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HomeMy WebLinkAboutMemo - Mail Packet - 3/31/2020 - Memorandum From Ippu Core Team Re: Industrial Processes And Product Use Emissions - Recommendations For Community Carbon Reporting1 | P a g e Environmental Services 222 Laporte Ave PO Box 580 Fort Collins, CO 80522 970-221-6600 fcgov.com MEMORANDUM Date: March 25, 2020 To: Mayor and City Council Thru: Darin Atteberry, City Manager CAP Executive Team1 From: IPPU Core Team2 Re: Industrial Processes and Product Use Emissions – Recommendations for Community Carbon Reporting The purpose of this memo is to provide recommendations for addressing industrial process and product use (IPPU) emissions in community carbon reporting, including the annual community inventory. The recommendations are based on peer city research, dedication to transparency, and the impact on accuracy of incomplete available data. Bottom Line Staff recommends creating a second inventory that includes IPPU, reported side by side with an inventory that follows current methodology, for 2019. This recommendation follows Global Protocol for Community-scale Greenhouse Gas Emission Inventories (GPC) BASIC reporting guidelines while also including this additional recommended emissions source (Option 1). Context for staff’s recommendation is the following: • Peer city research. Nine peer cities that report IPPU emissions to the Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP) were researched to understand common approaches to this question. Three of these cities chose to report two inventories side by side: a “core inventory” with traditional resource areas that is measured against the community’s goals, and an “expanded inventory” with traditional resource areas plus IPPU and other emissions (see Attachment 2 for a full description). • Inventory transparency. This option maintains the ability to compare 2019 inventory results to the 2005 baseline, while providing transparency regarding industrial process emissions. • Inventory baseline and Alignment with Climate Goals. Currently IPPU data is available for 2011 to 2018, not back to the 2005 baseline. More discussion of backcasting to 2005 is below and in Attachment 3. The inventory with core resource areas (i.e. electricity, natural gas, ground transportation, waste, and wastewater) is recommended to still be used to compare to baseline for the purposes of tracking the community’s progress toward climate action goals both because the goals were set with these resource areas and due to lack of IPPU data. Alternative Options In addition to the recommendation described above, staff considered the following options, ordered by level of recommendation: • Option 2: Maintaining current inventory methodology for 2019 and adding a suite of complimentary measures that are reported side by side. • Option 3: Making no change to current inventory methodology and reporting. • Option 4: Creating a new inventory which includes known IPPU emissions using available data back to 2011 (not recommended). 1 Deputy City Manager Jeff Mihelich; Utilities Executive Director Kevin Gertig; Director of Planning, Development, and Transportation Caryn Champine; Chief Sustainability Officer Jackie Kozak Thiel; & Environmental Services Director Lucinda Smith 2 Environmental Services Director Lucinda Smith; Climate Program Manager Lindsay Ex; Senior Economic Manager SeonAh Kendall; Energy Services Senior Manager John Phelan; Customer Accounts Manager Mark Cassalia; Air Quality Program Manager Cassie Archuleta; Sr. Specialist Molly Saylor; Sr. Specialist John Graham; Sr. Specialist Adelle McDaniel; & Climate Economy Advisor Sean Carpenter DocuSign Envelope ID: DA928D7B-3D47-48A3-AE48-4E53DF9D420E 2 | P a g e Attachment 1 summarizes the pros and cons of each option. Along with the recommended Option 1, staff recognize the Our Climate Future (OCF) planning process will update climate, energy and waste polices and consider the scope of community emissions, which includes a review of metrics and reporting. Council Direction With Council direction last July (2019), staff began including known sources of IPPU emissions within inventory summary reports online (https://www.fcgov.com/climateaction/reports.php) and have committed to including this information on the CAP Dashboard (https://ftcollinscap.clearpointstrategy.com). In a November memo (see Attachment 4, which also includes background information on what IPPU emissions are), staff committed to the following next steps, which are summarized below: (1) Conduct peer city research regarding tracking and potential mitigation actions for IPPU emissions. (2) Continue exploring options with known large IPPU emitters for tracking and potential mitigation options. (3) Continue exploring with the State regarding potential tracking, reporting and mitigation of IPPU emissions. (4) Explore IPPU emissions within the broader OCF planning process. In their March 3, 2020 meeting Councilmembers also directed staff to consider an option for a single integrated inventory that included IPPU emissions (Option 4), including a description of how the data could be estimated back to 2005. The remainder of this memo represents the context for staff’s recommendation in the Bottom Line. Context of Recommendation Peer City Research Staff worked with Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP), a global reporting platform for carbon inventories, to research which cities and counties include IPPU emissions in their inventories (see Attachment 2 for detailed peer city research information). Approximately 180 U.S. cities publicly report their community inventories using this platform. Of those 180, about 20 note they include some emissions that fall within the IPPU sector. Staff is not able to ascertain if any of the other 160 cities do have large emitters that they do not include in their inventories. Staff researched the nine most comparable cities and counties that reported IPPU emissions. Reporting methods of these communities can be summarized in three general types: (1) reporting an inventory according to BASIC+ requirements, (2) reporting two inventories, one not including IPPU (“core”) and one including IPPU (“expanded”), and (3) reporting a single integrated inventory. Regardless of approach, each community (except for Boulder County) had data back to their baseline year. Boulder County chose to present all available information in their most recent inventory and noted included IPPU emissions without data back to the baseline year made comparison to previous inventories and communication about reductions more challenging. Of the communities staff talked to, all were working with businesses regarding environmental topics, though few were working directly on IPPU emissions. Staff from Austin were just beginning to convene meetings with semiconductor industry partners to discuss possible solutions. Staff is also aware that Cleveland is working with their industry partners but were not able to connect directly to discuss their practices. Work with Known Large Emitters to Understand Data Availability and Actions Taken In 2009, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) published a rule for the mandatory reporting of greenhouse gases (GHG) from sources that in general emit 25,000 metric tons or more of carbon dioxide equivalent per year in the United States. The rule requires specific facilities that emit significant quantities of fluorinated gasses to report their annual emissions. Because of the EPA threshold, the community is able to identify one industry source in Fort Collins (Broadcom) as a large IPPU emitter. Other IPPU emission sources may exist in Fort Collins but fall below the EPA reporting threshold. From conversations with Broadcom, staff has learned the following: • Broadcom is a part of the state’s Environmental Leadership Program. As a part of this commitment, they have established several environmental objectives, one of which is to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. • In accordance with these commitments, Broadcom has installed 10 abatement devices on their highest SF6 usage tools (which destroy over 90% of SF6 emitted). • Broadcom is actively evaluating new tools and additional abatement as new equipment is brought online at the Fort Collins facility. • Broadcom also noted the EPA report illustrates that emissions have reduced since 2016, even while undergoing an increase in production. DocuSign Envelope ID: DA928D7B-3D47-48A3-AE48-4E53DF9D420E 3 | P a g e Broadcom has indicated they are not able to share production and emission data back to 2005, and the only data available are the data posted on the EPA’s website (beginning in 2011, when the reporting requirement began). Inventory Baseline Councilmembers directed staff to include an option with a single integrated inventory with IPPU emissions and a description for estimating data back to 2005 (Option 4). While Broadcom (formerly Avago) was operating in Fort Collins prior to 2011, the EPA did not require emissions reporting prior to that date. As a result, IPPU (in this case SF6) emissions information is not available from 2005 through 2010. Options for estimating IPPU emissions from Broadcom that have been considered include: • Calculating an average from 2011 to 2018 data and using this value back to 2005; • Holding the 2011 value back to 2005; • Using data from 2011 to 2018 to create a backwards linear estimate of IPPU emissions to 2005; or • Seeking to identify a proxy indicator with which to correlate Broadcom’s IPPU emissions. Further research would be necessary to establish how robust this estimate could be. Using one of these methods to create a placeholder for this sector of emissions back to 2005 may only have limited ability to help us understand the changes in emissions occurring in our city and take action to reduce those emissions. Because the 2011 to 2018 emissions data do not follow a linear trend, it is challenging to estimate the prior years. Staff recommends reporting two inventories and continuing to compare to baseline using the “core” inventory due to this challenge of not having an accurate understanding of emissions between 2005 and 2010. See Attachment 3 for a visual representation of these estimates. Update on Statewide tracking and progress The State is in the process of evaluating and updating their greenhouse gas inventory. Currently, proposed rulemaking requires reporting of industrial process emissions at the same threshold as the EPA, meaning no new data would emerge from this action on smaller IPPU sources. Through Colorado Communities for Climate Action (CC4CA), staff is recommending the State make its process for deciding these thresholds more transparent and lower in cases where many small point sources together are equal to a large emissions source. Further, it is currently unclear whether the State will include data from 2005 as part of its rulemaking. Data and opportunities may arise out of the State’s work; for example, it may be possible to align with statewide standards to ensure greater consistency for IPPU emissions tracking. Update on Our Climate Future (OCF) Process Throughout the OCF process, the City, community partner organizations, and community members together are refreshing Fort Collins’ understanding of climate action work, as well as reassessing ownership of this work. Though the City currently relies heavily on the single indicator of the carbon emissions inventory, it will never paint a full picture of equitable climate action. Recommendations from the community may include new emphasis on decision-making based on additional metrics outside the inventory and adding new greenhouse gas sources. Recommendation Staff recommends creating a second inventory with industrial process emissions integrated, reported side by side with an inventory that follows current methodology, for 2019 (Option 1). Next Steps include: • If Council supports staff’s recommendation, staff will begin creating the second, expanded inventory, to be reported in parallel to the 2019 inventory that follows current methodology (expected to be completed this summer). • April 28 Work Session with City Council to review Our Climate Future progress overall. • In 2020, climate and emissions metrics will be evaluated and modified, as needed, through OCF, and will be communicated with Council via upcoming memos and Work Sessions related to the planning process. Attachments: (1) Summary of options (2) Peer City Research (3) Inventory Baseline (4) November 2019 IPPU Memo DocuSign Envelope ID: DA928D7B-3D47-48A3-AE48-4E53DF9D420E 4 | P a g e Attachment 1: Summary of Options Option Benefits Challenges Option 1 (Recommended): Creating a second inventory that includes IPPU for 2019, reported side by side with an inventory that follows current methodology • Provides transparency • Retains ability to compare to 2005 baseline for purposes of tracking progress toward climate action goals • Follows peer cities work • Does not address lack of data back to 2005 baseline • Could create two separate messages about emissions reductions, which peer cities have shared has been confusing for community members Option 2: Maintaining current inventory methodology for 2019 and adding a suite of robust, complimentary measures that are reported side by side • Acknowledges that there are emissions outside the scope of the inventory other than industrial process emissions (e.g. ownership electricity emissions, supply chain emissions) • Maintains ability to compare to 2005 baseline • Allows for a more comprehensive and community-driven approach to updating metrics through the Our Climate Future process • May appear the City is not tracking significant source of known community- based emissions Option 3: Making no change to current inventory methodology • Maintains ability to compare to 2005 baseline • Allows for clear communication about progress or regression within the primary inventory resource areas • Matches the sectors goals were based upon • Does not provide community full transparency regarding known industrial process emissions in Fort Collins • Limits evolution of understanding of emissions in Fort Collins Option 4: Create one integrated inventory to include large emitters within IPPU, using available data back to 2011 • Improves transparency • Leverages available data • Without an accurate baseline to compare each year’s emissions to, we would not be able to report reductions with a reasonable level of certainty. • Inclusion of IPPU emissions may require a rethinking of climate action goals, as the goals were not set with IPPU emissions included. • Introduces confusing messaging about 5 | P a g e Attachment 2: Peer City Research Staff worked with Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP), a global reporting platform for carbon inventories, to research which cities and counties include IPPU emissions in their inventories. Approximately 180 U.S. cities publicly report their community inventories using this platform. Of those 180, about 20 note they include some emissions that fall within the IPPU sector. Staff is not able to ascertain if any of the other 160 cities do have large emitters that they do not include in their inventories. Staff researched the nine most comparable cities and counties that reported IPPU emissions to CDP, with a summary of the findings below: • Side by side reporting (comparable to Option 1) (Dallas, TX; Louisville, KY; and Seattle, WA) o These three cities report two versions of their inventories side by side. For example, Louisville reports one inventory that does not include IPPU and agriculture, forestry, and land use (AFOLU) (“core inventory”) and one that does (“expanded inventory”) in the same report. o Louisville notes in their inventory report that AFOLU and IPPU typically serve regional and state demands and are therefore more difficult to influence. They also noted they will continue to monitor these sectors and look for opportunities to influence them, even though they are not planning to set specific GHG reduction targets related to IPPU and AFOLU sectors. o Both Seattle and Louisville would have seen greater reductions in emissions if they had included industrial process emissions in their core inventory. By retaining two inventories, they can more clearly communicate reductions that stem from City and resident changes separately from those resulting from external changes. • Reporting due to importance in a single integrated inventory (comparable to Option 4) (Austin, TX; Cleveland, OH; Philadelphia, PA; and San Antonio, TX) o Multiple cities reporting IPPU emissions included them because of applicability to their city. For example, Cleveland’s IPPU sector makes up approximately 34% of their emissions inventory. Their inventory report notes industrial process emissions have gradually risen in a trend correlated to an increase in local GDP. o Philadelphia reported a combined sector of fugitive and process emissions, which in total represented 10% of their most recent inventory from 2012. The primary source of process emissions was SF6 from a refinery operated by Philadelphia Energy Solutions, which has since closed. This large change for their future inventories indicated to Fort Collins staff that significant changes external to City and resident action have the potential to falsely communicate progress. o Austin and San Antonio’s IPPU sectors make up 8% of each of their respective inventories. Both cities report at a BASIC level and have chosen to include the IPPU sector within their reports, and both have comparison data back to their baseline year. With this comparison data back to their baseline years, they are able to more clearly communicate changes in their inventories due to unique progress. • Commitment to BASIC+ Reporting (Boulder County, CO and City and County of Honolulu, HI) o These communities choose to report at a BASIC+ level, which means they are required to report IPPU and AFOLU emissions. o Boulder County staff noted they use BASIC+ because they want to be as transparent as possible and include all available data. However, they noted that when industrial process emissions were added to the newest Boulder County inventory, it became difficult to communicate changes in reported values because the IPPU emissions were not included in previous inventories. Because they did not have IPPU data back to their baseline year, they could not easily track progress. Though they noted this as a challenge, Boulder County staff said they preferred presenting all available information. Of the cities staff talked to, all were working with businesses regarding environmental topics, though few were working directly on IPPU emissions. Staff from Austin were just beginning to convene meetings with semiconductor industry partners to discuss possible reduction strategies. Other cities discussed energy emissions reductions with businesses. Staff is aware that Cleveland is working with their industry partners but were not able to connect directly to discuss their practices. DocuSign Envelope ID: DA928D7B-3D47-48A3-AE48-4E53DF9D420E 6 | P a g e Attachment 3: Single Inventory Option with Estimated Baseline Councilmembers directed staff to include an option with a single integrated inventory with IPPU emissions and a description for estimating data back to 2005 (Option 4). Although Broadcom (formerly Avago) was operating in Fort Collins prior to 2011, the EPA did not require emissions reporting prior to that date. As a result, IPPU (in this case SF6) emissions information is not available from 2005 through 2010. Options for estimating IPPU emissions from Broadcom that have been considered include: • Calculating an average from 2011 to 2018 data and using this value back to 2005; • Holding the 2011 value back to 2005; • Using data from 2011 to 2018 to create a backwards linear estimate of IPPU emissions to 2005; or • Seeking to identify a proxy indicator with which to correlate Broadcom’s IPPU emissions. Further research would be necessary to establish how robust this estimate could be. Approach 2005 Baseline MTCO2e 2018 MTCO2e Percent below 2005 baseline Confidence Current inventory 2,276,172 1,963,919 -14% High Integrated inventory with known IPPU data from 2011-2018 (no IPPU included for 2005) 2,276,172 2,121,857 -7% Low Using an average from 2011-2018 data for 2005- 2010 2,443,608 2,121,857 -13% Low Holding the 2011 value back to 2005 2,309,559 2,121,857 -8% Low Creating a backwards linear estimate from 2011-2018 data 2,121,857 Approach not supported by data trends Correlating SF6 data to a proxy indicator to estimate 2005-2010 Unknown 2,121,857 Unknown Unknown Because the reported SF6 emissions from 2011 to 2018 do not follow a linear trend, estimating the six prior years through any of these approaches is challenging. The significant differences in percent below baseline depending on approach demonstrate the uncertainty that could be introduced with these methods. For this reason, staff do not recommend Option 4, the single integrated inventory. DocuSign Envelope ID: DA928D7B-3D47-48A3-AE48-4E53DF9D420E DocuSign Envelope ID: DA928D7B-3D47-48A3-AE48-4E53DF9D420E DocuSign Envelope ID: DA928D7B-3D47-48A3-AE48-4E53DF9D420E Fort Collins' work and progress DocuSign Envelope ID: DA928D7B-3D47-48A3-AE48-4E53DF9D420E