HomeMy WebLinkAboutSupplemental Materials - Futures Committee - 12/11/2017 -SAFE: Secure Mobility in a Dangerous World
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
Gasoline E85 CNG Propane Diesel B20 B99/B100 Electricity
Dollars per Gasoline Gallon
Equivalent (GGE)
Source: SAFE analysis based on data from Clean Cities Alternative Fuel Price Reports
IS AT THE MERCY
OF AN UNSTABLE
OIL MARKET
T HE U .S .
of new car sales will be
EV by 2040
5 4 %
CHART BASED ON ESTIMATES FROM INTERNATIONAL ENERGY
AGENCY GLOBAL EV OUTLOOK 2017, PAGE 25
15
30
45
60
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
-Estimates from Bloomberg New Energy Finance
0
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Model Year Average
Monthly Average
Note: Average sales-weighted fuel-economy rating of purchased new light-duty vehicles.
Source: SAFE analysis based on data from Michael Sivak and Brandon Schoettle, University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute
MY 2008
MY 2009
MY 2010
MY 2011
MY 2012
MY 2013
MY 2014
Miles per Gallon
MY 2015 MY 2016
Sales Weighted New Vehicle Fuel Economy
EV PENETRATION REMAINS LOW
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Hybrid and EV Sales
Hybrid EV
Accelerator Communities
SAFE and the EC have developed real-world test beds
designed to achieve widespread electric vehicle
adoption.
›These communities are an opportunity to scale EV
adoption nationwide
›Drive Electric Northern Colorado (DENC) was
launched in February 2013
›DOT Smart City Challenge was modeled on this
concept
›Have added Columbus, Rochester, and work with
other Smart City Finalists, and are working with
mayors across the country on municipal fleet
conversion
Deployment Community EV Sales vs. National Rates
EV accelerator Communities
Drive
Leadership
programs
Workplace
charging Educational
workshops
Light duty TNC, taxi, or
public fleet electrification
Group buy
programs
Extended
ride and
drives
Increased
dealer
inventory
Local
policies &
incentives
Creating an Ecosystem
BENEFITS: REDUCED OIL CONSUMPTION
UNDERSTANDING THE LEVELS OF AUTOMATION
The AV/EV Connection
SAFE has added connected
and autonomous vehicles to
the portfolio because we
believe it can accelerate the
adoption of EV by creating a
force multiplier of reasons
for consumers and
companies to transition.
AUTONOMOUS ELECTRIC
More efficient,
cleaner, fuel
diverse.
Traffic control
and optimization
SHARED
Reduce n u m be r of
vehicles on the roads,
reduce the need for
parking spaces
CONNECTED
Enables autonomous
vehicles, decreases
congestion and traffic
BENEFITS: ACCELERATING ADVANCED POWERTRAINS
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Gas Hybrid Electric Battery and Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles Other
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Gas Hybrid Electric Battery and Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles Other
Electric Vehicles Proliferate……and disproportionately represent VMT
BENEFITS: SAFETY
BENEFITS: OLDER AMERICANS
Population Growth (2015 -2050) and Personal Travel
15%
43%
113%
201%
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
16 - 65 65 - 74 75 - 84 85+
Cu
r
r
e
n
t
P
e
r
s
o
n
M
i
l
e
s
T
r
a
v
e
l
e
d
p
e
r
y
e
a
r
Po
p
u
l
a
t
i
o
n
G
r
o
w
t
h
(
2
0
1
5
-
20
5
0
)
Age
Percent Increase Personal Miles Traveled (current)
BOOSTING ACCESS FOR THE DISABLED
Estimated Population with a Disability by Type and Employment Status, 2015
0
5
10
15
20
25
Hearing Difficulty Vision Difficulty Cognitive Difficulty Ambulatory Difficulty Self-Care Difficulty Independent Living Difficulty
Employed Total Population
Note: Numbers in chart may be greater than total population due to double counting of individuals with disabilities in multiple functions.
Source: Census Bureau, 2015 ACS
Million Individuals
POLICY STATUS: STATES
THANK YOU FOR YOUR
TIME!