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HomeMy WebLinkAboutJOHNSON FARM - REZONE - 24-00 - SUBMITTAL DOCUMENTS - ROUND 1 - TRAFFIC STUDY (3)0 • Account: W04714 DemographicandlncomeForecast 11/30/00 Site: 35428 PREPAREDFOR: CumberlandCompanies, Inc. 1801 Riverside FortCollins,C080525 Area3: 5MileRadius Coo rds:40.563855-105.043789 Snapshot 1990Census 2000Update 2005Forecast Population 104,373 134,835 52,630 149,596 58,879 Households 39,908 24,196 31,102 34,162 Families AverageHouseholdsize 2.47 1.78 2.44 Owner-occupied HHs 22,598 35,269 41,987 Renter-occupied HHs 17,310 17,361 16,892 60,863 MedianHousehold Income 30,374 35,259 51,641 64,377 79,251 AverageHouseholdlncome 13,682 25,330 31,394 PerCa Pita I ncom e 30.6 32.9 33.6 MedianAge AnnualPercentChangefor2000.2005 Trends Area National Population 2.19% 0.88/o 1.04% Households 2 38% 1.97% 0.74% Families OwnerHHs 3.81% 1.41% PerCapitalncome 4.79% 4.57% Householdsbylncome <$15,000 $15,000-$24,999 $25,000-$34,999 $35,000-$49,999 $50,000-$74,999 $75, 000-$99, 999 $100,000-$149,999 $150,000+ 1990Census Number Percent 10,885 27.3% 7,372 18.5% 5,852 14.7% 6,677 16.7% 6,014 15.1% 1,936 4.9% 903 2.3% 349 0.9% 2000Update Number Percent 6,410 14.2% 5,979 11.4% 6,020 11.4% 9,016 17.1% 10,957 20.8% 6,076 11.5% 5,422 10.3% 2.750 5.2% 2005Forecast Number Percent 5,385 9.1% 5,154 8.8% 5,559 9.4% 9,813 16.7% 12,499 21.2% 7,462 12.7% 7,913 13.4% 5,026 8.5% PopulationbyAge 7,574 7.3% 9,157 6.8% 9,848 6.6% <5 5-14 13,389 12.8% 17,122 12.7% 18,125 12.1% 15-19 9,345 9.0% 12,852 9.5% 14,212 9.5% 20-24 14,881 14.3% 17,440 12.9% 20,040 13.4% 25-34 20,153 19.3% 19,086 14.2% 19,999 13.4% 35-44 16,802 16.1% 21,733 16.1% 21,955 14.7% 45-64 14,033 13.4% 26,987 20.0% 33,574 22.4% 65-74 4,612 4.4% 5,342 4.0% 5,846 3.9% 75-84 2,633 2.5% 3,661 2.7% 4,162 2.8% 950 0.9% 1,456 1.1% 1,837 1.2% 85+ RaceandEthnicity White 97.492 93.4% 124,126 92.1% 136,682 91.4% Black 928 0.9% 1.248 0.9% 1,388 0.9% Asian/Pacificlslander 2,229 2.1% 3,729 2.8% 4,647 3.1% OtherRaces 3,108 3.0% 4,957 3.7% 6,052 4.0% Hispanic(AnyRace) 7,662 7.3% 12,775 9.5% 15,903 10.6% ©Copyright2000CACI Page3 1-800-795-7483 0 ,x,.-.. N O a The EPIC Experience Fear Swim Slate Total Drop -in 199S -6.S0r 8 Z a6S 1 j't l71 Fnroliat.n:s I9?S a.91lJ '_._'`9 - G-.' 99 I 1a99 ��. lG 16.361 61�.,�. _ _ L v ens .'9y5 ,.'—.�� �J.G81 '_6.15 1999 Rentals 1998 i93" • 59.08? 1 ! 8.=59 15,858 Total Contact;;1998 i 83,543 1991025 371''L-568 I 1999 IS6.400 165.483 35i.9S3 'Etch use of f7Caf^i orG7Cri1'i couirts eS a coi;tacr. NOTE: EPIC ice arena use down as a result of the opening of Provi- dence ice rink in X-Vindsor EPIC ICE ARENA USE BY ACTIVITY Other Rentals 13 Drop -in Skate 24°0 Adult Hockey 12ni� Learn -to Skate 8% Figure Skating :' Youth Hockey :i. "SNNINI ING THE CITY" - ------ --- T",IINI li'e, li na i FSk440WO 1, 53165 152.685 rr., .03a 39.563_ : t *Each use of a faci ity or activity is counted as a contact. Pool C,-% Par: Pool Scnn-Cent_rPao! FACILIT' The ice geis nr etn• crowded ci:u b; tnnteiorrblic skate sessions • y,oM Rot)er lson IF 1 T I Avr r S Le-0) AV(e cilia ,' _ r^ 3- V n l i On i t o Y �S n Lukc Mddle��r�<.qh C� n I �) t r o�o�a o Luke Z o r °� 5 i <, P s - t o rn F c Fau- �Wrovan�Z I� n �I -i D� N�wo�o <�� PdtlOn Patton f�tXh wa rl f Ocj 4 WeliCh LO CL n Dorado o ej wei SI Emi h St y nEfn 11 �Q o r) Q Stoney r°n '9e C, l) n Dr v Brookwood [ yO' �p Hnd Cr o Alford St o / c, 1 t $ N rl — a Brook rK, cnC1, o a4 R o0 �m M k r St PL ue1 nm c O r ,aoa ills ° {a n ^ ° C Dr Ho f I � r o F, f' Ct �� n n ?� Dr P - o - o Lon zPeolL m St D f 0� vey Creek Roii�9wood Dr Dr - n o CreekWOOd Dr l'�Fekw�cd Dr n Montgomery ShaOCNV - � PikeSPeak CID St / mp ➢ n F m Ke woo N Ave / r �' c o o a Ct V) / �• f �Q t m a ,� f 6U creek j o y p .� s o 0 o mwpo 0 o t, m La Plata Ave e ' jQt ° 0 Cr o / a £ A —r) otto� IP o e pr Goo Anchor w O Porkloke Dr, dr la c D N ION '0 PACIFIC ROL r' lobe 2 ■� \ = • J ebr " o So ush ,� Dr. Dr I a n �o �rn5o - o ro b Somre► ct.�►� / r' Timberline R n. - � n M (/ . ■ N / e< a t � PROS fCt Pork woy V ID a Summary Based upon the analysis documented above, the following can be concluded: • Access to the recreational amenities is available by either of two routes. The preferred route uses the arterial and collector street system, however equal distribution of site traffic was assigned to each route for evaluation purposes. • Site traffic going to and returning from the recreation area must be recog- nized as destination traffic intended to use the area streets and not cut - through traffic. • Site traffic using the local street system will need to travel through Parkwood Apartments to access EPIC Center and Edora Park. Area residents are likely using the same route cutting through Parkwood Apartments to access rec- reational areas in addition to those wishing to travel east on Prospect or north on Timberline. While not a desirable condition, the lack of continuity of the local street system has made this route beneficial to local drivers. • Site traffic will not significantly impact the local street system based upon an impact of 0.7% or less using a very conservative analysis. This is well below the 12% impact threshold defined by the City as being significant. I trust this letter fully addresses your concerns at this point in time. Please call if you have any questions. ���N,Nap GEORGE Sincerely, ��•�_• �,srsd it 15945 W x G. Coppola, P.E. •.;s, �?, o ; 0�9T ••�NA� ,,•Pi"a: ..� •••...• 0 !4!,'�r..UF Attachments 0 • Site traffic demands associated for EPIC Center and Edora Park are summarized below. # Trips Site as Use Per Day % Demand Site Trips EPIC Center 1,300 1 % 13 Edora Park 250 1 % 3 TOTAL 16 Based upon the above estimates, 8 trips per day were assigned to each access route to EPIC Center and/or Edora Park. The impact of this traffic is assessed below. Impact on Area Streets Recent traffic volumes were obtained from the City for the local streets west of Johnson Farm. To determine the impact of traffic cutting through Parkwood Apartments, an esti- mate of daily traffic within that complex was calculated using ITE trip generation rates for 256 dwelling units. It may be understated due to the observation that traffic from resi- dential areas to the south may be cutting through the apartment complex to travel east on Prospect or north on Timberline. This information is presented below. Street/Area Current ADT Site Trips Total Trips Site Related Increase Eastwood ( N. of Trailwood) 1,160 8 1,168 0.7% Parkwood Apts. Complex 1,700 8 1,708 0.5% City criterion defines significant impact as site traffic increasing daily traffic by 12% or more on local residential streets. Clearly, this threshold is not exceeded and is far from being met. 1) Access Timberline, travel north to Prospect, turn west to Riverside and proceed south on Riverside. This route uses the arterial and collector street system. Travel distance is some 6,600 feet from the north site access to Timberline. Speeds are typical of those achievable on arterial streets and critical turns occur under traffic sig- nal control. 2) Access westbound Drake and turn north on Eastwood. Go north on Eastwood to the Parkwood East apartments and cut through the apartment complex to access River- side. Speeds are typical of residential local streets with speeds within the apartment complex much lower given speed bumps, narrow travel ways, a circuitous route, and other impediments. This route is some 6,700 feet long from the Drake site access. Practically speaking, both routes are the same distance. Improved travel time and ease of travel will likely make the arterial streets the preferred route. In order to conduct a con- servative analysis, however, equal use of both routes was assumed. Site Demand for EPIC Center and Edora Park Per discussions with EPIC Center management, an average of some 977 visitors per day use the EPIC Center. This is estimated to represent about 650 vehicles (1,300 trips) per day assuming a conservative 1.5 visitors per vehicle. Demographic data indicates 52,630 households within a 5 mile radius of the EPIC Center. Johnson Farm therefore represents one percent of this demand. This is based upon year 2000 demographics and does not consider additional growth during the time Johnson Farms is being built. Accordingly, the site demand for EPIC Center is 13 trips per day. Edora Park daily traffic was estimated at 250 trips during peak season. This assumes a 50 acre facility and normal day of week variations. Johnson Farm represents one per- cent of the park demand based upon the number of households (excluding the site) within a five -mile radius. This represents 2 - 3 trips per day without considering growth while Johnson Farm is being built. r EUGENE G. COPPOLA, P.E. P.O. Box 260027 Littleton, CO 80126-0027 303-792-2450 December 11, 2000 Mr. Brock Chapman The Cumberland Companies 6300 S. Syracuse Way, Suite 293 Englewood, CO 80111 RE: Site Traffic Diversion from Johnson Farm Dear Mr. Chapman: I have assessed the impact of site traffic using the neighborhood streets to the west of the site for access to the EPIC Center area. This analysis is documented in the following sections of this letter. Base Assumptions The following assumptions form the basis of the investigations conducted in this analy- sis. • Site residents wishing to use the EPIC Center will use the shortest, easiest, and quickest route to access the facility. • City criteria governing the definition of "significantly impacting" local residen- tial streets are applicable for use in this study. • Edora Park must be considered in this study since residents will also use this facility. Site Access to EPIC Center and Edora Park Site residents have two identifiable routes to access the EPIC Center and Edora Park area. These are: Troy Jones Fort Collins Current Planning 281 N. College Ave. P. O. Box 580 The Cumberland Companies, Inc. 6300 South Syracuse Way, Suite 293 • Englewood, CO 80111 303/779-9009 • Fox 303/220-1818 December 13, 2000 Fort Collins, CO 80522-0580 Re: Johnson Farms — Traffic Study Memorandum re: site generated traffic impacts to Parkwood East neighborhood Dear Troy: Enclosed please find the recent traffic study memorandum prepared by our traffic engineer, which quantifies the projected traffic impacts to the Parkwood East neighborhood generated by our proposed Johnson Farm development. Prior to the Planning and Zoning Board hearing, both our traffic engineer and Eric Brachi, the City traffic engineer, agreed that the site generated traffic impact to the Parkwood East neighborhood was insignificant. Because this was such an important topic of discussion at the P&Z hearing, however, I requested our traffic engineer study this issue in more detail and quantify the actual number of vehicles that could be expected to use the local public streets within the Parkwood East neighborhood, then make a conclusion of impacts relative to City Standards. As you can see, the total traffic impact was estimated to be 16 vehicles per day generated by the Johnson Farm site at full build -out. Based on this vehicle count, the traffic impact to the local street system is 0.7% or less using a conservative analysis. This is far below the 12% impact threshold defined by the City as being significant. Because this is a major issue associated with our proposed Johnson Farm application, I respectfully request this updated traffic information be added to the City Council Staff Report and review packages. In addition, this information should serve to assist you as the City Planner assigned to this project in addressing questions on this subject during the City Council hearing. Please contact me at (303) 741-1 113 to verify you received this information and that this information will be provided to City Council for their review prior to our January 2, 2001 City Council hearing. Thank you for your assistance in this matter. Cordially, Brock Chap an Vice President Cc: Eric Brachi, Fort Collins Traffic Engineering