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HomeMy WebLinkAboutPALMER DESIGN CENTER - PDP - 47-98 - SUBMITTAL DOCUMENTS - ROUND 1 - TRAFFIC STUDYVII. CONCLUSIONS This study assessed the potential impacts of the Palmer Design Center site in Fort Collins, Colorado. As a result of the analysis, the following conclusions were drawn: - The potential impacts of the proposed project were evaluated at the following intersections: College/Horsetooth, Horsetooth/Mitchell/ Square, Horsetooth/Prudential Access, and Horsetooth/JFK. - The traffic impact analyses were performed for existing conditions and future Year 2003. Future background traffic conditions without the project and the total traffic conditions with completion of the proposed project were evaluated. - Under existing conditions, each of the study intersections is currently operating at an acceptable level of service. - For Year 2003 background and total traffic conditions, the study intersections are projected to operate at acceptable levels of service. The required geometry in the short range future is shown in Figure 9. - Pedestrian access to and from the proposed Palmer Design Center site is/will be direct and continuous. Pedestrian level of service will be acceptable, except for the street crossing criteria. Bicycle level of service will be acceptable. It is anticipated that the transit level of service will be acceptable in the future. 21 I parking lot on an adjacent property. Therefore, the base connectivity is at level of service C as shown on Appendix E. The site is in an existing commercial area. "The Fort Collins Bike Program Plan" indicates that there will be on -street bike lanes on Horsetooth Road. When this occurs, the base connectivity will be at level of service A. 1 Transit Level of Service ' There is transit service along College Avenue and Horsetooth Road (to the west) with a stop at the Square South Transit Center, which is near the site. The current routes (Routes 1, 6, and 7) are within 1320 feet of the site. The 2015 Transit System map indicates that Horsetooth Road will be LII I r I .1 S I a high frequency transit corridor. The BNRR Enhanced Travel Corridor will be just beyond 1320 feet from the site. Future transit level of service will be acceptable. 20 m cc — - Denotes Lane RECOMMENDED APPROACH GEOMETRY 19 Figure 9 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 L 1 Table 4 Short Range Total Peak Hour Traffic Operation Level of Service Intersection Em dam./ College/Horsetooth (signal) C D Horsetooth/Mitchell/Square (stop sign) NB RT A A SB RT A A WB LT B A OVERALL A A Horsetooth/Prudential Access (stop sign) NB RT A A Horsetooth/JFK (signal) B B Mitchell/Bank/Palmer Design Center (stop sign) EB LT/T/RT A A WB LT//T/RT A A NB LT A A SB LT A A OVERALL A A 18 1 1 M 1 1 1 1 i 1 1 1 t 1 Table 3 Short Range Background Peak Hour Traffic Operation Level of Service Intersection gb College/Horsetooth (signal) C D Horsetooth/Mitchell/Square (stop sign) NB RT A A SB RT A A WB LT B A OVERALL A A Horsetooth/Prudential Access (stop sign) NB RT A A Horsetooth/JFK (signal) B B 17 VI. TRAFFIC IMPACT ANALYSIS The previous two chapters described the development of future traffic forecasts both with and without the proposed project. Intersection operations analyses are conducted in this chapter for both scenarios to assess the potential impact of the proposed project -generated traffic on the local street system. Other transportation modes are also addressed in this chapter. Traffic Analysis - Year 2003 The peak hour background and total traffic volumes for Year 2003, illustrated on Figures 7 and 8, respectively, were analyzed to determine the intersection delay and corresponding level of service. Tables 3 and 4 summarize the results for the respective short range Year 2003 background and total traffic conditions. The level of service worksheets for Year 2003 background and total traffic conditions are provided in Appendix C and D, respectively. As indicated in Tables 3 and 4, the traffic movements at each of the study intersections are expected to operate at an acceptable level of service under future traffic conditions in the Year 2003. The short range intersection geometry is depicted on Figure 9. Pedestrian Level of Service The study area for pedestrians is, by definition, those destinations which are within 1320 feet of the site. The potential destinations are shown on the graphic in Appendix E. The site itself falls into the "Activity Corridor" category and the "Transit Corridor" category. As mentioned earlier, the site is connected to most of the potential destinations by existing sidewalks, although some of those sidewalks do not meet current City Standards since they were built under previous City Standards. Completion of the sidewalks along the site frontage will mitigate the continuity criteria in all cases, except for the residential area east of Landings Drive. This area was approved with no sidewalk on the east side of Landings Drive. It is not reasonable that the Palmer Design Center contribute to completion of this segment of sidewalk. The minimum level of service (B) for this area cannot be met by the street crossing criteria for a number of destination areas, since some crossings involve 6 or more lanes. The Pedestrian LOS Worksheets are provided in Appendix E. The minimum level of service for activity center is B for all measured categories. This level of service will be satisfied for most categories either currently or in the future. This area has/will have a good pedestrian system in spite of not satisfying the street crossing criteria. Bicycle Level of Service This site is directly connected to the on -street bike lanes on Mitchell Drive and can access the bike lanes on JFK Parkway through a 16 1 i 1 1 1 1 1 1 4-o LO 00 al �o o 180/190 aO 470/775 205/395 �10/30 cC N O HORSETOOTH m N �850850/1/1 310 ,r-- 45/65 f 100/205 —� } 1085/885 109539975 —�- 90/170 875/600 -� n n �n 75/60 , I uR 0 960/730 -� 145/190 �\� J o � 50/85 -� 0 " M N W _ cc Site W (9 o ` ..r � d 3 W � - 5/t0 Y "J"l� rI — NOM. 5/15 (L Q / 1 /— Y V 15/35 f LL NOM. 30/85 -� Ln o o o z M [V SHORT RANGE TOTAL PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC N - 40/195 — 780/1125 ,r- 40/210 AM/PM Rounded to the Nearest 5 Vehicles. Figure 8 15 I ' V. FUTURE TOTAL TRAFFIC PROJECTIONS The future total traffic projections reflect future traffic conditions with the traffic from the proposed Palmer Design Center site. ' The future total traffic projections were developed for the Year 2003. Total Traffic Year 2003 ' The total traffic for Year 2003 was developed by adding traffic from the proposed project to the background traffic for Year 2003. The resulting short range peak hour total traffic projections for Year 2003 are ' shown on Figure 8. 1 1 1 11 I 1 14 i i 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 N � m 00 rn - v �� �- 181/189 0 — 466/774 203/392 101/202 -/ } 869/593 — Ln -i- ll 44/188 �L v nN� W W J J U m ca 0 � N � 8/28 - 80 846/1306 HORSETOOTH m N N 776/1114 r 42/57 + 86/210 1079/877 1083/958 - 90/170 } 68/47 - ^ 31/6 W 947/717 -� r, o to N 48/79 -� M MMo SHORT RANGE BACKGROUND PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC AM/PM Figure 7 12 n I IV. FUTURE BACKGROUND TRAFFIC PROJECTIONS In order to properly evaluate the potential impact of the proposed Palmer Design Center site on the local traffic conditions, future traffic ' volumes were first estimated for the study area without the project. These future forecasts reflect the growth that is expected from overall development in this area of the City of Fort Collins. 1 Background Traffic Year 2003 ' The growth reflected in Year 2003 Background Traffic is based on area wide growth and development. Based upon historical traffic growth and information from the North Front Range Regional Transportation Plan, October 1994, the background traffic was determined. The short range peak ' hour background traffic for Year 2003 is depicted on Figure 7. 1 I 1 12 1 1 i 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 izz, "1-- 0/0 0/0 - 0/0 2/4 — r �N\ ►i m ca ri 0 00 CD HORSETOOTH '001 — 1/4 00-� 0/3 'W if Site ' a Y 1/7 d 4/16 Y LL �o 0 Iv10 �J 1 3/12 1/4 Note. To College Avenue via Backman or other available private connections. SITE GENERATED PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC AM/PM Figure 6 Ak- NO SCALE TRIP DISTRIBUTION 10 Figure 5 1 1 1 1 1 i 1 1 1 1 i 1 1 1 1 Land Use PALMER DESIGN CENTER North Building - 5.656 KSF (Rate) South Building - 6.332 KSF (Rate) TOTAL Table 2 Trip Generation Daily A.M. Peak P.M. Peak Trips Trips Trips Trips Trips in out in out 245 4 2 10 11 (42.92) (0.63) (0.40) (1.80) (1.94) 275 4 3 11 12 (42.92) (0.63) (0.40) (1.80) (1.94) 520 8 5 21 23 9 0 m HORSETOOTH ROAD A& N 0 SCALE SITE PLAN Figure 4 I III. PROPOSED DEVELOPMENT 1 The Palmer Design Center site is proposed to have retail uses. The project site, depicted on Figure 4, is located east of Mitchell Drive and ' south of Horsetooth Road. ' Trip Generation Trip generation is important in considering the impact of a development such as this upon the existing and proposed street system. A ' compilation of trip generation information, prepared by the Institute of Transportation Engineers (Trip Generation. 6th Edition) was used to estimate trip generation. Table 2 shows the trip generation of the proposed project. Land use code 820 (Shopping Center) was used to estimate ' the trip generation. One of the uses that has been contemplated is a furniture store. Comparisons of trip generation rates were made between the Shopping Center use, and furniture and general retail use. It was ' found that the Shopping Center use had a higher trip generation rate compared to the other uses. This, coupled with the fact that the site is in close proximity to the Square and Foothills Fashion Mall, suggested that the Shopping Center use would provide a conservative analysis. Trip Distribution The directional distribution of the generated trips was determined for the Palmer Design Center site. The distribution was determined based upon a gravity model process, in addition to analysis of the existing ' traffic patterns in the area and the type of use proposed at the site. The trip distribution is provided on Figure 5. Trip Assignment Trip assignment is how the generated and distributed trips are ' expected to be loaded on the street system. The assigned trips are the resultant of the trip distribution process. Figure 6 shows the peak hour site generated traffic for the proposed project. Since northbound left turns are not allowed at the Horsetooth/Mitchell/Square access, the ' vehicles that would have done this were assigned to Bockman Drive or the various cross accesses to College Avenue. This assignment is reflective of the intended function of the Mitchell Drive connections to the south. u 7 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Table 1 Current Peak Hour Operation Intersection College/Horsetooth (signal) Horsetooth/Mitchell/Square (stop sign) NB RT SB RT WB LT OVERALL Horsetooth/Prudential Access (stop sign) NB LT/RT WB LT OVERALL Horsetooth/JFK (signal) Level of Service C C A A A A B A A A B C A A A A B (B) * (B) * Delay calculation not feasible. Considered to be LOS F. This is with two phase signal operation. ( ) Level of service with east and west left -turn phases. 1 Existing Motor Vehicle Operation 1 Using the traffic volumes shown in Figure 3 and the existing control, the key intersections operate as indicated in Table 1. Calculation forms for these analyses are provided in Appendix B. Appendix B also describes ' level of service for unsignalized intersections as provided in the 1994 Highway Capacity Manual. Operation at the key intersections is acceptable. Acceptable level of service is defined as level of service D or better. Pedestrian Facilities ' Currently, there are pedestrian facilities along Horsetooth Road, College Avenue, Mitchell Drive, JFK Parkway, and Landings Drive, except for the frontage of the project site and intermittent segments on JFK Parkway and on Landings Drive. Some of these sidewalks were built under former City Street Standards and, therefore, do not have the parkway between the street and the sidewalk. However, most do have the parkway. There are handicap ramps at all intersections. Site plans show that this development will complete the sidewalk system along its frontage on Horsetooth Road and Mitchell Drive. ' Bicycle Facilities There are bike lanes striped along Mitchell Drive and JFK Parkway. There are on -street bike lanes on Horsetooth Road, west of College Avenue and east of Stanford Road. ' Transit Facilities Transfort currently serves this area with Routes 1, 6, and 7. There is a transit stop at the Square South Transit Center. During the school 1 year, these routes have 30 minute, 60 minute, and 30 minute service, respectively. The Square South Transit Center is located on the north side of Horsetooth Road, less than 1320 feet from the site. r 1 5 m Cc CD co to N � 170/178 o ^ r + 421 /708 r- 191/368 95/190 } 795/497 — N 135/176 N cLn N N n m co Q D. m r T 8/28 785/1092 36/57 1155/845 68/47 -� ^ 00 J n W H N ^ N --TOOTH - 44/93 rl co ^ " C4 675/987 �- 6/0 J + r- 78/191 82/157 -/ } �o 853/684 --+^ o N cc ' o N 44/73 -� � � van M M M c 3 m a (L aLLj Y AM/PM RECENT PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC Figure 2 N cc c 95/190 ---/ 790/539 — 135/176 W J J O U Nt-- 170/178 8/28 HORSETOOTH 424/704 d — 781/1201 825/1282 ^ "' r-191/368 f— 36/57 r- 6/0 ) + L r 983/803 — r 987/884 ) r - 82/157 —J� m r 68/47 - m 31 /6 \\ 863/662 �- CN\o J N 44/73 N Lo ro - W lb U m a a Y AM/PM 44/93 720/1027 Ir-- 78/191 co O N m \� 4-co M te)M n M RECENT ADJUSTED PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC A Figure 3 3 o m 1" = 1500' N SITE LOCATION Figure 1 II. EXISTING CONDITIONS The location of the proposed Palmer Design Center site is shown on Figure 1. It is important that a thorough understanding of the existing conditions be presented. Land Use Land uses in the area are commercial. The topography surrounding the site is essentially flat from a traffic operations perspective. The center of Fort Collins is located north of this site. Roads The primary streets, which will serve the proposed project in the study area, are Horsetooth Road and Mitchell Drive. The intersections of College/Horsetooth and Horsetooth/JFK are signal controlled. The Horsetooth/Mitchell/Square intersection has right-in/right-out/left-in access on the Mitchell Drive side and right-in/right-out access on the Square side. A median has recently been constructed on Horsetooth Road at this location. There is a full -movement access to Horsetooth Road between the site and the Prudential Building to the east. According to City staff, the median should have been extended to the east, possibly to JFK Parkway, which would have restricted this access to right-in/right-out. While not the responsibility of the Palmer Design Center, staff recommended that this intersection be analyzed as a right-in/right-out access. ' Horsetooth Road is an east/west arterial area, Horsetooth Road accommodates five travel in each direction and a center left -turn lane right -turn lane on Horsetooth Road approaching daily traffic on Horsetooth Road is approximately to the east of the project site. street. Within the study lanes: two through lanes There is an eastbound Mitchell Drive. Recent 26,000 near Stanford Road Mitchell Drive is a local street that primarily serves the commercial uses east and west of Mitchell Drive. It acts as a recirculation street for College Avenue. Mitchell Drive intersects with Bockman Drive to the south, as well as, providing rear access to businesses on the east side of College Avenue. Existing Motor Vehicle Traffic Peak hour traffic counts at the key intersections are shown on Figure 2. Raw count data is provided in Appendix A. Since some of these counts were obtained on different days, they were adjusted and balanced between the analyzed intersections. The resulting traffic volumes are shown in Figure 3. 2 [J 1 I. INTRODUCTION ■ This transportation impact study addresses the capacity, geometric, and control requirements at and near the proposed Palmer Design Center ' site, located south of Horsetooth Road and east of Mitchell Drive in Fort Collins, Colorado. This transportation analysis addresses potential vehicular impacts upon the street system, the pedestrian network surrounding the study area, the bicycle system, and the availability of transit facilities. Traffic projections will be prepared for future Year 2003. The scope of this study was discussed with City staff. ' During the course of the analysis, numerous contacts were made with the project architect/planner (VF Ripley Associates) and City staff. This study generally conforms to the format set forth in the Fort Collins Transportation Impact Study Guidelines. The study involved the following steps: - Collect physical, traffic, and development data; - Perform trip generation, trip distribution, and trip assignment; Determine peak hour traffic volumes and daily traffic volumes; Conduct capacity and operational level of service analyses for all pertinent modes of transportation. ' This report is prepared for the following purposes: - Evaluate the existing conditions; Estimate the trip generation by the proposed/assumed developments; Determine the trip distribution of site generated traffic; - Evaluate level of service; ' = Determine the geometrics at.key intersections; Determine the impacts of site generated traffic at key intersections; - Determine pedestrian, bicycle, and transit levels of service. Information used in this report was obtained from the City of Fort Collins, the planning and engineering consultants, the developer, research sources (ITE, TRB, etc.), and field reconnaissance. I I LIST OF FIGURES Figure Paae 1. Site Location ........................................ 3 2. Recent Peak Hour Traffic ............................. 4 3. Recent Adjusted/Balanced Peak Hour Traffic ........... 4 4. Site Plan ............................................ 8 5. Trip Distribution .................................... 10 6. Site Generated Traffic ............................... 11 7. Short Range Background Peak Hour Traffic ............. 13 8. Short Range Total Peak Hour Traffic .................. 15 9. Short Range/Long Range Geometry ...................... 19 APPENDIX A Recent Peak Hour Traffic B Current Peak Hour Operation/Description of Level of Service C Year 2003 Background Traffic Analyses D Year 2003 Total Traffic Analyses E Pedestrian, Bicycle, and Transit Level of Service TABLE OF CONTENTS I. Introduction ......................................... Page 1 II. Existing Conditions .................................. 2 LandUse ............................................. 2 Roads................................................ 2 Existing Motor Vehicle Traffic ....................... 2 Existing Motor Vehicle Operation ..................... 5 Pedestrian Facilities ................................ 5 Bicycle Facilities ................................... 5 Transit Facilities ................................... 5 III. Proposed Development ................................. 7 TripGeneration ...................................... 7 Trip Distribution .................................... 7 Trip Assignment ...................................... 7 IV. Future Background Traffic Projections ................ 12 Background Traffic Year 2003 ......................... 12 V. Future Total Traffic Projections ..................... 14 Total Traffic Year 2003 .............................. 14 VI. Traffic Impact Analysis .............................. 16 Traffic Analysis Year 2003 ........................... 16 Pedestrian Level of Service .......................... 16 Bicycle Level of Service ............................. 16 Transit Level of Service ............................. 20 VII. Conclusions .......................................... 21 LIST OF TABLES Table -fie 1. Current Peak Hour Operation .......................... 6 2. Trip Generation ...................................... 9 3. Short Range Background Peak Hour Traffic Operation ... 17 4. Short Range Total Peak Hour Traffic Operation ........ 18 11 PALMER DESIGN CENTER TRANSPORTATION IMPACT STUDY FORT COLLINS, COLORADO SEPTEMBER 1998 Prepared for: VF Ripley Associates 1113 Stoney Hill Drive Fort Collins, CO 80525 Prepared by: MATTHEW J. DELICH, P.E. 2272 Glen Haven Drive Loveland, CO 80538 Phone: 970-669-2061 FAX: 970-669-5034