Loading...
HomeMy WebLinkAboutSupplemental Materials - Futures Committee - 09/08/2014 -1 Fort Collins Buildout Analysis 2014 2 Buildout What is likely to happen if the Fort Collins community grows to the full extent allowed under City Plan and the Land Use Code 3 Greenfield vs. Infill vs. Redevelopment Infill creation of new housing or other buildings on scattered vacant sites in a built‐up area. Redevelopment A more intensive use of existing underused buildings and sites (often including building additions and floor plan reconfiguration); or Rehabilitation and adaptive re‐use of historic buildings and sites, often for new uses; or Removal of existing building(s), followed by a replacement with different buildings, often larger and containing more intensive uses. 4 Assumptions Existing GMA (including recent Timnath IGA amendment) Uses and Intensity under City Plan and Land Use Code Buildable lands are remaining, vacant parcels in the Growth Management Area after removing natural areas, conservation easements, and future park/school locations. Lands heavily affected by natural area habitat buffers and floodplains are also removed. 5 Assumptions Approved/In-Process Projects include projects under construction, projects approved but not yet built, and development proposals under review. Additional CSU on-campus students per the 2012 CSU Master Plan. The historic development density scenario assumes new development proposals with densities and land-use mixes similar to recent averages. The high development density scenario assumes new development proposals that maximize the potential density permitted in each zoning district. 6 Today’s Population 155,400 - City 169,009 - GMA 7 GMA Population Buildout *Average population growth (City of Fort Collins only; 10-yr. average): 1.85% Scenario 1% Avg. Annual Population Growth 2% Avg. Annual Population Growth 3% Avg. Annual Population Growth Historic Dev. Density 2040+ 2031 2025 Maximum Dev. Density 2040+ 2036 2028 GMA Population Capacity (historic development densities) 236,384 GMA Population Capacity (high development densities) 255,247 GMA Population Buildout Scenarios (Year): 8 GMA Capacity Details Historic Development Scenario High-Density Development Scenario Households Population Households Population 2014 GMA Estimate 71,311 169,009 71,311 169,009 Approved/In-Process Projects 5,773 13,682 5,773 13,682 Additional CSU Students (on-campus) n/a 3,440 n/a 3,440 Redevelopment & Infill 4,200 9,954 4,200 9,954 Vacant Buildable Lands 17,004 40,299 24,963 59,162 Total: 98,288 236,384 106,247 255,247 9 10 Growth Capacity in NoPro 11 Downtown/Mid-Town 12 Mulberry/Mt. Vista 13 14 Altering our Course Different Land Use Pattern Alter development density/intensity Modify the Growth Boundary Increase the developable land supply, e.g.- stormwater improvements to take property out of the floodplain. ?