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HomeMy WebLinkAboutMemo - Read Before Packet - 09/10/2024 - Memorandum from Jacob Castillo re: 2025-2026 City Manager’s Recommended Budget – Our Climate FutureEnvironmental Sustainability 222 Laporte Ave PO Box 580, Fort Collins, CO 80522 970-221-6600 recycling@fcgov.com CC: Amy King, Manager, Environmental Sustainability MEMORANDUM Date: September 10, 2024 To: Mayor and City Councilmembers Through: Kelly DiMartino, City Manager Tyler Marr, Deputy City Manager From: Jacob Castillo, Chief Sustainability Officer Subject: 2025-2026 City Manager’s Recommended Budget – Our Climate Future BOTTOM LINE The purpose of this memo is to summarize potential impacts from the City Manager’s 2025-26 Recommended Budget on Council-adopted climate goals. While the impacts highlighted below do not represent the totality of work the City is undertaking to address the climate crisis, it does look at potential new investments and their associated impacts on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction. Additionally, as the City strives to maximize its ability to achieve its 2050 goal of carbon neutrality, staff acknowledge that addressing the root causes of climate change requires transformational shifts by the organization and community, in conjunction with regional and global changes. Key Takeaways • The 2022 Community GHG Inventory confirmed a 23% reduction from the 2005 baseline, and staff forecast a 46% reduction by 2026 and a 70% reduction by 2030, a trajectory that would bring the City close to hitting its goals. • Staff estimate a reduction of 125,530 metric tons of CO2 equivalent (MTCO2e) over the lifetime of the enhancements funded by the 2050 Tax (“lifetime” varies from 2-25 years, depending on the project). For reference, 100 MTCO2e is approximately equivalent to the emissions from 13 single family homes’ energy usage in one year (source: EPA Equivalencies Calculator). Docusign Envelope ID: 6CEE5487-AF2C-41CA-AD66-5E761CEE8229 • The investment in these 11 projects total $7,229,560 over the two-year period: $4,581,707 and $2,647,853, in 2025 and 2026, respectively. • Included in this budget are three FTE to advance Our Climate Future (OCF). • These 2050 Tax enhancement offers primarily support the Building and Transportation Pathways identified in Our Climate Future’s Greenhouse Gas Pathways (Figure 1 below). • Staff recommend reserving a portion of the climate portion of the 2050 Tax so that it can be strategically allocated in the 2026 budget revision process. 2025-26 City Manager’s Recommended Budget The 11 offers included in the City Managers’ Recommended Budget for use of the 2050 Tax will have GHG, climate resilience, and equity impacts. The attached table includes these anticipated impacts by offer, with quantified GHG reductions where possible, and classifications of high, medium, low, or none for equity and resilience benefits. Together, these 11 enhancement offers; the 2050 Tax investments in our local and regional public transit system; ongoing energy, transportation, and environmental services offers; and five additional enhancement offers funded by other sources (noted in OCF Impacts Attachment) contribute to fulfilling OCF’s GHG Pathways to the 2030 interim goal and maximizing the community’s ability to reach the 2050 goal. The 2025-26 investments fund many initiatives that keep the Pathways on track, but are not necessarily funding additional initiatives to accelerate toward interim goals at this time. However, additional investments and opportunities for leveraging funds for maximum impact are being explored and will be presented in the strategic funding plan in early 2025. The 2050 Tax investments in the City Manager’s Recommended Budget would primarily contribute to the Buildings and Transportation Pathways. The Pathways include actions that do not already have funding secured, and therefore the 2050 Tax is providing a portion of funding that will be necessary to achieve all the outlined actions. For example, Offer 19.7, the Shift Your Ride Docusign Envelope ID: 6CEE5487-AF2C-41CA-AD66-5E761CEE8229 Program, funds the already-identified Next Move of implementation of a Transportation Demand Management program. The Pathways are not guaranteed, rather they represent reductions that are possible based on the Next Moves in Our Climate Future with significant resources, collaboration, and capacity put towards them. The 2050 Tax will be one tool to achieve them, and provides more confidence that they will be possible. Docusign Envelope ID: 6CEE5487-AF2C-41CA-AD66-5E761CEE8229 Figure 1. Our Climate Future GHG Pathways to the 2030 interim goal. Docusign Envelope ID: 6CEE5487-AF2C-41CA-AD66-5E761CEE8229 9/8/2024 Please note - Offers in bold text are those recommended to be funded by the 2050 Tax - OCF Funding; those in gray have been recommended to be funded by other sources. In these calculations, "lifetime" varies from 2-25 years , depending on the project. OCF staff define "foundational" as a necessary next step for future GHG reduction. 100 MTCO2e is approx. equivalent to the emissions generated from 13 single-family homes' energy use in one year (EPA Equivalencies Calculator)Key high confidence Total - 2025-26 2050 Tax Investments 4,581,707$ 2,647,853$ 125,530 Lifetime MTCO2e medium confidence Total - 2025-26 Enhancement Offers 13,095,078$ 4,087,853$ 163,395 Lifetime MTCO2e low confidence Offer # Offer Name 2025 Funding 2026 Funding Lifetime GHG Impacts (MTCO2e) Description of Impact Overall Equity Overall Resilience Waste Impacts Notes 7.24 Utilities Light & Power: Strategic Electrification Design Assistance Programs to support affordable housing 350,000$ 400,000$ 51,870 Provides stock plans for energy efficient, affordable housing developments Medium Low None 7.25 Utilities Light & Power: Epic Loan Program Funding 550,000$ 500,000$ 850 Foundational / needed next step for increasing efficiency of buildings (reducing electricity and natural gas use) Medium Medium None 18.13 Mini-Grant Expansion to Address the Climate/Housing Nexus in Affordable Housing Units 200,000$ 200,000$ 2,450 Supports residents in increasing energy efficiency in their homes (reducing electricity and/or natural gas use) High High None 19.1 Active Modes Plan Infrastructure Implementation 1,680,000$ -$ 24,800 Provides infrastructure for safe and accessible active mode travel, resulting in VMT and fuel use reductions Low Low None Offer is supportive of this GHG reduction; though will only be achieved with full implementation Our Climate Future Review: 2050 Tax - OCF Funding Docusign Envelope ID: 6CEE5487-AF2C-41CA-AD66-5E761CEE8229 19.7 Shift Your Ride Program 150,000$ 150,000$ 45,430 Provides programs and support for community members transitioning trips away from single-occupancy vehicles, resulting in VMT and fuel use reductions Medium Low None 42.4 Air Quality Monitoring Fund 100,000$ 100,000$ N/A Continues regional air quality monitoring foundational to developing successful emissions reduction strategies High High None Offer's primary impacts are on non-GHG air pollution; though often GHG and non-GHG emissions have the same sources 42.6 1.0 FTE Enhancing The Healthy Homes Program 242,780$ 264,733$ 100 Foundational for improving indoor air quality and supporting households in navigating climate action programs High Medium None 42.8 2.0 FTE Investing 2050 Tax Revenue to Accelerate Our Climate Future 565,307$ 619,329$ foundational Foundational for accelerating and coordinating climate action across the City and community Medium Low foundational 67.1 NoCoBiz Connect (NBC) - Sustainable Business Program (Equitable Business Support and Recognition) 149,900$ 75,000$ foundational Supports local businesses in accessing environmental efficiency and conservation programs High Low Low 71.1 Parks Lawn and Garden Equipment Replacement 25,000$ 25,000$ ~100 - 200 Reduces fuel use and therefore reduces GHG and non-GHG air pollutants Low Low None 73.1 1.5 FTE - 1.0 Urban Forestry Planner, .5 Hourly, and Tree Infrastructure Replacement 568,720$ 313,791$ 30 Foundational for ongoing and new carbon sequestration from the public canopy Low Medium Low Calculation only represents sequestration potential from newly planted trees identified in this offer. Full tree canopy supports ~2,800 MTCO2e sequestration and is dependent upon Offers 59.14, 59.15 Docusign Envelope ID: 6CEE5487-AF2C-41CA-AD66-5E761CEE8229 7.23 Utilities Light & Power: Virtual Power Plant Development and Enrollment 1,215,000$ 1,315,000$ 30,280 Supports installation of more local renewables and battery storage, to enable alignment of electricity consumption with renewable availability None High None 7.6 Utilities: Light & Power - Electric Vehicle Monitoring and Management Demonstration 75,000$ 75,000$ 640 Increases electric vehicles and chargers within the community for use as a virtual power plant None Medium None 16.14 Building HVAC Electrification and Efficiency Replacements 6,500,000$ -$ 3,845 Increases energy efficiency of City buildings None None None 20.13 Power Trail at Harmony Road Grade- Separated Crossing 673,371$ -$ 3,100 Provides infrastructure for safe and accessible active mode travel, resulting in VMT and fuel use reductions Low Low None 42.9 Low Income Offset - Contract for Waste 50,000$ 50,000$ foundational Foundational for organic waste diversion High None Low Total - 2025-26 2050 Tax Investments 4,581,707$ 2,647,853$ 125,530 Lifetime MTCO2e Total - 2025-26 Enhancement Offers 13,095,078$ 4,087,853$ 163,395 Lifetime MTCO2e Please note - Key Offers in bold text are those recommended to be funded by the 2050 Tax - OCF Funding; those in gray have been recommended to be funded by other sources. high confidence In these calculations, "lifetime" varies from 2-25 years , depending on the project.medium confidence OCF staff define "foundational" as a necessary next step for future GHG reduction.low confidence 100 MTCO2e is approx. equivalent to the emissions generated from 13 single-family homes' energy use in one year (EPA Equivalencies Calculator) Docusign Envelope ID: 6CEE5487-AF2C-41CA-AD66-5E761CEE8229