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MINUTES
CITY OF FORT COLLINS
AIR QUALITY ADVISORY BOARD
REGULAR MEETING
281 N. COLLEGE AVE.
October 24, 2000
For Reference: Eric Levine, Chair 229-5225
Scott Mason, Council Liaison 226-4824
Brian Woodruff, Staff Liaison 221-6604
Board Members Present
Nancy York, John Schroeer, Eric Levine, Harry Edwards, Raymond Sons, Mandar Sunthankar,
Linda Stanley, Chris Kavanaugh
Board Members Absent
Jim Dennison
Staff Present
Natural Resources Department Brian Woodruff, Terry Klahn
Transportation: John Daggett, Tom Frazier
Guests
None
The meeting was called to order at 4:35.
Minutes
With the following changes, the minutes of the September 2000 meeting were unanimously
approved:
— York: Page 4, next to last bullet: change "I thought I saw something on public television" to
"Someone told me there was something on public television".
— Edwards: Page 2, 3rd bullet, change "Edward" to "Edwards"
— Sunthankar: I" page, The meeting was called to order at 4:30 p.m.
TransFort Strategic Plan, John Daggett
Daggett said this plan is a work in process. The last time I was here we talked about what the
transit system should do, and what its purpose is. The process is to learn about the existing
system. We need to know what works well and where people are boarding. We know who's
riding — greater than 50% of the ridership is youth and CSU students. What's surprising is that
seniors are only at 4%. That's the fixed route, as opposed to Dial -A -Ride. This project is not
looking at Dial -A -Ride, although staff and the consultants recommend that happen in the near
future. The fixed routes represent 96% of the ridership compared with 4% Dial -A -Ride.
Twenty-eight percent of the budget goes to Dial -A -Ride with 4% ridership, while 72% of the
budget goes to the fixed route. Dial -A -Ride provides service to about 2.4 passengers per hour;
the fixed route provides service to about 26 persons per hour. In a stakeholders interview we've
heard that staff and customer service are very positive. The reliability of buses being on time is a
problem, as is the frequency of service. The short-term priorities are to increase the frequency of
service, have more direct routes, and provide longer hours of service.
Air Quality Advisory Board
October 24, 2000
Page 2
City Council has directed staff to focus on productivity and try to get ridership up. We're trying
to develop high productivity routes.
1. Minimize duplication between routes.
2. Parallel routes no greater than t/2 mile apart.
3. Convenient access to major centers of demand from all parts of the City.
4. Simple, straight routes.
5. Convenient, fast transfers
6. Two-way service on all route segments.
7. Focus services on high -density areas.
When the University is in session it generates an enormous transit demand. That demand
disappears during summer and breaks. The University is geographically central in the City so
many trips pass through.
The Mason Street Corridor will create several new points of access on the East Side of campus.
The L.ory transit center is not on the Mason Corridor, but is useful for other routes. The Mason
Corridor requires convenient east -west connections.
Scenarios
1. The first scenario is a no growth, minimal design. It looks like the current system. All we've
done is fix the obvious problems. Still allows east/west access.
2. Extensive re -design. High frequency of service in the three spines, with the frequency falling
off as you move away from the spines.
3. Moderate Budget Growth with the Mason Street Corridor. The patterns from number 2 are in
this as well. As you increase frequency you increase ridership. Move toward the 2020 City
Plan goal.
We are currently involved in the public presentation process, and working on the design of the
three scenarios. We've found that the productivity we thought we would achieve hasn't met our
expectations. There are three non -performers. We'll test to see if reassigning these resources
into the corridor will help increase productivity.
This fall we have a new traffic model that allows for modeling of auto and transit options. It's an
analysis tool, but it can't look at the impacts of investment. It can perform Mobile 5 analysis.
It's very high tech, yet very labor and time intensive. My request is that any requests for service
from the model come through Brian and staff, rather than calling us directly.
Discussion
• Stanley: When you say "moderate growth" for scenario three, what is that? The City Plan
long-term goal is about a $19 million a year operating cost. It's about half that today. The
Mason Street Corridor has been incorporated in.
• Levine: I would love to see a population overlay, or projections. All of the growth is
occurring in the south. We stayed with the current passenger trip length. You are right, the
average trip length will increase, and the air quality numbers will be higher. We're moving
toward the City Plan design. We're trying to begin to build the grid. Transit follows
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October 24, 2000
Page 3
development. We don't think Mountain Vista will develop out by 2010. If it were to develop
we would have to put service in.
• Levine: I understand why you focus on the core, but we need to capture VMT for the best air
quality. Success begets success. If you can demonstrate people will ride in large numbers
we will have more success expanding into the outer areas.
• Edwards: The daily CO emission savings look to be about''/z ton per day, best case. The
savings are a rather small part of the total pictures.
• Woodruff: The numbers do look low. I'm wondering about assumptions you've made. In
1996 when City Plan was modeled the presentation said we could expect transit ridership of
five percent. How do your assumptions here compare? We've approached it differently.
Instead of assuming a transit ridership figure, we have a mode -choice aspect to the model
that says, "If I have a trip to take, I have decisions to make about time and distance. " You
chose a mode of travel on the basis of how long it takes you to get there.
• Woodruff: What is the level of funding? If you rank the spending of dollars on transit with
peer cities, then Fort Collins would be ranked low. In terms of dollars spent, you're not
talking about a lot of money per capita. We achieved about a 1 % trip capture with $3
million.
• Levine: City Plan was based on a 2.2% growth rate. When your modeling was done, was a
new growth rate plugged in? We still use the same population control numbers. The City's
demographer has not finalized the growth rate in the long term.
• Stanley: There's no budget for transportation.
• Levine: With the budget the percentages may not go down, but stay very much the same.
People coming in are contributing massive amounts of VMT.
• Stanley: A lot of them won't ride transit, the recommendation from City Council is no more
dollars. They're not going to fund it. That's going to be a trend that sticks around for a
while.
• Frazier: Linda is accurate. The current trend is to deal with maintenance issues, and traffic
signals. That's where Council is. It will be a couple years down the road before they fund
transit at a much higher level. The caveat is the Mason Street Corridor. If all the players
come together there will be an increased level of service along the Mason Street Corridor.
• Stanley: The budget deficit is millions of dollars. I don't see a rosy outlook for transit.
• Levine: Is there general funding? There is a contribution from the federal government, but
no contribution from the state.
• Sons: I'm startled at the percentage of the budget that goes to Dial -A -Ride compared to total
ridership. Have you ever considered a way to privatize that service? We tried that option,
part of it worked, and part of it didn't work well. We had some quality control issues. It's
working better today than in the past. There may be an opportunity in the future
• Sunthankar: What is the purpose of Dial -A -Ride? It's to service the disabled community and
the senior population age 60 or over.
• Sunthankar: Can this program increase the ridership of seniors? Yes, it's possible, by
increasing the frequency of trips, and having longer hours during the day and on Sunday.
• Schroeer: A lot of seniors have trouble with a walk to the corner, a walk of a block is out of
the question.
• Woodruff: A one -percent mode split now goes to transit. With total daily trips doubling in
scenario three, it may be going to 2% mode split. Is that keeping pace with the City's goals
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October 24, 2000
Page 4
for mode shift? No. If this trend continues, for any number of reasons, the trend is that
we're moving further away from our goals for air quality and traffic on the street.
• Levine: What is the current time differential between transit and time projection? The model
doesn't allow you to choose a trip unless it's your best choice.
• Levine: You'd think the cars would tend to slow down over time. With Mason Street, transit
should look better. I couldn't agree more. That is what will happen, the question is when. If
you were to go to Boston and came back to Fort Collins the difference is day and night.
Transit isn't going to compete as well as it does in the larger communities.
• Levine: City Plan has certain built in predictions. The board would like to see, with real
numbers, mode shift, growth rate, how far we will be off the City Plan, with both scenarios.
The hard part is the new growth rates. That's an Advance Planning request. We don't have
those numbers.
• Levine: Just pick a number, like 3.2. That's the last six years average.
• Woodruff: It's more complicated than that. While we might pick an area -wide number, the
demographer has to decide how many people and jobs will be in each zone. It's pretty labor
intensive. Your question is appropriate, but the answer is very labor intensive.
• Stanley: At some point it needs to be done.
• Woodruff: These issues will be looked at. I will try to nail down by next meeting when City
Plan will be re -run, and how far off we are from when we adopted City Plan.
Review and Update Action List
1. Verify siting of the new library and performing arts center is downtown. — Linda Stanley
reported that although she doesn't have an absolute, to the best of her knowledge it is true.
2. Memo to Council: 2001 budget priorities — Pending
3. Memo to Council: Recommending Mason Street master plan - Pending
4. Poll AQAB members regarding interest in committees
Clean fuels — Mandar Sunthankar, Linda Stanley
AQAP mid -course correction — Linda Stanley
5. Draft 2001 AQAB Work Plan — Will be worked on tonight
Review Council Six-month Plannine Calendar
October 24: Land Use Code Parking Requirements
Regional I-25 Corridor
November 21: City Plan Amendment Process
November 28: Street Oversizing Fee Update
December 12: Transportation Maintenance Funding
December 19: Street Oversizing Fees
• Levine: Transportation maintenance funding tends to be a big item, but I don't know what
input we could have on that.
Agenda Planning
— AQAB 2001 Work plan (Nov)
— By-law amendments (Nov)
— Bike Depot Feasibility Study (Jan)
— Climate Wise campaign results (Jan)
Air Quality Advisory Board
October 24, 2000
Page 5
2001 Board Work Plan, Brian Woodruff
Woodruff said this draft is similar in format to this year's work plan. Eric and I tried to come up
with high priority issues that seemed to make sense. This is a starting point for discussion. The
Work Plan is one of two required reports to City Council. They want to see what you have in
mind for the coming year. There is usually no feedback; it's simply accepted for information
purposes.
• York: It seems that global warming, and meeting our responsibilities, is missing. Do you
have in mind reviewing the Local Action Plan for Greenhouse Gas Reduction?
• Levine: We have Climate Wise scheduled for January.
• York: It dovetails with VMT growth and tail pipe emissions.
• Levine: We'll put it on the list.
• York: I guess it's because of the dilemma. Some people think global warming is not actually
happing.
• Woodruff: City Council went beyond that — they decided not to argue whether it's
happening or not. Rather, they adopted a set of strategies that are prudent and workable. We
were able to avoid getting into an argument that can't be solved by the City of Fort Collins.
• Levine: By taking some very small, non -confrontational steps the City avoided taking big
steps that would have been a lot harder to get done. I'm glad we have something. At the
start of a thousand mile journey you take one step.
• Woodruff: How would you like this put in the re -draft?
• Kavanaugh: If there is already a plan, how do we advise City Council?
• Levine: It's a multi -year plan. There is no time frame for implementation of the items.
• Stanley: We could be reviewing and making recommendations concerning implementation.
• Edwards: This is a thoughtfully executed document. What action is needed?
• Sunthankar: What about air quality monitoring?
• Schroeer: I would like to see that go forward. What was approved and how do we proceed?
• Woodruff: An additional monitoring site will be built. The State is behind it, and the City
has a budget for its part of the effort. What would the discussion be? I could keep you
informed about the progress.
• Stanley: How long will it take?
• Woodruff: There will be a gridded emission inventory in the spring. The State's objective is
to have the new site running by next heating season, about a year from now, in the fall of
2001.
• Edwards: It sounds like it's well underway.
• Schroeer: I would like to see to it that everything happens the way it should.
• Woodruff: We can have an update every three months.
Harry Edwards made the following motion:
Move for the adoption of the plan as amended with the additional two items.
• Levine: I have one additional item. Last year silica dust was reclassified from a suspected
human carcinogen to a proven carcinogen. It seems like there's a disconnect between the
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October 24, 2000
Page 6
rules, regulations, VMT numbers, various transit strategies, and why all of these numbers and
stuff exist, it's the human health equation. The Colorado Department of Health regulates all
of these. If the pollutants change and are found to be more harmful or safe, I would say it's
part of their job. I'm thinking of Boards and Commissions in the City of Fort Collins —
we're the closest to looking at the human health implications of what we do. Every other
board is involved indirectly. I'm thinking of a white paper, a project of this board without
too much staff time, listing various air pollutants. It could be for us, for staff, for future
members of the AQAB, for City Council, or whatever.
• Schroeer: So, more of a fact sheet than a white paper.
• Edwards: There's a motion on the floor, I suggest the Chair call for a second or rule on the
motion, then you can make your amendment.
Linda Stanley seconded the motion
• Sunthankar: What are you going to conclude with those items? Are you limiting yourself to
the pollutants, or are you going after chemicals too?
• Levine: Primarily pollutants. Won't want to go beyond pollutants that are now regulated by
the federal government.
Amended Motion:
Move for the adoption of the plan as amended by the addition of global warming and
Eric's fact sheet/white paper (air pollutants fact sheet).
The motion was seconded by Linda Stanley and unanimously approved.
Short Discussion Items
Reschedule December Meeting
Woodruff reminded the board that their regularly scheduled December meeting will fall the day
after Christmas, and asked if they wanted to cancel or reschedule the meeting. Linda Stanley
suggested tentatively rescheduling the meeting for December 19. The date will be finalized at the
November meeting.
LUTRAO
Woodruff said the annual report would go to the Growth Management Committee in January.
We will try to summarize the issues, where we've been, and where we will go. The LUTRAQ
Team has been focusing on the issue of capital improvements. The City Manager asked for an
inventory of capital projects, whether funded or not. This is the first step toward a systematic
way of deciding. The LUTRAQ Team saw an opportunity to prioritize the list as to how well the
projects would reduce VMT growth, and we came up with our consensus of the top thirteen
projects from the point of reducing VMT growth. We also set forth principals as to how to do
this prioritization next time around and identified issues we thought were important in capital
improvement. At the next LUTRAQ meeting we'll plan implementation of other items on the
work agenda.
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October 24, 2000
Page 7
• Levine: I participated in the kick off meetings. Will there be any more of those
participatory meetings, and if so, when? We don't have anything on the schedule as yet.
There are three items we will be discussing in more detail.
1. Regional VMT reduction strategy. We don't have one yet, as we're focusing on reducing
VMT in the City.
2. The question of jobs/housing balance. There is no policy in Fort Collins. We do have a
policy on affordable housing. We need a policy that there should be houses for all of the
jobs. We are importing employees from outside of Fort Collins. It affects the VMT growth.
3. We need to look at the issue of pricing for trips: parking, tolls, special fees, in order to bring
some free market forces to bear on trip -making behavior. Parking is the number one
candidate. No one is eager to get out in front of the public and talk about how parking has to
cost something. The project would come up with a strategy, and gradually build community
support. The only place where parking costs anything is CSU, and guess what, there's a lot
of transit use there.
On all three of these issues we would want the advice and encouragement of boards and
commissions.
• Edwards: What happened to the by-pass discussion, has that disappeared off the radar
screen? The City is not allowed to look at a truck by-pass that is within the urban growth
area. The transportation planners are between a rock and a hard place. The State will not
support it. It would have to be built with local funds and it costs a fortune. It looks pretty
dead to me.
Second Hand Smoke
Sarah Fox has put together the plan for public input. At this moment there is a pause. The
Latimer County Health Department and Poudre Health Services District have completed their
five year tobacco plan. The plan calls for improving local second hand smoke ordinances. The
surprise was that they have formally asked the City to enter into a partnership to complete the
plan. It will take a couple weeks to sort out the partnership. This is a positive step, but the
public outreach is on hold until] the leadership is all on the same page. We should have more
information by next month's meeting.
CO Redesi nation
We're actively working with the State Health Department and the North Front Range Planning
Council (MPO). A request will be put together for designation as an attainment area. This
includes preparing a ten-year plan to maintain air quality standards. In September, 2001, the Air
Quality Control Commission will hold a public hearing and adopt a final product. It then goes to
the Legislature, the Governor, and the EPA. In May we plan a meeting of the technical advisory
committee to outline control measures and an emissions budget. This is the real guts of the
decision making. I would think in July we'll have the Council approving it. We haven't yet put
in a role for the AQAB, but there needs to be one.
0 Levine: Are we using mobility report card numbers? Yes, I believe so.
Air Quality Advisory Board
October 24, 2000
Page 8
• Levine: We need to be assured we're using the correct population growth numbers for the
modeling. I looked at the Colorado Springs plan, it's a bogus plan. The numbers are way
too low. I would welcome accurate, up to date numbers.
Woodruff will report back next month. The modeling work should be completed by the first of
December.
• Edwards: I agree with Eric's concern. A reasonable population growth rate needs to be used
in the model. The modelers need to be encouraged to take into account the extra low
emission vehicles. We don't want to over -estimate emissions for new cars. The EPA
determines what assumptions we can use. It's a federally mandated plan. Our plan is
required to keep emissions below the 1998 baseline level. We don't yet have a good idea
whether, in 2015, they're going to be above or below. If they are above, we have to
introduce strategies to bring them down, or we can use more sophisticated techniques to
show that emissions won't be violated, even though the emissions are going up.
Adjournment
The meeting adjoumed at 7:15.
ACTION i.IST — fram "vtnhnr')d mnnt:no
ACTION ITEM
WHO
BY...
DONE
1. Memo to Council recommending 2001
Brian, Eric
ASAP
budget priorities: TransFort, new monitoring
site, business outreach, population update
2. Memo to Council recommending Mason
Brian, Eric,
November
Street master plan
Ray
3. Report to AQAB on the schedule for
Brian
November
• Updating the population growth forecast
• Re -modeling of City Plan with updated
population, trip generation, and mode split
assumptions
4. Explore adding "thanks for not idling"
Brian,
November
campaign to Breathing Lessons
Sarah
5. Report: Will the transportation model used
Brian
November
for CO redesignation use updated population
growth and Mobility Report Card data?