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MEMORANDUM
DATE:
February 11, 2013
TO: Mayor and City Councilmembers
THRU: Darin Atteberry, City Manager_
Brian Janonis, P.E., Utilities Executive Director
FROM: Kevin Gertig, Water Resources and Treatment Ooerations Manager
Adam Jokerst, P.E., Water Resources Engineer/v
RE: February 5, 2013 City Council Meeting — Agenda Item #28 — 2013 Water Supply
Management Action Plan
During discussion of water restrictions at the February 5, 2013 City Council meeting, a
Councilmember asked: What impact would a water storage project like Halligan Reservoir have
on water restrictions both in light of the High Park Fire and without the fire given the current
drought situation? Below is a short response to this question, followed by more a detailed
explanation.
In short, Halligan Reservoir will reduce the frequency and severity of water restrictions during
droughts. Even with the impacts of the High Park Fire, having operational storage capacity such
as Halligan Reservoir this year would have reduced the level of or eliminated the need for
currently planned restrictions.
Current Scenario with Fire Impacts
The Hewlett and High Park Fires burned roughly 10% of the Poudre River watershed. Although
this is a relatively small portion, the fires have led to a large amount of ash, sediment and debris
depositing in the Poudre River. During periods of rain or fluctuating water levels, this sediment
becomes suspended resulting in water quality degradations that may preclude diversions for
treated water supplies. Because the City typically diverts approximately 50% of its annual
treated water demands from the Poudre River, the fires have the potential to impact a significant
portion of the City's water supply. Coupled with the ongoing drought conditions and current low
snowpack, there is a large degree of uncertainty in planning this year's water supply.
Halligan Reservoir is located on the North Fork of the Poudre River, and its watershed was not
significantly impacted by fires. However, the City's diversion points off the Poudre River are
Fort Collins
upstream of the North Fork on the mainstem, which was affected by the fires. Given this
situation, it has been questioned whether or not Halligan Reservoir could have benefitted the
City this year given the present fire situation. To answer this question, Utilities staff considered
two operations that would have allowed the City to make use of water stored in Halligan
Reservoir, were it available, in the coming year.
First, releases from Halligan Reservoir could be used to augment diversions of Poudre River
flows during periods of sufficient water quality. The City is currently diverting Poudre River
water during winter months when stable and low -Flow conditions yield sufficient water quality.
Releases from Halligan Reservoir could supplement river diversions when such diversions are
allowed. Second, through cooperative agreements with irrigation companies in the Poudre basin
or through arrangements with other entities (for example, a temporary carriage contract through
the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation), it is expected that the City would be able to exchange a large
amount of water stored in Halligan Reservoir for Colorado -Big Thompson (CBT) water stored in
Horsetooth Reservoir. CBT supplies in Horsetooth Reservoir were not impacted by fires to the
same degree as Poudre River supplies, and thus are readily available for treatment. Through
these potential exchanges, Halligan Reservoir would provide an effective means to obtain
additional CBT water during periods when Poudre River supplies are unavailable.
The above Halligan Reservoir operations would yield additional firm water supplies to the City,
which would reduce the projected deficit between supplies and demands in the coming year (and
subsequent years), and would reduce or eliminate the need for planned water restrictions.
Utilities staff estimates these Halligan Reservoir operations could yield up to 6,000 acre-feet or
more of additional firm supplies, an increase in supply of 30% to 40% in the coming year.
However, without knowing exactly how the fire will impact Poudre River supplies or what CBT
quota will be allotted to the City, it is impossible to state with certainty the level of water
restrictions that would be recommended this year were Halligan Reservoir constructed. The
figure on the following page illustrates the benefits of having Halligan Reservoir on the City's
water supplies and restriction levels.
Future Drought Scenarios
As with the current drought situation, Halligan Reservoir will provide the City operational
storage to meet treated water demands during future drought periods. It is sized to meet to City's
water demands during a 1-in-50 year drought scenario while providing a storage reserve factor as
directed in the City's Water Supply and Demand Management Policy approved by City Council
in November 2012 (Resolution 2012-099). When constructed, Halligan Reservoir will allow the
City to meet demands without implementing water restrictions during future droughts up to the
1-in-50 year design. Without the reservoir, restrictions would be required for the City to meet
anticipated future demands during droughts less severe than the I-in-50 year drought. Water
restrictions will still be required in the future for droughts more severe than the I-in-50 year
criterion and may be needed during water supply disruptions such as fires and system outages;
however, Halligan Reservoir will likely reduce the severity of restrictions during such periods.
The following figure shows water restrictions required with and without Halligan Reservoir both
in the current fire -impacted situation and in the future during a 1-in-50 year design drought.
Values provided in the figure are preliminary approximations for illustrative purposes only.
2
F, itty of
Figure 1: Supplies, demands, and restrictions with and without Halligan Reservoir.
y 50 000
d. Current Conditions, Future 1-in-50 Year
With Fire Drought, No Fire
a
O
C
nl
y Fmn Supply ■
O
Guncertain Supply �01y ev �r
n 25 000
Increased supply
hom Rallipn
C
Unrestricted
ZDemand
Restrictions rarawceda'r iy
ry
0
Supply Demand Supply Demand Supply Demand Supply Demand
Without Halligan With Halligan Without Halligan With Halligan
In the current fire -impacted condition, two types of water supplies are shown: firm supplies and uncertain supplies. Firm
supplies are water sources that are reasonably sure to be available for treatment. Uncertain supplies are water sources
whose availability this coming year is presently unknown. Such supplies remain uncertain because the final COT quota has
not yet been set and it is yet unknown how the fires will impact the Poudre River this summer. The amount of uncertain
supply is identical for conditions with and without Halligan Reservoir. Fires are not considered in the future 1-in-50 drought
condition; therefore, only firm supplies are shown.
Whenever demands are greater than available supplies, restrictions are required to reduce demands. Hence, restrictions
are shown anytime demands exceed the firm supplies. Given that a large segment of supplies In the coming year is
uncertain (i.e. not firm), so too are the level of restrictions shown. If additional supplies become available, the severity of
restrictions would decrease.
Storage capacity such as Halligan Reservoir increases firm supply, which reduces the range of potential restrictions.
Halligan Reservoir may not completely eliminate the supply and demand deficit, but were the City to have such storage
capacity in the coming year, it would rely less on uncertain supplies. Halligan Reservoir is sized to meet all demands in
future 1-in-SO droughts; consequently, higher levels of restrictions are certain without Halligan Reservoir (or additional firm
supplies), but are not required with Halligan.