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HomeMy WebLinkAboutCOUNCIL - AGENDA ITEM - 08/04/2020 - RESOLUTION 2020-075 ENDORSING CITY STAFF'S MAY 13Agenda Item 17 Item # 17 Page 1 AGENDA ITEM SUMMARY August 4, 2020 City Council STAFF Jennifer Shanahan, Watershed Planner Cameron Gloss, Planning Manager Eric Potyondy, Legal SUBJECT Resolution 2020-075 Endorsing City Staff's May 13, 2020 Written Comments Regarding the Application of the Northern Colorado Water Conservancy District to Larimer County Under Chapter 14 of the Larimer County Land Use Code for a "1041" Permit for the Northern Integrated Supply Project. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The purpose of this item is to provide Council with the option to endorse City staff’s May 13, 2020 technical comments (“City Staff 1041 Comments”) that were previously submitted to Larimer County (and provided to Council) on the pending Northern Integrated Supply Project (NISP) 1041 application. The 1041 application focuses on NISP infrastructure and recreation. The City Staff 1041 Comments are focused on infrastructure impacts within the Fort Collins Growth Management Area (GMA) including the proposed installation of a diversion structure in the Cache la Poudre (Poudre) River near Mulberry Street and associated pipeline, all on City-owned natural areas. This item also provides Council with the opportunity to evaluate its position on NISP. In the Resolution, four options are presented for Council’s consideration along a spectrum: 1. “Cannot Support This Variant of NISP,” 2. “Cannot Support and Oppose Use of Natural Areas,” 3. “Oppose,” 4. “Oppose and Oppose Use of Natural Areas.” STAFF RECOMMENDATION Staff recommends that Council endorse the City Staff 1041 Comments by adoption of the Resolution and direct staff to present an oral summary of these comments to the Larimer County Commissioners at one of the remaining public hearings (August 24 or 31, 2020). Staff further recommends adoption of the Resolution option (1) of “Cannot Support This Variant of NISP.” This position is most closely aligned with the City’s decade plus legacy of engagement with NISP. In taking this position, staff would continue to work towards optimizing outcomes of NISP mitigation by advocating for City assets, flood safety and river health, if the project is constructed. At the same time, this approach aims to support Fort Collins-Loveland Water District water supply needs and minimize potential adverse impacts to City assets and investments (including the permitting process for the Halligan Water Supply Project). Agenda Item 17 Item # 17 Page 2 BACKGROUND / DISCUSSION Context of the 1041 Application in NISP’s Permitting Processes The Northern Colorado Water Conservancy District (Northern Water) proposes to construct NISP, a water storage reservoir and distribution project to supply water to 15 water providers generally located north of Denver along the Front Range. The Fort Collins-Loveland Water District serves portions of southeast Fort Collins and is a NISP participant. Water projects like NISP require different approvals for various aspects of the project. The NISP permitting process began in 2004 and is now nearing completion. During the last 16 years, the City engaged every opportunity for public comment and provided technical comments that have had a positive influence on the project’s design, including the “low flow conveyance plan” discussed below. The public comment opportunities tracked with the following permitting milestones: • A draft Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) (2008), a supplemental draft EIS (2015), and a final EIS (2018) were released by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers under the National Environmental Policy Act and the Clean Water Act. • A Clean Water Act Section 401 Water Quality certification was approved by the Colorado Department of Health and Environment in 2020 and it is now on appeal by Save the Poudre. • A Fish and Wildlife Mitigation and Enhancement Plan was approved by the Colorado Water Conservation Board in 2017. Northern Water is currently seeking Larimer County’s land use approval under its 1041 regulations. The review of the 1041 application is nearing the end of its 6-month timeframe. The County 1041 review process includes referral to potentially-impacted jurisdictions and service providers, such as the City. Staff conducted a technical review and submitted comments on May 13, under a very short timeline and unusual conditions due to COVID-19. Council received a memo outlining this process on April 16, informing Council of submittal of our comments on May 13, and a copy of staff’s technical comments (Attachments 1,2,3). The “Low Flow Conveyance Plan” and Resultant Poudre Intake Pipeline One key change to NISP was the development of a “low flow conveyance plan.” This component of NISP will deliver 18-25 cubic feet per second of water from near the canyon mouth to just above Mulberry Street. This increased volume of water and resulting lower water temperature will decrease stress on fish in the Poudre River by limiting “dry up” locations, in turn providing expanded habitat and water quality both critical for fish populations to thrive. With this plan, however, NISP needs to redivert this water volume and intends to do so upstream of the Mulberry Water Reclamation Facility to bring it back into the NISP conveyance system. This re-diversion and associated pipeline and pump station, called the Poudre Intake Pipeline, are the only infrastructure identified in the 1041 application within the City’s GMA and thus the focus the City’s comments. (Attachment 4) 1041 Review Process and Timeline When the 1041 application was deemed complete on March 18, Larimer County identified the City as a referral agency for the NISP 1041 permit and requested comments on the NISP 1041 permit application. Like other 1041 permit referrals received from Larimer County, the scope of staff’s review was limited to development and construction impacts within the GMA. The City Staff 1041 Comments, sent to the Larimer County Planning Department on May 13, were primarily focused on the design and location of the NISP Poudre River Intake Structure and Pipeline located within the GMA along the Poudre River near the Mulberry Corridor, and their degree of compliance with provisions of the City Code and Land Use Code. Agenda Item 17 Item # 17 Page 3 Larimer County is hosting a total of eight meetings related to the NISP 1041 public process from June to September with opportunity for public input in July and August. Recently, after County staff recommended approval of the 1041 application subject to 82 conditions, the Larimer County Planning Commission voted 4-2 to recommend approval of the 1041 application. So the application has now moved to the County Commissioners phase of the review (https://www.larimer.org/planning/NISP-1041). Scope of the City’s Review The scope of the City’s review revolved around the Poudre Intake Pipeline (Attachment 4) and included: • Installation of a new diversion structure on the Poudre River just upstream of Mulberry Street on Homestead Natural Area • Temporary impacts from the installation of underground pipelines across private property and several City- owned natural areas (Homestead, Williams, Kingfisher Point, and Riverbend Ponds Natural Areas) • Installation of above-ground infrastructure (a pumphouse and settling pond) on Kingfisher Point Natural Area near the intersection of Lemay Avenue and Mulberry Street • Associated impacts to visitor use, traffic, utilities, engineering, and stormwater While the scope of Larimer County’s review of the 1041 application also includes recreation on Glade Reservoir, a northern pipeline route, and the realignment of seven miles of Highway 287, these impacts fall outside of the GMA and are not within the scope of City staff’s analysis and subsequent referral comments. 1041 Comments are Aligned with the City’s Longstanding Approach to NISP The City Staff 1041 Comments are a technical review of the 1041 materials consistent with the City’s longstanding approach to NISP engagement. Comments guided by Council’s well-established priorities of protecting City assets and prioritizing river health were aligned with the most recent direction provided by Council on NISP. Comments also considered the County’s 12 review criteria applied to all 1041 applications. The most recent Council action on NISP was through Resolution 2018-093, by which Council directed the City Manager to submit comments on NISP’s final Environmental Impact Statement. (Attachment 5) That Resolution included a history of Council action on NISP. Resolution 2018-093 states Council’s current position on NISP. “The City Council cannot support NISP as it is currently described and proposed in the Final Environmental Impact Statement (FEIS) with the understanding that the City Council may reach a different conclusion with respect to a future variant of NISP and its mitigation plan, if such variant and associated mitigation address the City’s fundamental concerns, including but not limited to those expressed in the City’s comments to the Draft Environmental Impacts Statement, Supplemental Draft Environmental Impacts Statement, the State Fish and Wildlife Mitigation and Enhancement Plan, and FEIS through improved mitigation or other means.” City Staff 1041 Comments Key recommendations from the broader review of this application include: • Develop baseline habitat characterization for impacted areas. • Thoroughly revise the alternatives analysis using enhanced methodology and evaluate additional alternative pipeline locations that do not cross City natural areas. • Provide clarity on impacts to wetlands and demonstrate consistency across NISP permitting documents. • Resolve proposed facility location conflicts with habitat buffer standards in the Land Use Code and other City criteria. Agenda Item 17 Item # 17 Page 4 Key recommendations related to direct impacts to the four impacted natural areas: • Work collaboratively with Natural Areas staff to develop the most ecologically sound diversion design at Homestead Natural Area. • Minimize the footprint of both permanent and temporary impacts of the proposed infrastructure. This includes minimizing the width for the temporary impacts during installment of underground pipes and minimizing the spatial extent of the pump station and settling ponds • Move the pipeline as far away (to the north) from the Poudre River as possible at Kingfisher Point Natural Area. • Work closely with the City to minimize visitor use impacts from closures of the Poudre River Trail at Homestead Natural Area and the closure of the Riverbend Ponds Natural Area parking lot and trail. Next Steps The 1041 review process includes six public hearings in July and August before the Larimer County Planning Commission and County Commissioners. It is an option for staff to reiterate the City Staff 1041 Comments during the public testimony at one of the two last County Commissioner hearings on NISP (August 24 or August 31). Additionally, Northern Water must also submit a Site Plan Advisory Review (SPAR) application to the City. The scope of the SPAR will be similar to the 1041 application with a focus on infrastructure impacts within City municipal limits. City Council’s Position on NISP This item provides Council with the opportunity to evaluate its position on NISP. In the draft Resolution, four options are presented for Council’s consideration along a spectrum: 1. “Cannot Support This Variant of NISP,” 2. “Cannot Support and Oppose Use of Natural Areas,” 3. “Oppose,” 4. “Oppose and Oppose Use of Natural Areas.” The position of “Cannot Support This Variant of NISP” is most closely aligned with the City’s decade plus legacy of engagement with NISP. In taking this position, staff would continue to work towards gaining an influential seat at the table to optimize outcomes of NISP mitigation by advocating for City assets, flood safety and river health, if the project is constructed. At the same time this approach aims to support Fort Collins- Loveland Water District water supply needs and minimize potential adverse impacts to City assets and investments (including the permitting process for the Halligan Water Supply Project). CITY FINANCIAL IMPACTS There are no immediate direct fiscal impacts to staff submitting and orally presenting the City Staff 1041 Comments to the Larimer County Board of County Commissioners. BOARD / COMMISSION RECOMMENDATION At its June 8, 2020, meeting, the Land Conservation and Stewardship Board (LCSB) discussed the 1041 application and City Staff 1041 Comments. As a result of that discussion, the LCSB sent a related memo pertaining to the project to Council on June 11 (Attachments 6,7) PUBLIC OUTREACH A 1041 review is typically conducted by staff and communicated to Larimer County staff. Due to unusual conditions this spring with COVID-19 and a very tight timeline of this review, public input was not possible and Agenda Item 17 Item # 17 Page 5 so the City Staff 1041 Comments were developed and submitted using the typical approach. Given the sensitive nature of NISP to this community, the Natural Resources Advisory Board, Water Board, and the Land Conservation and Stewardship Board (LCSB) were provided copies of the memos sent to Council in April and May on this subject. The LCSB was the only board that requested a discussion via a specially scheduled meeting. ATTACHMENTS 1. Memo - Local Review Process, April 16, 2020 (PDF) 2. Memo - 1041 County Referral Comments, May 13, 2020 (PDF) 3. NISP 1041 Referral Comments (PDF) 4. Map (PDF) 5. Resolution 2018-093 (PDF) 6. Land Conservation and Stewardship Board Minutes, June 10, 2020 (PDF) 7. Land Conservation and Stewardship Board Memo to Council, June 10, 2020 (PDF) 8. Powerpoint Presentation (PDF) Utilities electric · stormwater · wastewater · water 700 Wood Street PO Box 580 Fort Collins, CO 80522 970.221.6700 utilities@fcgov.com fcgov.com/utilities M E M O R A N D U M DATE: April 16, 2020 TO: Mayor and City Councilmembers THRU: Darin Atteberry, City Manager Jeff Mihelich, Deputy City Manager Kevin R. Gertig, Utilities Executive Director FROM: Carol Webb, Deputy Utilities Director RE: Local Review Processes for the Northern Integrated Supply Project (“NISP”) Bottom Line The Northern Colorado Water Conservancy District (“Northern Water”) is beginning local review processes for NISP, including: Larimer County’s pending “1041” permitting process; the City’s “SPAR” review; and certain property rights acquisition processes. These processes provide various opportunities for the City staff to comment on, and in some cases, provide approvals on certain aspects of NISP in relation to its development and construction impacts within the Fort Collins Growth Management Area (“GMA”) and its compliance with City Code and the Land Use Code. City staff intends to actively engage in these processes in alignment with City Council’s current position on NISP, stated in City Council Resolution 2018-093 as: “the City Council cannot support NISP as it is currently described and proposed in the Final Environmental Impact Statement (FEIS) with the understanding that the City Council may reach a different conclusion with respect to a future variant of NISP and its mitigation plan, if such variant and associated mitigation address the City’s fundamental concerns expressed in the City’s comments to the DEIS, SDEIS, the State Fish and Wildlife Mitigation and Enhancement Plan, and FEIS through improved mitigation or other means.” City staff will ensure that City Council and relevant City Boards and Commissions 1 are informed and/or engaged in local review processes and City staff comments on NISP. The City and Northern Water have not begun discussions on these items. Any proposed acquisition of real property rights for NISP on City-owned land would require City Council approval. 1 Relevant City Boards and Commissions include: the Planning and Zoning Board; the Land Conservation and Stewardship Board; the Natural Resources Advisory Board; and the Water Board. ATTACHMENT 1 Page 2 of 4 Background NISP is a proposed water supply and storage project that will serve 15 communities and water districts in northern Colorado (including the Fort Collins-Loveland Water District that serves portions of southeast Fort Collins and the GMA). Northern Water is the proponent of NISP on behalf of the 15 participant communities and districts that will receive water from NISP. 2 Federal and State Permitting NISP requires various permits and approvals before it can be constructed and operated. NISP has been undergoing federal and state permitting for several years. Northern Water has been in the federal permitting processes for NISP since 2004, including for a “404 Permit” under the federal Clean Water Act. A record of decision on the 404 Permit is anticipated to be released this year. Northern Water has also been undergoing state permitting processes in recent years, including for the Fish and Wildlife Mitigation and Enhancement Plan (approved in 2017) and the “401 Certification” for water quality (acquired earlier this year). 3 Local Review Northern Water is now turning to the local review processes for NISP. As described in more detail below, these local review processes are generally narrower in scope than the federal and state processes, focusing on more specific issues, such as pipeline routes. These local review processes include: 1. Larimer County’s pending “1041” permitting process; 2. The City’s Site Plan Advisory Review (SPAR); and 3. Acquisition of certain real property rights. Larimer County’s “1041” Process NISP requires a “1041” permit from Larimer County under its Land Use Code. 4 Larimer County’s 1041 permit process is designed to ensure compliance with local master plans and environmental, public health, and safety standards while balancing costs and mitigation measures for development and activities of statewide interest as defined by Colorado statutes. Larimer County has identified the City as a referral agency for the NISP 1041 permit and is requesting comments on the NISP 1041 permit application. Like other 1041 permit referrals received from Larimer County, the scope of the City’s review and comments will be limited to the development, construction, and impacts within the GMA. Specifically, the scope of the City’s review includes; • installation of a new diversion structure on the Cache la Poudre River just upstream of Mulberry Street; 2 Various items related to NISP have been brought to City Council over the years and those materials provide lots of additional background that will not be restated here. However, those materials can be provided upon request. 3 The State’s issuance of the 401 Certification for NISP has been appealed. 4 Some of the NISP infrastructure (such as various pipelines and the proposed Galeton Reservoir) extends into Weld County. NISP may also thus need a 1041 permit from Weld County, though that is beyond the scope of this memo. Page 3 of 4 • temporary impacts from the installation of underground pipelines across private property and several City-owned natural areas; • installation of above ground infrastructure near the intersection of Lemay Avenue and Mulberry Street; and • associated impacts to traffic, utilities, engineering, and stormwater. A map is attached indicating the current proposed NISP conveyance alignment within the GMA. While the scope of Larimer County’s 1041 review also includes recreation on Glade Reservoir and a northern pipeline route and realignment of seven miles of Highway 287, these impacts fall outside of the GMA and is not within the scope of City staff’s analysis. City staff comments on the 1041 application will be sent to Larimer County as part of their public review process, which will eventually include public hearings before the Larimer County Planning Commission and the Larimer County Board of County Commissioners. The deadline imposed by Larimer County for submittal of 1041 comments by referral agencies (such as the City) is mid-May. City staff comments will be technical in nature and in alignment with the City’s current position on NISP, as stated in City Council Resolution 2018-093. While the short timeline for submittal of comments does not allow for approval by City Council, City staff will provide a copy of the technical comments to City Council and to the Land Conservation and Stewardship Board, the Natural Resources Advisory Board, the Water Board, and City Council prior to submittal. Comments from the City (in addition to the technical comments provided by City staff) may also be provided at the upcoming public hearings including at the tentatively scheduled July 8 Larimer County Planning Commission meetings and the August 17 meeting of the Larimer County Board of County Commissioners. City’s “SPAR” Review The portions of the NISP project that are in the Fort Collins city limits, such as piping or diversion structures, will be subject to the City’s Site Plan Advisory Review (“SPAR”) process. A SPAR is the City’s local review of development by a public entity. Often called a “location, character, and extent” review, the process is defined by state statutes and requirements. A SPAR application will be reviewed for consistency with the City’s land use designations as outlined in City Plan (our comprehensive plan), as well as adherence to design, landscape, and architectural standards, and the identification and mitigation of impacts to local facilities, infrastructure, and environment. The Planning and Zoning Board is the designated decision-maker for SPAR application, which must be reviewed and processed within 60 days of the City receiving the application. A minimum of 10 days prior to submittal of a SPAR application, a neighborhood meeting must be held consistent with adopted notification requirements. In light of light of COVID-19-related distancing restrictions, City staff anticipates that the neighborhood may be in a “virtual” format given the anticipated date of the SPAR submittal. The SPAR process culminates in a public hearing where the Planning and Zoning Board may approve or disapprove the application. The Page 4 of 4 governing body of the public entity submitting the application (in this case the Northern Water Board of Directors) may overrule a disapproval by the Planning and Zoning Board by a two- thirds vote. The SPAR Review for NISP is tentatively scheduled for the July 16 Planning and Zoning Board meeting. Staff will provide a copy of the SPAR application and minutes from the Planning and Zoning Board meeting to City Council. SPAR comments will be technical in nature and in alignment with City Council’s current position on NISP. Property Rights Acquisition Northern Water will require various real property rights for portions of NISP, such as ownership of some land in fee, and various easements. Most relevant to the City is Northern Water’s need to acquire real property rights on City-owned land and in City right-of-way near the intersection of Lemay Avenue and Mulberry Street, where Northern Water would redivert NISP water from the Cache la Poudre River. The City and Northern Water have not yet begun those discussions. Any acquisition of real property rights for NISP on City-owned land would require City Council approval. pc: Cameron Gloss, Manager, City Planning Ryan Mounce, City Planner John Stokes, Deputy Director, Community Services Jennifer Shanahan, Sr. Specialist, Sciences Eric Potyondy, Assistant City Attorney Brad Yatabe, Assistant City Attorney Utilities electric · stormwater · wastewater · water 700 Wood Street PO Box 580 Fort Collins, CO 80522 970.221.6700 utilities@fcgov.com fcgov.com/utilities M E M O R A N D U M DATE: May 13, 2020 TO: Mayor and City Councilmembers THRU: Darin Atteberry, City Manager Jeff Mihelich, Deputy City Manager Kevin R. Gertig, Utilities Executive Director FROM: Carol Webb, Deputy Utilities Director RE: Staff Comments on Northern Integrated Supply Project (“NISP”) 1041 Referral Bottom Line City staff has evaluated the Northern Colorado Water Conservancy District (“Northern Water”) Larimer County “1041” application and provided comment as a referral agency (see attachment). Comments have been primarily based upon the design and location of the NISP Poudre River intake structure and pipeline located within the Fort Collins Growth Management Area (“GMA”) and its compliance with the City Code and Land Use Code. Overall, staff’s technical comments on the 1041 application describe concerns about the methodology employed in the pipeline siting alternatives analysis and potential pipeline impacts to natural habitat and features within the Poudre River corridor. In addition to City Council, City staff has provided a copy of the technical comments to the Land Conservation and Stewardship Board, the Natural Resources Advisory Board, the Water Board, and City Council prior to the comments being submitted to Larimer County. Larimer County’s NISP “1041” Process NISP requires a “1041” permit from Larimer County under its Land Use Code. 1 Larimer County’s 1041 permit process is designed to ensure compliance with local master plans and environmental, public health, and safety standards while balancing costs and mitigation measures for development and activities of statewide interest as defined by Colorado statutes. Larimer County has identified the City as a referral agency for the NISP 1041 permit and is requesting comments on the NISP 1041 permit application. Like other 1041 permit referrals received from Larimer County, the scope of the City’s review and comments is limited to the ATTACHMENT 2 Page 2 of 2 development, construction, and impacts within the GMA. Specifically, the scope of the City’s review includes; • installation of a new diversion structure on the Cache la Poudre River just upstream of Mulberry Street; • temporary impacts from the installation of underground pipelines across private property and several City-owned natural areas; • installation of above ground infrastructure near the intersection of Lemay Avenue and Mulberry Street; and • associated impacts to traffic, utilities, engineering, and stormwater. While the scope of Larimer County’s 1041 review also includes recreation on Glade Reservoir and a northern pipeline route and realignment of seven miles of Highway 287, these impacts fall outside of the GMA and is not within the scope of City staff’s analysis. The 1041 review process will eventually include public hearings before the Larimer County Planning Commission and the Larimer County Board of County Commissioners. Comments from the City (in addition to the technical comments provided by City staff) may also be provided at the upcoming public hearings including at the tentatively scheduled July 8 Larimer County Planning Commission meetings and the August 17 meeting of the Larimer County Board of County Commissioners. pc: Cameron Gloss, Manager, City Planning Ryan Mounce, City Planner John Stokes, Deputy Director, Community Services Jennifer Shanahan, Sr. Specialist, Sciences Eric Potyondy, Assistant City Attorney Brad Yatabe, Assistant City Attorney 281 North College Avenue P.O. Box 580 Fort Collins, CO 80522.0580 970.221.6376 970.224.6134 - fax Planning, Development & Transportation May 13, 2020 Carl Brouwer Northern Integrated Supply Project Water Activity Enterprise 220 Water Avenue Berthoud, CO 80513 RE: Referral Comments for the Northern Integrated Supply Project (NISP) 1041 Application The following are the City of Fort Collins (“City”) staff review comments specific to the Northern Integrated Supply Project (“NISP”) infrastructure that the Northern Colorado Water Conservancy District (“Northern Water”) has proposed within the Fort Collins Growth Management Area (“GMA”) as described in the Northern Water application to Larimer County under Chapter 14 of Larimer County’s Land Use Code, which contains the County’s 1041 regulations. The submittal of these comments does not alter the Fort Collins City Council’s current position on NISP as expressed in Council Resolution 2018-093 as: “the City Council cannot support NISP as it is currently described and proposed in the Final Environmental Impact Statement (FEIS) with the understanding that the City Council may reach a different conclusion with respect to a future variant of NISP and its mitigation plan, if such variant and associated mitigation address the City’s fundamental concerns expressed in the City’s comments to the DEIS, SDEIS, the State Fish and Wildlife Mitigation and Enhancement Plan, and FEIS through improved mitigation or other means.” The comments have been compiled specifically for the City’s review of the NISP 1041 application made with Larimer County. Many of the following comments (as they may be amended or updated) may appear in subsequent City review processes that will be required of NISP, such as the Site Plan Advisory Review (“SPAR”) for pipeline portions located within the City of Fort Collins and an evaluation of the project’s design and construction relative to the City’s Natural Areas Department easement policy. As a referral agency in the 1041 review process, City staff acknowledges that the comments are advisory in scope and encourages Northern Water to take the following recommendations and requests for additional information into consideration. Recommendations are based on the City’s Land Use Code standards and organized around the applicable 1041 Review Criteria found in Larimer County Land Use Code (“LCLUC”) Section 14.10.D. Please direct any questions regarding City staff’s comments to Cameron Gloss, Long Range Planning Manager, at 970-224-6174 or cgloss@fcgov.com. ATTACHMENT 3 Page 2 Comment Summary: 1. LCLUC 14.10.D (1) (The proposal is consistent with the master plan and applicable intergovernmental agreements affecting land use and development). 1. Most of the Poudre Intake Pipeline lies within the Fort Collins GMA and is governed by the East Mulberry Corridor Plan, which was jointly adopted by Larimer County and the City in 2002 (amended in 2003). No evaluation of the proposed pipeline alignments relative to the East Mulberry Corridor Plan is contained in the 1041 application and should be addressed as the adopted plan is an element of Larimer County’s Master Plan and further implements the Intergovernmental Agreement between the City and Larimer County Regarding Cooperation on Managing Urban Development (2000). 2. The portion of the preferred pipeline location, between Lemay Avenue and Timberline Road, is designated within the East Mulberry Corridor Plan as “Natural Buffer.” The plan cites the need for the “preservation, restoration and enhancement of these designated areas,” in that “they provide a valuable wildlife habitat and contribute to the area’s scenic quality.” The following policy relates specifically to the preservation of this portion of the corridor: Policy EMC. ONL – 1.1 The interface between the Poudre River riparian habitat and development along East Mulberry Street, should be coordinated to retain environmental quality, encourage wildlife habitat and, where impacts can be appropriately buffered, provide recreational use. 3. The City thus requests that Northern Water provide an analysis of the proposal’s consistency with the East Mulberry Corridor Plan relative to all adopted Plan Goals, Principles and Policies. 2. LCLUC 14.10.D (2) (The applicant has presented reasonable siting and design alternatives or explained why no reasonable alternatives are available.). Six alignment alternatives were considered and evaluated for those portions of the Poudre River Intake Pipeline, (2 for the Poudre Intake West and 4 for the Poudre Intake Pipeline toward the east) located within the Fort Collins GMA. The City has significant concerns over the methodology that Northern Water used. The City recommends that Northern Water perform a new alternatives analysis for the Poudre Intake Pipeline using the comments below as guidance for location and analysis, to determine the least environmentally damaging practicable pipeline route. 1. It is unclear why additional alternatives that extend the pipeline along the Mulberry right- of-way (longer than currently proposed) were not evaluated, or if modifications to the proposed alternatives could be made that further decrease negative impacts on public, private, and environmental resources. 2. Alternative routes for the Poudre Intake Pipeline could be reviewed through a framework that evaluates environmental impacts and selects the least environmentally damaging one. It is the City’s understanding the proposed pipeline alignment was presented for Page 3 the first time in the NISP Final Environmental Impact Statement (“FEIS”). Therefore, an evaluation of alternatives and associated environmental impacts comparing pipeline alignments did not occur within the federal National Environmental Policy Act (“NEPA”) process. Instead, it occurred this year using the decision matrix of review criteria, which is a very different approach to evaluating alternatives. 3. The methodology for the Poudre Intake Pipeline Alternatives Analysis provides scoring through a decision matrix of criteria with only two environmental criteria included. The two criteria are weighted equally with 16 other criteria, so the combined weight of the environmental criteria contributes only 9% to the total score. The City disagrees with this undervaluation of environmental impacts and the approach where environmental impacts were given equal value to other criteria, such as “Easement Difficulty.” 4. Furthermore, the methodology does not evaluate the alternatives based on the relative importance (weights) of each criterion. The scoring approach essentially treats each criterion as independent and of equal weight, when many are interrelated and not of equal importance. The City recommends applying weights to each criterion to better address tradeoffs between disparate goals. 5. The criterion labeled “Environmental Impacts” only considers linear feet of wetlands and riparian areas. Linear feet of wetland is not a standard or meaningful approach to evaluating impacts to wetlands. The federal permitting process typically evaluates a number of environmental factors, yet many of these factors and resources were unaccounted for in the alternatives assessment for the pipelines that will be impacted by the proposed alignment. 6. Linear feet of pipeline in City-owned natural areas is the second of the two environmental criteria. With impacts to 5,700 linear feet in high visitor use and sensitive Natural Areas, the short- and long-term impacts are of concern to the City. The City disagrees with Northern Water’s designation of this criterion as the yellow or middle scoring category because it is only the middle category due to the range of alternatives presented, not the actual impacts of 0.6 miles of pipeline installation would have on natural habitats. 7. The alternatives analysis did not consider the disruption and impacts on wildlife. Floodplain corridors provide wildlife with a mosaic of aquatic, wetland, riparian, and forest and grassland habitat types all along a narrow corridor within a developed landscape. Therefore, these corridors contribute a disproportionate (high) value towards supporting wildlife, both local and migratory. The City recommends adding a wildlife criterion as a factor in the alternatives analysis. 8. The floodplain criteria state the floodplains are not a risk to the pipeline, but the perspective needs to also consider the risk that the installation of a pipeline close to the river may impact opportunities for increasing resilience to large floods. The pipeline running through Kingfisher Point Natural Area adjacent to the river will prevent future opportunities for increasing the conveyance capacity through the lowering of floodplain elevations (for example with the creation of overflow side channels). Page 4 9. While the alternatives analysis considers impacts to traffic, it does not consider impacts to visitor use of City-owned and publicly-accessible lands and trails. 10. It should be noted that the City’s Natural Areas Department easement policy does not consider cost as a factor in the analysis of proposed routes. 3. LCLUC 14.10.D(3) (The proposal conforms with adopted county standards, review criteria and mitigation requirements concerning environmental impacts, including but not limited to those contained in this Code.). No comment at this time. 4. LCLUC 14.10.D(4) (The proposal will not have a significant adverse affect on or will adequately mitigate significant adverse affects on the land or its natural resources, on which the proposal is situated and on lands adjacent to the proposal). Wetlands and other Waters of the US (WOTUS) Reported impacts to Wetlands and other WOTUS are inconsistent throughout key permitting documents. For this reason, it is more difficult to determine the sufficiency of proposed wetland mitigation in Larimer County and within the GMA. The 1041 Wetland and Water Mitigation Plan prepared by the NISP WAE (Pinyon, 2020) presents a reduction of impacts across almost all categories. For example, Pinyon (2020) shows a reduction in impacts at Glade. Furthermore, the permanent functional losses to Poudre River wetlands are treated differently across alternatives and reports. This leads to uncertainty over which set of values will form the basis for the mitigation commitments in the forthcoming Wetland and Open Water Mitigation Plan. Pinyon, 2020 states: “the Project is in the process of developing a Wetland and Open Water Mitigation Plan (January 20, 2020 Draft) in order to comply with the USACE 2008 Mitigation Rule (33 CFR Part 332) (USACE, 2008a; Pinyon, 2020). The Wetland and Open Water Mitigation Plan describes how the Project will mitigate for unavoidable permanent impacts to WUS.” It is unclear whether this forthcoming plan will compensate for the discrepancies documented here, as well as the functional losses to aquatic resources (wetland and streams) as required in the 2008 rule and the Colorado Mitigation Procedure (USACE, 2019). Understanding there are small differences in the scope and sequencing of these documents, the City recommends that additional information be provided that clarifies the aquatic resource impacts by project component, associated mitigation, regulatory scope, and the relationship between the documents that describe them. Page 5 Alt 2M Alt 2M Alt 2 Alt 2 FEIS Table 4-64 1041-Pinyon 1 Table 1 FEIS 2 Table 4-67 FWMEP 2 Table A2 Permanent Wetland Impacts Glade Reservoir 42 31.3 42 Not broken out US 287 3 Not listed 3 Conveyance Systems <1 0.044 <1 Total 45+ 31.344 45+ 44 Temporary Wetland Impacts Glade Reservoir 4 2.361 4 Not broken out US 287 <1 Not listed <1 Conveyance Systems 10 5.697 5 Total 14+ 8.181 9+ 8 Permanent Impacts to Waters of the US Glade Reservoir 8 0.93 8 Not broken out US 287 1 Not listed <1 Conveyance Systems <1 0.59 1 Total 9+ 1.52 9+ 12 Temporary Impacts to Waters of the US Glade Reservoir 2 2.361 2 Not broken out US 287 <1 Not listed <1 Conveyance Systems 5 2.292 4 Total 7+ 4.653 6+ 3 Permanent Indirect wetland impacts to riparian wetlands Poudre wetlands 0 (30) Not addressed 17 9 1- 1041- Pinyon, 2020 2- FWMEP- the state approved Fish and Wildlife and Mitigation Enhancement Plan reported wetland impacts based on Alternative 2 therefore Alternative 2 from the FEIS is presented for comparative reference. General City Environmental Protection Standards While this project is following Federal, State and County environmental studies and protection standards through NEPA, State, and 1041 permitting processes, the City has separate, and often more stringent study requirements and protection standards for development projects outlined in the City’s Land Use Code. In acknowledging the work already performed by Northern Water, the comments below describe the City’s requirements (found in Section 3.4.1 of the Land Use Code) that are applicable to this project within the GMA. City staff encourages Northern Water adhere to these City Land Use Code standards. 1. If a project is within 500 feet of a known or potential natural feature, the City requires an Ecological Characterization Study (ECS) be performed by a qualified professional that describes resources and their respective value, ecological function and character. The ECS is the guiding document in staff’s decision-making process related to mitigation and protection requirements. Because the information provided through this application is Page 6 conceptual in scope the value of resources has not been evaluated to allow City staff to determine existing conditions and adequate mitigation measures, City staff recommends completing an ECS for areas within the GMA, using the criteria outlined in Section 3.4.1 (D)(1) of the Land Use Code. 2. The City’s adopted Natural Habitat and Features standards in Land Use Code Section 3.4.1 (D)(2) protect wetlands irrespective of their jurisdictional determination. Therefore, any non-jurisdictional wetlands that are impacted and unaccounted for require mapping and mitigation. Detailed recommendations for protecting, mitigating and enhancing all wetlands are required within the ECS. Based on impacts, City staff may require a Wetland Restoration Plan, Weed Management Plan and Monitoring Plan (3+ years) to ensure mitigation success. 3. If a proposed development disturbs a jurisdictional wetland, the developer is required per Land Use Code Section3.4.1(D)(2) to provide to the City a written statement from the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers that the development plan fully complies with all applicable federal wetland regulations as established in the federal Clean Water Act. City staff recommends that Northern Water provide this letter to the City. City Buffer Standards and Environmental Protocols Section 3.4.1 of the City's Land Use Code identifies natural habitats and features for protection and requires specific buffer distances to protect the character and function of these resources from the impacts of construction and ongoing activity associated with the development. Given the noise and impacts from construction activities and the continual access needs for ongoing operations and maintenance along the pipeline corridor, City staff recommends adhering to the following requirements. Buffers 1. Poudre River Corridor 300’ Buffer (measured from top of bank or edge of riparian forest/vegetation whatever is more stringent). The Poudre River is designated as a National Heritage Area and is considered the City’s highest valued regional and urban wildlife corridor. The value of riparian forest and bird habitat impacted along the river would take decades to re-establish and may result in nest failure, as stated in the Wildlife Conservation Plan. City staff is concerned about the close proximity of the pipeline to the river from north of Kingfisher Point Natural Area to the crossing of Timberline Road. The proximity results in impacts to soils, native vegetation, wetlands, and restoration projects previously performed by the City’s Natural Areas Department. The grasslands at the Kingfisher Point Natural Area is particularly hard to restore given the beet lime waste material underneath. Therefore, restoration progress is slower than usual. Starting restoration all over again for a strip in the middle of a field is not preferred. Additionally, nearby cliffs have long supported various cliff nesting birds such as bank swallows and (today) a nesting kingfisher. City staff recommends the pipeline be moved further from the Poudre River to reduce impacts. 2. Boxelder Creek: 100’ Buffer (measured from top of bank or edge of wetlands, whichever greater). Boxelder Creek is considered a regional wildlife corridor and the crossing of Boxelder Creek immediately west of I-25 is concerning. Staff recommends boring the Page 7 pipe under the creek and digging bore pits 100’ from top of bank or edge of wetlands (whichever is greater) to minimize impacts to the creek, habitat and associated wetlands. 3. Irrigation Canals: 50’ Buffer (from top of bank or edge of wetlands, whichever greater). The City of Fort Collins views irrigation canals as wildlife movement corridors. The City recommends the value of ditches be evaluated in the ECS from a wildlife corridor, vegetative quality and habitat perspective and provide mitigation for impacts. The City also recommends bore pits occur 50’ from the ditch’s top of bank or edge of wetlands at ditch crossings, whichever is greater, to minimize impacts. 4. Lakes: 100’ Buffer. The City is concerned about the close proximity of the pipeline to the ponds at the Riverbend Ponds Natural Area. The City recommends the width of temporary construction easement be reduced in this area to minimize impacts to the pond embankments, wetlands and wildlife using the ponds. 5. Dry Creek: 100’ Buffer. The City views Dry Creek as a wildlife movement corridor. The City recommends bore pits to occur 100’ from the Creek’s top of bank or edge of wetlands, whichever is greater, to minimize impacts. 6. Riparian Forest: 50’ Buffer. Riparian forest along the Poudre River and Boxelder Creek will be impacted by the proposed project. The City recommends avoiding these sensitive areas by providing a 50’ buffer from the edge of forest canopy. 7. Wetlands Buffer: As noted above the City protects all wetlands irrespective of jurisdictional status. For all wetlands, the City requires the following buffers for wetlands and recommends Northern Water to adhere to these standards.: 1. Wetlands >1/3 acre in size: 100’ 2. Wetlands <1/3 acre in size: 50’ Wildlife Protocols City staff encourages Northern Water to adhere to the following requirements related to mitigating wildlife impacts, found in 3.4.1 of the City’s Land Use Code. 1. The City requires that construction activity be organized and timed to minimize the disturbance of Sensitive or Specially Valued Species occupying or using on-site and adjacent natural habitats or features. City staff is concerned about construction noise near wetlands at Riverbend Ponds, along the Poudre River and irrigation ditch corridors. The activity could have negative impacts on wildlife such as nest failure for breeding birds, or the inability of prey to detect predators. a. Raptors and Song Birds: The City requires that trees that are known to have served as raptor nest sites not be removed within five (5) years of the last known nesting period. If the tree is removed, it shall be mitigated in accordance with Section 3.2.1, Landscaping and Tree Protection Standards. b. The City requires raptor nests be inventoried within a 500’ buffer on either side the Right of Way and indicated by species (when possible). Page 8 2. Fox, coyote and badger dens: 50’ Buffer. The City requires surveys be performed to determine the location of fox, coyote, and badger dens throughout the limits of development and adhere to the 50’ buffer requirement. 3. Prairie Dogs: a. If more than 1 acre of prairie dog colonies are eradicated, Northern Water would be required to mitigate for the resource value lost either through a payment-in- lieu or trap and donate. b. Methods for removing prairie dogs must be reviewed and approved by the Colorado Parks and Wildlife. c. Following relocation or eradication activities for prairie dogs, the City requires that a report be provided that documents when prairie dog removal occurred, the method(s) that were used to remove prairie dogs, measures taken to ensure that prairie dogs will not re-inhabit the site, and confirmation that no threatened or endangered species were harmed by removal activities. Restoration Protocols 1. Under the Buffer Zone Performance Standards in Land Use Code Section 3.4.1(1)(g), the applicant must undertake restoration and mitigation, such as regrading and and/or replanting of native vegetation, to enhance the natural ecological characteristics of the buffer area. 2. The width of the temporary construction right of way varies between documents (120’ in Wetland Mitigation Plan (Pinyon, 2020), 100’ in Technical Memorandum No. 3 (Northern Water, 2020), etc.). City staff recommends the width for temporary construction Right of Way be minimized, particularly around sensitive natural and recreational resources (wetlands, mature trees, trails, etc.). Comments specific to Natural Areas lands City of Fort Collins Natural Areas Policy: City of Fort Collins Natural Areas are conserved due to citizen ballot measures that specify these lands are to be protected and enhanced for native plant and wildlife communities. Therefore, siting of facilities needs to consider how these resources will be protected and enhanced within City Natural Areas. Homestead Natural Area: 1. The diversion point and pipeline installation is located within a recently restored and highly active riparian wetlands. Significant efforts went into ensuring the success of this restoration which has now been establishing for the past seven years. The location is also flooded at relatively low flows so the immediate success of future restoration is uncertain due to annual scouring flows. The proposed mitigation for these temporary impacts is to return the habitat to its current condition, but this does not offset the temporal loss. For this reason, the City recommends Northern Water collaborate with the City’s Natural Areas Department to determine the best location for the diversion. Page 9 2. The City understands that Northern Water has identified a preferred diversion point, but that there may be some flexibility in the precise location. There may be pros and cons to subtle adjustments of the take-off point. Moving the location of the new diversion somewhat upstream may result in multiple benefits including; avoiding damage to the recently restored active riparian zone, minimizing construction footprint in sensitive areas, taking advantage of existing slower backwater conditions upstream, and minimizing erosion from spring flows on vulnerable post-construction that occurs frequently in low lying zone. 3. The City owns the land (in-channel and in the riparian zone) at the location of the proposed diversion structure near Mulberry Avenue. To avoid further fragmentation of aquatic habitat and sediment and to ensure fish passage, the City recommends using a low-profile design approach such as a riffle-crest structure. The tie in to either bank must be resilient to souring flows but as natural functioning and looking as possible to avoid disconnecting the channel from the riparian zone. 4. According to the Colorado Mitigation Procedures (USACE, 2019) the impacts of a new diversion to stream functions must be fully mitigated. Without baseline hydrogeomorphic and biological data analyses of this complex river reach it is impossible to ensure mitigation of impacts to stream functions. It also impossible to ensure the longevity of the new diversion structure or that it will results in a resilient reach of river. The City recommends spatial footprint for the design process and hydrogeomorphic analysis is larger than just the immediate footprint of the structure (i.e. it extends further upstream and downstream). Also, because the river is a split channel at this location, proper evaluation of river dynamics at the reach scale will be essential for guaranteeing the protecting of local infrastructure during large flood events (the Mulberry Treatment plant and the Mulberry Avenue Bridge). 5. Because this area sees frequent visitor use, City staff recommends the design elements strongly consider public safety and potential vandalism. Kingfisher Point Natural Area: 1. The City recommends the footprint of the infrastructure on the Kingfisher Point Natural Area (pumphouse and settling pond) be minimized to the greatest degree possible. 2. Through the Kingfisher Point Natural Area, the pipeline is proposed to run near to the river and justification for this is not provided. By laying pipeline in the middle of the natural area/floodplain and close to the river, it will limit future opportunities for excavating floodplain material to increase the conveyance capacity (for example with the creation of overflow side channels). Also, at this location the riverbank forms a cliff and hosts several cavity nesting birds, including Northern rough-winged swallow, bank swallows, and kingfishers. Nesting success is uncertain with this work nearby. The City recommends the pipeline be routed as far north as possible (away from the river) from the pumphouse to the Fort Collins Nursery. Page 10 3. The City will not consider the sale or conveyance of any real property rights on any City property for the NISP project until Northern Water has a final and non-appealable Clean Water Act Section 404 permit. 4. The City may wish to have input on specific aspects of aesthetics and screening of the proposed infrastructure to best fit the landscape and character of the Kingfisher Point Natural Area. 5. As previously noted, the City’s Natural Areas Department easement policy does not consider cost as a factor in the analysis of proposed routes. Riverbend Ponds Natural Area: 1. Along the eastern end of the pipeline route through Riverbends ponds the pipeline is located along a narrow zone available immediately adjacent to a high value wetlands complex. In addition to hosting higher diversity of birds, this area is also home to three rare plants: Carex lasiocarpa, Glaux maritima, Eustoma grandiflora. The City recommends the temporary construction easement for this section of pipeline use as narrow a width as possible to completely avoid impacting the adjacent wetlands. Easements from Natural Areas 1. In addition to the City comments presented in this 1041 review, the Natural Areas and Conserved Lands Easement Policy (adopted 2012, updated 2018) requirements will apply during the easement application process and can be found in the Easement Request Packet at https://www.fcgov.com/naturalareas/easement.php 2. Please identify the permanent easement width, as well as the frequency and type of operations and maintenance activities along the permanent easement. 3. Permanent and temporary easement width justification will be required by the Natural Areas Department easement policy. Visitor Use Impact Consistent with the Natural Areas Easement Policy, the City will require a minimization/mitigation plan for the visitor use impacts anticipated during construction. The four areas of particular concern are: 1. Homestead Natural Area, Williams Natural Area, and the Poudre Trail in the vicinity of Mulberry Bridge. 2. The Timberline parking lot at Riverbend Ponds Natural Area. 3. Trail closures and detours on Riverbend Ponds Natural Area. There may be a potential conflict with the future trail near Prospect and I-25. Timing of the NISP piping construction may or may not affect this trail or the potential future development at the Prospect Gateway. Further coordination may be required. The City of Fort Collins 2013 Paved Recreational Trail Master Plan, including any future updates to this plan, indicates the general location of future paved trails. Trail crossings of the pipeline may be required to construct the buildout of the trail system. Paved trails will be allowed to cross the Page 11 pipeline easement as long as construction or maintenance of the trail does not impact the operation or construction of the pipeline. Based on the City’s Natural Areas Easement Policy, the following will be required: • Trail and public access closure plan • Detour plan for the Poudre Trail • Potential temporary paved trail if trail(s) are closed longer than 2 weeks. • Parking alternative plan for Riverbend Ponds Natural Area parking lot. The plan should include only partial lot closures and offsite parking. • Trail closure plan for Riverbend Ponds Natural Area and advanced public notice for closures will be required by the Natural Areas easement policy. 5. LCLUC 14.10.D(5) (The proposal will not adversely affect any sites and structures listed on the State or National Registers of Historic Places). 1. Any aspect of the development plan that will include federal involvement through permitting or funding triggers compliance with Section 106 of the National Historic Preservation Act, through a review coordinated by the State Historic Preservation Office (History Colorado). An area of potential effect (APE) would define the geographic area or areas within which an undertaking may create adverse effects on archeological and historic resources and require documentation forms and potential mitigation of any determined adverse effects. While that requirement is separate from local historic review and compliance, the City of Fort Collins would be a consulting party for that review process. Please provide more information to Maren Bzdek, Senior Historic Preservation Planner, mbzdek@fcgov.com, regarding compliance with this federal legislation to date. 2. The 1041 submittal asserts that the EIS included an evaluation of cultural resources so that potential impacts had been covered in this previous analysis. Given that the Poudre River Intake pipeline was not included in the original EIS, the revised 1041 application should include historic and cultural resource survey information. 3. Please include “Impact to Historic and Cultural Resources” as an evaluation criterion in the Alternatives Evaluation for the Poudre Intake Pipeline. 6. LCLUC 14.10.D(6) (The proposal will not negatively impact public health and safety). No comment at this time. 7. LCLUC 14.10.D(7) (The proposal will not be subject to significant risk from natural hazards including floods, wildfire or geologic hazards.). Floodplain Comments 1. A portion of this project is currently located in the FEMA-regulated, 100-year and 500- year Poudre River floodway and floodplain; the 100-year Dry Creek floodway and floodplain; 100-year Boxelder floodway and floodplain and therefore must comply with Chapter 10 of City Code. Any construction activities in the floodplain within the City limits must be preceded by an approved floodplain use permit as required under Chapter Page 12 10 of City Code, the appropriate permit application fees, and approved plans. Any construction activities in the regulatory floodway must be preceded by a No-Rise Certification, which must be prepared by a professional engineer licensed in the State of Colorado. Development review checklists for floodplain requirements can be obtained at https://www.fcgov.com/utilities/img/site_specific/uploads/fp-checklist100-2018- update.pdf?1522697905. Please utilize these documents when preparing your plans for submittal. 2. Scour analysis must be performed for any channel crossings as a requirement of 10- 27(d)(4) of the City Code. 3. A stability analysis for any proposed development within an erosion buffer zone will be required under Section 10-27(d)(5).4. Please show the boundaries of the floodplain and floodway on site drawings as applicable. 8. LCLUC 14.10.D(8) (Adequate public facilities and services are available for the proposal or will be provided by the applicant, and the proposal will not have a significant adverse effect on the capability of local government to provide services or exceed the capacity of service delivery systems.). Traffic Operations comments 1. The submittal documents include a traffic review of reservoir construction (long term but temporary), pipeline construction (short term at various locations), and recreational (permanent). The 1041 submittal provided summary information on traffic impacts and referred to the overall detailed evaluation done in the FEIS in Volume 2, Section 4.13.3. The relocation of US287 is not a part of the City’s 1041 review. 2. The southern end of the reservoir is about 5 miles from the closest point to the Fort Collins GMA. The newly realigned US 287 will be more than 2 miles from the closest point to the GMA. The pipeline will include locations within the Fort Collin city limits. 3. The document indicates the following regarding traffic impacts: a. For reservoir construction: the construction (2-4 years) will create anywhere from 400 (winter) – 1600 (summer) daily trips with an average of 800. The document notes that construction traffic should utilize ‘major’ roads for haul routes. For all reservoir construction activities, haul routes should be specified. To the extent feasible, they should not include City roadways. b. For pipeline construction: the construction will include short term disruption (anywhere from 2 to 10 weeks) at locations within Fort Collins city limits. It notes that roadway crossings with paved facilities will be trenchless (bored), while roadway crossings that are non-paved will be open cut. For pipeline construction, early coordination with the City is important especially for construction in the vicinity of major roadways, and approved Work Area Traffic Control (WATC) plans from Fort Collins will be required c. For permanent recreational impacts: identifies access roads and parking lots in vicinity of the reservoir. Anticipated trips related to recreation are estimated to be as high as 1,200 daily vehicular trips in the summer. For future recreational traffic: The City encourages Northern Water to complete intersection evaluations at locations that will be impacted by recreational traffic (such as the intersection of US 287 and CR 21C) for operational and safety improvements. In addition, a Page 13 review of potential bike facilities (such as shoulders / paths) between Fort Collins and in / around the vicinity of the new reservoir would be important. Development Review Engineering Comments 1. The proposed Poudre Intake Pipeline project will be crossing through the Fort Collins city limits. The City would require encroachment permits at right-of-way crossings within the city Limits. The encroachment permit would establish maintenance operations and utility location responsibility within City Rights-of-Way. 2. Northern Water would be responsible for utility location requests associated with the Colorado Revised Statutes. Water, Wastewater, Stormwater Comments 3. The site disturbs more than 10,000 sq. ft. and/or meets the criteria for a need for Erosion and Sediment Control Materials to be submitted. The erosion control requirements are located in the Fort Collins Stormwater Criteria Manual in Chapter 2 Section 6.0 a copy of the requirements can be found at www.fcgov.com/erosion 4. It is expected the proposed pipelines will maintain standard separation from existing utilities when ultimately designed. 5. It is the understanding of the City’s Stormwater Utility that this project will maintain existing grading and drainage patterns and not impede existing drainage. 9. LCLUC 14.10.D(9) (The applicant will mitigate any construction impacts to county roads, bridges and related facilities. Construction access will be re-graded and re- vegetated to minimize environmental impacts.). No comment at this time. 10. LCLUC 14.10.D(10) (The benefits of the proposed development outweigh the losses of any natural resources or reduction of productivity of agricultural lands as a result of the proposed development.). Under the Larimer County 1041 Regulations, the decision regarding the 1041 Application rests with the Board of County Commissioners (BOCC). The City respectfully requests that the BOCC consider the City of Fort Collins’ review comments when making its decision. 11. LCLUC 14.10.D(11) (The proposal demonstrates a reasonable balance between the costs to the applicant to mitigate significant adverse affects and the benefits achieved by such mitigation.). Under the Larimer County 1041 Regulations, the decision regarding the 1041 Application rests with the Board of County Commissioners (BOCC). The City respectfully requests that the BOCC consider the City of Fort Collins’ review comments when making its decision. 12. LCLUC 14.10.D(12) (The recommendations of staff and referral agencies have been addressed to the satisfaction of the county commissioners.). Page 14 Under the Larimer County 1041 Regulations, the decision regarding the 1041 Application rests with the Board of County Commissioners (BOCC). The City respectfully requests that the BOCC consider the City of Fort Collins’ review comments when making its decision. Map 1. Map of the Poudre Intake pipeline that is the focus of the City’s 1041 referral comments to Larimer County ATTACHMENT 4 ATTACHMENT 5 Comments on the Final Environmental Impact Statement for the Northern Integrated Supply Project Dated: October 4, 2018 EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 2 of 51 Table of Contents INTRODUCTION AND EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ................................................................ 4 SECTION 1: INCORPORATION OF FORT COLLINS’ PREVIOUS COMMENTS ........ 6 TO DEIS AND SDEIS .................................................................................................................. 6 SECTION 2: WATER QUALITY-RELATED COMMENTS ................................................ 7 2.1 Glade Reservoir (and Forebay) Water Quality Comments ................................................... 7 SECTION 3: GEOMORPHOLOGY-RELATED COMMENTS ......................................... 19 3.1.1 Inconsistencies and Inadequacies in Geomorphic Analysis in the FEIS Stream Morphology and Sediment Transport Technical Report Must Be Addressed .............................. 20 3.1.2 Inadequacies in Geomorphic Analysis Must Be Addressed ........................................... 22 3.1.3 Additional Analysis Suggest that the FEIS Substantial Underestimates Alternative 2M’s Impacts 23 3.2 Additional Specific Geomorphological Comments on the FEIS......................................... 24 3.2.2 Reduction of Scouring Flows have Been Ignored as an Important Factor in Maintaining Channel Capacity .......................................................................................................................... 26 3.2.3 Reduction of Scouring Flows Has Been Ignored as an Important Factor in Maintaining Channel Capacity .......................................................................................................................... 28 3.2.4 Bio-Geomorphic Feedback Loop Has Been Dismissed Upstream of I-25 ..................... 30 SECTION 4: RIPARIAN-RELATED COMMENTS ............................................................ 33 4.2 Unmitigated Wetland Impacts Must Be Mitigated .............................................................. 35 SECTION 5: RECREATION-RELATED COMMENTS ..................................................... 42 5.1 Impacts to Boating and Tubing Are Underestimated .......................................................... 42 SECTION 6: SOCIOECONOMIC-RELATED COMMENTS ............................................. 43 6.1 The FEIS Fails to Include Any Analysis of Property Value Diminution ............................ 43 EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 3 of 51 SECTION 7: AIR QUALITY-RELATED COMMENTS ..................................................... 44 7.1 Northern Should be Required to Mitigate Air Quality Impacts .......................................... 44 SECTION 8: WILDLIFE-RELATED COMMENTS ............................................................ 45 8.1 Impacts to Wildlife from a Slow Change in Riparian Habitats Must Be Mitigated ............ 45 8.2 Impacts to Fish Should Be Mitigated .................................................................................. 46 SECTION 9: ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT COMMENTS ................................................. 48 9.1 The Adaptive Management Plan Should Be Revised to Meet the Goals of Mitigation and Enhancement ................................................................................................................................. 48 EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 4 of 51 INTRODUCTION AND EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The City of Fort Collins (“Fort Collins”) respectfully submits to the United States Army Corps of Engineers (“Corps”) these comments on Final Environmental Impact Statement, dated July 2018 and issued on July 20, 2018 (“FEIS”), and its associated technical reports and related documents, regarding the Northern Integrated Supply Project (“NISP” or “Project”) proposed by the applicant, the Northern Colorado Water Conservancy District (“Northern” or “District”). Reference materials are identified in the comments. These reference materials constitute part of these comments. Fort Collins reserves all rights to supplement these comments on the FEIS and/or NISP, as may be appropriate. To the extent permitted by the short comment period, Fort Collins has completed a thorough, scientific review of the FEIS under the Clean Water Act, 33 U.S.C. § 1251 et seq. (“CWA”), the National Environmental Policy Act, 42 U.S.C. § 4321 et seq. (“NEPA”), and other relevant authority. Fort Collins completed this review through expert Fort Collins staff and consultants listed in Appendix A. Fort Collins was founded and is located along the Cache la Poudre River (“Poudre River”). The Poudre River is a significant amenity and resource for Fort Collins in numerous respects and is cherished as a defining element of the city and community. As described below, Fort Collins has invested significant resources into the Poudre River, including through the use of two wastewater treatment plants, by purchasing land along the river’s banks, improved flood conveyance to protect and enhance public safety, and using it for recreation and economic enhancement. It is difficult to overstate the meaning and significance of the Poudre River to Fort Collins and its community. Fort Collins is located downstream of the Project’s primary points of diversion on the Poudre River, and thus stands to bear the brunt of NISP’s impacts. While Fort Collins understands and appreciates the needs of other communities to develop their water supplies in environmentally- responsible ways, Fort Collins must take reasonable actions to protect its assets and investments. Fort Collins has thus sought through these comments a pragmatic approach of focusing on Alternative 2M, direct impacts to Fort Collins, and ways to improve mitigation of the Project’s impacts. See 40 C.F.R. § 230.93(a)(1) (regarding compensation for all “aquatic resource functions that will be lost as a result of the permitted activity.”). Fort Collins’ comments are organized by general topic area. The following is a brief summary. SECTION 1: Incorporation of Fort Collins’ Previous Comments to DEIS and SDEIS. Fort Collins incorporates by reference its comments on the original draft and supplemental draft environmental impact statements for NISP. SECTION 2: Water Quality-Related Comments. Fort Collins concerns regarding water quality focus on three primary areas of impacts to Fort Collins: degradation of river water quality; impacts to Fort Collins’ wastewater operations; and impaired waters (303(d)) listing. As set forth in detail below, Fort Collins proposes additional mitigation measures that are needed address these impacts. With respect to certain impacts to Fort Collins’ wastewater operations, additional information is needed in order to Fort Collins to understand such impacts. EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 5 of 51 SECTION 3: Geomorphology-Related Comments. There are certain deficiencies in the FEIS regarding impacts of NISP operations on river geomorphology, particularly the impacts of NISP on increased flood risk and Poudre River health and function through Fort Collins. Among other recommendations, Fort Collins recommends flow-based mitigation in the form of a three-day peak flow bypass in all years and a minimization of abrupt changes in the “descending limb” of the hydrograph. Additional necessary mitigation is set forth in detail below. SECTION 4: Riparian-Related Comments. Fort Collins continues to be concerned over potential underestimation of impacts to riparian and wetland habitats. The focus of these comments is on the sufficiency of mitigation for impacts. Among other recommendations, any approval of NISP must include mitigation for Poudre River wetland functional losses and losses of stream function. Additional necessary mitigation is set forth in detail below. SECTION 5: Recreation-Related Comments. Over decades, the City has spent tens of millions of dollars acquiring and improving land along the Poudre River, building recreation amenities on those lands, and restoration natural habitat. The FEIS does not appear to have properly addressed the impacts from NISP to recreation. SECTION 6: Socioeconomic-Related Comments. The FEIS property value analysis focuses exclusively on flood risks; no analysis has been provided regarding the diminution of property values near the Poudre River and within Fort Collins’ municipal limits should reduced river flows adversely impact the riparian forest. SECTION 7: Air-Quality-Related Comments. As stated in the FEIS, there will be demonstrable impacts to NOx and VOC, which contribute to the formation of ozone. NISP should employ dust control strategies during construction that are consistent with Fort Collins’ dust control ordinance. Additional necessary mitigation is set forth in detail below. SECTION 8: Wildlife-Related Comments. The FEIS fails to recognize that the loss of wetland and riparian habitat is a real and cumulative change that must be mitigated regardless of the time needed for this change to occur or the rate of change. Northern Water should be required to monitor and quantify reductions in habitat and develop actions to restore or replace as impacts are identified, and to adequately address such issue through adaptive management. Additional necessary mitigation is set forth in detail below. SECTION 9: Adaptive Management Comments. Fort Collins agrees with the description provided of adaptive management in the Conceptual Mitigation Plan. However, Fort Collins is concerned that certain omissions will lead to an ineffective adaptive management program and presents the following recommendations to remedy this concern. Specific recommendations to improve the adaptive management program are set forth below. [Remainder of Page Left Blank Intentionally] EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 6 of 51 SECTION 1: INCORPORATION OF FORT COLLINS’ PREVIOUS COMMENTS TO DEIS AND SDEIS Fort Collins hereby incorporates by reference its comments on the original DEIS for NISP, including comments on the regulatory framework, which Fort Collins provided on September 10, 2008, and its comments on the SDEIS for NISP, including comments on the regulatory framework, which Fort Collins provided on September 2, 2015. The original DEIS and SDEIS contained flaws that rendered it insufficient under NEPA and the rules and regulations and guidelines thereunder, the Clean Water Act, and the rules and regulations and guidelines thereunder, and other relevant legal requirements. The Corps has addressed some of the comments made by Fort Collins and other stakeholders. However, the FEIS remains inadequate for the Corps to adequately discharge its obligations under these requirements and, as discussed herein, underestimates various impacts. [Remainder of Page Left Blank Intentionally] EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 7 of 51 SECTION 2: WATER QUALITY-RELATED COMMENTS 2.1 GLADE RESERVOIR (AND FOREBAY) WATER QUALITY COMMENTS 2.1.1 The Initial Fill of Glade Reservoir Must Be Addressed FEIS Section 4.3.2.2.1 “Glade Reservoir would likely experience a trophic upsurge and trophic depression in the initial decade following the first filling of the reservoir (Hydros 2018f). Water quality in the reservoir during this period is uncertain and would likely differ from the long-term results simulated with Glade Reservoir water quality model. Since there is no reliable, well-tested method for predicting the magnitude and duration of the tropic upsurge period, and because no data during the trophic upsurge is available for a similar reservoir, the analysis for Glade Reservoir is limited to a qualitative discussion with a high degree of uncertainty. “Assuming nutrient concentrations are approximately twice as high in the period following initial fill than those simulated in the water quality model suggests that the TN and TP concentrations could range from 500 to 800 ug/L and 24 to 30 ug/L. TN and TP concentration in Glade Reservoir could therefore potentially exceed the applicable in- reservoir interim numeric values of 426 ug/L and 25 ug/L during the reservoir transition period. Additionally, internal loading of NH3 and ortho-P could likely be relatively high as well, due to decomposition of organic material in the existing soil and vegetation at the Glade Reservoir site. Elevated nutrient concentrations… could increase the impact of Glade Reservoir releases on water quality in the Poudre River. “Depending on the timing and relative magnitude of releases from Glade Reservoir, the elevated nutrient concentration could increase nutrient concentrations in the Poudre River and potentially increase algae and periphyton growth downstream of the release point to the river.” Comment: The Glade Reservoir water quality model predicts water quality during the post- filling phase of reservoir operations. Due to data and modeling constraints acknowledged in the FEIS, a simulation of water quality during the filling period was not conducted, nor is feasible. As a result, there is a great deal of uncertainty around water quality of releases during the first decade of operations. At this time, it is unclear if the water quality certification under Section 401 of the Clean Water Act (“401 Certification”) will consider the two distinct operational phases for the Project, and as such, it is unclear how the risks to downstream Poudre River water quality will be managed. Furthermore, it is unknown to what extent the expected increases in nutrient levels will impact water quality in Segment 11, within which Fort Collins has two permitted wastewater discharge points for Fort Collins’ Mulberry and Drake Facilities. The effluent discharge limits that are calculated as part of the respective permits are based on a 5-year records of historical water quality of the receiving water, in this case, Segment 11 of the Poudre River. As such, future discharge permits for the Mulberry and Drake Facilities will convey the financial and operational EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 8 of 51 burden of water quality impacts caused by NISP during the filling phase onto Fort Collins’ wastewater operations through stricter permit conditions, which translate to additional operational and technological control measures. Recommendation: If the 401 Certification process does not include specific conditions for the filling phase of Glade Reservoir, Northern should be required to expressly include in its proposed adaptive management plan, specific water quality targets for the filling phase that minimize impacts to downstream water quality to the same extent that the 401 Certification requires for the post-fill, full reservoir operations. 2.1.2 Degraded Forebay Water Quality Is a Concern and Must Be Monitored Glade Reservoir Water-Quality Model Report Section 5.7.8 “As previously described, water diverted to Glade Reservoir would flow into a forebay before being pumped into the reservoir. The forebay would store approximately 2,500 AF (including ~500 AF of dead pool) with a surface area of approximately 100 acres (0.4 km2). Given the size of the forebay, there is potential for changes in water quality, particularly temperature, during temporary storage in the forebay… The impact of temporary storage in the forebay on temperature and water quality depends on several factors, including meteorology, inflowing temperature and water quality, and flow rates. The changes in water quality and temperature are typically greatest at low inflow rates, due to the longer residence time in the forebay under these conditions (1 week or more). Changes also tend to be large when diversions begin, since diverted Poudre River water mixes with water that has been stored in the forebay. When inflow rates are high, the forebay has less of an impact on water quality, since the residence time in the forebay is relatively short under these conditions, on the order of 2–3 days. Generally speaking, temporary storage in the forebay results in increases in water temperatures of ~1.7 °C (3 °F) on average, though this can vary from -3.5 °C to +7.5 °C (- 6.3 °F to 13.5°F). DO decreases by ~0.5 mg/L on average and changes range from -1.5 mg/L to +1.5 mg/L. Nutrient concentrations (ortho-P, NH3, NO3) typically decrease due to algae growth in the forebay, particularly when flow through the forebay is low. TOC concentrations also decrease slightly as organic matter is mineralized in the forebay.” Comment: The forebay is small, shallow (~8 m) and will not allow for significant dilution of nutrients (such as phosphorus and nitrogen, which typically are the factors limiting maximum growth potential of algae in a standing water body). When concentrations are high, the forebay the forebay could become eutrophic, promoting the growth of suspended algae. This would most likely occur when low flow or no flow is entering the forebay and thus minimal dilution. Such conditions would likely be temporary, but algal growth response to nitrogen and phosphorus can be very rapid (e.g. populations can double in less than a day), which can produce an algal bloom in a matter of days. If the forebay is stagnant, which it likely will be at times under conditions that are outlined for its management as part of Alternative 2M, algal blooms are likely. EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 9 of 51 Furthermore, forebay algal blooms involving undesirable algal species, such as some species of blue-green algae (cyanobacteria), could also have an undesirable effect on the species composition of phytoplankton within Glade Reservoir. The forebay could, in fact, serve as a source of undesirable algal species in the reservoir, adversely affecting the species composition of reservoir phytoplankton. It is recognized that a nuisance bloom of algae in the forebay would not directly cause downstream impairment on the Poudre River because the water will enter Glade Reservoir prior before being discharged to the Poudre River. However, because the inlet to Glade Reservoir is near the outlet, there is the risk that degraded water from the forebay will not be well-mixed in Glade Reservoir before entering the Poudre River. As such, reservoir releases have the potential to degrade downstream waters. Recommendation: To avoid having degraded water from the forebay being flushed into the Poudre River and affecting the water quality of the Poudre River, Fort Collins recommends that chlorophyll a be monitored as part of Northern Water’s long-term water quality monitoring program, as generally described in the 2017 Fish & Wildlife Mitigation & Enhancement Plan. Triggers for management action should be identified in adaptive management plans and should support meeting the interim chlorophyll a cold water Lakes and Reservoir Standard for Direct Use Water Supply Reservoirs of 5 ug/L (5 CCR 1002-31), slated for adoption in 2022. 2.2.3 Releases of Glade Reservoir Water Must Be Monitored to Address Hypoxia Glade Reservoir Water-Quality Model Report Section 7.2.1.2 “The simulations suggest that summer algae growth may cause local DO maxima in the metalimnion (see profile on 7/21/1998), but the decomposition of these algae may also cause a metalimnetic minimum to form later in the year (see profile on 9/15/1998). Toward the end of the stratified season, hypoxic (< 2.0 mg/L) DO conditions can develop at the bottom of the reservoir. In years with higher storage volumes in Glade Reservoir, such as in 1998, the hypoxic conditions are generally limited to the bottom 10 – 20 feet of the reservoir, representing a small fraction of the overall hypolimnion volume, while DO concentrations in the rest of the hypolimnion remain higher (typically around 4 – 6 mg/L). In years with lower storage, such as 1993, the hypolimnion of Glade Reservoir is much smaller and low DO concentrations are more likely to impact a large fraction of the hypolimnion prior to fall turnover (Figure 44). Once the reservoir turns over in the fall, DO concentrations near the bottom are replenished and are relatively uniform throughout the water column.” NISP Fish and Wildlife Mitigation and Enhancement Plan 5.2.1.5 “Currently, it is expected that both the low flow pipeline release and the high flow canal release would incorporate a chute feature at their outfalls into the Poudre River that contain either baffles or steps to increase dissolved oxygen and dissipate energy to prevent channel erosion, or contain in channel rock structures that would serve the same purposes.” Comment: Modeling reported in the FEIS and supporting documents shows that hypoxia is expected in the hypolimnion of Glade Reservoir. However, the documents assert that the EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 10 of 51 impacts from the degraded quality of water released to the Poudre River from Glade Reservoir will be insignificant. The hypolimnetic releases from Glade Reservoir to the Poudre River during periods of hypoxia (oxygen depletion) could contain dissolved manganese, iron, and other metals and metalloids that are commonly released in dissolved form from hypoxic sediments of lakes. If released directly to the Poudre River, the dissolved metals could cause downstream reaches to exceed water quality standards. The 2017 Fish and Wildlife Mitigation and Enhancement Plan specifies that Northern will construct a passive aeration pathway for water being delivered out of Glade Reservoir so that the released water will be oxygenated when it merges with the Poudre River. This design feature of the outlet will likely be successful in oxygenating hypoxic waters that are leaving Glade Reservoir, which will promote oxidation of dissolved substances such as manganese, iron, or other metals or metalloids near the point of discharge. Oxidation of metals does not always occur quickly, however, and may not be complete in transit to the river even following successful oxygenation of outflow water. Also, oxidation of metals is not a full solution to the potential problem of excessive concentrations of metals that pass from the lake sediments to the hypolimnion because of hypoxia. Precipitated (solid) forms of metals, in addition to dissolved forms, are subject to numeric standards promulgated by the State of Colorado (through the Colorado Water Quality Control Commission) that limit concentrations of total metals (dissolved plus particulate). Therefore, even complete elimination of metals in dissolved form would not resolve the potential water quality problem of excessive concentrations for total metals in water reaching the Poudre River. In addition to metals, phosphorus in dissolved form is often released from hypoxic sediments and could cause exceedance of future stream standards for total phosphorus. Although not currently regulated, the Colorado Water Quality Control Commission has issued interim numerical values for total phosphorus and nitrogen, which are slated for adoption in 2027 (5 CCR 1002-31, Section 31.17). Release of fixed nitrogen (i.e., excluding N2, which is inert) is less likely, but ammonia is frequently present in hypoxic water. Ammonia, which is strictly regulated under Regulation 31 (5 CCR 1002-31), would not be fully oxidized during aeration at the discharge site. Recommendation: To avoid degradation of Poudre River water quality by Glade Reservoir releases, it is recommended that total and dissolved metals, ammonia, total nitrogen, and phosphorus be monitored at the reservoir outlet as part of Northern Water’s long-term water quality monitoring program, as generally described in the 2017 Fish and Wildlife Mitigation and Enhancement Plan. Triggers for management action should be identified in adaptive management plans and should support meeting existing standards as well as the Interim Values for cold water Lakes and Reservoirs for Total Nitrogen and Total Phosphorus (5 CCR 1002-31). Northern must prepare a contingency plan that includes design features and costs for hypolimnetic aeration of Glade Reservoir by a process that prevents disruption of water column stratification as a means of offsetting adverse effects of deep water release from the reservoir, if such effects are documented through water quality monitoring. EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 11 of 51 2.2 POUDRE RIVER WATER QUALITY COMMENTS 2.2.1 Uncertainties Inherent in the Modeling Process Must be Addressed by Northern Cache la Poudre River Water-Quality Analysis Effects Report Section 1.3 “In February 2009, the Corps decided that a common technical platform (CTP) would be developed for several key resources potentially affected by NISP, the proposed Halligan Water Supply Project and the Seaman Water Supply Project. The CTP was developed such that environmental effects to multiple resources—surface water, groundwater, water quality, geomorphology, aquatic habitat, riparian habitat, etc.—occurring as a result of NISP, Halligan, and Seaman projects could be compared against consistently-defined current conditions hydrology and future conditions hydrology. With three proposed projects located primarily in a single river basin and potentially impacting some of the same reaches of that river, it is important that each EIS represent the river basin using a CTP that is based on consistent data and assumptions regarding key operational aspects. To meet this objective, a series of integrated hydrologic models known as the CTP model sequence was developed to simulate current conditions hydrology, future conditions hydrology, project alternatives scenarios, and cumulative effects of the proposed project alternatives.” Comment: There is a level of uncertainty inherent to water quality modeling that is reflected in the described Poudre River water quality impacts from Alternative 2M. This level of uncertainty is magnified by the fact that information about other future proposed reservoirs expansions was not available at the time of modeling. Recommendation: Northern should be accountable for mitigation of water quality problems caused by Glade Reservoir, including unexpected exceedance of stream standards not predicted by current modeling. 40 C.F.R. § 230.10(d) (no CWA Section 404 permit shall be issued “unless appropriate and practicable steps have been taken which will minimize potential adverse impacts”). Moreover, Northern should work with other stakeholders to strengthen and integrate existing water quality monitoring programs on the Poudre River and use proposed adaptive management framework to mitigate the effects of changes in water quality resulting from NISP operations. The CWA and NEAP require the FEIS and Record of Decision include adequate mitigation measures. See Robertson v. Methow Valley Citizens Council, 490 U.S. 332, 352 (1989) (stating that mitigation measures should be “reasonably complete” and be discussed in “sufficient detail”); Bering Strait Citizens for Responsible Res. Dev. v. United States, 524 F.3d 938, 955 (9th Cir. 2008) (explaining that mitigation measures should be developed to a “reasonable degree”). Courts have rejected adaptive management plans where agencies have failed to use definite criteria or standards. See, e.g., Natural Res. Def. Council v. Kempthorne, 506 F. Supp. 2d 322, 387 (E.D. Cal. 2007) (“Adaptive management is within the agency's discretion to choose and employ, however, the absence of any definite, certain, or enforceable criteria or standards make its use arbitrary and capricious under the totality of the circumstances.”); Nat'l Wildlife Fed'n v. U.S. Army Corps of Eng’rs, 92 F. Supp. 2d 1072, 1078 EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 12 of 51 (D. Or. 2001) (explaining that the Corps’ adaptive management approach provided the court with insufficient information to rule on summary judgment). 2.2.2 Northern Must Be Responsible for 303(d) Listing Issues Cache la Poudre Water-Quality Analysis Effects Report Section 3.3 “As a basis for the qualitative analysis, five questions were addressed for each constituent. The purpose of these questions was to develop multiple lines of evidence regarding potential changes in constituent concentrations… Proxy constituents, in this context, are constituents quantitatively evaluated in the model that demonstrate similarity in sources and behavior to a constituent evaluated qualitatively. In this case, quantitative estimates of concentration changes for a proxy constituent can be used to help inform the qualitative evaluation of a related constituent. The evaluation and interpretation of these individual lines of evidence provide an estimate of potential direction and magnitude of changes in water quality. Recognizing the inherent uncertainty of this process, the results are descriptive in nature and provide less detail than quantitative estimates.” Comment: There is a lack of regulatory context for water quality impairment predicted by the modeling underlying the FEIS. Specifically, some degradations of river water quality by Alternative 2M are identified by modeling, as given in the FEIS and supporting documentation, but are not framed in terms of 303(d) listings. See 33 U.S.C. 1313(d). It is important that the Corps impose binding permit conditions on Northern to guarantee Northern’s duty to assist Fort Collins or other affected parties in correcting and mitigating water quality problems resulting from the Project that either cause a new 303(d) listing that did not exist prior to implementation of the Project or exacerbate an existing 303(d) listing. The following are examples from the FEIS where 303(d) listing may occur or existing listing may be exacerbated as a result of Alternative 2M: • Segment 12 of the Poudre River is currently on the Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment’s (“CDPHE”) Monitoring and Evaluation List due to elevated pH and Segment 12 regularly exceeds the State’s interim nutrient criteria. Changes in peak flows during May-July in Segment 12 of the Poudre River are predicted to significantly increase temperature, nutrient concentrations, sediment aggradation and periphyton standing crop near the Fossil Creek confluence. Combined, these changes may negatively impact the aquatic life community within this reach and increase the likelihood of 303(d) listings for nutrients, pH and dissolved oxygen (with increased photosynthesis and metabolism). • Concentrations of selenium and iron in Segment 12 near the Fossil Creek confluence are also predicted to increase during May-July. Concentrations of these constituents are already elevated as compared to aquatic life standards. • Segment 12 of the Poudre River is currently on the 303(d) list because the recreational use is impaired due to elevated E. coli concentrations. During May-July, this segment is predicted to see large increases in E. coli concentrations; the higher end of the range of predicted increase would be above the CDPHE’s standard. The timing of the loss of dilution flows will make it even more difficult to meet the standard. A total maximum EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 13 of 51 daily load (“TMDL”) for this segment is currently being developed by CDPHE; it is very important that the State of Colorado recognize the timing and magnitude of flow reductions when developing TMDL models and assigning load and waste load allocations. • Water temperature near the transition between Poudre River Segments 11 and 12 (near the Boxelder Creek confluence with the Poudre River) is predicted to increase considerably under current and future conditions using Alternative 2M. It can be assumed that these temperature changes would also occur on the Poudre River at the outfall of the Drake Water Reclamation Facility (“Drake Facility”) and the Poudre River below the Fossil Creek confluence. These changes would increase the risk of exceeding CDPHE’s aquatic life warm water temperature criteria in both segments and could affect Fort Collins’ ability to discharge to the Poudre River. Recommendation: Northern should commit to being involved as a stakeholder during any 303(d) listing process and/or TMDL development, and commit to adjusting Glade Reservoir operations where possible to help reduce constituent concentrations of interest. In addition, Northern Water should commit to work with other stakeholders to strengthen and integrate existing water quality monitoring programs on the Poudre River and use an adequate proposed adaptive management framework to mitigate the effects of changes in quality and reduced flows on aquatic life. 2.3 FORT COLLINS WASTEWATER OPERATIONS COMMENTS 2.3.1 Northern Must Not Reduce Dilution Flows at the Mulberry Water Reclamation Facility Discharge Location Cache la Poudre River Water-Quality Analysis Effects Report Section 1.2.2 “Alternative 2M is a modified version of NISP Alternative 2 and is the Applicant’s preferred alternative. As with Alternative 2, Alternative 2M would include construction of Glade Reservoir and Upper Galeton (Figure 3). Also, like Alternative 2, these new reservoirs would be filled by diversion to the Poudre Valley Canal and the SPWCP, respectively. There is, however, one key difference between Alternative 2 and Alternative 2M. Alternative 2M is designed to increase the amount of water in the river between the Poudre Valley Canal and the Mulberry Water Reclamation Facility (Mulberry WRF) outfall. This is achieved by delivering a fraction of the water to Participants via a new diversion. This new diversion would be located immediately above the Mulberry WRF outfall (RM 43, Figure 3) to maintain higher water quality for delivery to project Participants. Water is either left in the river through lower diversions at the Poudre Valley Canal (compared to Alternative 2) or added back to the river by release from Glade Reservoir for subsequent diversion at the new NISP diversion location downstream (~0.1 miles upstream of the Mulberry WRF outfall). As a result, flow rates during low flow periods tend to be higher from the Poudre Valley Canal to the Mulberry WRF outfall for Alternative 2M as compared to Alternative 2.” EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 14 of 51 FEIS Section 4.3.2.6.1 “The Mulberry WRF discharges to the Poudre River downstream of the Lincoln Street Gage (Figure 4-20). Chronic annual low flow values decrease from 1.6 cfs under Current Conditions hydrology to 1.4 cfs and acute annual low values remain unchanged at 0.2 cfs. Beneficial effects can occur at times due to requirements associated with the exchange of diversions from the Larimer-Weld Canal to the Poudre Valley Canal. Chronic WQBEL values are slightly lower for all modeled water quality constituents in Alternative 2M except E. coli. Changes are typically less than 3% compared to Current Conditions hydrology. Acute WQBEL values are unchanged. Chronic ammonia WQBEL values are generally less than 2% lower than Current Condition Effects in the majority of months. Acute ammonia WQBELs show increases and decreases of less than 2% or no change depending on the month. Chronic MWAT temperature WQBELs from April to September for Alternative 2M are less than 0.8°C higher than Current Conditions hydrology, while acute DM values range from zero to 1.1°C higher than Current Conditions hydrology.” See also FEIS Sections 4.2.5.4, 5.3.4.2.5-6, 5.3.4.4, S.6.2.1.2, 5.3.4.2.1-5.3.4.2.7, 4.3.2.5.1,4.3.2.6.1, 4.3.2.6.2, 5.3.4.5.2 regarding specific constituents. Comment: Without a specific mitigation requirement for Alternative 2M, effluent limits established at 5-year intervals by Colorado Water Quality Control Commission permitting of treated wastewater discharge by the Mulberry Water Reclamation Facility (“Mulberry Facility”) likely will become more stringent as a result of reduced dilution flow in the Poudre River near the Mulberry Facility’s outfall. The discharge permit limits for Fort Collins’ Mulberry Facility are calculated based on the available dilution flows in the Poudre River at the permitted outfall. These dilutions flows allow for less stringent effluent limits than would be required without these flows. Under the Mulberry Facility’s current five-year permit, the annual regulatory dilution (regulatory low flow) for Mulberry Facility is 1.6 cfs for chronic (30-day) low flow and is 0.2 cfs for the acute low flow. Because of the relatively small size of the permitted effluent discharge (6 mgd, 9.3 cfs), the small dilution flows are significant to Fort Collins in meeting effluent limits. Flow that in the past has reached the Mulberry Facility derives from diffuse upstream sources, including ground water accretions and some small overland flow in wet weather. Most critical is ground water accretions, which persists even in dry weather. Under Alternative 2M, a new NISP diversion of flow from the Poudre River will occur 0.1 mile above the Mulberry Facility outfall. Therefore, the diversion structure will receive the diffuse flow that was received in the past by the Mulberry Facility. In theory, strict water administration could allow the Mulberry Facility to continue to receive the dilution flow as in the past, and Northern could, at the same time, take the full amount of water from the Poudre River corresponding to its deliveries upstream (less transit and other losses). In reality, however, several complications that make this outcome very unlikely to succeed in providing dilution flows for the Mulberry Facility. EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 15 of 51 Water flows to be managed at the new Poudre River diversion by Northern will be large compared with the small amount of water that would match the flows that are now reaching the Mulberry Facility. Therefore, as a practical matter, ensuring that Northern only takes the water equal to its deliveries from Glade Reservoir (less transit and other losses) will need to occur on a day-to-day basis, and would require the installation and operation of appropriate monitoring equipment for water flow in small amounts at and below the diversion. Northern could thus inadvertently deprive the Mulberry Facility of a portion of these flows because of estimation errors in accounting for water losses in the Poudre River that occur between the upstream point of delivery of Glade Reservoir water into the Poudre River and the downstream point of re-diversion of such water. Although standard allowances likely will be made for these losses (e.g., 0.25% per mile), the allowances are estimates, and the needed flow for the Mulberry Facility likely falls within the margin of error for the estimated losses. Thus, the estimates will likely lead to reductions of the historical flow for the Mulberry Facility in some instances. The Water Quality Control Division, which issues discharge permits at five-year intervals, uses an algorithm (known as “DFLOW”) for quantifying the dilution flow credit for a wastewater discharge. The basis for the DFLOW calculations is a daily record of discharge. DFLOW calculates low flows for acute (1-day) and chronic (30-day) conditions; the lowest daily and monthly DFLOW values are used as annual regulatory flows. Weekly DFLOWS also are calculated. Specific water quality constituents differ in application of DFLOW values. For example, for chronic conditions, metals follow annual DFLOWs, temperature follows weekly DFLOWs, and ammonia follows monthly DFLOWs. In other words, all time intervals are significant in application of DFLOW to determination of effluent limits. The DFLOW algorithm chooses low flows based on the daily record. The algorithm is complex; it does not identify the single lowest flow as the regulatory limit, but DFLOW values typically are close to the lowest flow. Because the computation is based on daily data, a few days per year of zero flow would reduce the acute low flow to zero, and would reduce the chronic low flow, which is calculated from running 30-day averages. Furthermore, because the calculations are made from a 10-year record of flow, even one year during which small flows were improperly managed could result in a very adverse DFLOW values for chronic and acute conditions used in permitting. Therefore, the flow management related to regulatory flows, which has not been necessary in the past because of the natural flow conditions, is quantitatively more demanding than typical water management for the amounts of water that are of interest to Northern. Some specific consequences for the Mulberry Facility that would result from depletion or loss of low flows as calculated from the DFLOW algorithm include lower (more stringent) effluent limits for the many constituents that are subject to water quality standards. These would include heavy metals, for example or, in the future, concentrations of total nitrogen, total phosphorus, and increasingly stringent standards for ammonia. Depletion or loss of regulatory low flows also would have an adverse effect on compliance with the temperature standard. For some of these constituents, a requirement that the Mulberry Facility meet stream standards without the benefit of dilution could exceed the capabilities of the facility, which would lead to a regulatory demand for major changes in the facility. EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 16 of 51 Failure of the Mulberry Facility to meet standards could create new 303(d) listings for the Poudre River below the discharge or exacerbate recognized water quality problems that currently exist. Knowingly contributing to the increase of concentrations in a 303(d) listed segment is not allowed by the regulatory authority. See 40 C.F.R. 230.10(b)(1) (The Corps cannot permit a project if it contributes to a violation of water quality standards). Recommendation: Northern should be required to guarantee a minimum flow of 2 cfs at the Mulberry Facility’s point of discharge to ensure that historical low flows are maintained on a daily, monthly, and annual basis for both acute and chronic conditions at the point of discharge. This should be achieved with accurate flow monitoring of water that merges with effluent form the Mulberry Facility. Alternatively, Northern should agree to bear the cost of renovating the Mulberry Facility as needed to comply with stream standards in the absence of effluent dilution. 2.3.2 Flows for the Mulberry Water Reclamation Facility Were Calculated Incorrectly and Must Be Corrected Cache la Poudre River Water-Quality Analysis Effects Report Section 3.4.1 “Low-flow values were calculated using the EPA software package DFLOW (v4.0; Rossman, 1990). This software allows the calculation of acute and chronic low-flow values from a series of daily flow values. The acute low flow (1e3) used to develop WQBELs for acute conditions is the one-day low flow with a three year recurrence interval. WQBELs for chronic standards use the chronic low flow (30e3), which is a 30-day average low flow with a three year recurrence interval. The WQBEL for the maximum weekly average temperature (MWAT) is based on the 7-day average low flow with a three year recurrence interval (7e3). Individual monthly low-flow values are used as input values for the ammonia and temperature WQBELs. Annual low-flow values, calculated as the minimum of the monthly low-flow values, are used for other WQBEL calculations. A 26-year period (November 1979 through October 2005) of daily flow values was used for the calculation of low-flow values. Monthly low flows from the CTP model were disaggregated to provide this 26-year period of daily flows. The methods and basis for this disaggregation are described in Hydros (2018c). In the case that the acute low flows calculated from DFLOW were higher than the corresponding chronic low flow, the acute low flow was set to the chronic low flow. This methodology is consistent with methods used by CDPHE (CDPHE, 2011).” Cache la Poudre River Water-Quality Analysis Effects Section 4.2.4 (Table 6) Statement: “Table 6. Maximum WWTF Discharge Rates (cfs) for Current (Run 1) and Future (Run 2) Conditions” Facility Name Run 1 Run 2 Mulberry 3.8 5.7 Boxelder 5.5 8.0 Windsor 2.0 2.0 Carestream 2.0 2.0 EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 17 of 51 Front Range Energy 0.46 0.46 Greeley 21.8 34.6 Leprino 0.99 0.99 Comment: Estimates of the effects of Alternative 2M on effluent limits at the Mulberry Facility were made incorrectly with historical effluent flows rather than with design capacity effluent flows, which are higher, as required by the Colorado Water Quality Control Division for permitting purposes. Additionally, regulatory low flows for permitting of the Mulberry Facility facility were modeled on the basis of a 26-year upstream flow record, which obscures variance across individual 10-year intervals, as used in permitting. Recommendation: The analysis must be revised based on the above comments before a CWA permit can be issued by the Corps. See 33 C.F.R. 325, Appendix B, Section 9.B.13 (The Corps “should consider all incoming comments and provide responses when substantive issues are raised which have not been addressed in the final EIS.”); Alliance to Save the Mattaponi v. U.S. Army Corps of Eng’rs, 606 F. Supp. 2d 121, 132 (D.D.C. 2009) (requiring Corps to “demonstrate that it has considered significant comments and criticisms by explaining why it disagrees with them; it may not dismiss them without adequate explanation.”). 2.3.3 Poudre River Water Quality Based Effluent Limits Should Be Analyzed FEIS Section 5.3.4.5 “The constituents, temperature, and ammonia WQBEL analysis and calculation of low flows provides an approximation of values based on water quality and temperature modeling and predicted flows (Hydros 2018H). Results of the analysis for the eight WWTFs on the Poudre River for Future Conditions Effects and Cumulative Effects should be considered as the estimated direction and relative magnitude of change for comparison of alternatives, rather than absolute values.” Examples of model results of adverse stream impacts in Segment 11 are found in FEIS Section 5.3.4.2.5 (Total Nitrogen) and FEIS Section 5.3.4.2.6 (Total Phosphorus). Examples of model results of increased WQBEL values are found in FEIS Section 5.3.4.5.1 (Mulberry Facility) and FEIS Section 5.3.4.5.2 (Drake Facility). Comment: The water quality modeling completed for the FEIS does not quantitatively describe the forecasted changes in water quality constituent concentrations in Segments 11 and 12 of the Poudre River. Rather, it merely describes the direction and relative magnitudes of change that the project alternatives will have on the Poudre River water quality. An EIS must properly consider the effects of a proposed action which requires “some quantified or detailed information”; general statements about possible effects “do not constitute a hard look.” Klamath-Siskiyou Wildlands Ctr. v. Bureau of Land Mgmt., 387 F.3d 989, 993-94 (9th Cir. 2004) (holding that while qualitative statements at times are suitable, there are “clearly variables that can be quantified”). EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 18 of 51 This omission is important because water quality based effluent limits (“WQBEL”) calculations are based on the water quality of the stream receiving the discharge in addition to impacts from reduced stream flows. If there is degradation from NISP activities of stream water quality at a discharge outfall, it will result in more stringent effluent limits for the discharger when the permit is renewed. The water quality modeling results predict some adverse impacts to Segment 11 of the Poudre River, where both the Mulberry Facility and the Drake Facility have permitted discharges. The WQBEL analysis in the FEIS confirms that these reduced flows and water quality impacts from NISP will have an adverse impact on the operations of Mulberry and Drake Facilities, but do not provide a quantitative net effect. Furthermore, it clearly states that outputs should not be compared to regulatory standards and are for alternative comparisons only. Without a quantitative description magnitude, duration and frequency of changes caused by NISP for key water quality constituents and without correcting errors in WQBEL calculations (See comment 2.3.2), it is impossible for Fort Collins to estimate the impact the of these likely changes to future wastewater discharge permit limits or to estimate the associated financial impact the Fort Collins would incur because of required upgrades to meet those new stricter limits. It is expected however, that even small negative changes in receiving water quality could translate to very large financial impacts, as a direct result of NISP. Recommendation: Northern should be required to prepare a quantitative estimate of net impacts to Fort Collins’ effluent limits for all water quality constituents included in the City’s current wastewater discharge permits, including industrial pretreatment operations, to inform planning process and enable estimation of potential financial impacts to Fort Collins. Without a quantitative analysis, Northern cannot fully and adequately assess the impacts under NEPA and the CWA. Wyoming Outdoor Council v. U.S. Army Corps of Eng’rs, 351 F. Supp. 2d 1232, 1244 (D. Wyo. 2005) (explaining that “impacts to water quality should be considered when there is the potential that a § 404 permit will significantly affect water quality”); see also San Juan Citizens All. V. U.S. Bureau of Land Mgmt., No. 16-cv-376-MCA-JHR, 2018 WL 2994406, at *18-19 (D.N.M. June 14, 2018) (holding that by failing to quantify the impacts of water quantity, BLM “failed to meet its duty to take a hard look at the environmental impacts of the proposed action”). [Remainder of Page Left Blank Intentionally] EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 19 of 51 SECTION 3: GEOMORPHOLOGY-RELATED COMMENTS The Poudre River’s geomorphological response to Alternative 2M is a key concern for Fort Collins because it directly affects flood risk and stream functions. The following comments describe the City’s concerns over the accuracy of the predicted impacts on flood risk and Poudre River health and function that are described in the FEIS. Fort Collins is a national leader in flood management. Decades of strategic investments in reducing flood risks have resulted in Fort Collins being one of only seven communities in the United States with a FEMA Community Rating System (“CRS”) score of 2 or lower, and the only Colorado community with a CRS score under 5. The Class 2 CRS rating results in many benefits including a 40% reduction in flood insurance premiums in Fort Collins. To ensure that Fort Collins’ nationally-recognized flood management program continues to be effective, the Poudre River’s capacity to carry flood flows must be sustained. The Poudre’s capacity to carry flood waters fundamentally depends on: 1) maintaining the depth and width of the river channel, and 2) minimizing increases in resistance to flow. Unless capacity reductions are adequately addressed, flood risk will be increased in Fort Collins. Aquatic and riparian functioning condition are directly reliant on geomorphic condition as well. Fish and riparian birds depend on insects that emerge from the bottom of the river as a critical food source. If the spaces between the substrate of rocks on the bottom of the river (also known as the river “bed”) become clogged with sand and silt, then many of these types of river insects will be reduced in numbers and the food base will increasingly become dominated by more worm-like species that are a less preferable food source for cold water and transition zone fish. In a healthy river, annual flows that fill or nearly fill the river channel clean and rejuvenate the river bed. The spring flows that fill or nearly fill the river channel have the power to flush away sand and silt between rocks and open up spaces in the river bed that provide safe habitats with plenty of dissolved oxygen for river insects to grow and for fish to spawn. If the power of these annual floods is reduced by the water diversions proposed for NISP, the river could cross a threshold where the spaces between the gravels in the river bed are rarely cleaned and the insect and spawning habitats are no longer maintained often enough to support the life cycle needs for various river life. The end result would be a loss of essential habitat and food sources for many animals and these effects could cascade throughout the river ecosystem The flows that maintain the river’s capacity to carry floods are the same flows that clean the river bed and maintain the food base for trout and birds. Thus, effective management and maintenance of peak river flows in terms of how often and how long they occur year by year can create a win-win situation: valuable benefits for flood management, infrastructure, recreation, and wildlife. Fort Collins has significant concerns about the conclusions in the FEIS and these concerns are supported by internationally renowned subject matter experts and based on FEIS flow data, fundamentals of geomorphic theory, local analysis, and other observational lines of evidence. Fort Collins’ perspective, based on FEIS hydrology, is that: EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 20 of 51 • NISP will reduce the river’s capacity to move sediment through the City. • NISP will accelerate the establishment of woody vegetation along the river channel, thereby reducing the capacity of to convey flood waters in the river channel. • NISP will reduce the flows that clean the river bed and maintain the food base for trout, birds, and other wildlife (in terms of both how often and how long the flows do the work of cleaning the river bed). The interplay between water and physical elements (geomorphology) in a post-NISP world will determine outcomes for both flood risk and ecosystem health. For this reason, Fort Collins is relying on underlying geomorphic analyses to demonstrate logical internal connections, the use of substantiated theories, observational models that include the full suite of field evidence and consistent reporting across FEIS documents. Fort Collins remains extremely concerned that NISP FEIS and associated geomorphic analyses does not meet this criterion. Fort Collins remains concerned that NISP will cause measurable changes to channel size and the river’s physical condition and that the FEIS inadequate analyses lead to underestimation of impacts and insufficient mitigation. Fort Collins has reviewed the FEIS and related reports to understand the assumptions, methods, analyses, and conclusions reached regarding the current conditions of the Poudre River and the potential impacts of NISP operations. The Stream Morphology and Sediment Transport Technical Report presented conclusions on impacts to the Poudre River from NISP flow operations, including conclusions pertaining to potential impacts to various environmental flows, sediment transport, vegetation encroachment, and channel narrowing. In response to deficiencies in those reports and conclusions, additional analyses were performed to garner a better understanding of how NISP might impact resiliency and flood risk in Fort Collins, as it pertains both to the Poudre River and the people affected by its flood storage benefits, recreational values, and ecological functions. These additional analyses included hydraulic modeling of a wide range of flow conditions in the river, calculations of bed mobility and sediment transport capacity, historic data review, and field observations and measurements. The results of these analyses are presented and interpreted in Appendix B (referred to herein as the “Fort Collins Geomorphology Report”). From these analyses, three general comments have been identified and are discussed below. 3.1 GENERAL GEOMORPHOLOGICAL COMMENTS ON THE FEIS 3.1.1 Inconsistencies and Inadequacies in Geomorphic Analysis in the FEIS Stream Morphology and Sediment Transport Technical Report Must Be Addressed Comment: The basis for the selected geomorphology methods and conclusions are not supported by the best available science and data. See 40 C.F.R. § 1500.1(b) (NEPA requires “high-quality . . . accurate scientific analysis”); New Mexico ex rel. Richardson v. Bureau of Land Mgmt., 565 F.3d 683, 713 (10th Cir. 2009) (explaining that an agency must consider “the relevant data and articulate a rational connection between the facts found and the decision made”). The Corps cannot rely on inaccurate data or assumptions. See Native Ecosystems EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 21 of 51 Council v. U.S. Forest Serv., 418 F.3d 953, 964-65 (9th Cir. 2005) (holding that “to take the required ‘hard look’ at a proposed project’s effects, an agency may not rely on incorrect assumptions or data in an EIS”); see also Sierra Club v. Van Antwerp, 526 F.3d 1353,1368 n.6 (11th Cir. 2008) (stating that the Corps “must independently evaluate the information” and “shall be responsible for its accuracy”) (quoting 33 C.F.R. § 325 App. B. § 8(f)(2)). Also, the interpretation of those results is not always consistent with the results themselves. A wide range of flow magnitudes was used during the studies leading up to the FEIS and assumed to satisfy the flushing criteria. The figure below presents a graphic illustration of how the range of flows required to meet the selected definition of flushing flows changed throughout the process leading to the FEIS. (In this figure, “FFR” refers to Flushing Flows Report, 2017.) The range is ultimately a reflection of shifting definitions, changing assumptions, and an apparently arbitrary selection key values. The final range of flushing flow values used in the FEIS ignores the detailed sediment transport calculations presented previously in EIS documents that reflect the considerable complexity and variability of sediment transport dynamics along the Poudre River. The value used in the FEIS appears to be a value based on a flow recurrence interval, though the basis for that interval is uncertain. Given the long history of flow extraction and channelization on the Poudre River through Fort Collins, recurrence intervals are moving targets that poorly characterize the modern hydrologic and sediment regimes. Furthermore, Fort Collins is unaware of any peer-reviewed justification for the determination of a flushing flow value based on a particular recurrence interval discharge. While there is no absolute legal requirement that a methodology be peer reviewed, an agency must acknowledge and discuss any flaws in its chosen method. All. For the Wild Rockies v. Bradford, 720 F. Supp. 2d 1193, 1222 (D. Mont. 2010) (holding that the “Forest Service [could] not simply rely on [a study] as the best scientific information available; it must acknowledge and discuss any flaws”). 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 10000 SDEIS: Using every cross section and D50 FFR: Using riffle cross sections and (2- 64mm) FFR: Using Q2 as Baseline Flushing Flow values Flushing Flows (cfs) Range of Flushing Flows Results Average Flushing Flow Result EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 22 of 51 The FEIS also dismisses many of the impacts on the assumption that the Poudre River is sediment supply-limited. The FEIS includes similar statements when presenting the results of technical analyses, but then disregards or downplays them in the FEIS’s conclusions. The argument for minor impacts hinges on the assumption that the Poudre River through Fort Collins is “sediment supply limited.” However, this assumption is unfounded because sediment supply has not been quantitatively assessed to verify the asserted supply limited classification. The CWA and NEPA require that the Corps and Northern meaningfully assess these impacts and correct errors pointed out by Fort Collins, including the flow values used in the FEIS. See Sierra Club v. United States Army Corps of Engineers, 701 F.2d 1011, 1029 (2d Cir. 1983) (An EIS must ensure “the integrity of the process of decision by giving assurance that stubborn problems or serious criticisms have not been ‘swept under the rug.’”). The results of additional Fort Collins analyses show that the flood capacity and habitat quality of the Poudre River is susceptible to episodic inputs of sediment. Further, the reductions in sediment transport capacity produced by the selected alternative and proposed mitigation plan will exacerbate the channel narrowing and loss of flood capacity currently observed in the Fort Collins reaches of the Poudre River. While a stronger physical signature of sediment storage may exist downstream of I-25, the Alternative 2M will reduce the transport capacity of river reaches in Fort Collins to levels below those now experienced downstream of I-25. This will exacerbate the channel narrowing and sediment storage already observed upstream through Fort Collins. The FEIS disregards this key conclusion based on an unsupported assumption that the channel is sediment supply limited. See Or. Natural Desert Ass’n v. Jewell, 840 F.3d 562, 570 (9th Cir. 2016) (finding a violation of NEPA because “inaccurate information and unsupported assumption materially impeded informed decisionmaking and public participation”). Risk and consequence are extremely high for Fort Collins due to broad implications for impacts to flood mitigation, infrastructure, recreation, and wildlife habitat. 3.1.2 Inadequacies in Geomorphic Analysis Must Be Addressed Comment: The modeling methods and assumptions used in the FEIS are inadequate to predict and evaluate the impacts of NISP on sediment flushing and flood risk. The incorporation of other assessment methods that add context to and qualify the modeling calculations, lead to conclusions contrary to those presented in the FEIS. Under the CWA, when the Corps receives contradictory evidence, it must “conduct a thorough examination of the record [and] explain why it has rejected or ignored contradictory evidence.” Islander E. Pipeline Co. v. Conn. Dep’t of Envtl. Prot., 482 F.3d 79, 99–100 (2d Cir. 2006). Uncertainty in the shear stress calculations and comparison with the tracer rock observations suggest that capacity and competence calculations, performed with 1D model hydraulics, are alone insufficient for the determination of flushing flows. Other evidence needs to be considered along with more rigorous analytical tools. It is apparent from field investigations (presented in the attached Fort Collins Geomorphology Report) that a biofeedback loop is occurring on the Poudre River through Fort Collins and the results presented in the EIS documents indicate that EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 23 of 51 NISP will exacerbate this channel narrowing behavior and ultimately increase flood levels and risk to private property and infrastructure located in the floodplain. 3.1.3 Additional Analysis Suggest that the FEIS Substantial Underestimates Alternative 2M’s Impacts Comment: The evidence presented in the attached Fort Collins Geomorphology Report establish that the anticipated changes to Poudre River flows from Alternative 2M will reduce flood carrying capacity and simultaneously degrade riverine habitat. The expected stream response to Alternative 2M will include rapid vertical accretion of bars at the channel margin leading to a reduction in conveyance; recolonization of the newly formed bars by vegetation leading to increased roughness; and an associated reduction in channel topographic complexity, leading to a homogenous, more canal-like Poudre River. The cumulative impacts equate to increased flood risk and decreased ecologic function through Fort Collins. A discussion of the cumulative environmental impacts is an essential part of the environmental review process. Colo. Envtl. Coal. v. Office of Legacy Mgmt., 819 F. Supp. 2d 1193, 1213-14 (D. Colo. 2011) (holding that the agency had failed to adequately address the cumulative impacts of its decision). As a national leader in flood management, Fort Collins has made substantial investments in mitigation of flood hazards along the Poudre River corridor. Fort Collins has embraced the vision of a healthy and resilient Poudre River. Fort Collins has official policy to support such health and resiliency improvements. Increases in flood risk and alterations that require increased maintenance (cost and time investment) to sustain current levels of flood protection are not acceptable and impose additional risk on Fort Collins. Additionally, changes to flushing flows are unacceptable when they notably reduce the ability of the channel to maintain the current active width, as this limits in perpetuity Fort Collins’ ability to achieve its vision of a healthy and resilient river Sweeping fine particles from the surface of the river bed is not a sufficient flushing objective for Fort Collins, nor is it based in a realistic understanding of how the channel bed functions. Without effective channel maintenance flows, increases in channel roughness resulting from encroachment of woody vegetation that increases in height and stiffness over time will lead to reduced flow conveyance in the channel, channel straightening, and a reduction in habitat diversity. As predicted by Fort Collins’ Ecological Response Model0F 1 , the channel will shrink and become more limited in its capacity to absorb and convey large flood events within current floodplain extents. Fort Collins will need to invest more heavily in maintenance to avoid increased flood hazards. The proposed mitigation measures are unrealistic; conveyance will be lost in locations where adjacent land is not available to be repurposed for flood mitigation. Overall, Fort Collins’ additional analyses indicate that: • Sediment transport processes on the Poudre River may be currently functioning more than the FEIS and associated reports indicate; and 1 See https://www.fcgov.com/naturalareas/eco-response.php EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 24 of 51 • The Poudre River has adequate sediment supply to generate substantial accumulation along the channel margin, building new surfaces upon which vegetation can colonize and, as a consequence, triggering further sediment storage. Field-based results have also underscored the uncertainties inherent in analyses of river bed mobilization based on one-dimensional and uncalibrated hydraulic models. The FEIS relies heavily on computer modeling alone, but the additional Fort Collins analyses (including the attached Fort Collins Geomorphology Report) show that these tools in isolation are insufficient to understand the impacted river processes and must be tempered with field evidence. See Mountaineers v. U.S. Forest Serv., 445 F. Supp. 2d 1245, 1250 (W.D. Wash. 2006) (holding that an agency failed to adequately assess the cumulative impacts of a proposed action because no actual “in-the-field study” had been conducted and the agency had simply relied upon a general, hypothetical analysis). These findings suggest that the predicted impacts of Alternative 2M on current conditions presented in the FEIS may be significantly underestimated. 3.2 ADDITIONAL SPECIFIC GEOMORPHOLOGICAL COMMENTS ON THE FEIS 3.2.1 Peak Flow Operations Program Is Unclear and Its Adverse Impacts Are Not Considered FEIS Section 4.4.3.1.2 “The Peaks Flow Operations Program would reduce the impacts of Alternative 2M on flushing flows that are ciritcal to spawning habitats for fish. […] From a hydrologic perspective, the Peak Flow Operations Program would increase the frequency of peak flows to more closely resemble the recurrence interval for historic hydrologic conditions. It would also lessen the impacts of Alternative 2M on geomorphology and sediment transport associated with reduced occurrence of peak flows (2% exceedance and 1- to 2- year floods). […] The Peak Flow Program does not specify what ither flow range would be reduced in order to maintain firm project yield. Without additionla detail, the overall impact of Alternative 2M with the Peak Flow Operations Program on overall stream morpholpgy and sediment transport id unknown. In the absence of more detailed informaiton, the impact of Alternative 2M with the Peak Flow Operations Program would remain minor upstream of I-15 and moderate downstream of I-25, as described in the impact summary (Table 4-50). The overall effect on flushing flows after considering the Pleak Flow Operations Plan would be minor.” FEIS Section 4.2.3.3.1 “Northern Water developed a Peak Flow Operations Program to minimize the potential effect of NISP operations on peak flows, which act to flush out course gravels and help maintain spawning habitat. […] Following the peak flow event, Northern Water would attempt to increase diversions and make up a portion of the volume bypassed assuming the Grey Mountain water right remained in priority.” EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 25 of 51 FEIS Section 4.1.1.3 “Effects determinations include consideration of avoidance, minimization and enhancement measures that would either avoid causing an effect or minimize the effects intensity.” FEIS Section S-24. “Forgoing of diversions to implement the peak flow operation program is not intended to reduce overall project yield. To maintain firm yield of the project, Northern Water would increase diversions in the Poudre Valley Canal up to 1,700 cfs immediately following the peak flow operational period. Additional days of diversion at the end of the runoff hydrograph may be necessary to make up the bypassed volume. Compensation of the full bypassed volume would ideally be made up within the same year if conditions were favorable. If the bypassed volume was not recovered within the same year, it would be made up in subsequent years through increased diversions.” Comment: One of the key principles presented throughout the FEIS is that changing flows will affect Poudre River ecosystems and habitats. While Fort Collins appreciates the effort taken by Northern to develop the Peak Flow Operations Program, Fort Collins has certain key concerns. First, the Peak Flow Operations Plan is described in the 2017 Fish and Wildlife Mitigation and Enhancement Plan.1F 2 However, there is some uncertainty regarding how certain aspects of the Peak Flow Operations Plan will be implemented, which results in uncertainty regarding how many peak flow bypasses will result. This leaves Fort Collins with uncertainty over the future hydrology and the degree to which flushing flows will occur. The following is an example of this uncertainty: • Table 6 of the 2017 Fish and Wildlife Mitigation and Enhancement Plan describes that the operational tiers will be determined partially based on whether the streamflow forecast indicates if the streamflow will be greater or less than the average. However, how the streamflow will be forecasted and how the average will be calculated is not explained. Second, it appears that Project diversions following peak flow bypasses will be increased, which will likely have different impacts that do not appear to have been analyzed. This time period following peak flows (“descending limb”) is ecological and recreationally significant. However, impacts to the Poudre River from such a modified descending limb are not analyzed in the FEIS. The conceptual image below is Fort Collins’ current understanding of how NISP’s peak flow operations Program may affect current flows. The impacts to the descending limb will shorten duration of peak flows which will result in impacts to geomorphology, riparian and wetland habitat. It may cause more rapid declines in river flow, which could preclude successful establishment of cottonwood seedling. Rapid declines in flow could also cause stranding of fish and affect critical life cycle behaviors such as spawning and migration patterns of the small 2 Under Tier 2a of Peak Flow Operations Program, bypasses will occur only to the extent that it is necessary to bring the flow at the Canyon gage up to 2,800 cfs. As indicated in previous comments, Fort Collins disagrees with the use of the 2,800 cfs value for flushing flows. EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 26 of 51 native fish. It could reduce sediment transport and increase aggradation through Fort Collins which would result in increased flood risk. Last, if flows at the tail end of the descending limb are reduced, there will be a greater impact on boatable day. This makes it difficult to understand Project impacts and the sufficiency of mitigation. 3.2.2 Reduction of Scouring Flows have Been Ignored as an Important Factor in Maintaining Channel Capacity Stream Morphology and Sediment Transport Technical Report Section 2.7.2 “Reduced duration of flows that generate motion of bed material has implications both upstream and downstream of I-25. In both cases it implies that the river is predicted to move less sediment through the system under Alternative 2M than under current conditions hydrology. […] As a second order effect, the truncated periods of bed material motion is predicted to decrease the opportunity for scouring of in-channel vegetation from bars, islands and channel margins. […] Where the supply of material that makes up the bed is limited, such as in the Fort Collins and Laporte Reaches, reduced movement of bed material under Alternative 2M is likely to lead to lower rates of change of in-channel bars, islands, benches, and channel form. […] There are very few cases where an isolated occurrence of bed material motion is predicted to be lost altogether. This leads to the general finding that while the duration and frequency of bed material motion is predicted to be less for Alternative 2M, the time between occurrences of bed material motion is not greatly impacted by Alternative 2M. The spells analysis suggests that the time between occurrences of bed material motion is not generally increased under Alternative 2M, so to the extent that colonization of vegetation is dependent on the existence of a stable substrate, no significant change in the rate or extent of new colonization is expected.” a conceptual image of future flows with NISP compared to today’s flows Flows May June July EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 27 of 51 Comment: The FEIS states that the ability of flows to scour away encroaching woody vegetation (to reduce channel narrowing and roughening) depends on the duration of scouring flows. The FEIS also states that Alternative 2M will reduce the duration and frequency of scouring flows, but not generally increase the time (spells) between occurrences of scouring flows. However, the FEIS then states that only the existence of a stable substrate affects encroaching woody vegetation. This underlies the FEIS’s conclusion that Alternative 2M will not cause significant change in the rate or extent of new vegetation encroachment, particularly in reaches that are claimed to be sediment supply limited. These FEIS statements are contradictory and the conclusion is not supported by evidence. Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Ass’n v. State Farm Mut. Auto. Ins. Co., 463 U.S. 29, 43 (1983) (holding that an agency acts arbitrarily and capriciously when its “explanation for its decision . . . runs counter to the evidence before it”). If the effectiveness of scouring flows is duration dependent and Alternative 2M will reduce duration, then it follows that Alternative 2M can lead to increased vegetation encroachment. This direct link between duration and vegetation scour has widespread concurrence in peer-reviewed scientific literature (Pasquale et al., 2011; Edmaier et al., 2010). The FEIS makes no link and points to no evidence in the available body of literature on time between occurrences and vegetation scour. Alternative 2M will decrease peak flow duration, magnitude, and frequency – all of which are documented in scientific literature as having the potential to increase vegetation encroachment and therefore flood risk (Poff and Zimmerman, 2009). The assertion that upper reaches of the Poudre River are sediment supply limited is also not supported by evidence. Utahns for Better Transp. v. U.S. Dep’t of Transp., 305 F.3d 1152, 1187 (10th Cir. 2002) (holding that a Corps Section 404 decision was arbitrary and capricious because it was not supported by record evidence). Recent events and watershed disturbances including fires in the upstream watershed have resulted in substantial storage of sediment in the river channel and the formation and expansion of new bars and vegetated islands (see the attached Fort Collins Geomorphology Report). In the lower Fort Collins reaches, particularly from Prospect Road to I-25, current conditions include substantial fine sediment aggradation. Furthermore, woody vegetation establishment is widely documented to occur in rivers with low sediment supplies. Increased vegetation encroachment will increase flood risks through Fort Collins because woody vegetation increases flow resistance and causes sediment to accumulate. This increases flooding width and depth, as well as reduces the river’s capacity to safely carry floods through Fort Collins unless additional capacity is provided to offset the loss. EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 28 of 51 3.2.3 Reduction of Scouring Flows Has Been Ignored as an Important Factor in Maintaining Channel Capacity Stream Morphology and Sediment Transport Technical Report Section 2.10 Possible Impact Laporte Reach Fort Collins Reach (plus Timnath Reach upstream of I-25) Loss of morphologic complexity Bed material moves at about 28% of the cross sections under both current conditions and Alternative 2M hydrology. Average duration of bed material movement is reduced by 18% for Alternative 2M. Spatial variability of biotopes is provided by existing bed forms and the proliferation of diversion structures. Spatial variability is predicted to be maintained under Alternative 2M, but temporal variability is predicted to be reduced because of reduced flow variability. Channel contraction Sediment transport potential is predicted to be reduced throughout the river under Alternative 2M Under Alternative 2M total transport potential is reduced by 5% to 30%. Transport potential to move sand and gravel is reduced by 3% to 305, and 8% to 31%, respectively, under Alternative 2M Together with the reduced sediment transport capacity, a slight reduction in effective discharge suggests an ongoing tendency toward channel contraction in this reach as the result of Alternative 2M. But the response is predicted to be constrained by the limited supply of material available for deposition. A model based on observed historic response predicts that the reach is supply limited and that processes of channel contraction will be insensitive to the changes in sediment transport potential that are attributable to Alternative 2M. The persistence of in-channel vegetation is expected to increase and this could encourage channel contraction even without abundant sediment. However, the average time between scouring events is not greatly altered so the rate of growth of vegetated areas should not be greatly affected. The spells analysis suggests that the time between occurrences of bed material motion is not generally increased under Alternative 2M, so to the extent that colonization of vegetation is dependent on the existence of a stable substrate, no significant change in the rate or extent of new colonization is expected. Sediment transport potential is reduced by around 40% across a broad range of flows but the effective discharge remains unchanged at about 2,000 cfs. The effective discharge suggests an ongoing trend of channel contraction, but this is the same for current conditions hydrology and Alternative 2M and channel contraction is predicted to continue to be constrained by the limited supply of material available for deposition. The reduced duration of high flows suggests an increase in vegetation persistence. Vegetation may cause channel contraction by colonizing bars and channel margins but there is little change in the average time between high (scouring) flows between current conditions and Alternative 2M, so no rapid expansion in vegetated area is expected. The spells analysis suggests that the time between occurrences of City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 29 of 51 Poudre River has a capacity to move sediment that exceeds the supply of sediment from upstream – and specifically on observations that “[i]n general, the bed is armored with cobbles and coarse gravels that only move rarely in response to high flow periods” (SDEIS 2013 pg. 9- 4). Further, the FEIS states that because the coarse material on the river bed is rarely mobilized, the finer material underneath is rarely released; thus, the river is thought to generally have a lack of sediment supply upstream of I-25. This condition is coupled with observations upstream of I- 25 that, “Bars, islands and marginal deposits do form, but signs of consistent, contiguous aggradation are not evident” (SDEIS 2013 pg. 9-4). The observations that upstream of I-25 is sediment supply limited and lacks signs of large scale aggradation ultimately leads to the broad assertion that aggradation is not a current issue and will not be an issue under future NISP conditions. In 2018, Fort Collins conducted field investigations to provide multiple lines of evidence for better understanding Poudre River sediment supply upstream of I-25. The lines of evidence confirm that the methods used in the FEIS and related reports to estimate the future risk of sediment build up are inadequate for assessing sediment dynamics on the Poudre River (see the attached Fort Collins Geomorphology Report). Analysis results show that the Poudre River is susceptible to episodic inputs of sediment and that the reductions in transport capacity that would result from NISP will exacerbate the narrowing and shrinking capacity of the river channel currently observed in the Fort Collins reaches. The FEIS documents appear to reach this same conclusion. The results of Fort Collins tracer rock study (see the attached Fort Collins Geomorphology Report) suggest that the coarse bed material of Poudre River through Fort Collins is more mobile than depicted in the FEIS which asserts the bed is largely armored and immobile. Further, the methods used to quantify the mobility of the river bed did not adequately predict the mobility of the bed following the 2013 flood and five subsequent wet years. Due to this, high uncertainty exists in the percentages reported for which cross sections are mobile and how much the preferred alternative might reduce that number. The result is that the extent to which each of the alternatives will impact the Poudre River is still not understood. Wild Earth Guardians v. U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, 870 F.3d 1222, 1237 (10th Cir. 2017) (explaining that NEPA’s purpose is to “prevent uninformed agency decisions”). Understanding the physics of whether a channel is sediment supply limited or capacity limited fundamentally requires a comparison between sediment supply and transport capacity over a range of flow events (Montgomery & Buffington 1997). Sediment supply has not been quantitatively assessed in the FEIS documents. Based on the definitive scientific paper on this subject (Montgomery & Buffington 1997), the Poudre River would be classified as capacity limited both above and below I-25. Evidence from Fort Collins field investigations showing vegetation encroachment and aggradation indicate that while historic channel forms have been strongly influenced by land-use and development, the Poudre River is capacity limited above I-25 during some high flow events and upstream watershed conditions. Sediment supply, however, is now more episodic in nature (associated with moderate flows). While a stronger physical signature of sediment storage may exist downstream of I-25, the FEIS predicts preferred alternative will reduce the transport EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 30 of 51 capacity of the reaches in Fort Collins to levels below those now experienced downstream of I- 25, thus exacerbating the channel narrowing and sediment storage currently observed upstream in the urban reaches. 3.2.4 Bio-Geomorphic Feedback Loop Has Been Dismissed Upstream of I-25 Stream Morphology and Sediment Transport Technical Report FEIS Section 2.10 “In overview, the trajectory of the river condition is expected to continue under both current conditions and Alternative 2M hydrology. “Based largely on an observational model of response to current conditions hydrology, the trends that were identified in the Baseline Report are expected to continue and be more severe downstream of I-25 than upstream of I-25 because: • sediment supply in the size fractions relevant for deposition is more limited upstream of I-25 than downstream; and • bio-geomorphic processes involving vegetation establishment on benches and bars prevail more downstream of I-25 compared to upstream. Assessments of the effects of the Alternative 2M compared to the current conditions hydrology amplify the trajectory of the river conditions identified in the Baseline Report reflected in continuing channel contraction, fining of surficial material, and loss of channel complexity.” FEIS Section 3.4.2.3.5 “The natural system is often able to accommodate considerable change in its controlling parameters without a consequential response, until some threshold is reached beyond which major response is initiated. […] The likelihood of such non-linear response thresholds can be elucidated by observation or space for time substitution, but accurate prediction is generally beyond current analytical techniques….in a potentially aggrading reach, progressive reductions in the frequency of moderate to large flows may initiate channel contraction until a threshold is reached where the time between flow events allows vegetation to establish to a point that is resists further removal by flow.” Comment: The statements above relies on a largely unstudied assumption that bio-geomorphic feedback loops prevail more downstream of I-25 and presumption that feedback loops upstream of I-25 are therefore un-notable. See Or. Natural Desert Ass’n, 840 F.3d at 570 (prohibiting “unsupported assumptions”). The term bio-geomorphic feedback loop describes the self- perpetuating process where flow reductions cause sediment build up, which creates a narrower and shallower channel and allows persistent woody vegetation to establish, which over time locks in sediment(e.g., via rooting around large rocks), which enables seedlings to become young trees and grow taller and stiffer, which increases flow resistance and causes more sediment build up among the young trees, which continues the loop via continued narrowing and vegetation encroachment. The FEIS uses a related argument that bio-geomorphic feedback loops are less prevalent upstream of I-25 to support recommendations for mitigation downstream, but not upstream of I- EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 31 of 51 25. Fort Collins disagrees with this assertion for two reasons. First, bio-geomorphic feedback loops have been documented in Fort Collins. Second, the relative argument misses the critical point that flow reduction commonly triggers these bio-geomorphic processes. This crossing of a threshold is identified in the FEIS and has been observed on the Poudre River, as well as several other Front Range systems (e.g., Left Hand Creek, South Boulder Creek) that have experienced flow reductions. Fort Collins has conducted initial investigations and presents two field-based lines of evidence suggesting Alternative 2M could increase bio-geomorphic processes upstream of I-25, which would exacerbate flood risk to Fort Collins via tightening, shrinking, and roughening of the channel. This impact can render current floodplain maps obsolete and unprotective. Locally, reduced flows can cause sediment buildup at bridges and culverts, increasing risk of overtopping and damage and requiring expensive preventative maintenance by Fort Collins. Although NISP operations will reduce flood peaks, the resultant flood capacity reductions (systemwide via vegetation encroachment and locally at critical infrastructure) will outweigh any benefits by increasing flood risk. First, the Fort Collins Geomorphology Report presents an analysis of historical aerials and pre- and post-runoff photos that examine vegetation encroachment on channel bars following a large flood event in 1999 and the subsequent dry years until 2012. Additionally, the 2013 flood event was not able to remove much of the woody vegetation that had re-colonized bar surfaces since 1999. Furthermore, 2018 runoff had little effect on seedlings growing along the channel margin. These seedlings, if able to survive, then mature, trap additional sediments, and reduce channel capacity, cycling through the feedback loop. Alternative 2M would likely exacerbate this pattern. Fort Collins Geomorphology Report presents a point bar case study documenting one known bio-geomorphic feedback loop in Fort Collins upstream of I-25. This point bar investigation showed a clear pattern of vegetation encroachment from 1999 to present and up to 4 feet of sediment deposition over that period. Significantly, this bio-geomorphic feedback loop is occurring in a reach with relatively higher transport capacity (compared to downstream), countering the FEIS assumption that the river upstream of I-25 is not at risk of increased aggradation because it is supply limited. While this bar is located within a reach of relatively higher transport capacity, it represents channel behavior at a finer scale than captured by the reach-scale capacity modeling. The dynamics of site-scale features, such as this bar, have the potential to make significant reductions in transport capacity, especially when located near critical infrastructure. Alternative 2M is likely to impact the river upstream of I-25 by creating substantially more analogous, low energy places in the river similar to the examined bar. An important note is that the deposition seen on the bar is not the result of a singular event (i.e., the 2013 floods). The photograph in Figure 18 from the Fort Collins Geomorphology Report shows that around 1.5 feet of extra deposition occurred on the bar from the 2013 event. Therefore, up to 4 feet of deposition observed in 2018 is strong evidence that supply was available in the years following 2013 and that vegetation that had encroached on these bars is trapping sediment and reducing channel conveyance. This observation is in direct contradiction to the conclusion in the EIS documents that the reach is sediment supply limited and shows the EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 32 of 51 channel to be susceptible to episodic inputs of sediment, including fine sediments which the calculations suggest should be moved through the reach. If NISP operations increase the rate of channel contraction occurring through Fort Collins, the lost conveyance puts Fort Collins at greater risk to flooding. 3.3. RECOMMENDATIONS RELATED TO GEOMORPHOLOGICAL COMMENTS Fort Collins makes the following recommendations related to its above geomorphologic comments. Northern should be required to provide, at minimum, a complete three-day peak flow in all years. If the Peak Flow Operations Program remains in effect, Fort Collins requests clarification on the implementation and effects of the program, including how stream flows are required to be forecast and how the averages are to be calculated. Northern should also be required to annually publish notice of how the Peak Flow Operations Program was implemented. Northern should also be required perform additional mitigation to compensate for the apparent lack of analysis of the impacts resulting from increased diversions following the peak flow bypass period (under a complete three-day peak flow or something less under the Peak Flow Operations Program) to address the apparent lack of analyses of such impacts. Northern should be required to establish minimization or mitigation for impacts to the descending limb, given the loss of flows past a three-day period will reduce the overall probability of occurrence for geomorphic functions. Northern should be required to work under express thresholds for geomorphic-related adaptive management items. Subsequently, Northern should be required to perform long-term monitoring of vegetation encroachment on the Poudre River, in addition to long-term monitoring of channel narrowing, sediment accumulation, and habitat degradation. If such long-term monitoring demonstrates an increase in vegetation encroachment, channel narrowing, sediment accumulation, and/or habitat degradation, Northern should be required to take steps to address the impacts, preferably through flow-based approaches. If adequate, flow-based mitigation is not achieved, the City likely need to make expenditures of $300,000 to $400,000 annually for spring and fall river cleanups, repair of banks damage from vegetation encroachment, and removal of vegetation and sediment following flood events to remove blockages at bridges and diversion structures to mitigation the potential for flood risks to Fort Collins. Northern should mitigate such impacts. [Remainder of Page Left Blank Intentionally] EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 33 of 51 SECTION 4: RIPARIAN-RELATED COMMENTS 4.1 THE POUDRE RIVER IS NOT ON A TRAJECTORY OF INEVITABLE DECLINE FEIS Section 4.9.8.1 “All action alternatives would cause reductions in flows and river stages of the Poudre River which are predicted to accelerate and/or reinforce the well-established trajectory.” Comment: Fort Collins disagrees with the assumptions and statements that the Poudre River is on a trajectory of inevitable decline. In the context of mitigation and adaptive management commitments, Fort Collins emphasizes the need for a proper and integrated understanding of the systems’ contemporary condition. Although the FEIS correctly states the Poudre River is compromised by historic and current human influences, the use of this statement to propose a declining trajectory is overly simplistic, erroneous, and misleading. The FEIS concludes in many places that the Poudre River is on a well-established downward decline, and states that this downward trajectory “provides the basis for comparisons related to potential flow alterations”. In the response to comment (3032), the Corps states that “the Corps did not portray the trajectories as negative or positive, but simply disclosed the projected trajectories.” It is unclear how “declining trajectory” could be interpreted as something other than negative. This erroneous representation of the Poudre River serves as the basis for conclusions in various portions of the FEIS, including stream morphology and sediment transport and riparian vegetation community. The FEIS often circularly concludes that, despite potential changes, impacts are minor because the future state is assumed to be worse than current conditions. Fort Collins contends that there are many functioning elements and/or reaches that do not match the FEIS’s assumption of decline. Current scientific theory and approaches to ecosystem management utilize the widely accepted paradigm of multiple stable states, acknowledging that ecosystems can operate under different states or conditions, based on the stressors or disturbance regimes that occur. Thus, rather than being in a declining trajectory, the Poudre River would be in a different “stable state” based on the historic and current human influences that are placed on the river (gravel mining, irrigation diversions, municipal diversions, recreation, etc). However, the FEIS argues that historic disturbances have put the Poudre River on a continued downward trajectory, rather than acknowledging the potential for an alternate stable state under current conditions. The FEIS is therefore not in line with accepted scientific theories, nor is it in line with data collected by Fort Collins. Fort Collins presents the River Health Assessment Framework (“RHAF”) as an integrated assessment framework for this complex dynamic system. The RHAF is an information framework that was used to develop the first State of the Poudre Report. This framework allows for incorporation of a spectrum of data and analyses types to track river health and function depending on the scope and needs of a given program. The RHAF is a close adaptation of the FACstream method which was developed through an EPA 104(b)(3) state wetlands grant program as well as funding from Colorado Water Conservation Board. The results from the first State of the Poudre can be presented at many scales, but even at the coarsest scale (presented EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 34 of 51 below) there is a strong indication this system maintains both strengths and weaknesses that should not be dismissed with the application of a declining trajectory. Results of the 2017 State of the Poudre Report (reprinted from Table 4.1). Recommendation: Mitigation should demonstrably offset impacts at each level of the stream functions pyramid based on contemporary conditions, not a speculative future condition. In order to effectively implement Northern’s existing commitments for mitigation and adaptive management, and to better implement the recommendations in these comments, Fort Collins recommends that the Corps imposes a mitigation objective and response mechanism for each impacted level/component of the Stream Functions Pyramid (see https://www.epa.gov/cwa- 404/stream-functions-pyramid). The RHAF is based on concepts inherent in the Stream Functions Pyramid so the RHAF Indicators and Metrics closely align with concepts presented in the Stream Functions Pyramid. Fort Collins intends to continue to use the RHAF and to place additional quantitative measures within the RHAF to monitor the ongoing health of the river under pre and post-NISP conditions This will inform the City’s perspective on signals and needs for adaptive response actions. The Corps could apply the RHAF in a similar fashion to inform discussions and decisions with the adaptive management stakeholder group. This would enable the Corps to track as-built effects of NISP and more closely meet mitigation requirements and commitments as outlined in the 2017 Fish and Wildlife Mitigation and Enhancement Plan. The City would welcome the opportunity to collaborate on these parallel monitoring and management efforts. EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 35 of 51 4.2 UNMITIGATED WETLAND IMPACTS MUST BE MITIGATED FEIS Appendix B Section 1.5.4 “Mitigation activities are intended to fully mitigate an affected resource, and in many cases, enhance environmental resources and ecological functions.” FEIS Section 4.9.4.3.5 “Alternative 2M would slightly lower the composite functional capacity index score for all riverine surface water and ground water wetlands within 100 feet of the river and most of the groundwater wetlands greater than 100 feet from the river.” FEIS Section 4.9.2.3 “The largest potential effect on functions is predicted to be to riverine surface water supported wetlands and groundwater wetlands within 100 feet of the river banks. The NISP action alternatives could change the functions of these wetlands by altering river stage, inundation, and/or water quality. Effects on riverine ground water wetlands greater than 100 feet from the river banks are also anticipated due to changes in inundation and vegetation structures and complexity.” FEIS Section 4.9.8.3 “Along the Poudre River, wetland functions would decrease for riverine surface water and riverine ground water wetlands. The greatest reductions in composite functional capacity index score are for Alternatives 2 and 3 at Martinez Park.” Comment: In the FEIS, impacts to Poudre River wetland functions are described, with the severity of impacts varying by location. For example, as noted above, the FEIS states that nearly all wetlands within 100 feet of the Poudre River will be impacted. No compensatory mitigation for these unavoidable functional impacts is provided in the Conceptual Mitigation Plan, which is required by the CWA. See 40 C.F.R. § 230.91(a) (purpose of mitigation is to “offset unavoidable impacts to waters of the United States”); id. § 230.11(h) (requiring evaluation and mitigation of “secondary effects” on aquatic ecosystem resulting from project). Table 1 of the Poudre River Wetland and Riparian Mapping technical report, dated February 1, 2018 (with excerpts below), summarizes habitats along the Poudre River that appear to be wetlands and which would subject to functional losses. Wetland Type Acres Riparian Herbaceous - Cattails/Sedges/Rushes 418.8 Riparian Herbaceous-Sedges/Rushes/Mesic Grasses 303.5 Riparian Shrub-Willow 216.4 Total acreage subject to impact 938.7 As summarized above, approximately 938.7 acres of probable wetland habitat within 100 feet of the Poudre River would be impacted. EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 36 of 51 Nearly all these wetlands will be subjected to functional impacts. Fort Collins and its properties along the Poudre River will be adversely affected by NISP and the lack of compensatory mitigation for the wetland impacts noted above. Although the predicted impacts will fall short of outright habitat destruction, Corps regulations do not distinguish between partial and total functional loss in setting mitigation requirements. See 40 C.F.R. § 230.93(a)(1) (stating “fundamental objective of compensatory mitigation is to offset environmental losses resulting from unavoidable impacts to waters of the United States”). Mitigation must compensate for all “aquatic resource functions that will be lost” as result of the project. Id.; see also id. § 230.92 (defining “impact” as any “adverse effect,” and not a complete loss of aquatic ecosystem functions). Recommendations: Any approval of the Project must include compensatory mitigation for Poudre River wetland functional losses as required by Corps regulations as part of offsetting losses to aquatic resource functions. Id. § 230.93(a)(1). Mitigation of Poudre River wetland functional losses must be sufficient to achieve the expressed goals of the Conceptual Mitigation Plan. Id. § 230.94(c) (setting forth criteria for mitigation plan). Compensatory mitigation should be required to offset the incremental functional impairment of these wetlands. Id. Such compensatory mitigation should offset temporal and spatial impacts and other risks, as well as employ a watershed approach in planning. Id. § 230.93(m) (requiring to the extent appropriate “additional compensatory mitigation to offset temporal losses of aquatic functions that will result from the permitted activity.”). 4.3 UNMITIGATED IMPACTS TO STREAM FUNCTIONS MUST BE MITIGATED FEIS Section 4.5.3.3 “For the four river segments that were analyzed (A, B, C, and F), the predicted reductions in maximum river stage would range from about 1.8 feet to 3.0 feet.” FEIS Section 4.4.7.3 “The occurrence of flushing flows would be reduced by a total of 1 to 2 years (out of 26 years). The average duration of flushing flows would be reduced by up to 4.9 days/year and the median duration by up to 12 days/year.” FEIS Section 4.4.7.3 “Sediment transport potential is predicted to be reduced throughout the river. The capability of the river to move bed material is predicted to be reduced between 5% and 30% upstream of I-25.” FEIS Section 4.3.6.2.1 “Adverse effects generally occur in May-August and are more pronounced below the extent of conveyance refinement flows.” FEIS Section 4.12.3.3.1 “Alternative 2M would have an overall minor adverse effect on aquatic.” EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 37 of 51 Fish and Wildlife Mitigation and Enhancement Plan “The mitigation costs are exclusive of costs for other mitigation requirements that will be developed for and required by the Final EIS, 401 certification, and 404 permit.” Comment: According to the Omaha District of the Corps (Corps 2018), stream functions are impacted when adverse changes to hydrology, hydraulics, geomorphology, physicochemistry (water quality), and/or biota occur. The FEIS predicts such impacts as noted in the example statements listed above. The compensatory mitigation included in the 2017 Fish and Wildlife Mitigation and Enhancement Plan is exclusive of the requirements of other applicable legal requirements, including Section 404 of the Clean Water Act. Table 1 of the Compensatory Mitigation Plan indicates that no compensatory mitigation for stream functional losses is being proposed in response to Clean Water Act Requirements. Adequate compensatory mitigation of stream functional losses is critical under the Corps’ regulations, which expressly recognize streams as “difficult-to-replace resources.” 40 C.F.R. § 230.93(e)(3). Compensating for lost stream functions has been a long-standing Corps practice under the CWA. See e.g. Regulatory Guidance Letter 02-2 (December 24, 2002) (superseded by 40 C.F.R. § 230.91) (“Districts should require compensatory mitigation projects for streams to replace stream functions where sufficient functional assessment is feasible.”). The 2008 Final Rule on Compensatory Mitigation for Losses of Aquatic Resources (40 C.F.R. § 230 et seq.) (“Mitigation Rule”) states that compensatory mitigation “involves actions taken to offset unavoidable adverse impacts to wetlands, streams and other aquatic resources.” 73 Fed. Reg. 19,594, 19,594 (April 10, 2008) (emphasis added). Under the Mitigation Rule, stream mitigation plans must contain the same 12 fundamental standards as those applied to wetland mitigation—including adequate baseline information and ecological performance standards. 73 Fed. Reg. at 19,597. The Mitigation Rule requires replacement of stream functions lost as a result of a federally-permitted action, to the degree practicable. 40 C.F.R. § 230.93(e)(1)–(3) (discussing stream mitigation); id. § 230.94(c)(7) (setting forth criteria for work plans regarding “stream compensatory mitigation projects”). The 2017 Fish and Wildlife Mitigation and Enhancement Plan includes mitigation for stream- related impacts to fish and wildlife as described in the Fish and Wildlife Mitigation and Enhancement Plan. However, the Poudre River stream functions that would be adversely affected by NISP go beyond fish and wildlife impacts, and the 2017 Fish and Wildlife Mitigation and Enhancement Plan does not offset all the predicted impacts to Poudre River stream functions. Under the Mitigation Rule, the Conceptual Mitigation Plan must adequately describe the “resource type(s) and amount(s) that will be provided,” “the method of compensation,” and “the manner in which the resource functions of the compensatory mitigation project will address the needs of the watershed,” which include stream functions. 40 C.F.R. § 230.94(c)(2). Thus, the Conceptual Mitigation Plan must adequately offset the adverse impacts to stream functions. Compensatory mitigation for unavoidable stream functional impacts in response to the requirements of the Mitigation Rule was not included in the Conceptual Mitigation Plan, EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 38 of 51 therefore the Conceptual Mitigation Plan does not comply with the Mitigation Rule nor is it consistent with the stated goals of the Conceptual Mitigation Plan as discussed above. Recommendation: Any approval of the Project must provide adequate compensatory mitigation for losses of stream function in and along the Poudre River, including offsets for any predicted temporal and spatial impacts or other risks, and should consider both in-stream and near-stream components of habitats. Systemic impacts should be mitigated with systemic solutions. Three key elements to a systemic solutions are recommended: 1. A three-day peak flow bypass in all years. 2. A recommended approach for minimization of the descending limb is to model historic behavior of the descending limb (i.e. the rate of change as evaluated by year type) and calculate 30% of the historic averages. This new rate, or slope, of the descending limb, would become the flow management goal. The 30% value is proposed as reasonable and practicable value that allows for NISP diversions but retains some characteristics of the natural features of the descending limb. 3. Establish an integrated for flow-physical management plan. Physical manipulations of vegetation or floodplain habitat in advance of the May/June rise in years when flows, combined with NISP flow mitigation plans, are anticipated to be sufficient to support ecological functions. In other words, in an average or above average year, physical manipulation could jump start the processes of scouring encroached vegetation or preparing bare sites in the floodplain for cottonwood establishment could greatly enhance the probability of success these stream functions will occur. Numerous recent restoration efforts in fort Collins clearly shown this approach can be highly successful for supporting cottonwood renewal (as was documented in the City’s comments to the FEIS.) 4.4 UNMITIGATED RISKS TO AQUATIC HABITATS MUST BE MITIGATED FEIS Section 4.4.3.1.2 Section 3.4 of the Operations Report provides a qualitative description of how NISP diversions may be operated immediately following a peak flow operational period. The Peak Flow Operations Plan does not specific what other flow range would be reduced in order to maintain firm yield. Without additional detail, the overall impact of Alternative 2M with Peak Flow Operations Program on overall stream morphology and sediment transport is unknown” Comment: Because impacts of the Project are uncertain, there is significant risk to Fort Collins that impacts to stream and wetland resources will be greater than predicted. Uncertainties described in the FEIS include those regarding how stream flow alterations might affect the in- stream processes that drive aquatic habitat functioning (such as sediment transport), and those regarding how alterations in river flows will affect riparian habitats that support stream functioning. These uncertainties should be addressed through additional mitigation set forth in the Mitigation Plan. See 73 Fed. Reg. 19,594, 19,613 (April 10, 2008) (affording the Corps broad discretion in determining the amount of mitigation “sufficient to replace lost aquatic resource functions”). EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 39 of 51 Fort Collins acknowledges that predictive modeling always includes inherent uncertainty and appreciates the discussion of those uncertainties included in the FEIS. Fort Collins maintains that the uncertainties expressed in the FEIS analyses and confirmed in Fort Collins own analyses constitute real risks, many of which Fort Collins will ultimately bear. Furthermore, because of extensive concerns previously expressed by Fort Collins regarding the adequacy and validity of the science underlying FEIS conclusions, Fort Collins contends this leads to exacerbated level of uncertainty and risk to the accuracy of the predicted impacts. Project risks include under estimation of impacts to stream and wetland resources in terms of severity, extent, and type of impact, as well as, spatial, temporal and watershed-based impacts. The most substantial risk to the Poudre River aquatic system in Alternative 2M is the unknown effect of altering the descending limb of the Poudre River’s hydrograph, as stated above. The risks of analytical uncertainty can be most effectively minimized by improving the flow characteristics of the descending limb of the Poudre River hydrograph, generally by extending the descending limb to make impacts more gradual. Recommendation: A compensatory mitigation plan for unavoidable impacts to aquatic resources, including both stream and wetland habitats, should be developed and that plan should include measures to offset the risks of the predictive uncertainties identified and acknowledged in the FEIS. 4.5 COMPARISONS TO A SPECULATIVE FUTURE CONDITIONS OF A DEGRADED POUDRE RIVER ECOSYSTEM MUST NOT BE MADE FEIS Section 4.18.3.3 Flow reductions along the Poudre for all segments would be a negligible effect. Changes in Poudre River flows are not expected to have an adverse effect on riparian vegetation except to contribute to the trajectory of vegetation changes already occurring. Changes would be gradual over time…. FEIS Section 4.9.4.3 The trajectory previously described for the Poudre riparian resources is predicted to continue with or without the NISP alternatives. Changes in flows associated with Alternative 2M would accelerate and/or reinforce the trajectory but are unlikely to affect existing stands of trees. FEIS Section 4.9.4.3.4 The current trajectory for the plant communities bordering the Poudre River involves less inundation. Comment: Throughout the FEIS, the severity of predicted Project impacts to Poudre River stream and wetland habitats are cast in the light of an assumed on-going downward trajectory of habitat conditions. Although the FEIS suggests that this downward trajectory is well established, Fort Collins contends that it is not. EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 40 of 51 Poudre River stream, wetland, and riparian functioning will be harmed by all NISP alternatives, as noted above. That harm includes the acceleration of the assumed downward trajectory in degradation because that constitutes a temporal impact. In determining compensatory mitigation requirements under Section 404 of the Clean Water Act for unavoidable impacts to aquatic resources, solid benchmarks must be established. The Conceptual Mitigation Plan must include “baseline information” regarding the ecological characteristics of the aquatic ecosystem, including streams. 40 C.F.R. § 230.94(c)(5). A benchmark for pre-NISP functional condition of wetlands is provided in the FEIS and Poudre River Wetland and Riparian Vegetation Mapping technical report, dated February 1, 2018. No such assessment is provided for stream functional condition. Fort Collins understands that compensatory mitigation for Poudre River wetland and stream functional impacts must be included in the NISP Conceptual Mitigation Plan. Moreover, the nature and amount of compensatory mitigation should be based on the conditions characterized at the time of the FEIS and not on a speculative future resource condition at an undetermined time in the future. The Conceptual Mitigation Plan’s “baseline information” should provide a “description of the ecological characteristics” of impacted sites, including “historic and existing conditions.” Id. (emphasis added). Use of a debatable future condition as a benchmark to determine compensatory mitigation requirements for impacts to aquatic resources does not accurately reflect the existing conditions of the Poudre River stream and wetland habitats and does not ensure impacts to existing resources are adequately offset under the Mitigation Rule. See 40 C.F.R. § 230.93(a)(1) (mitigation shall compensate for the “aquatic resource functions that will be lost as a result of the permitted activity.”). Recommendation: All compensatory mitigation for Poudre River aquatic resource impacts must be based on existing habitat conditions as documented in the FEIS. 4.6 MITIGATION SHOULD OCCUR DURING THE INITIAL FILL PERIOD Fish and Wildlife Mitigation and Enhancement Plan Section 5.2.2.4 “…diversions cannot be made through the Poudre River intake if there is insufficient demand from Participants… Fish and Wildlife Mitigation and Enhancement Plan, Section 5.2.2.6 “The operations described for this program would apply to diversions filling storage space in Glade Reservoir that has already once been filled and is no longer under any type of fill restrictions…during this interim initial fill period, filling of storage space that remains underfill restrictions will be consistent with Tier 3 conditions. A bypass could be considered as part of the Adaptive Management Program.” Comment: Fort Collins is concerned about the lack of mitigation during the initial fill period. Both the base flow conveyance refinement and the Peak Flow Operation Program would not begin during this period, which according to the FEIS, Section 4.3.2.2.1, could be up to 10 years. If lower than average water years occur during the initial filling period, the Poudre River may undergo changes that are difficult to reverse. The Poudre River could see a transition to an EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 41 of 51 alternate state (such as a smaller channel and embedded riverbed) that would limit opportunities to optimize river health through future management. Recommendation: Northern should be required to mitigate the impacts during the initial fill period, and to not wait until the Project has been operated for nearly 10 years. [Remainder of Page Left Blank Intentionally] EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 42 of 51 SECTION 5: RECREATION-RELATED COMMENTS Over decades, Fort Collins has spent tens of millions of dollars acquiring and improving land along the Poudre River, building recreation amenities on those lands, and restoration natural habitat. (See the City of Fort Collins Natural Areas Master Plan and Cache la Poudre River Natural Areas Management Plan Update). Fort Collins owns three parks on the River and over 1,800 acres of natural areas. In 2014, City Council adopted a Downtown Poudre River Master Plan that describes a vision for continuing to improve the most heavily visited reach of the River from Shields Street to Mulberry. A regional trail runs the length of the Poudre from Laporte to nearly I-25. 5.1 IMPACTS TO BOATING AND TUBING ARE UNDERESTIMATED FEIS Section 4.16.3.3.2 “Segment B is popular for boating (tubing, canoeing, and kayaking) and is the location of a proposed whitewater park. Compared with Current Conditions hydrology, Alternative 2M would increase the number of days over the boating season (May through September) suitable for tubing and have no net effect on the number of days suitable for kayaking. The number of days suitable for freestyle kayaking would decrease by 8 days, with most of the decrease occurring in May (Table 4-113). Overall, Alternative 2M would have minor beneficial effect on tubing opportunities, no effect on kayaking, and a minor adverse impact of freestyle kayaking in Segment B.” Comment: The FEIS underestimates the reduction of tubing days, and possibly of boating days due to an assumption that tubing can occur at flows as low as 50 cfs. This is based on the proposed wave design of the Fort Collins whitewater park. However, the wave design is intended to concentrate flows to make it possible to tube at 50 cfs. For the most popular tubing reach of the Poudre River, from Shields Street to Lee Martinez Park, it is not possible to tube at 50 cfs. Based on the accumulated experience of Fort Collins Staff, a more accurate minimum flow rate for tubing would be at least 75 cfs. A more enjoyable flow that would make it possible to tube the entire reach without walking would require approximately 150 cfs. Recommendation: The mitigation Northern is required to offset boating impacts should take into account the above analysis and Northern should be required to mitigate these impacts. [Remainder of Page Left Blank Intentionally] EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 43 of 51 SECTION 6: SOCIOECONOMIC-RELATED COMMENTS 6.1 THE FEIS FAILS TO INCLUDE ANY ANALYSIS OF PROPERTY VALUE DIMINUTION FEIS Section 4.20.3.2.2 “In sum, Alternative 2M may have a minor adverse effect on future flood risk and flood damages under a 100-yer flood event downstream of I-25 and a minor benefit on future flood risk and flood damages under a 25-year flood event.” Comment: The FEIS property value analysis focuses exclusively on flood risks; no analysis has been provided regarding the diminution of property values near the Poudre River and within Fort Collins’ municipal limits should reduced river flows adversely impact the riparian forest. Recent private sector investment adjacent the Poudre River, such as the $200 million Woodward Campus development, show the area’s present desirability given the Poudre River’s value as a natural amenity. Recommendation: Northern should be required to mitigate these impacts as described herein. 6.2 SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT ANALYSIS IS INACCURATELY BASED ON PAST DATA FEIS Section 4.20.3.2.4 “there is no direct way to estimate the effect (if any) of changes in peak flows in the Poudre River on business attraction or retention in Fort Collins”, and that “Based on analysis of sales tax data for the City of Fort Collins during the spring and summer of 2012, a very dry year with unusually low flows in the Poudre River, there is no evidence of a systemic relationship between flow levels in the Poudre River and the overall Fort Collins economic conditions.” Comment: These statements are based on past conditions and not the projected development strategies described in adopted community plans. Recent multimillion dollar investment of public and private sector funds has been made to properties proximal to the Poudre River Corridor and many more are expected in the reasonably foreseeable future. This overall vision and strategy to develop employment, housing, lodging and service uses within the area is described in the recently adopted Fort Collins Downtown Plan (2017), and the North College and East Mulberry Corridor Plans. Most of the reasonably foreseeable uses described in the plans are not in the retail category and would, therefore, not be measured through sales tax data. Success of the future community vision expressed in these plans are predicated on a robust and healthy Poudre River ecosystem, with connections and access being made between the Downtown, the Downtown River Corridor, the North College Corridor and the East Mulberry Corridor. The economic impact to recent and projected public and private sector investments proximal to the Poudre River Corridor has not been described. Recommendation: Northern should be required to mitigate these impacts as described herein. [Remainder of Page Left Blank Intentionally] EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 44 of 51 SECTION 7: AIR QUALITY-RELATED COMMENTS 7.1 NORTHERN SHOULD BE REQUIRED TO MITIGATE AIR QUALITY IMPACTS FDEIS Section 4.14 “The CDPHE’s Air Pollution Control Division determined that NISP conforms based on the population analysis and that the project emissions are within the SIP emissions budgets and consistent with the reasonable further progress demonstration in the SIP.” FDEIS Section 4.14 “Northern Water would implement fugitive dust controls as a result of CDPHE’s construction permitting and fugitive dust control regulations.” Comment: Regional impacts on ozone are the most important air quality impact for Fort Collins. As stated in the FEIS, there will be demonstrable impacts to NOx and VOC, which contribute to the formation of ozone. Major sources expected to contribute to these emissions upwind of Fort Collins include temporary emissions from construction activities (up to 15 years), and ongoing operations, including recreational boat traffic (small, high emitting 2-stroke engines) and recreational vehicle traffic to/from reservoir. The FEIS states all projects demonstrate general conformity with the 2016 Moderate Area SIP. Particle and dust emissions will also be expected during construction. Dust is expected to be controlled per CDPHE rules and regulations. Fort Collins has also recently adopted a dust control ordinance that is more stringent than CDPHE regulations. Recommendation: In addition to CDPHE requirements, it is requested that dust control strategies applied are also consistent with Fort Collins’ requirements (such as limited speeds, limited stock pile heights, and high wind work restrictions) as described at (www.fcgov.com/dust). To measure impacts to dust or particulate matter (PM2.5 and PM10), ozone and ozone precursors (NOx and VOC), it is recommended that an air quality monitoring station be installed at the mouth of the canyon, near the communities of Bellvue or LaPorte. It is requested that monitoring occur before, during and after construction, to demonstrate impacts on emissions in these communities, and transported emissions to Fort Collins. Per post-construction operation, it is recommended that the size of the boats be limited, with no allowances for 2-stroke engines that both have relatively high air quality emission and leak raw gasoline (which could also impact water quality). [Remainder of Page Left Blank Intentionally] EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 45 of 51 SECTION 8: WILDLIFE-RELATED COMMENTS 8.1 IMPACTS TO WILDLIFE FROM A SLOW CHANGE IN RIPARIAN HABITATS MUST BE MITIGATED SDEIS Section 4.10.3 “A predicted shift in species composition favoring plant species adapted to greater fluctuations in ground water levels could result in slight habitat changes in Segment B for the common garter snake, northern leopard frog, smoky-eyed brown butterfly, two- spotted skipper and other wildlife that may use these habitats. The predicted changes in vegetation would occur slowly over a long period of time and would likely be negligible and imperceptible given the dynamics of riparian areas. Wildlife using these habitats typically use a wide range of aquatic, wetlands, and riparian habitats and would likely adapt to the new habitat conditions that currently occur within the riparian areas of the rivers.” Comment: The assumption that a slow change in riparian habitats would be negligible and imperceptible and that wildlife would likely adapt to new habitat conditions is repeated throughout the FEIS in Sections 4.10 and 4.11. A loss of wetland and riparian habitat will take place due to a reduction in high flows. See 40 C.F.R. § 230.32(b) (citing loss of habitat due to change in water flows as a factor considered in evaluating impacts to aquatic ecosystems). This loss of habitat is a real and cumulative change that must be considered in assessing the adequacy of mitigation regardless of the time needed for this change to occur or the rate of change. See id. § 230.75 (setting forth minimization measures to address adverse effects on wildlife); see also § 230.93(d) (listing habitat status and trends as factors in determining whether a compensatory mitigation site is “ecologically suitable”). The reduction in habitat is significant and will affect the species mentioned above, along with many other wildlife species. Riparian habitats are very rare throughout Colorado (less than 3% land cover) but have, “the highest species richness of all major ecosystem types in Colorado” (Mammals of Colorado, Second Edition 2011) and 80% of resident bird species depend on them (Colorado Partners in Flight, 2000). The assertion that wildlife will adapt to the new habitat conditions is also incorrect. Many species require specific habitats and will not adapt to changes in relatively short time intervals. Lower river flows will lead to an overall reduction of riparian habitats, which will either lead to a reduction of wildlife species richness and abundance or a change in species composition along the river, regardless of temporal scale or rate of change. The Natural Areas Department has invested considerable financial resources into improving riparian wildlife habitat and ecosystem function through the implementation of several riparian and wetland restoration projects along the Poudre River. Additional restoration efforts are planned through 2025 and beyond. Projects to date have lowered river banks allowing for an increased frequency for overbank flows to reach the floodplain and restore important components of ecosystem function such as natural cottonwood regeneration and a more structurally diverse riparian habitat. EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 46 of 51 Although these projects are designed for a variety of river flows, lower average river flows resulting from NISP represent a diminishing return on wildlife habitat value. Importantly, with fewer overbanking high flows, important ecosystem functions such as cottonwood regeneration and varied riparian habitat structure will be negatively affected. Recommendation: Northern should be required to monitor and quantify long and short-term reductions in habitat and develop actions to restore or replace as impacts are identified, and to mitigate such impacts. 8.2 IMPACTS TO FISH SHOULD BE MITIGATED Aquatic Biological Resources Technical Report Section 2.4.2.1 “There are no standard approaches and each project developed approaches appropriate for the specific conditions of the project.” Comment: The data interpretation for the Habitat Time Series analysis was non-standard and the quote above appears to be the justification for this choice. The Habitat Time Series is a fundamental tool for quantifying effects on aquatic habitats resulting from changes to the flow regime. While some practitioners have deviated from the standard protocols, the developers of the protocol were very specific as to how this analysis should be done (Bovee et al., 19982F 3 ). The approach utilized by GEI was borrowed from the science of hydrology, whereby a synthetic hydrograph representing a particular type of water year could be represented. This may work in hydrology; a wet water year tends to produce large high flows and substantial low flows and dry water years have smaller runoff events and lower base flows.. Habitat time series do not work in this way because habitat limitations occur at both ends of the hydrologic spectrum. The approach utilized by GEI in their habitat time series analysis is likely to overestimate benefits of Alternative 2M and underestimate the negative effects. This is because the most biologically relevant statistics produced in the FEIS are the average 20th percentile values from the time series. This metric approximates biologically relevant limiting habitat events, but it ignores the events most likely to constrain populations, inhibit recruitment, or alter species compositions. A 20 th percentile habitat time series can easily consist of some of the low habitat events caused by high flows and some by low flows. This makes interpretation of cause and effect very difficult, and in turn makes formulation of good mitigation alternatives nearly impossible. Recommendation: Maintaining healthy fish populations is central to managing for a healthy river ecosystem and thus Fort Collins expects it will also be a priority for NISP mitigation and adaptive management. Because the approach used by GEI may underestimate negative impacts, 3 Bovee, K. D., B.L. Lamb, J.M. Bartholow, C.B. Stalnaker, J. Taylor, and J. Henriksen. 1998. Stream habitat analysis using the Instream Flow Incremental Methodology. U. S. Geological Survey, Biological Resources Division Information and Technology Report USGS/BRD-1998-0004. viii + 131 pp. EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 47 of 51 Fort Collins recommends all future fisheries objectives in adaptive management are established based on the standard protocol outlined in Bovee et al., (1997), or deviations from the standard protocol reported in habitat time series or fishery peer reviewed literature standard for interpretation of the FEIS data. Second, while high flows are common habitat limiting events for small-bodied fish, high flows are also absolutely necessary to maintain the structural components of fish habitat, including channel dimensions, width to depth ratios, riffle-pool periodicity, meander wavelength, substrate composition, deposits of large woody debris, and vegetative encroachment. Therefore, the recommendations under geomorphology are a priority for the fish communities as well. Third, impairments to water quality, in particular temperature, is directly threatening to fish. All efforts to ensure good water quality with NISP, including the recommendations set forth in this document, are a priority for fish as well. [Remainder of Page Left Blank Intentionally] EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 48 of 51 SECTION 9: ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT COMMENTS 9.1 THE ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT PLAN SHOULD BE REVISED TO MEET THE GOALS OF MITIGATION AND ENHANCEMENT FEIS: Appendix B, Conceptual Mitigation Plan, 2.8 Adaptive Management Comment: Fort Collins appreciates the inclusion of the concept of adaptive management in NISP Conceptual Mitigation Plan. As Fort Collins understands it, the purpose of adaptive management is to identify and adaptively respond to unpredicted impacts. As described in the above comments, Fort Collins is concerned that the impacts of Alternative 2M may have been underestimated, which will result in insufficient mitigation. Therefore, an effective adaptive management program is a Fort Collins priority to ensure that Fort Collins does not incur undue risk, cost, and burden because of NISP. Fort Collins agrees with the description provided of adaptive management in the Conceptual Mitigation Plan. However, Fort Collins is concerned that certain omissions will lead to an ineffective adaptive management program and presents the following recommendations to remedy this concern. Recommendations: Performance standards in the adaptive management program should be based on FEIS-predicted impacts, a modified to factor in uncertainty as described herein. For example, if changes to channel morphology are predicted as minor in the FEIS, then the adaptive management objective should be maintain today’s conditions with additional minor changes. Any observed changes beyond minor, should trigger an actionable response. The objectives and thresholds for actionable response should be clearly defined in enforceable legal documents. For adaptive management to be successful, clear structures must be established, including those regarding what entities are participating and their role(s), funding and spending mechanisms, and enforcement/response. The City recommends that the adaptive management program be required for no less than 50 years from full operation of the Project, due to the fact that NISP will operate in perpetuity. As discussed above, Fort Collins’ River Health Assessment Framework would be useful in providing the adaptive management program participants with a holistic picture of river conditions and elucidating issues and opportunities for specific mitigation projects. Quantitative measures can be added within the existing River Health Assessment Framework for NISP. Changes to physical parameters can be most directly attributed to NISP and are recommended as the primary measures for this program. Two examples of physical performance standards could be measured annually and directly attributable to changes from NISP are suggested: • Establish performance standards around the function of flushing flows. For example, monitor sediment transport and physical embeddedness prior to NISP construction to be able to tie these parameters and behavior specific to the Poudre to the historical flow record. This relationship can then be applied to changes observed with NISP. EXHIBIT A City of Fort Collins NISP FEIS Comments Dated October 4, 2018 Page 49 of 51 • Establish performance standards related to the bio-geomorphic feedback loop that may change in the Fort Collins reaches with an annual survey using permanent cross sections to observe possible aggradation and vegetation encroachment. With clear objectives, structures, monitoring programs, and performance standards, determining the response mechanism in advance is the final step towards ensuring an effective adaptive management program. Systemic impacts are most effectively remedied with systemic efforts. Therefore, Fort Collins recommends flow (flow releases or bypasses) are provided as the first response mechanism. [Remainder of Page Left Blank Intentionally] EXHIBIT A APPENDIX A (City of Fort Collins’ Comments on the Final Environmental Impact Statement for the Northern Integrated Supply Project, Dated: October 4, 2018) City of Fort Collins Staff Cassie Archuleta, Environmental Program Manager, Environmental Services Dan Evans, Civil Engineer III, Utilities Engineering Division Daylan Figgs, Environmental Program Manager, Natural Areas Department Cameron Gloss, City Planning Manager, Community Development & Neighborhood Services Jill Oropeza, Director, Water Quality Service Division Eric Potyondy, Assistant City Attorney, City Attorney’s Office Bonnie Pierce, Senior Science Specialist, Environmental Regulatory Affairs Jennifer Roberts, Environmental Planner, Natural Areas Department Ken Sampley, Civil Engineering Director, Water, Utilities Engineering Divisions Jennifer Shanahan, Watershed Planner, Natural Areas Department Lucinda Smith, Environmental Services Director, Environmental Services John Stokes, Director, Natural Areas Department Richard Thorpe, Lead Science Specialist, Utilities Water Quality Services Division Carol Webb, Deputy Director, Utilities, Water Production Division External Contributors Daniel Baker, PhD PE, Assistant Professor, Geomorphologist, Dept of Civil & Environmental Engineering Colorado State University. Johannes Beeby, Senior Hydrologist, Otak Inc. Brian Bledsoe, PhD PE, Professor, Geomorphologist, University of Georgia Ken Bovee, retired hydrologist, USGS. Brad Johnson, PhD, PWS, Principal Scientist, Johnson Environmental Consulting, LLC Nate Hunt, Esq., Kaplan Kirsch Rockwell William Lewis, Professor and Director, CU Center for Limnology, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, CU Boulder Lori Potter, Esq., Kaplan Kirsch Rockwell Jennifer Roberson, Data Analyst, CU Center for Limnology, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, CU Boulder Jeremy Sueltenfuss, Ecology Research Scientist, Colorado State University Travis Stroth, Water Resource Engineer, Otak, Inc. Luke Swan, Senior Fluvial Geomorphologist, Inter-Fluve, Inc., Applied fluvial geomorphology EXHIBIT A APPENDIX B (City of Fort Collins’ Comments on the Final Environmental Impact Statement for the Northern Integrated Supply Project, Dated: October 4, 2018) [Cover Page] EXHIBIT A i Otak Poudre River FEIS NISP Re-Analysis Submitted to: City of Fort Collins [August 16, 2018] Prepared By: Otak, Inc. 5777 Central Ave. Boulder, CO 80301 Project No. 18436 EXHIBIT A ii Otak TABLE OF CONTENTS Page Section 1—Introduction .......................................................................................................... 1 Section 2—EIS Review ............................................................................................................ 2 2.1 Background on Flushing Flows ........................................................................................................................3 2.1.1 Defining Flushing Flows ..............................................................................................................................3 2.1.2 How the Definition of Flushing Flows Affects the Analysis .........................................................................3 2.1.3 Literature Review Summary ........................................................................................................................4 2.1.4 Effective Discharge .....................................................................................................................................4 2.2 Summary of EIS Reports Analyses and Results ..............................................................................................4 2.2.1 Aggradation and Vegetation Encroachment ...............................................................................................4 2.2.2 Flushing Flows ............................................................................................................................................6 2.2.3 Effective Discharge .................................................................................................................................. 12 2.3 Summary ....................................................................................................................................................... 13 Section 3—Methods and Results of Desktop-Based Analyses ......................................... 14 3.1 Recalculation of Flushing Flows Results Using D50 ...................................................................................... 14 3.2 Aggradation and Vegetation Encroachment ................................................................................................. 16 3.2.1 Background .............................................................................................................................................. 16 3.2.2 Historical Aerial Imagery Analysis for Vegetation Encroachment ............................................................ 16 3.3 Recalculation of the Effective Discharge ...................................................................................................... 18 Section 4—Methods and Results of Field-Based Analyses ............................................... 20 4.1 2018 Runoff Field Studies ............................................................................................................................. 20 4.1.1 Tracer Rocks ............................................................................................................................................ 21 4.1.2 Pre- and Post-Runoff Vegetation Encroachment Photos .................................................................... 23 4.1.3 Case Study for Vegetation Encroachment and Aggradation ................................................................... 27 4.2 Embeddedness ...................................................................................................................................... 30 Section 5—Discussion .......................................................................................................... 31 5.1 Flushing Flows and Sediment Transport................................................................................................ 31 5.1.1 EIS Reports Flushing Flows Analyses ................................................................................................. 31 5.1.2 Recalculation of Flushing Flows .......................................................................................................... 32 5.1.3 Tracer Rocks Field Study .................................................................................................................... 32 5.1.4 Recalculation of the Effective Discharge ............................................................................................. 33 5.2 Aggradation and Vegetation Encroachment .......................................................................................... 33 5.2.1 Field Studies for Vegetation Encroachment and Aggradation ............................................................. 34 Section 6—Conclusions ........................................................................................................ 35 Appendices Appendix A—Long-Term Monitoring Study Figures Figure 1—Timeline of EIS Reports and technical documents related to stream morphology and sediment transport. .............................................................................................................................................................2 Figure 2— Excerpt of conclusions for channel contraction based on the preferred alternative 2M from Stream Morphology and Sediment Transport (FEIS, 2018) Effects Report pg. 44. ........................................................5 Figure 3— Excerpt of description for spells analysis for vegetation impacts from SDEIS (2013) pg. 5-18. ......6 EXHIBIT A iii Otak Figure 4— Range of and average flushing flow results as presented in the SDEIS Technical Report (2013) and FFR (2017). ..................................................................................................................................................7 Figure 5— Excerpt of flushing flows results using 2-64mm grain size range from FFR (2017) pg.8. ............. 11 Figure 6— Excerpt of final baseline flushing flow results (equivalent to current conditions Q2 flow) presented in FFR (2017) pg.19. ........................................................................................................................................ 12 Figure 7— Excerpt of effective discharge, Qeff analysis results presented in SDEIS Technical Report (2013) pg. 8-7 .............................................................................................................................................................. 13 Figure 8— Excerpt summarizing a description of sediment transport processes associated with τ*c ranges following research from Milhous (2000 and 2003) who performed scour chain studies on the Poudre River. Table from ERM (2014) pg.28. ........................................................................................................................ 15 Figure 9— Plot of Qeff analysis results (peak is Qeff) using τ = γDSf (friction slope) and Parker (1990) and Wilcock and Kenworthy (2002) bedload sediment transport equations for reach FC1 from SDEIS Technical Report (2013). .................................................................................................................................................. 19 Figure 10— Plot of Qeff analysis results (peak is Qeff) using τ = γRSe (Energy Slope) and Parker (1990) and Wilcock and Kenworthy (2002) bedload sediment transport equations for reach FC1 from SDEIS Technical Report (2013). .................................................................................................................................................. 19 Figure 11— One grouping of tracer rocks placed pre-runoff in a riffle within the bankfull channel. ................ 21 Figure 12— Photo (looking downstream) of bar on river left just upstream of Overland Trail Bridge in May 2018 (above) and July 2018 (below). .............................................................................................................. 25 Figure 13— Photo (looking upstream) of bar on river right adjacent to North Shields Ponds Natural Area in May 2018 (above) and July 2018 (below). ...................................................................................................... 26 Figure 14— Photo (looking upstream) of bar on river left adjacent to McMurry Natural Area in May 2018 (above) and July 2018 (below). ....................................................................................................................... 26 Figure 15— Photo (looking upstream) in 2018 of case study point bar on river right just upstream of Shields St. Bridge. ........................................................................................................................................................ 27 Figure 16— Four-foot steel soil probe stuck approximately (1.5’) in ground until hitting coarse layer near outskirts of case study bar just upstream of Shields St. Bridge (photo from 2018). ........................................ 28 Figure 17— Four-foot steel soil probe stuck approximately (4’) in ground until hitting coarse layer near center of case study bar just upstream of Shields St. Bridge. Woody vegetation was approximately 8-10’ tall and very dense (photo from 2018). ......................................................................................................................... 28 Figure 18— Photo (looking upstream) in 2004 of case study point bar on river right looking from Shields St. Bridge. .............................................................................................................................................................. 29 Figure 19— Photo (looking downstream) in 2013 of case study point bar on river right looking at cross section taken for High Park Fire study. ............................................................................................................ 29 Tables Table 1—Summary of Key Points and Changes in Flushing Flows between EIS Reports. The FEIS is based on FFR (2017). ....................................................................................................................................................8 Table 2— Recalculated flushing flow results for range of τ*c values using D50 and friction slope (τ=γDSf). .. 15 Table 3— Recalculated flushing flow results for range of τ*c values using D50 and energy slope (τ=γRSe). . 15 Table 4— Summary of results from historical aerial analysis for vegetation encroachment. .......................... 17 Table 5— Comparison of discharges at three gages for the date of the aerial analyzed for vegetation encroachment. ................................................................................................................................................. 18 Table 6—Summary of recalculated effective discharge, Qeff using two methods of calculating shear stress. 19 Table 7—Summary of colors the tracer rocks were painted for each size class in study. .............................. 21 Table 8—Summary of tracer rock cross sections locations and associated parameters. ............................... 22 Table 9—Summary of tracer rock field study results. ...................................................................................... 22 EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 1 NISP Re-Analysis Otak Section 1—Introduction This report presents an evaluation of the Northern Integrated Supply Project (NISP) Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) conducted in consideration of the City of Fort Collins policies regarding flood risk reduction and health and resiliency improvement. The City of Fort Collins is a national leader in flood management and has made substantial investments in mitigation of flood hazards along the Cache la Poudre River (Poudre River) corridor. Additionally, the City has embraced the vision of a healthy and resilient Poudre River and City Council has set policy to support health and resiliency improvements. Section 2 of this report reviews aspects of the EIS documents pertinent to the determination of flushing flows on the Poudre River and provides a discussion of key results presented in the EIS documents. Section 3 presents methods and results of Desktop-Based Analyses, including shear stress and effective discharge analyses using replicated models and data from the EIS documents and aerial photo analysis on magnitude and distribution of vegetation encroachment near the City. Section 4 presents methods and results of Field-Based Analyses, including field studies on sediment mobilization in riffle features to support interpretation of hydraulic and sediment transport modeling. The analyses also provide additional lines of evidence for use in conjunction with modeling to provide greater insight into the mobility of the channel bed, how that mobility may be impacted by vegetation, what can be expected moving forward, and for application for potential long-term monitoring opportunities. Section 5 presents a discussion of results and recommendations. Section 6 provides a report summary and conclusions. Methods to estimate flushing flows have been developed in various contexts to meet ecological and/or management objectives that range from targeting a particular gravel quality to maintaining an active channel width. The determination of flushing flows in the Poudre River for the NISP EIS process has used a shifting set of definitions and approaches that ultimately settled on a definition of flushing flows focused on maintaining fish spawning habitat. Engineering and geomorphic analysis methods used in the NISP EIS yield results that portray the Poudre River as a relatively non-responsive river that will not be impacted by the projected flow extraction associated with NISP, despite substantial reductions in sediment transport capacity and flows that inhibit encroachment of trees into the channel (DEIS 2008, SDEIS 2013, and FEIS 2018). Analyses and multiple lines of evidence presented in this report run counter to the FEIS conclusions and indicate that the flow extraction resulting from NISP will result in increased rates of vegetation encroachment, channel contraction, and an increase in flood risk to the City of Fort Collins. To understand the flushing capability of the Poudre River, under the current hydrologic regime, relative to results presented in the EIS documents, this report specifically: 1. Examine the hydrologic, hydraulic and geomorphic analyses presented in the EIS to understand the data, assumptions, and decisions made to arrive at the conclusions stated in those reports; 2. Use the EIS hydraulic model, the best available geomorphic data, and standard methods from the scientific and engineering literature to calculate fundamental measures of sediment flushing capacity (dimensionless shear stress and effective discharge) and compare those results to the EIS reports, flow frequency estimates, and field observations of tracer particles; 3. Perform effective discharge analysis using site specific grain size distributions and sediment transport models appropriate for those distributions; and EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 2 NISP Re-Analysis Otak 4. Use historical aerial photographs and field observations to examine bar formation. From this analysis, three key conclusions emerge: 1. The geomorphic analysis methods and interpretation of results have been variable and inconsistent. The physical basis for the selected geomorphology methods and conclusions are not supported by the best available science and data. 2. The modeling methods and assumptions used in the EIS are inadequate to predict and evaluate the impacts of NISP on flood risk. We believe the preferred alternative will increase sediment deposition and woody vegetation establishment in the river channel, despite the proposed mitigation plan. This will potentially increase flood levels and risks to private property and critical infrastructure (e.g., bridges) along the river corridor. 3. There are multiple lines of evidence from our analyses (including historical and field evidence) that suggest the proposed changes to river flows will reduce flood carrying capacity and simultaneously degrade habitat. Ultimately, the City will be faced with increased costs and maintenance requirements to sustain the current level of flood protection along the river corridor. The City's ability to achieve its vision of a healthy and resilient river, will also be limited in perpetuity, as the selected alternative and mitigation plan will substantially reduce the amount of time that flows meet critical thresholds for preventing sediment build up and maintenance of channel capacity. Section 2—EIS Review In the following sections, we review those aspects of the EIS documents pertinent to the determination of flushing flows on the Poudre River. Specifically, we examine the chosen definition of flushing flows, the determination of those flows, the effective discharge calculations, and the aggradation analysis performed. A timeline of the EIS reports and technical documents related to stream morphology and sediment transport is shown if Figure 1 for reference. Hereafter, the EIS reports regarding stream morphology will be abbreviated as follows: DEIS (2008): Draft Environmental Impact Statement River Morphology Report, 2008 SDEIS Technical Report (2013): Supplemental Draft Environmental Impact Statement Stream Morphology Baseline Report Parts 1 and 2, 2013 SDEIS Technical Report (2014): Supplemental Draft Environmental Impact Statement Stream Morphology Effects Report, 2014 FFR (2017): Assessment of Flushing Flows Report, 2017 FEIS (2018): Final Environmental Impact Statement Stream Morphology Effects Report, 2018 Figure 1—Timeline of EIS Reports and technical documents related to stream morphology and sediment transport. EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 3 NISP Re-Analysis Otak 2.1 Background on Flushing Flows The flushing flows analyses performed for the EIS reports can have large implications for the diversion management decisions that are agreed upon for NISP which could ultimately lead to negative impacts on flood risk in the City of Fort Collins and river health/function. There were several analyses completed regarding flushing flows in the EIS reports, but those analyses varied in intent and methods which markedly affected the final results. 2.1.1 Defining Flushing Flows Flushing flows have been defined for a wide range of ecological and/or management objectives (Kondolf & Wilcock, 1996). Thus, the definition for each application needs to be explicitly defined, in terms of a physical stream response. The definition of flushing used in the EIS process changed with the release of the FFR (2017) ultimately settling on the ecological objective of maintaining trout spawning habitat by flushing fine sediment from the top of a coarse armor layer of gravels and cobbles. This definition does not include channel maintenance objectives, which are critical for reducing flood risk in the City and cleaning/rejuvenating habitats below the surface of the river bed that are essential for aquatic insects (the food base for trout and other fishes). The FEIS (2018) uses the flushing flow definitons and results presented in the FFR (2017). While the FFR (2017) ecological objective is focused on maintaining spawning habitat, the underlying assumptions do not provide the mechanism for achieving that goal. Specifically, flushing fine sediment off the top of a coarse armor layer will not maintain the interstitial spaces necessary for egg incubation and habitat for benthic macroinvertebrates (a key food source for trout and other fishes). 2.1.2 How the Definition of Flushing Flows Affects the Analysis The selected definition and targeted objectives of flushing flows have large impacts on the chosen analysis and results. The FFR (2017) specifically considers spawning habitat for Brown Trout. This report claims that only fine sediments that have deposited on top of the coarse bed material affect the fish. This incorrect assumption highly affects sediment transport calculations because only transporting surficial veneers of fine material require much less flow than transporting the coarser bed material, especially if the bed is armored or embedded. When considering channel maintenance objectives, flushing flows are required to release fines from the interstitial spaces among the coarse bed particles. This significantly changes sediment transport calculations because, to release fines from the interstitial spaces, the coarse bed material has to be sufficiently vibrated or fully mobilized. This can drastically increase the amount of shear stress required to produce ‘flushing flows.’ While there are no exact guidelines to define an all-encompassing flushing flow value, the definition must be tied to the specific function(s) to be maintained or restored by the flushing flow. The most recent definition used in the EIS process stated that the objective of the flushing flows was specifically tied to fish EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 4 NISP Re-Analysis Otak spawning habitat; however, we argue that the City requires channel maintenance flows to help mitigate increases in flood risk. These channel maintenance flows have the added benefit of being most likely to maintain and create both fish spawning and macroinvertebrate habitat. This would provide the most benefit for river health and resiliency since macroinvertebrates are the main food supply for fishes, and it is just as essential to maintain macroinvertebrate populations as it is to maintain fish populations. 2.1.3 Literature Review Summary A literature review was conducted on previous Army Corp decisions involving water development projects with flushing flow analyses. Only two such projects were found 1) The Windy Gap Firming Project and 2) The Moffat Collection System Project. Both projects relied on the same flushing flow analysis which looked to quantify the minimum flow necessary for flushing. The analyses involved using the Parker (1990) bedload sediment transport equation to determine when sediment transport is initiated for flushing flows. As opposed to the methods used in the NISP EIS reports, the Parker (1990) equation is more appropriate and commonly used to model gravel/cobble bed rivers and more closely aligns with what is considered the best available science. The Parker equation includes the effects of the entire grain size distribution on sediment movement using a hiding function rather than examining a single particle as used in the SDEIS Technical Report (2013) and FFR (2017). This method captures a more realistic initiation of bed material movement and therefore can produce a more encompassing estimate of flushing flows. 2.1.4 Effective Discharge The effective discharge (Qeff) is defined as the discharge that moves the most sediment over a period of years and is one approximation of the geomorphic concept of the ‘channel-forming’ discharge. This concept is important because it relates to creating and maintaining the active channel dimensions and capacity which directly correlates to many aspects of river health, function, and flood conveyance. In the context of trying to understand the impacts of NISP, Qeff can give another line of evidence for bracketing the range of flows performing the most work in transporting sediments and maintaining the river channel and substrate. Calculating Qeff utilizes full sediment transport equations rather than a simplified incipient motion analysis (dimensionless shear stress) as in the flushing flows analysis. This technique also incorporates the whole grain size distribution based on measured data from the Poudre River in Fort Collins, utilizes hiding factors on the transport of sediment, and frequency of all flows in the river segment. 2.2 Summary of EIS Reports Analyses and Results 2.2.1 Aggradation and Vegetation Encroachment The DEIS (2008), SDEIS Technical Reports (2013-14), and FEIS (2028) have several analyses focused on calculating different aspects of sediment transport; however, the conclusions concerning aggradation and vegetation encroachment near the City of Fort Collins seem to rely mostly on qualitative observations and speculation. The discussion of river condition on the Poudre is generally split into “Upstream of I-25” and “Downstream of I-25,” although there is no apparent geomorphological basis for this distinction. As opposed to other analyses in the EIS Reports, the general conclusion on aggradation and vegetation encroachment is consistent across the reports: upstream of I-25 (including the reach through the City of Fort Collins) will not be drastically impacted by aggradation and vegetation encroachment under NISP operations because it is “supply limited.” However, we conclude that current conditions and available data show little evidence of this response. Conversely, the EIS reports conclude that downstream of I-25 will possibly be impacted since it is “transport limited” and shows signs of aggradation and vegetation encroachment. More details of this opposing conclusions are found in the paragraphs below. EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 5 NISP Re-Analysis Otak The EIS reports describe the Poudre upstream of I-25 (from the mouth of Poudre Canyon to near Timnath) as a “supply-limited” reach. This is based on observations that “In general, the bed is armored with cobbles and coarse gravels that only move rarely in response to high flow periods” (SDEIS Technical Report, 2013 pg. 9-4). Further, the EIS reports state that because the coarse material is rarely mobilized, the finer material underneath is rarely released; thus, the river is thought to generally have a lack of sediment supply moving downstream through the system (specifically upstream of I-25). This is coupled with observations of upstream of I-25 that, “Bars, islands and marginal deposits do form, but signs of consistent, contiguous aggradation are not evident” (SDEIS Technical Report 2013 pg. 9-4). The observations that upstream of I-25 is transport limited and lacks signs of large scale aggradation ultimately leads the EIS reports to the broad assertion that aggradation is not a current issue and will not be under future NISP conditions. In contrast to upstream of I-25, the EIS reports state that the river downstream of I-25 has finer bed material and is “transport limited” because, “The control on sediment transport shifts so that the movement of sediment is limited more by the transport capacity of the river than by supply from external sources” (SDEIS Technical Report 2013 pg. 9-4). This is coupled with observations that the river downstream of I-25 has signs of continuous aggradation and “bio-geomorphic feedback loops” occurring; therefore, there will be more of an impact in this location under NISP conditions. The following excerpt is from the summary of conclusions table in the Stream Morphology and Sediment Transport (FEIS, 2018) Effects Report. This conclusion is based on a predicted reduction in sediment transport capacity for the NISP preferred alternative conditions throughout the river corridor, and notably larger reduction in capacity upstream of I-25 than compared to downstream. Despite the 40% reduction in sediment transport capacity upstream, this report reasserts the conclusion that there will be more impacts downstream because the upstream reach is “supply-limited.” We were unable to find quantitative evidence to support this claim. Figure 2— Excerpt of conclusions for channel contraction based on the preferred alternative 2M from Stream Morphology and Sediment Transport (FEIS, 2018) Effects Report pg. 44. The SDEIS Technical Report (2013) describes the connection of aggradation and vegetation encroachment with the concept of a bio-geomorphic feedback loop. However, this discussion focuses on the colonization of Reed Canary Grass and specifically on the Poudre River downstream of I-25 because vegetation encroachment is not deemed prevalent upstream of I-25. Reed Canary Grass is commonly known as an invasive species in Colorado but is not an intrusive obstruction during flood flows because they, “Bend and streamline in response to high flow” (SDEIS Technical Report 2013 pg. 9-5). The discussion on vegetation encroachment in the EIS Reports seems to focus on the impacts of vegetation on the geomorphic response of the channel rather than discussing the potential increase to flood risk caused by increased roughness and the trapping of sediment by prevalent woody species such as willows. EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 6 NISP Re-Analysis Otak Additionally, the SDEIS Technical Report (2013) describes an analysis performed to quantify the flows when different plant communities are inundated but does not describe the purpose of the analysis or discuss conclusions. The analysis is presumably only to support the “CTP Wetland and Riparian Resources Baseline Report” and again does not appear to address the connection of vegetation encroachment with flood risk. Figure 3— Excerpt of description for spells analysis for vegetation impacts from SDEIS (2013) pg. 5-18. 2.2.2 Flushing Flows Note that the DEIS (2008) did not consider flushing flows, hence analyses regarding flushing flows were exclusive to the SDEIS Technical Reports (2013-14) and FFR (2017). The FEIS (2018) uses the same results from the analyses in the FFR (2017) so this discussion applies to the FEIS (2018) as well. Inconsistent Methods and Analyses There were several shifts in objectives and methodology used between these reports, and ultimately the conclusions do not align with the results from the analyses performed in the SDEIS Technical Report (2013) and FFR (2017). The primary factor that affected the results of the flushing flows analysis was a change in the definition of flushing between the SDEIS Technical Report (2013) and the FFR (2017). The definition used to define flushing flows in the SDEIS Technical Report (2013) is, ‘disturbing coarse bed material sufficiently to release fines from interstitial spaces. In the FFR (2017), the definition was changed to specifically examine surficial flushing for fish spawning habitat. This new definition requires the ‘surface cleaning of riffles’ which only involves mobilizing the fine material deposited on top of the coarse bed material to provide ‘flushing.’ Using this definition requires much less channel bed shear stress and therefore less flow (lower flushing flows). The definition used in the SDEIS Technical Report (2013) is more closely related to the needs of the City and better aligned with the City’s broader stream health and flood safety goals. The FFR (2017) presented a new analysis that examined the potential movement of individual particles in the ‘optimal sediment range for brown trout spawning habitat.’ This method examined a range of generic grain size classes (2-64mm) and did not consider location specific grain size distribution data from the river. We were unable to find examples where this technique was supported in the scientific literature or used at all in other reports. Furthermore, this method does not consider a hiding factor which we consider to be a very prevalent effect on the Poudre River especially in riffle features. Small particles in gravel/cobble bed streams tend to ‘hide’ behind the coarser bed material making it harder for the particles EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 7 NISP Re-Analysis Otak to be mobilized. Thus, calculating the movement of fine particles without accounting for this effect over- estimates the probability of sediment mobility and thus reduces required flushing flow values. Lastly, the final values chosen for flushing flows were altered again by the selection of “Baseline Flushing Flow Values” that were ultimately chosen to examine the impacts of different NISP alternative hydrology’s on flushing flows. The “Baseline Flushing Flow Values” were stated to be selected based on feedback from DNR, CPW, and EPA who agreed that a 1.5- to 2-year recurrence interval discharge (Q1.5-Q2) would “Optimize benefits for aquatic species in the study area.” This decision essentially nullified all the previous results from their other analyses which showed large variability throughout the study reach, and bases flushing solely on a theoretical function of flow associated with a particular recurrence interval rather than on hydraulics and/or sediment transport, including the analyses performed for the SDEIS Technical Report (2013). The recurrence interval is a moving and arbitrary target in the Poudre River given the long history and evolution of flow extraction, and again we are unaware of any peer-review and published justification for the determination of a flushing flow value based on a particular recurrence interval discharge. Without an in-depth understanding of how the investigated hydrologic regime can transport sediment into and through the project reach, the results are irrelevant and arbitrary. The flushing flows analyses increasingly used less data and more averaging through time leading to decreasing variability in results. The SDEIS Technical Report (2013) which calculated flushing flows at every cross section showed results ranging from <10cfs to >10,000cfs. The FFR (2017) which only considered cross sections at selected riffles presented results ranging from <10cfs to 6800cfs for the 2- 64mm grain size range. Lastly, the range was decreased again with the selection of the baseline flushing flow values which ranged from 972 cfs-2406 cfs across the study reach, again, based on flow recurrence interval alone. Despite the changes in assumptions and analysis across the reports, a key general conclusion about the impact of NISP on channel conditions reported in the SDEIS Technical Reports (2013-14) and FFR (2017) appears incontestable and has remained consistent: NISP will reduce the quantity of water in the Poudre River and therefore lower sediment transport capacity and total stream power. Figure 4— Range of and average flushing flow results as presented in the SDEIS Technical Report (2013) and FFR (2017). 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 10000 SDEIS: Using every cross section and D50 FFR: Using riffle cross sections and (2-64mm) FFR: Using Q2 as Baseline Flushing Flow values Flushing Flows (cfs) Range of Flushing Flows Results Average Flushing Flow Result EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 8 NISP Re-Analysis Otak Table 1—Summary of Key Points and Changes in Flushing Flows between EIS Reports. The FEIS is based on FFR (2017). Key Point or Change DEIS River Morphology Report (2008) SDEIS Baseline and Effects Reports (2013-14) Flushing Flows Report (2017) Why is this important? Changed “Flushing Flows” Definition This report does not define or calculate flushing flows. However, the report does mention the need for flushing flows in relation to channel maintenance and scouring vegetation in the Timnath through Greeley reaches. Definition: • Flushing needs to disturb coarse bed material sufficiently to release fines from interstitial spaces Benefits/Purpose: • This helps “strip algae and benefit macroinvertebrate habitat” Calculations: • Incipient motion calcs with τ*c = 0.02 referenced to D50 Definition: • Flushing only needs to remove fines that are resting on top of the coarse armor layer Benefits/Purpose: • “The objective of the flushing flows is to maintain spawning habitat for fish” Calculations: • Incipient motion calcs with τ*c = 0.047 referenced to 2-64mm grain size classes • Only removing fines from the top of riffle does not require the movement of the coarse bed material which is much easier to mobilize which effectively reduces the required flushing flows. • All the reports show that it is harder to move the bigger grain sizes, specifically the D50, under NISP, but this is not reflected in their conclusions. If the D50 does not move, the flows are not likely to Poudre River FEIS Assessment 9 NISP Re-Analysis Otak Key Point or Change DEIS River Morphology Report (2008) SDEIS Baseline and Effects Reports (2013-14) Flushing Flows Report (2017) Why is this important? Report Conclusions vs. Results The most significant impacts are stated to be downstream of Fort Collins to Greeley, where sediment deposition and veg encroachment “would be expected to be accelerated.” Overall, effects are “expected to be less than the morphologic changes already occurring” even though the results show significant reduction in stream power. This report gave broad conclusions and in summary stated the river will probably not change much, although the results showed a reduction up to 50% in the flushing of fines and moving the bed material for most of the NISP alternatives comparisons. This report had minimal to no conclusions. The results were presented for each of the NISP alternatives comparisons but did not offer any conclusion to what that means or which options are best for flushing flows. • The conclusions from the SDEIS do not match the results using the method that was supported by the literature (Milhous), which appears to show a significant impact to flushing flows • The flushing flows report changed the definition and analysis but not discuss how that compared to the previous analysis or what it means for the Poudre River. • We do not know if and/or how well the alternatives meet the stated spawning habitat objective or the City’s maintenance flow objective. Calculations using 2-64mm Grain Size Classes instead of D50 and τ*c value This analysis did not use this technique, but used a representative D50 instead Poudre River FEIS Assessment 10 NISP Re-Analysis Otak Key Point or Change DEIS River Morphology Report (2008) SDEIS Baseline and Effects Reports (2013-14) Flushing Flows Report (2017) Why is this important? Averaging Technique and Variability for Flushing Flows Analysis Flushing flows were not calculated for this report Results were calculated using every cross section in the model Results were calculated at 53 defined riffle features then averaged into 5 reaches • The technique in the flushing flows report did not recognize or discussion the variability of the results spatially EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 11 NISP Re-Analysis Otak Summary of Results Presented in EIS Documents The first flushing flows analyses in the EIS reports were performed in the SDEIS (2013). This analysis calculated the ‘flushing flow’ for every cross section in the hydraulic model using incipient motion referenced to the median grain size (D50). The results ranged from <10cfs to >10,000cfs (SDEIS 2013 pg. 7-11). The SDEIS Effects Report released in 2014 showed that the impact of the different NISP alternatives will reduce the duration of flushing flow values for all cross sections from 0-50% (SDEIS 2013 pg. 11-3 & 11-5). The current ‘preferred alternative’ (Run 3b) showed a reduction of the duration of flushing flows of 30-40% for 55% of the cross sections or little to no change for 45% of the cross sections. The cross sections that are estimated to not flush under existing conditions are included in the 45% of cross sections with little or no change. Subsequent to the SDEIS Technical Reports (2013-14), the FFR (2017) identified different flushing flows, and those are presented in the table below. The analysis calculated the potential movement of individual grains across a generic size class range from (2-64mm) and used 53 riffle cross sections focused only on the river from the confluence with the North Fork Poudre River to I-25 as opposed to using all cross sections from the North Fork Poudre River Confluence to the South Platte Confluence as used in the SDEIS Technical Reports (2013-14). This technique assumes this sediment is ‘resting on top of the coarse bed material matrix (or armor layer) in riffles.’ These results were averaged into 5 reaches and values ranged from (5cfs - 6817cfs) for the (2-64mm) range. Figure 5— Excerpt of flushing flows results using 2-64mm grain size range from FFR (2017) pg.8. The table below presents the final ‘flushing flows’ values selected in the FFR (2017). These values are equivalent to the estimated 2-year recurrence interval discharge under current operations at each of the specified nodes using the point flow model developed in other EIS Reports. The basis for this decision is not reported, but presumably, is based on the unfounded assumption that the contemporary Q2 of the highly modified flow regime represents an important ecological threshold for the Poudre River regarding fish spawning habitat. EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 12 NISP Re-Analysis Otak Figure 6— Excerpt of final baseline flushing flow results (equivalent to current conditions Q2 flow) presented in FFR (2017) pg.19. 2.2.3 Effective Discharge The only calculation of the Qeff was presented in the SDEIS Technical Report (2013), and those same results were presented in the FFR (2017) but further averaged into the new five reaches defined in this report. The SDEIS Technical Report (2013) calculated Qeff using SIAM in HEC-RAS. The SIAM model appears to have used the Meyer-Peter, and Muller (1948) sediment transport equation, reach-averaged hydraulics, the point flow model created for the EIS, and a combination of surface and sub-surface grain size distribution data. This is a relatively common methodology for calculating sediment transport, but there are several factors that lessen the applicability of this methodology in the case of the Poudre River. There have been many/countless advances in the prediction of bedload transport and use of the Meyer-Peter and, Muller (1948) equation is no longer advisable/appropriate. Furthermore, it appears the surface and sub-surface grain size distributions (GSD) were combined into one for the calculations which is not a method supported by the literature and is also not appropriate for use in the Meyer-Peter Muller equation, as it is a surface-based transport relationship. Combining the surface and sub-surface GSD also biases the effective discharge estimate toward a lower value. In general, the Qeff values developed in the SDEIS Technical Report (2013) are relatively low compared to other reported analyses for the Poudre River including those calculated herein. The values range from (70-2200cfs) for the entire modeled reach from the SDEIS Technical Report (2013) extending from the confluence with the North Fork of the Poudre River through the Confluence with the South Platte. The results range from (800-2200cfs) for the study reach defined in the FFR (2017) that only extents from the confluence of the North Fork of the Poudre River to I-25. The FFR (2017) results are close to the reported Q2 flows for the same extent using the current conditions hydrology. This is important because the correlation between the SDEIS Technical Report (2013) estimated Qeff and the Q2 under current operations was stated as a justification for selecting final ‘Baseline Flushing Flows’ equal to Q2. EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 13 NISP Re-Analysis Otak Figure 7— Excerpt of effective discharge, Qeff analysis results presented in SDEIS Technical Report (2013) pg. 8-7 2.3 Summary A review of the EIS reports raises concerns about the nature of the methods and analyses used, the disconnect between analysis results and conclusions, and the reliance on qualitative observations to draw conclusions about the impacts of NISP alternatives. Flushing flows can be defined many ways, and the selected definition can change the analysis and results with significant implications for flood conveyance and habitat. The definition and associated analyses should reflect the desired objectives of the flushing flows. The analyses from the EIS reports calculated a reduction in flushing flows and sediment transport capacity under NISP conditions although the conclusions state there will be minimum impact upstream of I-25 because it is supply limited. The supply limited claim is not backed by quantitative evidence and runs counter to other analysis results. The Qeff results are generally lower than other reported values and on the magnitude of a 1-2 year flow (indicating fairly regular mobilization of the channel) although their observations state that sediment rarely moves on the Poudre River. The disconnect in the analyses and results from EIS Reports merited further examination of these topics (flushing flows, Qeff, aggradation, and vegetation encroachment) to understand the potential impacts of NISP operations. The following sections summarize the methods, analyses, and results that re-evaluate these topics. EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 14 NISP Re-Analysis Otak Section 3—Methods and Results of Desktop-Based Analyses To provide concrete evidence regarding the deficiencies described in Section 2, we have replicated the models and data from the EIS documents to perform shear stress and effective discharge analyses. In addition, we present a new aerial photo analysis to investigate the magnitude and distribution of vegetation encroachment near the City of Fort Collins. The analyses performed in the FFR (2017) regarding flushing flows focused on the results of hydraulic and sediment transport computations at riffle cross sections. Riffles are generally the focus of bed stability analyses because the stability of the riffles controls the stability of the channel in pool-riffle (as defined in Montgomery & Buffington, 1997) type streams. To facilitate direct comparison with the analyses performed for the EIS, we focus on the same riffle sections. It is important to note that while we examine the flushing and bed stability characteristics of the riffles for this analysis, the performance of flushing flows are important in all areas of the river for different species’ habitats and the maintenance of various river health functions. 3.1 Recalculation of Flushing Flows Results Using D50 To understand the capacity of river flows to move sediment through the project area, excess shear stress calculations were performed using the HEC-RAS 1D hydraulic model and estimates of the diameters of sediments (grain sizes) in the channel substrate. The approach attempts to use the same data used by the FFR (2017), but the shear stress calculations for assessing which grain sizes are mobilized by which flows were based on D50 rather than the (2-64mm) grain size range. To understand the sensitivity of the shear stress calculations to methodological differences, two approaches were used to perform the analysis, following recommendations from the City’s Ecosystem Response Model (ERM 2014). The methods differ in that one calculates shear stress using energy grade line slope and hydraulic radius (the default method in HEC-RAS) and the other uses hydraulic depth and friction slope. While in principle ‘energy grade slope’ and friction slope are synonymous, they are computed differently in HEC-RAS. The friction slope essentially averages energy slope across two cross-sections and is less variable than energy slope which is calculated at a point (refer to the HEC-RAS Hydraulic Reference for more information). The default shear stress output from HEC-RAS uses: Shear Stress = γRSe The alternative method for shear is calculated with: Shear Stress = γDSf With: γ = specific weight of water R = hydraulic radius D = hydraulic depth Se = energy grade slope Sf = friction slope The potential movement of the representative D50 particle for each reach was estimated at different critical shear stress thresholds and outputs are averaged into the same five reaches presented in the FFR (2017). The range of critical shear stress values follow the research of Milhous (2000 and 2003) which was also used in the ERM (also shown below). This technique assumes the applicability of the equal mobility concept (Wilcock et. al 2009; Parker 2008) which states that large particles are relatively easier to move because they protrude into flow, and smaller particles are harder to move because they hide behind large particles. The flushing flow values range from 1135cfs to 8557cfs for the five τ*c values using the EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 15 NISP Re-Analysis Otak alternative shear stress method (Table 2). The flushing flow values range from 872cfs to 8277cfs using the standard HEC-RAS method for calculating shear stress (Table 3). Table 2— Recalculated flushing flow results for range of τ*c values using D50 and friction slope (τ=γDSf). τ*c Reach 1 Reach 2 Reach 3 Reach 4 Reach 5 Reach Averaged Qcrit (cfs) 0.021 2476 3325 1850 2805 1135 0.03 3481 4350 3718 4158 2182 0.035 4221 4912 4653 5441 3984 0.047 6311 6760 6621 6982 6372 0.06 7857 7899 8557 8472 8538 Table 3— Recalculated flushing flow results for range of τ*c values using D50 and energy slope (τ=γRSe). τ*c Reach 1 Reach 2 Reach 3 Reach 4 Reach 5 Reach Averaged Qcrit (cfs) 0.021 987 1281 872 1290 1517 0.03 1702 1956 2251 3224 3304 0.035 2306 3081 4214 3911 4546 0.047 4189 5559 4950 6139 7266 0.06 5577 7367 6051 8246 8277 The thresholds for sediment movement represented by the critical shear stress values (0.021-0.06) are not discrete values but are probabilistic targets for different types of sediment movement along the river. The excerpt from the ERM (2014) in Figure 8 below summarizes a description for the likely type of sediment movement that could be expected in each τ*c range based on Milhous (2000 and 2003). Following this table, the surface clearing of fine material is likely to occur with a τ*c of (0.021-0.035), the initial movement of the coarse bed material and releasing fines from the sub-surface is likely to occur with a τ*c of (0.035-0.06), and general movement of sediment along the bed with τ*c (>0.06). These are not absolute thresholds but represent the most probable targets for different types of sediment movement along a spectrum, with the upper bound of the range being the most likely to occur. Figure 8— Excerpt summarizing a description of sediment transport processes associated with τ*c ranges following research from Milhous (2000 and 2003) who performed scour chain studies on the Poudre River. Table from ERM (2014) pg.28. EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 16 NISP Re-Analysis Otak The recalculated flushing flows results show large variability between the two methods used and each τ*c range. The friction slope in HEC-RAS is generally lower than the energy grade slope and therefore results in higher flushing flow values required to move the same particles. The results are generally closer using the two methods for higher τ*c thresholds but can be on the order of +/- 100% of each other at the lower thresholds of τ*c (0.021-0.03), which are associated with physical stream responses most in question in this analysis (i.e., the removal of fines from the bed). In some cases, there are jumps between subsequent flow thresholds (e.g., 0.03 to 0.035) of up to 2000 cfs. The recalculated values sometimes align with the final baseline flushing flow values selected in the FFR (2017) but are in general much higher (up to 4100cfs higher for τ*c =0.021-0.035). The large variability of flushing flows results using different methodologies suggests a good amount of uncertainty in the ability of calculated hydraulic metrics to determine the flows required to perform specific flushing functions. Therefore, we decided this merited further investigation using additional analyses, including field-based evidence. 3.2 Aggradation and Vegetation Encroachment 3.2.1 Background A reduction in river discharge generally will lead to a reduction in stream power and sediment transport capacity therefore increasing the possibility of aggradation (accumulation of deposited sediment) and woody vegetation encroachment. Aggradation physically increases the elevation of the river bed and woody vegetation encroachment increases hydraulic roughness both of which lead to an increase in water surface elevation (WSE) and and elevated flood risk. Aggradation and vegetation encroachment often function together in a bio-feedback loop. New deposition creates a favorable location for vegetation to establish, then as vegetation matures it increases hydraulic roughness and traps more sediment. In a natural meandering river, a vegetated point bar will encourage channel migration by pushing flow away from the bar and scouring the opposite bank therefore maintaining channel capacity and creating new deposition. However, in an urban setting such as the Poudre River through Fort Collins, where the channel is laterally constrained, any new bar formation and vegetation encroachment reduces overall channel capacity. Although aggradation and vegetation often function in tandem, this is not always the case especially in highly modified/urban settings. Water diversion practices along the Poudre River have drastically reduced the available water discharge and in turn have reduced the sediment transport capacity as well as the sediment transport continuity along the river. The diversion structures not only reduce water discharge but also reduce flow velocity upstream of the structures and physically hinder bedload (coarse sand, gravels, and cobble sized material) from being transported downstream. These combined factors can collectively reduce the overall sediment transport supply moving through the Poudre River system. However, our analyses suggest that the EIS reports underestimate the sediment supply through the City of Fort Collins and therefore understate the channel aggradation impacts due to flow reduction from NISP. Further, the reduction in stream power also limits the ability of the river to strip out vegetation and prevent establishment and encroachment regardless of whether aggradation is occuring or not. Therefore, even if sediment supply is only available during large flood events, the vegetation encroachment between events could drastically increase the aggradation potential (flood risk) when the flood occurs. 3.2.2 Historical Aerial Imagery Analysis for Vegetation Encroachment Aerial imagery was studied to evaluate how the sequence of previous flood and drought events have influenced deposition, scour, and vegetation encroachment. The analysis was broken into the ten reaches used in the SDEIS Technical Report (2013) (Laporte 1 through Timnath reaches). EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 17 NISP Re-Analysis Otak 1999-2012 – Drought Years The study first examined aerial imagery from October 3rd, 1999 to measure the area of recent deposition from the April 1, 1999 flood. Google Earth polygons were used to track and measure each depositional bar area and vegetated areas on each bar. The 1999 aerial image is black-and-white and relatively poor quality. Flood deposits were generally identified by their light color and configuration in the channel (i.e. lateral bar or mid-channel bar). Vegetated portions of bars appear darker than the surrounding depositional area. The study then used the same methodology using an aerial image from August 18th, 2012. This aerial image captures the effects of 13 primarily drought years after the 1999 flood event. The bars and vegetated areas identified in the 1999 study were compared directly to the 2012 image. A new set of 2012 polygons were drawn for each bar. In most cases, there was no discernable difference in total bar size or shape between 1999 and 2012. However, most of the unvegetated bar areas in 1999 were vegetated by 2012. On average, the bars identified in 1999 were 38% vegetated, and those same bars were 80% vegetated by 2012. 2012-2017 – High Water Years A third aerial image from October 14th, 2017 was studied to evaluate the impact of the September 2013 flood event (which was similar magnitude as the 1999 event) and subsequent recovery period which had several other relatively high flow years. The bars and vegetated areas identified in the 2012 study were compared directly to the 2017 image. A new set of 2017 polygons were drawn for each bar. Aside from comparing the individual bar areas, additional polygons for new depositional area were created to accurately measure the overall ratio of vegetated bars to total bar area. On average, 11% of the vegetation identified in the 2012 aerial image did not appear in the 2017 image (presumably this vegetation was scoured or drowned in the 2013 flood event). The total area of deposition increased 17% on average. Table 4— Summary of results from historical aerial analysis for vegetation encroachment. Sources of error The apparent size of a given bar can vary depending on the flows on the day the aerial image was taken. Table 5 provides the flows recorded at three gages within the study area. These flow data alone are not always sufficient to account for apparent bar size differences because diversions can affect flow levels between the gages. Some judgment was required to assess whether a given bar had changed size during the study period, or if the bar was simply more exposed or inundated due to flow differences. Lastly, this analysis only accounts for two-dimensional changes in bar area and is unable to capture the changes of EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 18 NISP Re-Analysis Otak bars in the vertical direction. Although there is uncertainty in the analysis, the flows at each gage were close (Table 5), and the analysis is able to provide an informative outlook on the historical vegetation encroachment near the City of Fort Collins. Table 5— Comparison of discharges at three gages for the date of the aerial analyzed for vegetation encroachment. Date of Aerial Analyzed Canyon Gage (cfs) Lincoln Gage (cfs) Boxelder Gage (cfs) 10/3/1999 90 103 75 8/18/2012 192 103 100 10/14/2017 107 150 96 Trends of Aggradation The aerial analysis also revealed a large scale trend which can be identified by comparing the change in total bar area along the study reach. There is larger total bar area at the upstream side of the study reach (Laporte 1-3), less in the middle sections around the City of Fort Collins (FC 1-5), and larger total area again near the downstream end approaching I-25 (FC 6 and Timnath). This trend aligns with what is expected when considering the large scale natural and anthropogenic geomorphic controls in the system. The upstream section of the study reach is located in an alluvial fan zone which is the transition between the confined canyon to the less confined, milder slope front range. This transition generally leads to reduced stream power and is therefore a naturally depositional area for mountain river systems. The river is then artificially confined and constrained laterally by gravel mining activities and infrastructure through the City of Fort Collins. These influences typically increase stream power which will lead to less accumulation of sediment; however, this section has also been cleared and dredged of debris and sediment historically (including around bridges on an annual basis). Lastly, near the downstream end of the study reach exiting the City of Fort Collins, there is less infrastructure, confinement, and lower channel gradient leading to a reduction in stream power and increase in aggradation. This downstream response may indicate that coarse supply is moving through the system, so as flow is decreased through the City (i.e under NISP operations) less will move through leading to aggradation. Lastly, the cumulative sediment transport capacity for ‘upstream of I-25’ under the preferred alternative for NISP operations (SDEIS Technical Report 2014) is projected to be reduced to a magnitude similar to ‘downstream of I-25’ under current conditions. This suggests that ‘upstream of I-25’ under NISP conditions could experience aggradation similar to what is occurring ‘downstream of I-25’ currently. 3.3 Recalculation of the Effective Discharge An effective discharge calculation was performed for this report over a sub-reach from the SDEIS called FC1 (see Figure 7) that goes from the Larimer and Weld Canal to Wood St. As the results presented in the EIS documents were calculated with inadequate methods and differ from those calculated for the ERM, this analysis was performed to present one comparison using transport models appropriate for the Poudre River system. The following data and techniques were used: Grain Size: 300 count sample by Otak using a grid sampler at the riffle upstream of Shields Bridge. Hydrology: Available 15-min data from Lincoln gage for water years 1988-2017. Flows were sorted into 25 arithmetic bins. Hydraulics: Reach averaged hydraulics from the SDEIS 1D HEC-RAS model were used for the FC 1 reach from Larimer/Weld Canal to Wood St. The cross sections at diversion structures and bridges were removed but the the expansion/contraction cross sections of the bridges were left in. EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 19 NISP Re-Analysis Otak Shear Stress: The analysis was done with two ways of calculating shear stress from HEC-RAS for comparison. One method follows the default method from HEC-RAS for calculating shear using Shear = 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 , and the second approach follows suggestions from the ERM (2014) with Shear = 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾. Sediment transport equations: Parker (1990) and Wilcock and Kenworthy (2002) surface-based bedload sediment transport equations. Table 6—Summary of recalculated effective discharge, Qeff using two methods of calculating shear stress. Effective Discharge, Qeff (cfs) Using Shear = γDSf Using Shear = γRSe 4050cfs 2100cfs Figure 9— Plot of Qeff analysis results (peak is Qeff) using τ = γDSf (friction slope) and Parker (1990) and Wilcock and Kenworthy (2002) bedload sediment transport equations for reach FC1 from SDEIS Technical Report (2013). Figure 10— Plot of Qeff analysis results (peak is Qeff) using τ = γRSe (Energy Slope) and Parker (1990) and Wilcock and Kenworthy (2002) bedload sediment transport equations for reach FC1 from SDEIS Technical Report (2013). 0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 Effectiveness (tn/dy) Discharge (cfs) Parker (1990) Wilcock & Kenworthy (2002) EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 20 NISP Re-Analysis Otak Similar to the recalculation of the flushing flows values, the results using different methods to calculate Qeff varies widely. Using the alternative method of calculating shear stress using friction slope and hydraulic depth, estimates two distinct peaks at 7650cfs and 4050cfs using both the Parker (1990) and Wilcock and Kenworthy (2002) bedload sediment transport equations. Using the default HEC-RAS method of calculating shear stress using energy grade slope and hydraulic radius, estimates an effective discharge of 2100cfs using both transport equations. The effective discharge calculated in the SDEIS Technical Report (2013) for the same reach was 2200cfs. The nearest section of river from the ERM (2014) to this reach is Reach 3a which extends from the Taft Hill to Shields St. crossings. The effective discharge from Reach 3a in the ERM (2014) is 3350cfs using the Parker et al. 1984 equation and 2120cfs using the Wilcock and Crowe (2003) equation. Section 4—Methods and Results of Field-Based Analyses 4.1 2018 Runoff Field Studies Two field studies were conducted during the spring and early summer of 2018 to produce field-based evidence for mobilizing sediment in riffle features and the ability of the peak flows to remove plant seedlings on bars. These field-based studies were also used to corroborate and improve interpretation of hydraulic and sediment transport modeling. The first part of the studies included placing tracer rocks (brightly painted river rocks) of different size classes at several riffle features and taking photos of plant seedlings on bars before the 2018 runoff occurred then returning to the same locations to observe the effects of the peak flow after the runoff occurred. These investigations provide additional lines of evidence that can be used in conjunction with the hydraulic modeling to provide additional insight into the mobility of the channel bed, how that mobility may be impacted by vegetation, what we may expect moving forward, and a starting point for potential long-term monitoring opportunities. 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 Effectiveness (tn/dy) Discharge (cfs) Parker (1990) Wilcock & Kenworthy (2002) EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 21 NISP Re-Analysis Otak 4.1.1 Tracer Rocks Methods Tracer rocks were placed at six locations on representative riffle features near the City of Fort Collins from approximately Shields St. Bridge to the Boxelder gage and analyzed for movement after the 2018 runoff event. The selected locations were aligned with the 53 riffle cross sections used in the FFR (2017) analysis when possible to provide the most direct comparison to the modeling calculations (4 out of 6 locations align with the 53 FFR 2017 riffles). For the four cross sections that aligned with model, we calculated the critical dimensionless shear stress (τ*c) for motion using an estimate of the 2018 runoff peak flow (using gage and diversion data), the same D50 values as the flushing flows analysis, and both methods described above for shear stress (using energy grade slope, Se and friction slope, Sf) (Table 8). Rocks for the study were collected downstream of Shields St. Bridge in three size class ranges using a gravelometer and then painted a different color according to the size class (Table 7). For reference, the D50 values used in the analysis from the canyon mouth to I-25 ranged from (56mm-85mm). Table 7—Summary of colors the tracer rocks were painted for each size class in study. Size Class 32-45 mm 45-64 mm 64-90 mm Color Painted Orange Green Yellow Groups of three tracer rocks (1 of each size class) were placed at ten locations equally-spaced across a transect on each riffle for a total of thirty tracer rocks at each cross section (Figure 11). When placing the tracer rocks, we attempted to match the embeddedness to the local bed sediment by pushing the rocks into the surface layer rather than setting them on top which would have exposed them to elevated shear stresses and hence biased the sediment mobility. The exact locations of the rocks were placed randomly, hence some tracer rocks were hiding behind larger rocks and others were exposed. Figure 11— One grouping of tracer rocks placed pre-runoff in a riffle within the bankfull channel. EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 22 NISP Re-Analysis Otak Table 8—Summary of tracer rock cross sections locations and associated parameters. Tracer Rock XS Location Description Is it a FFR (2017) riffle cross section? Approximate 2018 Peak Flow (cfs) Calculated τ*c referenced to D50 with τ=γRSe Calculated τ*c referenced to D50with τ=γDSf 1 US of Shields St. Bridge Yes, (XS 242265) ~1800 0.043 0.014 2 US of the Gage Bridge (Lee Martinez Park) Yes, (XS 238538) ~1800 0.023 0.014 3 Between Lincoln St. and Mulberry St. Bridges near Woodward No ~1550 n/a n/a 4 Downstream of Timberline Rd. Bridge near Riverbend Ponds Natural Area Yes, (XS 215717) ~1550 0.016 0.025 5 Upstream of Prospect Rd. Bridge Yes, (XS 212726) ~1550 0.018 0.028 6 Upstream of Boxelder Gage No ~1450 n/a n/a Results Poudre River FEIS Assessment 23 NISP Re-Analysis Otak The ‘maximum number of rocks mobilized’ results include the rocks not found that were assumed to move or were covered by other material on the riffle that was mobilized upstream. These results represent the upper bound of potential movement of the tracer rocks. With these assumptions, the total percent of tracer rocks mobilized at each cross section ranged from 44%-90%. These results generally align with observations of the bed during fieldwork such as the looseness of the bed material, the pre- and post- runoff amount of embeddedness and algae, fine material present, etc. In general, the movement of the tracer rocks could be described as having ‘randomness and patchiness’ which matches expectations for natural sediment transport processes, but also hinders the ability to interpret the results and identify trends for other locations and river habitats. The calculated τ*c values presented in Table 8 show that there are very different estimates of the type of sediment transport that could be expected based on the method of shear stress used (Se vs. Sf). There is substantial spatial variability in τ*c among cross sections with similar flow values. In the case of tracer rock cross sections (1 and 2), the calculated τ*c using the Se method for shear aligns closer with the field observed estimates. However, for tracer rock cross sections (4 and 5), the calculated τ*c using the Sf method for shear aligns closer with what was expected based on field observations. If the calculated values are used as a potential range of τ*c, then the field-based estimates align with the calculations better overall, but generally the calculated values underestimate field values. These comparisons suggest that computational tools alone are inadequate to understand flushing flows dynamics on the Poudre River, and a more holistic understanding requires a variety of field, desktop, and computational methods. 4.1.2 Pre- and Post-Runoff Vegetation Encroachment Photos Before the 2018 runoff event, point bars and mid-channel bars near the City of Fort Collins (from near Laporte Middle School to Prospect Rd. Bridge) were examined for plant seedlings that may continue to establish and increase vegetation encroachment in the future. These bars were photographed before and after the 2018 runoff event to understand the effect this peak event had on scouring vegetation. While this exercise has limitations, it presents another line of evidence for understanding vegetation encroachment near the City of Fort Collins and can be the start to a longer-term monitoring opportunity. Results The plant seedlings most commonly present on the bars were Coyote Willow (Salix exigua) followed by a mixture of Plains Cottonwood (Populus deltoides monilifera), Narrowleaf Cottonwood (Populus augustifolia), Peachleaf Willow (Salix amygdaloides), and Reed Canary Grass (Phalaris arundinacea) depending on location. Overall, there were no noticeable changes in the vegetation pre- and post-runoff and no indication that vegetation was scoured during the event. Several areas also showed signs that the plants were not touched by the peak flow event or barely inundated. This is problematic for the City concerning vegetation encroachment because the roots of tree seedlings get locked around cobbles in as little as 2-3 years and then they require exponentially more shear stress to rip out. The results from this study indicate that the 2018 runoff event did not have the capacity to scour newly established vegetation with very shallow and weak roots in the areas that were examined. This is very important for the City of Fort Collins, because if runoff events in the future are similar to the 2018 event or less then there will be a high likelihood that woody vegetation will continue to establish, increasing roughness along the channel boundary, reduce the mobility of the surface upon which they are growing, and ultimately lead to reduced channel capacity, vertical accretion, and increased flood risk. However, many bars including the examples shown below, had a distinct difference in age class between the new plant seedlings and the surrounding vegetation. This can be an indication that there were recent runoff events that were able to scour or drown new plant seedlings before establishing. This would most likely be correlated to the 2013-2015 large runoff events. EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 24 NISP Re-Analysis Otak Figures 12-14 below show three examples of before and after 2018 runoff photos of bars with new plant seedlings establishing. EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 25 NISP Re-Analysis Otak Figure 12— Photo (looking downstream) of bar on river left just upstream of Overland Trail Bridge in May 2018 (above) and July 2018 (below). EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 26 NISP Re-Analysis Otak Figure 13— Photo (looking upstream) of bar on river right adjacent to North Shields Ponds Natural Area in May 2018 (above) and July 2018 (below). Figure 14— Photo (looking upstream) of bar on river left adjacent to McMurry Natural Area in May 2018 (above) and July 2018 (below). EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 27 NISP Re-Analysis Otak 4.1.3 Case Study for Vegetation Encroachment and Aggradation One representative lateral bar feature was selected and examined further to understand the potential combined effects of vegetation encroachment and aggradation within the City of Fort Collins. The bar is located on river right, just upstream of the Shields St. crossing (Figure 15) and represents an example of potential aggradation in a lower energy zone associated with a crossing, with potential impacts to critical infrastructure. This bar was observed to be created during the 1999 runoff event and has progressively encroached with vegetation since then. Historical aerial photos indicate that even the 2013 flood event was not able to strip out the vegetation present on the bar which has implications for future flood risk concerns. We examined the depth of fine material deposited on the bar with a 4’ steel soil probe to estimate how much sediment has been trapped on the cobble bar since its initial formation. Figure 15— Photo (looking upstream) in 2018 of case study point bar on river right just upstream of Shields St. Bridge. The bar currently has around 1-1.5’ of fine material deposited on top of a coarse layer near the channel- side margins of the bar as shown in Figure 15, and up to around 4’ of deposition near the center of the bar (Figure 16 and 17). EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 28 NISP Re-Analysis Otak Figure 16— Four-foot steel soil probe stuck approximately (1.5’) in ground until hitting coarse layer near outskirts of case study bar just upstream of Shields St. Bridge (photo from 2018). Figure 17— Four-foot steel soil probe stuck approximately (4’) in ground until hitting coarse layer near center of case study bar just upstream of Shields St. Bridge. Woody vegetation was approximately 8-10’ tall and very dense (photo from 2018). EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 29 NISP Re-Analysis Otak Figure 18— Photo (looking upstream) in 2004 of case study point bar on river right looking from Shields St. Bridge. The photo shown in Figure 18 shows the same case study point bar in 2004. This photo reveals that the bar was mostly still coarse material at this time and vegetation was starting to establish. The photo in Figure 19 shows the bar directly after the September 2013 flood event. The cross section across this bar was taken before the flood in 2012 and after in 2013 and showed an up to 1.5’ increase in aggradation from the 2013 flood. The most recent measurements of aggradation on this bar in 2018 showed up to 4’ of deposition over the coarse layer (from 1999), therefore there was apparently more deposition that occurred in other years before and after the 2013 event (i.e., not all aggradation was caused by the 2013 event alone). Figure 19— Photo (looking downstream) in 2013 of case study point bar on river right looking at cross section taken for High Park Fire study. EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 30 NISP Re-Analysis Otak This particular bar was chosen because of the length of available observations and its proximity to infrastructure. The bar provides an example of channel encroachment during lower flow years that reduces the available space for flow conveyance during higher flow events. Observations of rapid vertical accretion in the channel margins have been noted by others in similar scenarios where high stage is accompanied by large concentration of fine sediment (Milhous chapter in Gravel Bed Rivers book). These fine sediments then deposit along the channel margin or lower energy areas, providing a surface for vegetation to grow (Wilcock et al., 1996). Our case study of the bar shows evidence of this exact process. According to the results of transport capacity calculations reported in the EIS documents, NISP will exacerbate this process through reductions in transport capacity. While the example above focuses on a single lateral bar, the Poudre through the study reach has many similar locations where crossings are encouraging the development of bank-attached bar formations. 4.2 Embeddedness When considering the definition of flushing flows as disturbing the bed sufficiently to release fines from the interstitial spaces, embeddedness directly relates to flushing flows and can be an indicator of the occurrence and effectiveness of flushing. If a riffle feature, for instance, is highly embedded then the riffle has most likely not been disturbed nor mobilized the bed enough to release fines from the interstitial spaces of the coarse sediment, indicating a lack of recent flushing. With the newest definition of flushing flows from the FFR (2017) only requiring the removal of fines from the surface fines embeddedness may not directly relate to the occurrence of flushing. Under this definition, a riffle may be highly embedded and still be ‘flushing’ as mobilizing fines on the surface does nothing for the interstitial spaces. Alternatively, it could be argued that to have a layer of fine material resting on top of the coarse riffle sediment, there would have to be enough embeddedness to negate the impacts of grain hiding, packing, and other behaviors that limit the transport of fines. Therefore, the chosen definition of flushing is only possible if one subscribes to the notion that the Poudre River is static and canal-like. The EIS reports did not directly describe observations related to embeddedness, however there are indirect implications that can be made from other stated observations. The reports describe the Poudre River as being very armored with a layer of fines sitting on top of the coarse material in many locations especially downstream of I-25 and into Greeley. This does not align with observations from Otak’s fieldwork in 2016, 2017, and 2018. Otak recognizes that observations described in the EIS were presumably made around 2012 which happened to be at the end of a 13-year drought period that had very low peaks from 1999-2012. In contrast, our observations were after the large 2013 flood event followed by a relatively wet period with higher flood peaks. Otak does not doubt that the river was more embedded and armored with more surface fines during 2012. However, the newest analyses in the EIS Reports appear to assume these same observations even though the Flushing Flows Report was released in 2017. Desktop and field-based evidence suggests that the September 2013 flood was large enough to change the river to the point where the assertion (that the channel is well armored) is no longer valid. The assumption that the Poudre River is armored is used as a basis to justify many decisions in the EIS documents (e.g., modeling approach, calculation of effective discharge). In this case, the assumption being no longer valid creates uncertainty around if the methods, results, and conclusions in the EIS reports still apply to the current state of the Poudre River. The 2013 flood was a large disturbance event which rejuvenated many portions of the substrate, therefore there is an opportunity to continue this healthy trajectory along the Poudre River. But, the reduced sediment transport capacity under NISP will decrease the likelihood of maintaining this ‘healthy substrate’ trajectory. EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 31 NISP Re-Analysis Otak Section 5—Discussion The results of the multiple lines of evidence discussed above highlight the inadequacies of the EIS analyses and interpretations and yield evidence of a very different perspective on the geomorphology and likely geomorphic trajectory of the Poudre River under NISP. 5.1 Flushing Flows and Sediment Transport The results of the review of the flushing flows analyses performed for the EIS and our own analyses (including both calculations and field investigations) indicate that invalid assumptions made regarding the geomorphology of the Poudre River skewed the interpretation of the analyses results. Our multiple-lines- of-evidence approach contradicts the conclusion that the Poudre is supply-limited with thus be minimally affected by NISP. 5.1.1 EIS Reports Flushing Flows Analyses The approaches used for the analyses presented in the EIS documents are non-standard, ambiguous, and not well documented in the literature. The interpretations of the results of the methods are often based on large assumptions and are contrary to the results of the transport calculations. As stated previously, the decisions to change definition of flushing and the methods chosen to define the flushing flow essentially nullified previous results from their other analyses which showed large variability throughout the study reach and bases the determination of flushing solely on hydrology (Q2) rather than hydraulics or sediment transport. While in coarse-grained, self-adjusted, equilibrium channels Q2 has been shown to have morphologic significance, the Poudre River through Fort Collins does not meet those assumptions. The Q2 flood discharge has been drastically reduced with the current hydrologic regime, and infrastructure confinement and bank armoring, etc. has limited the ability of the stream to respond geomorphically to the changes. Therefore, a Q2 discharge based on the current hydrology could drastically underestimate the flow required to perform the functions expected from a Q2 flood on a ‘natural stream.’ Furthermore, flow frequency metrics such as recurrence intervals (e.g., Q2) only describe average conditions. Stream resiliency is developed by experiencing conditions outside of the averages. As the analysis presented in the EIS documents only examines average conditions, many questions remain as to how NISP will impact the river’s resilience. It intuitively seems that there would have to be a notable amount of deposition and/or embeddedness present in a riffle for a grain size range of (2-64mm) to be resting on top of the coarse ‘armor layer.’ One of the justifications for using the (2-64mm) grain size range cites Raleigh et al. (1986) who presented the optimal grain size range for brown trout spawning to be (10-70mm). However, this paper also stated that “potential spawning sites are characterized by upwelling of water through the gravel or by the presence of water current flowing downward through the gravel” (Raleigh et al., 1986 pg. 8). These characteristics describe conditions with high amounts of hyporheic exchange that requires ‘clean’ interstitial spaces in the coarse bed material layer. This creates favorable spawning habitat by helping to decrease and maintain water temperature and increase dissolved oxygen content. According to the definition of flushing flows presented in the FFR (2017), the river bed may be completely armored and/or embedded, yet still provide good fish spawning habitat if the fines are swept off the surface. This assumption does not align with the habitat requirements presented in Raleigh et al. (1986). Furthermore, the language used for the flushing flows definition simplifies the channel bed into a ‘surface.’ While this simplification may be necessary within a modeling context, interpretation of the results of the modeling need to account for the simplifying assumptions. The ‘surface’ is an assemblage of fine sediments, gravels, cobbles, and boulders with substantial roughness characteristics that forms a complex channel bed where smaller rocks are hidden behind larger rocks. The notion that fines can be swept off the surface implies that the channel bed is substantially embedded to begin with, which is simply not the case for large portions of the Poudre River after recent high flows. EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 32 NISP Re-Analysis Otak In summary, the final flushing flow values presented in the FFR (2017) are likely underestimates of the flows necessary to provide both the stated functions and those acceptable to the City. Our recalculation of the flow metrics, combined with targeted field investigations suggest that the calculations performed for the EIS process are not able to answer fundamental questions regarding the sediment and channel maintenance capabilities of the Poudre River. 5.1.2 Recalculation of Flushing Flows When comparing the sediment movement ranges from Milhous’ research (Milhous 2000 and 2003) to the flushing flows results using D50, there are a wide range of discharges that correlate to each range of τ*c values. Furthermore, when comparing the results using D50 to the results from the FFR (2017) there are a large range of possible conclusions depending on which analyses are used. This generally highlights the fact that there is much uncertainty in calculating sediment transport and additional analyses including field-based evidence are merited to converge on more reliable estimates of flushing flows. Also, the nature of sediment transport, in reality, is spatially patchy in a river and sporadic, therefore the threshold to mobilize sediment varies for different areas within the river based on the particular sediment composition, configuration, etc. Thus, maintaining higher flows will only increase the probability of initiating different types of sediment transport in more areas of the river rather than increasing transport uniformly across the entire channel. These factors consequently merit the use of flushing flows as probabilistic ranges rather than discrete values. Furthermore, in gravel/cobble bed streams, the threshold nature of sediment transport initiation and exponential flow vs sediment flux relationship, dictate that minimal transport will occur until the threshold is reached. Therefore, getting half of a ‘flushing flow’ will not equal half of the flushing. Comparing the results from using D50 to the final baseline flushing flow values selected in FFR (2017) raises some concern about reaching the threshold for transport necessary for flushing the intersitial spaces of the coarse substrate or even surface fines. All the baseline flushing flow values are less than the calculated values using D50 with a τ*c of 0.021. This is defined by Milhous to be the lowest threshold for sweeping fines from the surface layer, so values below this will be unable to provide that function and even less likely to flush interstitial spaces. The technique used to calculate flushing using the D50 may be overestimating the required flushing flow, but also indicates that the baseline values provided in the FFR (2017) could also be highly underestimated. 5.1.3 Tracer Rocks Field Study The moderate spatial variation of tracer rock mobility was in line with what could be expected from this type of field study. Some of the highlights include: (1) particles in the 32-45mm grain size class moved the most (84% average mobility with a range of 70-100%) at every cross section which intuitively makes sense because smaller grains are easier to transport, and (2) far fewer particles in the 45-64mm size class and 64-90mm size class moved than the finer tracer rocks and with much higher variation. These results indicate that the flows from the 2018 runoff event most likely had the sediment transport capacity to mobilize sediment in the 32-45mm grain size range and below, but the larger two size class ranges are less certain and sporadic. Numerous factors such as the rock orientation, embeddedness, hiding or protruding factor, and the movement of sediment around the tracer rocks, etc. could have influence on the transport. Impacts of Location and the 2013 Flood It should be noted that the tracer rock study results were heavily influenced by the location of the cross sections and the impacts of the 2013 flood and proceeding higher water years before this year’s runoff. The tracer rock cross sections were selected to be only on riffle features which can be the areas of greatest overall shear stress and capacity to move sediment during low to moderate flow events. The 2013 flood was a large disturbance event that was able to move sediment throughout the river system therefore loosening the bed material and decreasing embeddedness. This ‘looser’ bed is much more primed for movement and thus requires less flow to mobilize the sediment. This is opposed to having a EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 33 NISP Re-Analysis Otak long period where the bed moves minimally and becomes very embedded such as in 2012 after the drought period that began in 1999. The initial 10-year filling period of Glade reservoir, depending on the runoff characteristics during those years, could create drought-like conditions on Poudre River. We should expect vegetation to encroach upon the channel substantially during that time. As seen in 2013, 10 years of woody plant growth will most likely be too much for the next flood to remove (i.e., as observed in the 2013 flood) given the significant rooting strength that woody vegetation typically develops in three or fewer years. This vegetation establishment and the resulting sediment deposition, will increase flow resistance, decrease channel capacity, and ultimately lead to inundation of a larger than anticipated area. 5.1.4 Recalculation of the Effective Discharge The results shown in Figures 9 and 10 using the two different methods of shear stress suggest several potential conclusions regarding the calculation of Qeff. We interpret the results by examing the definition of the effective discharge. The Qeff is one approximation of the ‘channel forming’ discharge and can be thought of as the discharge that moves the most sediment over a period of years,. In self adjusted, coarse grained channels, these two concepts often correlate, however this is often not true in modified, urban systems. We perceive the 4050cfs and 7650cfs peaks from Figure 9 to be most representative of a current ‘channel forming’ flow, in the sense that those flows have the capacity to move the coarser fraction of the bed that defines the channel’s morphologic character. The 2100cfs peak in Figure 10 possibly represents the flow that moves the most sediment over time, but does so on the assumption of a large supply of fine sediments. The 7650cfs peak in Figure 9 is probably overestimated because all of the data for this flow came from the one 2013 event using 15min flow data. However, it is important to capture the recent ‘wetter’ years the Poudre River has experienced in this analysis, to most accurately model the current hydrologic regime. These results indicate that these really large flood events may be more ‘effective’ than we think they are. This means that the frequency of floods with the high magnitude and sediment transport capacity of 2013 is perhaps underestimated and may occur more than expected. For instance, there were other events of similar magnitude in 1983 and 1999 as well. However, we believe the second peak of 4050cfs in Figure 9 is probably the most representative Qeff for this reach as a channel forming discharge. These calculations suggest that it may require a less frequent flood event to fully mobilize the larger material such as coarse gravels and cobbles that make up the grade controlling bedforms of the Poudre River. This aligns with expectations because the sediment transport capacity as been greatly reduced from existing diversion operations. With less sediment transport capacity, it requires higher, less frequent flood events to mobilize the coarse bed layer to rearrange and develop new bedforms. This higher Qeff, closer to the historical Q5 event, also aligns with our studies on the Lower Poudre River (Lower Poudre Master Plan 2017), where we did sediment transport analyses from I-25 to the South Platte River confluence. Even though the SDEIS Technical Report (2013) report used grain size data that combined surface and sub-surface samples and the Meyer-Peter Muller (1948) equation, our peak in Figure 10 aligns with their Qeff results. The result for this reach from the SDEIS Technical Report (2013) was Qeff = 2,200cfs. From examining the per grain size results from the SDEIS Technical Report (2013) it appears this discharge may be an important threshold for moving finer material such as 16mm and below on the Poudre River. This does not mean, however, that it is capable of meeting the management objective of either maintaining spawning habitat and/or maintaining channel conveyance. 5.2 Aggradation and Vegetation Encroachment The theme in the EIS Reports regarding aggradation and vegetation encroachment stays relatively consistent and concludes that the Poudre River upstream of I-25 will be minimally impacted under NISP operations. This conclusion heavily relies on the qualitative observations that the river is ‘supply limited’ and shows little signs of current large-scale aggradation or biogeomorphic feedback loops occurring. The EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 34 NISP Re-Analysis Otak conclusions on aggradation and vegetation encroachment seem to disregard the analyses performed in the SDEIS Technical Report (2013), and there is no evidence or analyses presented that support the claim of the river being ‘supply limited’ upstream of I-25. The reports recognize that channel contraction from vegetation encroachment may be increased under NISP conditions, however the impacts are presumed to be minimal because there is no sediment to cause aggradation (supply limited). This conclusion of the channel being supply limited contradicts evidence from our desktop- and field- based analyses that show many examples of channel contraction with both Reed Canary Grass and woody species such as Coyote Willows that contract the channel. There are limitations to the aerial analysis approach; however, there are a few large scale trends that were identified from the analysis that can have important implications for future vegetation encroachment and potential flood risk on the Poudre River. Future Implications on Vegetation Encroachment The general change in total vegetation between 1999-2012 indicates there was a large amount of vegetation encroachment that occurred during this drought period. Furthermore, the comparisons of the 2012-2017 photos, although less certain results, showed that the 2013 and subsequent high flow years were apparently able to scour or drown around one fourth (~25%) of vegetation but not enough to come close to returning to the amount present in 1999. This has important implications for flood risk near the City of Fort Collins because eventhough the 2013 flood peak was larger than the 1999 flood peak it was evidently less effective at scouring vegetaion and therefore has led to overall less river conveyance as compared to 1999. This is most likely because the vegetation that was recruited after the 1999 event was able to establish and mature for over 10 years, increasingly becoming more erosion resistant, with the absence of flows that were able to cause significant mortality by scouring and/or drowning the plants. This has important implications for vegetation encroachment in the future because in the event there is another drought period similar to 1999-2012 there would presumably be even more encroachment, increased flow roughness, and would require a higher peak flow to scour vegetation. The chance of having a low flow period similar to 1999-2012 is arguably greater under NISP conditions. Some of the most drastic changes to the hydrology under NISP will be during the initial ten year filling period of the new reservoir. Reducing flows for this long of a time period can increase the chance of having conditions and vegetation encroachment similar to the 1999-2012 period. It can be argued that NISP will not affect the largest flood events such as 2013 and thus will not affect the present ability of the river to scour vegetation. However, the reduction of the medium and low flows events can also be important for future vegetation encroachment, because during an average flow year the mechanism most likely to control new vegetation growth maybe drowning rather than scour. Field observations suggest seedlings that start to establish each year are potentially more vulnerable to being drowned rather than scoured under the current hydrology conditions. Therefore, under NISP operations, the recruitment and establishment of new vegetation could be increased since there will be less flow for longer durations of time. 5.2.1 Field Studies for Vegetation Encroachment and Aggradation The pre- and post-runoff vegetation photos and point bar case study can give a novel insight into the potential for vegetation encroachment and aggradation near the City of Fort Collins. The results from the field-based studies contradict the claims made in the EIS Reports that aggradation and vegetation encroachment are not prevalent near the City of Fort Collins and supply limited conditions eliminate risk. The pre- and post-runoff vegetation photos study showed that the 2018 runoff event was not able to cause significant mortality or removal of plant seedlings starting to establish on over twenty bar locations near the City of Fort Collins. These results are concerning because the 2018 peak flow through the City was above the baseline flushing flow values selected in the FFR (2017), therefore the current EIS flushing EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 35 NISP Re-Analysis Otak flow values clearly are not representative of channel maintenance flows required by the City to maintain current flood risk standards. The point bar case study used to understand the connection of vegetation encroachment and aggradation near the City of Fort Collins challenges the claim made in the EIS reports regarding supply limited conditions. The investigation of this bar showed a clear pattern of vegetation encroachment from 1999 to present and up to 4’ of deposition that occurred on this bar during that time frame. This is clear evidence that aggradation and vegetation encroachment is occurring near the City of Fort Collins. This also contradicts the claims that the Poudre River upstream of I-25 is not at risk of increased aggradation because it is supply limited. It is important to note that the deposition seen on the bar is not the result of a singular event (i.e., the 2013 floods). The photograph in Figure 18 shows that around 1.5’ of extra deposition occurred on the bar from the 2013 event. Therefore, up to 4’ of deposition observed in 2018 is strong evidence that there was available supply in the years following 2013. These field studies provide strong evidence that aggradation and vegetation encroachment is occurring near the City of Fort Collins and the supply is not limiting this from occurring nearly as much as the EIS reports conclude. The results for the preferred alternative from SDEIS Technical Report (2014) shown in Figure 2 state there will be a larger decrease in sediment transport potential upstream than downstream of I-25, but there will be less to no impact because of supply limited conditions. The evidence from the field studies suggest that this is not true. Section 6—Conclusions The EIS reports were reviewed to understand the assumptions, methods, analyses, and conclusions reached regarding the current conditions of the Poudre River and the potential impacts of NISP operations. In response to deficiencies in those reports, additional analyses, including hydraulic simulations, flow competence and capacity calculations, historic data review, and field observations and measurements were subsequently performed to gain a better understanding of how NISP might impact resiliency and flood risk on the Poudre River. The geomorphic analysis methods and interpretation of results have been variable and at time erratic. The physical basis for the selected geomorphology methods and conclusions are not supported by the best available science and data. Of primary concern are the reliance on the assumption of the Poudre as being supply-limited and the assumptions inherent to the selected definition of flushing. The results of our analyses show that the Poudre is susceptible to episodic inputs of sediment and that the reductions in transport capacity calculated will exacerbate the channel contraction currently observed in the Fort Collins reaches. The EIS documents appear to reach the same conclusion yet disregard the results of their own analyses despite having not performed any analysis to verify the classification of the channel as supply limited. Determinations on whether a channel is supply limited or capacity limited fundamentally requires a comparison between sediment supply and transport capacity (Montgomery & Buffington 1997). Other than qualitatively, sediment supply has not been assessed. Based on (Montgomery & Buffington 1997) the Poudre would be classified (both above and below I-25) as capacity limited, but anthropogenic influences obscure direct application. Evidence from our field investigations, showing vegetation encroachment and aggradation, suggest that while historic channel forms have been strongly influenced by development, the Poudre likely remains capacity limited above I-25. Sediment supply, however, is now more episodic in nature (associated with moderate flows). While downstream of I-25 there may be a stronger physical signature, NISP will reduce the transport capacity of the reaches in town to levels below those now experienced downstream of I-25, thus exacerbating the channel aggradation currently observed in reaches through town. This key conclusion from the EIS process is disregarded based on an assertion of the channel being supply limited. Furthermore, the definition of flushing changed to rely on a flow associated with Q2, which the literature has shown to indicative of the channel forming flow, in some rivers. As discussed above, this assumption EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 36 NISP Re-Analysis Otak applies to coarse-grained, equilibrium channels, and the Poudre is not one of those channels. Additionally, this approach is based on an average condition, but observations from recent years suggest that non-average conditions have the potential to significantly alter the condition of the Poudre. Developing resiliency in the river corridor is a primary concern for the City and our results suggest that moderate floods, in addition to higher floods, give the system its resiliency. The modeling methods and assumptions used in the EIS are inadequate to predict and evaluate the impacts of NISP on flood risk. We believe the preferred alternative will increase sediment deposition and woody vegetation establishment in the river channel, despite the proposed mitigation plan. This will potentially increase flood levels and risks to private property and critical infrastructure (e.g., bridges) along the river corridor. Uncertainty in the shear stress calculations and comparison with the tracer rock observations suggest that capacity and competence calculations, performed with 1D model hydraulics, are alone insufficient for the determination of flushing flows. Other lines of evidence need to be considered along with the analytical tools. It is apparent from our field investigations that the Poudre is gradually losing channel capacity and the results of the EIS documents suggest NISP will exacerbate this behavior. That will increase flood levels and risk to private property and infrastructure located in the floodplain. There are multiple lines of evidence from our analyses (including historical and field evidence) that suggest the proposed changes to river flows will reduce flood carrying capacity and simultaneously degrade habitat. Ultimately, the City is likely going to be faced with increased costs and maintenance requirements to sustain the current level of flood protection along the river corridor. The City's ability to achieve its vision of a healthy and resilient river, will also be limited in perpetuity, as the selected alternative and mitigation plan will substantially reduce the amount of time that flows meet critical thresholds for preventing sediment build up and maintenance of channel capacity. As discussed above, sweeping fines off the surface is not a sufficient flushing objective, nor is it based in a realistic understanding of the channel bed. Without channel maintenance flows, short term changes in boundary roughness will lead to reduced flow conveyance in the channel, channel straightening, and a reduction in habitat diversity. As determined by the ERM, the channel will become more canal-like and limited in its ability to handle disturbance events. The City will need to invest more heavily in maintenance to avoid increased flood risk. The proposed mitigation measures are not realistic as conveyance will be lost in locations where adjacent land is not available to be repurposed for flood mitigation. Overall, our desktop- and field-based analyses (including tracer rocks during an average runoff year and vegetation analyses) have shown that the sediment transport processes on the Poudre River may be functioning more than the EIS reports suggest and have more sediment supply while simultaneously having risk of continued vegetation encroachment and increased aggradation. Furthermore, field-based results have rendered model results uncertain which has reduced reliability of the modeling approaches. The EIS Reports rely heavily on modeling alone, but our results show that the tools in isolation are insufficient to understand the questions being asked and must be tempered with field evidence. These findings suggest that the predicted impacts of NISP operations on current conditions presented in the EIS reports may be grossly underestimated. EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 37 NISP Re-Analysis Otak References Anderson Consulting Engineers, Inc. 2013 Stream Morphology and Sediment Transport, Cache la Poudre River Mainstem Baseline Report. NISP and HSWSPs Environmental Impact Statements. Prepared for U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. March 9. Anderson Consulting Engineers, Inc. 2017a Northern Integrated Supply Project Final Environmental Impact Statement assessment of Flushing Flows on the Cache la Poudre River. Prepared for U.S. Army Corps of Engineers. March 9. Bunte, K., and S. R. Abt (2001). Sampling Surface and Subsurface Particle-size Distributions in Wadable Gravel and Cobble Bed Streams for Analyses in Sediment Transport, Hydraulics, and Streambed Monitoring. General Technical Report RMRS-GTR-74; Fort Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station; 428 p. City of Fort Collins. 2014. Ecological Response Model. Fort Collins, CO. Coalition Poudre River Watershed. 2017. Lower Poudre River Resiliency Plan. Fort Collins, CO. Grand County Stream Management Plan (GCSMP) (2010). Draft Report, Stream Management Plan, Phase 3, Grand County, Colorado. Report and Appendices, Draft Report prepared for Grand County, Colorado, August, 37 p., URL: http://co.grand.co.us/WRM/ Draft_Report/draft.html including appendices. Kondolf, G. M., and P. R. Wilcock (1996). The flushing flow problem: defining and evaluating objectives. Water Resources Research 32(8):2589–2599, DOI: 10.1029/96WR00898. Milhous, R. T. (2000). Numerical modeling of flushing flows in gravel-bed rivers. Pages 579– 608, Chapter 25 in: Gravel-Bed Rivers in the Environment, P. C. Klingeman, R. L. Beschta, P. D. Komar, and J. B. Bradley (Eds.), Water Resources Publications, LLC, Littleton, CO, 832 p. Milhous, R. T. (2003). Reconnaissance – Level Application of Physical Habitat Simulation in the Evaluation of Physical Habitat Limits in the Animas Basin, Colorado. U. S. Geological Survey Open File Report 03-222, available from the Fort Collins Science Center, Fort Collins, CO, 16 p. Montgomery, D and J.M. Buffington (1997). Channel-reach morphology in mountain drainage basins. Geological Society of America Bulletin 109 (5): 596-611. Parker, G. (2008). Transport of gravel and sediment mixtures. Chapter 3 (Pages 165–251) in Sedimentation Engineering: Theories, Measurements, Modeling, and Practice (ASCE Manuals and Reports on Engineering Practice No. 110), M. H. Garcia (Ed.); New York, NY: American Society of Civil Engineers; 1150 p., DOI: 10.1061/9780784408148.ch03. Wilcock, P. R. (1998). Sediment maintenance flows: feasibility and basis for prescription. Chapter 26 (Pages 609–638) in Gravel-Bed Rivers in the Environment, P. C. Klingeman, R. L. Beschta, P. D. Komar, and J. B. Bradley (Eds.); Highlands Ranch, CO: Water Resources Publications, LLC. EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 38 NISP Re-Analysis Otak Wilcock, Peter; Pitlick, John; Cui, Yantao (2009). Sediment transport primer: estimating bed-material transport in gravel-bed rivers. Gen. Tech. Rep. RMRS-GTR-226. Fort Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station. 78 p. EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 39 NISP Re-Analysis Otak Appendix A Long-Term Monitoring Study With uncertainty remaining in the magnitude and scale of potential impacts from NISP on the Poudre River’s ability to transport sediment, maintain flushing flows, and sustain current channel dimension and flood conveyance it is important to establish a long-term monitoring plan to help inform potential adaptive management decisions in the future. It has been stated in the FEIS that NISP will alter the capacity of the Poudre River to move sediment which could potentially increase aggradation and vegetation encroachment through the City. Furthermore, NISP will decrease the frequency and duration of flushing flows necessary to remove fine sediment from interstitial spaces and maintain physical habitat for fishes and aquatic insects. To better determine the impact of these altered flows as a result of NISP on the Poudre River a multiple lines of evidence approach should be taken within the long-term monitoring effort. Physical data should be collected annually post-runoff which will provide valuable information for baseline data pre-NISP, during the filling period of the Glade Reservoir, and potential post-NISP impacts. It is recommended to establish study sites as soon as possible to be able to start collecting pre-NISP baseline data. Key evidence used to estimate changes in sediment transport, vegetation encroachment, and flushing flows will include: 1. Aggradation a. Annual survey of permanent cross-sections and longitudinal profile b. Photo points c. Highly detailed field observations 2. Vegetation Encroachment a. Annual survey of permanent cross-sections marking vegetation line b. Photo points c. Highly detailed field observations 3. Flushing Flows a. Tracer rocks b. Pebble counts c. Percent fines/coarse/algae d. Percent embeddedness e. Photo points f. Highly detailed field observations g. Magnitudes and durations of pre- vs. post-NISP peak flows as measured by U. S. Geological Survey (USGS) Twenty-six sites have been selected along the Poudre River from Lions Park downstream to I-25 for permanent cross-sections to be established. Six of these sites were part of the tracer rock study and already have rebar installed. Eighteen of the sites are located at riffles features and an additional eight are located in run sections. Approximate site locations are presented in Google Earth files (.kmz) delivered separately to the City of Fort Collins. Final cross-section locations at each site will be decided in the field and will be ideally placed through the middle of riffles and runs or as deemed most representative of the geomorphic unit that is being surveyed. A longitudinal profile should also be surveyed starting at the next riffle crest upstream of the cross-section being surveyed and continue down to the next riffle crest downstream of the cross-section. The twenty-six sites were chosen to represent the range of physical, geomorphological, and hydrological conditions occurring in the Poudre River through Fort Collins. In addition to the permanent cross-sections, the 27 bars that were visually assessed for EXHIBIT A Poudre River FEIS Assessment 40 NISP Re-Analysis Otak aggradation and vegetation encroachment as part of the current study should also be repeated annually. Three new bars are also being added to the previous 27 making a total of 30 bars to be visually assessed through the study area. A systematic point grid frame method would ideally be used in combination with a gravelometer to collect substrate data at each site (Bunte and Abt, 2001). Greater than 300 substrate observations should be taken along the cross-section spanning the entire bankfull channel. An additional 300 observations of presence of fines, algae, and coarse material should also be taken along the cross-section with the point grid frame in combination with a viewing bucket. Finally, embeddedness data should be collected by measuring the average depth of the largest substrate above and below the layer of fine material surrounding the rock. Fifteen embeddedness measurements should be taken equidistance along the cross-section. Tracer rock, photo point, and field observations should follow methods presented previously in this report. EXHIBIT A Parameter Monitoring Questions Data to be collected What we learn Sampling Timeline Aggradation Is aggradation occurring at an increased rate post- NISP? • 30 bars will be visually assessed for aggradation with highly detailed observations being documented • Photo points at bars, bridges, and upstream of diversion dams • Cross-section and longitudinal survey through 12 of the 30 point bars • Whether aggradation is occurring at an increased rate post-NISP and if there is a bio-feedback loop with vegetation encroachment occurring. Furthermore, is aggradation leading to a loss of flood conveyance through the City. Annually post- runoff Vegetation Encroachment Is vegetation encroachment occurring at an increased rate post- NISP? • 30 bars will be visually assessed for vegetation encroachment with highly detailed observations being documented • Photo points at bars • Cross-sectional survey through 12 of the 30 bars marking the vegetation line • Whether vegetation encroachment is occurring at an increased rate post NISP and if this is leading to a loss of flood conveyance through the City. Flushing Flows Are decreases in peak flow magnitude and duration from NISP leading to increased riffle/run embeddedness? • 26 cross-sections o Tracer rocks o Pebble counts (300 Land Conservation & Stewardship Board Emergency Meeting June 10, 2020 06/10/2020 – MINUTES Page 1 1. CALL TO ORDER: 5:30 p.m. 2. ROLL CALL: Raymond Watts, Vicky McLane, Kelly Ohlson, Mike Weber, Alycia Crall, Andrea Elson, Joe Piesman Excused: David Tweedale Unexcused: Edward Reifsnyder City Staff: Zoe Shark, Julie Feder, Jennifer Shanahan, Tanya Ernst, Eric Potyondy, Carol Webb, Kelly Smith, Cameron Gloss 3. AGENDA REVIEW: Ray reported discussion of the NISP memo would come before Jennifer Shanahan’s presentation. Ray suggested reviewing the memo and then continue discussion with Jennifer and other City staff regarding the 1041 process. CITIZEN PARTICIPATION: Council member Ross Cunniff attended specifically for the NISP review. Citizen attendee Brad Wind is participating with interest in NISP he is the General Manager of Northern Water. Stephanie Cecil attending, she is also Northern Water staff. 4. APPROVAL OF MINUTES: Kelly Ohlson made a motion to approve the March LCSB minutes, Vicky McLane seconded the motion. The motion was unanimously approved. 5. COMMUNICATION & BOARD MATTERS Excerpt… Northern Integrated Supply Project (NISP) Memo LCSB Ray moved on to review the memo drafted by the LCSB to City Council regarding NISP and the Board’s concerns. It appears the Board’s main concern is the impact to natural areas. Ray believes taking water out of the Poudre River, where over 3 miles of natural forests exist, is too damaging. Board members agreed the memorandum reflects and demonstrates their concerns and they believe the City of Fort Collins should change its’ position to not support NISP. Ray reminded the Board that the NISP discussion was taking place because at the last Board meeting in Board there was a consensus to send a memo to City Council listing concerns of the project. He felt reviewing the memo again and providing an opportunity for Board members to offer any other comments is valuable. The only other option is to rewrite the memo but not during the meeting. He would like to collect expressions or concerns from the Board regarding the current memo. Vicky McLane made a motion to approve the NISP memorandum to City Council. ATTACHMENT 6 Land Conservation & Stewardship Board Regular Meeting 06/10/2020 MINUTES Page 2 Joe Piesman seconded the motion. The motion was unanimously proved The attachment is more specifically focused on the NISP infrastructure imposed within the natural areas, along the river, in the city. Because that has now been approved the Board can send that to City Council and Michelle will send out the final draft to Board members. Ray wanted to reiterate that the Board has enormous appreciation for City staff in the work they have done and their comments that were gathered from various organizations regarding NISP. The final permitting process is looming, and the Board wants to be current in terms of where the process is, and the permitting issues involved. Northern Integrated Supply Project (NISP) Update Jennifer Shanahan Jennifer began by introducing various City staff that have worked on the comments, Carol Webb, the City’s NISP Lead, Cameron Gloss, 1041 response lead, Eric Potyondy, primary legal contact for NISP and Kelly Smith, 1041 application review and Dave Myers, NAD Land Conservation Manager. She then gave an update on the process of the 1041 application that NISP is required to go through with Larimer County. Jennifer provided a high-level description of the framework, City Council’s current position, scope of 1041 review, key topic and recommendations and next steps. Main concerns for the Natural Areas Department are; minimizing impacts of diversion design at Homestead Natural Area, minimizing the footprint of both permanent and temporary impacts of the proposed infrastructure, moving the pipeline as far away from the river as possible at Kingfisher Point Natural Area and minimizing visitor use impacts from closures of the Poudre River trail at Homestead and the closure of the Riverbend Ponds Natural Area parking lot and trail. Jennifer explained the project will go before the Larimer County Planning Commission on July 8 th and the Larimer County Board of County Commissioners on August 17 th . The City will require a Site Plan Advisory Review for these same infrastructure impacts within the GMA sometime in the Fall of 2020. Jennifer reported there will be another local review process, the Site Plan Advisory Review (SPAR) that is anticipated, parallel to the 1041 process. NISP will wait to submit the application until after they are through with the 1041 process. Discussion: Kelly started the discussion by sharing that if you consider the worst past ten environmental catastrophes, they all would not add up to this project. There is no mitigating a murder. It saddens him that we are going to ruin a valley to subsidize growth and development for the benefit of a few. Land Conservation & Stewardship Board Regular Meeting 06/10/2020 MINUTES Page 3 Joe asked what the permanent impacts to the natural areas would be. Jen explained that all the impacts in and surrounding natural areas would be a temporary construction impact, except for the diversion structure. She described the relatively minor size of this diversion structure and the opportunity for it to have fairly low impact. The pumphouse and settling pond will be at Kingfisher Point Natural Area. They will need access to the easement area to maintain the infrastructure, but most of the piping will be under a two-track road, so you will not be able to see it. Ray asked how long it typically takes to restore a 100 ft. wide construction area. Jennifer explained it depends on what type of habitat, what the existing conditions are. We want restoration to go above or beyond. It really depends on conditions. Alycia asked in terms of the demand for water as population grows, can you provide a little more information why there is a need for a big project like this. Eric explained the purpose of the NISP is set forth in a high-level detail in the environmental impact statement. Of the 16 entities involved, municipal water providers are looking at future population growth. Most of these water providers have a choice to buy existing water supplies or develop new water supplies. Both can be complicated. Ray thought one of the strongest comments that went to the County, from the City, for the 1041 process was that there had to be an absolutely clean water bill of health from the 404-permitting process. He explained that the 404 application is that the actual record decision for the permit. Eric stated the 404 permit is issued by the federal government Core of Engineers that authorizes material discharges into the waters of the United States. As part of that 404 permit you have to get a water quality certification, so there is a water quality component to that. Board members approved the memorandum to City Council regarding NISP as it is. Ray will coordinate with Michelle to get the memo to them. Meeting adjourned at 8:15 p.m. Natural Areas Department 1745 Hoffman Mill Road PO Box 580 Fort Collins, CO 80522 970.416-2815 970.416-2211 - fax fcgov.com/naturalareas naturalareas@fcgov.com Memorandum 10 June 2020 To - City Council From - Land Conservation and Stewardship Board (LCSB) Subject - Northern Integrated Supply Project (NISP) v Fort Collins Natural Areas he people of Fort Collins and Larimer County highly value their natural areas and open lands. So much so that in 2014 the citizens taxed themselves in support of continued land conservation, by a margin of 82% to 18%. This is an overwhelming mandate for conserving nature in Fort Collins and Larimer County. Fort Collins taxpayers have invested tens of millions of dollars to conserve unmatched ecological resources running through the heart of the City. There are 18 Natural Areas that either border on the Poudre River or are connected to it by riverside forests and wetlands; they encompass 1800 acres, nearly three square miles. Riverside forests and wetlands do not drink primarily from rainfall; they drink from the river. NISP’s removal of water from the river will, quite simply, dehydrate our Natural Areas’ ecological resources and degrade them; hundred-year-old trees will die, understory plants will shift to more drought tolerant species, biodiversity will decrease, and forest- and wetland-dependent animals will disappear. The citizens of Fort Collins, as they have invested in Natural Areas, have believed that those areas and their ecological resources and recreational opportunities would be protected in perpetuity. In the opinion of this Board, perpetuity ends on the day that NISP bulldozers arrive to divert water from the Poudre River. NISP brings no benefits to the City of Fort Collins, and City Staff previously identified dozens of risks to the physical river, its biota, and its surrounding ecosystems. We have watched, over many years, as Northern Water has proposed mitigations and how these mitigations have then required further mitigations. Continuing this pattern, the recent 1041 application to Larimer County proposes heretofore unseen details for which Staff and this Board have identified numerous unaddressed mitigation requirements (see attached analysis). By now it is clear that the cascade of mitigations is unending. The impacts of NISP on the river and adjacent Natural Areas cannot be mitigated. Our Natural Area assets, assembled with decades of effort and tens of millions of dollars investment, will, under NISP, suffer devastating permanent harm. Thus far, City leaders have opted to provide Staff’s technical comments to regulatory authorities at Federal, State, and County levels in lieu of comprehensively defending our Natural Areas or expressing unequivocal opposition to NISP. If these regulatory authorities issue NISP the required permits, then the only defenses that we have left are derived from City land use code, which does not in any way address the elephant in the room: the damage to Natural areas caused by the loss of water from the Poudre River. atural Area conservation and stewardship are duties of City Council and the City Manager, and these duties call for a change of position on NISP. Active opposition, led by City Council, is urgently needed. If there is no change in position, and if NISP is implemented, then ecological and recreational treasures will be injured beyond repair. Fort Collins can join other entities in opposing NISP under Federal and State permitting processes, and this Board urges Council to do so without delay. T N ATTACHMENT 7 1 Analysis by the Land Conservation and Stewardship Board City of Fort Collins Northern Integrated Supply Project (NISP): Proposed Infrastructure in the City and Deficiencies in Environmental Analysis Executive Summary he Fort Collins Land Conservation and Stewardship Board (LCSB) continues to have deep concerns about the proposed NISP project and its effects on the Poudre River and on our City’s Natural Areas. In particular: • The 1041 Permit Application proposes construction of multiple industrial water transmission facilities within Fort Collins Natural Areas (a new concern) • There has been no resolution of dozens of unacceptable insufficiencies in the Final Environmental Impact Statement, as documented in the City’s earlier response to the FEIS. NISP planners continue to demonstrate insensitivity to environmental values of the City of Fort Collins. NISP’s selection of a preferred pipeline route running through Natural Areas is cogent demonstration of this tone deafness (particulars are shown on pages 2 and 3). There are alternative pipeline routes that would have little adverse impact on Natural Areas, yet NISP prefers the route that maximizes environmental and aesthetic injury. The LCSB anticipates continued identification of certain or potential NISP-induced injuries to the Poudre and to our Natural Areas, and a continued pattern of insufficient plans for NISP’s monitoring, mitigating, and compensating for those injuries. herefore, the LCSB recommends to City Council that City policy be changed from “no opposition” to active opposition to NISP. The 1041 permit review by Larimer County is a current opportunity to exercise opposition. More effective, though, would be to exercise rights under Federal and State permitting processes, by joining other groups in their opposition to NISP. T T 2 Specific new concerns about NISP water conveyance infrastructure NISP’s preferred route in the 1041 Permit Application uses Natural Areas to accommodate the infrastructure that supports NISP’s augmentation of river flows through most of Fort Collins. This infrastructure is comprised of: • A new diversion structure within Homestead Natural Area (this is necessary to recapture flow augmentations) • 100-foot-wide easements for 1.1 miles of underground pipeline through Homestead, Williams, Kingfisher, and River Bend Ponds Natural Areas, as shown in Figure 1. • 77,000 square feet of land at Kingfisher Natural Area for a pump station, sedimentation basin, and associated above-ground infrastructure, shown in Figure 2. The LCSB supports the proposed flow augmentation, but only under the dire assumption that earlier proposals for NISP infrastructure and operation come to pass. We do not accept any siting of NISP infrastructure in Natural Areas, with the possible exception of the diversion structure just upstream of the Mulberry Water Reclamation Facility—and for that, we have seen no designs that would indicate acceptable ecological or aesthetic design. Figure 1. Cross-section of pipeline rights-of-way for construction (100’) and permanent (60’) Figure 2. Site plan for sedimentation basin, pumping station, and pipelines in Kingfisher Point Natural Area 3 We also observe that the proposed diversion structure will cause upstream sediment accumulation (this happens above ALL dams). That will decrease river gradient and widen the river channel, which will have further impacts on the Homestead Natural Area. There are absolutely no evaluations of these physical effects, or their consequent ecological or recreational impacts. These concerns were identified by the Land Conservation and Stewardship Board and were not addressed previously in City Staff’s memorandum to Larimer County under its 1041 permitting review for NISP. hese observations are indicative of a never-ending series of (1) NISP-introduced damages, (2) proposed mitigations of those damages, (3) recognition of new damages caused by the mitigations, (4) proposed mitigations of these new damages, (5) recognition of new problems…ad infinitum. This has been going on for far more than a decade. NISP cannot be mitigated because its effects are too serious and too far reaching. T 1 8-4-20 City comments to the NISP 1041 Application Jen Shanahan, Watershed Planner. Cameron Gloss, Long Range Planning Manager ATTACHMENT 8 2 City comments to the NISP 1041 Application Jen 1. Shanahan, Context Cameron Gloss • NISP projects overview • City’s engagement, themes 2. Local planning • 1041 scope and process • City staff’s technical comments • Natural Areas impacts 3. What’s next Proactive efforts 3 Water for 15 municipalities 4 Northern Integrated Supply Project 5 Project simulations and videos 6 https://www.northernwater.org/kentico/nisp Infrastructure impacts in the GMA: Poudre Intake Pipeline 7 Benefits associated with the Poudre Intake Pipeline 9 Federal • Clean Water Act 404 Permit & National Environmental Policy Act • Clean Water Action 401 Certification State • Colorado Fish & Wildlife Mitigation Plan County • Larimer County 1041 Approval City • Site Plan Advisory Review • Natural Areas Easement Policy Regulatory processes 1041 Review SPAR History 2004 2008 Final EIS 2015 2017 2018 2019 2020 401 Certification Permitting begins Draft EIS Supplemental draft EIS Fish and Wildlife Plan Record of Decision Themes in City’s legacy of engagement 12 Protecting Fort Collins water related assets • Water quality, reclamation • Stormwater capacity and community flood resilience • Water supply Protecting and sustaining environmental assets • Natural Areas, Stormwater, Parks in floodplain Systemic Poudre River Health New Theme: Local planning, local infrastructure impacts Previous Council Direction City staff 1041 referral comments are aligned with City’s current position on NISP, as stated in City Council Resolution 2018-093. “the City Council cannot support NISP as it is currently described and proposed in the Final Environmental Impact Statement (FEIS) with the understanding that the City Council may reach a different conclusion with respect to a future variant of NISP and its mitigation plan…” What is the 1041 Regulation? 1041 Regulation is designed to: • ensure compliance with local master plans and • environmental, public health, and safety standards • is focused on impacts, temporary and permanent, within the footprint of project infrastructure • is not focused on comprehensive environmental impacts in the same way as the Environmental Impacts Statements 14 NISP 1041 Scope Scope for Larimer County • developments and construction impacts • recreation on Glade Reservoir Scope for the Fort Collins comments to the County • technical review within GMA • diversion structure and pipelines near Mulberry corridor • includes impacts on city properties City review process City departments involved • Development Review • Natural Areas • Utilities • Traffic • Engineering • Parks Planning Categories 1. Environmental Review 2. Visitor Use 3. Natural Areas County’s 12 Review criteria 16 1041 comments Key comments in general City review 1. Redo pipeline siting analysis and evaluate additional routes 2. Provide consistency on impacts predicted for wetlands across NISP documents 3. Develop baseline habitat characterization 4. Resolve conflicts with buffers in Land Use Code and other City criteria 17 Intersection with Natural Areas 18 Visitor Use Impacts 19 Sensitive habitats and Natural Areas 20 Homestead: diversion, wetlands, visitor use 21 Kingfisher: pipeline in floodplain, sale of property 22 Riverbend: Sensitive habitats, groundwater, visitor use 23 Next steps Public hearings A. Larimer County Planning Commission (public process completed) B. Larimer County Board of County Commissioners. • August 24, 31. Public testimony • September 2., Q&A and deliberation/decision night - no public testimony The City will require a Site Plan Advisory Review “SPAR” for these same infrastructure impacts within the GMA. SPAR Application anticipated fall 2020. 24 Discussion 25 -1- RESOLUTION 2020-075 OF THE COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF FORT COLLINS ENDORSING CITY STAFF’S MAY 13, 2020 WRITTEN COMMENTS REGARDING THE APPLICATION OF THE NORTHERN COLORADO WATER CONSERVANCY DISTRICT TO LARIMER COUNTY UNDER CHAPTER 14 OF THE LARIMER COUNTY LAND USE CODE FOR A “1041” PERMIT FOR THE NORTHERN INTEGRATED SUPPLY PROJECT WHEREAS, the Northern Colorado Water Conservancy District (“Northern Water”) is pursuing the Northern Integrated Supply Project (“NISP”), a water storage and supply project that would divert significant amounts of water from the Cache la Poudre River upstream of Fort Collins; and WHEREAS, NISP would require the construction and operation of various infrastructure in Larimer County, including infrastructure in the Fort Collins Grown Management Area and Fort Collins municipal boundaries; and WHEREAS, the planned NISP infrastructure currently includes a water diversion structure in the Cache la Poudre River on the City’s Homestead Natural Area, as well as pipelines in and along other City-owned natural areas, including Kingfisher Point Natural Area, Riverbend Ponds Natural Area, and Williams Natural Area; and WHEREAS, Northern Water filed an application with Larimer County under Chapter 14 of the Larimer County Land Use Code seeking a “1041” permit (“1041 Application”), which Larimer County deemed complete on March 18, 2020; and WHEREAS, Larimer County subsequently contacted the City as a referral agency, seeking the City’s comments on the 1041 Application; and WHEREAS, City staff from various service areas of the City collaborated under short deadlines to prepare detailed written comments on the 1041 Application, which were dated May 13, 2020, a copy of which are attached as Exhibit “A” (“City Staff 1041 Comments”); and WHEREAS, NISP also has been involved in other permitting processes that have resulted in previous actions by City Council, including in Resolution 2008-082, Resolution 2015-082, Resolution 2017-024, Resolution 2017-073, Resolution 2018-053, and Resolution 2018-093; and WHEREAS, pursuant to Resolution 2008-082, the City timely submitted comments to the draft environmental impact statement (“DEIS”), which Resolution states, among other things, that “the City Council opposes NISP as it is described and proposed in the DEIS and also opposes any variant of NISP that does not address the City’s fundamental concerns about the quality of its water supply and the effects on the Cache la Poudre River through the City, which are critical to the City’s quality of life, health, and economic development and environment”; and WHEREAS, pursuant to Resolution 2015-082, the City timely submitted comments to the supplemental draft environmental impact statement (“SDEIS”), which Resolution states, among other things, that “the City Council cannot support NISP as it is currently described and -2- proposed in the SDEIS, with the understanding that City Council may reach a different conclusion with respect to a future variant of NISP, such as the proposed Modified Alternative Number 4 as described in the City’s comments, if such variant addresses the City’s fundamental concerns expressed in the City’s comments to the DEIS and comments to the SDEIS”; and WHEREAS, pursuant to Resolution 2017-073, the City submitted comments and provided testimony in a State process under Section 37-60-122.2 of the Colorado Revised Statutes, by which Northern Water sought and subsequently received State approval of a plan to mitigate NISP’s impacts on fish and wildlife resources (“State Fish and Wildlife Mitigation and Enhancement Plan”); and WHEREAS, pursuant to Resolution 2018-093 the City timely submitted comments to the final environmental impact statement (“FEIS”), which Resolution states, among other things, that “the City Council cannot support NISP as it is currently described and proposed in the FEIS, with the understanding that the City Council may reach a different conclusion with respect to a future variant of NISP and its mitigation plan, if such variant and associated mitigation address the City’s fundamental concerns, including but not limited to those expressed in the City’s comments to the DEIS, SDEIS, State Fish and Wildlife Mitigation and Enhancement Plan, and FEIS through improved mitigation or other means”; and WHEREAS, the City Council wishes to express its support for other communities, including participants in NISP, in their quest to acquire reliable water supplies without significantly adversely affecting other communities and the environment; and WHEREAS, as set forth in the City Staff 1041 Comments, NISP continues to raise various concerns for the City, including regarding impacts to City-owned natural areas; and WHEREAS, City staff has concluded that NISP will be harmful to Fort Collins and to the City, based on a thorough review of the 1041 Application as well as the impacts that staff expects from the project; and WHEREAS, in view of the significance of the impacts that NISP would have on the City and the Fort Collins community, it is in the City’s best interest to comment on the 1041 Application, to continue to participate in these proceedings, and to monitor the responses to the comments of the City and others. NOW THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED BY THE COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF FORT COLLINS as follows: [OPTION 1—“Cannot Support This Variant of NISP ”] Section 1. That the City Council cannot support NISP as it is currently described and proposed in the FEIS and 1041 Application, with the understanding that the City Council may reach a different conclusion with respect to a future variant of NISP and its mitigation plan, if such variant and associated mitigation address the City’s fundamental concerns, including but not limited to those expressed in the City’s comments to the DEIS, SDEIS, State Fish and -3- Wildlife Mitigation and Enhancement Plan, FEIS, and 1041 Application, through improved mitigation or other means. [OPTION 2—“Cannot Support and Oppose Use of Natural Areas”] Section 1. That the City Council cannot support NISP as it is currently described and proposed in the FEIS and 1041 Application, and opposes certain aspects of NISP including the use of City-owned natural areas for NISP infrastructure, with the understanding that the City Council may reach a different conclusion with respect to a future variant of NISP and its mitigation plan, if such variant and associated mitigation address the City’s fundamental concerns, including but not limited to those expressed in the City’s comments to the DEIS, SDEIS, State Fish and Wildlife Mitigation and Enhancement Plan, FEIS, and 1041 Application, through improved mitigation or other means. [OPTION 3—“Oppose”] Section 1. That the City Council opposes NISP as it is currently described and proposed in the FEIS and 1041 Application, due to the City’s fundamental concerns, including but not limited to those expressed in the City’s comments to the DEIS, SDEIS, State Fish and Wildlife Mitigation and Enhancement Plan, FEIS, and 1041 Application, through improved mitigation or other means. [OPTION 4—“Oppose and Oppose Use of Natural Areas”] Section 1. That the City Council opposes NISP as it is currently described and proposed in the FEIS and 1041 Application, and further opposes those aspects of NISP that include the use of City-owned natural areas for NISP infrastructure, due to the City’s fundamental concerns, including but not limited to those expressed in the City’s comments to the DEIS, SDEIS, State Fish and Wildlife Mitigation and Enhancement Plan, FEIS, and 1041 Application, through improved mitigation or other means. Section 2. That the City Council hereby endorses the City Staff 1041 Comments. Section 3. That the City Council hereby directs the City Manager or his designees to: a. Provide a copy of this Resolution to the County for consideration as part of the County’s 1041 process; and b. orally present a summary of this Resolution and the City Staff 1041 Comments to the Larimer County Board of County Commissioners at a public hearing on the 1041 Application. -4- Passed and adopted at a regular meeting of the Council of the City of Fort Collins this 4th day of August, A.D. 2020. __________________________________ Mayor ATTEST: _______________________________ City Clerk Utilities electric · stormwater · wastewater · water 700 Wood Street PO Box 580 Fort Collins, CO 80522 970.221.6700 utilities@fcgov.com fcgov.com/utilities M E M O R A N D U M DATE: May 13, 2020 TO: Mayor and City Councilmembers THRU: Darin Atteberry, City Manager Jeff Mihelich, Deputy City Manager Kevin R. Gertig, Utilities Executive Director FROM: Carol Webb, Deputy Utilities Director RE: Staff Comments on Northern Integrated Supply Project (“NISP”) 1041 Referral Bottom Line City staff has evaluated the Northern Colorado Water Conservancy District (“Northern Water”) Larimer County “1041” application and provided comment as a referral agency (see attachment). Comments have been primarily based upon the design and location of the NISP Poudre River intake structure and pipeline located within the Fort Collins Growth Management Area (“GMA”) and its compliance with the City Code and Land Use Code. Overall, staff’s technical comments on the 1041 application describe concerns about the methodology employed in the pipeline siting alternatives analysis and potential pipeline impacts to natural habitat and features within the Poudre River corridor. In addition to City Council, City staff has provided a copy of the technical comments to the Land Conservation and Stewardship Board, the Natural Resources Advisory Board, the Water Board, and City Council prior to the comments being submitted to Larimer County. Larimer County’s NISP “1041” Process NISP requires a “1041” permit from Larimer County under its Land Use Code.1 Larimer County’s 1041 permit process is designed to ensure compliance with local master plans and environmental, public health, and safety standards while balancing costs and mitigation measures for development and activities of statewide interest as defined by Colorado statutes. Larimer County has identified the City as a referral agency for the NISP 1041 permit and is requesting comments on the NISP 1041 permit application. Like other 1041 permit referrals received from Larimer County, the scope of the City’s review and comments is limited to the EXHIBIT A Page 2 of 2 development, construction, and impacts within the GMA. Specifically, the scope of the City’s review includes; • installation of a new diversion structure on the Cache la Poudre River just upstream of Mulberry Street; • temporary impacts from the installation of underground pipelines across private property and several City-owned natural areas; • installation of above ground infrastructure near the intersection of Lemay Avenue and Mulberry Street; and • associated impacts to traffic, utilities, engineering, and stormwater. While the scope of Larimer County’s 1041 review also includes recreation on Glade Reservoir and a northern pipeline route and realignment of seven miles of Highway 287, these impacts fall outside of the GMA and is not within the scope of City staff’s analysis. The 1041 review process will eventually include public hearings before the Larimer County Planning Commission and the Larimer County Board of County Commissioners. Comments from the City (in addition to the technical comments provided by City staff) may also be provided at the upcoming public hearings including at the tentatively scheduled July 8 Larimer County Planning Commission meetings and the August 17 meeting of the Larimer County Board of County Commissioners. pc: Cameron Gloss, Manager, City Planning Ryan Mounce, City Planner John Stokes, Deputy Director, Community Services Jennifer Shanahan, Sr. Specialist, Sciences Eric Potyondy, Assistant City Attorney Brad Yatabe, Assistant City Attorney samples) o Percent fines/coarse/algae (300 observations) o Percent embeddedness (15 measurements) o Photo points o Highly detailed field observations • If altered flows from NISP are decreasing the frequency and duration of flushing flows to a point where riffle/run habitat is becoming more embedded. EXHIBIT A After runoff we revisited each cross section and noted one of three outcomes for each tracer rock; either a tracer rock was found in the same location as placed (assumed no movement), a tracer rock was found downstream of the original location (assumed to move), or a tracer rock was not found (conclusion based on other evidence). In general, rocks that were not found appeared to have moved. In a few cases the rocks were found buried under newly transported material indicating that the upstream bed mobilized. Thus, we assumed bed mobility occurred if the rocks were not found. Table 9 summarized the results of the study. Table 9—Summary of tracer rock field study results. Tracer Rock Cross Section 32-45 mm 45-64 mm 64-90 mm % of Total Mobilized Transect Notes Maximum Number of Rocks Mobilized (out of 10) Longitudinal Location on Riffle Representative of Riffle? Approximate Channel Width (ft)* 1 10 9 8 90% middle good 63 2 7 6 7 67% middle good 80 3 8 3 4 50% middle and top okay 84 4 9 7 8 80% middle good 70 5 8 2 5 50% bottom bad 57 6 8 2 2 44% top okay 75 *Active channel width during the time fieldwork was conducted EXHIBIT A with τ*c = 0.03 & 0.047 This analysis did not use this technique, but used a representative D50 instead with τ*c = 0.02 & 0.03 This analysis performed incipient motion calculations for generic grain size classes 2,4,8,16,32,64 mm and used a τ*c = 0.047 • The technique does not appear to be supported in the literature • This technique does not consider a hiding function which is very prevalent from field observations by Otak and others • This does not consider the grain sizes actually present in the river or the spatial relationships and longitudinal trends of the grains present in the bed. • τ*c = 0.047 does not typically apply to fine material such as 2-8mm and the shifting of the selected τ*c values renders the results difficult to compare Using D16 and (Raleigh et al 1984) for Grain Size Selection Neither of these were mentioned in this report Neither of these were mentioned in this report The D16 of the coarse armor layer samples and research by (Raleigh et al 1984), who stated that the optimum range of grains sizes for Brown Trout spawning are 10- 70mm, were used to justify the selection of using 2-64mm grain size classes for their analysis • The D16 as related to flushing flows does not appear to be supported in the literature • The Fort Collins and Timnath reaches rarely mobilized 32-64mm in their analysis but this was disregarded with the use of the baseline flushing flow values • Grain sizes were ultimately not used in the comparison to the NISP alternatives, just the occurrence of the Q2 event EXHIBIT A flush fines or scour plant seedlings from the interstitial spaces or from hiding locations • τ*c = 0.047 is not commonly used for sand and fine gravel sized particles as in the FFR (2017) Use of “Baseline Flushing Flow Values” This was not used in this report This was not used in this report “Baseline Flushing Flow values” were selected based on feedback from DNR, CPW, and EPA to evaluate the impact of NISP alternatives. They agreed that a Q1.5-Q2 flood flow would “Optimize benefits for aquatic species in the study area”. • This decision essentially nullified all the previous flushing flow analyses which showed that the flushing flow values in Fort Collins and Timnath were very high for the 32-64mm grain size classes, sizes most akin to the D50 • Q2 is a commonly assumed proxy for Q eff orQbf but does not apply in disturbed, urbanized systems. The assumption was specifically developed for equilibrium channels, of which the Poudre through the project area is not. • This method disregards all the previous analyses and does not account for the variability in the system Partitioning Shear Stress This report did not mention partitioning shear stress This report partitioned shear stress using a relationship that is physically inappropriate for the Poudre River (Ackers and White 1973) This report did not partition shear stress • Not partitioning shear stress results in the calculation of higher shear values, thus greater flow competence and a reduction of the flushing flows or discharge required to move the particles. No explanation was given as to why the shear was originally partitioned, then subsequently not partitioned. EXHIBIT A bed material motion is not generally increased under Alternative 2M, so to the extent that colonization of vegetation is dependent on the existence of a stable substrate, no significant change in the rate or extent of new colonization is expected. In the reach between Coy Ditch and Lemay Avenue, channel contraction is more likely to be temporary in response to pulses of sediment or dry periods. There will be a tendency in this reach for the river to develop a temporary smaller channel within the larger cross section. Comment: The FEIS states that Alternative 2M would reduce the total capacity to transport sediment over a period of years by 5% to 30% in the Laporte and Fort Collins Reaches. The FEIS also states that capacity to transport sand and gravel would be reduced by 8% to 31% in the Fort Collins Reach, and that sediment transport potential in the Fort Collins Reach would be reduced by approximately 40%. Despite the results of these sediment transport calculations, the FEIS predicts that channel contraction will be lessened due to the limited supply of sediment delivered from upstream. The assertion that upper reaches of the Poudre River are sediment supply limited is not supported by the evidence. Earlier arguments have been based on the notion that upstream of I-25 the EXHIBIT A