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HomeMy WebLinkAboutELIZABETH STREET APARTMENTS - PDP - 19-99A - SUBMITTAL DOCUMENTS - ROUND 1 - TRAFFIC STUDYI Balloffet and Associates, Inc. ' transit levels of service were determined to fall within the City's standards. There are existing on -street bicycle facilities that provide adequate connection to other major on -street and off- street facilities that are located within the study area. As a result, the bicycle levels of service ' were also found to be acceptable by City standards. ' The conditions described above were found to be the same for both access alternatives. The first access alternative, with right -in only and right -out only accesses, will provide the safest alternative with only minimal impacts to the neighborhoods located north of the complex. ' However, the second alternative would be expected to operate safely due to low traffic volumes. Also, because an older population will most likely be attracted to this complex, it is reasonable to assume (although not substantiated by this study) that the peak hour volumes that were projected in this study could be lower since older, retired drivers tend to avoid driving during the peak hour. I 1 i 1 I J 1] 1 Elizabeth Street Housing Investors, LP — Apartment Complex Traffic Study 1 21 I J I I I 1J J I Ll 1 Balloffet and Associates, Inc. 12 percent, respectively. More than 80 percent of the accidents that occurred along Elizabeth occurred east of City Park. In summary, the locations within the study area that experienced the highest number of accidents and the highest accident rates are located between and including the City Park intersection and the Shields intersection. This can likely be attributed to the high number of access points along Elizabeth, the high level of traffic using these access points, and the high level of turning movement activity at each intersection. Higher levels of turning movement activity often result in higher accident frequency and this seems to be the case along Elizabeth. One of the objectives of the Campus West Sub -Area Plan is to improve the access safety along this segment of Elizabeth Street. Based on conversations with city staff, adoption of a preferred alternative is anticipated later this year. The segment of Elizabeth, west of City Park, where the proposed apartment complex development is located, has experienced fewer accidents and lower than average accident rates, as shown in Table 8. Therefore, with respect to this stretch of Elizabeth Street, it is not anticipated that the development of the apartment complex would have an adverse effect on safety. From a traffic operations standpoint, the proposed right -in only and right -out only access scenario provides the safest alternative. However, with anticipated low outbound volumes, it is anticipated that allowing left turns out from the site onto eastbound Elizabeth would not result in a significant increase in accidents. With respect to safety along Elizabeth, east of City Park, it is anticipated that the development of the complex would have a minimal impact. Of the projected 430 daily trips generated by the site, approximately 320 would use Elizabeth, east of City Park. With current counts showing nearly 11,000 ADT, as shown in Figure 3, the proposed development would increase traffic along Elizabeth by less than 3 percent. Therefore, it is anticipated that the safety of Elizabeth would not be compromised. CONCLUSIONS This traffic analysis has shown that the signalized intersections within the study area should operate at the same levels of service with or without the development. The Shields and Elizabeth intersection is anticipated to operate at unacceptable PM peak hour LOS by 2020 and likely sooner. In the 2005 and 2020 time frames, certain left turn movements are expected to exceed the capacity of the respective left turn lanes. Also, the Elizabeth and City Park intersection will require left -turn protected phasing by 2020 in order to operate at acceptable LOS in the PM peak hour. To maintain continuity in the system, the existing detached sidewalk should remain in place. The existing deficiencies in the pedestrian facility system are located primarily east of City Park Avenue. The Campus West Sub -Area Plan will address these deficiencies, and it is anticipated that pedestrian levels of service between the site and Campus West and CSU will improve as a result. With the exception of the pedestrian facility conditions east of City Park, pedestrian levels of service were determined to meet or exceed the City's standards. Bus transit stops are located within a short walking distance for the transit user who wishes to go east or west, and Elizabeth Street Housing Investors, LP — Apartment Complex Traffic Study 20 I IL ] I I I I I I I I I I Balloffet and Associates, Inc. between the site and Campus West, and Elizabeth has on -street bicycle lanes, so this route scenario meets the requirement. Finally, the connection between the site and CSU holds many of the same characteristics as the site to Campus West connection. In addition to the Elizabeth Street connection, there is the Shields connection, between Elizabeth and North Drive, and then along North from Shields into the heart of the campus. With on -street bicycle lanes along Elizabeth to Shields, then on Shields to North and along North into the campus, the LOS C is easily met. TRAFFIC ACCIDENTS The City of Fort Collins provided accident data for the three-year period from 1997 through 1999. This data for the study area included Elizabeth Street from Shields Street to Constitution Avenue and is summarized in Table 8. The accident data presented in the table is shown in two different categories, including intersections and mid -block locations. The intersections are those signalized intersections that are within the study area, including Elizabeth and Constitution, Elizabeth and City Park, and Shields and Elizabeth. The mid -block locations include the roadway sections between the intersections. More detailed information is contained in Appendix G. TABLE 8 — Three -Year Accident Data 1997 1998 1999 Location Number Rate Number Rate Number7 Rate Intersections Shields & Elizabeth 23 1.26 40 2.20 25 1.37 Elizabeth & City Park 15 1.56 7 0.73 12 1.25 Elizabeth & Constitution 1 0.13 4 0.51 8 1.03 Citywide average ' 1.11 Mid -Block 30 2.57 27 2.31 40 3.43 East of City Park 25 25 30 -- West of City Park 5 2 10 This averaye was wi �iyiianecu ii mcinc�Lui15 The accident data is also presented in two different measurements, the total number of accidents per year and the accident rates per year, at each specified location. The total number of accidents is the total number of all types of accidents that were reported at each location. Accident rates are calculated by an accident rate formula that, essentially, compares the total number of accidents with the average daily traffic volumes. The City of Fort Collins compiled 1999 average accident rates for signalized intersections. These average rates were used for comparison to roadway conditions within the study area. As can be seen in the table, the accident rates at Shields and Elizabeth and at Elizabeth and City Park were higher than the 1999 citywide average rate for signalized intersections by 23 percent and Elizabeth Street Housing Investors, LP — Apartment Complex Traffic Study 19 I I ' Balloffet and Associates, Inc. functional and there is adequate lighting, but sidewalk width is inconsistent and there is not a separate, landscaped parkway. All scenarios, though, meet the minimum LOS C. ' The fifth standard is "security" and has a minimum acceptable LOS B. All three route scenarios were found to meet the LOS B. The route to Rams Village has good lighting and sight lines, but there is little police presence and few overlooking buildings to provide a more secure feeling to pedestrians. The same holds true for the other two routes, although there tends to be more police presence and more overlooking buildings but lesser degree of comfort with the presence and location of the sidewalk. I I I 11 I I I I I I A summary of the LOS for each standard can be found in Table 6. Each standard's minimum LOS was met, with the exception of the continuity along the route scenarios between the site and Campus West and the site and CSU. This exception in acceptable levels of service is due to the condition of pedestrian facilities along Elizabeth Street, east of City Park Avenue. Since it is the intention of the sub -area plan to improve the pedestrian facilities along this segment of Elizabeth, the continuity LOS C from the site to Campus West and CSU should not be seen as fatal flaw to this development. Bicycle Facilities As with pedestrian LOS determination, bicycle levels of service are determined with a more qualitative, rather than quantitative, approach. There were two requirements that must be met by the time the project is completed and there was one standard, connectivity, that was evaluated for bicycle levels of service. The two requirements were as follows: • The project must be directly connected to the greater Fort Collins bicycle grid at no less than LOS C as defined in the City Master Plan document, and • The project must be directly connected to all priority destinations located within a quarter mile of the project boundaries (as shown in Figure 10). The City's Master Plan documents the method to determine bicycle LOS. The proposed apartment complex site is located in the "base citywide minimum level" category, as shown in the Bicycle LOS matrix. A copy of this matrix is provided in Appendix F. This "base" category defines the minimum acceptable LOS as LOS C, which is further defined as connectivity that has direct connection to a north -south or east -west corridor containing a set of on -street bicycle lanes. Since on -street bicycle lanes exist along Elizabeth, the minimum LOS C is met for this project. The priority destinations, referenced in the second requirement, include Rams Village, Campus West, and CSU. The roadway connections between the site and Rams Village include Elizabeth and Constitution Avenue. Both streets have on -street bicycle lanes between these two locations, so this route scenario meets that requirement. Elizabeth is the only roadway connection Elizabeth Street Housing Investors, LP — Apartment Complex Traffic Study 18 I I I I I I LJ I P 1 I Balloffet and Associates, Inc. The LOS for "directness" was determined primarily by qualitative analysis, although there is one quantitative measure. The minimum LOS is LOS B, which is defined as having direct connectivity with clear connections to transit and streets. LOS B is also defined with an A/M ratio of 1.2 to 1.4. The A/M ratio is the Actual -to -Minimum walking distance from the site to each destination area. The actual distance is the sidewalk or pathway distance and the minimum distance is the walking distance along each street between the site and each destination area. Since sidewalks exist along each street segment between the site and each destination area, the A/M ratio for each scenario was 1.0. As a result of these conditions, each scenario was found to operate at LOS A. The LOS for "continuity" was determined with only qualitative analysis. The minimum LOS B is defined as having continuous stretches of sidewalk that are physically separated by a landscaped parkway. For the scenario between the site and Rams Village, the LOS was found to meet the minimum acceptable LOS B. For the scenarios between the site and Campus West and CSU, it was determined that the pedestrian facility continuity would be LOS C. These two scenarios fall below the minimum standard due to the variable widths of the sidewalk between these sites and the inconsistent maintenance of a landscaped parkway between the sidewalk and the street. These conditions occur east of City Park, all the way to Shields Street. As mentioned earlier, it is the intention of the Campus West Sub -Area Plan to provide improvements to these sidewalks. The third standard that was evaluated was the "street crossings" standard, which included four different "sub -standards," such as signalized intersections, unsignalized intersections (major street and minor street), and mid -block crossings. The minimum LOS B is better defined specifically within each sub -standard but, generally speaking, LOS B is met when pedestrians are crossing streets that are not wider than five lanes and have clear pedestrian crossing amenities. The route scenario between the site and Rams Village was found to operate at LOS A for all four sub -standards, since there aren't any streets that pedestrians would have to cross. For the other two route scenarios, minimum LOS B was met, with LOS B for signalized intersections and LOS A for the other three sub -standards. For the route scenario between the site and Campus West, pedestrians must cross Elizabeth and five lanes of traffic and then City Park and three lanes of traffic. The situation is similar for the route scenario between the site and CSU, with pedestrians crossing three lanes of City Park traffic and then the five lanes of Shields Street. Since there are not any unsignalized crossings or mid -block crossings along these route scenarios, LOS A was met for these sub -standards. The fourth standard describes the "visual interest and amenities" and requires a minimum LOS C. The LOS C defines the pedestrian facility as functionally operational with less importance given to aesthetics and amenities, such as fountains and benches. The site to Rams Village route scenario was evaluated at LOS B due to the separated, landscaped parkway that exists between the sidewalk and the street. LOS C defines the level of service along the other two route scenarios. Between the site and Campus West and CSU, there are sidewalks that are Elizabeth Street Housing Investors, LP — Apartment Complex Traffic Study 17 I Balloffet and Associates, Inc. defined as a transit corridor. Based on this corridor __ - - - St - - designation, the minimum cr 0�` acceptable LOS for each _ OGye St standard is LOS B, with the 'Vulberry St exception of "visual interest -5 Site used and amenities," which has a o 1-- Ck W Laurel St minimum LOS of LOS C. S m 17.1 Table 7 summarizes the 0 J3 N L results of these analyses and a c� south �', Figure 6 found in Appendix i Study Area 9 i PP Limits � I• �'> >PJ Pitl�tR St F, shows more detail of the W LakoSt $Prltt{]fli+4d - analyses and outlines the - - - pr,pect minimum, actual, and -- l� proposed LOS for each - -_ __- __ — standard. LEGEND: Pedestrian Facilities Existing Sidewalk FIGURE 11 Proposed Sidewalk Bicycle FdCilitie5 Alternative Modes - Bicycle — on -Street bicycle lanes and Pedestrian Facilities Designated bicycle rates TABLE 7 - Pedestrian Levels of Service Summary Levels of Service Destination & Standard Directness Continuity Street Crossings Visual Interest & Amenities Security Rams Village minimum B B B C B actual A B A B B Colorado State University minimum B B B C B actual A C Ar B C B Campus West Shopping Center minimum B B B C B actual A C Ar B C B The actual and proposed LOS for each standard were determined for each "site to destination area" scenario and were based on the Pedestrian Level of Service matrix contained within the City's Master Plan. A copy of this matrix is provided in Appendix F. As can be seen in the matrix, much of the evaluations are qualitative, although there are a few quantitative analyses. Elizabeth Street Housing Investors, LP — Apartment Complex Traffic Study 16 r I I I I I I r I Balloffet and calculated, at the peak time of day, by dividing the number of passengers on board by the number of available seats. These definitions were taken from the 1997 City of Fort Collins Transportation Master Plan, page 7 of Section A.1. The results of each analysis are shown in Table 6. TABLE 6 - Transit Service Level Service Level Criteria Standard Actual Standard Met? Hours of Weekday Service 18 hours 34.5 Yes Frequency of Weekday Service 15 minutes 8.5 Yes Travel Time Factor 2.0 X 1.44 — 1.99 Yes Peak Load Factor < 1.2 >1.2 No Level of Service 4 B Inc. Since there are three routes that serve the area, the travel time factor range for each route is shown in the table and the "worst case" was used as the basis for meeting or not meeting the standard. The calculations for each route are shown in Appendix F. Conversations with Transfort staff concluded that peak load factors for the routes going to and from CSU often exceed 1.2. Their observations have found that a bus with seating for 36 tends to carry almost 60 passengers. These figures cause the peak load factors to easily exceed the maximum standard. The standards that were used for this study were taken from the "Mixed Use Centers and Commercial Corridors" column of Figure 1, in Appendix F. That same figure also describes LOS ratings for this corridor type. With three of the four criteria being met, the LOS for transit service within the study area is LOS B, which meets the City's minimum LOS standard. Pedestrian Facilities Pedestrian levels of service are determined through a more qualitative analysis than for the transit LOS. There were five LOS standards that were evaluated, including • Directness, • Continuity, • Street crossings, • Visual interest and amenities, and • Security. The City of Fort Collins Master Plan outlines the methods that provide guidance in determining LOS for existing and proposed pedestrian facilities, and these methods differ based on corridor type and land use type. The existing pedestrian facilities can be found on Figure 11. ' The different corridor and land use types dictate the minimum acceptable LOS for each standard. The proposed apartment site is located along West Elizabeth Street, and Elizabeth is Elizabeth Street Housing Investors, LP — Apartment complex Traffic Study 15 alternative. At the time of ' this traffic study, the sub- area plan had progressed from a long list of alternatives to a couple of final alternatives. It is ' anticipated that the preferred alternative could be selected later this year. Regardless of the alternative that is ultimately selected, pedestrian facility ' improvements will be part of the preferred alternative and improvements to the bicycle facilities are likely to part of it as well. Balloffet and Associates, Inc. f t Proposed TJi] .Site -- — o F_. >1 Study Area G] South Dr limits =- i U� W Wtn St 5t _ 5pfrrygfleW Or ';V 0=06ct FM � EGEND. _ Transfort Transit service Routes (within study area limits) FIGURE 10 Alternative Modes - Study Area Limits & Transit Service ' Public Bus Transit The Public Transit level of service determination was made with respect to Figure 1 of the 1997 City of Fort Collins Transportation Master Plan. A copy of this figure is provided in Appendix F. The four criteria that were used for the evaluation of public transit service along Elizabeth are ' as follows: Hours of weekday service, • Weekday frequency of service, Travel time factor, and ' • Peak load factor. The City of Fort Collins operates fixed route bus transit service known as Transfort. Roadway ' segments that are covered by Transfort routes passing through the study area are shown in Figure 10. There are three routes that pass through this study area, including Routes 2 (Gold Route), 3 (Green Route), and 11 (Teal Route). The hours of weekday service criterion is defined ' as the total number of weekday hours of service, measured from the first scheduled stop to the last. The service frequency is defined as the peak period headway, or the time between bus arrivals at each bus stop. The travel time factor is defined as portal-to-portal bus travel time ' divided by auto travel time. These times include walk, transfer, wait, parking, and actual travel time. The peak load factor measures the usage and availability of these routes and is Elizabeth Street Housing Investors, LP — Apartment Complex Traffic Study 14 I I I I I 1 I e Ll I I Balloffet and Associates, Inc. shown in the first alternative, will likely put 85 percent of this traffic onto Constitution Avenue and Plum Street (see Figure 4a). One measure of these traffic impacts involves the City Park Avenue and Plum Street intersection. As shown in Figure 4a, it is likely that 85 percent of the egress traffic will pass through this intersection, which is currently controlled by a four-way stop. Traffic counts were taken at this intersection and levels of service were calculated for the existing condition and the future year study periods (2005 and 2020). The results of these analyses are shown in Table 5 and the levels of service calculation sheets can be found in Appendix E. TABLE 5 — Levels of Service at City Park & Plum Location Existing 2005 2020 AM PM AM PM AM PM City Park & Plum A A NA A/A B B A A C C Levels of service are snown as no-build/ou id. As can be seen in the table, this intersection currently operates at LOS A in both peak hours and is anticipated to operate at no worse than LOS C in 2005 and 2020. These levels of service are within the City's minimum, acceptable requirements and represent less than 11 seconds of average delay per vehicle in 2020. This low level of vehicle delay and positive levels of service, with and without the development of the apartment complex, demonstrate that any detrimental traffic impacts to the existing neighborhood would be very minimal. This analysis was not performed for the second alternative because, for this alternative, the traffic volumes that would use Constitution and Plum would be very low and would have an even lesser impact to the City Park and Plum intersection than the first alternative. ALTERNATIVE MODES ANALYSES This section of the report focuses on alternative modes and how they will interact with the proposed development. The three alternative modes that were studied included pedestrian travel, bicycle travel, and bus transit. The evaluation of these modes is done similar to that of vehicular studies with defined levels of service. The criteria that go into these levels of service are different, though, for alternative modes than they are for vehicular analysis. Later in this report, the criteria for each mode type will be covered in their respective sections. Also, the study area limits for the alternative mode analyses is slightly different than for vehicular analyses. The alternative modes analyses study area is defined as a one -quarter mile radius around the proposed site. The boundaries of the alternative modes study area are shown in Figure 10 and are represented by the blue circle. The City is currently developing the Campus West Sub -Area Plan (referred to in this report as the sub -area plan), studying the viability of these alternative travel modes along Elizabeth Street. The project team, consisting of city staff and selected consultants, is currently working through a public process to refine a list of potential improvement alternatives to one preferred Elizabeth Street Housing Investors, LP — Apartment Complex Traffic Study 13 f; I I Balloffet and Associates, Inc. Levels of service were calculated for the 2020 no -build and build conditions and the results are presented in Table 4. The results shown in this table cover the evaluation of both access alternatives, much the same as Table 3 presented for the 2005 no -build and build conditions. TABLE 4 - Levels of Service (2020) Alternative Location AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour Background Total Background Total Elizabeth Street/Constitution Avenue A A B B Elizabeth Street/Site Egress " A C Alternative 1 Elizabeth Street/CityStreet/City Park Avenue B B D' D' Shields Street Elizabeth Street D D F F Elizabeth Street Constitution Avenue A A B B Elizabeth Street Site Egress - C - F Alternative 2 Elizabeth Street/City Park Avenue B B D D' Shields Street/Elizabeth Street D D F F Elizabeth Street Constitution Avenue A A B B Elizabeth Street Site Access C F Alternative 3 Elizabeth Street/CityStreet/City Park Avenue B B D' D+ Shields Street/Elizabeth Street D D F F * Protected left -turn signalization required. ^ The LOS shown for this intersection represents the egress left turn. As can be seen in the table, the three intersections are anticipated to operate at an acceptable LOS in both peak hours, with the exception of the Shields and Elizabeth intersection in the PM peak hour. This intersection is anticipated to operate at LOS F in the PM peak hour, with or without the proposed development. As discussed earlier, it is likely that two movements at this intersection will operate at a v/c ratio that is greater than 1.00. In 2020, it is anticipated that at least one movement of each leg of this intersection will operate at a v/c ratio greater than 1.00, including all four through movements. Without significant changes in driving habits, it will take significant capacity improvements, such as adding a second northbound left -turn lane and additional northbound and southbound through lanes. Also, in order to achieve acceptable PM peak hour operations at the Elizabeth and City Park intersection, protected left -turn signalization will be required. The PM peak hour at the Elizabeth and site egress or site access intersection shows LOS F in 2020 for the left turn movements in Alternatives 2 and 3. The City of Fort Collins allows LOS F for left turn movements at an unsignalized intersection during the peak hour. Calculation sheets for the year 2020 levels of service can be found in Appendix D. NEIGHBORHOOD IMPACTS The development of the proposed apartment complex could have some impact on the existing neighborhoods adjacent to the site. The plan to restrict egress site traffic to right turn only, as Elizabeth Street Housing Investors, LP — Apartment Complex Traffic Study 12 0 [1 1 I The 2020 total traffic volumes, for the second alternative, were calculated with the same method and are shown in Figure 9b. The 2020 total traffic volumes for the third alternative were also calculated with the same method and are shown in Figure 9c. Balloffet and Associates, Inc. oNop� '^ L 20/115 /N / ,j �(,� •-200/1,175 I 15/45 N p 65/130 1 905/980� I r I uN, m^ L 60/155I s/t 240/1,18q 30/130 1201180 BP/ 1,040 ^: •75/145 � inmo N Elizabeth 14,80 16,700 17;901 Street p N O • pmNN "" o " rn t— 3005, • 8 /�J I �501155 QV p I i f--65/1880 $ `^ 355/51 / a � w 120/65 —� i r ^� a' I N , w 460/6'�SZ ry on vl NNo ¢ .-I L. 225J1,330 n n �$ a 995/1,120� b � rJ+ FIGURE 9b �Q°D Total Traffic 100/100 AM/PM Peak HourTalflcVdumes Volumes (2020) 1,000 Average Daily Traff¢ VOlurne5 0 — n�vNi t— 201115 /,j I L, �-200/1,17s r + f— 15/45 p 6s/1z51 90S198s '1 i f I $ 'p_; L 60/155 s/1/ 30/130 11NM N 120/180 $ 8P0/1,040— •75/145 Z N ^mom Elizabeth Street 14,80 16,700 170,900 _ frnlL 30/35 M p /�j—65/I5� g �65/1 g N 355/575� i r- 120/65—+ ^+ 4601, 2..!:225F�'�,3 30 a '^ N //30 5/5 995/1, 120—► U FIGURE 9c Total Traffic 100/100 AM/PM Peak Hour Traffic Volurr S Volumes (2020) 1,000 Average Daily Traffic Volumes Elizabeth Street Housing Investors, LP — Apartment Complex Traffic Study 11 1 ' Balloffet and Associates, Inc. ' It should be noted that the conditions that would cause a$� L 20/115 the v/c ratios to be greater I �1�—195/1,170 r 15/45 than 1.00 exist with or o 5s/125 ' without development of the 905J980 T r I " —ate. 5/f u+I L o0l155 �o n g tf 4 �-235/1,16 project. Therefore, it should ! r 3oJ130 ' not be the burden of the s : L'175/145 — '11 f s project to alleviate thecapacity deficiencies at the Elizabeth Shields and Elizabeth 4so 5,70ov,9oo ' Street Soo ' intersection. N o� M L 30/35 /�,f 65/ 155 The 2020 background traffic v o I! �55/180 volumes were calculated by v iioiss� applying the 2.5 percent per o 445/635� y ' year growth rate to the a m existing traffic volumes over N a twenty-year period. The FIGURE B ' EGEND' 2020 background traffic Background Traffic 100/100 AM/PM Peak Hour Traffic Volumes Volumes (2020) volumes are shown in 1,000 Average Dairy Traffic Volumes Figure 8. The 2020 background volumes were added to the site -generated traffic volumes to obtain 2020 total volumes. Figure 9a shows total volumes for the first alternative. 0 0 n L 40/130 I .J I �, . 200/1,175 15/45 65/130 _} 905/980— 1 r I $ �_ L 60/155 � ' 1/ it �240/1,180 30/130 ' 115/180 t o0 ' 805/1,025� II' ry 75/145 u+�o Elizabeth ^ 14,80 16,700 17,90C StreeC " O ry O � O - ry m L 30/35 / / J I l� �50/155 V R I 1 D < `p' SOS/18o0 120/65, I r/ < 64oZ 4solo N N 3 �I-225/1,330 0m n m I o C 995/1,120—� J z 0 n FIGURE 9a LEGEND: Total Traffic 1001100 AM/PM Peak Hour TWr;c Volur a Volumes (2020) 1,OD0 Average Daily Traffic Volumes Elizabeth Street Housing Investors, LP — Apartment Complex Traffic Study 10 Li I I I I n u I i I I 11 I Balloffet and Associates, Inc. As discussed earlier, traffic operations are defined by levels of service, and the City of Fort Collins defines a minimum, acceptable peak hour LOS for a signalized intersection as LOS E. For both alternatives, levels of service were calculated for the 2005 no -build and build conditions and the results are presented in Table 3. TABLE 3 — Levels of Service (2005) Alternative Location AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour Background Total Background Total Elizabeth Street/Constitution Avenue A A A A Elizabeth Street Site Egress - A B Alternative 1 Elizabeth Street/CityStreet/City Park Avenue B B B B Shields Street Elizabeth Street C C D D Elizabeth Street/Constitution Avenue A A A A Elizabeth Street Site Egress B D Alternative 2 Elizabeth Street/CityStreet/City Park Avenue B B B B Shields Street/Elizabeth Street C C D D Elizabeth Street Constitution Avenue A A A A Elizabeth Street/Site Access - B D Alternative 3 Elizabeth Street/City Park Avenue B B B B Shields Street Elizabeth Street C C D D ^ The LOS shown for this intersection represents the egress left turn. As can be seen in the table, all three signalized intersections within the study area and the stop - controlled site egress access are anticipated to operate at acceptable levels of service in both peak hours for all alternatives. The Shields and Elizabeth intersection, however, should begin to see a significant degradation in operations compared to existing performance, especially in the PM peak hour. Although the intersection LOS, which is based on seconds of average delay, is an acceptable LOS D in the PM peak hour, the northbound left -turn lane and the southbound through lanes are expected to operate at volume -to -capacity (v/c) ratios greater than 1.00. The v/c ratio is a factor that measures how well a lane can handle the traffic demand. A v/c ratio that is less than 1.00 represents a lane that has enough capacity (c) to handle the traffic demand (v). Conversely, a v/c ratio that is greater than 1.00 represents a lane that does not have sufficient capacity to handle the traffic demand. When the v/c ratio for a given lane or lane group exceeds 1.00, then queues at these locations become longer with each signal cycle and significant back-ups can occur. In the case of the northbound left -turn lane exceeding a v/c ratio of 1.00, that could result in queued left -turn traffic backing up into the northbound through lane. In the case of the southbound through movement, this condition could result in queued traffic backing up to the previous intersection and, potentially, blocking the right -turn lane. In some instances, the northbound left -turn lane backs up into the through lane even today, although not nearly as frequently as anticipated by 2005. Calculation sheets for the 2005 levels of service can be found in Appendix C. Elizabeth Street Housing Investors, LP — Apartment Complex Traffic Study 9 I ' Balloffet and Associates, Inc. The 2005 total traffic volumes for the second alternative were calculated with the same method and are shown in Figure 7b. 1 i 15/80 � 140/815 f— 10/35 45l90 � 6251675 5/30`� o in in ^�C LEGEND: 100/100 AM/PM Peak Hour Traffic Volume$ 1,000 Average Daily Traffic Volume ' The 2005 total traffic volumes for the third alternative were also calculated with the same ' method and are shown in Figure 7c. v N L 1305 165/825 Ivv 0 851125 } � 615/720—+ `j I r 11,500 _ pp m 12,300 DPN N � y N / .n L 20/25 I ~II+t. -35/105 00 �45/12y2y5 250/4007 } I o 85/45 —+ 32014 1920 � a � v O yr FIGURE 7b Total Traffic Volumes (2005) T I L 15180 625/680=—'l I 5110+� o ? ry `,moo y in N N 8 Elizabeth 10,20 Street A,I .4 r L 5/30 s) L. t 155/ 20 N 5/5 J 685/770� I.EGErvo: 100/100 AM/PM Peak Hour Traffic Voiume5 1,000 Average Daily Traffic Volumes Elizabeth Street Housing Investors, LP — Apartment Complex Traffic Study L /105 165/825 2� 85/125 o0 •' sono � 12,300 L 20/25 - �35/105 g f-45/125 0 z1 0/400� es/4s � I 320/4w $ N N a U v U �n FIGURE 7c Total Traffic Volumes (2005) :J L 15/80 117- 5 135/810 to/} 4slas _f J 625/675—► '1 f LEGEND: 1001100 AM/PM Peak Hour Wriic Volumes 1,000 Average Daily Traffic Valur The 2005 total traffic volumes for the first alternative were calculated by adding the site -generated traffic volumes, shown in Figure 5a, to the background traffic volumes shown in Figure 6. The results of this calculation are shown in Figure 7a. s m L 401105 /.j I L. —160/800 { + 25/ 80/125 5951710---► -It r- 50/10� ^ 177 N 12,300 u) � N � N� �� I L 20/25 - '?' i L 35/95 /,,I (, +-140/815 1! r 10/' 5 45/90 f 625/675 5/lD o ry `moo ti v+ N N Balloffet and Associates, Inc. 245/395s } r I12 85/45 = I / o 305/4 0� ,m g•m- 1n n Lu N Vf FIGURE 6 Background Traffic Volumes (2005) LEGEND: 100i300 AM/PM Peak Hour Traffic Volumes 1,000 Average Daily Traffic volumes i40/105 165/825 1! 25/90 0 801125 _j r _ � $ 595/710— I �$'// 50/10 Z N ti _ N _ 'oo 12,300 ti m /•� L z0/zs ,J I L. • 35/105' 251 8-I } r $ 5/45 —+ I45 o 310/4 5� iz Y O• cp "• V1 � n N a a L V V1 FIGURE 7a Total Traffic Volumes (2005) Elizabeth Street Housing Investors, LP — Apartment Complex Traffic Study 7 I ' Balloffet and Associates, Inc. ' Discussions with city staff have suggested that the third alternative, with the full o ' movement access located on ,J I. J L. F— 0/0 �0/ the west side of the building +- 0/0 1 r 0/0 0/0 and an emergency only ion '1Tr1uoa 0/0 '1 2 25% access located on the east Plum side of the building, might be street the best from an engineering ' standpoint. Figure 5c depicts �� Sao t- /o the trip distribution andL4/zb•• assignment resulting from i1 � ~ 0 0 oro _t this alternative. o!o—+ 12 a ' lt� Elizabeth �rv,o 0 The area surrounding the site Street is developed, with Rams L 0/0 L 0/0 Village East being located j + o/o y �M oro } I a 9 v just west and north of the °!° .� i r r 8/1 v 15 — = 18/12-. �, i t v v u° G 0/0 o o a iJ ¢ 0/0 o 0 o in site and the Colorado State � a a University married housing NOM. 50% ' apartment complex being LEGEND: FIGURE 5C located just east of the site. 10% Trip Distribution Trip Distribution 100/100 Outbound Site Generated Traffic and Assignment Therefore, no other proposed 1001100 Inbound Site Generated Traffic ' developments were analyzed for this study. iFUTURE CONDITIONS The City of Fort Collins traffic study guidelines require that future year studies be done for the five-year time frame (2005) and the twenty-year time frame (2020). The goal of performing these studies is to determine the traffic impacts of the proposed development. To make this determination, analysis of the future "no -build" conditions must be compared to the future "build" conditions. In this report, the "no -build" conditions will include background traffic and the "build" conditions will include total traffic. Background traffic is further defined as traffic that ' would utilize the roadway network with or without the proposed development. The total traffic is defined as the background traffic plus the site -generated traffic. Background traffic volumes were determined by increasing the existing traffic volumes by an assumed growth rate, which was provided by the City and was estimated at 2.5 percent per year. The 2005 background traffic volumes were calculated by applying this growth rate to existing traffic volumes, shown in Figure 3, over a five-year period. The results of this calculation produced the background traffic volumes shown in Figure 6. Elizabeth Street Housing Investors, LP — Apartment Complex Traffic Study 3 I 1 1 I oM� Lolo I I, f— o/ + o/o� •. 3/1 � J 13/10--I r 10 5S'1 000 15% 24/15 -(401 Elizabeth Balloffet and omo � 0 o L o/0 /rj 11. 01 I i O/D) 5010 /3 .,ir i 000 0 0 0 Plum ' - Street mo L010 .11 L. 0/0 1-0/0 0/0 :L � a/z� �Loo - 00 o +=�-"' ` o 0 o L20/13 ', 0 4/20/0Da-�ir1t0/ 000v Nom.50% LEGEND: 10% Trip Distribution FIGURE Sa 100/100 Outbound Site Generated Traffic Trip Distribution 100/1W Inbound Site Generated Traffic and Assignment 12QLL 0 Outbound and Inbound Traffic The first access configuration represents the primary access alternative as proposed by the developer. However, since it is anticipated that over half of the site -generated traffic is expected to originate from and be destined to the east, a second alternative was analyzed, assuming that the outbound access, west of the building, would also accommodate left turns. Figure 5b illustrates the trip distribution and assignment results of this alternative. o `lo F 0/0 0/0 r 10% 1!s � o •+o 4/2 20/13 4L31 15% Elizabeth T Street •` a o-o aoo L o/o � j L.�4/2 0/0 v Y A . /off -sir � ¢' 0/0 000 u. NOM. LEGEND: 10% Trip Distribution 100/100 Outbound Site Generated Traffic 100L100 Inbound Site Generated Traffic Elizabeth Street Housing Investors, LP — Apartment Complex Traffic Study o ;Z 1.jIt 0/ 0/0 � 0/0 , 0(0 � 0/0 0/0 o g Inc. 25% moa 0 o L o/o �'J 1 L, f 0/ 2/1 ^ 18/12—. -, r 010 000 t`nN I so°i° FIGURE 5b Trip Distribution and Assignment 61 r I` t 1 1 FJ J t 1 Balloffet and origin to a destination. It is anticipated that the apartment complex will be built by the year 2001. The anticipated trip generation for the site is shown in Table 2. TABLE 2 — Trip Generation Land Use & ITE Code Daily Trips AM Trips PM Trips LIn Out In Out Apartment Complex — 220 434 1 4 24 31 15 There are three basic access alternatives that were proposed for this site. The first alternative proposed a right -in only access to the east of the building and a right -out only access to the west of the building. The second alternative suggested the right -in only to the east �.. of the building with a right - out and left -out access to the ----�- west of the building. The E=LkBETH SrRELrr EDGE OPPAVEWWr third alternative proposed that there be only one access which be a full movement access located to the west of the building. The location where the right -in only access would be located, according to the other two alternatives, would either be closed or used as an emergency access only The site plan is shown in Figure 4. FIGURE 4 Site Plan Inc. As can be seen in Table 2, it is anticipated that the development of the complex will generate approximately 430 daily trips, with almost 30 traveling during the AM peak hour and approximately 45 in the PM peak hour. The number of trips generated by the complex was assigned to the roadway network based on an assumed trip distribution. Based on the site's proximity to shopping, entertainment, and other attractions, it was estimated that 50 percent of the site -generated traffic would be destined to and originate from the south and east, 35 percent from the north and east, and the remaining 15 percent to the west. These trip distribution numbers are also shown graphically in Figure 5a. Figure 5a also displays the resultant trip assignment, assuming the first access alternative which included right -in only access to the east of the building and the right -out only access to the west of the building. Elizabeth Street Housing Investors, LP — Apartment Complex Traffic Study 4 I I I r I I I I C� Traffic operations are defined by levels of service, as outlined in the Highway Capacity Manual (HCM) and calculated by the associated software (HCS). The HCM describes levels of service ranging from "A" to 7," where level of service (LOS) A describes a free -flow condition and LOS F describes a congested and unstable flow. In a mixed land use district like the Elizabeth Street corridor, the City of Fort Collins defines a minimum, acceptable peak hour LOS for a signalized intersection as LOS E. 11/69 118/715 1 + � 7/2s 0 39/76 N "552/597� i r " 2/9�,o m m M �m LEGEND: 100/100 AM/PM Peak Hour Traffic Volumes 1,000 Average Daily Traffic Volumrs Balloffet and Associates, Inc. �143/706 11 }� 18/77 S 2/1o7� 56/626-- � 44/86 82 J 10,900 O Q t— 18/21 ; .j L. — 28/92, o I! _39/1110 23/1 r� m 73/4040 —� 2711388� y \ n o n y T ti .D a v v FIGURE 3 Existing Traffic Volumes Levels of service were calculated for existing, peak hour conditions, assuming the roadway network as displayed in Figure 2 and the traffic volumes shown in Figure 3. The results of those analyses are displayed in Table 1 and the calculation sheets can be found in Appendix B. TABLE 1— Existing Intersection Levels of Service AM Peak PM Peak Location Delay LOS Delay LOS Elizabeth Street / 7.7 A 8.1 A Constitution Avenue Elizabeth Street / 11.5 B 13.5 B City Park Avenue Shields Street / 21.4 C 44.2 D Elizabeth Street Delay" is the average vehicle intersection delay TRIP GENERATION, DISTRIBUTION, AND ASSIGNMENT The proposed development is intended for 55-year and older tenants with an average income that is roughly 4011/o of the city's median income. However, city requirements called for using ITE trip generation rates for an apartment complex, with the rates being taken from the ITE Trip Generation Manual, 6`h Edition. A trip is defined as a one-way vehicle movement from an Elizabeth Street Housing Investors, LP — Apartment Complex Traffic Study I Balloffet and Associates, Inc. Shields Street near the Colorado State University (CSU) campus. Between Shields and City Park Avenue, Elizabeth provides direct access to many restaurants and retail shops. West of City Park, Elizabeth provides access to housing developments and to more retail establishments, including restaurants, gas stations, and a grocery store. There are four signalized intersections along Elizabeth, between Overland Trail and Shields, including Taft Hill Road, Constitution Avenue, City Park, and Shields. The signals at Taft Hill and at Shields are programmed to provide good progression along those streets and, thus, have i longer cycle lengths. The signals at Constitution and at City Park have shorter cycle lengths to reduce vehicle delay. As a result, there isn't any planned signal progression along Elizabeth through these four signals. In addition to the above named signalized intersections, there are a number of unsignalized intersections along Elizabeth, including intersections with public streets and intersections with business .1�. � j L. r accesses and residential Ehzabeth properties. However, east of Street2 Constitution, there aren't any residential driveways that take access directly from Elizabeth. The roadway a v network and lane L Q configurations for facilities a within the study area are shown in Figure 2. FIGURE 2 Existing Roadway Network and Laneage The City of Fort Collins counted intersection approach volumes in September 1999 at each signalized intersection within the study area. The City also obtained turning movement counts (TMCs) at each intersection during the summer of 1998. The 1999 approach volumes, the 1998 TMCs, and an assumed annual growth rate of 2.5 percent were used to estimate turning movement counts for the existing condition. Raw data and calculation sheets for this estimation method can be found in Appendix A. Figure 3 displays the existing intersection TMCs for each signalized intersection along Elizabeth. Elizabeth Street Housing Investors, LP — Apartment Complex Traffic Study Balloffet and Associates, Inc. Elizabeth Street Housing Investors, LP Apartment Complex Traffic Study ' This report has been prepared for the City of Fort Collins and evaluates the traffic impacts of the proposed Elizabeth Street Housing Investors, LP Apartment Complex located on West ' Elizabeth Street in Fort Collins, Colorado. ' INTRODUCTION The site for the proposed apartment complex is approximately two (2) acres of vacant property and is located on the north side of West Elizabeth Street, between City Park Avenue and Constitution Avenue. Access to the site would be from Elizabeth and would be taken from either ' of two locations, including one just east of the building and the other from just west of the building. Figure 1 shows the approximate location of the site. The site is located within the City of Fort Collins city limits, so this study was performed ' and written in accordance with the City of Fort Collins Transportation Impact Study ' Guidelines. EXISTING TRAFFIC CONDITIONS tAs mentioned above, access to the site will be taken from Elizabeth Street. Elizabeth is ' an east -west, five -lane arterial that carries about ' 10,000 vehicles per day. Elizabeth provides direct connection between Overland Trail on the west side of Fort Collins and ' Elizabeth Street Housing Investors, LP — Apartment Complex Traffic Study FIGURE 1 Vicinity Map 1 r—i r Contents Balloffet and Associates, Inc. INTRODUCTION................................................................................................................. I EXISTINGTRAFFIC CONDITIONS........................................................................................1 TRIP GENERATION, DISTRIBUTION, AND ASSIGNMENT........................................................3 FUTURECONDITIONS........................................................................................................6 NEIGHBORHOODIMPACTS...............................................................................................12 ALTERNATIVE MODES ANALYSES......................................................................................13 PublicBus Transit.........................................................................................14 Pedestrian Facilities......................................................................................15 BicycleFacilities............................................................................................18 TRAFFICACCIDENTS........................................................................................................19 CONCLUSIONS................................................................................................................. 20 Appendixes APPENDIX A — Turning Movement Count and 2000 Volume Estimation Sheets APPENDIX B — Existing Levels of Service Calculation Sheets APPENDIX C — 2005 Levels of Service Calculation Sheets APPENDIX D — 2020 Levels of Service Calculation Sheets APPENDIX E — City Park and Plum Unsignalized Levels of Service Calculation Sheets APPENDIX F — Alternative Mode Analyses Sheets APPENDIX G — Accident Data and Information Sheets Elizabeth Street Housing Investors, LP — Apartment Complex Traffic Study Elizabeth Street Housing Investors, LP Apartment Complex Traffic Study Fort Collins, Colorado —WAw 44y I V June 29, 2000 PREPARED FOR Simpson Housing Solutions 320 Golden Shore, Suite 200 Long Beach, CA 90802 KAUFMAN,&BROAD PREPARED BY Balloffet and Associates, Inc. 345 East Mountain Avenue Fort Collins, CO 80524 BALLOFFETb & Associates. Inc. John Seyer, EIT