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HomeMy WebLinkAboutWATERFIELD PUD - PRELIMINARY - 7-95B - SUBMITTAL DOCUMENTS - ROUND 1 - TRAFFIC STUDYcontinue to operate acceptably. The recommended geometry is shown in Figure 12. In the long range future, all area roadways and intersections are expected to operate acceptably. New street links and mixed use districts, as described in the City Plan, will moderate traffic volumes on various street segments. Transit facilities, as described in the City Plan, and bicycle facilities, as shown on Fort Collins Street Design Standards, will provide alternative modes of transportation to residents of Waterfield PUD, as well as, other developments in the area. 7 9 N NO SCALE LONG RANGE DAILY LINK VOLUMES Figure 14 C CONIFER N Mixed -Use i District r � EXTENSION LONG RANGE GEOMETRY Figure 13 related to the mixed use activity center near the CR50/CR9E intersection is a function of the City Plan and future development. Specifics concerning operation in this area cannot be analyzed at this time. With the enhanced road system in this area, operation at the analyzed intersections will be acceptable. City Plan documents show transit corridors in this area on the Timberline Extension, Conifer. Street, Lemay Avenue, and Vine Drive. These, along with bicycle facilities that are a part of the collector and arterial roadway system, will provide the opportunity for alternative means of transportation for the residents of Waterfield PUD and other proposed/future developments in this area of Fort Collins. Figure 13 shows a schematic of the long range geometry at key intersections and along selected'roadways. Figure 14 shows long range daily traffic forecasts on interior streets and the external adjacent streets. These forecasts are provided so that various street segments can be compared to criteria contained in the new street design standards of the City of Fort Collins. It is expected that streets within the Waterfield PUD will meet local street volume criteria. A short segment of Wood Duck Drive, north of Vine Drive, will exceed local street volume criteria. However, this is due to the commercial land uses in this area. It is expected that volumes will meet local street criteria just north of the access to the apartment area. It is expected that Merganser Drive will function as a collector street when/if the street network is completed as described earlier. Both Vine Drive and the Timberline Extension have volumes that fall into the arterial street category. V. CONCLUSIONS This study assessed the traffic impacts of the development of the Waterfield PUD on the short range (year 2003) and long range (year 2015) street system in the vicinity of the proposed development. As a result of this analysis, the following is concluded: - Waterfield PUD is a mixed use residential development, comprised of 488 dwelling units, a small commercial center, a city park, a day care facility, and an elementary school. This development is expected to generate approximately 6130 daily vehicle trip ends, 590 morning peak hour trip• ends, and 550 afternoon peak hour trip ends. Based upon current traffic volumes and existing geometry/control, all key intersections operate acceptably. - In the short range, with development of the initial phase of the `Waterfield PUD, all key intersections are expected to 1-1 A TABLE 4 Long Range Peak Hour Operation Level of Service Intersection AM Pli Vine/Merganser (stop sign) SB LT C C SB RT A A EB LT A A Vine/Wood Duck (stop sign) SB LT B -C SB RT A A EB LT A A Vine/Apartment Access (stop sign) SB LT/RT B B EB. LT A A CR9E/Senior Cottages Access (stop sign) EB LT/RT B B NB LT A A CR9E/Garganey (stop sign) EB LT/RT B B NB LT A A Lemay/Conifer (stop sign) EB LT/T C F EB RT A A WB LT/T F F WB RT A A NB LT A A SB LT A A Lemay/Conifer (signal) B B Conifer/New Road (stop sign) EB LT B C EB RT A A NB LT A A A N i N SHORT RANGE GEOMETRY Figure 12 TABLE 3 Short Range Peak Hour Operation Level of Service Intersection AM PM CR50/CR9E (stop sign) NB LT B B NB RT A A WB LT A A Vine/CR9E (all way stop) NB A B SB B A EB B B WB A A Overall A B Vine/Lemay (signal) C D Vine/Merganser (stop sign) SB LT B B SB RT A A EB LT A A Vine/Wood Duck (stop sign) SB LT B B SB RT A A EB LT A A Vine/Apartment Access (stop sign) SB LT/RT B B EB LT A A CR9E/Senior.Cottages Access (stop sign) EB LT/RT A A NB LT A A CR9E/Garganey (stop sign) EB LT/RT A A NB LT A A morning and afternoon peak hour traffic in the long range future (2015). IV. TRAFFIC IMPACTS AND ANALYSIS Signal Warrants As a matter of policy, traffic signals are not installed at any location unless warrants are met according to the Manual on Uniform Traffic Control Devices. Based upon the forecasted traffic volumes, it appears that the Lemay/Conifer intersection may meet peak hour signal warrants in the long range future. It is on the threshold of meeting warrants, so both a signalized and unsignalized analysis were conducted for the long range future conditions. Operation Analysis Capacity analyses were performed on the key intersections in the vicinity of the Waterfield PUD for both short range (year 2003) future and long range (year 2015) future traffic conditions. Using the traffic volumes shown in Figure 10, the key intersections operate in the short range future, with the initial phase of the Waterfield PUD, as indicated in Table 3. Calculation forms for these analyses are provided in Appendix C. These analyses assumed that the existing system and control continued to be in place. With the additional traffic from the 392 dwelling units and the commercial area in the initial phase of development, all of the key intersections will operate acceptably, based upon Fort Collins level of service criteria. It is recommended that some geometric improvements be made at selected intersections. Figure 12 shows the recommended lane geometry at the key intersections. The CR9E/CR50 intersection should have separate lanes for all movements. This is not due to the Waterfield PUD, but rather the lanes are needed with the existing volumes. Future developments, such as Richard's Lake PUD and Waterfield PUD, only serve to reenforce the need for these lanes. Using the traffic volumes shown in Figure 11, the key intersections operate in the long range future (year 2015) as indicated in Table 4. Calculation forms are provided in.Appendix D. Seven key intersections are analyzed in the long range future. The analyzed intersections are expected to operate acceptably. Two intersections along Vine Drive are expected to be grade separated by the year 2015. General designs are not available at this time and are beyond the scope of this traffic study. The enhanced road system will be designed to function acceptably. The. traffic system 5 AM / PM ! Rounded to the Nearest 5 Vehicles. i I E N 1 I 1 1 1 1 1 Mixed -Use 1 District 1 I I 1 1 i I 1 1 of N o �c 6 50/75 o v n "�� + 100/110 !2 tn (�--140/„° 1PONIFER 'LO)0, W �j j� 17�T/7711/T/TlTlT/� 20 4o �' I f I , 2U,, 85 -f � f 66o/t45 65/90 o o GARGENEY) ci co /65 CD 01 o / 30/20 N �/ /20/15�o\ Q C w Site Ln �Ln a Y �A JI W J Q U W 15/10 Q j 5/5 -� 01111/1/ O o� �� o� CD �e 3 ca 00/75 1 1 45 �- ♦ /� 315 355 % 340 360� � �- 3652420 , ,2o/t5s-� VINE 50 6s- DRIVE to 20--r • "`���...... 225/325 235/310 -+- 275 345 - Grade Separated Grade Separated Interchange Interchange TIMBERLINE EXTENSION LONG RANGE TOTAL PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC �) f Figure 11 AM / PM Rounded to the Nearest 5 Vehicles. } W 0 a �o605 — 95/1 0 r- 70/65 1%35 652 5 85/50 --� N N C.R. 50 r// �//////7//////7//��� S�(GARGENEYo TiNio Site U 10/10 j 5/10 G :ULI o!l1l1/1/ u o - � 3 00 0� 5/5 25/30 �-- 5/15 300 240 255 f 235 270 5/15—/ VINE 35 65-1 DRIVE t0 30—/ 35/65 190/275 —� 160%215 —� 175/220 65/80 SHORT RANGE TOTAL PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC 95/85 60/135 r 110/125 d )} o, j) } oto �o 0 n 5/10 1-75/95 /-10/10 :2 v W F- W Figure 10 AM/PM IVI N I •m_._J 22__ ' FULL DEVELOPMENT PEAK HOUR SITE GENERATED TRAFFIC Figure 9 N AM / PM C.R. 50--12/30 0/5-� � N � N W GARGENEY d 19/6 N SiCl te Z J W / G 8/6 4/6 --v � v :UL! o11L1/1/ Lo 3Lo c, �-3/3 rnv 'ac�v N� 30/24 L /- 47/37 J -1/4 23/38 �- 4/15 15/37 -�` 3/11-J VINE 31/61- �/ DRIVE 9/26--/ 13/22� 1/2 --r n 26 20 --� r N 3 W H W SHORT RANGE PEAK HOUR SITE GENERATED TRAFFIC Figure 8 g A& Q N O 07-5% 15%-20% CORD. 50 l � i o J W 1 W O N Site' N �G�� 0%-25% VINE / NOM. � L to M N O p M N SHORT RANGE TRIP DISTRIBUTION Figure 6 ---------- N U O;r.-57o i i 10�� CORD. 50 ; to Mixed -Use i ----- w Center "k " o J N W CONIFER k o N G,Site A a0'-15 � 1 VINE �f�_�1�zI NOM. _ Lo n N M a11 N 1 LONG RANGE TRIP DISTRIBUTION Figure 7 to calculate the trip generation. Non-residential land use codes from Trip Generation, 5th Edition were as follows: Elementary School (520), City Park (411), Gas/Convenience Store (845), Specialty Retail Center (814), and Day Care (565). Table 2 shows the daily and peak hour traffic from the Waterfield PUD. A vehicle trip is defined as a one-way vehicle movement from a point of origin to a point of destination. Trip Distribution Directional distributions were determined for the land uses considered in this study. These distributions considered trip attractions in the Fort Collins area, and existing travel patterns in'the area. The short range trip distribution used in subsequent analyses is shown in Figure 6. The long range trip distribution is shown in Figure 7. Background Traffic ' Background traffic is defined as the traffic that is and/or will be on the area streets that is not related to the proposed development. Future analysis years were 2003+ (short range) and 2015 (long range). This is a developing area of Fort Collins and, as such, the traffic increases are largely dependent upon land development. Background traffic was increased incrementally by 2.0 percent per year to estimate short and long range background traffic. This growth rate was determined by reviewing various transportation planning documents and the estimated increases in housing and employment for traffic zones in this area. Consideration was also given to other known developments, such as the Hearthf ire PUD and the Richard's Lake PUD. In order to present a conservative analysis, site related traffic was considered supplemental to the increase in background traffic. Traffic studies for other future developments may change traffic forecasts slightly; however, the forecasts used are the best available at this time. Trip Assignment Trip assignment is how the generated and distributed trips are expected to be loaded on the street system. The assigned trips are the resultant of the trip distribution process. Figure 8 shows the assignment of the generated trips from the initial phase of the Waterfield PUD. ' The Figure 8 assignment. assumes the existing street system. Figure 9 assumes. that the future road system, shown in Figure 3, is in place and aspects of the "City Plan" are underway. Figure 9 is the full development site generated traffic assignment. Figure 10 shows total morning and afternoon peak hour traffic in the year 2003 short range future. Figure 11 shows total 4 No Text TABLE 1 1996 Peak Hour Operation Level of Service Intersection AM PM CR50/CR9E (stop sign) NB LT/RT A A WB LT A A Vine/CR9E (all way stop) NB A A• SB A A EB A A WB A A Overall A A Vine/Lemay (signal) B C TABLE 2 Trip Generation Daily A.M. Peak P.M. Peak Land Use Trips Trips Trips Trips Trips in out in out Single Family Residential 1830 36 106 127 67 - 192 DU Apartments - 176 DU 1110 19 58 55 32 Senior Cottages - 120 DU 340 10 11 19 14 Elementary School - 600 650 108 72 Nom Nom students City Park - 6.46 Acres 20 Nom Nom 1 1 Gas/C-store - 8 pumps 1300 40 40 54 54 Neighborhood Commercial 410 6. 3 20 20 - 10.0 KSF Day Care - 100 Students 470 43 36 40 45 TOTAL 6130 262 328 316 233 Existing Operation Using the traffic volumes shown in Figure 4 and the existing control and geometry, the key intersections operate as indicated in Table 1. Calculation forms for these analyses are provided in Appendix B. As shown on Table 1, all intersections currently operate acceptably. For evaluation purposes, acceptable level of service is defined as level of service D or better during peak hour conditions. Current levels of service in the area of the site typically are B or better. III. PROPOSED DEVELOPMENT The Waterfield PUD is a mixed use residential development, proposed north of Vine Drive and west of CR9E in Fort Collins. As currently planned, it will have 488 residential units, a small neighborhood commercial center, a city park, a day care facility, and an elementary school. The commercial center is of a size that is not expected to attract significant trips from outside this development, except for passby traffic on Vine Drive. Actually, some trips for convenience items may be captured within this development. Figure 5 shows the site plan of the Waterfield PUD. Site access is planned via Vine Drive and CR9E. Three accesses are proposed to Vine Drive and two accesses are proposed to CR9E. In the long range future, Merganser Drive will potentially become part of the new north/south road mentioned earlier. For analysis purposes, the initial phase of development of the Waterfield PUD consists of the apartment area (176 D.U.), the senior cottages (120 D.U.), half of the single family detached area (96 D.U.), and the commercial center. This phase is intended to begin in 1997. Actual development is a function of market conditions; however, for traffic analysis purposes, completion of the initial phase was assumed to occur between the years 2000-2005. The initial phase traffic analysis assumed that the road system shown in Figure 3 was not in place. Trip Generation Trip generation is important in considering the impact of a development such as this upon the existing and proposed street system. A compilation of trip generation information was prepared by the Institute of Transportation Engineers and is presented in Trip Generation, 5th Edition and the February 1995 Update. This document was used to estimate the daily and peak hour vehicle trips generated by the Waterfield PUD. Three residential land use codes from Trip Generation, 5th Edition, Single -Family Detached Housing (210), Apartment (220), and Retirement Community (250) were used 3 1996 a h n cnv v 52//763 N in a — / /--19/23 6/23 46/77 =' 75/46 N VINE T T Q d '00001996 — 43/80 sa 147 C.R. 50 /— 82/60 109/33� 76/28 n a� Fi r> W W Q U 1996 N n ch � 2 9 'W —►- 66 879 18/39-Jf } I 57/69 — n v m 62/58� cm AM AM / PM RECENT PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC Figure 4 No Text No Text Roads The primary streets near the Waterfield PUD are Vine Drive, County Road 9E (CR9E), Summit View Drive, and County Road 50 (CR50). Vine Drive is adjacent to the Waterfield PUD on the south. It is an east -west street designated as an arterial street on the Fort Collins Master Street Plan. Its existing cross section, in this area, has one lane in each direction. There are some existing residences along the north side of Vine Drive. There is a railroad switching yard on the south side of Vine Drive. County Road 9E is a north -south roadway extending from CR50 to the Vine Drive intersection. To the south of Vine Drive, it becomes Summit View Drive. The "Northeast Area Transportation Study" and the Fort Collins Master Street Plan show CR9E and Summit View as arterial streets. These roads have a paved two .lane cross section. These roads are intended to become part of the Timberline Extension in the future. County Road 50 is an east -west road designated as an arterial on the Fort Collins Piaster Street Plan. CR50 is under the administrative control of Larimer County to the east of CR11. It has a two lane cross section with minimal shoulders. Other roads of significance in the area are Lemay Avenue and CR11. Figure 2 shows the street system in this general area. Most of these roads have two lane cross sections. Neighborhood meetings and staff meetings indicated that the existing road system will be deficient in handling future traffic volumes. To address this, the Fort Collins Master Street Plan and the Fort Collins City Plan have designated improvements to various streets. Figure 3 indicates the improved and/or new road facilities in this area. Due to constraints on CR11, discussions with City staff indicated that a potential parallel road to the east of CR11 could better serve this area. This road would provide access to the "mixed use district" (per City Plan) located at the CR50/CR9E intersection and a connection to CR11 (north of Vine Drive). The existing alignment of CR11 would provide local access to private properties and existing developments such as Adriel Hills. This road system would also provide attractive routes so that traffic volumes on CR50E would not increase significantly as other developments occurred. Existing Traffic Morning and afternoon peak hour traffic data were obtained as part of this study or obtained from recent traffic studies in the area. This information is presented in Figure 4. Raw traffic data is presented in Appendix A. 2 No Text I. INTRODUCTION This traffic impact study addresses the capacity, geometric, and control requirements at and near a proposed mixed use residential development known hereinafter as the Waterfield PUD. It is proposed to be located west of County Road 9E and north of Vine Drive in Fort Collins, Colorado. During the course of the analysis, numerous contacts were made with the project planning consultant (VF Ripley Associates), the Fort Collins Planning Department, and the Fort Collins Transportation Department. This study conforms with typical traffic impact study guidelines. The study involved the following steps: Collect physical, traffic, and development data. Perform trip generation, trip distribution, and trip assignment. Determine peak hour traffic volumes. Conduct capacity and operational level of service analyses on key intersections. Determine roadway improvements as deemed appropriate. Traffic studies and current planning efforts for the Richard's Lake PUD Site Access Study, the Hearthfire PUD Site Access Study, the "Northeast Area Transportation Study," and the "North Front Range Regional Transportation Plan" were reviewed as part of the analysis. The City also provided transportation model data related to the Timberline Extension. II. EXISTING CONDITIONS The location of the Waterfield PUD site is shown in Figure 1. Since the impact in the short range, as well as, the long range is of concern, it is important that a thorough understanding of the existing conditions be presented. Land Use The Waterfield PUD site is located in the northern area of Fort Collins. The area surrounding the site is primarily undeveloped with some residential developments lying primarily to the northwest and south of the site. These existing residential areas are not within the 'city limits of Fort Collins. 1 WATERFIELD PUD SITE ACCESS STUDY FORT COLLINS, COLORADO JANUARY 1997 Prepared for: Colorado Land Source, Ltd. 8101 East Prentice Avenue, Suite M180 Englewood, CO 80111 Prepared by: MATTHEW J. DELICH, P.E. 2272 Glen Haven Drive Loveland, CO 80536 Phone: 970-669-2061 FAX: 970-669-5034