated trips in the respective short and long range future conditions. ! The cited traffic impact study was used .to develop the background traffic. The initial phase of development included the existing traffic plus the xawulok Lemay Project and Parcels A and B of Lincoln East PUD. This traffic forecast is shown in Figure B. The short range peak hour traffic is shown in Figure 9. This forecast includes the expected traffic from a Power Center development that is being considered east of Lemay Avenue, between Mulberry Street and Lincoln Avenue. This Power Center will likely include discount retail, general retail, movie theaters, and restaurants. The short range traffic shown in Figure 9 includes Parcels A and B of the Lincoln East PUD. Figure 10 shows the morning and afternoon weekday peak hour traffic from full development of the Lincoln East PUD and the background traffic in the long range future (2015). The forecasts shown in Figures 9 and 10 give a reasonable representation of nearby development. When other development proposals are put forth for other properties, additional traffic studies should be performed. IV. TRAFFIC IMPACTS AND ANALYSIS Signal Warrants As a matter of policy, traffic signals are not installed at any location unless warrants are met according to the Manual on Uniform Traffic Control Devices. From the short and long range forecasts (Figures 9 and 10), no additional signals will likely be warranted. Operation Analysis Capacity analyses were performed on the key intersections in the vicinity of the proposed Lincoln East PUD. The key intersections are the Lincoln/Lemay intersection and the four site access intersections described earlier. Analyses were performed for the existing plus site traffic, short range (2000) traffic, and the long range (2015) traffic conditions. 4 20%-25% 0 N Lo Lo Lo i 0 Lo RETAIL USES 5%-10% '®` N 0%-5% INDUSTRIAL / EMPLOYMENT USES TRIP DISTRIBUTION Figure .5 I / I , I I` Z I � Q I ' I 0 1 1 1 11 A& N NO SCALE 4 4 l l 01446 LN AVENUE PARCELS A AND B SITE PLAN Figure 4 of the access intersections are numbered for easy reference later in this report. It is expected that Lincoln East PUD will be implemented in a phased development program. Parcels A and B will comprise the first phase. These two buildings will be built as soon as possible after the approvals are secured. A site plan of Parcels A and B is shown in Figure 4. Full development will occur sometime between the year 2000 and the year 2015. The long range (2015) future assumes full development of the Lincoln East PUD. Trip Generation Trip generation is important in considering the impact of a development such as this upon the existing and proposed street system. A compilation of trip generation information was prepared by the Institute of Transportation Engineers and is presented in Trip Generation, 5th Edition, updated in February 1995. These documents were primarily used to project trips that would be generated by the proposed uses at this site. Table 2 shows the expected trip generation on a weekday and a weekday peak hour basis. Land use code 846 (Gasoline/Service Station with Convenience Market with a Car Wash) and Code 833 (Fast Food Restaurant without a Drive -Through Window) were used .in developing the trip generation forecasts for Parcel A. The cited reference does not address quick lube facilities. Data for this use was obtained from a local 3-bay facility. This data covered an eight month period from October 1995 to May 1996. The use on Parcel C will be auto -oriented retail/service. Code 840 (Auto Care Center) was used to develop the trip generation for this parcel. Parcels D and E will be employment uses similar to the Airport Industrial Park. Code 110.(General Light Industrial) was used to develop this trip generation. Trip Distribution Directional distributions were determined for the auto related service/retail uses and the industrial/employment uses. These distributions considered trip attractions and productions in Fort Collins, and existing travel patterns in the area. Figure 5 .shows the trip distribution used in the traffic assignment process. Institute of Transportation Engineers' research indicates that the convenience/gas store and fast food restaurant land uses draw approximately 40-60% of their patrons from the background traffic on the adjacent streets. Therefore, a passby factor of 0.40 was applied to the peak hour generated traffic. This factor does not affect the trip generation. The passby traffic is determined based upon the actual volumes on the adjacent streets. 3 s OVERALL SITE PLAN Figure 3 TABLE 1 1996 Peak Hour Intersection Operation Level of Service Intersection AM PM Lincoln/Lemay (signal) B B TABLE 2 Trip Generation Daily A.M. Peak P.M. Peak Land Use Trips Trips Trips Trips Trips in out in out PARCEL A Gas/Convenience Store Gas - 8 Positions 1170 44 43 50 50 Quick Service Restaurant 400 11 8 11 9 0.5 KSF Subtotal Parcel A 1570 55 51 61 59 PARCEL B Quick Lube - 3 bays 150 3 3 7 7 PARCEL C Auto Related Retail/Service 250 9 5 8 9 6.0 KSF PARCEL D Light Industrial - 58.0 KSF 400 44 9 7 50 PARCEL E Light Industrial - 77.0 KSF 540 59 12 9 66 TOTAL 2910 170 80 92 191 91! �. Lo' 45/170 - 88/187 I /r-19/89 LINCOLN 19/45 155/80 -•- 37/39--,, N7 u� cp AM / PM 1996 PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC Figure 2 existing cross section in this area has one lane in each direction. There are designated left -turn lanes approaching the Lincoln/Lemay intersection. This intersection is signalized. The postedspeed limit is 35 mph east of Lemay Avenue and 30 mph west of Lemay Avenue. Sight distance is generally not a problem. There are bike lanes on Lincoln Avenue to the west of Lemay Avenue. North Lemay Avenue borders the site on the west. It is designated as a major (4 lane) arterial. However, it currently has a two lane cross section with designated left -turn lanes approaching the Lincoln/Lemay intersection. The south leg has a designated right -turn lane also. The posted speed limit is 30 mph on North Lemay Avenue. There are bike lanes on both sides of Lemay Avenue. Long range transportation plans indicate that North Lemay Avenue will be realigned north of this site. The plans show Lemay Avenue angling to the northeast. It will pass east of the aforementioned residential area, and probably cross the railroad and Vine Drive on a grade separation. Timing of this realignment is not known. It is assumed that it will not occur prior to the year 2010. A draft of the "Structure Plan" of the Fort Collins City Plan does not show this realignment of Lemay Avenue. Existing Traffic Weekday morning and afternoon peak hour traffic data was obtained on January 10, 1996 at the Lincoln/Lemay intersection. The peak hour turning movements are shown in Figure 2. All raw traffic data is presented in Appendix A. Existing Operation Using the traffic signal control, the indicated in Table 1. provided in Appendix during the peak hours, of service D or better in Appendix C. volumes shown in Figure 2 and the existing Lincoln/Lemay intersection operates as Calculation forms for these analyses are B. This intersection operates acceptably Acceptable operation is defined as level Level of service definitions are provided III. PROPOSED DEVELOPMENT The initial phase of the Lincoln East PUD will be a convenience/gas store, proposed to be located in the northeast quadrant of the Lincoln/Lemay intersection in Fort Collins. Figure 3 shows a schematic of the overall site plan of the Lincoln East PUD. Two accesses are proposed to Lemay Avenue and one access is proposed to Lincoln Avenue. An "off -site" access is shown just east of the site. This is expected to be a public street access that will also serve the Airport Industrial Park to the east. All 2 4 N V. LI•I..w.l.. l.I. 1!ia � 1 r <••• sl 1...[[..... � 1 1 I E an LINCOLN EAST PUD \ti N 4( a s 1b3 \ '7 r is :Ir ey .,... _ is \�� :�• NO SCALE s SITE LOCATION Figure 1 f 1 l I. INTRODUCTION This traffic impact study addresses the capacity, geometric, and control requirements at and near a proposed commercial development known hereinafter as the Lincoln East PUD. It is proposed to be located north of Lincoln Avenue and east of North Lemay Avenue in Fort Collins, Colorado. During the course of the analysis, numerous contacts were made with the project planning consultant (Cityscape Urban Design), and the Fort Collins Transportation Division. This study conforms with typical traffic impact study guidelines. The study involved the following steps: - Collect physical, traffic, and development data. - Perform trip generation, trip distribution, and trip assignment. - Determine peak hour traffic volumes. - Conduct capacity and operational level of service analyses on key intersections. - Analyze signal warrants. The "Kawulok Lemay Avenue Project, Traffic Impact Study," July 1995, was also reviewed as part of this analysis. II. EXISTING CONDITIONS The location of the Lincoln East PUD site is shown in Figure 1. Since the impact in the short range, as well as, the long range is of concern, it is important that a thorough understanding of the existing conditions be presented. Land Use This area of Fort Collins primarily has various light industrial and commercial. uses. However, there is a small residential area approximately 1200 feet north of the site. Land uses to the east are light industrial. Land to the south of Lincoln Avenue is vacant and will likely be developed as commercial/retail. Land on the west side of Lemay Avenue has some light industrial uses. The center of Fort Collins lies to the west of the Lincoln East PUD. Roads The primary streets near the Lincoln East PUD are Lincoln Avenue and North Lemay Avenue. Lincoln Avenue borders the Lincoln East PUD site on the south. It is an east -west street designated as a minor arterial on the Fort Collins Master Street Plan. Its 1 LINCOLN EAST PUD SITE ACCESS STUDY FORT COLLINS, COLORADO AUGUST 1996 Prepared for: Diamond Shamrock Colorado Division 520 East 56th Avenue Denver, CO 60216 Prepared by: MATTHEW J. DELICH, P.E. 2272 Glen Haven Drive Loveland, CO 80538 Phone: 970-669-2061 FAX: 970-669-5034