HomeMy WebLinkAboutMemo - Mail Packet - 3/15/2016 - Memorandum From Lindsay Ex Re: March 10 Agenda Item #1 - Climate Action Plan - Updated Presentation1
Climate Action Plan
Jeff Mihelich, Jackie Kozak Thiel, Mike Beckstead, Lucinda Smith, Lindsay Ex
March 10, 2016
Good News!
• Significant resources with positive results
• In-house model to quantify results
• Potential path to 2020 goals
• Significant public engagement
• Initiatives you can invest in immediately
2
Questions for City Council
1. Does Council have feedback on the
proposed initiatives outlined in the draft
roadmap to the 2020 goals?
2. Are there any initiatives that Council
would like to consider investing in
immediately?
3. Is Council interested in requesting Platte
River to explore (via a study) a separate
electricity rate structure for Fort Collins
(and more diversified resource mix) to
achieve the City’s goals?
3
CAP Journey
4
CAP Goals &
Framework
September
Work Session
Open House
Assemble
Teams & CAP Exec
Modeling
CAC
Open House
& Business
Workshop
March
Work Session
2017-2018 BFO
2020 CAP
Strategic Plan
(status update)
Implement,
Innovate, Evaluate
2015 2016 2017+
Mid-Cycle
Offers Funded
CAP Journey
5
CAP Journey
6
-20.0%
-15.0%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
% Change from 2005
Change in Community
Emissions Since 2005
Population
% Change in GDP
* Does not include the Keep Fort Collins Great tax collections
CAP Strategic Initiatives
7
PROJECT TEAMS
• Energy Efficiency
• Clean Energy
• Multi-Modal Planning & Development
• Road to Zero Waste
• Water and Land Use
• Preparation, Adaptation, and Resilience*
SUPPORT TEAMS
• Measuring CAP Performance
• Financing Mechanisms
• Messaging & Engagement
• Pilot Projects & District Scale Initiatives
• Climate Economy & Partnerships
*Team currently on hold
Feedback: Open House and
Additional Events
8
• Open House - 170 attendees
• Additional feedback:
How to engage the
community’s world-class
experts to help us reach our
goals?
Which of these initiatives can
the private sector lead on?
Feedback:
Community Advisory Committee
9
• Represent the Triple Bottom Line
• Provided feedback on all initiatives
• Key Feedback:
• How to move goals from
aspirational to operational?
• Ensure actions can be replicated
• More information about investments
and business assumptions needed
CAP Journey
10
Draft Roadmap to 2020
*Reductions are estimates and rounded to the nearest thousand 11
Draft Roadmap to 2020
12
PATHWAYS TO
ACHIEVING THE
2020 GOALS
(20% below 2005 levels)
ACCELERATED
PATHWAY
(initiatives with
highest impact)
~$219M
($52M City)
COST EFFECTIVE 2020
(cost/GHG ton reduced,
2016-2020)
~$181M
($62M City)
COST EFFECTIVE 2050
(cost/GHG ton reduced,
2016-2050)
~$248M
($145M City)
Note: Costs are estimates and rounded to the nearest thousand; Total costs, including city and community costs, to get to 2020
A
B
C
Long-Term Funding Strategies
13
Funding Options:
• City Debt/Cash
• Utility Rates/Debt
• Public Private Partnerships
• Private Debt & Grants
City Bonds
City Green Bonds
Establish Green Bank
Considerations:
• Funding follows the Project
• Projects need positive cash
flow to support investment
• Project Maturity & Vetting
• City Debt & Rate Capacity
• Examples:
• On-Bill Financing
Roadmap to 2020
High Impact Initiatives
14
Rank Initiative 2020 Impact
(CO2
e Tons)
% of 2020
Roadmap
Total Costs
(2016-2020)
Cost
Effectiveness
(2016-2050,
$/GHG)
1
Business Efficiency
Portfolio – Base
153,000 30.8% $39,246,000 $25
2
Community Recycling
Ordinance
Implementation
106,000 21.3% $21,437,000 $23
3
Platte River Renewables
Purchase (Tariff 7)
42,000 8.4% $6,176,000 $22
4
Expand Congestion
Management System
36,000 7.2% $7,802,000 $35
5
Business Efficiency
Portfolio – Expanded
30,000 6.0% $22,213,000 $30
*All reductions and costs are estimates and rounded to the nearest thousand, Total costs to City and Community
Roadmap to 2020
High Impact Initiatives
15
Rank Initiative 2020 Impact
(CO2
e Tons)
% of 2020
Roadmap
Total
Costs
(2016-
2020)
Cost
Effectiveness
(2016-2050,
$/GHG)
6
Home Efficiency Portfolio –
Base 26,000 5.2% $7,809,000
$23
7
Power Purchase Agreement for
Combined Heat Power
21,000 4.2% $4,605,000 $94
8
Home Efficiency Portfolio –
Expanded
21,000 4.2% $13,181,000 $27
9
Change Land Use Patterns
(City Plan & Transportation
Master Plan Update)
18,000 3.6% $1,143,000 $3
10
Solar Power Purchase
Program
15,000 3.0% $33,892,000 $180
*All reductions and costs are estimates and rounded to the nearest thousand, Total costs to City and Community
Roadmap to 2020
Additional Initiatives
16
Rank Initiative 2020
Impact
(CO2
e Tons)
% of 2020
Roadmap
Total Costs
(2016-
2020)
Cost
Effectiveness
(2016-2050,
$/GHG)
13
Utilities Rooftop Solar
Incentives 9,000 1.8% $22,225,000
$148
16 Trip Reduction Programs 4,000 0.8% $886,000 $7
21 Municipal Biomass Burner 2,000 0.4% $5,168,000 $111
23
Building Energy
Disclosure & Scoring
2,000 0.4% $3,247,000 $101
*All reductions and costs are estimates and rounded to the nearest thousand, Total costs to City and Community
Implementation Investment Opportunities
17
Initiative 2020 Impact
(CO2e Tons)
Cost to the City
(2016* Capital &
O&M)
Costs to the City
(Annual Ongoing
Capital and O&M)
Human
Resources
1. Building Energy Disclosure/Scoring 2,000 $39,000 $85,000 1 FTE
2. Home & Business Efficiency Portfolio 230,000 $931,000 $1,025,000 1.5 FTE
3. Solar Incentives & Rebates 9,000 $335,000 $377,000 0.5 FTE
4. Municipal Green Waste Sites 100 $186,000 $20,000 0.3 FTEs
5. CAP Program Support** Enabler $148,000 $321,000 3 FTEs
6. CAP Pilot Projects/Innovation Fund Enabler $190,000 $190,000 -
7. Biomass Feasibility Study
(Note: one time funding)
Enabler
(1900)
$75,000 $0 -
Total Costs in 2016 $1,904,000 $2,018,000 6.3 FTEs
• Note: Highlighted initiatives ready for immediate appropriation; all estimates rounded to the nearest thousand
• *2016 Cost - (Assumes FTE start date in July)
• **1 FTE for CAP Program Support requires further vetting
Platte River Renewable Rate Study
18
• Fort Collins could request Platte River to explore diversified
energy mix (more renewables) options specifically for Fort Collins
• Implications:
Separate rate structure
Significant reductions in 2020 and long-term
• Approximately $50,000 to conduct a study
LESS COAL MORE SOLAR AND WIND (RENEWABLES)
CAP Journey – Next Steps
19
CAP Goals &
Framework
September
Work Session
Open House
Assemble
Teams & CAP Exec
Modeling
CAC
Open House
& Business
Workshop
March
Work Session
2017-2018 BFO
2020 CAP
Strategic Plan
(status update)
Implement,
Innovate, Evaluate
2015 2016 2017+
Mid-Cycle
Offers Funded
Questions for City Council
1. Does Council have feedback on the
proposed initiatives outlined in the draft
roadmap to the 2020 goals?
2. Are there any initiatives that Council
would like to consider investing in
immediately?
3. Is Council interested in requesting Platte
River to explore (via a study) a separate
electricity rate structure for Fort Collins
(and more diversified resource mix) to
achieve the City’s goals?
20
Implementation Investment Opportunities
21
Initiative 2020 Impact
(CO2e Tons)
Cost to the City
(2016* Capital &
O&M)
Costs to the City
(Annual Ongoing
Capital and O&M)
Human
Resources
1. Building Energy Disclosure/Scoring 2,000 $39,000 $85,000 1 FTE
2. Home & Business Efficiency Portfolio 230,000 $931,000 $1,025,000 1.5 FTE
3. Solar Incentives & Rebates 9,000 $335,000 $377,000 0.5 FTE
4. Municipal Green Waste Sites 100 $186,000 $20,000 0.3 FTEs
5. CAP Program Support** Enabler $148,000 $321,000 3 FTEs
6. CAP Pilot Projects/Innovation Fund Enabler $190,000 $190,000 -
7. Biomass Feasibility Study
(Note: one time funding)
Enabler
(1900)
$75,000 $0 -
Total Costs in 2016 $1,904,000 $2,018,000 6.3 FTEs
• Note: Highlighted initiatives ready for immediate appropriation; all estimates rounded to the nearest thousand
• *2016 Cost - (Assumes FTE start date in July)
• **1 FTE for CAP Program Support requires further vetting
22
Climate Action Plan
Jeff Mihelich, Jackie Kozak Thiel, Mike Beckstead, Lucinda Smith, Lindsay Ex
March 10, 2016
23
IMMEDIATE (next two weeks)
• Building Energy/Disclosure
• CAP Program Manager
• SSA Financial Analyst
• Biomass Feasibility
• CAP Pilot Projects/Innovation Fund
NEAR TERM (adt’l vetting, ~60 days)
• Energy Efficiency Programs
• Solar Rebates and Incentives
• Smart Grid and Systems Operation
Manager
• Municipal Green Waste Site
Implementation Investments Timeline
Implementation Investments
Additional Info
24
Timing
Initiative
($ 000’s)
2016
Capital
& O&M
Ongoing
Annual
Capital
and O&M
Light and Power General Fund
HR
Ongoing (FTE)
One-
Time Ongoing
One-
Time
Immediate
Building Energy Disclosure/Scoring $ 39 $ 85 85 1
CAP PM and Financial Analyst 87 188 94 94 2
CAP Pilot Projects/Innovation Fund 190 190 65 125 -
Biomass Feasibility Study 75 75 75 -
Near-term
Energy Efficiency Portfolio 931 1,025 175 850 1.5
Municipal Green Waste Sites 186 199 20 179 0.3
Smart Grid and Systems Operations
Manager
61 133 133 1
Solar Incentives & Rebates 335 377 77 300 0.5
Totals $ 1,904 $ 2,272 $ 564 $1,215 $114 $379 6.3
The Model
25
Core
Variables
• Population growth
• Number of buildings
in Fort Collins
• Vehicle miles
traveled
Initiative-
specific
Variables
• Estimated
program uptake
• Resource
savings
• Installation cost
Quantified
initiatives
Consistent
data input
Transparency Documented
assumptions
Customized
Reports
Backup slide
- How does the model work?
- Where did the estimates come from?
- State how it was developed in house?
26
Building Energy Disclosure & Scoring
27
Lead: John Phelan, Utilities; Tony Raeker, Sustainability Services
Funding Request: Total Cost – $39,000 (O&M); Ongoing Cost – $85,000
Potential Funding Source: Light & Power Enterprise
Key Points:
• What is it?
• Provides transparency for building energy performance
• Can serve as a price signal for the value of high performance buildings
• Impact: 0.4% of 2020 Goal; Long-term impacts – HIGH
• Eventually impacts most of the existing and future building stock due to
turnover in ownership, rental and leasing
Energy Efficiency Programs
Lead: John Phelan, Utilities
Funding Request: Total Cost – $931,000; Ongoing Cost – $1,025,000
Potential Funding Sources: Light & Power Enterprise
Key Points:
• What is it?
• Home and business efficiency incentives
• Technical assistance for all customer segments and most technology end uses
• Impact: 46% of 2020 Goal; Long-term impacts – HIGH
• Supports additional customer participation in business and home retrofit projects
• Approximately 3400 additional megawatt-hours of savings
28
Solar Programs
Lead: John Phelan, Utilities
Funding Request: Total Cost – $335,000; Ongoing Cost – $377,000
Potential Funding Sources: Light & Power Enterprise
Key Points:
What is it?
• Provides incentives, power purchase agreements or community solar options
for most customer segments.
Impact: 1.8% of 2020 Goal
• Will enable ongoing customer participation in both business and home
solar projects throughout 2016.
29
Municipal Department Green Waste Site
Lead: Susie Gordon, Sustainability Services; Mike Knox, Streets
Funding Request: Total Cost – $186,000, Capital & O&M; Ongoing Cost – $20,000
Potential Funding Sources: Waste Innovation Program
Key Points:
What is it?
• A municipal composting site at the Hoffman Mill Crushing Facility to compost
green waste generated by municipal activities.
Impact: 0.01% of 2020 Goal
• Will provide compost for municipal use, lower the City’s landfill fees, reduce
costs of buying commercially produced compost, and avoid costs of using
fertilizers, pesticides, and herbicides.
30
CAP Program Support
Lead: Various
Funding Request: Total Cost – $148,000 (O&M); Ongoing Costs – $321,000 (O&M)
Potential Funding Sources: Light & Power Enterprise; General Fund
Key Points:
What is it?
• A CAP Program Manager, a Financial Analyst for Sustainability Services, a
Smart Grid and System Operations Manager
Impact: Enabling Initiative
• Provides resources necessary for successful implementation of climate action
planning
31
CAP Pilot Program & Innovation Fund
Lead: Pilot Projects and District Scale Strategic Initiative Team
Funding Request: Total Cost – $190,000 (Capital); Ongoing Costs – $190,000 (Capital)
Potential Funding Sources: Light and Power Enterprise; General Fund
Key Points:
What is it?
• Lower barriers to funding projects not accounted for in a department’s budget
• Test focused concepts that can be replicated throughout the city
Impact: Enabling Initiative
• Would allow the City to act nimbly when presented with CAP-related
opportunities
32
Municipal Biomass Burner Feasibility Study
Lead: Delbert Bernhardt, Forestry; Honore Depew, Sustainability Services
Funding Request: Total Cost (one-time) – $75,000 (Capital)
Potential Funding Sources: U.S. Forest Service
Key Points:
What is it?
• Feasibility study to evaluate location and facilities suited for a biomass burner
• Potential for waste-to-energy source of heating and hot water from woody
debris, including Emerald Ash Borer-killed trees.
Impact: Enabling Initiative (2000 MTCO2e)
• Would lay the groundwork for a municipal biomass burner
33