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HomeMy WebLinkAboutPOUDRE SCHOOL DISTRICT, 2003 ELEMENTARY SCHOOL - SITE PLAN ADVISORY REVIEW - 5-02 - SUBMITTAL DOCUMENTS - ROUND 1 - TRAFFIC STUDYIV. CONCLUSIONS This study assessed the impacts of the New 2003 Elementary School development on the short range and long range street system in the vicinity of the proposed development. As a result of this analysis, the following is concluded: The development of the New 2003 Elementary School is feasible from a traffic engineering standpoint. At full development, the New 2003 Elementary School will generate approximately 536 daily trip ends, 152 morning peak hour trip ends, and 137 afternoon peak hour trip ends. Current operation at the key intersections is acceptable, except for the eastbound minor street left turns at the Timberline/Trilby intersection during the morning peak hour. Using the short range (2006) background- traffic forecasts, a peak hour signal warrant may be met in the morning peak hour at the Timberline/Trilby intersection. Using the_ short range (2006) background traffic forecasts, a peak hour signal warrant may be met in the morning peak hour at the Timberline /Kechter/willow Springs intersection. Using the short range (2006) background traffic forecasts, all key intersections will operate acceptably with signal control at the Timberline/Trilby and Timberline/Kechter/Willow Springs intersections. The key intersections, analyzed as roundabouts, will operate below the capacity of a single -lane roundabout, except for the Timberline/Kechter/willow Springs intersection during the morning peak hour. This intersection will require a multi -lane -roundabout or a northbound right -turn bypass lane. Using the short range (2006) total traffic forecasts, the key intersections will operate acceptably with signal control at the Timberline/Trilby and Timberline/Kechter/Willow Springs intersections. The short range geometry, with signal control at the major intersections, is shown in Figure 8. The key intersections, analyzed as roundabouts, will operate below the capacity of a single -lane roundabout, except for the Timberline/Kechter/Willow Springs intersection during the morning peak hour. This intersection would require a multi -lane roundabout or a northbound right -turn bypass lane. Acceptable level of service will be achieved for bicycle and transit modes based upon the measures in the multi -modal transportation guidelines. In some cases, acceptable pedestrian level of service cannot be achieved. It is expected that there will be considerable bussing for the 2003 Elementary School. 19 category where it is LOS C. Many of the streets in this area either do not have sidewalks or are under construction. Therefore, the actual level of service for standard is not addressed. Clearly, for most standards the minimum level of service cannot be met with the current street cross section. Actual level of services standards are, more appropriately, addressed in the established areas of Fort Collins, rather than on the fringes of the City. With the assumed pedestrian facilities along future streets, the pedestrian- level of service for destination areas 2 and 3 will be acceptable, except for the street crossing of Timberline Road. It is expected that children from destinations 1 and 4, and areas beyond one mile from the 2003 Elementary School will be bussed. Bicycle Level of Service Based upon Fort Collins bicycle LOS criteria, there are no destination areas within 1320 feet of the New 2003 Elementary School. Bicycle lanes exist on part of Timberline Road. It is assumed that Timberline Road will be built to a four -lane arterial cross section with 8 foot bike lanes on each side of the street. A bicycle LOS worksheet is provided in Appendix G. Transit Level of Service Currently, there is no transit service in the area. The Poudre School District provides school bus service for those students who live beyond the school walk area. A transit level of service worksheet is provided in Appendix G. If feeder route service is provided by the City for 16+ hours per weekday, then acceptable level of service D will be achieved. 18 a� Willow Springs Kechter Timber Trail —00 - Denotes Lane SHORT RANGE (2006) GEOMETRY Figure 8 17 TABLE 4 Short Range (2006) Total Morning and School Afternoon Peak Hour Operation Intersectwn Movement;,_ Level of Service School PM Timberline/Trilby (stop sign) EB LT F F EB T/RT C C EB APPROACH F F WB LT F F WB T/RT C C WB APPROACH E D NB LT A A SB LT A A Timberline/Trilby (signal) EB C C WB C C NS B B SB B B OVERALL B B (roundabout) Trilby line (round ` Percent�of Capacity upper' boundllower cou�a� ;' EB 53%/66% 38%/47% WB 19%/25% 6%/8% NB 69%/84% 42%/51% SB 620/o/750/o 62%/75% Timberline/Timber Trail (stop sign) WB LT/RT D C SB LT B A Timberline/Kechter/Willow Springs (stop sign) EB LT F F EB T/RT B A EB APPROACH F E WB LT F F WB T/RT C B WB APPROACH F F NB LT A A SB LT B A Timberline/Kechter/Willow Springs (signal) EB C C WB C CNB B B SB B B OVERALL B B Timberline/Kechter/Willow Springs (roundabout) c:Pe.rcerit of: Capacity (upper bound nowerboioa) , ' - „ EB 15%/19% 11 %/14%WB 55%/70% 42%/52% NB 99%/121% 46%/56% SB 59%/72% 68%/82% 16 Using the traffic volumes shown in Figure 7 and the recommended geometrics, the key intersections operate in the short range total condition as indicated in Table 4. Calculation forms for these analyses are provided in Appendix F. With stop sign control at the Timberline/Trilby and Timberline /Kechter/Willow Springs intersections, a minor street leg will operate at level of service F. With signal control, these intersections will operate acceptably. The key intersections, analyzed as roundabouts, will operate below the capacity of a single -lane roundabout, except for the Timberline/Kechter/Willow Springs intersection during the morning peak hour. This intersection would be required to be a multi -lane roundabout or have a northbound right -turn bypass lane. As mentioned above, if a roundabout, intersection was selected, it would likely be a multi -lane roundabout. Geometry Figure 8 shows the short range geometry with signal or stop sign control at the key intersections. The northbound right -turn lane at - the Timberline/Timber Trail intersection may not have been shown or designed as part of the Westchase development to the south of the school site. Based upon a field visit, it appears that this lane will not be provided on Timberline Road. If it is not shown on these approved plans, then it is recommended that this lane not be built, since it may only be needed during the school peak hour. Pedestrian Level of Service Appendix G shows a map of the area that is within one mile (within the school service area) of the New 2003 Elementary School. There will be four pedestrian destinations within a mile of the New 2003 Elementary School: These are: 1) the residential area west of the site (Southridge and Paragon Point), 2) the residential area southwest of the site (Linden Park), 3) the residential area south of the site (Westchase), and 4) the residential area northeast of the site (existing and future developments within Larimer County). Other residences within this radius are not in a concentrated area. This site is .in an area type -termed "school walking area." ,The level of service determination assumes that future residential developments (namely, Linden Park and Westchase) will build their streets and adjacent streets in accordance with Fort Collins Standards. This being the case, pedestrian facilities will exist where they currently do not within the city limits of Fort Collins. This is a reasonable assumption. If this does not occur or is not accepted by the City, then acceptable pedestrian level of service cannot be achieved. It should be noted that throughout this area there exists enclaves of Larimer County. Therefore, pedestrian facilities will not exist adjacent to these enclaves. The Pedestrian LOS Worksheet is provided in Appendix G. The minimum level of service for "school walking area" is B for all categories, except for the visual interest & amenities 15 TABLE 3 Short Range (2006) Background Morning and School Afternoon Peak Hour Operation Intersection Movements Levet of Service AM School PAA . '. ,. Timberline/Trilby (stop sign) EB LT F F EB T/RT C C EB APPROACH F F WB LT F F WB T/RT C C WB APPROACH E D NB LT A A SB LT A A Timberline/Trilby (signal) EB C C WB C CNg B B SB B B OVERALL B B (roundabout) line/Trilby (round Percent.of Capacity (upper bound/low'r bound) EB 48%/59% 34%/41 % WB 18%/23% 5%/7% NB 640/o/790/. 40%/48% SB- 58%/70% 58%/70% Timberline/Timber Trail (stop sign) WB LT/RT C B SB LT B A Timberline/Kechter/Willow Springs (stop sign) EB LT F F EB T/RT B A EB APPROACH F E WB LT F F WB T/RT C B WB APPROACH F F NB LT A A SB LT B A Tim berli ne/Kechter/Willow Springs (signal) EB C C WB C CNB B B SB B B OVERALL B B Timberline/Kechter/Willow Springs (roundabout) Percent of:Capacity tupperboundnowerboundj ._ EB 15%/19% 11%/14% WB 55%/69% 41 %/51 NB 99%/120% 45%/54% SB 58%/70% 67%/82% 14 E LO LOLO f= c LO v � 165/120 0/ 7 10/210 Kechter 50/40 15/5ul -� 25/15 `° o O M ` T O U) - � T (D co O C O Lo V U-) N 40/25 60/55 `n (D o LO u) ' rn 0 0 -- N CD CO o 60/25 ' N V N -� 20/10 Jr, � )0(— 20/10 II Timber Trail ' / Trilby 320/165 —) 10/25 —s- Ln LO to 75/105 T o T o o U") T r� o LO 7:30am-8:30am/3:00pm-4:OOpm ' Rounded to Nearest 5 Vehicles SHORT RANGE (2006) TOTAL PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC 13 61 Figure 7 I 0 Lo 3/3 tr m O co CDch 3/3 1 � � 44/44 co o co � � N ) fo 1 36/28 rn N 00 6/6 Kechter Timber Trail Trilby --o— 7:30am-8:30am/3:OOpm-4:00pm SITE GENERATED PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC 12 N Figure 6 Trip Assignment Trip assignment is how the generated and distributed trips are expected to be loaded on the street system. The assigned trips are the resultant of the trip distribution process. Figure 6 shows the site generated morning and school afternoon peak hour traffic assignment. Figure 7 shows the total (site plus background) short range morning and school afternoon peak hour traffic at the key intersections. Signal Warrants As a matter of policy, traffic signals are not installed at any location unless warrants are met according to the Manual on Uniform Traffic Control Devices. It should be noted that the normal afternoon peak hour was not analyzed. From experience, if the morning peak hour signal warrant is met, .it will likely be met in the afternoon peak hour as well. Using the short range background peak hour traffic (Figure 5), the warrant may be met in the morning peak hour at the Timberline/Trilby and Timberline/Kechter/Willow Springs intersections. The peak hour signal warrant analyses are provided in Appendix D. Operation Analysis Capacity analyses were performed at the key intersections. The operations analyses were conducted for the short range analysis, reflecting a year 2006 condition. It is not definite when the full arterial cross section of Timberline Road would be extended south to Trilby Road. For analysis purposes, this transportation impact study assumed that this would occur by/prior to the year 2006. Conventional stop sign, signal, and roundabouts were analyzed at selected intersections. Roundabout intersections were analyzed as single -lane. approaches as provided in the 2000 Highway Capacity Manual. The analysis technique indicates `percent of capacity" for each approach leg of the roundabout. Approach legs with "percent of capacity" of greater than 100 percent indicates that a multi -lane roundabout is needed or perhaps a right -turn bypass lane, if appropriate. Using the traffic volumes shown in Figure 5, the key intersections operate in the short range background condition as indicated in Table 3. Calculation forms for these analyses are provided in Appendix G. With ' stop sign control at the. Timberline/Trilby and Timberline/Kechter/Willow Springs intersections, a minor street leg will operate at level of service F. With signal control, these intersections will operate acceptably. The key intersections, analyzed as roundabouts, will operate below the capacity of a single -lane roundabout, except for the Timberline/Kechter/ Willow Springs intersection during the morning peak ' hour, which will require a multi -lane roundabout or .right -turn bypass lanes on some legs. Since the Fort Collins Master Street shows Timberline Road as a four -lane arterial in this area, it is likely that, if a roundabout intersection is selected, it would be a multi -lane roundabout. 11 a� E m LO L LON 165/120 165/205 50/40 Kechter _1I 15/5 - — 25/15 I�" u, 'n 0 o r`LO) o 0 cp' �- (O CM O V e U) LO M LO 1 35/20 "0(-15/10 FWA02 o (n v LO LO v rn 0 0 CD N V t1) 00 N LO55/20 20/10 20/10 285/135 — J 10/25 — 75/105 LO � LO 0' `- 0 0 ti rn IT Timber Trail inoy — 7:30am-8:30am/3:00pm-4:00pm Rounded to Nearest 5 Vehicles SHORT RANGE (2006) BACKGROUND PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC d Figure 5 10 N 5% Kechter - 10% s i Timber Trail W C E 5% H o o r- 45% 10% Trilby u7 r- TRIP DISTRIBUTION W-AUZ: 1""=1 UUU Figure 4 9 OR III. PROPOSED DEVELOPMENT The New 2003 Elementary School is a school development, located in the northeast quadrant of the Timberline/Timber Trail (future) intersection in Fort Collins. Figure 3 shows .a site plan of the New 2003 Elementary School. The short range analysis (Year 2006) includes development of the New 2103 Elementary School and an appropriate increase in background traffic, due to other potential development in the area. The site plan shows access to the New 2003 Elementary School via Timber Trail Road. A second access to Timberline Road, as shown on the site plan, will serve school busses and faculty only. Trip Generation Trip generation is important in considering the impact of a development such as this upon the existing and proposed street system. A compilation of trip generation information contained in Trip Generation, 6th Edition, ITE was used to estimate trips that would be generated by the New 2003 Elementary School. Table 2 shows the expected trip generation on a daily, morning peak hour, and school afternoon peak hour basis. TABLE 2 Trip Generation I 520 Elementary School 525 1.02 536 10.17 89 0.12 63 10.12 63 0.14 I 74 I st dents I Trip Distribution Directional distribution of the generated trips was determined for the New 2003 Elementary School based upon the service area provided by the Poudre School District. The distribution may moderate slightly based upon how development occurs within the service area. Figure 4 shows the trip distribution used in the traffic assignment process. Background Traffic Projections Figure 5 shows the short range (2006) background traffic projections. Background traffic projections for the short range future horizon was obtained by reviewing the NFRRTP and various traffic studies prepared for this area of Fort Collins. The background traffic includes. that generated at the 2004 High School. 7 TABLE 1 Current Morning and School Afternoon Peak Hour Operation Intersectionf Movernent.,: Level: ' Level:ofZeri&0.. Timberline/Trilby (stop sign) EB LT F D EB T/RT B B EB APPROACH F C WB LT C C WB T/RT B C WB APPROACH B C NB LT A A SB LT A A Tim, berline/KechterNVillow Springs (stop sign) EB LT/T/RT B A WB LTMRT C C NB LT gA A SB LT A A Bicycle Facilities Bicycle lanes exist along Timberline Road, except for some intermittent gaps. There are no bicycle facilities along Kechter Road. When Kechter Road is improved to its minor arterial cross section, it will have the required 8 foot bike lanes on each side of the street. Transit Facilities There is no existing transit service in this area of Fort Collins. 3 N Willow Springs / 48/39 12/3 —� 21/12 41 /58 4/4 26/54 ` r Kechter oU') t1- �- (D N � N � Lo (() 6) N c rn rn 00 co N 11* co C) O 0/0 rn N o 0/1 r i rnoy 216/100 I 1/1 1- Io 57/77 °r�o N o (n (n r` (M 7:30am-8:30am/3:OOpm-4:OOpm RECENT PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC Figure 2 5 As such, there will growing northbound right -turn movement and westbound left -turn movement at the Timberline/Kechter/Willow Springs intersection. However, once Trilby Road is connected to Ziegler Road, ' it is expected that there will be some trip diversion to the new road. The existing speed limit on Trilby Road is 35/40 mph. ' Timber Trail will be a future collector street on the south side of the site. It will intersect with Timberline Road and to Ziegler Road, according to the Fort Collins master Street Plan. Existing Traffic ' Recent morning and school afternoon peak hour traffic at the key intersections is shown in Figure 2. Raw traffic count data is provided in Appendix B.. Morning and school afternoon peak hour traffic data at ' the Timberline/Kechter/Willow Springs intersection was collected in July 2001. Morning and school afternoon peak -hour traffic data at the Timberline/Trilby intersection was collected in January 2002. The ' difference between the two counts was within a reasonable range, given that the intersections are one mile apart. Existing Operation The counted intersections were evaluated using techniques provided in the 2000 Highway Capacity Manual. The existing stop sign control was analyzed at the counted intersections. Using the morning and school afternoon peak hour traffic shown in Figure 2, the peak hour operation is shown in Table 1. Calculation forms are provided in Appendix C. A description of level of service for signalized and unsignalized intersections from the 2000 Highway Capacity Manual and a table showing the Fort Collins Motor vehicle LOS Standards (Intersections) are also provided in Appendix C. The key intersections operate acceptably during both the morning and school afternoon peak hours, except for the minor street left turns at the Timberline/Trilby intersection during the morning peak hour. Delay commensurate with level of service F is normal prior to meeting signal warrants. A peak hour warrant analysis for the existing traffic indicates that signals are not warranted at this intersection. Pedestrian Facilities Pedestrian facilities currently exist along the west side of Timberline Road, ending just south of Kechter Road/Willow Springs. There are no pedestrian facilities along either side of Kechter Road or Trilby Road. It is expected that as properties in this area are developed, sidewalks will be installed as part of the street infrastructure (Westchase and Linden Park). There are properties in this area which are not within the City of Fort Collins. In the scoping meeting, the transportation planning staff was not clear about how to handle the lack of pedestrian facilities adjacent to these properties. N O o TA Kechter Timber Trail Trilby 206 Eleme a S h E 0 CR32 O � O O 0 � J JI.NLt: l "=4000 SITE LOCATION 3 Figure 1 II.. EXISTING CONDITIONS The location of the New 2003 Elementary School is shown in Figure 1. It is important that a thorough understanding of the existing conditions be presented. ILand Use Land uses in the area are primarily either residential or open. A residential. neighborhood (Westchase) is under development to the south. The Linden Park residentialdevelopment is planned and under . construction to the west of the site, across Timberline Road. Land adjacent to the site is flat (<2% grade) from a traffic operations perspective. The center of Fort Collins lies to the northwest of the proposed New 2003 Elementary School. Roads r Timberline Road is west of the New 2003 Elementary School site. It is a north -south street designated as a four -lane arterial north of the Timberline/Trilby intersection and a two-lane arterial south of the Timberline/Trilby intersection on the Fort Collins Master Street Plan. Currently, it has a two-lane cross section from just north of the Timberline/Kechter/Willow Springs intersection to the south. The Timberline/Kechter/Willow .Springs intersection has stop sign control on Kechter Road/Willow Springs and the Timberline/Trilby intersection has stop sign control on Trilby Road. The existing speed limit on Timberline Road is 40 mph. While nearby developments, which are under construction (Linden Park and Westchase), will build Timberline Road to its full width adjacent to their frontage, it is not known whether there will be substandard cross sections along "non -city" portions of this street. This could have ramifications from an operations and alternative mode perspective. Kechter Road is to the north of the proposed New 2003 Elementary School. It is a east -west street designated as a two-lane arterial on the Fort Collins Master Street Plan. Currently, Kechter Road has a two- lane cross section with minimal shoulders. The current posted speed is 40 mph. Trilby Road is approximately 0.5 miles south of the New 2003 Elementary School site. It is an east -west street designated as a four -lane arterial west of Timberline Road and a collector street east of Timberline Road on the Fort Collins Master Street Plan. Currently, Trilby Road has a two-lane cross section near the Timberline/Trilby intersection: It will be extended to the east of Timberline Road, eventually connecting to Ziegler Road. However, it is not known when Trilby Road will be connected to Ziegler Road. For analysis purposes, it is assumed that this connection will not be made until after 2006. 2 I. INTRODUCTION This transportation impact study addresses the capacity, geometric, and control requirements at and near the proposed development of the New 2003 Elementary School.. The proposed New 2003 Elementary School is located in the northeast quadrant of the Timberline/Timber Trail (future) intersection, south of Kechter Road, in Fort Collins, Colorado. During the course of the analysis, numerous contacts were made with the project planning consultant (RB+B), the Poudre School District - Support Services, the Fort .Collins Transportation Planning Staff, and the Fort Collins Traffic Engineering Staff. This study generally conforms to the format set forth in the Fort Collins transportation impact study guidelines. Appendix A contains the Transportation Impact Study Base Assumptions form and related, attachments for -the New 2003 Elementary School. The study involved the following steps: - Collect physical, traffic, and development data; Perform trip generation, trip distribution, and trip assignment; - Determine peak hour traffic volumes; - Conduct capacity and operational level of service analyses on key intersections; - Analyze signal warrants; - Conduct level of service evaluation of pedestrian, bicycle, and transit modes of transportation. 1 LIST OF FIGURES Figure Page 1. Site Location ........................................ 3 2. Recent Morning and School Afternoon Peak Hour Traffic 5 .......................... 3. Site Plan ............................................ 8 4. Trip Distribution .................................... 9 5. Short Range (2006) Background Morning and School Afternoon Peak Hour Traffic ....... 10 6. Site Generated Morning and School Afternoon Peak Hour Traffic .......................... 12 7. Short Range (2006) Total Morning and School Afternoon Peak Hour Traffic ....... 13 8. Short Range (2006) Geometry .'......................... 17 APPENDIX A Base Assumptions Form B Recent Morning and School Afternoon Peak Hour Traffic C Current Morning and School Afternoon Peak Hour Operation/Level of Service Descriptions/Fort Collins LOS Standards D Signal Warrant Analysis E Short Range Background Traffic Operation F Short Range Total Traffic Operation G Pedestrian/Bicycle Level of Service Worksheets TABLE OF CONTENTS Page I. Introduction ......................................... 1 II. Existing Conditions .................................. 2 LandUse ............................................. 2 Roads................................................ 2 Existing Traffic .................... :................ 4 Existing Operation ................................... 4. Pedestrian Facilities ................................ 4 Bicycle Facilities .................. 6 Transit Facilities ................................... 6 III. Proposed Development ................................. 7 Trip Generation ...................................... 7 Trip Distribution ...... .. ....................... 7 Background Traffic Projections ....................... 7 Trip Assignment ...................................... 11 Signal Warrants ...................................... 11 Operation Analysis ................................... 11 Geometry.............................................. 15 Pedestrian Level of Service .......................... 15 Bicycle Level of Service ............................. 18 Transit Level of Service ............................. 18 IV. Conclusions .......................................... 19 LIST OF TABLES Table Page 1. Current Morning and School Afternoon Peak Hour Operation 6 2. Trip Generation ...................................... 7 3. Short Range (2006) Background Morning and School Afternoon Peak Hour Operation ............. 14 4. Short Range (2006) Total Morning and School Afternoon Peak Hour Operation ............. 16 2003 ELEMENTARY SCHOOL TRANSPORTATION IMPACT STUDY FORT COLLINS, COLORADO FEBRUARY 2002 Prepared for: Poudre School District Support Service Center 2407 LaPorte Avenue Fort Collins, CO 80521 Prepared by: MATTHEW J. DELICH, P.E. 2272 Glen Haven Drive Loveland, CO 80538 Phone: 970-669-2061 FAX: 970-669-5034