Loading...
HomeMy WebLinkAboutCOUNCIL - AGENDA ITEM - 03/18/2003 - RESOLUTION 2003-038 APPROVING AND ADOPTING THE ELE AGENDA ITEM SUMMARY ITEM NUMBER: 29 FORT COLLINS CITY COUNCIL DATE: March 18, 2003 STAFF: Michael Smith SUBJECT: Resolution 2003-038 Approving and Adopting the Electric Energy Supply Policy. RECOMMENDATION: Staff, the Electric Board, Natural Resources Advisory Board and Air Quality Advisory Board recommend adoption of the Resolution. FINANCIAL IMPACT: Implementation of the policy elements could result in electric rates increasing 10 to 20 percent during the next 15 years. 7- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: The purpose of this policy is to provide strategic objectives regarding system reliability, rates and the environment to guide the electric utility into the future. With regard to renewable energy, there are two options which were discussed by Council at its February 25 study session. The options are adopting either a 10% renewable energy portfolio target or a 15% renewable energy portfolio target. The proposed Policy includes the 10% renewable energy portfolio. If the Council wishes to adopt a 15% renewable portfolio, the proposed Policy will need to be amended at the time of adoption. The Council also discussed increasing the renewable portfolio from the present 0.82% to 2.0% by the end of 2004. This change has been included in the draft Policy. BACKGROUND: In December 2001, the City Council requested that the Electric Board and staff draft an Electric Energy Supply Policy addressing electric rates, electric reliability, demand side management and wind power. DATE: ITEM NUMBER: 29 The primary objectives of the proposed Policy are: • Maintain high system reliability • Maintain competitive electric rates • Reduce the environmental impact of electric generation and consumption through energy efficiency and the increased use of renewable energy The policy in its complete form is attached to the Resolution. The policy includes both general objectives and specific targets or goals. The specific targets or goals are as follows: • Complete the electric system undergrounding program by the end of 2004. Maintain electric rates that are regionally competitive and are below Xcel Energy. Reduce per capita electric consumption 10%, from the baseline of 2002, by the year 2012. (During this time period, overall electric consumption will be reduced by nearly 1.7 billion kilowatt-hours, resulting in the avoided production of over 1.8 million tons of CO..) • . Reduce per capita peak day electrical demand 15%, from the baseline of 2002, by the year 2012. (This goal will reduce peak day demand by approximately 80 MW by 2012. The projected reduction in peak day demand is about equal to the output of one combustion turbine, which presently costs about$25 million.) • Develop a strategic plan by July 1, 2003 outlining the strategies to reach the consumption and demand reduction targets listed above. Work with PRPA to increase the City's percentage of renewable energy to 2% by the end of 2004 and to 10% by 2017. With regard to renewable energy, there are two options which were discussed by Council at its February 25 study session. The options are adopting either a 10% renewable energy portfolio target or a 15% renewable energy portfolio target. The proposed Policy includes the 10% renewable energy portfolio. If the Council wishes to adopt a 15% renewable portfolio, the proposed Policy will need to be amended at the time of adoption. The Council also discussed increasing the renewable portfolio from the present 0.82% to 2.0% by the end of 2004. This change has been included in the draft Policy. Impact on Rates During the discussion at the study session, there were questions regarding the potential impact on electric rates as a result of implementing the Policy. The following is a summary of those potential impacts: Options Impact on Electric Rates Double existing wind generation to 2% Rates would increase less than 1% in by the end of 2004 2004 for the additional wind energy __ 10% Renewable Energy Portfolio by Rates would increase about 8-10% over 2017 the period from 2003 to 2017 15% Renewable Energy Portfolio by Rates would increase about 12-15% over 2017 the period from 2003 to 2017 DATE: Marcli 16, ZUUJ j ITEM NUMBER: 29 Other Possible Rate Impacts As outlined in the proposed policy, the staff will be preparing a strategic plan for reaching the energy and demand reduction goals. Although the plan is not completed, one of the options for reducing energy usage is through intensive conservation and incentive programs. Funding such programs will most likely have an impact on rates, possibly in the 2-3% range. The actual impact will not be know until the strategic plan is completed an approved by Council. Impacts on the Environment In the City's Local Action Plan to Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions, it was estimated that the City's GHG (Greenhouse Gas) emission forecast for the year 2010 would be 3,685,184 tons of CO2. The City's target for GHG reduction for the year 2010 is 30%, or about 1,105,555 tons. In the year 2010, the conservation and renewable energy (10%) targets included in the proposed Electric Energy Supply Policy will avoid 343,901 tons of COZ, or 3 1% of the City's target. If the Council adopts a 15% renewable target instead of the 10% target, the avoided COZ increases to 386,966 tons, or 35% of the City's target. Letters of support from the Electric Board, Natural Resources Advisory Board and Air Quality Advisory Board are attached. Also attached is some background information, in the form of a memo from John Bleem, about Platte River Power Authority. . RESOLUTION 2003-038 OF THE COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF FORT COLLINS APPROVING AND ADOPTING THE ELECTRIC ENERGY SUPPLY POLICY WHEREAS, in December 2001,the City Council requested that City staff draft an Electric Energy Supply Policy addressing electric rates, electric reliability, demand side management and wind power,to be presented to the Electric Board and then to the Council for review and approval; and WHEREAS, City staff has prepared the Electric Energy Supply Policy, a copy of which is attached hereto as Exhibit"A" and incorporated herein by this reference (the "Policy"); and WHEREAS,the primary objectives of the Policy are to: (1)maintain high system reliability; (2)maintain competitive electric;and(3)reduce the environmental impact of electric generation and consumption through energy efficiency and increased use of renewable energy; and WHEREAS, on November 18, 2002, the Electric Board considered the Policy and recommended that the City Council approve and adopt the Policy; and WHEREAS,on November 26,2002,the Air Quality Advisory Board considered the Policy and recommended that the City Council approve and adopt the Policy; and WHEREAS, on January 8, 2003, the Natural Resources Advisory Board considered the Policy and recommended that the City Council approve and adopt the Policy; and NOW,THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED BY THE COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF FORT COLLINS that the Electric Energy Supply Policy is hereby approved and adopted. Passed and adopted at a regular meeting of the City Council held this 18th day of March, A.D. 2003. Mayor ATTEST: City Clerk EXHIBIT "A" • City of Fort Collins Electric Energy Supply Policy March 18, 2003 Introduction Motivated by their concern for the welfare of the community, the citizens of Fort Collins created the electric utility in 1935. During the years that followed, the electric system grew both in size and sophistication. In 1973, Fort Collins joined with Estes Park, Longmont and Loveland to create the Platte River Power Authority (PRPA), a joint action agency charged with meeting the electric generation and transmission needs of the four cities. The City now has a state of the art electric system that provides citizens with highly reliable service at an affordable and competitive price. However, getting to this point did not happen without a lot of effort and thoughtful guidance. The future will be no different. There will be many challenges to overcome if the city is to continue to provide its citizens with a high level of service. The most significant of these challenges will be addressing both important environmental issues and increasing demand, while maintaining high system reliability and competitive pricing. The purpose of this policy is to provide strategic objectives regarding system reliability, rates and the environment to guide the . electric utility into the future as it continues to provide the citizens of Fort Collins with reliable and competitively priced electric service, in partnership with PRPA. System Reliability System reliability is the core of providing electric service. It is critical for the welfare of the community. It should not be compromised. The Utilities must continue to provide businesses and residents with highly reliable electric service consistent with established reliability goals. Objectives for the Future 1 . Continue to design, build and maintain the electric system utilizing the high standards that have been developed. 2. Maintain an emphasis on system safety for the benefit of employees and citizens. 3. Complete the electric system undergrounding program by the end of 2004. 4. Reduce peak electric use in order to minimize overloading of the electric system. 5. Encourage Platte River Power Authority to design, operate and maintain their electric transmission and generation system to minimize the risk of system outages. 6. Encourage Platte River Power Authority to maintain a diverse source of electric generation capacity. • 7. Investigate the merits of distributed generation as a method of reducing system peak demands. Electric Rates For many years the citizens of Fort Collins have benefited from low electric rates. During the past 18 years, there have been two electric rate increases and two electric rate decreases. Electric rates today are only 0.2 percent more than they were in 1983, while the consumer price index has increased 77.8%. The City's residential electric rates are lower than 88% of the 51 Colorado utilities surveyed by the Colorado Association of Municipal Utilities. In order for the City to continue being a viable provider of electric service, it will be essential to maintain competitive rates in the future. Objectives for the Future 1 . Continue to design and implement electric rates that allocate costs between customer classifications in an equitable manner. 2. Design and implement electric rates that encourage conservation (e.g. market - based incentives, block pricing) and demand side management. 3. Maintain rates that are regionally competitive and are below Xcel Energy. 4. Maintain long-term rate stability. 5. Establish alternative cost based rate structures that reflect the community's interest in and benefit from renewable energy (green pricing, net metering, system benefit charges). 6. Increase productivity and efficiency throughout the Utilities. 7. Work with Platte River Power Authority to delay or mitigate the expected rate impact associated with the construction of new base load generation facilities. 8. Work with Platte River Power Authority to develop a process whereby the avoided generation capacity costs, associated with demand side management (DSM) programs developed by the City, can be passed along to the City. The Environment Fort Collins 2000 Greenhouse Gas Audit There is a growing awareness of 2.04 million tons CO2 and concern about global climate change Solid Natural and the harmful contributing effects of Gas waste greenhouse gases. In 1999, the Fort 20% 1% Collins City Council adopted a local Electricity 44% action plan to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. In the City's 2000 Climate WN Protection Status Report, the use of Transport electricity, generated from facilities 35% fueled with either coal or natural gas, was identified as the largest contributor of carbon dioxide (CO2) to the environment. Although there are new and evolving technologies to reduce fossil fuel pollutants such as sulfur dioxide and nitrogen oxides (NOx) emissions, there are presently no feasible methods of reducing CO2 emissions at the 2 generating facility. However, CO2 emissions could be reduced by decreasing the consumption of electricity generated with CO2 producing fuels and/or generating electricity with energy sources that do not produce CO2, such as wind, solar, and water. Decreasing consumption and using these energy sources would also reduce the negative environmental impacts (e.g. habitat destruction, air and water pollution) associated with fossil fuel exploration, mining and transportation. Objectives for the Future 1 . Reduce per capita electric consumption 10%, from the baseline of 2002, by the year 2012. The10% per capita consumption reduction target will reduce overall electric consumption approximately 17% by 2012 (see the following graph). During this time period (2002-2012), the overall reduction in electric consumption amounts to approximately 1 .7 billion kilowatt-hours of electricity and the avoided production of over 1.8 million tons of CO2. Energy Consumption Policy Target, 10% Per Capita Reduction 13,000 m 11.000 _.- ----------- -- ggu 3 9,000 - -- -- - --- -- w 109/6 Decrease Ij o in 2012 U 7,000 'E ...------- .-- - --- - ---- `m Historical Data Projected Data a Or 5,000 U -' +Base Case � j I Q 3,000 -41-Policy Tar at I 1,000 W O N V tp W ppO N � f80 aD O N V N N N N N N N N Year 2. Reduce per capita peak day electric demand 15%, from the baseline of 2002, by the year 2012. The 15% per capita demand reduction target will reduce the peak demand by approximately 80 MW by 2012 (see the following graph). This projected reduction in peak day demand is approximately equal to the output of one combustion turbine, which presently costs about $25 million. 3 Peak Demand Policy Target, 15% Per Capita Reduction 2.5 -------- Y_ � I W 2.0 --- E I 1.5 ---- --- -- - --- 16%Decrease a in 2012 CL� _ I U ' 0 +Base Case Historical Data Prolected Data I!I Is a. 0.5 -*-Policy e Target e a o.o Co O N V 0 M O N V co co O N V W m W W W m O O O O O O1 OI A OI W W O O O O O O O O Year 3. Develop and implement effective demand side management (DSM) programs. 4. Develop a strategic plan by July 1, 2003 for reaching the consumption and demand reduction targets outlined in this policy. The approaches to be evaluated will include, without limitation, a systems benefit charge, efficiency programs, incentive programs, educational programs, revolving loan programs and innovative rate structures. 5. Increase community awareness and understanding of DSM and renewable energy programs. 6. Encourage Platte River Power Authority to continue reducing emissions from fossil fuels and to avoid the use of coal in any new generation facilities (Rawhide Unit 2 or other potential generation facilities that PRPA may pursue). 7. Work with Platte River Power Authority to continue to diversify the portfolio of energy sources that serve the City. 8. Work with Platte River Power Authority to increase the City's percentage of renewable energy (in addition to the existing large hydro from WAPA) to 2% by the end of 2004 and to 10% by the year 2017. 9. Develop and implement policies and programs that support: • the development and use of renewable resources, • sustainable practices, • the City's effort to reduce global warming, and • the design and construction of energy efficient-4k&ings 10. Develop and implement policies that require the use of energy efficient design principles in the renovation and construction of all City facilities. 4 . 11 . Whenever possible, integrate efforts related to energy efficiency, renewable resources, green buildings (energy code), sustainable practices and education. Annual Report On an annual basis, the City Manager will provide the City Council and the Electric Board with a status report on the objectives included in the Electric Energy Supply Policy. • • 5 Utilities electric • stormwater • wastewater • water City of Fort Collins MEMORANDUM Date: February 28, 2003 To: Mayor Martinez and Council Members Thru: John F. Fischbach, City Manager From: Michael Smith, Utilities General Manager `,� Re: February 25, 2003 Study Session Summary - Electric Energy Supply Policy In December of 2001 the City Council requested that the staff and Electric Board develop an Electric Energy Supply Policy for the Council's consideration and adoption. At the February 25, 2003 Study Session, staff presented the Draft Electric Energy Supply Policy for the Council's review and input. . Key Discussion Points 1 . There seemed to be general support for the policy. 2. There was a suggestion to increase the renewable energy portfolio from 10% to 15%. 3. There was a interest expressed in increasing the City's renewable energy portfolio from the present 0.82% to 2% by the end of 2004, and in knowing what the rate impact would be to do so. 4. There were questions about the rate impact of implementing the renewable portfolio (both the 10% and 15% options). 5. There was an interest in augmenting the building inspection effort as it relates to the energy code. 6. There seemed to be the feeling that because electric rates are relatively low, there was room to raise electric rates to fund additional wind energy resources. 7. There was support for more conservation and demand management programs. 8. There was support for more public outreach and education. 9. There seemed to be support for creating new rate structures that encourage conservation. 700 Wood St. • PO. Box 580 • Fort Collins, CO 80522-0580 • (970) 221-6700 • FAX (970) 221-6619 • TDD (970) 224-6003 e-mail: utilities@fcgov.com • www.fcgov.com/utilities 10. There were questions about how the reduction in CO2 emissions —� resulting from the energy reduction and renewable energy goals in the policy relate to the City's overall Cities for Climate Protection goals. Next Steps 1 . Staff will prepare the Policy for formal adoption by the Council at their regular meeting on March 18, which will include two options for the renewable energy portfolio, 10% and 15%. 2. Staff will provide Council with information about the rate impacts associated with the 10% and 15% renewable energy portfolio goals. 3. Staff will provide the Council with information about the rate impact of increasing the City's present wind energy portfolio to 2% by the end of 2004. 4. Staff will provide Council with information about how the reduction in CO2 emissions resulting from the energy reduction and renewable energy goals in the policy relate to the City's overall Cities for Climate Protection goals. 5. Staff will provide Council with an overview of Platte River Power Authority's present generation facilities and projected generation needs for the future. . MEMORANDUM Date: February 12, 2003 To: Fort Collins City Council From: Alison Mason, Electric Board Chairperson RE: Proposed Electric Energy Supply Policy As requested by the City Council in January 2002, the Electric Board has worked with the staff of Fort Collins Utilities to draft a proposed Electric Energy Supply Policy. This policy is to address, in a balanced manner, Electric Rates, Reliability, Energy Efficiency, and Renewable Energy. The Utilities staffinembers and the Board have spent many hours over the past 12 months discussing and debating the pros and cons of various strategies and targets. We have looked at similar policies adopted by other cities. The result is a policy that, if adopted by City Council, may delay the need to make a costly investment in any large new generation facility and allow the City to take a significant step toward a clean energy future without compromising the excellent and affordable electricity service currently enjoyed by Fort Collins' residents. The reasons for enthusiastically pursuing renewable energy and reducing energy consumption are compelling. Renewable Energies cost more initially, but the fuel is free forever. Natural gas is limited in supply and unpredictable as to future cost. Coal is abundant and currently cheap if you discount the cost of air pollution and global warming resulting from releases of carbon dioxide. However, the impact of future carbon regulation on the price of coal-generated power is unknown. In the United States, we have used two-thirds of our domestic oil and half of our natural gas. Using the energy we do have wisely makes good sense. Reducing energy consumption saves consumers money. We are extremely fortunate both to have a publicly owned utility and one that has a tradition of planning wisely for the future. Fort Collins' Energy Services Staff is widely recognized for its cutting edge work on Energy Efficient Design, Residential Energy Efficiency, Wind Energy, and Hydrogen Energy Storage. We recommend this proposed policy be adopted as a binding resolution of the Fort Collins City Council. Respectfully submitted, . Alison Mason • MEMORANDUM FROM THE CITY OF FORT COLLINS NATURAL RESOURCES ADVISORY BOARD DATE: January 21, 2003 TO: Mayor and Council Members FROM: Nate Donovan on behalf of the Natural Resources Advisory Board SUBJECT: Proposed Electric Energy Supply Policy The Natural Resources Advisory Board (NRAB) recommends Council adoption of the Proposed Electric Energy Supply Policy. The Policy is the result of an intensive drafting process by staff and citizen advisory boards, and the NRAB particularly commends the Utilities staff (especially General Manager Mike Smith) and the Electric Board for their willingness to incorporate many elements and suggestions into this policy document. The Policy illustrates the challenges of providing a high level of service coupled with increasing demand for electricity, while recognizing the economic and environmental costs of operating an electric utility. Several parts of the Policy deserve special mention, and the NRAB also suggests the addition of two items: . System Reliability: The policy recognizes that today's society depends on highly reliable and safe electric service and that distributed generation may reduce system peak demands. Diverse sources of generation capacity also help maintain system reliability. Electric Rates: Designing and implementing electric rates that encourage conservation and demand side management make good sense, especially when compared to the significant economic and environmental costs of new base load generation facilities (e.g. a second unit at Rawhide Power Plant). In particular, residential air-conditioning users should pay for their financial impact on providing summer peak demand service — metering requirements and rate structures should be instituted to recover these higher costs and encourage conservation. Tools such as market-based incentives and block pricing should be implemented to delay and mitigate the impacts of future investments in electric supply. In any event, an extensive public process should accompany the prospect of constructing new base load generation facilities. The Environment: Implementation of efforts related to topics such as energy efficiency, renewable energy, green building design, and education will help achieve the realistic energy consumption and demand reduction goals stated in the policy. The NRAB suggests that the Utilities Department also establish intermediate goals for • reduction. NRAB Memorandum: Proposed Electric Energy Supply Policy; Page 1 of 2 Suggested Additions to Policy: Page 2, last sentence of paragraph titled "The Environment," add "energy use" in the parentheses as follows: "(e.g. habitat destruction, air and water pollution, and energy use)." This would acknowledge the impact of energy use associated with fossil fuel exploration, mining, and transportation. Page 4, add language "Work with Platte River Power Authority to mitigate the expected environmental impacts associated with the construction of new base load generation facilities." This is similar to language on page 2, number 7 related to objectives on electric rates, and recognizes that such facilities (such as a second unit at Rawhide Power Plant) have environmental impacts in addition to impacts on electric rates. Thank you for your work on behalf of the City, and please feel free to contact me regarding the Board's recommendations on this issue. Yours truly, Nate Donovan, Vice-Chair M Natural Resources Advisory Board tel: 472-1599 e-mail: ndonovanlaw@earthlink.net cc: John Fischbach, City Manager NRAB Memorandum: Proposed Electric Energy Supply Policy; Page 2 of 2 PLATTE RIVER POWER AUTHORITY MEMORANDUM Date: March 7,2003 To: Mr. Michael Smith From: John Bleem cc: Brian H. Moeck Subject: Background on Platte River Power Authority and Fort Collins' electric energy supply Based on questions and discussion at the February 25 City Council meeting,I pulled together the following background information on Platte River Power Authority(Platte River),its current electric supply resources used to serve Fort Collins,and its resource plans for the future. It is intended to help support discussion of Fort Collins' proposed Electric Energy Supply Policy. Introduction-Platte River Power Authority is the sole supplier of electricity to Fort Collins and to • three other municipalities in northern Colorado(Estes Park,Longmont and Loveland). Platte River was established in 1973 to provide for the expanding needs of its member municipalities as electricity loads continued to grow while federal hydropower resources were fixed or decreasing. Platte River operates under long-term contracts with the municipalities(through 2040) as their wholesale electric utility supplier;purchasing electricity and acquiring,constructing and operating generation and transmission resources. Platte River also sells electricity that is surplus to the needs of its members to other wholesale entities in the region. Revenues from these sales help offset costs to the member municipalities. Energy sold to outside entities amounted to about 48%of the energy sold to the municipalities in 2002. Platte River is owned by the citizens in the communities it serves,with each municipality having equity in the company based on its contribution to revenues. Approximately $355,000 was invested by the municipalities to start the company;the municipalities'combined equity currently exceeds$358 million. Governance-Platte River is locally governed by an eight-member Board of Directors (two from each member municipality),including the mayor(or designee of the mayor) and a member appointed by City Council (typically the director of the municipality's electric utility). Rates to the municipalities, annual budgets and other policy directives for Platte River's operations are determined by its Board of Directors. The Board typically meets ten times each year. Platte River is not under the jurisdiction of the Colorado Public Utilities Commission or the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission. It is a political subdivision and public corporation of the State of Colorado,is not-for-profit,has access to tax- exempt financing,and is exempt from most other taxation. Platte River has approximately 190 employees;divisions of the company include corporate services,financial services,customer services& environmental programs,electric operations and power production. Memorandum Mr. Michael Smith March 12,2003 Page Two Existing Sources of Electricity—Platte River owns and operates the Rawhide Energy Station, located 26 miles north of Fort Collins,which includes a 270 MW coal-fired generator (Unit 1), the lowest emission coal plant in the state of Colorado. This unit runs at full load nearly all the time. Units A, B and C,all 65 MW natural gas-fired generators (summer rating),are also located at the Rawhide site. They are used very seldom(less than 10% of the time),to provide for the municipalities'electrical demand on peak days,to backup other units if they are off line for maintenance and to bolster surplus sales. Platte River also owns an 18%(154 MW) interest in the Yampa Project,consisting of Craig Station Units 1 and 2,coal-fired generators located in northwestern Colorado. The Craig units also operate at full load most of the time. Renewable energy comes from the Medicine Bow Wind Project(6 MW rating)located near Medicine Bow, Wyoming,which is owned and operated by Platte River,and from hydropower. Platte River purchases about 80-100 MW of hydropower(depending on season) from Western Area Power Administration,the marketing agent for federal hydropower in this region. Existing renewable energy sources (wind and hydropower) provide over 20%of the electric energy serving Fort Collins and the other municipalities. A summary of maximum output rating and energy production for all current resources is provided in Figure 1 (see appendix for figures). Emission trends from this mix of resources are shown in Figure 2. Reductions in emissions over time are due to continued investments in enhanced emission control by Platte River. Variability from year to year is also due to variation in maintenance schedules (downtime). Reliability—The resources just described allow Platte River to provide both capacity and energy to meet the needs of the municipalities. "Capacity"is the capability to serve load at any time,and is needed to ensure reliability of service. The units at Rawhide and Craig and the hydropower resources have provided high levels of reliability over their lifetime,and continue to be available for full-power operation over 95%of the time. These resources rarely require "backup"power. Wind resources,however,are highly intermittent,and are only available about one-third of the time(on average) through the year. Also,in this region,wind speeds are relatively low during the summer,when Platte River's members'electrical loads are highest(the "peak"period). Given these characteristics,confirmed from five years of actual operating history,wind generation does not reduce the need to build new resources as peak loads grow. Wind does provide energy,however,and when the wind is blowing,output from other resources on the electrical grid can be reduced,allowing decreased consumption of fossil fuels and reduced emissions. Reliability of all existing resources is summarized in Figure 3. Figure 4 shows the significant variability of wind generation over time and Figure 5 illustrates the lack of wind generation availability during summer peak periods. Rates—Platte River's wholesale electric rates to the municipalities are within the lowest quartile of rates for suppliers in the Rocky Mountain region(CO,WY,UT,AZ& NM). Platte River's wholesale rates amount to about 70%of the municipalities' retail rates(on average),so low wholesale prices help the municipalities keep their rates low. Figure 6 shows the actual rates (na inflation adjustment) that Platte River has charged to member municipalities over the last 20 years. Note that rates are lower now than they were in 1983. The primary drivers for maintaining low rates during this extended period include strong surplus sales (at prices higher than rates charged to the municipalities),reductions in debt service payments (due to reduced Memorandum Mr. Michael Smith • March 12,2003 Page Three interest rates and refinancing),reductions in staffing during the 1990's,and high reliability of Platte River's existing resources,allowing mitigation of price risk in the wholesale electric markets. Rates are expected to increase in the near future,from 5-10%in the 2004-2005 time frame. Primary drivers for future increases include declining surplus sales,increased costs for reliability assurance,and increased operating costs(primarily fuel,purchased hydropower, demand side management programs and regional system operating expenses). Environmental Stewardship—Platte River uses state-of-the-art air quality control systems at its power generation stations and meets or exceeds all applicable environmental laws and regulations. As new legislation and regulations are proposed,Platte River participates in public processes and supports additional control requirements where costs are commensurate with measurable environmental benefits. In addition,as technology improves and opportunities arise,Platte River is proactive in evaluating and implementing improvements in its power operations that balance environmental and other socio-economic concerns. One recent example of this policy is the Voluntary Emissions Reduction Agreement implemented with the state of Colorado. Platte River is voluntarily reducing sulfur dioxide(S02) emissions in 2003 at the Rawhide plant by 9% relative to historical actual levels (31%below 2001 permit levels) and reducing nitrogen oxide (NOX) emissions by 35%in 2005. Many other environmental programs have also been implemented over the last few years,as listed below. They are also voluntary, . beyond any existing environmental legislation or regulation. • Continued evaluation of emission reduction options at generation facilities • Equipment efficiency upgrades at Platte River facilities(power plants,office buildings,etc.) • New demand-side management programs(provided to all four municipalities' customers) • Ownership, operation and development of the Medicine Bow Wind Project • Photovoltaic (PV) solar system at Platte River office site / upgraded in 2001 • Emission free electric vehicles (charged by the PV solar system) • Natural gas and hybrid fleet vehicles&Clean Cities partnership support • Co-funding of a prototype biomass energy generating facility • Small hydro project evaluation and implementation • Renewable energy technology testing support at the Rawhide site • Energy efficiency,distributed generation and renewables services to large customers • Climate Wise and EPA 1605 CO2 emissions reduction& accounting programs • Recycling and waste reduction programs • Tree planting programs in each of the owner cities • Public education and participation programs on multiple environmental issues • Many other activities related to clean air,water,soils,grasslands and wetlands Resource Planning—Platte River's fundamental resource planning goal is providing reliable, cost-effective, environmentally sensitive resources to meet the member municipalities' wholesale electric requirements. Platte River reviews the municipalities'loads and considers • resource requirements on an annual basis, typically focusing on a ten-year planning horizon. A longer term planning horizon is also considered,given the contracts between Platte River and its member municipalities,which remain in effect until December 31,2040. Formal resource Memorandum Mr. Michael Smith March 12,2003 Page Four planning evaluations were made in 1996, 1999 and 2001,as part of Platte River's Integrated Resource Planning(IRP) process. The 1996 and 1999 evaluations resulted in the Platte River Board's decision to purchase three gas-fired combustion turbine units,which were installed at the Rawhide site in 2002(Units A,B and C described above). In 2001,Platte River's resource planning philosophy was updated,to clarify that Platte River will carry reserves or have access to firm capacity resources sufficient to meet load obligations whenever the largest resource (Rawhide) is out of service,with new resources to be brought on line when the forecast deficit between peak load and existing resources exceeds 65 MW. This update was driven by two factors: (1)existing regional transmission constraints,and (2) significantly increased market price risks in the wholesale electricity market. New demand side management(DSM)programs were also approved by the Board in 2001. These programs were initiated in 2002,with the goal of reducing growth of peak demand by 5%over the five-year period 2002-2007. DSM program results were 108%of goal through December 2002. New Resources Planned-Utilizing the resource planning philosophy described above and considering the current forecast for growth of municipal loads,new "peaking' resources (approximately 65 MW)could be needed in 2006 and again in 2010-2011. These would likely be natural gas-fired units,similar to the Units A,B and C that exist at the Rawhide site,designed to run less than 10%of the time(to serve peak loads,to backup other units if they are off line for maintenance,and to bolster surplus sales),_ No new"baseload" resources are needed in the current 10-year planning period (baseload resources in this region typically use coal as fuel and run the majority of the time, similar to the current operation of the Rawhide and Craig units). Regional Electric Market Issues-Though Platte River does not need a new baseload resource during the next 10 years (given current assumptions on growth,etc.),other electricity suppliers in the region may decide to build such a unit and seek joint ownership. Platte River and its members could realize significant advantages to being"partners" in a new baseload unit. These advantages may include: (1) economies of scale,as larger units typically produce electricity for less than small ones, (2) opportunities to share risk,and therefore reduce risk relative to Platte River owning and operating the plant on its own,(3) opportunities to match the level of resource needed with the portion of ownership,allowing smaller resource acquisition increments,and(4) opportunities for increased surplus sales,to help minimize rate impacts to the member municipalities. Also,large baseload resources take several years to design,permit and build,and once such a unit is built,it may be many years before another joint opportunity arises. Platte River continues to work with regional entities and to consider joint opportunities. For example,during 2001,Platte River was involved in the study of a large,jointly owned coal- fired unit in southeast Colorado. It currently appears that transmission constraints,relatively high cost of the plant,and uncertainty in the market for surplus sales make this project unattractive at this time. However,we will continue to monitor this project and any others in the region that may develop as options for Platte River and its municipalities. Summary-Platte River's mission is to provide reliable,low cost,environmentally sensitive electricity to meet the needs of Fort Collins and the other the municipalities that it serves. Each of these "mission critical"attributes(reliability,cost,and environmental stewardship)are Memorandum Mr. Michael Smith March 12,2003 Page Five incorporated into Platte River's current operations and are integral to its planning efforts for new resources. Platte River is the sole supplier to its owner municipalities and must provide for their electric loads,whatever they may be. If Fort Collins implements new demand side management programs that reduce energy usage and peak demand,Platte River will adjust its municipal load forecasts and surplus sales accordingly. As demand side management programs are implemented in Fort Collins,Platte River can provide estimates of how these programs may impact CO2 emissions in the region,and how the programs may affect future requirements for new electric supply resources. Platte River will also continue to meet Fort Collins'requirements for renewable energy,where possible,with Fort Collins paying acquisition costs. Existing renewables (wind and hydropower) account for about 20%of the energy currently provided to Fort Collins. Hydropower is highly valuable, since it provides firm,reliable capacity,as well as energy,at a competitive price. Platte River will continue its efforts to ensure that federal hydropower allocations are not reduced (by proposed legislation or regulation). Five years of experience with wind generation has shown that it can provide energy, to displace fossil fuel consumption and associated emissions when the wind blows,and this helps meet Fort Collins' goal of reducing CO2 emissions. However, wind is highly intermittent, is not reliable for meeting peak demands,and therefore does not reduce the need to add new resources on Platte River's system. Each new unit of wind generation must be "backed up"by a unit of generation from a reliable resource. Cost estimates for providing various levels of wind energy to Fort Collins will be provided in a separate memo, along with an evaluation of transmission constraints and other potential limitations on new wind energy supply. We look forward to continued work with you and your staff as the Fort Collins Electric Energy Supply Policy is developed. Please let me know if you would like additional information. Memorandum Mr. Michael Smith March 12, 2003 Page Six APPENDIX Figure 1.—Existing Electric Supply Resources MAXIMUM OUTPUT ENERGY PRODUCTION Purchases - Purchases Hydropower 4% Hydropower 0.3% 15% 20.1% Rawhide 1 Rawhide ABC 35% 3.4% Wind Rawhide 1 0 / 45.6% Rawhide ABC 25% Craig 1&2 0 Wind Craig 1&2 30.2% - 1% 20% Figure 2.—Emissions (vs.2002) For Current Supply Plan 120% 100% d ` b 80% P] ` _ S02 e 60% m NOX 6 40% ---- - --- - --- --------------------- w 20% -- ---- — ---— --- — 0% Base 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Memorandum Mr. Michael Smith March 12,2003 Page Seven APPENDIX (continued) Figure 3.-Reliability (Average Availability) of Existing Resources 100% 90% -_-_. -.-- ----- _. 00 C 80% - -- - 70% - - -- X 50% w c 40% 0 30% - - — - w 20% - - 10% --- - 0° Rawhide 1 Rawhide ABC Purchase Hydro Wind Figure 4.-Typical Variability of Wind Generation 100% 90% on 80% 70% 60% X ZM 50% w G 40% O u 30% m Y u 20% 10% 0% Month of July 2002 Memorandum Mr. Michael Smith March 12,2003 Page Eight APPENDIX (continued) Figure 5.-Wind Generation at Time of System Peak 100% 90% ec a 80% m E 70% a 60% x 50% 45.6% w O K 40% 0 w 30% 22% w 20% 10% 7.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0% I 1 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Figure 6.-Platte River Wholesale Rates to Fort Collins 40 35 �c 30 25 d a 20 w d 15 0 s 3 10 5 0 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02