HomeMy WebLinkAboutTIMBERLAKES BUSINESS PARK - ODP - 60-98 - SUBMITTAL DOCUMENTS - ROUND 1 - TRAFFIC STUDY (3)' VII. CONCLUSIONS
This study assessed the potential impacts of constructing the Timber
Lakes Business Park north of Prospect Road and on both sides of Timberline
Road in Fort Collins, Colorado. As a result of the analysis, the following
conclusions were drawn:
- The potential impacts of the proposed project were evaluated at
the following intersections: Timberline/Drake, Timberline/Prospect,
Timberline/SH 14, Prospect/Riverside, Timberline/South Access, and
Timberline/North Access.
' - The traffic impact analyses were performed for future Years 2001,nd 2009, a2020. Future background traffic conditions without the project
and total traffic conditions with completion of the proposed project were
evaluated.
- For Year 2001 background and total traffic conditions, the study
intersections are projected to operate at acceptable levels of service with
the geometric improvements recommended in Figure 13.
- For Year 2009 future background and total traffic conditions, the
study intersections are projected to operate at acceptable levels of
service. A signal will be warranted at the Timberline/North Access
intersection. The mid range geometry is shown in Figure 14.
- For Year 2020 future background and total traffic conditions, the
study intersections are projected to operate at acceptable levels of
service. The long range geometry is shown in Figure 15.
- Acceptable level of service is achieved for pedestrian, bicycle,
and transit modes based upon Fort Collins measures in the multi -modal
transportation guidelines.
29
W
m
0
N
LONG RANGE GEOMETRY
28
Figure 15
r�
the Timberline/South Access intersection will experience delays
' commensurate with level of service F. These left -turning vehicles will
have the option of utilizing the signal at the Timberline/North Access
intersection. The Year 2020 intersection geometry is depicted on Figure
15.
' Pedestrian Level of Service
Appendix I contains a map that shows the area within 1320 feet of
this site. There are no pedestrian destinations, other than the
commercial/ business uses near Prospect Road. When the City continues to
' expand Timberline Road, improvements will be made to the sidewalks along
this arterial street. The Timber Lakes Business Park will build sidewalks
adjacent to Timberline Road.
The level of service determination assumes that future developments
and the City of Fort Collins will build their facilities in accordance with
Fort Collins standards. This being the case, pedestrian facilities will
exist where they currently do not. This is a reasonable assumption. The
Pedestrian LOS Worksheet is provided in Appendix I. The minimum level of
service for this land use category is C for all measured categories.
' Bicycle Level of Service
' There are no "Priority Destinations" within a quarter mile of the
Timber Lakes Business Park. The cross section of Timberline Road has bike
lanes. These will be enhanced as Timberline Road is improved in the
future. Appendix I contains the Bicycle LOS Worksheet.
Transit Level of Service
Currently, this
area is served by Route
10. The Fort Collins 2015
'
Transit System shows
that this area (Prospect
Road and Timberline Road)
will be served by feeder route service at 30
minute headways. Transit
'
level of service will
be at D or better.
r
LJ
I I
27
I
Table 7
Year 2020 Peak Hour Background Traffic Operation
Level of Service
Intersection AN PM
Timberline/Drake (signal) C C
Timberline/Prospect (signal) D D
Timberline/SH14 (signal) C C
Prospect/Riverside (signal) C C
Table 8
Year 2020 Peak Hour Total Traffic Operation
Level of Service
Intersection am Phi
Timberline/Drake (signal) D C
Timberline/Prospect (signal) D D
Timberline/SH14 (signal) C C
Prospect/Riverside (signal) C C
Timberline/South Access (stop sign)
EB LT/T/RT
C C
WB LT
D F
WB T/RT
B A
NB LT
A A
SB LT
B A
OVERALL
A A
Timberline/North Access (signal)
B B
26
O1
0
A
N
MID RANGE GEOMETRY
25
Figure 14
Table 5
Year 2009 Peak Hour Background Traffic Operation
Intersection
Timberline/Drake (signal)
Timberline/Prospect (signal)
Timberline/SH14 (signal)
Prospect/Riverside (signal)
Level of Service
am
FM
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
C
Table 6
Year 2009 Peak Hour Total Traffic Operation
Intersection
Timberline/Drake (signal)
Timberline/Prospect (signal)
Timberline/SH14 (signal)
Prospect/Riverside (signal)
Timberline/South Access (stop sign)
EB LT/T/RT
WB LT
WB T/RT
NB LT
SB LT
OVERALL
Timberline/North Access (signal)
24
Level of Service
AM
PM
C
C
D
D
C
C
C
C
B
B
D
E
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
B B
r
m
0
N
e
SHORT RANGE GEOMETRY
23
Figure 13
Table 3
Year 2001 Peak Hour Background Traffic Operation
Intersection
Timberline/Drake (signal)
Timberline/Prospect (signal)
Timberline/SH14 (signal)
Prospect/Riverside (signal)
Level of Service
w
P1`4
C
C
C
C
C
C
B
B
Table 4
Year 2001 Peak Hour Total Traffic Operation
Intersection
Timberline/Drake (signal)
Timberline/Prospect (signal)
Timberline/SH14 (signal)
Prospect/Riverside (signal)
Timberline/South Access (stop sign)
EB LT/RT
NB LT
OVERALL
22
Level of Service
AM
PM
C
C
C
C
C
C
B
B
B B
A A
A A
VI. TRAFFIC IMPACT ANALYSIS
The previous chapter described the development of future traffic
forecasts both with and without the proposed project. Intersection
capacity analyses are conducted in this chapter for all scenarios to assess
the potential impact of the proposed project -generated traffic on the local
street system.
Traffic Analysis - Year 2001
The peak hour background and total traffic volumes for Year 2001,
illustrated on Figures 7 and 10, respectively, were analyzed to determine
the intersection delay and corresponding level of service. Tables 3 and
4 summarize the results for the respective Year 2001 background and total
traffic conditions. The level of service worksheets for Year 2001
background and total traffic conditions are provided in Appendix C and D,
respectively. As indicated in Tables 3 and 4, the traffic movements at
each of the study intersections are expected to operate at an acceptable
level of service under future traffic conditions for Year 2001. The Year
2001 intersection geometry is depicted on Figure 13. There are geometric
improvements recommended at the Timberline/Drake and Timberline/Prospect
intersections.
Traffic Analysis - Year 2009
The Year 2009 peak hour traffic volumes for background and total
traffic conditions (after full build out of Timber Lakes), illustrated on
Figures 8 and 11, respectively, were analyzed to determine the intersection
delay and corresponding level of service. Tables 5 and 6 summarize the
results. Appendix E contains worksheets for Year 2009 background
conditions and Appendix F for total traffic conditions. The level of
service analyses shown in Tables 5 and 6 indicate that the study
intersections will continue to operate at acceptable levels of service for
the Year 2009. Westbound left turns at the Timberline/South Access
intersection will experience delays commensurate with level of service E.
These left -turning vehicles will have the option of utilizing the signal
at the Timberline/North Access intersection. The Year 2009 intersection
geometry is depicted on Figure 14. There are geometric improvements
recommended at the Timberline/Drake, Timberline/Prospect, Timberline/South
Access, and Timberline/North Access intersections.
Traffic Analysis - Year 2020
The Year 2020 peak hour traffic volumes for background and total
traffic conditions, illustrated on Figures 9 and 12, respectively, were
analyzed to determine the intersection delay and corresponding level of
service. Tables 7 and 8 summarize the results. Appendix G contains
worksheets for Year 2020 background conditions and Appendix H for total
traffic conditions. The level of service analyses shown in Tables 7 and
8 indicate that the study intersections will continue to operate at
acceptable levels of service for the Year 2020. Westbound left turns at
21
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ATE HIGHWAY
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LONG RANGE TOTAL
PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC (YEAR 2020)
20
T
N
AM/PM
Rounded to the Nearest
5 Vehicles.
Figure 12
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�- 85/65
f- 875/1135
!- 670/980
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6D 25�
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j
1020 9910
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35/75�
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195/245
r-55/45 DRAKE
375/155 1 i
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490/400� o
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MID RANGE TOTAL
PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC (YEAR 2009)
19
fl
AM/PM
Rounded to the Nearest
5 Vehicles.
Figure 11
0
m
0
S
South
Access
LO
Site
—� 5/15-
10/35 -
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515/435
775/975
J 1 1.
40n5
50/25
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AM/PM
Rounded to the Nearest
N OD
5 Vehicles.
SHORT RANGE TOTAL
PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC (YEAR 2001)
18
Figure 10
I
V. FUTURE TOTAL TRAFFIC PROJECTIONS
The future total traffic projections reflect future traffic
conditions with the traffic from the proposed Timber Lakes Business Park
project. The future total traffic projections were developed for Years
2001, 2009, and 2020.
Total Traffic Year 2001
The total traffic for Year 2001 was developed by adding traffic from
the proposed project to the background traffic for Year 2001. The
resulting peak hour total traffic projections for Year 2001 are shown on
Figure 10.
Total Traffic Year 2009
The total traffic for Year 2009 was developed by adding traffic from
the proposed project to the background traffic for Year 2009. The
resulting peak hour total traffic projections for Year 2009 are shown on
Figure 11. Based upon these traffic forecasts, the Timberline/North Access
intersection will meet peak hour signal warrants.
Total Traffic Year 2020
The total traffic for Year 2020 was developed by adding traffic from
the proposed project to the background traffic for Year 2020. The
resulting peak hour total traffic projections for Year 2020 are shown on
Figure 12.
17
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O
HOFFMAN
MILL
ROAD 1
0
0 0 0
590/535
`*
985/mo
J j
j -- 50/85
70/30 —' I 1 T 1
1050/1oe5--- o
40/80 ---
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165/120
+ 1280/1170
J 1 L
150/220
110 130
910 1470 y
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215/320
m
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g—
55/60
104 1
4I55
� 5
'535
165/195
215/275
j
65/55 DRAKE
380/235 1 T f
170/200 m
540/525
�o
LONG RANGE BACKGROUND
PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC (YEAR 2020)
16
AM/PM
Rounded to the Nearest
5 Vehicles.
Figure 9
0
m
0
--
�
o o
�*-140/100
N
AY
100/110 -j
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765/1225 —
o
185/270�
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�- o m nr:40/50
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MID RANGE BACKGROUND
PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC (YEAR 2009)
15
AM/PM
Rounded to the Nearest
5 Vehicles.
Figure 8
SHORT RANGE BACKGROUND
PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC (YEAR 2001)
14
earest
Figure 7
IV. FUTURE BACKGROUND TRAFFIC PROJECTIONS
In order to properly evaluate the potential impact of the proposed
Timber Lakes Business Park project on the local traffic conditions, future
traffic volumes were first estimated for the study area without the
project. These future forecasts reflect the growth that is expected from
overall development in and around the City of Fort Collins and traffic from
other known future projects in the vicinity of the site.
Background Traffic Year 2001
The growth reflected in Year 2001 Background Traffic is based on two
factors: area wide growth and development, and traffic generated by
specific projects located near the study intersections. The overall growth
in the study area and the redistribution of traffic was based upon traffic
projections provided in the Operational Analysis Timberline Road Extension
and State Highway 14, and traffic from Timberline Industrial Park, Spring
Creek Center, and Rigden Farm. Appropriate portions of these developments
were included in the Year 2001 analysis. The peak hour background traffic
for Year 2001 is depicted on Figure 7.
Background Traffic Year 2009
Future projections of background traffic for Year 2009 were developed
utilizing future traffic projections previously developed for the
Timberline Road Extension and adding traffic from assumed future
developments. The peak hour background traffic for Year 2009 is depicted
on Figure 8.
Background Traffic Year 2020
Future projections of background traffic for Year 2020 were developed
utilizing future traffic projections previously developed for the
Timberline Road Extension and adding traffic from assumed future
developments. The peak hour background traffic for Year 2020 is depicted
on Figure 9.
13
I
I
I.
0
SITE GENERATED
PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC (FULL BUILD -OUT)
N
Figure 6
12
SITE GENERATED
PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC (PHASE I)
N
Figure 5
I
ST
25%-30%
No
rj
Lo
M
I
b\
O
A&
N
0
20%-25% _ 5%-10% _
5%-10%
1A
TRIP DISTRIBUTION
10
Figure 4
Land Use
Kest Parcel
Industrial Park
Table 2
Trip Generation
Daily A.M. Peak P.M. Peak
Trips Trips Trips Trips Trips
in out in out
64,800 S.F.
2272
304
62
79
298
(Rate)
Parcel
(6.96)
(0.73)
(0.16)
(0.19)
(0.73)
East
Industrial Park -
19,200 S.F.
134
14
3
4
14
(Rate)
(6.96)
(0.73)
(0.16)
(0.19)
(0.73)
1st Floor -
106,664 S.F.
Retail
4578
67
43
192
207
(Rate)
(42.92)
(0.63)
(0.40)
(1.80)
(1.94)
Industrial Park
742
78
17
20
78
(Rate)
(6.96)
(0.73)
(0.16)
(0.19)
(0.73)
Office
1174
146
20
27
132
(Rate)
(11.01)
(1.37)
(0.19)
(0.25)
(1.24)
Average Total
2165
97
27
80
139
2nd Floor -
Office - 106,664 S.F.
1174
146
20
27
132
(Rate)
(11.01)
(1.37)
(0.19)
(0.25)
(1.24)
3rd Floor -
Office - 106,664 S.F.
1174
146
20
27
132
(Rate)
(11.01)
(1.37)
(0.19)
(0.25)
(1.24)
4th Floor -
office - 13,333 S.F.
147
18
3
3
17
(Rate)
(11.01)
(1.37)
(0.19)
(0.25)
(1.24)
Total
5255
468
83
153
481
9
a
m
0
A&
N
NO SCALE
I 1
I-• I
I �
0 Parcel 'B'
SITE PLAN Figure 3
8
III. PROPOSED DEVELOPMENT
The Timber Lakes Business Park is a proposed commercial/industrial/
retail development located in Fort Collins, Colorado. The project site,
depicted on Figure 3, is located on the east and west side of Timberline
Road to the north of Prospect Road. Direct access to the west site will
be from a south access. Direct access to the east site will be from the
south access and a north access.
Trip Generation
Trip generation is important in considering the impact of a
development such as this upon the existing and future street system. A
compilation of trip generation information, prepared by the Institute of
Transportation Engineers (Trip Generation. 6th Edition) was used to project
trips that would be generated by the proposed uses at this site. Table 2
shows the trip generation of the proposed project. Land use code 130
(Industrial Park), 710 (Office), and 820 (Retail) was used to estimate the
trip generation. As indicated in Table 2, it is anticipated that the
project would generate approximately 5255 average daily trips, 551 morning
peak hour trips, and 634 afternoon peak hour trips.
Trip Distribution
The directional distribution of the generated trips was determined
for the proposed Timber Lakes Business Park. The distribution was
determined based upon a gravity model process, future traffic projections
from the Timberline Extension study, and engineering judgment. The trip
distribution is provided on Figure 4.
Trip Assignment
Trip assignment is how the generated and distributed trips are
expected to be loaded on the street system. The assigned trips are the
resultant of the trip distribution process. Figures 5 and 6 show the peak
hour site generated traffic for Phase I and full build out of the proposed
project, respectively.
7
I
service E. Although the intersection operates at level of service D, these
particular movements need to be addressed.
Pedestrian Facilities
According to City criteria, the limit of the pedestrian analysis is
1320 feet. This site is within 1320 feet of open space and other
commercial/business park uses. The sidewalk system in the area is
sporadic, due to gaps in development activity. These gaps will be closed
as development continues.
11 Bicycle Facilities
The only defined bicycle facilities on any of the area streets within
1320 feet of the site are along Timberline Road. The Spring Creek and
Poudre River bicycle trails are to the south, east and north of the site.
ITransit Facilities
Transfort current serves this area of Fort Collins with Route 10.
Route 10 provides 60 minute service with a stop near the Prospect/
Timberline intersection.
I
"1
Table 1
1998 Peak Hour Traffic operation
jntersec ion
Timberline/Drake (signal)
Timberline/Prospect (signal)
Timberline/SH14 (signal)
Prospect/Riverside (signal)
5
Level of Service
8M PM
C D
C C
C C
B B
,1
,i
1;
E
s
m
0
N
I
1998 PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC
4
Figure 2
No Text
II. EXISTING CONDITIONS
The location of the proposed Timber Lakes Business Park is shown on
Figure 1. It is important that a thorough understanding of the existing
conditions be presented.
Land Use
Land uses in the area are predominantly industrial/commercial. North
of the site is undeveloped land. South and east of the site is industrial
and commercial uses. West of the site are some residential and commercial
uses. The topography within and surrounding the site is essentially flat.
' The center of the City of Fort Collins is located west of the site.
Roads
r The primary streets which will serve the proposed project within the
study area are: Timberline Road, SH 14 (Mulberry Street), and Prospect
Road.
Timberline Road is classified as a six lane arterial. Currently, it
has a two lane cross section. At SH14, Timberline Road has four travel
lanes, right -turn lanes, left -turn lanes, and bike facilities. At Prospect
Road, Timberline Road has two travel lanes, right -turn lanes, left -turn
lanes, and bike facilities. At Drake Road, Timberline Road has two travel
lanes, left -turn lanes, no right -turn lanes, and limited bike facilities.
The speed limit in the study area is 40 mph.
SH14 is a state highway which provides access from Interstate 25 to
the City of Fort Collins. At Timberline Road, SH14 has four travel lanes,
right -turn lanes, left -turn lanes, and paved shoulders that function as
bike facilities. The speed limit in the study area is 45 mph.
Prospect Road is a four lane arterial. At Timberline Road, Prospect
Road has four travel lanes and left -turn lanes. At .Riverside Avenue,
Prospect Road has four travel lanes, left -turn lanes, and a westbound
right -turn lane. There are no bike facilities along Prospect Road. The
speed limit in the study area is 35 mph.
Existing Motor Vehicle Traffic
1 Existing traffic flow data was collected in order to form a basis for
the traffic study. Traffic counts were performed at the key intersections
in November 1998. The volumes are shown in Figure 2. Count data is
provided in Appendix A. Table 1 shows the current operation at the key
\ intersections. Calculation forms are provided in Appendix B. Operation
is acceptable at the key intersections, except at the Timberline/Drake
intersection. At Timberline/Drake in the afternoon peak hour , the
eastbound left turning and through vehicles operate at level of service F,
the southbound right turning and through vehicles operate at level of
service E, and the northbound left turning vehicles operate at level of
2
i
F
I. INTRODUCTION
This transportation impact study addresses the capacity, geometric,
and control requirements at and near the proposed Timber Lakes Business
Park, located north of Prospect Road, along Timberline Road in Fort
1 Collins, Colorado. The transportation analysis will address potential
vehicular impacts upon the roadway system. Traffic projections will be
prepared for future Years 2001, 2009, and 2020.
During the course of the analysis, numerous contacts were made with
the project landscape architect/planner, project engineering consultant,
and City of Fort Collins Traffic Operations Department. The study involved
the following steps:
- Collect physical, traffic, and development data;
- Perform trip generation, trip distribution, and trip assignment;
- Determine peak hour traffic volumes;
- Conduct capacity and operational level of service analyses.
This report is prepared for the following purposes:
- Describe existing conditions;
Estimate the trip generation by the proposed/assumed developments;
Determine the trip distribution of site generated traffic;
- Evaluate level of service for future Years 2001, 2009, and 2015;
- Determine the geometrics at key intersections;
- Determine the impacts of site generated traffic at key intersections.
Information used in this report was obtained from the City of Fort
Collins Traffic Operations Department, the planning and engineering
consultants, the developers, research sources (ITE, TRB, etc.), and field
reconnaissance. The following traffic studies were reviewed and considered
in preparing this study:
- Rigden Farms (proposal)
- Operational Analysis --Timberline Extension and SH 14
- Timberline Industrial Park
Spring Creek Center
d
i
I
i
,I
n
i
t
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure
1. Site Location .......................................
2. 1998 Peak Hour Traffic ...............................
3. Site Plan ...........................................
4. Trip Distribution ....................................
5. Site Generated Peak Hour Traffic (Phase I) ...........
6. Site Generated Peak Hour Traffic (Full Build Out) ....
7. Short Range Background Peak Hour Traffic (Year 2001) .
8. Mid Range Background Peak Hour Traffic (Year 2009) ...
9. Long Range Background Peak Hour Traffic (Year 2020) ._
10. Short Range Total Peak Hour Traffic (Year 2001) ......
11. Mid Range Total Peak Hour Traffic (Year 2009) ........
12. Long Range Total Peak Hour Traffic (Year 2020) .......
13. Short Range Geometry .................................
14. Mid Range Geometry ...................................
15. Long Range Geometry ..................................
APPENDIX
A
Traffic Count Data
B
1998
Traffic Analyses
C
Year
2001 Background Traffic Analyses
D
Year
2001 Total Traffic Analyses
E
Year
2009 Background Traffic Analyses
F
Year
2009 Total Traffic Analyses
G
Year
2020 Background Traffic Analyses
H
Year
2020 Total Traffic Analyses
I
Pedestrian/Bicycle Level of Service
Paae
3
4
8
10
11
12
14
15
16
18
19
20
23
25
28
I
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1
Paae
I.
Introduction .........................................
1
II.
Existing Conditions ..................................
2
LandUse .............................................
2
Roads................................................
2
Existing Motor Vehicle Traffic .......................
2
Pedestrian Facilities ................................
6
Bicycle Facilities ...................................
6
III.
Transit Facilities ...................................
Proposed Development .................................
6
7
Trip Generation ......................................
7
Trip Distribution............•••.••.•••.••..........•.
7
Trip Assignment
7
IV.
Future Background Traffic Projections ................
Background Traffic Year 2001 .........................
13
13
Background Traffic Year 2009 .........................
13
Background Traffic year 2020 .........................
13
V.
Future Total Traffic Projections .....................
17
Total Traffic Year 2001 ..............................
17
Total Traffic Year 2009 ..............................
Total Traffic year 2020 ..............................
17
17
VI.
Traffic Impact Analysis ..............................
21
Traffic Analysis Year 2001 ...........................
Traffic Analysis Year 2009
21
21
Traffic Analysis year 2020 ...........................
21
Pedestrian Level of Service ..........................
27
Bicycle Level of Service .............................
27
Transit Level of Service .............................
27
VII.
Conclusions ..........................................
29
Table
LIST OF TABLES
Paae
1.
1998 Peak Hour Traffic Operation .....................
5
2.
Trip Generation ......................................
9
3.
Year 2001 Peak Hour Background Traffic Operation .....
22
4.
5.
Year 2001 Peak Hour Total Traffic Operation ..........
Year 2009 Peak Hour Background Traffic Operation
22
22
24
6.
Year 2009 Peak Hour Total Traffic Operation
24
7.
Year 2020 Peak Hour Background Traffic Operation .....
26
-'
8.
Year 2020 Peak Hour Total Traffic Operation ..........
26
i
TIMBER LAKES BUSINESS PARK
TRANSPORTATION IMPACT STUDY
IFORT COLLINS, COLORADO
NOVEMBER 1998
Prepared for:
W. W. Reynolds Companies
1600 Specht Point Road
Fort Collins, CO 80525
Prepared by:
MATTHEW J. DELICH, P.E.
2272 Glen Haven Drive
Loveland, CO 80538
Phone: 970-669-2061
FAX: 970-669-5034