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HomeMy WebLinkAboutLINDEN PARK (KEATING PROP.) - PDP - 62-98B - SUBMITTAL DOCUMENTS - ROUND 1 - TRAFFIC STUDYJ 1 IV. CONCLUSIONS This study assessed the impacts of the Keating Property on the short range (2005) and long range (2020) transportation system in the vicinity of the proposed development. As a result of this analysis, the following is concluded: ' - The development of the Keating Property is feasible from a traffic engineering standpoint. At full development of this facility, approximately 1780 daily trip ends, 139 morning peak hour trip ends, and 188 afternoon peak hour trip ends will be generated at this development. - With the current peak hour traffic, all key intersections operate acceptably. There are no pedestrian, bicycle, or transit facilities adjacent to this site. There is very little pedestrian or bicycle activity at the existing intersections near this site. - Using the short range background traffic volumes, overall operation will be acceptable at all key intersections, except for the Timberline/Trilby intersection with stop sign control. With either a two step left turn or signalization, this intersection will operate acceptably. Using the long range background peak hour traffic, all intersections will operate acceptably. - In the short range future (year 2005 with full site development), operation will be acceptable, with two step left turns at the key intersections. The recommended short range geometry is shown in Figure 11. - In the long range future (year 2020), all key intersections will operate acceptably, except for the eastbound minor street left turns during the afternoon peak hours. The long range geometry is shown in Figure 12. - Acceptable level of service is achieved for pedestrian, bicycle, and transit modes based upon Fort Collins measures in the multi -modal transportation guidelines. 21 Trilby LONG RANGE GEOMETRY Chandler A& N Figure 12 20 Trilby SHORT RANGE GEOMETRY Chandler A N Figure 11 WE Geometric Analysis ' The geometry at the various intersections was analyzed using the short range traffic forecasts. The recommended short range geometry is shown in Figure 11. ' Figure 12 shows the long range geometry at the various intersections. This geometry should be evaluated periodically, based upon future, albeit unknown, land development proposals in this area. It is expected that all streets will have appropriate bike lanes and sidewalks, per Fort Collins Design Standards. ' Pedestrian Level of Service Appendix G shows a map of the area that is within 1320 feet of this site. There will be one pedestrian destination within a quarter mile of the Keating Property. This is a future 3.1 acre commercial development in the northeast corner of the Timberline/Trilby intersection. ' This site is in an area type termed "other." The level of service determination assumes that future developments will build their streets in accordance with Fort Collins Standards. This being the case, pedestrian facilities will exist where they currently do not. This is a reasonable ' assumption. It is also expected that pedestrian facilities will be incorporated in the street cross section based upon Fort Collins Standards. The Pedestrian LOS Worksheet is provided in Appendix H. The minimum level of service for "other" is C for all measured categories. Bicycle Level of Service Based upon Fort Collins bicycle LOS criteria, there are no destination areas within 1320' of the Keating Property. ' Transit Level of Service Currently, there is no transit service in the area. In the future, transit service will be improved. It is anticipated that the level of service will be in the D category with implementation of the City's Transit Development Plan. I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I TABLE 5 Short Range Total Peak Hour Operation ;MRTERSECTI M� Ez Timberline/Trilby (stop sign) EB LT F [D] F [D] EB T/RT B [A] [ 7 B [A] EB APPROACH F [D] F [C] WB LT C ICI E [C] WB T/RT A [A] A [A] WB APPROACH B [A] C [B] NB LT A A SB IT A A Timberline/Chandler EB LT F [D] F [D] EB WRT A [A] B [A] EB APPROACH E [C] F [C] WB LT E [C] F [D] WB T/LT B [A] B [A] WB APPROACH C [B] D [C] NB LT A A SB LT A A level of service w/ two-step left turn TABLE 6 Long Range Total Peak Hour Operation -4 k Timberline/Trilby (signal) EB C C WB C C NB C C SB C C OVERALL C C Timberline/Chandler (stop sign) EB LT F [D], F [F] EB T/RT B [A] B [B] EB APPROACH F [C] F [E] WB LT F [D] F [D] WB T/RT B [A] B [A] WB APPROACH E [C] D [C] NB LT A B SB LT B A level of service wl two-step left turn I 17 forms are provided in Appendix E. Overall, the key intersections will operate acceptably, except for the eastbound minor street left turns during ' the morning and afternoon peak hours and the westbound minor street left turns during the afternoon peak hour. I I 1 ri Using the traffic volumes shown in Figure 9, the intersections operate in the long range condition as indicated in Table 6. Calculation forms for these analyses are provided in Appendix F. All key intersections are expected to operate acceptably, except for the eastbound minor street left turns during the morning and afternoon peak hours. TABLE 3 Short Range Background Peak Hour Operation ,i K ._y. } *-fit- T 'x - Timberline/Trilby (stop sign) EB LT F [D] F [D] EB T/RT B [A] B [B] EB APPROACH F [C] F [C] WB LT C [C] D [C] WB T/RT A [A] A [A] WB APPROACH B [A] C [B] NB LT A A SB LT A A Timberline/Chandler WB LT D [C] D [C] WB RT C B WB APPROACH C [C] C [B] SB LT A A [ ] - level of service w/ two-step left turn TABLE 4 Long Range Background Peak Hour Operation tz Timberline/Trilby (signal) EB C C WB C C NB C C SB B C OVERALL C C Timberline/Chandler (stop sign) WB LT E [C] E [C] WB RT B B WB APPROACH D [C] C [B] SB LT B A [ ] - level of service w/ two-step left turn 16 ' Trilby LONG RANGE PEAK HOUR AND DAILY LINK VOLUMES AM/PM Daily H Chandler N Figure 10 is U- o �n o w 1 OOn5 �- M 50/35 70/45 NOM 4025 o n rn 0 0 CD IT N Sp O o 80/45 U) o f- 40/30 J 55M Trilby 280/ 80 1 0/ 60/30 - y 0 0 0 IT o O O N V Ln LONG RANGE TOTAL PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC AM/PM Rounded to Nearest 5 Vehicles Chandler 46, N Figure 9 14 traffic at the key intersections. Figure 9 shows the long range total peak hour traffic at the key intersections. Figure 10 shows the long range peak hour and daily traffic forecasts on various street segments adjacent to the Keating Property. Traffic forecasts on Timberline Road are expected to be at arterial street volumes. Traffic forecasts on Trilby Road west of Timberline Road are expected to be at minor arterial street volumes. The traffic forecasts will be at connector level volumes for the short segment of Chandler Street, just west of Timberline Road. A hundred feet or so west of Timberline Road, Chandler Street splits into three separate streets. Each of these streets will carry less than the upper threshold of a residential local street. Signal Warrants As a matter of policy, traffic signals are not installed at any location unless warrants are met according to the Manual on Uniform Traffic Control Devices. Using the traffic volumes shown in Figures 5 and 8, it is likely that signal warrants will be met at the Timberline/Trilby intersection. Signals are not expected to be warranted at the Timberline/Chandler intersection in either the short range or long range futures. Key intersections should be monitored with regard to when traffic signal warrants would be met. Peak hour signal warrant analyses are provided in Appendix B. Signal Progression Signal progression analyses were not conducted, since the Timberline/Trilby intersection is an appropriate arterial/arterial intersection, which is expected to be signalized. if intermediate signals are required due to unforeseen circumstances, signal progression should be conducted at that time. 1 Operations Analysis Capacity analyses were performed on key intersections adjacent to and near the Keating Property. The analyses correspond with the traffic forecasts shown in Figures 5, 6, 8, and 9. Using the background traffic volumes shown in Figure 5, the key intersections operate in the short range condition as indicated -in Table 3. Calculation forms for these analyses are provided in Appendix C. Overall, the key intersections will operate acceptably, except for the Timberline/Trilby intersection with stop sign control. With signalization, this intersection will operate acceptably. Using the traffic volumes shown in Figure 6, the key intersections operate in the long range future as indicated in Table 4. Calculation forms are provided in Appendix D. The key intersections are expected to operate acceptably. The Timberline/Trilby intersection was analyzed with 1 traffic signals. Using the traffic volumes shown in Figure 8, the key intersections operate in the short range condition as indicated in Table 5. Calculation 13 Trilby SHORT RANGE TOTAL PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC 1801125 --7 1 � I F 10/30 0 0 0 3520 N O N W N 7 AM/PM Rounded to Nearest 5 Vehicles Chandler N Figure 8 12 i 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Trilby AWPM SITE GENERATED PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC 11 Chandler N Figure 7 i 1 1 t 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Trilby AM/PM Rounded to Nearest 5 Vehicles LONG RANGE BACKGROUND PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC 10 Chandler A& N Figure 6 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 r Trilby AM/PM Rounded to Nearest 5 Vehicles SHORT RANGE BACKGROUND PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC 9 Chandler N Figure 5 1 1 i 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 i i 1 1 I Site I 1 o% rdiby TRIP DISTRIBUTION n 9- Figure 4 Z Barrington PUD ± a] LE L D ' ---- --- Timberline �— Keating Property 1 SITE PLAN Figure 3 1 I I I I i 1 I i III. PROPOSED DEVELOPMENT The Keating Property is a proposed residential development. It is located between Trilby Road and CR36 along Timberline in Fort Collins. Figure 3 shows the site plan with 186 lots. This site is assumed to be developed over a 4-5 year period. For analysis purposes, it was assumed to be fully built and occupied by the year 2005. Trip Generation Trip generation is important in considering the impact of a development such as this upon the existing and proposed street system. A compilation of trip generation information, prepared by the Institute of Transportation Engineers (Trip Generation, 6th Edition), was used to project trips that would be generated by the proposed uses at this site. Table 2 shows the trip generation at full development of the Keating Property. Land use code 210 (Single Family Detached) was used for the site. This proposal will generate 1780 daily trip ends, 139 morning peak hour trip ends, and 188 afternoon peak hour trip ends. TABLE 2 Trip Generation 3r�L� � Du"� V eFp`ij�Frx* y^ ' 1pr� f� s^i i Yip "'YL%.'i - .3i ..y�y✓�' Y 3� '�'/-'+y�a�iy ._ 3 � `w f .-4'A ��Y 1 y lv �.� 3M�i ✓iYi% t�Y9 �y� p�w'+� M�F /yYy Wr�+ �`�VO � � �' WY . r� 210 Single Family 186DU 9.57 1780 0.19 35 0.56 104 0.65 121 .036 67 TOTAL 1780 35 104 121 67 Trip Distribution The directional distribution of the generated trips was determined for the Keating Property. The distribution was determined based upon engineering judgment knowing where present and future residential trip attractions will be. The trip distribution is shown in Figure 4. Background Traffic Background traffic is defined as the traffic that is and/or will be on the area streets that is not related to the proposed development. Short range background traffic was developed by adding traffic generated from known, approved developments in the area to the existing peak hour traffic. This is shown in Figure 5. Long range background traffic was developed using cited traffic studies and forecasts reflected in the "North Front Range Regional Transportation Plan." Long range background traffic is shown in Figure 6. Trip Assignment 1 Trip assignment is how the generated and distributed trips are expected to be loaded on the street system. The assigned trips are the resultant of the trip distribution process. Figure 7 shows the peak hour site generated traffic. Figure 8 shows the short range total peak hour 6 i Pedestrian Facilities There are no pedestrian facilities along either Trilby Road or Timberline Road adjacent to or near this site. This site is not within 1320 feet of existing residential areas, except for Paragon Point. Paragon Point residential area is west of the Keating Property, across the railroad tracks. Pedestrian activity at the key intersection was observed and found to be non-existent. Sidewalks are/will be incorporated to this and other developments that are within the city limits of Fort Collins. Bicycle Facilities Bicycle facilities along Timberline Road and Trilby Road are not well defined. The occasional bicycle activity was judged to be recreational (exercising) rather than commuter trips. tTransit Facilities Transfort currently does not serve this area of Fort Collins. I I I 0 I I 1 5 E P a 1' N t`7 �M m I � f�I 1 1 Trilby 144/83 30/15 cD co N 04 N n i AM/PM RECENT PEAK HOUR TRAFFIC 4 N Figure 2 1) Harmony Road ' v lip (r County Road 36 y / CDm a a 0 E o r � U \ 1 C KEATING o PROPERTY 1 `r 1 Trilby Road Fossil Creek i Reservoir 3 i , r � r SITE LOCATION Figure 1 3 I I r 1 11 I II. EXISTING CONDITIONS The location of the Keating Property is shown in Figure 1. It is important that a thorough understanding of the existing conditions be presented. Land Use Land uses in the area are primarily vacant (agricultural) or residential. Residential uses exist or are planned to the north and east of the Keating Property. Land is essentially flat from a traffic operations perspective. The center of Fort Collins lies to the north of the Keating Property. Roads The primary streets near the Keating Property are Timberline Road (CR11) and Trilby Road (CR34). Timberline Road is west of the site. It is a north/south street designated as an arterial street on the Fort Collins Master Street Plan. Within the study area, it currently has a paved two lane cross section. Timberline Road intersects with Trilby Road at a stop sign controlled intersection. Trilby Road is designated as an east/west arterial street. At Timberline Road, it has a two lane cross section. Currently, Trilby Road terminates at Timberline Road. Existing Motor Vehicle Traffic Peak hour traffic flow at the key intersection is shown in Figure 2. These counts were obtained in 1998. These traffic counts were taken from the "Barrington PUD TIS." Existing Motor Vehicle Operation Table 1 shows the operation at the key intersection during the peak hours. Calculation forms are provided in Appendix A. Overall, the key intersection operates acceptably. TABLE 1 Current Peak Hour Operation IN pgm Timberline/Trilby (stop sign) EB LT/RT C C NB LT A A F I. INTRODUCTION This transportation impact study addresses the capacity, geometric, and control requirements at and near the proposed Keating Property residential development, located near them Timberline/Trilby intersection in Fort Collins, Colorado. This transportation study addresses the overall development plan (ODP) issues at full development of the site in the short range analysis future (year 2005) condition and the long range future (year 2020) condition. The short range analysis may satisfy the Transportation Impact Analysis for the project development plan (PDP) submittal requirements, depending upon the specific PDP proposal. During the course of the analysis, numerous contacts were made with the project planning consultants (VF Ripley). This study generally conforms to the format set forth in the Fort Collins Transportation Impact Study Guidelines. The study involved the following steps: Collect physical, traffic, and development data; Perform trip generation, trip distribution, and trip assignment; - Determine peak hour traffic volumes and daily traffic volumes; Conduct capacity and operational level of service analyses for all pertinent modes of transportation; - Analyze signal warrants; - Analyze signal progression. This report is prepared for the following purposes: = Evaluate the existing conditions; Estimate the trip generation by the proposed/assumed developments; Determine the trip distribution of site generated traffic; - Evaluate level of service for all transportation modes; - Determine the geometrics at key intersections; - Determine the impacts of site generated traffic at key intersections. Information used in this report was obtained from the City of Fort Collins, the planning and engineering consultants, the developers, research sources (ITE, TRB, etc.), and field reconnaissance. The following traffic study was reviewed and considered in preparing this study: - Barrington PUD TIS," September 1998 The key intersections included in this traffic study are Timberline/Trilby and Timberline/Chandler intersections. is r 1 I 1 1 I LIST OF FIGURES Figure Page 1. Site Location ........................................ 3 2. Recent Peak Hour Traffic ............................. 4 3. Site Plan ............................................ 7 4. Trip Distribution .................................... 8 5. Short Range Background Peak Hour Traffic ............. 9 6. Long Range Background Peak Hour Traffic .............. 10 7. Site Generated Peak Hour Traffic ..................... 11 8. Short Range Total Peak Hour Traffic .................. 12 9. Long Range Total Peak Hour Traffic ................... 14 10. Long Range Daily Traffic ............................. 15 11. Short Range Geometry ................................. 19 12. Long Range Geometry ................................... 20 APPENDIX A Current Peak Hour Operation B Signal Warrant Analysis C Short Range Background Traffic Operation D Long Range Background Traffic Operation E Short Range Total Traffic Operation F Long Range Total Traffic Operation G Pedestrian Level of Service Worksheets 1. TABLE OF CONTENTS Page I. Introduction ......................................... 1 II. Existing Conditions .................................. 2 LandUse ............................................. 2 Roads................................................. 2 Existing Motor Vehicle Traffic ....................... Existing Motor Vehicle Operation 2 2 Pedestrian Facilities ................................ 5 Bicycle Facilities ................................... 5 Transit Facilities ................................... III. Proposed Development ................................. 5 6 Trip Generation ...................................... Trip Distribution .................................... 6 6 Background Traffic ................................... 6 Trip Assignment ...................................... 6 Signal Warrants ...................................... Signal Progression ................................... 13 13 Operations Analysis .................................. 13 Geometric Analysis ................................... Pedestrian Level of Service .......................... 18 18 Bicycle Level of Service 18 Transit Level of Service ............................. 18 IIV. Conclusions .......................................... 21 LIST OF TABLES Table Page 1. Current Peak Hour Operation .......................... 2 2. Trip Generation ...................................... 6 3. Short Range Background Traffic Operation ............. 16 4. Long Range Background Traffic Operation .............. 16 5. Short Range Total Traffic Operation .................. 17 6. Long Range Total Traffic Operation ................... 17 LF THE KEATING PROPERTY TRAFFIC IMPACT STUDY FORT COLLINS, COLORADO MAY 1999 Prepared for: Mike Sollenberger P.O. Box 272469 Fort Collins, CO 80527-2469 Prepared by: MATTHEW J. DELICH, P.E. 2272 Glen Haven Drive Loveland, CO 80538 Phone: 970-669-2061 FAX: 970-669-5034