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HomeMy WebLinkAboutAgenda - Mail Packet - 6/21/2016 - Council Finance Committee And Ura Finance Committee Agenda - June 20, 2016Council Finance Committee & URA Finance Committee Agenda Planning Calendar 2016 RVSD 06/02 mnb June 20 Hourly Positions to Classified 25 min J. Miller Utility Long Term Financial Plans – Rates and Debt Alternatives for CIPs 45 min L. Smith Airport Strategic Plan Funding 20 min J. Licon Street Oversizing Fees 30 min D. Klingner URA July 18 2015 Audit Review 20 min K. Smith Benefits - Historical Forecast Accuracy & Possible Plan Changes 30 min K. Hess T. Storin Colorado Care Ballot Initiative 30 min R. Shannon Career Progression & Compensation 30 min J. Heckman URA Aug 15 Natural Areas – Financial Review 40 min J. Stokes Capital Expansion Fee Update 30 min T. Smith 2015 Year End Financial Summary 30 min T. Storin Foundation Creation 20 min N. Johnson URA Sep 19 URA Future Council Finance Committee Topics: Parking Garage Financing Future URA Committee Topics: Finance Administration 215 N. Mason 2nd Floor PO Box 580 Fort Collins, CO 80522 970.221.6788 970.221.6782 - fax fcgov.com AGENDA Council Finance & Audit Committee June 20, 2016 9:30 - 11:30 am CIC Room - City Hall Approval of the Minutes from the June 1, 2016 meeting 1. Hourly Positions to Classified 25 minutes J. Miller 2. Utility Long Term Financial Plans - Rates and Debt Alternatives for CIPs 45 minutes L. Smith 3. Airport Strategic Plan Funding 20 minutes J. Licon 4. Street Oversizing Fees 30 minutes D. Klingner UOTHER BUSINESS Finance Administration 215 N. Mason 2nd Floor PO Box 580 Fort Collins, CO 80522 970.221.6788 970.221.6782 - fax fcgov.com Council Audit & Finance Committee Minutes 06/01/2016 7:00 - 9:00 am CIC Room Council Attendees: Mayor Wade Troxell, Gerry Horak, Ross Cunniff Staff: Darin Atteberry, Jeff Mihelich, Carrie Daggett, Mike Beckstead, Chief John Hutto, Jerry Schiager, Mike Trombley, Craig Horton, Erik Martin, John Duvall, Travis Storin, John Voss, Lance Smith, Chris Donegon, Seth Lorson, Kurt Ravenschlag, Carolyn Koontz Others: Jim Manire, FirstSouthwest Meeting started at 7:04 am UAPPROVAL OF MINUTES Ross Cunniff made a motion to approve the May 16, 2016 Council Finance Committee minutes. Gerry Horak made a second to the motion. The minutes were approved unanimously. A. UResourcing Police Services in a Growing Community Chief John Hutto, Jerry Schiager and Craig Horton EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This is a presentation and discussion about staffing Police Services for the future. We will answer the basic question, “How many officers will we need as the community grows?” Police Services has been working on a data-driven staffing analysis project for over two years. As part of this project, the needed number of police officers is identified, and efficiencies in deployment and scheduling have been achieved. In addition to presenting a durable methodology for staffing Police Services, information about the impacts of future annexations and revenue source changes will be explained. GENERAL DIRECTION SOUGHT AND SPECIFIC QUESTIONS TO BE Does Council support the methodologies presented for determining the appropriate staffing levels for Police Services? Data driven analysis is best methodology - solid data Process started in 2014 - working with consultant 2 Consultant’s first response was that we have enough officers but need to look at how to improve scheduling and deployment. Schedule efficiency - challenging - used call curve to build schedule. Went from 7 to 10 districts with approximately 10% of calls in each district Added 12 hour shifts and distributed differently 40% of officers work 12 hour shifts Future Planning Need to add 4-5 officers per year to address incremental projected population growth. It takes 1 year to 18 months to train and onboard one officer. Conditions for a perfect storm in 3-5 years; • East Mulberry Annexation (3-5 years) potential 20% increase in calls right away • 40FTEs are currently funded by KFCG which sunsets in 2020 • Forecasted population increase from 158k to 255k Gerry Horak asked how many officers are assigned to the East Mulberry Annexation area? Jerry Schiager responded; 2-4 officers, 10 deputies working that area overall. Darin Atteberry asked if the numbers in the presentation were what Cameron used. Jerry Schiager responded that he was in fact using Cameron’s slides. Darin Atteberry said that he had a conversation with the county manager last week re the Mulberry Corridor Annexation. When annexation happens the county is going to have a cost savings but no reduction in revenue. Darin is interested in discussing a potential change in revenue. We need to understand what their staffing levels are right now as we want to capture some of that revenue. We will have 3 years for council to choose to annex or not - time to study costs, do benefit analysis. Gerry Horak suggested that we could try to get a URA agreement with them (moving to the future). URA analysis with original numbers. Example is Mall Redevelopment which was significantly over stated $12M - really more in the $3m range. Darin Atteberry commented that the work that has been done is phenomenal. Chief Hutto has wanted to get this in front of the council for some time. UGreat work between City Planning and Police Services - well done. Big takeaways - we are pretty good shape - recommend budget to keep up with growth – Mayor Troxell commented; I appreciate the thoughtful and thorough data driven approach. It was decided that the data driven approach is best. Next Step: Council Working Session scheduled for June 28P th 3 B. UDowntown Parking Seth Lorson, City Planner Kurt Ravenschlag, Parking Services Manager EXECUTIVE SUMMARY City investment is needed in order to implement the parking recommendations from the Downtown Plan. Staff is requesting an appropriation to invest in a parking data-collection system. The requested appropriation would come from the funds already assigned in the general fund budget balance from the 2015-16 budget for an on-street paid parking pilot. Also, staff is anticipating submitting a 2017-18 budget offer to invest in on-street paid parking technology. GENERAL DIRECTION SOUGHT AND SPECIFIC QUESTIONS TO BE ANSWERED Does the Committee support the implementation of a parking data-collection system in Downtown? Recommendation; • Data collection system – turnover data tracked for individual parking spots • 1500 spaces in downtown- $500K from assigned General Fund reserves Considerations: • Sense of lack of available parking • 2 hour limit can cause issues • Moving car - not creating block space - 2 hour shuffle - high occupancy zones - leave the zone Charge when demand is higher - extend 2 hour time limit to the evenings. • Communicate location of current parking availability • Paid parking - people don’t want us to shock the system Gaining informed consent - people are warming up to idea - do not shock the system - work with DBA - implement in a seamless way • Employees using spots close to business that could be used by customers • Tickets/ fees for downtown don’t provide funding to grow parking infrastructure. Feedback we received from business owners included to go ahead and charge if that revenue is going to create more spaces. Meet multiple objectives 1) Demand management 2) Funds to pay for parking structures 3 types of sensors In ground - would be most cost effective for us Cameras - this might be a more effective approach for some areas Newer technologies including above ground sensors 4 Ross Cunniff commented; it would be helpful for council to have data on the different technologies including costs. We must be deliberate and transparent about what we are going to do. Gerry Horak asked if Susan Kirkpatrick would be attending working session. She will be in attendance. Mayor Troxell said that he met with a small startup technology company (in very early stages) and one of the applications they discussed was related to parking- smart city, integrating parking management with other applications such as street lights with multi-function sensors. Let’s get data as far as what the sensor enables in a broader sense, investing in infrastructure that can be utilized in a broader way. Parking is going to be an issue as it relates to the stadium. Different from traffic flow to Hughes, will be a scramble to find spots on game day at new stadium. How can technology be utilized related to getting to parking for high demand events such as game days? Ross Cunniff added that it might be a good idea to partner with CSU. Handicap spots - How are those handled? Currently we have issues with turnover as there is no time restriction for disabled permit holders. The team envisions putting sensors in all stalls including Handicapped. They are currently talking with the Northern Hotel property management company regarding possible approaches for their tenants including permits for structures. They are working with social sustainability and hoping to find a sponsor to help instead of a code change to put time restrictions in place for handicapped parking. Gerry Horak asked; what is the problem we are trying to solve? Let’s break this into phases. Trying to improve accessibility of downtown; Need to approach this with multiple strategies Current and projected demand Add inventory to downtown to keep pace with projected growth Need to manage more effectively Ross Cunniff suggested possibly using signage like the train signs to let people know that ‘parking is full’ Next Step: Council Work Session scheduled for June 14P th C. UWastewater Bond Refinancing John Voss, Controller EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: The current market conditions are favorable to refinance the 2009 Wastewater Revenue Bonds and achieve a savings of $2.4 million. Closing is expected to occur on August 18, 2016. 5 GENERAL DIRECTION SOUGHT AND SPECIFIC QUESTIONS TO BE ANSWERED Does CFC support the refinancing and projected timeline? Mike Beckstead summarized; • $31m (20 year) bond was initiated in 2009 to build Mulberry water reclamation facility and it is now time to refinance. • Plan is for this to go to Council for first reading on 7/5, then second reading on 7/19, out for competitive bid on 8/2 with actual transaction occurring later in August • $24.4m outstanding • $20.8m is eligible for refinancing – we think we can get 2.11% rate • If we waited 2 ½ years we could save an additional $398K, if interest rates do not change • We are recommending we move forward now because of the possibility of rising interest rates Ultimately the rate will be what the market is in August We can’t predict it - function of the market - $2.1M savings will stay inside of waste water utility Recommending competitive bid process Greely just went through this and got a 1.74 rate Council Finance Committee concurred with the recommendation and schedule moving this forward to the Council. D. U2015 Year End Fund Balances John Voss, Travis Sorin SUBJECT FOR DISCUSSION: Status of Fund Balances and Working Capital EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: The attached presentation gives a status of fund balances and working capital as of yearend 2015 for each Fund across the City. The cash within each Fund is broken down into various categories that define the degree of restricted, committed, assigned or unassigned cash within each fund. GENERAL DIRECTION SOUGHT AND SPECIFIC QUESTIONS TO BE ANSWERED None, this is an update for Council Finance Committee. BACKGROUND/DISCUSSION To aid in answering the question of what funding is available to support emerging issues and initiatives in the next budget cycle. In each fund the balances are shown vertically by the accounting classifications. The amounts are then additionally categorized into Appropriated, Available with Constraints, and Available for Nearly Any Purpose. 6 Appropriated, Minimum Policy or Scheduled is comprised of minimum fund balances established by policy, funds from the 2015 balance that have been appropriated in 2016, and amounts for projects specifically identified by voters. An example of the later is Community Capital Improvements Plan (aka BOB 2.0). Available with Constraints are those balances available for appropriation but within defined constraints. An example is 4P th P of July donations. They are restricted for that purpose, but still available for appropriation. Available for Nearly Any Purpose are balances that are available for appropriation at the discretion of the City Council. Mike Beckstead said there are 2 takeaways 1) Fund balanced stayed relatively flat in 2015 compared with 2014 2) BFO cycle - we anticipate having approximately $8m of unassigned General Fund reserves available to support 2017/18 BFO initiatives in the current budget cycle. Mike added; for clarity funds have not been set aside for the possible purchase of land or for the additional costs of the Lincoln Ave improvements Darin Atteberry commented that the land purchase will be discussed with council soon. Regarding the Lincoln Ave. improvements, the first phase (lower level street scape) has been funded and will start soon. We have until next spring to decide if we want to do the full roll out. Darin - DDA dollars could be used for future expansion and could reimburse for the build out. It will be helpful when Woodward executes on Phases 3 and 4. Mike added that we appropriated $2.3M to support debt obligations if Woodward doesn’t do Phases 3 and 4 - when they do go forward with these next two phases, the $2.3M can be released and made available for other needs. Ross Cunniff commented that during his last listening session, a citizen asked about disaster preparedness, if we were prepared to deal with a flood like Loveland experienced? UOTHER BUSINESS: Meeting Adjourned at 9:04 am COUNCIL FINANCE COMMITTEE AGENDA ITEM SUMMARY Staff: Kelly DiMartino, Assistant City Manager Janet Miller, Assistant HR Director Date: June 20, 2016 SUBJECT FOR DISCUSSION (a short title) Hourly Employee Administrative Adjustment EXECUTIVE SUMMARY (a brief paragraph or two that succinctly summarizes important points that are covered in more detail in the body of the AIS.) As part of the 2017-2018 budget planning process, the City’s HR department is proposing a change to move 156 current Hourly positions to Classified jobs. The estimated cost is $2.5M. These positions have been identified as resources essential for meeting ongoing service needs. This proposal is responsive to recent changes associated with federal healthcare reform, a need to better align employment categories to avoid legal pitfalls, increasing competition for skilled workers and a desire to position the City to attract and retain talent. GENERAL DIRECTION SOUGHT AND SPECIFIC QUESTIONS TO BE ANSWERED (Work session questions should be designed to gather direction from Council without requiring Councilmembers to make a decision.) The purpose is to inform Councilmembers of the proposal prior to finalizing the recommended budget and address Council questions. BACKGROUND/DISCUSSION (details of item – History, current policy, previous Council actions, alternatives or options, costs or benefits, considerations leading to staff conclusions, data and statistics, next steps, etc.) ATTACHMENTS (numbered Attachment 1, 2, 3,…) Attachment 1: PowerPoint Presentation in pdf format 1 Hourly Employee Administrative Adjustment Janet Miller, Asst. HR Director Kelly DiMartino, Asst. City Manager June 20, 2016 Workforce Overview Global & U.S. talent shortage  Priority - Attracting, retaining, engaging qualified workers • Global employers reporting difficulties hiring employees (2015 - 38%) highest since period leading up to 2008 economic recession (Manpower Group) • 4 of 10 government orgs anticipate turnover levels of 20% or more within next 5 years (IPMA-HR)  City 2015 Annual Turnover = 11%, nearly double that of 2013 2 Workforce Shortage Preparation and Impact • U.S. - 45% of orgs are unprepared to meet talent needs of the future (Human Capital Institute)  Aging workforce: 10,000 people turn 65 year old every day  Retaining Millennials: Currently outnumber Baby Boomers and will comprise 75% of workforce by 2025 (Pew Research Center) • 43% of U.S. employers say talent shortages having negative impact on ability to meet customer needs 3 City of Fort Collins – Talent Picture World Class Service for a World Class Community • People = Service • Personnel account for approx 30% of total City budget • Increasing demand for City services • Community population growth (2,900 residents / yr) • Potential Impacts • Deliver on organization priorities and achieve goals • Hire & retain qualified workers = Compete for talent • Manage business continuity and risk • Maintain talent pipeline 4 Current City Workforce Hourly vs. Classified Employee 5 HOURLY CLASSIFIED $ Budget Authorized, budgeted FTE Full or part-time Full or part-time Benefits – Medical Only if full- time Benefits – Medical, Dental, Retirement, Life, STD/LTD Personal Leave, Holiday Vacation, Sick, Holiday At-Will Due Process Rights Proposed Action Specific Workforce Challenge • Address history of adding Hourly positions to meet ongoing service needs • Support and sustain workforce needed to deliver City Priorities • More accurately account for workforce required to provide ongoing service • Align City position classifications with Healthcare reform requirements • Eliminate Full-time Hourly classification Recommended Administrative Adjustment 6 Workforce Classifications 7 1279, 54% 24, 1% 57, 2% 1007, 43% City Employee Headcount May 2016 Classified Unclassified Mgmt Contractual Hourly Full-time Hourly (30+hrs/week) 202, 8.5% of total ees Variable (<30 hrs/wk, seasonal) 845, 35% of total ees RECOMMENDATION 8 BFO Offers – Administrative Adjustment • 156 Full-time Hourly positions moved to Classified • Estimated Total Cost • $2.5 M - 1.5M Salary, $850K Benefits *** • One-time fix • Competitive process to fill positions Position Types 9 Maintenance Technician Utility Worker Line / Groundworker Customer Service Representative Laboratory Worker Equipment Operator Traffic Control Supervisor PC Support Specialist Wellness Program Specialist Crew Leader Estimated Cost by Fund 10 FUND 2017 2018 General Fund $818 $835 Keep Fort Collins Great Fund $125 $129 Natural Areas Fund $213 $219 Cutlural Services & Facilities Fund $74 $76 Recreation Fund $261 $269 Cemeteries Fund $21 $21 Museum Fund $56 $57 Transit Services Fund $19 $19 Transportation Services Fund $275 $283 Light & Power Fund $52 $54 Water Fund $184 $189 Stormwater Fund $111 $113 Equipment Fund $7 $7 Self Insurance Fund $14 $14 Data and Communications Fund $82 $84 Benefits Fund $17 $17 Utility Customer Service & Admin Fund $150 $154 TOTAL $2,480 $2,543 Alignment 11 Proposed Administrative Adjustment Mission, Vision, Values World-class Service to Meet Community Needs Strategic Priorities Improve Key HR Processes Develop Total Reward System BFO Outcomes Improve customer service Improve core HR systems Strategic Plan Attract / Retain Best and Brightest Generate Trust & Transparency Adjustment Benefits Equity • Minimize potential legal and regulatory difficulties • Healthcare reform definitions / potential for misclassification • Non-medical benefits Attraction and Retention • Better equip City for sustaining long-term talent needs Position Creep • Full-time positions planned, controlled and budgeted 12 13 COUNCIL FINANCE COMMITTEE AGENDA ITEM SUMMARY Staff: Lance Smith, Utilities Strategic Financial Director Date: June 20, 2016 SUBJECT FOR DISCUSSION Utilities 2016 Strategic Financial Plan Update EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The purpose of this agenda item is to provide the Council Finance Committee with an update on the 2016 Utilities Strategic Financial Plan as a follow up to the discussion on April 18, 2016 on each utility’s Capital Improvement Plan (CIP). As stated in that Agenda Item Summary: “Each of these plans [CIPs] is projecting substantial capital investment being needed for each utility over the next decade. Because the projected levels of investment are not achievable through current operating revenues alone it will be necessary to further analyze the best means of achieving these operational needs without negatively impacting the financial integrity of the utilities while maintaining affordable utilities to the community. This analysis and the long term Utilities Strategic Financial Plan will be the focus of the follow up discussion in a few months.” Recommendations for achieving the capital investments proposed in the CIPs while maintaining the financial health of each utility, along with the bond rating, through modest rate adjustments are discussed below and in the presentation. With the exception of the Stormwater Fund, the recommendation achieves these objectives within the next decade. The Stormwater CIP will require 15 years to complete the work targeted within the next decade in order to achieve these objectives. GENERAL DIRECTION SOUGHT AND SPECIFIC QUESTIONS TO BE ANSWERED 1. Does the Council Finance Committee support the Utilities Strategic Financial Planning recommendations? BACKGROUND/DISCUSSION At the April 18, 2016 Council Finance Committee the “Utilities Capital Improvement Plan and Strategic Financial Plan Update” outlined the full planning process for capital projects beginning with the Master Planning efforts, including the prioritized CIPs and how the process continues with the Strategic Financial Plan being developed. That discussion showed why none of the utility funds have adequate Available Reserves P0F 1 P to achieve the proposed capital projects over 1 Available Reserves are the portion of the Fund Balance that is not necessary to meet Bond covenants or the City’s Minimum Reserve Financial Policy, and is not currently appropriated for another purpose. the coming decade. Thus it will be necessary to adjust rates and consider issuing debt before considering also delaying some of the capital projects beyond 10 years. Several Next Steps were identified then which are being discussed herein. The Next Steps were to: 1. Incorporate the 10 year capital projections into the long term financial model for each utility 2. Perform scenario analyses to understand cash vs. debt funding impacts on rates, reserves, debt capacity and the financial position of each Enterprise Fund 3. Develop recommendations on rate increases and debt issuances to meet the expected needs of the Fund UIncorporate the 10 Year CIP into Financial Models Since the meeting in April, the capital investment projections for 2017-2026 have been entered into a long term financial planning model for each utility. This model considers a 21 year horizon (2006 – 2026) beginning 10 years ago and projecting forward 10 years from today. The 10 years of historical analysis provides the basis for the 10 year forward projection for each revenue and expense. UPerform Scenario Analyses There are several financial mechanisms available to cover the incremental capital investments. Any Available Reserves can be appropriated to the specific capital projects ensuring their adequate funding. Any operating income will increase the Available Reserves. Rate adjustments provide a direct way to increase operating income. Available Reserves can also be increased by issuing debt through revenue bonds. The balance between these mechanisms is the objective of the stochastic model. The financial model has several financial objectives: • Maintaining adequate Operating Income and Reserve Minimums are necessary. • It is preferred that the City maintain, if not improve, its bond rating wherever possible including the Utility Enterprise Funds. • Rate spikes are undesirable because of the impact such adjustments can have on residential and commercial customers. An order of preference is necessary when considering rates, Available Reserves and Debt in the model. Because rate adjustments provide the most direct communication with ratepayers that costs are increasing, rate adjustments were considered first by themselves. This is consistent with the assumption that rate adjustments will always be a consideration. Then because the CIP was prioritized to respect that prioritization it is necessary to also consider debt in the sources available to increase the Available Reserves. Lastly, adjustments to the capital investment over the next decade were considered if it just is not financially feasible to respect the prioritization of the CIP. 1. Scenario 1 – This scenario first considers if it is possible to complete the proposed capital projects within the next 10 years (2017 – 26) by only adjusting rates and not issuing any new debt. If this is achievable with modest rate adjustments then this is the recommended path for that specific utility. 2. Scenario 2 – This scenario acknowledges that it may not be possible to achieve the objectives through Scenario 1 and considers also issuing debt to raise of the necessary capital. If this is achievable through manageable debt service costs and modest rate adjustments then it is the recommendation. 3. Scenario 3 – This scenario is considered when there is no combination of modest rate adjustments and serviceable debt issuances to achieve the capital projects and maintain the financial health of the utility. In this scenario adjustments to the 10 year capital spend are considered – either smoothing out the capital spend evenly across those 10 years or extending the time horizon out beyond 10 years. UDevelop Recommendations Light & Power The projected 10 Year CIP includes $90M of new capital needs for the anticipated system demands over the decade. This represents a 10-15% increase over the previous decade’s capital investment. $- $2,000,000 $4,000,000 $6,000,000 $8,000,000 $10,000,000 $12,000,000 $14,000,000 $16,000,000 $18,000,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Annual Capital Investment 501 - Light & Power Fund Operational Technology & Fiber Annexations New Capacity Substation Improvements Distribution System Improvements Ave. Capital Investment 2017-26 Historical Ave Capital 2006-15 Such a change from recent history should be manageable through modest rate increases alone. The dashboard below shows how this is viable. The upper left corner is a chart showing potential annual rate increases as being less than 5%. The upper right corner is a chart showing the annual operating income for the fund. Each Enterprise is expected to have adequate operating income. The bottom right corner shows a chart of the total outstanding principal debt. In this analysis no additional debt was issued and the outstanding debt is fully retired in 2020. The bottom left corner shows the Available Reserves. Here the capital investment drops off significantly in the last few years resulting in an increased operating income which results in the Available Reserves building up quickly. This analysis will be updated every two years to monitor if any adjustments are necessary. Recommendation: Scenario 1 will allow for the additional capital needs through modest rate adjustments without the anticipated need of issuing debt over the coming decade. Water The Water Enterprise Fund has a CIP with $160M which represents twice the historical average annual spend has been. 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.0% Rate Increase ($5,000,000) ($2,500,000) $0 $2,500,000 $5,000,000 $7,500,000 $10,000,000 Operating Income $0 $10,000,000 $20,000,000 $30,000,000 $40,000,000 $50,000,000 $60,000,000 $70,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Available Reserves 0 5000000 10000000 15000000 20000000 25000000 30000000 35000000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Outstanding Debt This utility also has low Available Reserves which limits short term financial agility. The CIP also ramps up quickly which together make it infeasible to have modest rate adjustments alone (Scenario 1) and achieve the operational needs for the CIP. The dashboard below shows the negative Available Reserves and large rate increases. The build-up of Available Reserves may make it necessary to adjust rates downward as well in the last few years. Next, issuing debt along with modest rate increases was considered. This Scenario (Scenario 2) does result in a feasible path. However, as the dashboard below shows, operating income remains negative. $- $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 $25,000,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Annual Capital Investment 502 - Water Fund Environmental Services Water Resources Water Distribution Water Production Ave. Capital Investment 2017-26 Historical Ave Capital 2006-15 ($5,000,000) $0 $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 Operating Income $0 $10,000,000 $20,000,000 $30,000,000 $40,000,000 $50,000,000 $60,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Outstanding Debt ($10,000,000) $0 $10,000,000 $20,000,000 $30,000,000 $40,000,000 $50,000,000 $60,000,000 $70,000,000 $80,000,000 $90,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Available Reserves 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% Rate Increase Next it was assumed that the annual capital spend over the coming decade can be smoothed to near the average annual spend each year (Scenario 3). This change respects the prioritization in the CIP and accomplishes the same infrastructure in 2026 as the CIP. The dashboard below shows how this change reduces the amount of debt needing to be issued from $55-70M to $50- 60M and results in positive operating income. Recommendation: Scenario 3 (immediately above) which will accomplish the financial objectives while completing the CIP over the coming decade. Wastewater The slight reduction in the estimated capital investment over the coming decade compared to the previous decade is the result of the Mulberry rebuild. ($5,000,000) ($3,000,000) ($1,000,000) $1,000,000 $3,000,000 $5,000,000 $7,000,000 Operating Income $0 $10,000,000 $20,000,000 $30,000,000 $40,000,000 $50,000,000 $60,000,000 $70,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Outstanding Debt $0 $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 $25,000,000 $30,000,000 $35,000,000 $40,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Available Reserves 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% Rate Increase ($5,000,000) ($3,000,000) ($1,000,000) $1,000,000 $3,000,000 $5,000,000 $7,000,000 Operating Income $0 $10,000,000 $20,000,000 $30,000,000 $40,000,000 $50,000,000 $60,000,000 The minor change in the average annual capital investment should be manageable through rate adjustments alone. This Fund also has healthy Available Reserves allowing for more financial agility if needed in an emergency. The dashboard below shows how Scenario 1 is sufficient to meet the operational needs and maintain the current levels of service. The bottom left corner shows a sizable build-up of Available Reserves over the next decade. This is intentional to address new nutrient removal and temperature regulations driven capital projects in 2027-30 estimated to cost $60-80M in addition to ongoing system renewal. Recommendation: Modest rate adjustments should be sufficient to cover capital investment in the next decade without the need to issue additional debt for this fund. Stormwater $- $2,000,000 $4,000,000 $6,000,000 $8,000,000 $10,000,000 $12,000,000 $14,000,000 $16,000,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Annual Capital Investment 503 - Wastewater Fund Environmental Services Wastewater Collection Water Reclamation Ave. Capital Investment 2017-26 Historical Ave Capital 2006-15 $0 $1,000,000 $2,000,000 $3,000,000 $4,000,000 $5,000,000 $6,000,000 $7,000,000 $8,000,000 $9,000,000 $10,000,000 Operating Income $0 $10,000,000 $20,000,000 $30,000,000 $40,000,000 $50,000,000 $60,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Outstanding Debt $0 $20,000,000 $40,000,000 $60,000,000 $80,000,000 $100,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Available Reserves 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% The Stormwater Enterprise Fund has spent just over $5M per year on capital investments in the previous decade. The 2017-26 CIP requires just over $15M per year or 3 times the current rate of investment. This utility has low Available Reserves which limits the financial agility of the utility in the short term. The CIP is also heavily focused on the first 5 years ($71M invested in 2017-21 and $29M in 2022-26). Together these challenges make it infeasible to address the CIP goals through rates alone. The dashboard below for this Scenario (Scenario 1) shows that Available Reserves immediately turn negative and operating income jumps with the large rate adjustments. Rate adjustments are not effective in the situation this utility is in with high operating income, low Available Reserves, and annual operating revenues of just $15M, or the same amount of capital investment requested per year although it is tightly focused on 4 years in the middle. $- $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 $25,000,000 $30,000,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Annual Capital Investment 504 - Stormwater Fund Boxelder Basin Stormwater Authority Stream Rehabilitation Minor Capital Major Capital Ave. Capital Investment 2017-26 Historical Ave Capital 2006-15 $0 $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 $25,000,000 Operating Income $0 $10,000,000 $20,000,000 $30,000,000 $40,000,000 $50,000,000 $60,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Outstanding Debt ($30,000,000) ($25,000,000) ($20,000,000) ($15,000,000) ($10,000,000) ($5,000,000) $0 $5,000,000 $10,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Available Reserves 0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0% 120.0% Rate Increase Rates and debt (Scenario 2) are shown in the dashboard below. Available Reserves are not sufficient even with the very large debt issuance ($80-90M within the first 5 years) and 10% rate increases. Next it was considered how the CIP could be modified while respecting the prioritization of the investments. Because the increase in the average annual capital investment is increasing so much from $5M to $15M per year smoothing the investment evenly over the 10 years is not going to be adequate. Instead stretching the timeline from 10 years out to 15 years was considered (Scenario 3). The dashboard below shows how effective this approach is at achieving the financial objectives albeit over a longer time period. Recommendation: Scenario 3 which reduces the near term debt issuance down from $80-90M to $40-50M by extending the time horizon out 5 years to 2031. UWhere Are We In the Planning Process? As the CIPs are incorporated into developing the 2016 Utilities Strategic Financial Plan there is a need for some back and forth discussions between the Utility Executive Director, Operations $0 $1,000,000 $2,000,000 $3,000,000 $4,000,000 $5,000,000 $6,000,000 $7,000,000 $8,000,000 $9,000,000 Operating Income $0 $10,000,000 $20,000,000 $30,000,000 $40,000,000 $50,000,000 $60,000,000 $70,000,000 $80,000,000 $90,000,000 $100,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Outstanding Debt ($10,000,000) ($5,000,000) $0 $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 $25,000,000 $30,000,000 $35,000,000 $40,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Available Reserves 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% Rate Increase $0 $1,000,000 $2,000,000 Managers and Finance around what may be a manageable adjustment to the annual capital investment while maintaining the current levels of service being provided to the community. This is where we are at now in the whole planning process. The Scenario Analyses suggested the preferred financial strategy to the CIP. Now the Operations Managers need to consider what this approach would mean in terms of impacts to the current levels of service and what may be adjustable or not. Subsequent modeling efforts may be needed if the preferred financial strategy is not operationally feasible. On the version of the process map presented in April shown below the red loop represents where we are currently at in the planning process: UConclusion The 2016 CIPs included significant increases in anticipated capital investments for two of the utilities over the previous decade’s investment level. These two utilities also are the same two utilities with low Available Reserves. Managing the financial health of these two utilities, Water and Stormwater, while maintaining the current levels of service will require rate adjustments, debt issuances and some adjustments to the CIPs. The other two utilities, Light & Power and Wastewater, are expecting modest rate adjustments may be necessary over the next 10 years, but there is not expected to be a need to issue debt in these two utilities over the next decade. Utility Available Reserves (in $M) 2015 Operating Expenses (in $M) Days Cash on Hand in Available Reserves Capital Spend 2006-15 (in $M) Capital Spend 2017-26 (in $M) % Increase / (Decrease) Light & Power 16.4 38.8 154 80.5 85 5.6% Water 4.4 23.3 69 73.9 152.1 105.8% Wastewater 18.5 15.8 427 87.7 84.8 -3.3% Stormwater 4.1 9.9 151 56.3 156.5 178.0% Staff will continue to keep the Council Finance Committee and the entire City Council informed of the biannual updates and other changes to the Utilities Strategic Financial Plan. The 2016 Utilities Strategic Financial Plan will be published once the current iterative step between Finance and Operations is agreed upon within the next few months. ATTACHMENTS Attachment 1 – CFC Presentation for June 20, 2016 Attachment 2 – CFC AIS on “Utilities Capital Improvement Plans and Strategic Financial Plan Update” from April 18, 2016 1 Utilities Strategic Financial Plan & Recommendations Lance Smith, Utilities Strategic Finance Director 6-20-16 Purpose and Direction Sought Objective: • Continue the discussion from April 18th on the Strategic Financial Planning efforts for Utilities • Provide an overview of the financial model assumptions and analysis • Recommend strategic path forward to meet 10 year operational and financial objectives Direction Sought: • Does the Council Finance Committee support the Utilities Strategic Financial Planning recommendations? 2 Utilities Planning Process 3 Assess Operational Needs / Risks Determine Optimal Solutions & Mitigations Identify Anticipated Capital Projects Over Planning Horizon Establish Capital Project Prioritization Criteria Determine Relative Weighting of Criteria Prioritize Projects with Criteria Review Financial Position of Each Utility Determine Capital Investment Capacities Recommend Financial Strategy to Achieve Operational Objectives Master Planning Capital Improvement Planning (CIP) Strategic Financial Planning Next Steps As Presented at CFC April 18th • Analyzing the anticipated capital expenses into the long term financial models • Perform scenario analyses to understand cash vs. debt funding impacts on rates, reserves, debt capacity and the financial position of each Enterprise Fund • Develop recommendations on rate increases and debt issuances to meet the expected needs of the Fund 4 Model & Assumptions Utilities Strategic Financial Plan Model • Looks back 10 years and forward 10 years • Incorporates capital planning • Utilizes Available Reserves to recognize prior commitments Assumptions • O&M inflation based on historical trend • PRPA wholesale rate increases based on 5/10/16 forecast 5 Objectives Utilities Strategic Financial Plan Objectives • Maintain adequate reserve balances such that: • Meet Minimum Reserves Policy • Reserves and revenues adequate to cover near term capital requirements • Maintain current credit ratings for each Enterprise Fund and the City • Avoid rate spikes by limiting rate increases to no more than 5% annually 6 Model Scenarios Utilities Strategic Financial Plan • Scenario 1: No debt; rates adjusted as needed; capital expenses as in CIP • Scenario 2: Debt is considered; rates are modestly increased; capital expenses as in CIP • Scenario 3: Debt is considered; rates are modestly increased; capital expenses are smoothed and / or the timeframe extended to complete capital expenses. 7 8 Light & Power Enterprise Fund Light & Power Fund CIP 9 2015 Operating Revenue not used for Purchased Power expense was $27.1M $- $2,000,000 $4,000,000 $6,000,000 $8,000,000 $10,000,000 $12,000,000 $14,000,000 $16,000,000 $18,000,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Annual Capital Investment 501 - Light & Power Fund Operational Technology & Fiber Annexations New Capacity Substation Improvements Distribution System Improvements Ave. Capital Investment 2017-26 Historical Ave Capital 2006-15 Light & Power Shortfall 10 ($10,000,000) ($5,000,000) $0 $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Light & Power Available Reserves 2017 - 2026 Light & Power Scenario 1 – Rates Only 11 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.0% Rate Increase ($5,000,000) ($2,500,000) $0 $2,500,000 $5,000,000 $7,500,000 $10,000,000 Operating Income $0 $10,000,000 $20,000,000 $30,000,000 $40,000,000 $50,000,000 $60,000,000 $70,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Available Reserves 0 5000000 10000000 15000000 20000000 25000000 30000000 35000000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Outstanding Debt Light & Power Recommendation 12 Recommended Strategy: Scenario 1 • Capital needs achievable through modest rate increases • Operating Income and Available Reserves remain healthy • No debt issuance is necessary 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Rate Increase 2-5% 2-4% 2-4% 2-4% 2-4% 2-4% 2-4% 2-4% 2-4% 2-4% * Rate increases may change depending on what PRPA needs each year. Light & Power Potential Rate Drivers 13 Rate Increase 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 PRPA 3.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% L&P Operations 0-1% 0-1% 0-1% 0-1% 0-1% 0-1% 0-1% 0-1% 0-1% 0-1% L&P Capital Needs 0-1% 0-1% 0-1% 0-1% 0-1% 0-1% 0-1% 0-1% 0-1% 0-1% Income Qualified Rate 1% CAP Initiatives 0-1% 0-1% 0-1% 0-1% 0-1% 0-1% 0-1% 0-1% 0-1% 0-1% Total Not to Exceed 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 14 Water Enterprise Fund Water Fund CIP 15 2015 Operating Revenue was $27.7M $- $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 $25,000,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Annual Capital Investment 502 - Water Fund Environmental Services Water Resources Water Distribution Water Production Ave. Capital Investment 2017-26 Historical Ave Capital 2006-15 ($100,000,000) ($80,000,000) ($60,000,000) ($40,000,000) ($20,000,000) $0 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Water Available Reserves 2017 - 2026 Water Shortfall 16 ($5,000,000) $0 $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 Operating Income $0 $10,000,000 $20,000,000 $30,000,000 $40,000,000 $50,000,000 $60,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Outstanding Debt ($10,000,000) $0 $10,000,000 $20,000,000 $30,000,000 $40,000,000 $50,000,000 $60,000,000 $70,000,000 $80,000,000 $90,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Available Reserves 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% Rate Increase Water Scenario 1 – Rates Only 17 Water Scenario 1 – Rates Only 18 • CIP not achievable through modest rate increases alone • Available Reserves are too low • Uncertainty of Halligan impacts near term capital needs 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Rate Increase 0.0% 1.0% 25.0% 28.0% 6.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 1.0% *$160M of capital work is expected to be needed between 2017 and 2026 NOT including Halligan. Water Scenario 2 – Rates and Debt 19 ($5,000,000) ($3,000,000) ($1,000,000) $1,000,000 $3,000,000 $5,000,000 $7,000,000 Operating Income $0 $10,000,000 $20,000,000 $30,000,000 $40,000,000 $50,000,000 $60,000,000 $70,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Outstanding Debt $0 $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 $25,000,000 $30,000,000 $35,000,000 $40,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Available Reserves 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% Rate Increase Water Scenario 2 – Rates and Debt 20 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Rate Increase 0-3% 0-3% 0-3% 0-3% 3-5% 3-5% 3-5% 3-5% 3-5% 3-5% Debt Issuance $35-40M $20-30M $3-5M *$160M of capital work is expected to be needed between 2017 and 2026 NOT including Halligan. • Capital needs achievable through modest rate increases and debt issuance • Available Reserves are healthy • Operating Income slightly insufficient • $55-70M debt issuance is necessary in near term Water Scenario 3 – Rates, Debt and Timeline 21 ($5,000,000) ($3,000,000) ($1,000,000) $1,000,000 $3,000,000 $5,000,000 $7,000,000 Operating Income $0 $10,000,000 $20,000,000 $30,000,000 $40,000,000 $50,000,000 $60,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Outstanding Debt $0 $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 $25,000,000 $30,000,000 $35,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Available Reserves 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% Rate Increase Water Recommendation 22 Recommended Strategy: Scenario 3 • Capital needs achievable through modest rate increases, debt issuances and smoothing capital spend over 10 year horizon • Available Reserves are healthy but not excessive • Operating Income is positive • Debt issuance is less than Scenario 2 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Rate Increase 0-5% 1-5% 1-3% 1-3% 3-5% 3-5% 3-5% 3-5% 3-5% 3-5% Debt Issuance $30M $20-30M $3-5M *$160M of capital work is expected to be needed between 2017 and 2026 NOT including Halligan. Wastewater Enterprise Fund 23 Wastewater Fund CIP 24 2015 Operating Revenue was $22.1M $- $2,000,000 $4,000,000 $6,000,000 $8,000,000 $10,000,000 $12,000,000 $14,000,000 $16,000,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Annual Capital Investment 503 - Wastewater Fund Environmental Services Wastewater Collection Water Reclamation Ave. Capital Investment 2017-26 Historical Ave Capital 2006-15 ($10,000,000) ($5,000,000) $0 $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Wastewater Available Reserves 2017 - 2026 Wastewater Shortfall 25 $0 $1,000,000 $2,000,000 $3,000,000 $4,000,000 $5,000,000 $6,000,000 $7,000,000 $8,000,000 $9,000,000 $10,000,000 Operating Income $0 $10,000,000 $20,000,000 $30,000,000 $40,000,000 $50,000,000 $60,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Outstanding Debt $0 $20,000,000 $40,000,000 $60,000,000 $80,000,000 $100,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Available Reserves 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% Rate Increase Wastewater Scenario 1 – Rates Only 26 Wastewater Recommendation 27 Recommended Strategy: Scenario 1 • Capital needs in CIP are met with modest rate increases • Operating Income and Available Reserves remain healthy • No debt issuance is necessary • Regulatory driven nutrient removal estimated to require $60-80M in 2027-30 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Rate Increase 1-3% 1-3% 1-3% 1-3% 1-3% 0-3% 0-3% 0-3% 0-3% 0-3% * $80M of capital work is expected to be needed between 2017 and 2026. Stormwater Enterprise Fund 28 Stormwater Fund CIP 29 2015 Operating Revenue was $15.0M $- $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 $25,000,000 $30,000,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Annual Capital Investment 504 - Stormwater Fund Boxelder Basin Stormwater Authority Stream Rehabilitation Minor Capital Major Capital Ave. Capital Investment 2017-26 Historical Ave Capital 2006-15 ($120,000,000) ($100,000,000) ($80,000,000) ($60,000,000) ($40,000,000) ($20,000,000) $0 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Stormwater Available Reserves 2017 - 2026 Stormwater Shortfall 30 Stormwater Scenario 1 – Rates Only 31 $0 $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 $25,000,000 Operating Income $0 $10,000,000 $20,000,000 $30,000,000 $40,000,000 $50,000,000 $60,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Outstanding Debt ($30,000,000) ($25,000,000) ($20,000,000) ($15,000,000) ($10,000,000) ($5,000,000) $0 $5,000,000 $10,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Available Reserves 0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0% 120.0% Rate Increase Stormwater Scenario 2 – Rates and Debt 32 $0 $1,000,000 $2,000,000 $3,000,000 $4,000,000 $5,000,000 $6,000,000 $7,000,000 $8,000,000 $9,000,000 Operating Income $0 $10,000,000 $20,000,000 $30,000,000 $40,000,000 $50,000,000 $60,000,000 $70,000,000 $80,000,000 $90,000,000 $100,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Outstanding Debt ($10,000,000) ($5,000,000) $0 $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 $25,000,000 $30,000,000 $35,000,000 $40,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Available Reserves 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% Rate Increase Stormwater Scenario 2 – Rates and Debt 33 • CIP not achievable through modest rate increases and debt issuance • Available Reserves are still negative in some years • $80-90M debt issuance is necessary in near term 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Rate Increase 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 10.0% 10.0% 0.0% 10.0% 7.9% 0.0% 10.0% Debt Issuance $35-40M $45-50M $15-20M *$156M of capital work is expected to be needed between 2017 and 2026. Stormwater Scenario 3 – Rates, Debt and Timeline 34 $0 $1,000,000 $2,000,000 $3,000,000 $4,000,000 $5,000,000 $6,000,000 $7,000,000 $8,000,000 $9,000,000 Operating Income $0 $10,000,000 $20,000,000 $30,000,000 $40,000,000 $50,000,000 $60,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Outstanding Debt $0 $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 $25,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Available Reserves 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% Rate Increase Stormwater Recommendation 35 Recommended Strategy: Scenario 3 • CIP is achievable over 15 years rather than 10 years • Operating Income and Available Reserves remain healthy • $40-50M debt issuance is necessary in near term 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Rate Increase 0-3% 0-3% 0-3% 0-3% 0-3% 0-3% 0-3% 0-3% 0-3% 0-3% Debt Issuance $20-25M $20-25M $5-10M *$156M of capital work is expected to be needed between 2017 and 2031. Utility-wide Summary of Recommendations 36 Recommendations 37 Manage the operational and capital needs for each Enterprise Fund as follows: • Light & Power – Modest rate adjustments • Water – Rate adjustments less than 5% annually, debt issuance $50-60M and spreading the CIP more evenly over the 10 years • Wastewater – Modest rate adjustments • Stormwater – Minimal rate adjustments, debt issuances $40-50M and spreading the CIP over 15 years rather than 10 years Purpose and Direction Sought Objective: • Continue the discussion from April 18th on the Strategic Financial Planning efforts for Utilities • Provide an overview of the financial model assumptions and analysis • Recommend strategic path forward to meet 10 year operational and financial objectives Direction Sought: • Does the Council Finance Committee support the Utilities Strategic Financial Planning recommendations? 38 39 1 Utilities 2016 Capital Improvement Plans and Strategic Financial Plan Update Financial Plan Update AIS and Presentation from April 18, 2016 CFC Attachment 2 WORK SESSION AGENDA ITEM SUMMARY TEMPLATE Staff: Lance Smith, Utilities Strategic Financial Director SUBJECT FOR DISCUSSION – Utilities 2016 Capital Improvement Plans and Strategic Financial Plan Update UEXECUTIVE SUMMARY The purpose of this agenda item is to provide the Council Finance Committee with an overview of the planning processes underway within Fort Collins Utilities. The 2016 Capital Improvement Plans (CIPs) and the process behind them are outlined. The resulting investment projections set the stage for a follow up discussion in a few months on the long term Utilities Strategic Financial Plan. The 2016 CIPs have been prioritized in a consistent, quantitative process for the water, wastewater and stormwater utilities. The 2016 CIP for the electric utility is based largely on a 20 year load assessment completed earlier this year with Leidos. It is expected that the quantitative prioritization process will be utilized for the electric utility ahead of the next budget cycle. Each of these plans is projecting substantial capital investment being needed for each utility over the next decade. Because the projected levels of investment are not achievable through current operating revenues alone it will be necessary to further analyze the best means of achieving these operational needs without negatively impacting the financial integrity of the utilities while maintaining affordable utilities to the community. This analysis and the long term Utilities Strategic Financial Plan will be the focus of the follow up discussion in a few months. UGENERAL DIRECTION SOUGHT AND SPECIFIC QUESTIONS TO BE ANSWERED 1. Does the Council Finance Committee support proceeding with the analysis and publication of a long term Utilities Strategic Financial Plan for each utility within the next few months? 2. Does the Council Finance Committee support the Utilities Strategic Financial Plan assumptions? UBACKGROUND/DISCUSSION The capital investment required to operate and maintain each of the four utility services provided by the City to the community requires a long planning horizon and consistent needs assessment and prioritization in order to ensure that the levels of service established are sustained well into the future. This process begins with periodically developing and updating Operational Master Plans for each utility. These plans assess current infrastructure for needs and risks and review expected growth and regulatory requirements. The Master Plans generate a list of recommended capital projects over the planning horizon which are then included in the Capital Improvement Plans. The Utility Asset Management program has developed a rigorous process to identify and prioritize necessary capital investments. This prioritized list includes the annual capital investment which becomes an input into the long term Strategic Financial Plan. The financial position of each utility is also reviewed in this step with the output being a recommended path forward which may involve rate adjustments and future debt issuances in order to achieve the operational objectives and needs of each utility. UCapital Improvement Plans UCapital Improvement Plan Prioritization Process The list of projects identified through the Master Planning process serve as a basis for the Capital Improvement Plans (CIPs) being presented here. These projects are prioritized through the process outlined in the following flow diagram: Assess Operational Needs / Risks Determine Optimal Solutions & Mitigations Identify Anticipated Capital Projects Over Planning Horizon Establish Capital Project Prioritization Criteria Determine Relative Weighting of Criteria Prioritize Projects with Criteria Review Financial Position of Each Utility Determine Capital Investment Capacities Recommend Financial Strategy to Achieve Operational Objectives Master Planning Capital Improvement Planning Strategic Financial Planning Confirm Prioritization Criteria Prioritization Criteria Rating Confirm List of Projects Rate Projects Against Criteria First Prioritized List of Projects Review & Adjust if Necessary Final List of Prioritized Projects CPRC Review of Framework & Projects Allocate Capital Dollars to Projects Determine Schedule Based This process involves many stakeholders throughout the Utilities organization from field and facility staff to the Executive Director. Throughout the Master Planning and CIP development quantitative analysis is utilized in the assessment of all capital projects. Industry benchmarking, engineering analysis, and Asset Management Plans are incorporated wherever possible in the processes. In 2014, a Capital Project Review Committee (CPRC) was created within the Utilities Service Area to review the project prioritization prior to budget offers being submitted for the Budgeting for Outcomes process. The CPRC is composed of the following positions: • Executive Director • Utilities Strategic Finance Director • Water Resources Treatment Operations Manager • Water Engineering & Field Services Manager • Light & Power Operations Manager The CPRC is responsible for reviewing and approving the capital project prioritization for each enterprise fund prior to submitting funding requests to the City’s bi-annual Budgeting for Outcomes (BFO) process. The process outlined above was first utilized for the 10 year CIPs for the three wet utilities in 2014. This process has been utilized again for the 2016 CIPs for these utilities. While significant progress has been made in socializing asset management in the electric utility, there was first a need to complete a 20 year load and capacity study for the electric distribution system before implementing such a process in 2016. For the 2016 electric utility CIP preliminary allocations were made to asset categories for system renewal, known annexations were scheduled and the system capacity additions identified the Leidos study were included. It is fully expected that the process outlined above will be utilized for the electric utility ahead of the next budget cycle. The CPRC has reviewed and approved the initial 2016 Capital Improvement Plans for each of the four utilities. While the 10 year assessment of available capital may require a change in the timing of some capital investments over the next few months as the Strategic Financial Plans are finalized, the most immediate capital needs will be submitted through the Budgeting For Outcomes process for the 2017-18 City Budget. The prioritization criteria identified and weighted by management and a group of subject matter experts from the water, wastewater and stormwater utilities are: Relative Weights Operational Objectives 502 - Water Fund 503 - Wastewater Fund 504 - Stormwater Fund Safety 38% 36% 52% Regulatory Compliance 29% 24% Reliability 13% 24% 22% Sustainability 4% 9% 16% Customer Satisfaction 7% 7% 10% Product Quality 9% Given the City’s commitment to safety and regulatory compliance, these two criteria were weighted the most heavily in the project prioritization followed by reliability. The relatively low ranking of customer satisfaction and product quality reflect the previous efforts in both of these categories and the confidence that both will remain strong into the future mainly through operational practices rather than capital investments. U10 Year Capital Projections The 10 year CIP for the Light & Power Fund consists of projects needed to provide adequate substation and distribution capacity to developing areas of the City, anticipated annexations including the Mulberry Corridor, operational technology improvements and system renewal of existing substations and underground distribution assets. The Mulberry Annexation is expected to cost this utility $15M in asset acquisition and integration costs over several years with some of the preliminary work potentially starting as soon as 2018 ahead of the annexation itself to minimize acquisition costs. Two new substations will also be required in 2022 and 2023. The 10 year CIP for the Water Fund includes the construction of the Halligan Reservoir in 2019-20, an additional treated water storage facility in 2022 and significant renewal costs for the Poudre Pipeline in the Poudre Canyon potentially starting in 2018. It also includes significant investment in the distribution system throughout the City as the renewal rate for the distribution assets is increased. Significant investment has been made in the Water Treatment Facility since its expansion in 1999 allowing for more attention to be given to the source of supply and distribution systems over the coming decade. 501 - Light & Power Project or Program 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Substation Improvements $ 445,000 $ 590,000 $ 750,000 $ 620,000 $ 605,000 Distribution System Improvements $ 2,950,000 $ 2,536,000 $ 2,843,000 $ 3,452,000 $ 3,263,000 New Capacity $ 4,654,000 $ 3,628,000 $ 1,034,000 $ 1,770,000 $ 2,970,000 Annexations $ 140,000 $ 3,015,000 $ 3,000,000 $ 3,000,000 $ 3,000,000 Operational Technology & Fiber $ 3,150,000 $ 2,027,000 $ 159,000 $ 161,000 $ 163,000 Total $ 11,339,000 $ 11,796,000 $ 7,786,000 $ 9,003,000 $ 10,001,000 Project or Program 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Substation Improvements $ 440,000 $ 440,000 $ 440,000 $ 315,000 $ - Distribution System Improvements $ 1,785,000 $ 1,839,000 $ 1,894,000 $ 1,950,000 $ 2,008,000 New Capacity $ 7,550,000 $ 13,370,000 $ 3,304,000 $ - $ - Annexations $ 3,000,000 $ - $ - $ - $ - Operational Technology & Fiber $ 165,000 $ 167,000 $ 169,000 $ 171,000 $ 173,000 Total $ 12,940,000 $ 15,816,000 $ 5,807,000 $ 2,436,000 $ 2,181,000 The 10 year CIP for the Wastewater Fund consists of increased funding for replacement of the collection system assets over the next decade and some significant investments in asset improvements over the next few years at the Water Reclamation Facility. Not shown below are the expected costs associated with additional nutrient removal regulations that are anticipated just beyond the next decade but which are anticipated to cost between $70-90M soon thereafter. This expense will be included in the financial analysis incorporating this CIP. The 10 year CIP for the Stormwater Fund reflects several large infrastructure projects yet to be built, including over $100M in a 4 year timespan (2019-2022). It is unlikely that the financial position of this utility will accommodate such spend over 4 years so further analysis will need to be completed and the operational impacts of delaying some of this investment analyzed further. 502 - Water Division 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Water Production $ 4,046,000 $ 12,821,000 $ 3,174,000 $ 2,535,000 $ 1,000,000 Water Distribution $ 6,957,000 $ 4,610,000 $ 4,537,000 $ 6,483,000 $ 6,757,000 Water Resources $ 553,000 $ 555,000 $ 13,135,000 $ 14,417,000 $ 2,680,000 Environmental Services $ 1,455,000 $ 1,350,000 $ 50,000 $ 50,000 $ 50,000 Total $ 13,011,000 $ 19,336,000 $ 20,896,000 $ 23,485,000 $ 10,487,000 Division 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Water Production $ 16,771,000 $ 3,395,000 $ 14,031,000 $ 1,000,000 $ 1,000,000 Water Distribution $ 6,315,000 $ 7,311,000 $ 7,251,000 $ 7,251,000 $ 7,251,000 Water Resources $ 216,000 $ 222,000 $ 228,000 $ 237,000 $ 183,000 Environmental Services $ 50,000 $ 50,000 $ 50,000 $ 50,000 $ 50,000 Total $ 23,352,000 $ 10,978,000 $ 21,560,000 $ 8,538,000 $ 8,484,000 503 - Wastewater Division 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Water Reclamation $ 7,810,000 $ 10,880,000 $ 5,733,000 $ 3,540,000 $ 3,050,000 Wastewater Collection $ 2,050,000 $ 2,570,000 $ 3,202,000 $ 3,048,000 $ 2,907,000 Environmental Services $ 355,000 $ 30,000 $ 50,000 $ 50,000 $ 50,000 Total $ 10,215,000 $ 13,480,000 $ 8,985,000 $ 6,638,000 $ 6,007,000 Division 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Water Reclamation $ 3,050,000 $ 2,050,000 $ 2,050,000 $ 2,259,500 $ 5,362,000 Wastewater Collection $ 3,383,000 $ 3,276,000 $ 3,889,000 $ 4,123,000 $ 3,980,000 Environmental Services $ 50,000 $ 50,000 $ 50,000 $ 50,000 $ 50,000 Total $ 6,483,000 $ 5,376,000 $ 5,989,000 $ 6,432,500 $ 9,392,000 UOperating Revenues Available for Capital Investment Each utility collects operating revenues through monthly charges to its ratepayers. These revenues are used to operate and maintain each utility including making capital investments in system renewal and improvements. The chart below looks at the 2015 realized operating revenues for each of the four utilities and highlights the amount of operating revenue that was available for such capital investments. The asterisk denotes that for the electric utility the portion of the operating revenue that is necessary to pay for the purchased power expenses from Platte River and the portion of the Payments In-Lieu of Taxes (PILOTs) associated with this expense have been removed to show how the remaining portion of the operating revenues available to Utilities was allocated. This represents 77% of the total operating revenues collected from electric customers, or $90.4M of the $117.5M total operating revenue. Platte River allocates those revenues across many of the same categories separately. Category 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Major Capital $ 5,750,000 $ 6,510,000 $ 25,500,000 $ 22,750,000 $ 24,050,000 Minor Capital $ 1,400,000 $ 1,500,000 $ 1,600,000 $ 1,700,000 $ 1,800,000 Boxelder Basin Stormwater Authority $ 350,000 $ 350,000 $ 350,000 $ 350,000 $ 350,000 Stream Rehabilitation $ 350,000 $ 1,400,000 $ 800,000 $ 850,000 $ 900,000 Total $ 7,850,000 $ 9,760,000 $ 28,250,000 $ 25,650,000 $ 27,100,000 Category 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Major Capital $ 17,950,000 $ 6,250,000 $ 5,750,000 $ 3,750,000 $ 4,280,000 Minor Capital $ 1,900,000 $ 2,000,000 $ 2,100,000 $ 2,200,000 $ 2,300,000 Boxelder Basin Stormwater Authority $ 350,000 $ 350,000 $ 350,000 $ 350,000 $ 350,000 Stream Rehabilitation $ 950,000 $ 1,000,000 $ 1,050,000 $ 1,100,000 $ 1,150,000 Total $ 21,150,000 $ 9,600,000 $ 9,250,000 $ 7,400,000 $ 8,080,000 33% 46% 35% 19% 19% 11% 10% 15% 9% 11% 7% 5% 7% 12% 13% 27% 6% 5% 6% 16% 10% 15% 30% 34% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Light & Power * Water Wastewater Stormwater 2015 Expenses as % of Operating Revenues Operating Revenues Available for Capital Energy Services PILOTs Debt Service Other Transfers CS&A UShortfall of Forecasted Operational Revenues and Development Fees As the chart above shows, within each Enterprise Fund’s operating revenues there is some capacity to make capital investment in infrastructure. This is appropriate and necessary to ensure that infrastructure that has aged beyond its useful life can be renewed. Development fees, or Plant Investment Fees (PIFs), are also collected as new development occurs within the utility service area. PIFs cover both the additional cost of connecting the new customers to the existing infrastructure and the portion of existing or new capacity that will be utilized by the new customers. As the tables above from the CIPs show, capital investments can vary significantly more than operating revenues from one year to the next. PIFs also fluctuate significantly from one year to the next. Debt service varies over time as debt is incurred or retired. Operational expenses also vary year over year depending on the amount of proactive replacement versus reactive replacement being done. For these reasons a ten year average is considered when estimating future availability of operating revenues and PIFs for capital investment. The tables below show how on a year by year basis the portion of operating revenues available for capital investments and the average annual PIFs are not sufficient to meet the projected capital investments needed for the utilities even when the current cash reserves are fully utilized above the minimum required reserves per City Financial Policies. A modest growth in operating expenses of 1.5% is assumed year over year which is why the amount available through operating revenues decreases over the 10 years. The first two tables show the electric utility has sufficient capacity within its existing rates and cash reserve to support the capital investment needed for the first 6 years assuming no other appropriations are made for use of the reserves. 10 Year Average Operating Revenues Available for Capital $5,000,000 $3,600,000 $3,000,000 $4,600,000 10 Year Average PIF Revenues Available for Capital $3,400,000 $4,000,000 $2,900,000 $700,000 10 Year Average Total Revenues Available for Capital $8,400,000 $7,600,000 $5,900,000 $5,300,000 501 - L&P Fund 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Capital Investment from CIP $ 11,340,000 $11,800,000 $7,790,000 $9,000,000 $10,000,000 Available through Operating Revenues & PIFs $8,400,000 $8,270,000 $8,150,000 $8,030,000 $7,910,000 Annual Excess / (Shortfall) ($2,940,000) ($3,530,000) $360,000 ($970,000) ($2,090,000) Available Working Capital $15,000,000 $12,060,000 $8,530,000 $8,890,000 $7,920,000 Running Shortfall $12,060,000 $8,530,000 $8,890,000 $7,920,000 $5,830,000 501 - L&P Fund 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Capital Investment from CIP $12,940,000 $15,820,000 $5,810,000 $2,440,000 $2,180,000 Available through Operating Revenues & PIFs $7,790,000 $7,670,000 $7,560,000 $7,440,000 $7,330,000 Annual Excess / (Shortfall) ($5,150,000) ($8,150,000) $1,750,000 $5,000,000 $5,150,000 Available Working Capital $5,830,000 $680,000 ($7,470,000) ($5,720,000) ($720,000) Running Shortfall $680,000 ($7,470,000) ($5,720,000) ($720,000) $4,430,000 The next two tables look at the water utility. Because there is little unappropriated reserves currently available in this utility, the current rates are not sufficient to meet the anticipated capital needs in 2017. Over the next decade the shortfall is estimated to be $86M. The wastewater utility has a significant unappropriated reserve which will allow it to support the capital investments needed though the first 5 years without a need for a rate adjustment. However, anticipated new regulatory requirements for nutrient removal and temperature thresholds are expected to require an additional $60-70M just beyond the ten year planning horizon. This represents an anticipated capital investment equivalent to 3 years of operating revenue. 502 - Water Fund 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Capital Investment from CIP $ 13,010,000 $19,340,000 $20,900,000 $23,490,000 $10,490,000 Available through Operating Revenues & PIFs $ 7,600,000 $7,490,000 $7,370,000 $7,260,000 $7,150,000 Annual Excess / (Shortfall) ($5,410,000) ($11,850,000) ($13,530,000) ($16,230,000) ($3,340,000) Available Working Capital $3,000,000 ($2,410,000) ($14,260,000) ($27,790,000) ($44,020,000) Running Shortfall ($2,410,000) ($14,260,000) ($27,790,000) ($44,020,000) ($47,360,000) 502 - Water Fund 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Capital Investment from CIP $23,350,000 $10,980,000 $21,560,000 $8,540,000 $8,480,000 Available through Operating Revenues & PIFs $7,050,000 $6,940,000 $6,840,000 $6,730,000 $6,630,000 Annual Excess / (Shortfall) ($16,300,000) ($4,040,000) ($14,720,000) ($1,810,000) ($1,850,000) Available Working Capital ($47,360,000) ($63,660,000) ($67,700,000) ($82,420,000) ($84,230,000) Running Shortfall ($63,660,000) ($67,700,000) ($82,420,000) ($84,230,000) ($86,080,000) 503 - Wastewater Fund 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Capital Investment from CIP $ 10,220,000 $13,480,000 $8,990,000 $6,640,000 $6,010,000 Available through Operating Revenues & PIFs $ 5,900,000 $5,810,000 $5,720,000 $5,640,000 $5,550,000 Annual Excess / (Shortfall) ($4,320,000) ($7,670,000) ($3,270,000) ($1,000,000) ($460,000) Available Working Capital $17,000,000 $12,680,000 $5,010,000 $1,740,000 $740,000 Running Shortfall $12,680,000 $5,010,000 $1,740,000 $740,000 $280,000 503 - Wastewater Fund 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Capital Investment from CIP $6,480,000 $5,380,000 $5,990,000 $6,430,000 $9,390,000 Available through Operating Revenues & PIFs $5,470,000 $5,390,000 $5,310,000 $5,230,000 $5,150,000 Annual Excess / (Shortfall) ($1,010,000) $10,000 ($680,000) ($1,200,000) ($4,240,000) Available Working Capital $280,000 ($730,000) ($720,000) ($1,400,000) ($2,600,000) Running Shortfall ($730,000) ($720,000) ($1,400,000) ($2,600,000) ($6,840,000) The stormwater utility has such a modest unappropriated reserve balance that the capital investment needed in 2017 immediately produces a funding shortfall. UIs Growth Paying Its Own Way? Given the forecasted shortfall for capital investment it is reasonable to ask if growth is paying for itself. Each Enterprise Fund assesses PIFs based on the actual cost of connecting new customers including the amount of system capacity being allocated to those customers. The determination of what is included in and how the PIFs are calculated is through a cost of service model similar to the cost of service models that are updated every two years for existing ratepayers. The PIF model utilized by the three wet utilities was last reviewed by an outside entity in 2009 and is based on industry best principles. In 2016 a consultant is being contracted to review and modify as necessary the existing Light & Power PIF model. The intention of all of the utilities’ PIF models is that growth is paying its own way. It is important, however, to recognize that capacity is normally built ahead of the new development requiring such capacity. This is done to both ensure that adequate capacity exists so as to not be a barrier to economic growth and because capacity is usually added in larger amounts than a single new customer may need so as to realize the economies of scale for such large capital investments. For example, the Water Treatment Facility was last expanded in 1999 to its present treatment capacity. This capacity is expected to be sufficient to serve all customers even through buildout of the water utility’s service territory. That expansion was paid for through existing cash reserves, the portion of operating revenues available for capital investment and revenue bonds. As new customers are connected to the water system the PIFs assessed to those customers will recover the amounts paid by existing customers for the portion of that capital investment now being allocated to the new customers. 504 - Stormwater Fund 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Capital Investment from CIP $ 7,850,000 $9,760,000 $28,250,000 $25,650,000 $27,100,000 Available through Operating Revenues & PIFs $ 5,300,000 $5,220,000 $5,140,000 $5,070,000 $4,990,000 Annual Excess / (Shortfall) ($2,550,000) ($4,540,000) ($23,110,000) ($20,580,000) ($22,110,000) Available Working Capital $2,000,000 ($550,000) ($5,090,000) ($28,200,000) ($48,780,000) Running Shortfall ($550,000) ($5,090,000) ($28,200,000) ($48,780,000) ($70,890,000) 504 - Stormwater Fund 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Capital Investment from CIP $21,150,000 $9,600,000 $9,250,000 $7,400,000 $8,080,000 Available through Operating Revenues & PIFs $4,910,000 $4,840,000 $4,770,000 $4,700,000 $4,630,000 Annual Excess / (Shortfall) ($16,240,000) ($4,760,000) ($4,480,000) ($2,700,000) ($3,450,000) Available Working Capital ($70,890,000) ($87,130,000) ($91,890,000) ($96,370,000) ($99,070,000) Running Shortfall ($87,130,000) ($91,890,000) ($96,370,000) ($99,070,000) ($102,520,000) UNext Step: Strategic Financial Planning UEstimated Rate Increases Required to Avoid Issuing Debt Each of the four utilities show a shortfall in available funding for the needed capital investment at some point over the next decade with the water and stormwater utilities each showing a shortfall in every year. This is only the initial step in developing the Strategic Financial Plan. While it does show that there will need to be rate increases and debt issuances over the coming decade in order to achieve the capital investment necessary, a reasonable path forward will be developed for each utility and presented to the City Council for further consideration. The next table shows the amount of annual rate increase that would be necessary to meet these shortfalls year by year for each utility. This assumes there is no debt issuance for any utility and operational expenses increases with inflation at 1.5% annually. Because capital investments fluctuate from one year to the next, rate decreases are also necessary from year to year to avoid building up excessive reserves. While the average annual rate change only exceeds 6% for the wastewater utility and the net 10 year rate increases are relatively small, the year over year volatility would not be acceptable to our community. URelative Rate Increases Fort Collins citizens and businesses benefit from the low cost of utility services along with many neighboring communities. Through long term planning and prudent operations, the City has maintained these competitive rates through a rate philosophy of gradual, modest rate adjustments. Below is a table comparing the recent rate increases of several neighboring communities to those of Fort Collins Utilities. Utility 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 10 Yr Ave Annual Rate Change Light & Power -38% 81% -11% 4% 3% 9% 8% -25% -11% -1% 2% Water 8% 29% 4% 6% -28% 39% -27% 32% -29% 0% 4% Wastewater -53% 179% -14% -8% -2% 2% -4% 3% 2% 12% 12% Stormwater 4% 26% 97% -7% 4% -16% -37% -2% -9% 4% 6% 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 Ft Collins 2.0% 1.9% 3.2% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% Loveland 8.4% 0.9% 5.5% 19.0% 13.1% 9.0% Longmont 8.2% 4.9% 0.0% 4.5% 0.0% 7.0% Greeley 5.8% 6.6% -4.4% 7.9% 3.7% 0.7% Boulder 5.8% 6.6% -4.4% 3.0% 3.9% 4.7% Colorado Springs 0.0% 3.7% 5.7% 11.2% 11.7% 0.0% Electric Water Relative rate increases can be misleading if not put into context of actual charges. The table below shows the actual charges for a typical residential customer. 2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016 Ft Collins 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Loveland 3.9% 11.1% 21.7% 0.0% 9.6% 9.6% Longmont 16.7% 16.4% 15.1% 0.0% 68.0% 0.0% Greeley -2.1% -0.7% 3.4% 0.0% 14.6% 0.0% Boulder 5.0% 1.2% 27.5% 3.0% 2.9% 75.0% Colorado Springs 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% N/A N/A N/A Wastewater Stormwater 2016 2016 2016 2016 2016 Ft Collins $ 68.21 $ 43.57 $ 35.07 $ 14.26 $ 161.11 Loveland $ 67.01 $ 34.00 $ 25.43 $ 12.48 $ 138.92 Longmont $ 63.25 $ 31.47 $ 33.63 $ 13.05 $ 141.40 Greeley $ 79.67 $ 51.35 $ 20.62 $ 6.45 $ 158.09 Boulder $ 79.67 $ 35.84 $ 29.08 $ 13.46 $ 158.05 Colorado Springs $ 85.46 $ 77.82 $ 31.27 N/A $ 194.55 Electric Water Wastewater Stormwater Total UDebt Schedules Given the anticipated funding shortfall to meet the expected capital investments required in the Enterprise Funds over the next decade and the variable nature of such capital investments, it will be necessary from time to time to issue revenue bonds in a prudent manner to minimize rate adjustments and still ensure that adequate capacity exists for new development and existing assets are renewed as needed to maintain the level of service and reliability expected by our community. Below are the annual debt service costs for all current debt by Enterprise Fund. The annual debt service costs depend on both the term of the debt issuance (typically 10 or 20 years) and the interest rate which in turn depends on the bond rating at issuance. Just for some context, a $10M debt issuance may cost $700-900K annually for a 20 year term or $1.1-1.3M for a 10 year term. The Light & Power Fund issued its first debt in many years in 2010 to pay for the portion of the Advanced Meter Fort Collins project not covered through the matching federal grants. This debt has a current bond rating of AA- and will be retired in 2020. The Water Fund has a longer history of issuing debt for capital investment. In part because the size of some of the capital projects can exceed several years of operating revenue, making it difficult to have sufficient cash reserves for such large investments. The Water Enterprise Fund debt has a current bond rating of AAA. As the chart shows this Fund has carried significant debt service costs in the recent past and most of this debt will be retired over the next few years. $0 $500,000 $1,000,000 $1,500,000 $2,000,000 $2,500,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Annual Debt Service 501 - Light & Power Fund The Wastewater Enterprise Fund has issued several 20 year bonds. The bond rating for the Wastewater utility is currently AA+. The Stormwater Fund has issued debt to support the initial build-out of the stormwater infrastructure. The bond rating for the Stormwater Fund is AA+, as well. The debt service costs for this Fund will be reduced over the next few years as existing debt is retired. This will modestly increase the amount of operating revenue available for either new debt service or directly for capital investments. $0 $1,000,000 $2,000,000 $3,000,000 $4,000,000 $5,000,000 $6,000,000 $7,000,000 $8,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Annual Debt Service 502 - Water Fund 2002 GO WATER 2009 WATER 2008 WATER 1998 WATER 2003 WATER SUBORD 1997 WATER 1999 WATER $0 $1,000,000 $2,000,000 $3,000,000 $4,000,000 $5,000,000 $6,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Annual Debt Service 503 - Wastewater Fund 2010 SEWER 2009 SEWER 2005 SEWER 1992 SEWER UConclusion As shown there will be a need for considerable capital investment in each of the utility services in the coming decade. This is not unexpected given the growth of our community and the high levels of service required to support its economic development and sustainability. The low utility rates and high level of customer satisfaction are the results of City Leadership, both past and present, showing tremendous foresight and commitment to these municipal services and to the planning, operational and customer focused efforts of City staff. This update to the Council Finance Committee is intended to maintain this tradition through a long term Utilities Strategic Financial Plan. Staff will continue the analysis from inputting the capital needs into the long term financial models for each utility. These capital investment needs along with the projected trends in operational costs and uncertainties in revenue and expense projections will be modeled to understand the rate implications and need for debt issuances over the next decade. The model inputs, methodology and outputs will then be presented to the Council Finance Committee within a few months including a recommended path for each utility for the 2017-18 City Budget being considered by the City Manager and the Mayor and City Council. UAttachments Light & Power Enterprise Fund Capital Improvement Plan Water Enterprise Fund Capital Improvement Plan Wastewater Enterprise Fund Capital Improvement Plan Stormwater Enterprise Fund Capital Improvement Plan $0 $500,000 $1,000,000 $1,500,000 $2,000,000 $2,500,000 $3,000,000 $3,500,000 $4,000,000 $4,500,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Annual Debt Service 504 - Stormwater Fund 2011 STORMWATER 2007B STORMWATER 2007A STORMWATER 2002 STORMWATER REFUND Council Finance Committee – Utilities 2016 Capital Improvement Plans and Strategic Financial Plan Lance Smith, Utilities Financial Planning Director 04/18/16 Purpose and Direction Sought Objective: • Review CIP process and prioritization criteria • Review the 2016 Ten Year Capital Improvement Plans • Review future funding requirements & considerations • Outline next steps Direction Sought: • Does the Council Finance Committee support proceeding with analysis of a long term Utilities Strategic Financial Plan? • Does the Council Finance Committee support the Utilities Strategic Financial Planning assumptions? 2 How do the Capital Improvement Plans (CIPs) and Strategic Financial Plan (SFP) fit into the Utilities planning process? 3 Utilities Planning Process 4 Assess Operational Needs / Risks Determine Optimal Solutions & Mitigations Identify Anticipated Capital Projects Over Planning Horizon Establish Capital Project Prioritization Criteria Determine Relative Weighting of Criteria Prioritize Projects with Criteria Review Financial Position of Each Utility Determine Capital Investment Capacities Recommend Financial Strategy to Achieve Operational Objectives Master Planning Capital Improvement Planning Strategic Financial Planning We are here now CIP Team Members Senior Operations Managers Strategic Finance Director Division Managers Engineers Asset Manager Field & Facility Staff 5 Capital Improvement Planning Process Inputs Used Master Plans Asset Management Plans System Operations Knowledge Metrics from Industry Engineering Analyses Regulatory Requirements • Objectives chosen based on Effective Utility Management • Those objectives are represented in the Utility Scorecard 6 Capital Improvement Planning Process 7 Capital Improvement Planning Process 8 Relative Weights Operational Objectives 502 - Water Fund 503 - Wastewater Fund 504 - Stormwater Fund Safety 38% 36% 52% Reliability 13% 24% 22% Regulatory Compliance 29% 24% Sustainability 4% 9% 16% Customer Satisfaction 7% 7% 10% Product Quality 9% Total: 100% 100% 100% Capital Improvement Planning Process What are the capital needs for the next 10 years as identified in the Capital Improvement Plans? 9 Light & Power Fund CIP Major Projects 10 New Capacity Projects Annexations Replacement Projects Operational Technology New circuits Mulberry Corridor (anticipate some asset replacement ahead of actual asset acquisition) Distribution System Mapping system conversion New duct banks Leistikow Substations Automated Distribution Management System New substations in 2022 & 2023 Arapahoe Bend Fiber Optics Fiber Optic Management Software Riverwalk CMMS Implementation Light & Power Fund CIP 11 $- $2,000,000 $4,000,000 $6,000,000 $8,000,000 $10,000,000 $12,000,000 $14,000,000 $16,000,000 $18,000,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Annual Capital Investment 501 - Light & Power Fund Operational Technology & Fiber Annexations New Capacity Substation Improvements Distribution System Improvements 2015 Operating Revenue not used for Purchased Power expense was $27.1M Water Fund CIP Major Projects 12 Water Distribution Water Production Water Resources Increase in renewal rate for a sustainable system Safety Projects Halligan Reservoir 2019-2020 Focus in downtown area Poudre Canyon Pipeline Evaluation & Rehabilitation Additional Treated Water Storage Removal of chlorine gas for disinfection Water Fund CIP 13 $- $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 $25,000,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Annual Capital Investment 502 - Water Fund Environmental Services Water Resources Water Distribution Water Production 2015 Operating Revenue was $27.7M Wastewater Fund CIP Major Projects 14 Wastewater Collection Water Reclamation Increase in renewal rate for sustainable system Replacement of aging equipment and infrastructure Focus in downtown area Preparation for regulatory requirements for nutrient removal Study to determine source of excess flow in the collection system Nutrient projects are currently scheduled for 2027. Wastewater Fund CIP 15 $- $2,000,000 $4,000,000 $6,000,000 $8,000,000 $10,000,000 $12,000,000 $14,000,000 $16,000,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Annual Capital Investment 503 - Wastewater Fund Environmental Services Wastewater Collection Water Reclamation 2015 Operating Revenue was $22.1M Stormwater Fund CIP Major Projects 16 Stormwater Capital Projects Replacement of existing infrastructure Rehabilitation of streams in Fort Collins Buildout of major flood conveyance infrastructure 1. Magnolia Street Outfall – 2 phases 2. Oak Street Outfall 3. Myrtle Street Stormwater Fund CIP 17 $- $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 $25,000,000 $30,000,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Annual Capital Investment 504 - Stormwater Fund Boxelder Basin Stormwater Authority Stream Rehabilitation Minor Capital Major Capital 2015 Operating Revenue was $15.0M Funding requirements and considerations 18 Capital Investment from Operating Revenues 19 33% 46% 35% 19% 19% 11% 10% 15% 9% 11% 7% 5% 7% 12% 13% 27% 6% 5% 6% 16% 10% 15% 30% 34% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Light & Power * Water Wastewater Stormwater 2015 Expenses as % of Operating Revenues Operating Revenues Available for Capital Energy Services PILOTs Debt Service Other Transfers CS&A Operations * Purchased Power expenses, PILOTs associated with it and the necessary operating revenue for this expense have been removed for this table. Capital Investment from Operating Revenues 20 10% 15% 30% 34% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Light & Power * Water Wastewater Stormwater 2015 Expenses as % of Operating Revenues Operating Revenues Available for Capital $5,000,000 $3,600,000 $3,000,000 $4,600,000 10 Yr Ave Operating Revenues Available for Capital $3,400,000 $4,000,000 $2,900,000 $700,000 10 Yr Ave PIF Revenues Available for Capital $8,400,000 $7,600,000 $5,900,000 $5,300,000 10 Yr Ave Total Revenues Available for Capital Variability of PIFs 21 $0 $1,000,000 $2,000,000 $3,000,000 $4,000,000 $5,000,000 $6,000,000 $7,000,000 $8,000,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Plant Investment Fees Collected 2006-2015 L&P Water Wastewater Stormwater If we maintain the existing utility rates and allow operating expenses to increase with inflation (1.5% annually), how would funding all projects as outlined impact fund balances? 22 Light & Power Shortfall 23 ($10,000,000) ($5,000,000) $0 $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Light & Power Available Reserves 2017 - 2026 ($100,000,000) ($80,000,000) ($60,000,000) ($40,000,000) ($20,000,000) $0 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Water Available Reserves 2017 - 2026 Water Shortfall 24 ($10,000,000) ($5,000,000) $0 $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Wastewater Available Reserves 2017 - 2026 Wastewater Shortfall 25 ($120,000,000) ($100,000,000) ($80,000,000) ($60,000,000) ($40,000,000) ($20,000,000) $0 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Stormwater Available Reserves 2017 - 2026 Stormwater Shortfall 26 Rate increases will be necessary to fully implement the CIPs. How do recent rate adjustments compare to other communities? 27 8.4% 8.2% 6.6% 6.6% -4.4% -4.4% -6.0% -4.0% -2.0% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% Ft Collins Loveland Longmont Greeley Boulder Colorado Springs Annual Electric Rate Adjustments 2014 2015 2016 Residential Electric Increases 28 Xcel Energy serves Greeley and Boulder and has a Power Cost Adjustment factor which was reduced in 2016 due to low natural gas prices 19.0% 11.2% 13.1% 11.7% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% Ft Collins Loveland Longmont Greeley Boulder Colorado Springs Annual Water Rate Adjustments 2014 2015 2016 Residential Water Increases 29 Residential Wastewater Increases 30 21.7% 27.5% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% Ft Collins Loveland Longmont Greeley Boulder Colorado Springs Annual Wastewater Rate Adjustments 2014 2015 2016 Residential Stormwater Increases 31 68.0% 75.0% 0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% Ft Collins Loveland Longmont Greeley Boulder Annual Stormwater Rate Adjustments 2014 2015 2016 Residential Utility Rate Comparison 32 2016 2016 2016 2016 2016 Ft Collins $ 68.21 $ 43.57 $ 35.07 $ 14.26 $ 161.11 Loveland $ 67.01 $ 34.00 $ 25.43 $ 12.48 $ 138.92 Longmont $ 63.25 $ 31.47 $ 33.63 $ 13.05 $ 141.40 Greeley $ 79.67 $ 51.35 $ 20.62 $ 6.45 $ 158.09 Boulder $ 79.67 $ 35.84 $ 29.08 $ 13.46 $ 158.05 Colorado Springs $ 85.46 $ 77.82 $ 31.27 N/A $ 194.55 Electric Water Wastewater Stormwater Total Given the rate philosophy of modest and gradual adjustments, what are the next steps in addressing the anticipated shortfalls that would result from implementing the CIPs? 33 Next Steps Utilities Strategic Financial Plan • Analyzing the anticipated capital expenses into the long term financial models • Perform scenario analyses to understand cash vs. debt funding impacts on rates, reserves, debt capacity and the financial position of each Enterprise Fund • Develop recommendations on rate increases and debt issuances to meet the expected needs of the Fund 34 Assumptions Utilities Strategic Financial Plan • Maintain adequate reserve balances • Maintain current credit ratings for each Enterprise Fund and the City • Avoid rate spikes by limiting rate increases to no more than 5% annually • Adjust rates if: • Previous 3 years have negative operating income • Debt coverage ratio is less than 2.0 • Working Capital is forecasted to be below minimum required reserve within 5 years • Issue debt if: • Capital expenses are forecasted to exceed available reserves over the next 5 years 35 Purpose and Direction Sought Objective: • Review CIP process and prioritization criteria • Review the 2016 Ten Year Capital Improvement Plans • Review future funding requirements & considerations • Outline next steps Direction Sought: • Does the Council Finance Committee support proceeding with analysis of a long term Utilities Strategic Financial Plan? • Does the Council Finance Committee support the Utilities Strategic Financial Planning assumptions? 36 37 Back-Up 38 When will existing debt be retired? 39 Light & Power Debt Schedule 40 $0 $500,000 $1,000,000 $1,500,000 $2,000,000 $2,500,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Annual Debt Service 501 - Light & Power Fund $0 $1,000,000 $2,000,000 $3,000,000 $4,000,000 $5,000,000 $6,000,000 $7,000,000 $8,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Annual Debt Service 502 - Water Fund 2002 GO WATER 2009 WATER 2008 WATER 1998 WATER 2003 WATER SUBORD 1997 WATER 1999 WATER Water Debt Schedule 41 $0 $1,000,000 $2,000,000 $3,000,000 $4,000,000 $5,000,000 $6,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Annual Debt Service 503 - Wastewater Fund 2010 SEWER 2009 SEWER 2005 SEWER 1992 SEWER Wastewater Debt Schedule 42 $0 $500,000 $1,000,000 $1,500,000 $2,000,000 $2,500,000 $3,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Annual Debt Service 504 - Stormwater Fund 2011 STORMWATER 2007B STORMWATER 2002 STORMWATER REFUND 2002 STORMWATER 2001 STORMWATER Stormwater Debt Schedule 43 How do the expected levels of capital investment compare to historical investment levels? 44 Light & Power Historical Capital Investment 45 $0 $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 $25,000,000 $30,000,000 $35,000,000 $40,000,000 $45,000,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 10 Yr Ave 501 - Light & Power Capital Investments New Appropriations Capital Spent 10 Yr CIP Ave (2017-2026) Water Historical Capital Investment 46 $0 $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 10 Yr Ave 502 - Water Capital Investments New Appropriations Capital Spent 10 Yr CIP Ave (2017-2026) Wastewater Historical Capital Investment 47 $0 $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 $25,000,000 $30,000,000 $35,000,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 10 Yr Ave 503 - Wastewater Capital Investments New Appropriations Capital Spent 10 Yr CIP Ave (2017-2026) Stormwater Historical Capital Investment 48 $0 $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 10 Yr Ave 504 - Stormwater Capital Investments New Appropriations Capital Spent 10 Yr CIP Ave (2017-2026) COUNCIL FINANCE COMMITTEE AGENDA ITEM SUMMARY Staff: Jason Licon, Airport Director Date: 6-20-16 SUBJECT FOR DISCUSSION Airport Supplementary Appropriation Request EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The City Council approved Northern Colorado Regional Airport’s Strategic Plan is a guiding document that prioritizes goals and tactics for Northern Colorado Regional Airport Commission and Staff. Included in the plan are five goals including: 1) protecting the Airport from non- compatible land use within the airport influence area, 2) creation of a more sustainable business model, 3) encouragement of private investment, 4) revising the Airport’s governance structure, and 5) rebranding the Airport and enhancing communications and public engagement. Strategic goals that have been achieved include the revision of the Airport’s governance structure, and the investigation and reporting of land use adjacent to the Airport including the protections that exist from residential encroachment. The strategic goals that remain focus on the financial and social sustainability aspects of the Airport and require additional refinement and resources. The Airport’s current resources are used to maintain federal regulatory standards and general operations and maintenance. The additional funding being requested will be used to assist with the achievement of remaining strategic objectives including the addition of a staff position tasked with business development and marketing, and creating a communications and marketing plan. Additional work includes the clarification of the Airport’s market potential, updating the Airport’s business plan, and creation of systems that will enhance productivity, streamline decision making, and enhance financial leveraging opportunities from Federal and State resources for future Airport capital and operational needs. GENERAL DIRECTION SOUGHT AND SPECIFIC QUESTIONS TO BE ANSWERED Provide direction on the proposed appropriation of Airport reserve funds in order to achieve remaining strategic plan objectives. BACKGROUND/DISCUSSION (details of item – History, current policy, previous Council actions, alternatives or options, costs or benefits, considerations leading to staff conclusions, data and statistics, next steps, etc.) The Northern Colorado Regional Airport Commission has approved a staff recommended work plan designed to help achieve strategic goals within the Council approved Airport Strategic Plan. These goals are: • Create a sustainable business model • Encourage private investment • Rebrand the Airport and more productively engage the public In order achieve these goals and to continue providing the operational support for basic airport functions, additional resources are required. The estimated costs to achieve said goals is $165,000 for 2016 from airport funding reserves. The Airport’s reserve fund is used for capital projects including providing grant matching funding and general maintenance and repair of infrastructure ineligible for Federal or State funding. The unassigned balance of the Airport’s reserve fund is $1.7 million, and the appropriation that will be requested from City Council will be $82,500 from each City owner. The Airport’s budget is approved and appropriated by both City Councils and requires a supplemental appropriation to utilize. ATTACHMENT Fort Collins Finance Committee Presentation 6-20-16 Airport Supplementary Funding Appropriation Request Airport Strategic Plan • The Strategic Plan was approved and adopted by both City Councils in 2015. • The plan has five primary components, two that have been accomplished: 1. Protect against encroachment from non-compatible land uses 2. Create a sustainable business model with potential revenue streams and financing 3. Encourage immediate private investment 4. Revise the Airport governance structure and authority for the governing board 5. Rebrand the Airport and more productively engage the public Request & Desired Outcome • A work plan was created and approved by the Airport Commission to accomplish the remaining strategic plan goals • Request is to appropriate $165,000 from the Airport reserve fund • Existing budget will not include resources to achieve goals and in order to do so requires additional funding support • Additional cost will require additional funding requests of the Cities to cover estimated expenses • 2017 - $82,500 from each • 2018 - $65,000 from each • Supplemental funding will be reduced over time as a result of goal accomplishment according to financial forecasting Estimated Cost Detail 2016 2017 2018 Business development and marketing FTE $ 40,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000 Clarify market & potential $ 20,000 Triad TTF agreement resolution $ 20,000 Business plan update $ 15,000 Create communications & PR plan $ 35,000 Create marketing displays $ 10,000 Rebranding including airport signage $ 40,000 Advertising & event marketing $ 20,000 $ 30,000 $ 30,000 Total Ongoing Costs $ 60,000 $ 130,000 $ 130,000 Total One-Time Costs $ 105,000 $ 35,000 $ - Total $ 165,000 $ 165,000 $ 130,000 Goals to be Accomplished • Add an additional staff member that will be tasked specifically on Airport development and marketing • Clarify the Airport’s market potential for aviation and non-aviation use • Rebrand the Airport and create a communications and public relations plan to be used for marketing & public engagement • Create resolution to the existing through the fence agreement • Update the 2009 Airport business plan COUNCIL FINANCE COMMITTEE AGENDA ITEM SUMMARY Staff: Rick Richter, Director of Infrastructure Services Dean Klingner, Capital Projects Manager Matt Baker, Street Oversizing Program Manager Date: June 20, 2016 SUBJECT FOR DISCUSSION Transportation Capital Expansion Fee (Street Oversizing) Assessment EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This is the second Council Finance Committee meeting for this item. The City of Fort Collins has retained TischlerBise, Inc. as a consultant to assist the City with the assessment of its existing Transportation Capital Expansion Fee Program (Street Oversizing Capital Expansion Fee Program). At the November 18P th P 2015 Finance Committee Meeting, staff highlighted the process of updating the base assumptions and data used to calculate impact transportation impact fees. The proposed changes to the program presented: • Changing the name from “Street Oversizing” to “Transportation Capital Expansion Fee” • Using Vehicle Miles Travelled (VMT) as the basis for determining impact, instead of trips generated. • Transportation impact fees to be assessed by dwelling size instead of unit type, similar to how all other Capital Expansion fees are assessed. Capital Expansion Fees in general are perceived to affect the affordability of homes, and staff recognizes the sensitivity of fee increases. • Simplify the transportation impact fee schedule from 43 categories of use to only a handful; Residential (by size of unit) and two broad categories for commercial and industrial. Staff has now developed proposed fee rates based on the new methodology for consideration. GENERAL DIRECTION SOUGHT AND SPECIFIC QUESTIONS TO BE ANSWERED • Are there any questions or concerns about the adjustments being considered to the Transportation Capital Expansion fees?  Are there any comments regarding the idea of further increasing the fee to capture development impacts on capacity improvements, such as intersections, roundabouts, and traffic signal improvements? The methodology of the existing Street Oversizing Program uses trips to determine impact. Since individual trips from commercial and industrial uses are about 3 times the trips from residential, they pay a proportionally higher amount in fees. The new methodology of the Transportation Capital Expansion Fee adds length of trip as a variable into the calculation. Vehicle Miles Travelled (VMT) is a more accurate measure of impacts to capacity of the street network. Under the new methodology, residential trips are longer, so residential uses would pay proportionally higher amount in fees. The total amount of fees collected would remain the same for the base calculation under either methodology. A primary difference in the new methodology is that it is based on the capacity of the street network, not just street improvements adjacent to new development. This would allow some capacity improvements related to development, such as intersection improvements, to be included in the fee. This would expand the capture of development related impacts. Adding these additional improvements would increase the fees and the amount of the fee collection by 4% to 20%. This additional fee increase would provide a partial funding source for intersection improvements which would help congestion at critical intersections impacted by development. The current Street Oversizing model (based on specific improvements) required an annual contribution from the City’s General Fund to for regional growth trips complete the funding for developer constructed roadways. With the new capacity based model, development capacity is not tied to specific roadway improvements, so the City’s General Fund contribution would no longer be needed to augment the construction. Instead, the regional and background capacity funding would need to be appropriated on a project by project basis. Implementation would significantly lower the commercial fees, while significantly raising the residential fees. Staff suggests phasing in the new fees over a three year period to help mitigate any adverse effects to home builders and affordability. BACKGROUND The City of Fort Collins charges new developments Capital Expansion Fees for their proportionate share of the cost of new capital facilities required to serve them. The Street Oversizing Capital Expansion Fee is a one-time impact fee on development, and is used to mitigate the impacts of new development on the transportation network. The Street Oversizing Capital Expansion Fee Program has been a stable long term funding source for the construction of capital transportation infrastructure in newly-developing areas. The Street Oversizing impact fee program was originally adopted in 1979, with revisions in 1986, 1993, 1997, 2000, 2003, and 2006. Periodic recalculations and inflation adjustments of the Street Oversizing fee schedule ensure that fee revenues will be sufficient to pay for the cost of eligible improvements. However, as the City of Fort Collins begins to approach build out if its Growth Management Area, it is prudent to assess and update the program to continue the long term success of the program to fund development impacts to the City’s transportation network. City Council has directed staff to review the Street Oversizing Capital Expansion Fee Program as the appropriate basis for assessing the cost of transportation improvements to developments based on their proportional impacts. In 1997, the City adopted Section 3.7.3 of the Land Use Code - Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance (APF) in order to establish an ongoing mechanism that ensured that public facilities and services needed to support development are available concurrently with the impacts of such development. The Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance is supported, in part, by the Street Oversizing Program. However, the Street Oversizing Program cannot fund improvements that are not directly related to mitigating development impacts such as existing deficiencies, regional growth need, etc. Solutions to transportation APF problems often require funding from multiple sources including the General Fund and Street Oversizing. ATTACHMENTS Transportation Capital Expansion Fee Assessment City of Fort Collins Engineering Roadway CIP Plan Transportation Capital Improvements Plan Unfunded Capital Street Oversizing Fees GF Contribution 2 November 18, 2015 Council Finance Committee • Changing the name from “Street Oversizing” to “Transportation Capital Expansion Fee” • Using Vehicle Miles Travelled (VMT) as the basis for determining impact, instead of trips generated. • Simplify the transportation impact fee schedule from 43 categories of use to only a handful; Residential (by size of unit) and two broad categories for commercial and industrial. 3 • Are there any questions or concerns about the adjustments being considered to the Transportation Capital Expansion fees?  Any comments regarding the idea of further increasing the fee to capture development impacts on capacity improvements, such as intersections , roundabouts, and traffic signal improvements? 4 General Direction Sought: Fee Calculation Formula 5 Total cost of improvements necessary to serve new development Total Trip increase from new development = Cost to Add One Trip to Transportation Network Trip Generation of Building or Project (from TIS or ITE Manual) Cost to Add One Trip to Transportation Network Trip Adjustment Factor to Account for Pass-by and Diverted Link Trips X X = Street Oversizing Fee Unit Cost 6 Vehicle Miles of Travel (VMT) per Development Unit Average Weekday Vehicle Trip Ends per Development Unit multiplied by Trip Rate Adjustment multiplied by Average Miles per Trip multiplied by Trip Length Adjustment Growth Cost per VMT Ten-Year Growth Cost of Transportation Improvements divided by Ten-Year VMT Increase 7 8 1997-2015 2016 Cost per Trip Cost per Vehicle Miles of Travel National Average Trip Rates per Household Custom Average Trip Rates per Housing Unit by Dwelling Size Plan-Based Method for Lane Miles, RR Grade Separations and Multimodal Improvements Incremental Expansion Method for Lane Miles; Plan- Based for Multimodal and Intersection Improvements 9 High Range TCEF 10 Low Range TCEF 11 Operations on Available Capital Review & Approval of Prioritization Budget Offers $3,000,000 $4,000,000 $5,000,000 $6,000,000 $7,000,000 $8,000,000 $9,000,000 Operating Income $0 $10,000,000 $20,000,000 $30,000,000 $40,000,000 $50,000,000 $60,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Outstanding Debt $0 $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 $25,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Available Reserves 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% Rate Increase 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% Rate Increase 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Outstanding Debt $0 $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 $25,000,000 $30,000,000 $35,000,000 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Available Reserves 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% Rate Increase